I’m popping a cherry of sorts here…  I’m double-dipping in my first ever Pitcher Profile on a hurler already profiled.  But things change!  People change!  Hairstyles change!  I’ll miss you the most, scarecrow!  (bonus points if you know that movie!)

Two years ago, I broke down Chris Archer‘s first career complete game that Summer…  Look at how much we’ve improved!  No weekly rankings, no GIFs, it’s like that was written in the stone age!  At the time, Archer was a young-up-and-comer who even surprised the most die hard of Archer fans, but after going complete twice in a three game span in 2013, really hasn’t shown uber-dominance in any long stretches.  Well, looking back at 2014 he did go on a huge roll starting at the end of May, but never more than say 6 or 7 starts.

After a meh opener, Archer has been a stud the last four, and at age 26 may be finally settling in to an ace-like season.  So I decided to break down his outing yesterday hosting the Blue Jays to see if I think this is a new Archer that is going to maintain dominant numbers all year:

First Inning: Archer’s first pitch is a 92 MPH right down the middle taken by Devon Travis.  93 fastball climbs the ladder and is fouled back, and Archer is right back to his high velo with 95 MPH on the outside edge fouled away, still 0-2.  Archer’s first slider is a nassssssty 89 MPH bender that goes just off the plate, 1-2:

Archer-Slider-1

Then Archer goes slider again, but instead of sweeping across the horizontal plane, it dives towards the dirt to get a swing and miss:

Archer-Slider-2

And lordy, if I’m compelled to GIF a two-pitch sequence to the first batter, I think I might need to change my pants during this start…  Anyway, Archer blows Russell Martin away with 95 MPH heat up and in getting a whiff to make it 0-1, fastball again catches the outside edge 0-2, then a 95 MPH fastball goes over everyone and hits the plastic backing behind the plate, 1-2.  Scared an usher out there!  Then the 1-2 is another slider, Martin tops it for a weak dribbler and catcher Rene Rivera makes the throw to first, two down.  Josh Donaldson whiffs on a 95 MPH fastball on the hands, whiffs over a slider at 90 (!!!!!!) MPH that looked a lot like that second GIF, then Archer tries another fastball hoping to paint the outside corner, but it ends up down the middle for a very hard hit Donaldson single to center.  Nice hitting there, and that heater was at 97!  Fastball misses to Edwin Encarnacion, another is fouled back, 95 MPH again is upstairs and cut on and missed, slider rolls into the dirt, slider again bends low, full count.  And Archer throws 95 MPH trying to be too perfect on the low inside corner and it dips low for a walk.  After a dominant start through two strikes to Donaldson, now a single and a walk and Justin Smoak takes a fastball in there for strike one.  Then Archer throws his first change-up at 86 MPH that’s in the zone, 0-2.  That change didn’t do much, and I was hoping to see a big improvement on those as Archer is mostly a two-pitch guy.  Fastball spikes in the dirt, high slider is tipped foul, then another slider that bent into the backdoor is swung over and missed for Archer’s 2nd K to get out of the inning.

Second Inning: Picking up two runs of support, Archer is outside with a fastball to Michael Saunders, barely nips the outside corner 1-1, there’s another change-up at 86 MPH that’s in the zone 1-2, sweeping 2-to-8 slider goes low, then 95 MPH heat paints that low outside corner for Archer’s 3rd K looking.  Mowing em down!  Slider stays high to Dalton Pompey, fastball is fouled back, two-seamer runs back off of the outside corner for a ball, hanging slider stays high and is fouled off, another high slider is pulled down the first base line foul, then 96 MPH on the outside edge is grounded to second, two down.  Up is Kevin Pillar who almost gets hit with a 94 MPH fastball up and in, 95 blows him away on the inside edge, 1-1 is a another fastball well high but it’s cut on and fouled back, then a defensive swing on 1-2 on a great slider is topped over to third, and Evan Longoria makes the play charging in to end the inning.

Third Inning: Even though he’s looked fantastic, Archer is already at 38 pitches and misses inside to Ryan Goins, fastball is outside, then a hanging slider (I think, might have been hanging change-up) is flied out to center, one down.  That might’ve been Archer’s most hittable pitch, good thing it was to Goins!  Slider is in there to Travis 0-1, fastball low, fastball fouled back, then an 89 MPH slider that looked a lot like that first GIF is swung over and missed, two outs.  Fastball is outside to Martin, 94 MPH heater with some good movement hits the inside corner, then a slider on the outside corner is flied to right center for an easy out, a much needed quick inning for Archer.

Fourth Inning: Fastball is outside to Donaldson, then a great slider gets him to flinch as it bends into the zone, 1-1.  Fastball at 94 MPH was a little too close to down the middle again to Donaldson for my liking but is barely tipped foul, slider bends low and outside, and the 2-2 is an inside slider grounded to short for a routine out.  95 MPH is outside to Encarnacion, perfect fastball paints the outside corner, great slider sweeps from just inside to paint the outside corner 1-2, fastball at 97 goes low, 95 is fouled back, then 89 MPH slider bends into the inside corner and front doors him for Archer’s 5th K looking.  Then a first pitch change-up is popped foul to third by Smoak to get a 1-pitch final out.

Fifth Inning: Archer opens the 5th inning with an absolute bang (for me!) with by far his best change-up to get a swing and miss from Saunders, 0-1:

Archer-Changeup

Another change is topped over to second for an easy groundout, one down.  Pompey tries a bunt and it dribbles foul, then a little bit of a hanging slider on the hands is ripped down the first base line for a double.  Only the second hit allowed by Archer and not a good pitch.  But Archer rebounds with a perfect painting fastball for strike one to Pillar, fastball is low, then a great 88 MPH slider bending way outside gets an absolute wave and miss, 1-2:

Archer-Slider-3

Archer throws the same slider at 90 MPH and Pillar can’t hold up for another K.  Great pitch.  Fastball is low to Goins, two-seamer at 95 runs outside, 2-0.  This is either his first or maybe only second time falling behind 2-0, and he’s right back in there with a slider 2-1.  Archer then goes slider again, and it’s grounded right to him and Archer makes the play for out number three.

Sixth Inning: Archer opens the 6th with a fastball in there to Travis, then another heater with a little sink on it gets a groundout to short for a quick first out.  Great slider gets strike one on Martin, fastball is high, great fastball at the knees at 95 gets strike two, slider is way outside, fastball fouled back, then a slider bending across the zone paints the outside corner for Archer’s 7th K.  Martin just couldn’t pull the trigger.  A little bit of a hanging slider barely misses high to Donaldson, perfect slider down is swung over, 95 MPH heater is high, then a 2-1 slider is hung a bit in Donaldson’s wheelhouse, but he just gets under it for a routine flyout to left.  Donaldson curses at that one, as that easily couldn’t been walloped, but Archer is out of the inning.

Seventh Inning: At 84 pitches, Archer doesn’t waste any time getting a fastball in there to Encarnacion, then another fastball is ripped to third, but Longoria makes a diving play to get him out.  First really hard-contact out this game.  94 MPH fastball is perfect at the knees to Smoak, then 95 MPH on the outside corner is laced to center for the second out.  Eesh, two very hard hit outs, that was roped.  But Archer still has his velo and isn’t scared with a 94 MPH fastball in there to Saunders, slider goes low, slider again low, fastball at 93 is high, then Archer’s final pitch is a 3-1 fastball on the hands that’s hit pretty hard, but it’s a grounder into the shift for the final out.

Final Line:  W  7.0 IP  93 Pitches (64 Strikes)  0 ER  2 Hits  1 Walk  7 K  Gamescore: 79  Gamescore+: 78.2

Final Analysis: Great, great stuff out there from Archer.  I think if he didn’t have that high pitch count in the first and have those hard hit outs in the 7th, they might’ve let him try for a CG.  Those last three outs in the seventh were hard hit enough to swing the Gamescore+ under his Gamescore, but just by a marginal amount.

Archer’s heater topped out at 97 MPH and was rarely outside of the 94-95 range.  His fastball velocity on the season is actually averaging a career-best 95.2.  If that maintains through the season, he’s going to have one of the fastest arsenals in the game.  But it all comes down to the slider, which was dancing all sorts of ways, bending across both planes.  Regularly at 89-90 MPH as well!  And it’s not a cutter, it has way too much movement for that.  It’s averaging 87 MPH on the season, but was up to a season-high velo of 87.2 yesterday.  The thing that scares me is he’s still virtually relying on those two pitches.  He threw a few change-ups, but only to lefties and sparingly.  He’s thrown them 7.8% of the time on the season, unfortunately that pitch has been increasing in velocity the past few years.  I’d like him to be able to get the change-ups in more of the 84-85 range than the 86.2 MPH they’re averaging now.

The concern with only having two pitches is keeping me from going all in.  I did move him up to 31, but as the #1 pitcher in fantasy right now I obviously have some minor doubts.  It’s mostly that we’ve seen great stretches from him before, and he’s still only a two-pitch guy.  If that slider eludes him in a start, it’s going to be a rough rough outing.  That said, his fastball is fantastic as well and should keep him from getting bludgeoned even if he loses his slider for a time.

Razzball Baseball

JB’s Updated Top 100 SP

(rankings based on 12-team Roto, green for risers, red for fallers)

RANK SP, Team
1 Clayton Kershaw, LAD
2 Felix Hernandez, SEA
3 Chris Sale, CWS
4 Max Scherzer, WAS
5 Corey Kluber, CLE
6 David Price, DET
7 Madison Bumgarner, SF
8 Matt Harvey, NYM
9 Johnny Cueto, CIN
10 Stephen Strasburg, WAS
11 Jake Arrieta, CHC
12 Zack Greinke, LAD
13 Cole Hamels, PHI
14 Carlos Carrasco, CLE
15 Gerrit Cole, PIT
16 Jeff Samardzija, CWS
17 Masahiro Tanaka, NYY
18 Jordan Zimmermann, WAS
19 Garrett Richards, LAA
20 Jacob deGrom, NYM
21 James Shields, SD
22 Collin McHugh, HOU
23 Dallas Keuchel, HOU
24 Alex Wood, ATL
25 Tyson Ross, SD
26 Michael Wacha, STL
27 Yordano Ventura, KC
28 Sonny Gray, OAK
29 Scott Kazmir, OAK
30 Michael Pineda, NYY
31 Chris Archer, TB
32 Jon Lester, CHC
33 Alex Cobb, TB
34 Julio Teheran, ATL
35 Danny Salazar, CLE
36 James Paxton, SEA
37 Carlos Martinez, STL
38 Drew Smyly, TB
39 Trevor Bauer, CLE
40 Phil Hughes, MIN
41 Lance Lynn, STL
42 Jimmy Nelson, MIL
43 Matt Shoemaker, LAA
44 Anibal Sanchez, DET
45 Jake Odorizzi, TB
46 Gio Gonzalez, WAS
47 Francisco Liriano, PIT
48 Shane Greene, DET
49 Drew Hutchison, TOR
50 Drew Pomeranz, OAK
51 Andrew Cashner, SD
52 Jose Quintana, CWS
53 Mat Latos, MIA
54 Jered Weaver, LAA
55 Archie Bradley, ARI
56 Jason Hammel, CHC
57 J.A. Happ, SEA
58 Mike Leake, CIN
59 Brandon McCarthy, LAD
60 Chase Anderson, ARI
61 A.J. Burnett, PIT
62 Jesse Chavez, OAK
63 Kyle Hendricks, CHC
64 Mike Fiers, MIL
65 Taijuan Walker, SEA
66 Homer Bailey, CIN
67 Doug Fister, WAS
68 Anthony DeSclafani, CIN
69 Hisashi Iwakuma, SEA
70 Kyle Lohse, MIL
71 Ian Kennedy, SD
72 Hyun-Jin Ryu, LAD
73 Edinson Volquez, KC
74 Rubby De La Rosa, ARI
75 Brandon Morrow, SD
76 Aaron Harang, PHI
77 Jesse Hahn, OAK
78 Jose Fernandez, MIA
79 CC Sabathia, NYY
80 Noah Syndergaard, NYM
81 Shelby Miller, ATL
82 Danny Duffy, KC
83 John Lackey, STL
84 Daniel Norris, TOR
85 Tim Hudson, SF
86 Mike Minor, ATL
87 Aaron Sanchez, TOR
88 R.A. Dickey, TOR
89 Chris Heston, SF
90 Rick Porcello, BOS
91 Jon Niese, NYM
92 Nathan Eovaldi, NYY
93 Bartolo Colon, NYM
94 Wily Peralta, MIL
95 Jake Peavy, SF
96 Carlos Rodon, CWS
97 Chris Tillman, BAL
98 Kevin Gausman, BAL
99 Clay Buchholz, BOS
100 Alfredo Simon, DET

Dropped Out: Adam Wainwright, STL (Achilles and out for year, ughhhhhh, even though I had him lower than anywhere else so at least I dodged this bullet), Kyle Gibson, MIN (how is a 3:9 K:BB through 4 starts even possible?!) Matt Garza, MIL (lordy he’s garbage), Justin Verlander, DET (everything has been pessimistic)

  • Man, I love Dallas Keuchel.  Maybe it’s the beard, I dunno.  He’s got the best athlete’s beard in Houston!  Well, maybe second for someone in another sport, but still!  I know an 18:11 K:BB screams regression, but he is so effing consistent so far where even the aces have been hammered.  He didn’t move up dramatically, but up another 3 this week.
  • I had a tough time with Tanaka vs. JZ.  I’m scared of Zimmermann, fastball is down 1.7 MPH from last year, and even though he’s only allowed one HR has been clobbered with a BABIP that’s not too crazy against (.324).  Tanaka has the risk his elbow snaps, sure, but doesn’t every pitcher at this point?  Hah.
  • I guess if I’m using that rationale for Tanaka, I HAVE to move Michael Wacha up.  He looks great, velo is there; doesn’t mean I’m no longer worried about his shoulder, but if it holds up I imagine he finishes even higher than that rank.
  • Ventura was my boy last year.  I had him ranked about neutral this year, and now I’m with the masses – dude annoys me.  Calm the F down, it’s baseball!  There’s no roid rage (anymore – I thought it was the ball!) in baseball!
  • Always nice to have a stat correction add 5 ER to your line…  James Paxton‘s got one last game to prove it.  He’s at Houston, velo was a tad better in this last bad start, I need to see him pop at least a few pitches above 95 when he needs them.  Avg velo is down; he needs the power fastball to be what I thought he could be this year.
  • It wasn’t the best season debut, but Drew Smyly looked pretty good.  I’d be sure he’s owned in all of your leagues.
  • Eesh Shane Greene can’t get lefties out…  Teeing off at .296 to only .128 for righties.  Cleveland played 8 lefties, and shizz hizz the fanz, if you know what I mean.  One thing I overlooked was his struggles v. lefties; hopefully that oversight is forgivable as the first 3 teams he faced have pretty much no good lefties…  Needs that change-up to keep developing.
  • After averaging 92.0 on the heater and hitting 95 a few times in his first start off the DL, Homer Bailey went down to 90.9 and didn’t look impressive at all in his encore against my awful Brewers.  I’d be watching him carefully on the wire though…
  • For a few innings there, Taijuan Walker looked dominant in his last start.  Still putting it together, but has more upside than arguably anyone below 35 or so in my ranks.
  • While Hisashi Iwakuma‘s lat strain is supposed to be a 2-4 week timetable, teammate J-Pax also had that lat issue last year and it lasted something like 3-4 months.  Very scared.

Thoughts on this revisit to Archer?  What ranks really grind your gears?  Shoot your thoughts below, and as always, may your ERAs and WHIPs remain tiny like pool shrinkage!

194 Comments
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Eric B
Eric B
7 years ago

No worries, appreciate you taking the time to respond…and not minding my persistence lol. Gonna have to add Happ to our dicussion after today. Whats up with Seattle pitchers and the long ball? I want to hold Walker due to upside. I’m looking at Happ and Colome’s spots for any upgrades. Fiers could potentially take one. Doubts on Chavez being an upgrade over Happ or Colome?

Eric B
Eric B
7 years ago

OK JB, need some follow up help here:
( 5×5 HTH OBP league)
Bats
C McCann
1B Freeman
2B Kipnis
3B Santana
SS A.Ramirez
OF Stanton
OF Springer
OF Soler
OF Betts
Util Pollock
Util Semien
Util Calhoun
Bench Avisail Garcia
Bench Lawrie
DL C Yan Gomes

Staff
P Kluber
P Odorizzi
P Cole
P Salazar
P Paxton
SP Ventura
SP Walker
RP Chapman
RP Britton
Bench RP Perkins
Bench SP Happ
Bench SP Colome
DL RP Parnell
DL Moore

Ended up activating Colome after Chavez’s so so performance. Walker imploded again last night, Ventura is suspended, lost McCarthy toi injury, etc. So what can I do to sure up my staff? Colome looked pretty solid to me, would you hold onto him or nah? What about Walker, he was looking much better now he’s right there with Super Greene in terms of struggling. So My staff is above, who do I drop and who do I add? Greene and Chavez are available, as are Fiers and Duffy. Also with Familia performing so well at closer would you slip Corbin into Parnells DL slot?

primetime_players
primetime_players
7 years ago

Wow. Fiers looked great vs. the Cubs.. Cubs SO a lot so I don’t know if I should trust again. Thoughts..

I have

Kershaw
Strausburg
Bauer
Salazar
Darvish

Shoemaker
Hutchinson
Chavez

Would you drop any of them for Paxton and Fiers?

Mikey
Mikey
7 years ago

Drop T. wood,Greene, or walker for Colome

miles
miles
7 years ago

If walker struggles today drop him for happ ,t.wood, ubaldo, hammel, colome, paxton,greene

primetime_players
primetime_players
7 years ago

JB, Drop Shoemaker for Travis Wood, Paxton or Happ?

el diablo
el diablo
7 years ago

Travis Wood is interesting… Throughout his minors he was 8 + K/9 2 + BB/9… Never showed in MLB.. Last season he had 146 Ks, prior year 144 Ks.. Last night the velocity sat around 88 mph. I believe what you said SON pitcher…

JA Happ or Hutch ROS? What is Happ doing differently.? I can’t imagine him pitching like this the ROS.

Joe Kelly is another one who pitches 95-97 mph.. Like Eovoldi… can’t get there stuff togehter literally.. Hutch blew up again last night, hard to trust. but I don’t have much on waivers.

JimmyBond
JimmyBond
7 years ago

wondering your take on Greene after this Twins debacle. 8 Ks, but beat up – again by lefties who he just couldn’t get out. I am just lucky the tigers found some balls to hit or that was going to be a sore L…I will take the indecision though Greene killed my ratios in my H2H roto league

JimmyBond
JimmyBond
Reply to  JimmyBond
7 years ago

@JimmyBond: sorry didn’t notice the comment above (stealth commenting from work)

Dropped Greene for Happ in one league, but have him elsewhere too (sadly)

Would you drop him for Ubaldo Jimenez? Or Wood?

Eric B
Eric B
7 years ago

Where do you see Happ and Chavez ranking and wth, Greene was looking good and now he’s given up 7. Sure I dont need to drop him instead of Avisial lol?

Grey
Admin
Reply to  Eric B
7 years ago

Happ

Eric B
Eric B
Reply to  Grey
7 years ago

@Grey: So what about you Grey, already added Happ would you drop Greene for Chavez?

Eric B
Eric B
Reply to  JB Gilpin
7 years ago

@JB Gilpin: Ha, he apologized in another thread, said it was an accident. Dropped Greene for time being to add Happ and Chavez, we’ll see how Chavez does and I’ll decide if Greene is worth picking back up. Cant see anyone rushing to get him, now just have to hope Pax pitches better today…sigh.

Eric B
Eric B
Reply to  JB Gilpin
7 years ago

@JB Gilpin: Pax was better, Chavez was pretty meh, may look to re-acquire Greene. Cant believe he’s as bad as his last 2 outings…or maybe I just dont want to. Whatcha think JB, Greene worth re-acquiring?

Or I havent gotten much production out of my SS position, I could add Danny Santana and hope he bounces back or stash Baez and hope Castro gets traded.

Lastly, Ive got Parnell, Colome, and Yan Gomes stashed on the DL. Not sure if Parnell even has a chance at the closing gig anymore. There’s other DL stashes available like Moore, Corbin or Parker….like any of those options?

( 5×5 HTH OBP league)
Bats
C McCann
1B Freeman
2B Kipnis
3B Santana
SS A.Ramirez
OF Stanton
OF Springer
OF Soler
OF Betts
Util Pollock
Util Semien
Util Calhoun
Bench Avisail Garcia
Bench Lawrie
DL C Yan Gomes

Staff
P Kluber
P Odorizzi
P Cole
P Salazar
P Paxton
SP Ventura
SP Walker
RP Chapman
RP Britton
Bench RP Perkins
Bench SP Happ
Bench SP ?
DL RP Parnell
DL Colome

Eric B
Eric B
Reply to  JB Gilpin
7 years ago

@JB Gilpin: I ended up activating Colome, adding Moore to the DL and streaming Chavez prior to this response.

Colome looked pretty good, I’d have to drop him to re-acquire Chavez…Thoughts? What about if Chavez is picked up on the wire, you holding Colome or re-acquiring Greene?

hankp101
hankp101
7 years ago

Hey JB, How far down would you move Tanaka with this latest injury news? Thanks!

I don't want to brag, but i have irritable bowel syndrome
I don't want to brag, but i have irritable bowel syndrome
7 years ago

you really have wood off this list (CUBS)? i’m not even sure i want to drop him for happ. already have morrow/nelson/kluber/arrieta/hammel with t.wood as streamer. so many of these guys unowned though i’ll likely just keep streaming that spot. greene/heston/c.anderson/rubby/hutch all out here. I used to have 7 SP with one streamer since addison russell called up i have 6 with 1 streamer.

Shane
Shane
7 years ago

Hey JB, with Tanaka being put in the DL, I have to pick up a new pitcher. Not sure if I should get Salazar, Edinson, or Martinez.
Thanks

Eric B
Eric B
7 years ago

Happ produced like the sleeper you predicted tonight. Still trying to decide between Happ and Chavez ROS…decisions, decisions.

Eric B
Eric B
Reply to  JB Gilpin
7 years ago

@JB Gilpin:

Ha, trying to decide between the two doesnt make me Happy lol. Of course Had Happ not looked so good or if Chavez had already pitched this week, and looked as good, it would be a little easier. I know you specialize in pitching but take a gander at this lineup and tell me if Chavez is still who you’d add. I dont see anyone to drop to be able to add both Happ and Chavez, but maybe another set of eyes will see something I dont.
( 5×5 HTH OBP league)
Bats
C McCann
1B Freeman
2B Kipnis
3B Santana
SS A.Ramirez
OF Stanton
OF Springer
OF Soler
OF Betts
Util Pollock
Util Semien
Util Calhoun
Bench Avisail Garcia
Bench Lawrie
DL C Yan Gomes

Staff
P Kluber
P Odorizzi
P Cole
P Salazar
P Paxton
SP Ventura
SP S.Greene
RP Chapman
RP Britton
Bench RP Perkins
Bench SP Walker
Bench SP ?
DL RP Parnell
DL Colome

So still feelin’ Chavez over that last spot for Happ?Or is it time to move on from any of my other arms or bats to acquire both Happ and Chavez?

Eric B
Eric B
Reply to  JB Gilpin
7 years ago

@JB Gilpin: Considered that, such a tough decision lol. I know there will always be OF’ers to plug and play or possibly trade for but the way my luck goes he starts hitting and stealing bases tomorrow once I drop him lol. Leaning towards adding both though just because they seem to both be on the rise and short of Kluber I dont really have a fantasy Ace.Thanks as always for the knowledge man!

Also curious are you a Panthers fan or is that just a random profile pic lol? I live in NC but bleed Burgundy and Gold!

Jerry
Jerry
7 years ago

Hey, JB! Leake or Shane Greene ros? Thanks!

Web
Web
7 years ago

Traded Greene and C mart for Jordan Zimmerman, No brainier right?

dom
dom
7 years ago

hey JB never got to thank you for all your help with my basketball league that I won. You helped me almost as much as Rudy Gobert did!

how close did Travis Wood come to making this list? I guess we’ll see how he pitches against PIT tonight

Scott
Scott
Reply to  dom
7 years ago

@dom: Gobert!

Thatguy
Thatguy
7 years ago

Jb. Good stuff man. Was offered Joey bats for J zim straight up. Points league. I have kershaw, sherzer, and arrieta. Do it???

Scott
Scott
7 years ago

Homer’s back on the DL. Not a good sign.

Dingbat
Dingbat
7 years ago

Nice list! I’m happy to see you think Wood isn’t toast, as I was just able to grab him off waivers after his owner lost faith.

What do you think about Corbin as a DL stash? I don’t have room at the moment, since it’s already overcrowded with Ryu, Iwakuma, Ottavino, and McGee, but he might still be sitting in the FA pool once they get healthy.

Andre
Andre
7 years ago

Drop Jimmy Nelson for Jason Hammel or T. Walker or should I hold? The Iwakuma owner also cut bait with him after his Lat injury. I’m already a walking DL but is he worth an add? Limited moves during the season so this would be for ROS.

10tm, H2H keeper league with 5 keepers, Pitching categories are W, L, ERA, Ks, Saves, Whip, and QS. Thanks!

Whiskey T
Whiskey T
7 years ago

Hey man, would you drop Rodon for T Walker after that performance yesterday? Standard points league btw

MJ
MJ
7 years ago

Curious about the Sonny Gray ranking. What is it you see that has him ranked lower than I would have expected?

el diablo
el diablo
7 years ago

Ok, Chase Anderson looked bad last night, but Troy Tulo must of fouled off 12 pitches or more, so his full arensal was scene by Morneua who homered off him. That is my observation and sticking with it. The dude threw 30 ptiches i believe in the 1st.’

With that said.. I really not liking him going forward, maybe a stream kind of guy.

Thoughts on Alex Colome, coming of DL this week.

Also, who keeps the closing gig.. McGee or Boxberger. I am done with Cishek – he’s got nothing anymore. That velocity is not MLB ready he looks like Jaime Moyer out there.

el diablo
el diablo
Reply to  JB Gilpin
7 years ago

@JB Gilpin: I already dropped Anderson for Chavez.. Chavez was decent last year for a bit. I need a closer though, I have Miller now.. Thinking of going MIller and Yami Garcia.. We are a K/9 WHIP ERA SV QS league…

Ante GALIC
Ante GALIC
7 years ago

JB!!!

Fantastic work. Was really looking forward to this list.

a. In my super shallow league, I’m gonna drop ‘Kuma for streamers. The rest of my staff is between 15 (highest and didn’t draft any pitchers in the first 6 rounds of any draft) and 40 (lowest).

b. Concerned about Shoemaker. Will base my decision on week five’s two-start off of his start week four.

Cheers,
Ante

slimbo
slimbo
7 years ago

Is Zach wheeler droppable in a 8 team keeper league with 14 keepers?

Need to put reyes on my ir

Steve Stevenson
Steve Stevenson
7 years ago

Limited moves (20/yr, I’ve got 18 left) 9×7 10-tm H2H. Think Cishek turns it around (it’s a NetSV league so he’s killing me extra)? Think D. Travis, who had another bomb tonight, keeps it up? Contemplating using 2 more moves to drop Cishek and Shoemaker and add Travis and Salazar.

Web
Web
7 years ago

Yordano Ventura is available in my league….is he a must add over Greene? I’ve been waiting I need Greenes start this week.

Tyler
Tyler
7 years ago

DL stash – Cain or Moore?

Dnut Eastwood
7 years ago

Forget hitatron or wtfeber what does your gut tell you. Who will have the better counting stats in a 6×6 ops league. B.moss, Wil Myers, Manny Machado. I’m deep in OF and 3B, CI, UTL. etc. I need to drop one for a streamer your thoughts. Anyone feel free. Gawd bless rawballs, I mean Razzballs

Kiss a Bum
Kiss a Bum
7 years ago

20 team. Would you trade b gardner for Gio ganzalez? Thx

Eric B
Eric B
7 years ago

Always dig the updates, hated losing McCarthy. I know he had struggled giving up the long ball but he added plenty of K’s and flashed good stuff at times. Slightly concerned with Paxton and Greene, Need them to right the ship or my staff might be in trouble. Here’s my current staff as a reference:

5 X 5 HTH 12 team League
P Kluber
P Odorizzi
P Cole
P Salazar
P Paxton
SP Ventura
SP S.Greene
RP Chapman
RP Britton
Bench RP Perkins
Bench SP Walker
Bench ?
DL RP Parnell
DL SP Colome

Couple of questions for ya, if you’d be so kind…I stashed Colome of the Rays on my DL but I have an open spot after the McCarthy news. Haap and Chavez are available as is potential Stash Snydergarrd and A.J Ramos of the Fish(Cishek gave up a 3 run HR tonight). Who helps my staff
the most ROS? Also someone dropped Yan Gomes, worth waiting a day to try to stash on DL(McCann is my C)?

Eric B
Eric B
Reply to  JB Gilpin
7 years ago

@JB Gilpin: Thanks as always; meant to ask do you like Marco Gonzales as Wainwrights replacement(after he gets healthy)?And would he have more upside than Happ or Chavez ?

Random: Should I be worried about Klubot? And how about Walker finally pitching like the guy I drafted…I dont care who it was against, it was nice to see.

Eric B
Eric B
Reply to  JB Gilpin
7 years ago

@JB Gilpin: Thanks man, always appreciate the feedback. Last question would you flip RP Chapman for RP Allen(hasnt looked so hot early) and most likely Bauer(maybe Gray or Kuechel) or just hold Chapman and add Chavez or Happ based on my staff as noted above?

DawtCommish
DawtCommish
7 years ago

Chase Anderson must add my ass!

Scott
Scott
Reply to  JB Gilpin
7 years ago

@JB Gilpin: I think he means Chase Anderson plays a fantasy game involving the body parts of Razzball commenters.

Tyler
Tyler
7 years ago

DL spot – stash Cain or Moore?

fersh prince
fersh prince
7 years ago

Would you pick up Jesse Chavez or Chase Anderson for CC, Norris, Shelby or Fiers?

Rollie Blaster
Rollie Blaster
7 years ago

Better to stash Tom Watson or AJ Ramos for some save vulture action?

A Hill O' Beans
A Hill O' Beans
7 years ago

I started off the day 1/1 at the plate, whoopee. I’m now at 2/26 with 2 runs and absolutely no other stats?!?! WTF is that?

My first pitcher is about to get in a game. Here’s hoping Familia gets to face some of my hitters so he can go 3 up 3 down.

nightpandas
nightpandas
7 years ago

JB,

keeper: OBP, QS, K/9

Dickerson / McHugh / Leake

for

Bruce / Cueto / Rodon

Jerry
Jerry
7 years ago

Hey, JB! Which two do you like most for r.o.s. : Burnett, Kennedy, Morrow, or Leake?

MJ
MJ
Reply to  JB Gilpin
7 years ago

What is it you don’t like about Kennedy (besides just returning from a non-arm related injury) that you rank Burnett and Leake over him? They both should put up equal or less ratios and less K’s than Kennedy? Just curious what you see or think that most don’t?

Gareth
Gareth
7 years ago

Mike Morse droppable at this point? He’s not done much.

Gareth
Gareth
7 years ago

Have a DL roster crunch. Already have Pence and Zobrist on the DL and now Ottavino is Dl’ed.

I’m leaning on dropping Zobrist, who is out for the longest period of time. My infield is altuve, russell and valbuena.

Robert
Robert
7 years ago

Just traded Mark Teixtera and Shane Greene for Stephen Strasburg. Love it!
Two of the ultimate sell highs!

Cafuné
Maxi
7 years ago

12 team, H2H league, OPS added, we have QS but no Ws (so I’m stacking Rays pitchers haha)

Would you trade Myers for Cobb straight up? my OF is Dickerson, Soler, Souza, Myers, Marisnick (we start 3 OF) and I have Pence stashed. I have an open DL spot to put him, and then I’d have Smyly, Odo and Cobb…unfortunately I couldnt nab Archer in my snake draft, but next year we’re changing to auction, thank the lord!

thanks!

Cafuné
Maxi
Reply to  JB Gilpin
7 years ago

@JB Gilpin: Thanks, I’m gonna see if he’ll accept or not. I was trying to pry McHugh from him but he won’t do it straight up.

Best of luck to you!

Carnac
Carnac
7 years ago

Should Kluber be benched until it gets above 50 degrees and/or Yan Gomes comes back?

Swfcdan
Swfcdan
7 years ago

How worried are you about the corn Cobb. Drafted him without even knowing of his injury, hate it when that happens! But only cost me $11 so could be a nice value if he returns soon. When you see him returning and you think he’ll be great? Or are you more of a wheat and barley guy haha.

El Guapo
El Guapo
7 years ago

Great work JB! Why is Bauer over Odorizzi? I can choose between them in a trade…

Chris
Chris
7 years ago

Harvey/Cano/Arenado for Trout/Josh Harrison/Storen. Too much to give up for Trout?

MJ
MJ
Reply to  Chris
7 years ago

IMO that is WAY too much to pay. I wouldn’t do Harvey and Cano for Trout, let alone throw in Arenado. I know you’d be getting back Harrison and a closer (for now at least), but not worth it to me.

Cole
Cole
7 years ago

Hey JB, pick a side. H2h points
A. Wood and Wil myers OR Richard and Yelich

Cole
Cole
Reply to  Cole
7 years ago

@Cole: Garret Richards, not King of England

Swfcdan
Swfcdan
Reply to  Cole
7 years ago

@Cole: Haha appreciated that one being English!

Malicious Phenom
Malicious Phenom
7 years ago

Any news on when Mike Minor? Have not been able to find an update for 2 weeks now..

Malicious Phenom
Malicious Phenom
Reply to  JB Gilpin
7 years ago

@JB Gilpin: Thanks JB, I’ll let you know if I hear anything..

longbeachyo
longbeachyo
7 years ago

Good stuff jb! Gotta say though, I’m really scared for Alex Wood. His swinging strike % and contact % look terrible! I’ve already traded him in one league straight up for Devon travis and am looking to move him quickly in another. I just don’t think he has the repertoire or velocity to recover.

Funny Name
Funny Name
7 years ago

Got offered Sale and Bautista for Kluber, Arenado and Wacha. Going to counter with Hamels or Chris Davis instead of Kluber or Nolan. If he passes, would you accept? Bautista’s shoulder scares me.

Clint
Clint
7 years ago

I know relievers are Smokey’s domain but what say you regarding Melancon, JB? Hurdle keeps putting him in for save situations and claims there’s nothing physically wrong with him despite the huge drop in velocity. I’ve got Watson so I’m presuming he’s wrong but he keeps getting saves so…?

Bonafide
Bonafide
7 years ago

In a 12 team h2h would you trade Dickerson for Arrieta or even Cole what with the plantar fasciitis?

Jack
Jack
7 years ago

Are you actively trying to trade Zimmermann or just going to ride it out?

Scott
Scott
7 years ago

Do you expect Brandon McCarthy’s injury to affect him ROS?

Scott
Scott
Reply to  Scott
7 years ago

@Scott: or, should I drop him for someone less old like Phil Hughes?

Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
7 years ago

Great writeup! Really feel like I overlooked him this year. Love your Salazar ranking though…he’s looked really great…only thing I love more than him is being able to flip him yesterday w/ Britton to a worried owner for Kluber in return!

Who are you thinking for the next one? Any chance at a Desclafani, Kelly, or C. Anderson?

Also, what are your thoughts on Timmy Lim? I’ve been thinking of him as a castaway/barely-streamer…but his stat lines have looked pretty okay.

Thanks!

el diablo
el diablo
7 years ago

JB, as the pitching GURU how do you favor pitching John Lackey vs PHI & PIT this week.

My pitching is awful right now.
Dropped Fiers, McCarthy and Paxton this weekend.

Kershaw
Strausburg
Shoemaker
Salazar
Bauer
Hutchinson
C Anderson
Darvish DL

Picked up Hutch and C Anderson. Debating if I want to add Chavez. But Burnett and Happ still remain on waiver and some other guys you have posted in front of Chavez.

Mic C
Mic C
7 years ago

Looking to trade Carlos gonzo in a 12 team keeper my SP is terrible, what range of SP’s should I target in a trade.
Thanks for any help.

Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Reply to  JB Gilpin
7 years ago

@JB Gilpin: I’ve been trying to do the same with CarGo, but no one seems to want him for anything of value (even though top 20-40 SP seems very reasonable for CarGo).

It seems like he’s starting to heat up…I’m hoping that after a solid homestead where he puts together a couple of nice stat-filled games, that + his name value will start getting people interested.

Mic C
Mic C
Reply to  JB Gilpin
7 years ago

@JB Gilpin: thanks a million billion

A Hill O' Beans
A Hill O' Beans
7 years ago

Is that possibly the second funniest movie of all time???

Don’t worry, I won’t tell anyone else what it is. My lips are sealed. Consider it Top Secret.

A Hill O' Beans
A Hill O' Beans
Reply to  JB Gilpin
7 years ago

@JB Gilpin: One of my favorite movies. Sort of under the radar too. So many funny lines ND moments in that movie.

“I’m not the first guy who fell in love with a woman that he met at a restaurant who turned out to be the daughter of a kidnapped scientist, only to lose her to her childhood lover who she last saw on a deserted island, who then turned out fifteen years later to be the leader of the French underground.

I know. It all sounds like some bad movie.”

No, what it sounds like is a great movie!

longbeachyo
longbeachyo
Reply to  A Hill O' Beans
7 years ago

@A Hill O’ Beans: How do we know he’s NOT Mel Torme…
Lol! Love that movie! Val Kilmer actually sang all those songs! He’s versatile!

Scott
Scott
Reply to  JB Gilpin
7 years ago

@JB Gilpin: Elizabeth Shue resurgent!

Oranje
Oranje
7 years ago

Who to start?
I can start Fister for 2 starts this week but need to sit either Salazar or Liriano…you rank both higher. Should I start Fister…if not…which one start is better: Salazar or Liriano? What would be a reasonable return for a SP like Fister in a trade?

sniff test
sniff test
7 years ago

shelby miller deserves more love. Dude has been helping out teams big time in month one.

Swfcdan
Swfcdan
7 years ago

Nastiness! Loving the Archer right now, have him in a 16 team Dynasty where my rotation is rocking. Amazed you don’t have him around DeGrom territory now, you must really like those guys above him!

Scott
Scott
7 years ago

Alex Cobb’s pretty high up for somebody that’s not available until mid-May.

Scott
Scott
Reply to  JB Gilpin
7 years ago

@JB Gilpin: I’ll go ahead and stash then. My batter’s lineup is pretty set.

Scott
Scott
Reply to  JB Gilpin
7 years ago

@JB Gilpin: Thanks bud!

Jack
Jack
7 years ago

Is Wacha + A. Wood too much to pay for Kluber?

On Iwakuma…I agree with you about the length of healing for lat issues but did you notice that there was some initial confusion about what the injury was & they needed 2 MRI’s? I’m thinking this might be good news-kinda of a fake injury to give Iwakuma some time to get things straightened out. I wouldn’t be surprised if he was throwing in 7-10 days and back in 3 weeks. I was really going to drop him, but now I’m in wait and see.

Jack
Jack
Reply to  JB Gilpin
7 years ago

@JB Gilpin: I was wrong about throwing in 7-10 days. I just saw a report that he’s throwing TODAY! Still wait and see but I like the sound of this.

Jack
Jack
Reply to  JB Gilpin
7 years ago

@JB Gilpin: Now I’m wondering whether to make that Wacha + A. Wood offer for Kluber after he gives up 10 hits tonight. Should I?

madden_curser
7 years ago

I was debating whether to pick-up Salazar or C Mart to replace Waino (8 teamer) and went with Salazar, even though he has the tougher match-up this week. Martinez has more trouble getting to get lefties out, and who knows if he can hold up over a full season. Hope I made the right choice…

Wjessereid
Wjessereid
7 years ago

Would you start Greene vs Minny this week or should I drop him for Smyly?

Wjessereid
Wjessereid
Reply to  JB Gilpin
7 years ago

I could drop Shoemaker for Smyly. I’m sitting him after Oakland pounded him and I doubt he gets picked up off waivers.

Scott
Scott
7 years ago

What’d you expect from a pitcher who’s first name is Homer?

Scott
Scott
Reply to  Scott
7 years ago

@Scott: I keed. I expect him to do much better against my hapless Bravos

Zeus
Zeus
Reply to  Scott
7 years ago

@Scott: Arya will kill some Braavosi

RotoLance
7 years ago

I could hardly wait to see where Greene ended up. I’m glad the big drop had less to do with just one terrible outing but instead had to do with the explanation behind that terrible outing. Ranking SPs is tough work, the 45th ranked player and the 70th ranked player could easily be interchangeable, not in this particular case but in general, because you just don’t know how it’s going to end up.

Good job.

Anthony
Anthony
7 years ago

Hey man! I use these rankings each week to assess my situation in my league. They are awesome!

In the league I’m in, which is a very huge, huge huge league with 8 man prospect rosters, I was offered this:

Give Bumgarner, Holliday, and Jesse Winker (Reds OF ‘spect)
Get Cueto, Pollock, and Kyle Schwarber (Cubs ‘spect)

I really want Cueto, but don’t want to lose out too bad! What do you think? Thanks man :)

Anthony
Anthony
Reply to  Anthony
7 years ago

@Anthony:

I forgot to add that I’m also giving Danny Salazar and getting Odor (potential lottery ticket IMO)!

Thanks again!

Bye Felicia
Bye Felicia
Reply to  Anthony
7 years ago

@Anthony: i wouldn’t give up Salazar for Odor dude. Odor isn’t that good.

Bye Felicia
Bye Felicia
7 years ago

Ugh you gotta drop Wood outta that high rank. What’s good with ya? I miss basketball *sadface