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First off, congratulations fellow nerd, if you’re reading this it means one of two things. 1. You’re just as painfully boring as I am and you read everything Razzball posts. Or 2., You’ve made it to the second or third round of your head-to-head league playoffs. Pretty impressive if you ask me! Now go tell everyone about it and be sure to let them know how you couldn’t have done it with out the good folks at Razzball! Best fantasy sports coverage in the industry, and all that happy horse shizz as my Vavo would say. What’s a Vavo you ask? It’s a Portuguese grandfather. See, you learn something new everyday. Well, I don’t because I know everything there is to know. It’s okay marvel at my excellence.

As for this week in double dipping, we have a couple of rude party guests in the Red Sux, Diamondbacks, Cubs, White Sox, Astros, and Padres, who have decided to move to 6-man rotations. Who would have guessed that the rudest guests at this two start party would come from Massachusetts, California, Texas, Arizona, and Chicago? Regardless of those skipping the cake and ice cream that is this week’s TwoStartapalooza we still have a whole bunch of good options to discuss. I’ve decided to add another element to these posts going forward. I’m now going to add in each pitchers home or road ERA, as well as the opponents wOBA against that pitcher’s handiness, and their home/road wOBA. I feel this provides you the reader with better statistical data, as well as better transparency into the reasoning behind each ranking. This week I’m just going with each opponents home/road wOBA because I’m on vacation, and if I spend any more time writing, my wife will kill me. So starting next week I’ll have all these numbers for you. The greater point is this data paired with Rudy’s new handy dandy two start matrix makes these posts that much more helpful. Knowledge is power boys, and raw Imma give it to ya with no trivia raw like cocaine straight from Bolivia. Ohhh U-God you had one good line in 25 years….

Must Start

Max Scherzer – @MIN (.327) @KC (.295)
Corey Kluber @HOU (317)  @MIN (.327)

You got to love having either of these aces going for you in a playoff week. At this point Kluber has to be considered a top 10-15 starter. The K’s are there and he could go 8 every time out. Every thing I said about Kluber applies to Scherzer, except he’s been a top 5 starter for a year plus. Start these sexy studs with confidence.

Tier 1

James Shields – CWS (.313) DET (.322)
Jacob deGrom – MIA (.299 ) @ATL (.307  )
Hisashi Iwakuma – @LAA (.313 ) @HOU (.317)
Stephen Strasburg – @ATL (.307)@MIA (.322)

I almost considered Shields for the must start tier. He’s been a man possessed for quite awhile now. Sure, his starts are tough but at least he’s at home and has proven that he’s a big game pitcher. Shields is the kind of guy you want on your team down the stretch when the games mean something. The same way I considered Shields for the must I considered Strasburg for tier 2. He’s sucked it up pretty hard on the road this year and has been spanked by the Marlins before. Not a ton of confidence in Stras this week but it wouldn’t be shocking if he puts in work.

Tier 2

Jeff Samardzija – TEX (.307) PHI (.297)
Matt Shoemaker – SEA ( .306) TEX (.307  )
Tanner Roark – @ATL (.287)@MIA (.299)
Jake Odorizzi – NYY ( .312) CWS ( .313)
John Lackey – MIL (.311) CIN (.287 )
Michael Pineda – @TB (.307 ) TOR (.318)
Ryan Vogelsong – @ARZ ( .317) @SD (.286)
Tyler Matzek – LAD ( .327)  ARZ ( .282)
Chris Tillman – TOR (.318) BOS (.295)

This tier is very very solid, and maybe I discounted Samardzija and Shoemaker a bit too much. At home Shoemaker is an ace. He’s pretty spotty on the road but thankfully for his owners he gets two home starts next week. Matzek has been on fire and Vogelsong gets two tasty opponents. Each might be a tier too high but I’m taking a chance.

Tier 3

Ervin Santana – WAS (.307) NYM (.308)
Alfredo Simon – @CHC (.301) @STL ( .324)
A.J. Burnett – @SD (.286) @OAK (.331)
Drew Hutchison – @BAL (.326) @NYY (.312)
Wade Miley – SF ( .317) @COL (.385)
Mark Buehrle – @BAL (.326) @NYY (.331)

This is the tier of uncertainty. Any of these guys could be money or they could be petrified dog feces. Total dice roll here.

Tier 4

Dan Haren – @COL (.385) @CHC (.301)
Jarred Cosart – @NYM (.286) WAS (.307)
Roberto Hernandez – @COL (.385) @CHC (.301)
Odrisamer DespaignePhi (.297) SF (.317)
Chris Capuano – @TB (.307) TOR (.318)
Brad Peacock – CLE (.313) SEA (.306)
Wily Peralta – @SEA (.294) @PIT (.294)
Vance Worley – BOS ( .295) MIL (.311)
T.J. House – @HOU (.317 ) @MIN (.327)

Maybe, Maaaayybeee you stream these guys for a start but I’d stay away for the most part. These are the guys you use on a Sunday to make up counting stats.

DO NOT START

Roenis Elias – @LAA (.313) HOU (.317)
Cory Rasmus – SEA (.306) Tex (.307)
Nate Eovaldi – @NYM ( .286) WAS (.307)
Kyle Gibson – DET (.322) CLE (.313)

Jerome Williams – @SD ( .286) OAK (.331)

Nick Tepesch – @OAK ( .331 ) @LAA (.313)

Christian Bergman LAD (.327) ARZ (.282)

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Note: Filters and sorting in the table below apply to the output!

# Name Team Week Of $ Start 1 Date Start 1 Opp Start 2 Date Start 2 Opp Own%
   
  1. SMLV1 says:
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    I’m worried about odorizzi vs the Yanks. Last time out he got worked.

    • Steve Stevenson says:
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      @SMLV1: He’s much better at home, though, and has bounced back from stinkers with dominant starts before.

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        Ralph Lifshitz says:
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        @Steve Stevenson: Yes I 100% agree. The White Sox start worries me more.

  2. Nimrod says:
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    I like the statistical addition, thanks.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Nimrod: Thanks, I’ll have everything broken into spreadsheets for next week’s post. Plus I’ll add the additional numbers.

  3. Tarman Got Him says:
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    Stroman now starts twice. What tier?

    Oy vey. I’m looking LOOKING good for semis in all four leagues I’m in, but I got a ton of 1 starts and I’m saving my last dad for Stroman IF I end Saturday in a high note in one league he’s available in unless someone snags him.

    Anyhow, save the add for Stroman, or if it comes down to it, stream Petit or Koehler?

    As is, I’m up big in RBI, AVG, R, HR. But ik up very very minimal in WHIP, ERA, And Saves and down 18 K’s.

    It’s a crapshoot but Petit depending ok how Saturday goes?

    Thanks!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Tarman Got Him: It depends, see how it plays out and use Petit as your trump card if it gets close. Otherwise pick up Stroman.

      I’d place Stroman in tier 2. His opponents are tougher.

      • Tarman Got Him says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: Thanks a ton. Pretty much Sunday is what t comes down to. He has hector Santiago, I have Petit at 1 and Tillman at 2 and am down .15 era and tied in whip, down 7-8 in wins and up 1 save, up 1 run, up .14 in avg, down in steals but up huge in RBI and hr.

        Haha, I’m posting this because that’s a true fantasy playoff series.

        My other 3 leagues I look poised for the semis but this one is a sweat. Thanks for the info as I picked up Petit.

        Will let you know how it pans out.

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @Tarman Got Him: I mention this in my DraftKings article later today, but I really like Petit’s start today (and so does the SON). In the 2nd half he has a K/9 of 10.86 and a BB/9 of .72. Nuff said right?

          I also mention later today that there are three lefties with very tough matchups Mike Minor, Marco Gonzales, and Hector Santiago. The Astros crush lefties.

  4. jstudent says:
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    Think tillman is pitching on Sunday, costing him his two- start eligibility for next week. I’m rolling the dice on tj house, the matchups seem soft enough.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @jstudent: Logic would say yes, but the Twins are good at home and the Astros have the 4th best wOBA against lefties in the majors. They are actually sneaky tough starts.

      • jstudent says:
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        True, I didn’t realize the twins were better at target. Seems counter intuitive. I’m Gibbs Terry my luck anyway. House has been on a nice roll, and idk if you caught his last start, but he looked totally in charge of that game.

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @jstudent: Yeah he looked good, and like watching him and that old school delivery he’s got.

    • Montezuma's Revenge... right now says:
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      @jstudent: house has been moved back to next week.

  5. Donald Trump says:
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    How strong I the threesome stroman, odorizzi, Burnett? Im betting my season on them!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Donald Trump: It’s pretty good, maybe a B rating. I got Stroman (hopefully) going next week in my semis I’m a little nervous about the Baltimore start. The Yankees don’t scare me anymore. I

      Eggs has got two starts at home, I like him against the Yankees but am a bit weary of the White Sox.

      A.J. Is very useable in the SD start at Petco, I’d only start him at Oakland if you needed some strikeouts. The A’s rake at home, they actually rank 4th in home wOBA in all of baseball.

  6. Nimrod says:
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    What about Ian kennedy? Looks like he is going twice. I need K’s in a weekly League.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Nimrod: Yeah no matter what I use for a resource it seems somebody ends up getting missed.

      I’d put Kennedy in tier one. Two starts at home against Philly and SF. Ralphie likey. I think he’s a better bet than Stras or deGrom

  7. JP says:
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    Great info. I’m in a 20 teamer and running neck and neck in this week’s playoffs. If can somehow pull it out, I’ve got Kluber, DeGrom, and Stras next week, which could propel me to the finals. And I just realized that thinking ahead like that jinxed it. Oh well. Thanks for taking time out of your vacation. Your wife sounds like a keeper.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @JP: Hahaha she’s great. After three nights of writing about running backs and pitchers she needed a little Ralphie time. LOL!

      • JP says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: At the risk of incurring her wrath, I have a question for you: what are your thoughts about Marco Gonzalez as a streamer tomorrow against the Rockies?

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @JP: I’m split, the Rockies kill lefties but they also are the worst Road team not called the Padres in baseball. So the stats are at both extremes. I would probably stay away. I need to see Gonzalez exhibit the K/9 and BB/9 he did in the minors before I roll him out.

  8. Redlegs says:
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    Hoping Shields, Stroman, Odorizzi, and Black Magic Santana can make up for week one of some pathetic pitching. Doesn’t look like my opponent has nearly as many starters as I get next week. Should be good for counting stats, but my ratios are TRASHED!

    Hun Jin Ryu’s 1 inning, 4 ER start last night basically defines what kind of numbers my pitching staff put up last week.

    Good stuff here, thanks for taking the time.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Redlegs: no worries, your slate looks good for next week.

  9. Steve Stevenson says:
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    Aren’t the Mets in a 6-man now, too? I think deGrom’s only good for 1 start next week.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Steve Stevenson: Not sure what they are doing with Montero. My understanding is Wednesday was a spot start. I wouldn’t be shocked if they went to a 6 man. This time of year with the roster expansions makes putting together a slate if double dippers a guessing game.

  10. Chicken Dinner says:
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    Would you start Fiers @Stl vs Lynn?

    Wonder if he’ll be right by then.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Chicken Dinner: I really hope so he’s been money. I am a little mad about Stanton tho.

  11. ty says:
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    Always love reading the 2SP… Strasburg scares me too. Atlanta ropes him even on his home starts. Now that Stanton is out the Miami start looks a little better. I’m tied for first and I need to play it safe. I think I might be better off with a 1 start Zimmerman or Sonny G at home against the Phils?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @ty: I love Sonny against the Phil’s

  12. Chris says:
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    hello Ralph,
    Picked up K. Vargas when Rizzo went down. Rizzo is on my BN (keeper). Picked up D. Murphy when Pedroia went down. Dropped Ped. Hopefully Murphy is back soon. Now Stanton!! It looks I will advance to the 2nd rd. Question: If Rizzo is back on Monday and plays 1B, should I drop Vargas and add Pagan, Lagares, Hunter, J. Jay, Blanco, or Martin. This player will be OF and I’ll move Stanton to BN. Which Player should I add? I would like to not carry 2 OFF BN spots since the possible other team will be loaded with 2 start SP. What’s ur take? Thanks

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Chris: Tough call, I really really like Vargas. Like park my Camaro outside his house and look in his windows sort of infatuation. So I can’t tell you to drop him. If you have to because you need a OF fine. You have to pull all the stops to win.

  13. Norbs says:
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    Mr Ralph!
    For the upcoming week in a H2H points league, I am sliding Roark (@Atl, @Mia) in a RP slot and need to start 5 more SP. I’m leaning towards:
    Cobb(NYY) – Gray(Phi) – Fiers(@StL) – Kennedy(Phi, SF) – Arrieta(Cin)

    Would you replace any of the above with:
    Hutchinson(@Bal, @NYY) – Gio Gonzo(@Atl) – Hendricks(Cin) – Archer(CWS)
    or pick up AJ Burnett (@SD, @Oak) for any of the above?

    Thanks for your time – really appreciate it.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Norbs: I think you made the right choices.

  14. jim says:
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    Where does stroman rank next week? Doesnt he start monday which would make him a 2 start pitcher? Thanks

    • A Wesley Snipes Life says:
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      @jim: it was noted above, use control F and type in stroman.

  15. de nachos says:
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    in the miracle of miracle chance I survive this week after losing Stroman’s start and facing Kershaw Sunday (no rain in San Fran…really?) any chance for McHugh as a two-starter next week?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @de nachos: what up Nachos! I wish I had better news for you Bud but it looks like Houston’s 6 man rotation is going to burn you.

  16. Sean says:
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    Matzek, Haren, Cosart are on the waiver wire. Our league uses QS instead of Wins. I thought Cosart would be the safest since the others have starts in Coor’s. Who would you want to use if QS is most important?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Sean: Umm Cosart is safe but shockingly Matzek actually has a better ERA at Coors. It’s why I ranked him so high. His ERA at Coors is in the mid-3’s.

  17. Brian Roberts says:
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    Where do you put Cashner? I didn’t see him on the list.
    I’m starting him either way. I’m just looking for QS.

    I’m feeling good:
    DeGrom
    Stroman
    Kennedy
    Cashner
    1 from Kershaw
    Papelbon is my closer.

    My opponent has
    Scherzer
    Santana
    Hutchinson
    Williams
    2 closers

    And he has the better offense. But on paper it looks like I have the edge.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Brian Roberts: If Cashner makes two starts and they are both home starts like Kennedy I’d put him lower in tier two.

  18. Raj says:
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    Arrieta isn’t getting a 2nd start v. the L.A. Dodgers on Sunday?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Raj: 6 man rotation.

  19. Edward says:
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    Still expect Odorizzi to go twice? Rays called up Colome today, he’s going tomorrow and now Jake on Tuesday.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Edward: My guess is no they’ll probably go with a 6 man rotation. No reason for them to do otherwise.

      Damn you Madden! Shakes fist….

      • Paul says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz:

        Yep, I was pretty upset too! But I also have Collin McHugh and his start has been moved up to Monday so he’ll get 2 starts at home this week vs. CLE & SEA.

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @Paul: Yeah that’s huge for his owners this week.

  20. Jc says:
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    Have to drop one, P.Hughes (CLE) or J.Peavy (@ARI). Who do you like better for next week start?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Jc: Hughes

  21. DiRo says:
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    Should I start Shields over Grienke, Zimmerman or Arrieta?

    Also I am starting Simon over my closer F Rodriguez, good idea?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @DiRo: Shields yes, as for Simon it depends what you’re looking for. If you need W’s and K’s for sure.

  22. Montezuma's Revenge... right now says:
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    worley has been replaced on tuesday with morton, and unless morton seriously sucks on that date, morton will also get sunday.

    • Paul says:
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      @Montezuma’s Revenge… right now: I don’t know if I’d gamble on Morton. He’s still dealing with his injury and won’t have surgery until the season is over. He may be limited on IP or pitch count. Don’t get me wrong, I like both his starts at home….but I don’t know how effective he’ll be.

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        Ralph Lifshitz says:
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        @Paul: Yeah I’m not high on Morton at all.

  23. Bob says:
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    Championship Week 1. Two Week Matchup Need help. Really Close pitching Matchup. Opponent is going heavy starters. Weekly league H2h Roto Categories. Standard Cats with QS added. so 6

    He is rolling out

    Sp-Grienke
    Sp-Shields (2)
    Sp-Cueto
    Sp-Price
    Sp-McHugh (2) He thinks
    Rp-Aroldis Chapman
    RP-Matt Shoe Maker (2)

    I am thinking of doing
    P-Sherzer (2)
    P-Kluber (2)
    P-Sale
    P-Zimmerman
    P-Bumgardner
    RP- David Robertson
    RP-Fiers
    Bench-Liriano
    Bench-Greg Holland
    Bench-Jenrry Meijia

    Would you grab Cosart and use him over Bumgardner or Zimmerman?
    Should I start Fiers Or Should I go for the saves and insert Holland?
    Should I grab Petit and use him over Fiers as the 2nd Rp?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Bob: No on Cosart grab Petit

      • Bob says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: Thanks! Oh just saw Keuchel is an option as well. Do you like him or Petit best?

        [email protected]
        Keuchel Vs SEA

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @Bob: Petit, he’s been a monster the last few weeks. I love what he’s doing. The K per 9 to BB per 9 is ace like.

  24. The Animal says:
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    Is Kazmir not scheduled for two starts this week???

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @The Animal: Nope not unless they flipped him and Shark

      • mike says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz:
        kazmir and shark switched.

  25. Paul says:
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    I have slim pickins’ for 2-start pitchers. I’m trying to decide between these 3:

    Matzek – both starts @ home but in Colorado. Plus Dodgers are hot right now…
    Haren – been pitching well but his career #’s @ Coors & Wrigley are terrible
    Burnett – @SD & @OAK, two good pitchers parks and both offenses struggling.

    I’m leaning towards going with Burnett even though you don’t know if you’ll get the good Burnett or bad Burnett. What do you think?

    • Paul says:
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      @Paul: Ah, nm. Didn’t see you already listed Matzek above. You like him in Colorado and against the Dodgers?

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        Ralph Lifshitz says:
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        @Paul: I think the SD start for Burnett is the best start. As for the best two start pitcher it’s Matzek. He’s actually better at home by a run or so. It’s a sub 4 ERA at Coors. He’s also been good his last few starts.

        • Paul says:
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          @Ralph Lifshitz: Ok, thanks for your input!

  26. Steve says:
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    Please help! This is for the championship!
    Two start pitchers are stroman, burnett, matzek, vogelsong, peralta. One starters are sale and shelby miller.
    My choices I think are stroman, matzek, vogelsong, sale, and miller. It’s a points league, but I have a hard time sitting sale and shelby right now. What do you think? Did I maximize my chances?

  27. Paul says:
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    So, is Chen now getting 2 starts this week for the O’s? Man, I’m going to be pissed if that turns out to be the case. I passed on him yesterday because the O’s were going with a 6-man rotation and Chen wouldn’t get his next start until the 22nd. Yahoo is showing he’s going to start on Saturday vs. BOS.

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