Cougs’ brother bought a place in Jackson Hole, Wyoming; I mentioned to Cougs at one point in the last five years of marriage I skied once twenty years ago, and that’s the story of how I drafted a fantasy team falling graciously down the side of a mountain.  That’s right, ya boy went skiing this past weekend, and was drafting from a ski lift!  Thankfully, Geronimo Berroa is no longer in the league, because I might’ve ended up with him on my team because I kept screaming out his name during each round.  So, I took on the monsters of the industry in an AL Only league that was hosted by Scott White of CBS and I came away with a team that is more imbalanced than your aunt after two cocktails.  This league is deep so hold onto ye old hat. (If you want a shallower league, play against me and hundreds of your closest buddies in the Razzball Commenter Leagues.  Or closet buddies, if you’re reading fast and/or experimenting.)  Anyway, here’s my 12-team AL-Only team and some thoughts:

C: Jonathan Lucroy $3
C: Blake Swihart $2
1B: Albert Pujols $6
2B: Jonathan Schoop $17
3B: Miguel Andujar $21
SS: Tim Beckham $1
MI: David Fletcher $11
CI: Matt Chapman $20
OF: Greg Allen $10
OF: Nicholas Castellanos $21
OF: Bryce Harper $10
OF: Ramon Laureano $14
OF: George Springer $27
DH: Nelson Cruz $22
Bench (free): Brandon Dixon, Ronny Rodriguez, Tyler Naquin, Chris Owings

P: Shane Bieber $18
P: Alex Cobb  $4
P: Mychal Givens $11
P: Andrew Heaney $15
P: Blake Parker $3
P: Michael Pineda $5
P: Rick Porcello $15
P: Tyson Ross $2
P: Ervin Santana $2
Bench: Ty Buttrey, Matt Shoemaker, Joakim Soria

I DON’T WANT TO BE A NAYSAYER LIKE MR. ED, BUT THIS TEAM IS SO BAD YOU SHOULD RETIRE FROM FANTASY BASEBALL AND JOIN THE CIRCUS, YOU CLOWN.

Okay, that’s a little harsh and emboldened, Mr. Al Caps.  Here’s what Rudy’s War Room says about my team:

You can see I’m high in all hitting categories, except steals, and close enough in pitching.  Speaking of pitching (terrible segue alert!), here’s my last pitch for Rudy’s War Room.  It is indispensable in deeper leagues.  I do believe you can do just fine with the onsite War Room for 12 team and shallower leagues.  For deeper leagues, Rudy’s tool (hehe) is necessary.  You put a Y next to the name of the player and it automatically updates your goals and chances the player is available for the next round based on NFBC ADP.  You can see all that here:

You can see there Realmuto is the only player with a chance (3%) to make it to the next round if you were to draft Castellanos in the 4th round.  (That’s a screenshot of the 15-team NFBC War Room that I’m currently using for the TGFBI, which is why NL players are in there.)  If you subscribe to the tools, you get the War Room.  Okay, enough informercials!  I used our AL-Only rankings for this league and I’m low on steals, but now is when I will explain how I’m not really low on steals while still being low on steals — it’s the false rationalization, y’all!  On Steamer’s hitter projections, it has Allen down for 21 SBs, and I have him projected for 20 steals in the top 100 outfielders, but he stole 40 bags one year in the minors and others have him projected for a lot more steals, so let’s hope others are more right about my team than I am!  Also, my hitting projections don’t include Bryce Harper.  Speaking of which…

YOU DRAFTED BRYCE HARPER. I KNOW YOU DON’T KNOW ANYMORE THAN THE REST OF US AS YOUR TERRIBLE TEAM SHOWS, SO WHY DRAFT HARPER IN AN AL-ONLY LEAGUE WHEN HE LOOKS ALL BUT CONFIRMED TO GO TO THE NL? ARE YOU TRYING TO BE DAFT? BECAUSE THAT’S THE ONLY THING YOU’RE SUCCEEDING AT.

Fair enough, Al Caps.  Maybe it was the altitude sickness that caused me to draft Bryce Harper.  Tee bee aitch, I got caught price enforcing a little.  I don’t mind the gamble on Harper for $10 that he signs in the AL, even if that seems unlikely.  I didn’t want him to go for $9, that seemed way too low.  If he were to land in the AL, I am absolutely crushing offense in this league.  Without him, I’m doing better than most teams.  Let me give you some examples as to what $10 buys you in this league.  On one team, Steve Pearce went for $7 and Troy Tulowitzki went for $3.  I’d rather buy Bryce Harper for $10 than those two or take ten imaginary bucks and buy a twelve-pack of imaginary La Croix and imaginary burp in my imaginary Porsche.  If you put Tyler Naquin or Chris Owings, both of which I bought for free, in my outfield, it helps my speed and still keeps me above my other thresholds.

THOSE ARE TERRIFIC RATIONALIZATIONS THERE, BUB, BUT YOU HAVEN’T EVEN MENTIONED HOW YOU DECIDED TO NOT DRAFT A PITCHING STAFF.

Every year pitchers just go for too much in this league, so I’m relegated to drafting a bunch of number three’s and a few wings and a prayer or two.  I refuse to draft a pitcher for $30 or more, and, apparently, I made that $20 or more this year.  For what it’s Werth, if I were to include Matt Shoemaker, who I got for free, in my pitching instead of Ervin Santana, my pitching totals look better.  By the way, how do I draft Matt Shoemaker free in a 12-team AL-Only league?  I know, Cousin Sweatpants, Shoemaker will be lucky to get 60 IP, but free?  Sean Manaea went for $1!  You know, the Samoan who is eating Samoa cookies this year instead of pitching.  Long man, Felix Pena, who is currently ticketed for the minors, went for $5!  The one thing I’m really kicking myself about is I should’ve drafted more bench arms that are projected for innings.  Cody Allen is absolute garbage, and Buttrey is as sexy as his name indicates — Mmm…Buttrey…He makes me want to corn cob my mouth! I’m using that right…Right?  Guys?  — so I couldn’t resist that pick, and Soria in the final round of the free round?  I know, Treinen is locked in, but a closer has never got hurt?  In Chicago, Kelvin Herrera and Alex Colome are the two top guys, and someone drafted Nate Jones for $1!  Soria’s the last free guy and Jones is a $1?  C’mon, you can’t make any sense out of that.  But, still, I wish I would’ve drafted another starter.  You can never have enough starters in deep leagues.

COOL, MAN, COOL, YOUR BULLPEN IS MORE LIKE BULL#!&%

I disagree.

I DON’T CARE.

Let me finish.

FINE.

Maybe, uh, May is the Twins’ closer, but he’s a $12 bet vs. a $3 Parker bet, and the Twins have not announced a closer.  As for Mychal Givens, have you seen the O’s bullpen?  I know they said they’re not naming a closer, but I’m naming Givens their closer for them, unless they sign Craig Kimbrel, because the Orioles’ set up man right now is Richard Bleier.  That’s not the actor from Homicide and Law & Order, but he might be better than Bleier and his 4 K/9 and 88 MPH fastball.

TO RECAP, YOUR PITCHING IS A POOP EMOJI, BUT YOUR HITTING’S AN ALMOST POOP EMOJI.  LET’S CALL IT A “TURTLEHEAD POOP EMOJI.”

Okay, one last chance to defend my honor.  Everyone in this league has holes.  One team’s pitching staff is Trevor Cahill, Marcus Stroman, Glasnow and…Ryan Yarbrough?  I don’t know; that team’s staff confuses me.  Another team spent $43 on Aaron Judge and is starting Brett Phillips, Devon Travis and Nicky Delmonico.  Another team is starting Lucas Duda, Nick Martini, Alex Gordon, Rowdy Tellez, Franklin Barreto and Ryon Healy.  Depth charts are not that team’s best friend.  Again, every team has holes.  Who knows, maybe Bryce Harper will sign with the Yankees and Ervin Santana will win 20 games.  And maybe when you eat white asparagus your pee smells like marshmallows.

  1. Aklang says:
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    Not a bad team at all, you didn’t even mention Butt King on your bench.
    And on a side slope: Where will Moose go in your updated 2b ranks?

  2. Nate Pouley says:
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    The screenshot of the War Room looks like a spreadsheet. Is that downloadable somewhere on the site? (I can access the onsite War Room…but that looks different, and doesn’t let my add “Y” anywhere.

    • knucks says:
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      @Nate Pouley: To be more clear, once you pay for the tools, you’d have access to it when you login. I’m not sure which tools you need to be subscribe for, but I’m able to access it w/ the 24.99 subscription. Very much worth the money. Also removes ads and gets you SON access, etc.

      • Dave D says:
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        @knucks:

        Knucks, no Razball NFBC?

        • knucks says:
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          @Dave D: Hey Dave, nah I didn’t sign up for a Razz NFBC and bailed on the FCL this year. Name and shame me as you wish, I deserve it.

          • Dave D says:
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            @knucks: You’ll get no shaming from me, I was just curious. Maybe give it a shot next year. It looks like Grey and Oaktown Steve (and his assistant) have the top two slots already locked up in the league I’m in so I’ll let you know if a junk yard dog like me can salvage a decent finish.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Haha, don’t underplay your hand!

              • Dave D says:
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                @Grey:
                Ha, perhaps. You should see the War Room between my ears. Then again, maybe not? One things for sure, we will be duking it out in round 48 vying for the Brandon Dixon’s of the world. Maybe there should be an award for best pick after round 45.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  48th?! I’m jumping on Dixon 47th, maybe even 46th!

                  • Dave D says:
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                    @Grey: That’s quite a leap of faith. I concede! I’ll settle for Hansel Robles then…

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Haha, I don’t know, Hansel’s ADP is 467, might be close

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Nate Pouley: It is downloadable — As Knucks say, buy the tools, get War Room

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        @Grey: I like how I made the verb singular because the name was Knucks

  3. Ante Galic says:
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    Grey!!!!!!

    What a fantastic AL-Only team. Totally (totes) the best team, hands down.

    a. Please tell me the name of the ‘pert who drafted the all Blue Jays team (with Tellez). Please! Not making fun, just super curious.

    b. I know it’s not possible because of salary they owe to Poo-holes but that would be a sweet World Series team wouldn’t it? Trout batting 3rd and Harper batting clean-up and who gives a rat’s ass about 1-2 and 5-9!!! Good luck with Harper landing in the AL. It would be as shocking as Machado going to the Padres, so there’s that.

    c. With Kershaw’s bad news (I’m sure his owners felt pain when Kershaw said he felt pain after playing catch on Monday), does Maeda almost 100% move into a rotation slot? Also in that same vein, is Ryu better than Kikuchi?

    d. Subdued Norm MacDonald quote of the day for February 26

    1. Robert Blake came out, left his wife in the car, went back to get his gun, came back to the car and she was dead. Come on, who’s that lucky.

    2. You know about Barry Marder, he had a heart attack a long time ago. Anyway, he’s fine. And then the doctor recommends he go on a vegan diet. He had to lose weight, he was overweight. So I hadn’t seen in about 10 years and I’m sitting next to him on a plane. He’s heavier now than he ever was. And I said how’s it going, Barry? He says, I’m doing all right. My doctor wants me to get back to my heart attack weight.

    3. It’s not very nice when you see your dry cleaner wearing your clothes.

    4. Fast and Furious 6 opened up this week (this was in 2013 so take a downer). The cast is getting a little older. It’s less fast and furious and more like brisk and peeved.

    5. I’ve never gotten a decent explanation as to how Popeye the sailor man lost his eye.

    6. In my opinion, if we’re gonna fight the war on terror, a good place to start would be our country’s haunted houses.

    7. ZZ Top sang that every girl’s crazy about a sharp-dressed man, but you know what they’re not crazy about? Gross long beards!

    8. Jimmy the Greek gets kicked out of sports for being a racist, meanwhile they call him Jimmy ‘The Greek’.

    9. Tim Tebow’s time in New York wasn’t a total loss. He had a monument built to him in Central Park…a bench! [That one was for CramIt with love]

    10. A new tabloid rumor…205-pound Kim Kardashian may be getting PAID to put on weight by some weight loss program or some reality show that will then get her to lose weight. I have a similar deal, only I pay THEM and by them I mean Zankou Chicken.

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Ante Galic: A. If I had to guess, I’d say Nando, guy from The Athletic — honestly, don’t know off top of head B. Harper in the AL would be huge for me, but I’m not holding my breath C. Yeah, Maeda’s in D. 8. HA!

  4. Donkey Teeth

    Donkey Teeth says:
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    You forgot to mention how the draft took 12 hours and Yangervis Solarte was drafted six separate times….by the same guy!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Donkey Teeth: God damn it! I was trying to forget!

  5. Gareth says:
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    Your teams hitting is better than the Indians projected opening day lineup.

    2B Jason Kipnis
    3B Jose Ramirez
    1B Carlos Santana
    DH Hanley Ramirez
    LF Jake Bauers
    RF Tyler Naquin
    CF Leonys Martin
    SS Yu Cheng Chang
    C Roberto Perez

    Bench: Kevin Plawecki (C), Jordan Luplow / Matt Joyce (OF), Greg Allen (OF), Ryan Flaherty (UT)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Gareth: I agree with you… And I don’t think much of Jo-Ram either

  6. Peacecoast says:
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    2 C in an AL only league is pure masochism son. Lucroy lol.

    Good OF, altho Harp gonna end up in the NL right.

    Heaney and Bieber could be top 30 SP’s be end of year. I am targeting them.

    • peacecoast says:
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      @Peacecoast: hey how do I access Rudy’s war room?

      • if you are a razzball subscriber, you can find a link on razzball.com/streamers. i’ll have to permission you to access it.

        • peacecoast says:
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          @Rudy Gamble: ya I don’t see any link to it on that page. I am a subscriber.

          • knucks says:
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            @peacecoast: PC, do you see the funky looking egg?

            • peacecoast says:
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              @knucks: oh ya I clicked on it to request access

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                @peacecoast: Rudy made it so you need a treasure map

                • i’m trying to hide it from the fratellis.

        • knucks says:
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          @Rudy Gamble: Rudy, allow me to get @ you real quick about something I’m seeing from your war room. You’re big on Braun it looks like.

          I see that in LABR, Stephania grabbed him in the 14th round (about 200th overall), a couple picks before you took Meadows. Were you looking at Braun if he was there? Do you care to comment at all on what your tools are saying about him for 2019? I know Grey isn’t expecting him to get a healthy amount of ABs and I see you have him down for some good value if he can get to the 540 Plate Appearances.

          • hitting me up here and twitter? no email and postcard? :)

            braun isn’t someone i want on my teams. there are a number of OFs that my/steamer projections like better than all. braun is just one that i don’t want on my teams. i’ve discounted his PAs to what i think is a fair estimate.

            i shy away from players who are post-peak. mccutchen is really one of the few exceptions b/c he’s been so durable and will be in such a great lineup situation.

            • knucks says:
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              @Rudy Gamble: Hah! Yea I ran out of stamps. This is super helphul. I’ll let him fall a bit further in my slow draft before I consider the flyer. Thank you kindly, sir.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Peacecoast: Yeah, I don’t have much faith in Harper, I know wit Lucroy, what a joke, but whatever, it’s 2 catchers and AL-Only

  7. happyharry1958 says:
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    12 team, H2H, 6×6 Auction, Keeper. I’m in good shape with my Hitting and Pitching keepers. I need to decide on one FA keeper…either Taillion or Villar? Thanks,

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @happyharry1958: Love to know your other keepers, but I guess Taillon

  8. Wally Pipp says:
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    i like the weird harper gamble. where do you think he would land in the AL if it happens?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Wally Pipp: Yanks, Angels, Rangers, White Sox… I think they could all surprise… But prolly just White Sox realistically

  9. Crime Dog says:
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    Jackson’s hole….sounds like something out of Neverland.

  10. Dave D says:
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    Ok, well’ I’ve finally met another Brandon Dixon owner. We’re an elite club. I own him in DC (x2) and he’s only been drafted in 10 of 264 NFBC drafts so far. You must feel amazing like I do owning him.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Dave D: I’m incredibly optimistic he gets somewhere in the upper ranges of 125 ABs

      • Dave D says:
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        @Grey:

        I’m getting greedy in my expectations: 170 AB, 5HR, 4SB… and that will beat Todd Frazier!!!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Haha, re: Frazier — I think you’re right there!

  11. happyharry1958 says:
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    12 team, H2H, 6×6. Would you trade Carpenter and Carlos Santana for Bellinger? Thanks,

  12. ichirosan says:
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    Hi Grey,

    16 man H2H league, my team is about to come out of a rebuild this year or the next. One owner is really in love with Kris Bryant. He’s offering me Machado + Margot. Is that enough to part with him?

    • Donkey Teeth

      Donkey Teeth says:
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      @ichirosan: Machado>Bryant. Do it.

    • Cram It says:
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      @ichirosan: More than enough

  13. Sir Lucious Leftfoot says:
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    Who you are you drafting if you can keep three years – Yelich or Lindor?

      • Sir Lucious Leftfoot says:
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        @Grey: Hmmm and I was thinking you were going to say Lindor! Didn’t you have him ranked higher overall than Yelich pre-injury? Do you think the injury has a long term effect? Steamers has Lindor projected for more HRs and SBs (29/20 to 27/15) even after the injury. And it sounds like Lindor might be ready for opening day.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yelich is better this year, they’ll be near each other next year and who knows the year after

  14. Cram It says:
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    Did you know: Nomar Mazara had the 6th highest groundball rate in the majors.

    He’s been working on hitting more fly balls BSOHL! (Best Swing of His Life)

    • Cram It says:
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      @Cram It: Also, Byron Buxton is 5-5 with 2 HRs and 10 RBI so far. Meaning, Wally Pipp is going to draft him in the 2nd Round.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        @Cram It: Buxton might officially be Mr. Grapefruit

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Cram It: Haha, sounds a lot like spring training Cervelli of last year

      • Sweatpants Nation says:
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        @Grey: And Kipnis too!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Don’t forget Yu Chang!

  15. Earl says:
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    Really trying what to make of Mondesi??

    I am sitting at beginning of 5th round and have Trout, Story and Rendon along with Buehler for pitcher.

    Debating to take Mondesi (or another hitter) or another sp (Flaherty, Strabsurg, Clevinger, Paxton) at #50 in round 5.

    Go.

    • Earl says:
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      @Earl:

      Wondering if it would be better to leave Mondesi and target perhaps Villar few rounds later?

      Decisions are fun, eh!!

      • Earl says:
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        @Cram It:

        So don’t worry about waiting another roud or two (late 6th or early 7th for 2nd SP)??

        I feel Strasburg, Flaherty, Paxton and Clevinger will all be gone before my #71 and #74 picks.

        Thanks

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Earl: How many teams? You already have an SP, easy call for Mondesi

      • Earl says:
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        @Grey:
        12 team roto league.

        Guess I am little nervous that Mondesi will take and starting pitchers seem to be the rage in our league so far. But I might be able to get Folty or Taillon maybe even German Marquez a round later as my SP2.

        Also hoping that decent 1B will be availbale in few rounds (maybe Abreu, Matt Olson or Muncy if lucky).

        Thanks man.

        • Earl says:
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          @Earl: Sorry that was that Mondesi will tank but I guess that it why it is a risk!!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I think you’re fine taking an #2 SP in the Taillon range

  16. Test Kitchen says:
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    Grey,

    Any update on the downloadable version of your War Room?

    Thanks!

  17. OaktownSteve says:
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    Short version: Rudy’s War Room kicks ass. You should get it. It will make you better at fantasy baseball.

    Now the long-winded plug:

    I think part of the appeal of a fantasy baseball draft for me is that it’s a complex problem to solve. Start with the fact that you’re going to take 15 teams and disperse 345 players across them; that’s a large number of possible permutations. Like chess it’s got a beginning, a middle and an end game each with its own particular considerations.

    One of the I’ve said about the draft is that it often gets mischaracterized as a process of deciding who to pick. But in reality, especially these days, there’s a fair amount of consensus about player values. Most everybody is going to pre-rank players within a round of where everybody else has them ranked. In any reasonably competitive league, you don’t have a bunch of secret players only you know about that are going to give you an edge. Everybody pretty much knows who to draft.

    So, if the draft isn’t about who to draft, what is it about? It’s about when to draft players. It’s a process of deciding what order to take players. When people talk about draft strategies, this is generally what they mean: don’t take starters early, take starters early, punt catchers, get top relievers. There’s no shortage of opinions out there as to what draft strategies are the best.

    For the last month or two, I’ve casually been asking people who consider themselves experts to justify their draft strategy with some kind of data. Why should you take early pitching? Why should you get punt top closers? Why do you want a top catcher? I haven’t gotten an answer.

    To be fair, though, it’s not surprising. Like I said, the draft is a complicated animal. For one thing, there’s not any consensus on what you’re even trying to accomplish with a draft. What’s the desired end state? There are some non-quantifiable objectives you hear a lot. I want a balanced team. I want to draft to category targets. I want to have a reasonable amount of risk.

    Rudy happened to catch part of this conversation I was having out there about drafting and he suggested the War Room. The War Room is the best tool I’ve seen for providing a framework around your draft.

    There are a lot of things about the War Room that help with your draft. By using standing gains points to break the players projected value into component statistical parts, you have data you can use to try and make sure your team is balanced. The feature that gives you an ADP model to anticipate who will or will not be available by percentage chance is great for planning your tactics in draft.

    But for me the best feature is that ability to tinker around and test your own draft strategy assumptions. Think you have to get two starters in the first three rounds? Model it out. Mock your way through as many drafts as you can and see what it looks like. Can you get early pitching and still enough offense? What players will you need to target to support the strategy you’ve selected? And at the end you have some actual numbers to look at to see if your strategy and tactics actually make any sense.

    Thanks Rudy….great too.

    • FrankGrimes says:
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      @OaktownSteve:

      Is this a paid advertisement haha

      • OaktownSteve says:
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        @FrankGrimes:

        I can’t be bought, Grimey

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Agreed! I talk at length on the podcast (that will be out next week) about Wyoming…But then I talk about the War Room at length. It’s indispensable. I’ve been using it for years, helped me place top 20 in NFBC last year, win Tout Wars by largest margin 2 years ago, and have a lead last year going into Sept. And it’s helped Rudy win Tout two years in a row. Everyone is using it from Razzball in TGFBI, and last year there were multiple top 20 places, and Truss finished top 3 (I believe)… The best part of the War Room for me is the chances a player makes it back to you if you don’t draft him, and the immediate ability to see what categories you are lacking in… As you see with this AL-Only team, I know I’m short on SBs and pitching. But how short? The war room shows that.

      • MattTruss

        MattTruss says:
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        Word, I was jonesing for this thing early after getting a taste of it last year. It’s incredibly kick-ass and I think the ability to play around with different strategies like Oaktown mentions is huge. I’m not a mock-drafter, I think it’s a waste of time for the most part, but this thing fills that void.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Agreed, Rudy does a good job with it

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      BTW, I see we got putted against each other again in NFBC… Come at me bro!

      • OaktownSteve says:
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        @Grey:

        I was nice enough to give you a built in excuse in NFBC this year: Magoo and I are hanging up on you. I don’t like your chances.

        • OaktownSteve says:
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          @OaktownSteve:

          Ganging up. But don’t call…we will also hang up

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            Haha

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I think too many chefs, more scared of you both separately squeaking by me, then you two together…

          • OaktownSteve says:
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            @Grey:

            Magoo is tough to beat. I’ll be dragging him down

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Ha…I think it’s more that your = picks get homogenized by each other… You feel you have to give some and he’ll feel the same and neither are you 100% happy with the team

    • thanks oaktown! couldn’t have written it better myself!

  18. FANTASY ICON says:
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    Not bad for an AL only league. Pitching does look gross, though. If you can hit on one of Pineda or Santana. You might be ok.

    Dynasty league question

    Buxton or Meadows?

  19. J-Money says:
    (link)

    Whats up Grey,

    12 team H2H keeper league, up to four keepers each year, keeping Arenado, Yelich, Acuna, and Lindor. Also have Rizzo and Rendon, does this news re Lindor’s calf prompt any changes?

    Thanks man!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      What up? Nah, go Lindor

      • J-Money says:
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        @Grey: Was thinking the same. Ready for another year man, up here in Maine so spring ball is always an encouraged sign of warmer weather on the way. Thanks man.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          No problem

  20. YC says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey- you reference closers above and I feel like I have no real strategy this year on drafting. In the past I would draft like the 14-16 ranked closers and a couple of $1 bets on the 28, 29 ranked guys, etc. But I feel like the league is moving to committees on every team but maybe 5. Even ATL is a committee with Minter/Vizcaino which make both barely ownable in a weekly league. On my 12 team weekly auction I would normally target maybe $20-$25. I have no idea what to budget anymore. What would your budget target be and would you avoid the pricey guys (I’m assuming they will go for $20+ each) and focus on a bunch of lower tier guys in committees? Maybe a cheap volume strategy?

    Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Don’t think anything’s changed… $20-25 sounds about right across 3 guys… One $10-12, one $8-10, one cheap flyer

  21. FrankGrimes says:
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    Prediction biggest bust this year: Soto

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      That would be a surprise, his OBP should course correct large slumps

      • frankgrimes says:
        (link)

        @Grey:
        Kinda surprised he is going so early but we’ll see.
        Where you want to draft if not 1 or 2 this year?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Depends where I think I can get Trea… Prolly 5-9 range… If you push your luck and go 9, he might be gone… But if you go 5, you should be sure to get him

          • frankgrimes says:
            (link)

            @Grey:

            My Points League 12 teams
            -1 for Ks
            Keeping Acuña but need 2 more: AuShizz, Judge, Rendon

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Look at you with legit fantasy advice questions, what’s the world coming to? I’d go Goldy, Rendon

              • frankgrimes says:
                (link)

                @Grey:
                Haha I know right.
                It’s a tough choice becuz Judge is so sexxxxy.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  I know, but those Ks

  22. Salvatore Grieco says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey, I am in a 20 team league with a lot of stats r,h,2b,3b,hr,rbi,sb,avg,obp. I have a decent lineup c. alfaro 1b. profar 2b. odor 3b. e escobar ss. marte of. betts, stanton, k davis. utility ozuna…. my problem is i took too many guys that arent starting the year in the bigs senzel, alonzo, and kyle tucker.. would you drop any of those guys so i have another guy to rotate in or do you think those guys will be up soon enough where i can rotate them in

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Besides Tucker, those guys might be starting the year in the majors, too early to say

  23. Send Alex says:
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    Any thoughts on Maikel Franco value now that Moose and Machado have signed elsewhere. He is in “competition” with Kingery for PT. Rudy/Steamer ranks are kinda positive on him, as are other projections. Good second half before getting hurt. I took him in a 16 team as my starting 3B in the 17th round out of necessity. Lets say he gets the starting job- how high would he go in your 3B ranks, Grey?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I’d move him up to 200-ish overall if Kingery wasn’t stealing at least 175 ABs from him… Is Kingery just not playing at all?

  24. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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    Just promise us that if Bryce goes to AL, you’ll record the inevitably epic cackle you make.

    Speaking of trade offers (segway!), in my keep forever OBP OPS QS league (12 team H2H), I was offered his $16 Bregman for my $9 Nola and $5 Eugenio.

    Bregman side?

    Thanks.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haha, cackle on record, got it!

      Bregman side, it’s fair tho

      • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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        @Grey: as if I wasn’t hoping for a last minute yankee signing already!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          That would be amazing (for me)

  25. Crusty Spikes says:
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    Trout at $70 seems high in 8 teamer league don’t ya think? Got an offer for Blackmon and Merrifield for him. Blackmon/Merrifield $24 combined salary. Thanks

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yes, $70 is high

  26. Crusty Spikes says:
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    Don’t you think Trout At $70 is kinda high ? 8 team keeper. I was offered him for Blackmon/Merrifield with $24 salary combined. Thanks

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yes, high

  27. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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    Also, I know we discussed some other time but I think I missed your response….

    Different 12 team keeper, keep 7 forever, roto (regular stats tracked).

    My $13 Story or

    His $6 Bellinger + $21 Goldy

    Relevant factors (maybe!):
    – If I take Bellinger, then I let my $4 Matt Chapman go to the FA pool (and will try to draft him instead).
    – I would have a monopoly on great 1B (Rhys, Belly, Goldy) and can probably leverage that in trades at some point.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      This is close too… I guess Belly/Goldy

      • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
        (link)

        @Grey: does it help push further to the belly-Goldy side if I tell you that I don’t need Story’s extra 5-10 steals? (I’m keeping among others betts acuna and dirt cheap villar)

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Yeah, I think it’s Belly side up

  28. David Kohn says:
    (link)

    Hi Grey,

    I bought the MLB Roto Deluxe (season) ad free but I’m still unable to access the Downloadable War room.

    Is there something I need to do?

  29. sturock578 says:
    (link)

    do i need a secret passcode for the war room? I subscribed to season long tools w/ no ads (yay) but the war room link in the article doesn’t bring me to it.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      There’s a link to it about middle of the page, it has an Easter egg — can email [email protected] too

        • David Kohn says:
          (link)

          @Grey: You guys aren’t doing the Tier spreadsheet this year?

          Thanks,
          DK

          • Grey

            Grey says:
            (link)

            I believe it’s coming with the free War Room that’s arriving today

            • David Kohn says:
              (link)

              @Grey: Amazing. Thank you so much!

              • Grey

                Grey says:
                (link)

                No problem

  30. Dustin Giebink says:
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    Alex Cobb! A little Cobb Salad!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Better than Danny Waldorf

  31. Licketty Splits says:
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    Please take a look at my NFBC team…13 rounds left so I can’t do too much to change it’s destiny.
    C Kelly, Caratini (backup to Rizzo & hope to get one more guy)
    1B Rizzo, Moreland, Choi (hopefully 1B as well as Utility)
    2B Fletcher, Yolmer (supposedly starting there so eligibilty to follow?) Happ(ditto for Happ)
    3B Moose (maybe 2B as well) Escobar, Wisdom
    SS Segura, Semien, Russell
    OF Trout, Springer, Dahl, Inciarte, Domingo (solid starters esp if Domimgo & Dahl take advantage of opportunity)
    backup OF Happ, M Taylor
    SP Bauer (ace)
    SP upside: C Mart (ugh if healthy), Glasnow, Lucchesi, Woodruff, Urena, Honeywell
    SP safer? older guys Hendricks, C Anderson, Sabathia, Shoemaker (please be healthy), Pomeranz (ditto)
    RP Vasquez, Barnes, Greene, Strickland …also Lugo long relief innings for K’s & ratios

    I know I lack speed otherwise hitting is solid. Pitching is questionable?? esp with C Mart injury. Probably need one more C …if you have a deepest (subterrainian) sleeper. Another SP type or two with jobs or at least 1 with another long RP then more OF depth??

    Please give me your brutal assessment. OR any other Razzballers Also what to seek out …as much as that might be possible in the last 13 rounds???

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I like the hitting and pitching… Agree that you lack speed a little bit, but you have Ender, so there’s hope! You need another catcher (maybe two more) and more OFs and SPs… Don’t leave yourself shorthanded for IP or ABs… I wouldn’t worry about sleepers, I’d look at how is available and try to secure some OF ABs… If Springer, Trout and Dahl go down (they were all varying injuries previously), you will not have a full lineup… I’d want at least 8 OFs, preferably 10…

      • Licketty Splits says:
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        @Grey: Thanks …definite learning curve for me with 15 teams & no waivers etc.
        But I like the concept so I keep trying …maybe this year will be better.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          No problem

  32. Hot Rod

    Hot Rod says:
    (link)

    For those wondering in a few comments above, Rudy’s war room is not the same as the Excel war room I’ve been updating for the last few years (with the dashboard tiers and sortable rankings for points leagues, prospects, etc.)

    I finished the 2019 edition last night so it should be available here on the site shortly.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      It’ll be up in a few minutes, thanks, Hot Rod, for all the work!

  33. The Great Knoche says:
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    Renato Nunez in round 38 is a total steal.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yeah, should’ve been me, but Donkey Teeth apparently had drafting problems, so I traded him to him… Even though I was the one drafting from a freakin’ ski lift

      • The Great Knoche says:
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        @Grey: Haha, I didn’t realize that happened. I just got him in round 38 of a slow draft.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Haha

    • Licketty Splits says:
      (link)

      @The Great Knoche: I totally agree …had him in my queue but he went in round 34.

  34. TC says:
    (link)

    Give Benintendi to get Machado in a standard categories forever keeper? Guy wanted Turner for Machado but I said no. Was thinking this as a counter? Thanks

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I’d take Machado there

      • TC says:
        (link)

        @Grey:
        Follow up if I may. Which side of Tendi/Bauer for Machado/Flaherty?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Tendi, but close

  35. Wally Pipp says:
    (link)

    This post is like Grey if he were Eminem in 8 Mile…

    “and i do live in a trailer with my mom, and my pitchings weak like arms without strong”

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haha

  36. Tyler says:
    (link)

    Looking for some advice. 12 team, 18 player keeper league, 9×9.

    Hitting: H, R, RBI, HR, BB, SB, K, AVG, OPS

    Pitching: W, L, ER, BB, K, ERA, WHIP, QS, SV

    Was offered Walker Buehler, Jo Adell, and eddie roasrio for trea turner. I’m big on turner, but love the offer. Any thoughts?

    Thanks in advance!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Turner side

  37. Brown L says:
    (link)

    Let me know if this is being too clever for my own good. Time for a little game theory…

    10-team keeper league, player can be kept at his initial draft slot, but only for 3 seasons. I have Mike Trout in the first round for one more season, but my draft slot this year is #2. This year, Mookie is also available.
    I was thinking I would let Trout go, and either draft Trout again or Betts and reset the keeper clock.
    In this scenario I would likely keep someone who wouldn’t come back to me (specifically Freeman in the third round) instead.

    Good idea, meh idea?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I like it, take Betts and restart clock

  38. peacecoast says:
    (link)

    Is Smokey the reliever guy? I remember last year there was an article on drafting MR for S+H leagues. And, well my first draft starts Friday son.

    • MattTruss

      MattTruss says:
      (link)

      Smokey done retired – Roto-Wan is your SAGNOF man now, go hit him up!

    • Stupid Sexy Glanders says:
      (link)

      @peacecoast: smokey did show up to say hi or the like in one of the new guy’s fairly recent posts (it’s at the very bottom). i think the new guy did the last 2-3 last year at end of season too.

  39. Stupid Sexy Glanders says:
    (link)

    the FP guys sending out shit that they think luzardo will be up in like may. saying things like “we don’t think he’ll get to 200, or maybe not 180 total innings” etc.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I don’t pay attention to them

      • Stupid Sexy Glanders says:
        (link)

        @Grey: i’d trust ralph and the boys or mike ahead of any of them. also, last year in bobby “the cat” slyvester actually copy/pasted a blurb about some player that was relevant the first time he posted it, but then last year it was completely wrong (said some exact number of at bats a guy had in the minors after an injury, but the thing is the SECOND year in a row he posted this number it wasn’t right anymore). it’s like they don’t have an editor over there and the guy just got caught recycling the same info 2 years in a row (probably had a deadline for “sleepers” and forgot to do his homework) but the 2nd time it was no longer even accurate. a F’ing joke that guy.

        i forget the player that he did this with, but i remembered his name and i’m not making this up; also i quoted it here last year about exactly a year ago too here.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Yeah, they make a living out of touting other people’s opinion and no one has to vouch them… If they’re wrong, there’s no ‘they’ anyway

          • Stupid Sexy Glanders says:
            (link)

            @Grey: yeah but it’s one thing to just be a hack, and another like with “the cat” to literally copy/paste what was true info from a year previous and spew it out again as if it’s still relevant, and clearly i went and looked since “wow, i thought player X was hurt almost all last year and couldn’t have gotten the Y at bats “the cat” said he did”. and yep, he got those at bats, a FULL year before, and i had remembered that this same guy had said the exact same thing a year earlier (it was true the first time though). wish i could remember who the player was he was talking about in those 2 years.

            if somebody he had to listen to even called him on this how in the hell would somebody even talk their way out of that, they either have to admit they copy/pasted an EXACT blurb 2 years in a row with stats that are completely wrong the second time and their editor didn’t notice it, or what, just accidentally have written “2017” when he meant “2016” AND the editor missed that AND he’d have had to think posting info 2 years old as IF it was from the previous season is a valid thing to do. either way is complete garbage. he knew exactly what he was doing, figured nobody would have the memory to notice it (or check the stats) and his job is safe enough such that who cares anyway. really it’s on the editor/site for allowing this shit.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Honestly, I don’t think they edit for content, more for punctuation and grammar… I can’t imagine anyone saying behind the scenes, “You can’t say that, it’s just not right.” Who would even be accountable?

              • Stupid Sexy Glanders says:
                (link)

                @Grey: jebus, that’s sad when they even know it’s entirely possible that their writers are putting out identical stuff 2 years in a row that isn’t accurate at all the 2nd time; and THAT’s ok.

                this reminds me of the homer and his mother exchange:
                homer: mom, i work at the nuclear power plant
                mom: (looks appalled, gasps)
                homer: well you’ll be happy to know i don’t work very HARD

                so they are doing a horrible job, but badly so it’s ok.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  HA!

  40. OaktownSteve says:
    (link)

    I kind of like that Tim Beckham at $1. He’s got to hold off Crawford which shouldn’t be too hard. If you get ABs in the beginning of the year, at least there’s a chance you luck into some production and end up with a full year worth of playing time, which in an only league is pretty sweet for a buck. While he was pretty lucky, he did hit 22 home runs two years ago. Last year he did cut down his strike outs by quite a bit but his quality of contact also suffered. Maybe he can kind of put it together this year. I think he’s dual position eligible too, just in case he ends up decent could also give a little flexibility.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yeah, I agree… Wasn’t my aim, but at $1 you take best you can get, and, at that point, he was best I was I getting… I like Shoemaker for free too

  41. Big league choo says:
    (link)

    10 team H2H dynasty 5×5 OBP

    Marte or Gallo

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Marte

  42. EDWARD R. ROONEY. DEAD OF STUDENTS says:
    (link)

    Hi Grey

    Which is a better fantasy team name?

    Walker Buehler’s Day Off

    or

    Buehler?… Buehler?… Buehler?

    Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      1st one

      Spare Us Buehler’s Day Off

  43. clanders12 says:
    (link)

    10 team, NL-only 5×5 draft, need to keep 8 of the following: Story, Blackmon, Puig, Peraza, Suarez, Dahl, Corbin, Myers, Iglesias, Mikolas, Polanco, Hendricks, Pivetta, Ryu, Bradley, Alfaro.

    (I’m pretty set on those first seven, so I realize this is mostly quibbling about which of Myers/Iglesias/Mikolas/Hendricks/etc get the final spot. Thanks!)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Tough call, I think ya gotta go Raisel — between him and Mikolas

  44. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey – $13 Story or $4 Dahl and $8 Vladito (keep forever, 12 teams)?

    (This is the same league as the story for $21 Goldy and $6 Bellinger offer)

    Thanks!

  45. Smooothjimmy says:
    (link)

    Love you putting in the hate mail bahahaha

    Keeper league – Marte older legs, Severino I tell you what I throw or jack Bauer season 3 of 24 hours

  46. Bpro says:
    (link)

    Pujols! Steal

  47. bigbear says:
    (link)

    I know you’ve moved on but…

    A 12-team… AL only… 2 catcher… With MI, CI, and 5 OFers… Slim pickin’s to be sure!

    * Your OF is full on beast mode.
    * Not a fan of the Schoop price tag. Even in this type of league.
    * Did you purposely punt SS?
    * No top line SP, but that’s classic Razzballian philosophy… Actually, I don’t mind the floor those guys offer. Other than Cobb, the others seem solid at worst. And Cobb could have some upside… Maybe. But then you have Shoemaker in the wings too.

  48. Bro Pat says:
    (link)

    Grey….in my 12 team AL only $26 budget league, I have a trade on the table where I am giving a $1 Miguel Andujar and $2.10 Xander Bogaerts for a $.10 Adalberto Mondesi and the rights to be able to add $.10 to whatever Jose Berrios goes for in the auction and retain him in the draft.

    Here are my 15 keepers for now:
    Xander Bogaerts – $2.10
    Miguel Andujar – $1.00
    Willie Calhoun – $1.00
    Daniel Palka – $1.00
    Teoscar Hernandez – $1.00
    Austin Meadows – S1.00
    Eloy Jiminez – No cost if doesn’t make team out of camp, otherwise $1.00
    Vlad Jr. – No cost if doesn’t make team out of camp, otherwise $1.00
    Jurickson Profar – $.60
    David Fletcher – $1.00
    Mychal Givens – $1.00
    Tyler Glasnow – $1.00
    Reynaldo Lopez – $1.00
    Jose Alvarado – $1.00
    Michael Kopech – No cost(not activated)

    Should I pull the trigger?

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