If you’re not a fan of The Walking Dead or haven’t watched last week’s episode, then you can just skip this paragraph. Am I that only one that cheered when that arrow shot through Denise’s eye? That was awesome. Her insufferable rant made me want to jump into the television and drop the People’s Elbow on that thang. Thankfully the writers took care of that for me. I also loved seeing Daryl reunited with his crossbow. Welcome back! With only two episodes left I’m on the edge of my seat waiting to see what will happen. Here’s my theory. A major character has to die. It’s happened every season. So who’s going to die? My money is on Glen. Here’s why? The writers have already teased his death. Back in episode 3 “Thank You” Glen appeared to meet his demise after he fell off the dumpster. It wasn’t until episode 7 “Heads Up“, four weeks later, that we found out he survived. I believe the writers were testing the waters to see how the fans would react to killing off Glen. That’s my theory. With that said, if they kill off Daryl I’m going to lose my sh*t. Literally!

If you skipped the previous paragraph because you don’t watch, you don’t know what you are missing. If you skipped because you don’t like it, I think less of you. If you just haven’t watched Episode 14: “Twice as Far”, what are you waiting for?

For those that read my posts last year you will know that, in points leagues, I won’t touch a hitter that strikes out a lot with a ten foot pole. Unless I was in a league that didn’t subtract for strikeouts. But that would never be the case because I wouldn’t participate in such a league. A player like Chris Davis is NEVER going to be on my roster. Neither is Kris Bryant or Chris Carter. Does having a first name that phonetically sounds like “Chris” mean you are more prone to striking out? I have a feeling Joey Gallo and Miguel Sano are going to find themselves on that list very soon. I’m really hoping that as Bryant matures he is able to bring down his strikeout rate.

Let’s play the SAT game for a moment. Do high school students still take the SAT? Am I dating myself? Who cares. He you go. Strikeouts are to hitters as [blanks] are to pitchers. The correct answer is “walks”. I can’t stand pitchers that walk batters. Just about nothing good ever comes from a walk. Walks lead to earned runs, losses and quickly increase a pitchers pitch count resulting in an early exit from the game. In points leagues they should also result in at least one negative point. Walks are a lose/lose type of thing for a pitcher.

Clayton Kershaw is projected to issue 1.83 walks per nine innings. Among pitchers expected to start at least 25 games, only Phil Hughes, Michael Pineda, David Price, Masahiro Tanaka, Hisashi Iwakuma and Jordan Zimmermann project lower. Now let’s look at the flip side of this stat. This first name hurts. Carlos Rodon is projected to walk 4.06 batters over nine innings. I really want to love this kid. As I always say “projections are nothing more than projections”. I really hope his control improves as he garners more MLB experience. At least he has the high K/9 rate (9.27) to counter this atrocious stat. Trevor Bauer, Taylor Jungmann, Ubaldo Jimenez, Lance McCullers, Jorge de la Rosa, Hector Santiago, C.J. Wilson, Tom Kohler, Gio Gonzalez, Edinson Volquez and Jeff Locke all walk too many batters. Tyson Ross and Francisco Liriano do as well, but they both strikeout slightly more than a batter per inning. This is who I think Rodon can be with just a slight improvement.

And don’t get me started on closers that walk batters. In points leagues they should be minus five! That’s an exaggeration, but you get the point. Closers I am avoiding include A.J. Ramos, J.J Hoover and Fernando Rodney. I was probably avoiding them anyway.

I have attached an updated version of my projections and rankings spreadsheet at the bottom of this post. Projections have been modified and so have rankings. I have added a tab (worksheet) for DH, however when calculating FVARz for the overall rankings those players have been put with either 1B or OF. This is because most points leagues do not have a DH-only position in their lineup and had I ranked them as such, their numbers would have been out of proportion. So guys like Prince Fielder and David Ortiz have been added to the 1B pool to give them better overall perspective.

I have also added a column on the “Rankings” worksheet for league. Please note that filtering by league will not update FVARz or Z-Score values. That would take a whole lot of work which I do not have time for right now. Sorry to those in AL or NL only leagues. You can still use my spreadsheet to determine individual positional rankings. You just won’t have position adjusted overall rankings.

This latest version also includes up to date ADP values. The last one had ADP from over a week ago. In the last week there have been thousands and thousands of drafts that will help make the sample size much larger, and more accurate. The ADP values I use come from head-to-head points league drafts only. Most that you will find on the internet are from roto formats. Don’t make that mistake.

Here are a few bits of advice for those of you that are still awaiting your big draft.

  1. If you’re a drinker, do so after the draft. A guy in one of my drafts got so loaded that he drafted Adam LaRoche in the 18th round. That’s not a true story, but at least I didn’t say Oscar Taveras.
  2. Don’t ignore RP with SP eligibility. They can come in very handy during their two-start weeks. The pitchers that are eligible vary from league to league based on the the number of games required at a position. A few weeks ago Rudy provided us all with a list which can be found here: SP/RP Eligibility
  3. Take Mike Trout over Bryce Harper
  4. “K Rate” has been added for all batters. This number represents how often the player is projected to strike out as compared to the number of plate appearances (not at bats).
  5. For hitters I have also added a column which represents “points per week” (PPW). This is a bit experimental, but attempts to project the average number of points the player will score per week. A word to the wise. The number is practically impossible to project since players have streaks and slumps. Even the most consistent of hitters will have his up and downs in respect to points scored in a week. Consider this column for sh!ts and giggles. Points per plate appearance is a more useful stat.
  6. If I’ve learned anything from the three points league drafts I’ve completed so far this year it’s that after the first 6-8 rounds, ADP slowly starts to go out the door. By round 10-12 I’d suggest you start grabbing the guys you want. Just don’t take a guy in the 12th round that isn’t being drafted in the majority of drafts.
  7. In the early rounds (first 8) try and get the best players available. This is where ADP helps. Grab the “studs” that are pretty much guaranteed to not be there by the next round. Even if the best available player is not the one you wanted. Don’t pass up a good player by being stubborn.
  8. A walk is as not as good as a hit. It’s almost as good as a single, but a single has more potential to drive in a run.
  9. Cover yourself with multi-position players such as Ben Zobrist, Josh Harrison, Daniel Murphy and Anthony Rendon. They might not be studs, but they can come in very handy. I even like Addison Russell in the later rounds.
  10. Don’t forget, if you league has four keepers, then the first round in your draft is really the 5th round. Math is your friend.

On a side note, I am looking to start a new points league keeper league with some of my readers. Below are the basic rules. I am doing something a bit creative with the standings to help eliminate luck, but I can get explain that to those that are interested. I am thinking that the draft (auction) will be either Thursday (3/31) or Friday(4/1) night at 9pm EST. If you are interested, please let me know in the comments section below.

10 Teams, H2H Points League (Keepers), $50 Buy-in, Online Auction Draft ($300), 18-week regular season
Roster: 30 players (23 starters)
C, C, 1B, 2B, 3B, SS, CI, MI, OF, OF, OF, OF, OF, OF, UTIL
SP, SP, SP, SP, SP, SP, RP, RP
B, B, B, B, B, B, B
Scoring System:
1B(1), 2B(2), 3B(3), HR(5), R(1), RBI(1), HIT(1.5), SB(1), BB(1), CS(-1), KO(-1)
IP(3), K(1.5), BB(-1.5), H(-1), ER(-1), W(5), L(-5), S(7), BS(-3), WP(-1), HB (-1), PO (1)
Bonuses: CYC (25), NH (20), CG (5), PG (50)

Download the spreadsheet here!

  1. tictoc clocks says:
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    Hi Malamoney,

    I am a lurker on the site. Thank you for all the research you do. There are no articles in the industry I look forward to more as a H2H points player.

    According to FVARz, all the top 1B should be drafted later than they are going. Do you recommend waiting to later rounds to get guys like Hosmer, Fielder, and Santana? Or taking the hit in FVARz and getting a consistent 1B top performer?

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
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      @tictoc clocks: Thanks man!

      Unfortunately you pretty much have to take the hit. Sucks, but the it’s what the market demands. At least everyone is taking the same hit. I am a fan of Hosmer. I was telling everyone to take him last year. I like him this year too. You might be able to get a discount on Pujols.

      Here’s the thing, let’s use Posey as an example. My rankings have him as a first rounder. But you can get him in the 3rd. Taking him in the first would be silly. That’s why I include the ADP column in my spreadsheet. The first round of players is pretty standard at this point. The same 10 guys are going in the first round. You might as well take the hit and grab one of the “first round studs”.

      FYI, Santana and his injury history scare me. If you can get Fielder later, I’m cool with that.

  2. Jason Morgan says:
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    Just in time for my draft tomorrow. This is great. I appreciate the hard work and your dedication to points leagues. Thanks a lot

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
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      @Jason Morgan: Glad I can help. Good luck in the draft and let me know how it goes. And tell Sonny I said what up…

  3. Ralph Lifshitz

    Ralph Lifshitz says:
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    Great work Mala$, really enjoy your points league work this offseason. The spreadsheets are great for draft prep.

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
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      @Ralph Lifshitz: Thanks Ralph. If you need a customized spreadsheet based on your league’s settings, just let me know…

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        Ralph Lifshitz says:
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        @malamoney: Will do! Had the unkept player draft last night, and was happy with what I got.

  4. DK says:
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    It seems as though you left Votto off of this list

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
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      @DK: Somehow it seems he was filtered out. You can see his value by going to the “1B” worksheet. He should have been transferred to the “Rankings”, but somehow he is missing. Thanks for letting me know. I will try and update…

  5. Jerry says:
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    Hey, Malamoney! Great article and insight. Would you take Story, Duffy, Castellanos, or Vmart to fill a last bench spot in a head to head points league? Thanks and enjoy the weekend!

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
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      @Jerry: Thanks Jerry. I’m taking Story. I am very intrigued by him and playing in Colorado is a big plus. After Story it would be Castellanos. It should be VMart, but I just don’t him…

  6. Schwab says:
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    Last two episodes should be great. I agree, Glen’s getting killed. To baseball. Had my draft last night. 8 team H2H point based dynasty league where each team will keep 15 players. Wondering what you think. Any spots you think I should look to upgrade? Thanks.
    Mesoraco, Hosmer, Kinsler, Machado, Correa, Springer, Marte, D. Peralta, Sano, Rendon, Calhoun, DeShields, Justin Turner, Duda, Castro, Moncada, Castillo, Carrasco, Strasburg, T. Ross, Richards, Taijuan Walker, Corbin, Darvish, Bauer and Blake Snell.

    The 1st 8 players are at their respective positions and Sano/Rendon are my utility spots. The rest on my bench spots. As for the SP’s, each team has 7 starts each week. Thanks

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
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      @Schwab: I was considering targeting Mesoraco late. If he can return to form, he will be a steal. His injury concerns scared me off. I ended up taking d’Arnaud. I like Kinsler, but his age and decline were enough to keep me from drafting him. But if he produces, he is a great 2B. I don’t like Springer in leagues that subtract for strikeouts. Personally I might see what kind of SP he could fetch you. I am big fan of Strasburg. But he has yet to prove he can stay healthy. If he does, watch out! You SPs have the potential to be very good, but short of Strasburg I feel like you are missing the top tier stud. Strasburg can be that guy, but you don’t have a proven one. See what perhaps Springer and Walker could get you. You are fine without making a move, but I was just throwing it out there…

  7. david says:
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    Awesome article!!

    I’m having a hard time deciding between the guy I drafted (Span) and Dexter Fowler (free agent).
    Aren’t they about the same?? Who’s your favorite? H2h points. Thanks!
    Also Aaron Nola or Andrew Cashner..same league (wins count a lot and Strikeouts) (penalized a little for walks, hits allowed)

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
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      @david: Thanks! I’m going with Span and Nola. I love Span (when healthy) in points leagues. Cashner just can’t seem to put it together…

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
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      @Chicken Dinner: Bryant and Corbin. With no penalty for strikeouts, Bryant is a stud. I think Corbin has the potential to have a good year. The only way I take Frazier and Familia is if you are stacked at SP and have no RP…

  8. Pete says:
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    Regarding ADP – If you’re doing a yahoo draft, do you know what the default order that is presented? If it’s not based on h2h points league drafts, should we incorporate those rankings too so we have an idea of the upper and lower bounds of where players might go depending on what tools and how much though each league manager has given the draft order?

    • Pete says:
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      @Pete: *thought

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
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      @Pete: I am not familiar with Yahoo draft rankings. But this does bring up a good point that I was thinking about a few days ago. Nowadays everyone does their drafts online. It’s just too hard to get together. The drawback is that this means people can do less “homework” since the drafting software usually has the players pre-ranked. Knowing these pre-rankings ahead of time will let you know when your league mates are going to be told by the draft software that it’s time to pick a specific player. I just couldn’t get my hands on all of those pre-rankings…

      • Pete says:
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        @malamoney: thanks. i pulled the yahoo data down and sent you. it’s pretty interesting as there are obvious discrepancies.

        • malamoney

          malamoney says:
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          @Pete: Yahoo does not allow you filter ADP by H2H points vs Roto. That means it’s all averaged in. There are many more Roto drafts than points league drafts. This means the data is skewed to Roto drafts. This is the case for nearly all fantasy baseball sites that give you ADP values.

          This is the real problem. Or perhaps root cause. Everyone that wants to look at ADP is using the same basic “Roto skewed” list. And as result most are drafting players at our very close to the ADPs displayed on their sheets. Roto data is corrupting H2H points league draft day decisions. If every site you check tells you that Chris Davis is being selected 35th. Then at least one person in every league is going to select him there. It only takes one person to select a player. If you take the ADP data today and compare it with what you get a week from today, I bet it isn’t very different. Will barely move. Unless, of course, there is an injury, but that’s a different story…

  9. sliimbo says:
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    Hey bud

    keeper question (h2h) we can keep 14

    currently have
    Bautista, Abreu, Betts, Marte, C Davis, Frazier, Schwarber, Dozer, Yelich, Rendon, Scherzer, Bumgarner, Kluber, W Davis

    would you switch any of those for Brantley or CMart?

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
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      @sliimbo: What up sliimbo. I’d keep Brantley over Yelich…

  10. seph meier says:
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    Glenn is a good prediction, that’s how it’s written in the books by the hand of negans spiked baseball bat in front of people. The show has changed some characters up along the way, another solid bet may be Abraham.

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
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      @seph meier: Is Abraham is true major character? If they really want to get crazy they should have Negan kill Maggie…

      • Seph Meier says:
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        @malamoney:

        That would be insane and great! In the books Judith doesn’t make it this far and would be a similar to what they did there. I would think he is a semi-major character, I mean when everyone is set to die anyways you only get so much time in the new world. Carol could be another choice as she was no where near this long in the book they kind of flip-flopped her with andrea’s character in the book and I could see that ending.

        • malamoney

          malamoney says:
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          @Seph Meier: Interesting. Can’t wait to see it play out…

          • Seph Meier says:
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            @malamoney:

            It will be fun to see which direction they take it…Negan is crazy in the book…holds nothing back, not a care in the world, excited to see him…

            Keeper league question:
            My league you keep 12 forever. start 15 hitters(2 C, 2 1b, 2etc…5 of) and 11 pitchers (6 sp/5rp) in weekly lineup 11 teams 10×10 weekly roto, limited roster moves.
            My 11 are:
            1. Goldy 2. E5 3. Arenado 4. Franco 5. Upton 6. Braun 7. Cain 8. Arrieta 9. DeGrom 10. Kluber 11. Stroman

            Who would you keep between Kinsler, B. Crawford, D’Arnaud?

            Also, I have 11th pick…what stat or position would you target?

  11. IwanaClay says:
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    Hey malamoney I’m definitely interested in the $300 auction . Shoot me an email w the details… [email protected]

    Thanks!

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
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      @IwanaClay: Will do. Just to be clear. It’s only a $50 buy in. The $300 is how many auction dollars you have to spend at the auction. If we can get the league going, we can up the ante next year. I just want to get the league off the ground on short notice…

  12. WillisReid says:
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    I have Carassco, Salazar, Smyly, Iglesias and Matz. I took Rodon as a bench piece based on his upside. Is he worth keeping over any of these guys, would you drop him for the extra bench spot or hold?

    • WillisReid says:
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      -1 for BB’s

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
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      @WillisReid: I would not drop Rodon. I know this post sounds like I am anti-Rodon, but we can’t always go strictly by the numbers. Do not drop Rodon. He has huge upside…

      • WillisReid says:
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        That was my thought. Would you hold all 6? Only 5 starts per week in my league.

        • malamoney

          malamoney says:
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          @WillisReid: Yes. Unless doing so handicaps you at another position…

  13. Seph Meier says:
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    Reposting, in case you don’t see it above…Thanks in advance and great post!

    • Seph Meier says:
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      @Seph Meier:

      It will be fun to see which direction they take it…Negan is crazy in the book…holds nothing back, not a care in the world, excited to see him…

      Keeper league question:
      My league you keep 12 forever. start 15 hitters(2 C, 2 1b, 2etc…5 of) and 11 pitchers (6 sp/5rp) in weekly lineup 11 teams 10×10 weekly roto, limited roster moves.
      My 11 are:
      1. Goldy 2. E5 3. Arenado 4. Franco 5. Upton 6. Braun 7. Cain 8. Arrieta 9. DeGrom 10. Kluber 11. Stroman

      Who would you keep between Kinsler, B. Crawford, D’Arnaud?

      Also, I have 11th pick…what stat or position would you target?

      Read more: https://razzball.com/points-leagues-walking-dead/#ixzz443v1wNbC

      • malamoney

        malamoney says:
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        @Seph Meier: For some reason I am leaning towards d’Arnaud, but that seems a little crazy. Kinsler is getting too old to consider keeping in a “keep forever” league and I want Crawford to be more than I expect he is going to be. d’Arnaud feels like he could be a top 3 catcher for years to come…

  14. attgig says:
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    Carol has to go. she’s outlived her usefulness now that she has a conscience.

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
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      @attgig: Since when is it the one that needs to go that goes? How would that shock anyone?

  15. Soria Wong says:
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    I’d be interested in the keeper league, like the scoring and the bonuses, different than the points league I’m currently in. I’d only be able to draft 3/31 as my other league drafts on 4/1.

  16. Chicken Dinner says:
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    12 Team Weekly H2H Points league

    Pretty much standard scoring except:

    No penalty for hitter’s K’s

    10pts W and S

    What do you think of my team?

    C Wieters (FA)
    1B Rizzo (1-10)
    2B Rendon (6-63)
    SS Asrdubal (21)
    3B Frazier (5-58)
    MI Zobrist (12-135)
    CI Miggy (2-15)
    OF Springer (3-34)
    OF Puig (7-75)
    OF Eaton (10-111)
    OF Joc (11-123)
    OF Ozuna (15)
    DH DeSheilds (19)

    SP Kluber (4-39)
    SP Richards (8-87)
    Rodon (13-156)
    Ventura (14)
    Odorizzi (15)
    Darvish(16)
    Bauer (17)
    RP Familia (9-99)
    Roark (20)

    BN Leake (22)
    Berrios (23)
    Jungmann (24)
    Erasimo (25)
    Nicasio (26)
    Vizcaino (27)
    Jeffress (FA)

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
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      @Chicken Dinner: Weiters? Is Realmuto or Nick Hundley available? Normally I wouldn’t like Joc, but since there isn’t a penalty for strikeouts, then go for it. Same goes for Springer. Nice team. Wish you had one top tier stud. Kluber is your guy, but I just can’t put him in the league with Price, Bumgarner, etc. Maybe it will be Darvish next year. Not strong at RP, but Will Smith going down makes Jeffress a lot more valuable. Still waiting to see who emerges in Atlanta…

      • Chicken Dinner says:
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        @malamoney: Like his upside over Hundley. Easy drop if he doesn’t play due to arm issues. I changed my draft strategy to heavy hitting three years ago. Wait on pitching, grab young arms on the uptick with some inning eating vets and RP eligible SPs. Volume pitching for the weekly format. I’ve finished 1st, 1st and 2nd. Kluber in the forth seemed like good value. 13th SP taken. There weren’t many RP eligible SP so took Familia in the 9th. I’ll be able to grab an out of nowhere closer if needed. Always happens.

        Thanks for the input.

  17. Ron says:
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    I’m in a league where Runs, RBIs, and HR are all just 1 point and SB are .5. How should this change my approach to drafting?

    Does -.5 for a batter strikeout change the value of guys like Springer enough to take him in the top 5 rounds of a 10-teamer points? I’m asking because Grey LOVES, LOVES, LOVES him and I was wondering if I should invest.

    Lastly, Springer or Marte?

    Thanks!

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
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      @Ron: What is the full scoring system? How many teams? And how many players are started at each position?

      • Ron says:
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        @malamoney:
        Scoring System:
        R (1), RBI (1), HR (1), TB (1),Walks (1), K(-.5), IBB (.5), SAC (.5), Net SB (1), Game Winning RBI (1), CYC (2), GSHR (2)

        IP(1.5), W (5), SV (3), K (1), BB (-1), HD (1), NH (3), ER (-1), BS (-2), L (-3), H (-.5), Shutout (2), CG (2), Perfect Game (5)

        # of Teams:
        10 team H2H points

        Positions started:
        C – 1
        2B/SS – 2
        1B/3B – 2
        OF – 3
        UTIL – 2
        Bench – 8
        DL – 3
        P – 6

        In addition to the questions above about batters, one of the new twists for us is that you are limited to a maximum of only 6 starts a week for pitchers. How should this change my draft strategy? Are top tier SP more or less valuable with only 6 starts allowed per week?

  18. gangreen says:
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    Ok just finished my auction draft. I have
    Catche: schwarber
    1st base: pujols
    2nd base: addison russell
    3rd base: kyle seager
    Ss: boagarts
    Of: mookie betts
    Of: will myers
    Of: delino deshields
    Sp: jake arrietta,
    Sp:noah synderguard
    Rp: zach britton
    Rp: papelbon
    P: carlos rodon
    p: jon lackey
    p: heaney
    Bench: rich hill
    Bench: ziegler
    Bench: matt adams
    Bench: chase headley
    Bench: socrates brito
    Bench: dylan bundy
    Bench: corey dickerson
    How did I do a plus right

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
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      @gangreen: Is this a points league? How many teams? How much did you pay for each player? If Pujols can stay healthy and Addison plays well, you have a solid infield. Brito?

    • gangreen says:
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      @gangreen: it obp and k/bb it is the type of leage were the whole year stats rack up and at the end the team with the most stats wins. I think its called points leage. There is 16 teams, keeper leage. Mike trout went for 80$. I dropped him as a keeper for 62$. I inly took dickerson because he was 10$. And this jerk kept taking every player I nominated after I ran out of money.

      • malamoney

        malamoney says:
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        @gangreen: Gotcha. It was a full season points league as opposed to a H2H points leagues. Cool.

        I love auctions. One trick is to never nominate a player you actually want, but who you are willing to take for the minimum opening bid. Let others win those players using up some of their auction budget and filling their rosters. How much did you have for an auction budget?

          • gangreen says:
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            @gangreen: im not excited about my draft but heres some examples of the prices players went for. Trout 85$, encarnacion 48$, chriss davis 50$, longoria 30$, strausburg 30$. Belt 25$. Yet I got pujols 25$. Idont understand what happened or even what there teams look like yet but thats why im asking you. Im dropping brito for hicks or anyone really.

            • gangreen says:
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              @gangreen: ots an awesome leage but every year a couple guys quit and a couple join. I wish the commish would just keep it at 12 or 14 teams.

        • gangreen says:
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          @malamoney: one thing to remember is all the good player [email protected]malamoney: yeah that nomination trick works until theres one firstbasemen left I want. Then somebody over bids me on him. Sorry for making a mess on you board.

          • malamoney

            malamoney says:
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            @gangreen: No worries man. Yeah, that’s tough, but then I wouldn’t nominate him until the end when everyone is low on auction dollars and needs to fill other positions. Otherwise you are shit outta luck…

  19. gangreen says:
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    The draft was 7 hours. Its a live draft, that ended at 11 at nite brito yeah idk. Yeah brito idk why. He was 1$.
    1st: pujols:26$
    2nd: addison russel:15$
    3rd: kyle seager:22$
    Of: mookie:52$
    Of: Wil myers:12$
    Of: delino deshields:12$
    Sp:carlos rodon: 12$
    Sp:jon lacky:5$
    Sp: heaney:5$
    Sp:rich hill:1$
    Sp:dylan bundy:1$
    Rp:zach britton:19$
    Rp:papelbon:12$
    Rp: brad ziegler:??
    Then on my bench I have matt adams 2$,
    Corey dickerson10$
    Chase headly???
    Brito:1$
    I kept schwarber5$,corey seager5$, boagarts9$,arrietta22$ for 3 years, and noah syndaguard9$.I kept these five from last year.

    Someone is offering lorenzo cain10$ for boagarts 9$. Both need to be signed to a contract next year.
    3outfield spots, 1flex, 3pitching spots 2starter spots, 2reliever spots. 7 bench spots

    • gangreen says:
      (link)

      @gangreen: I would live to here razzballs hairy thoughts but id give you my left one if grey jumps in on this too.

      • malamoney

        malamoney says:
        (link)

        @gangreen: This might be the comment of the month!

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
      (link)

      @gangreen: I’d rather have Bogaerts at $9. Especially because he plays shortstop…

  20. FrankGrimes says:
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    zero point zero

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
      (link)

      @FrankGrimes: You listen to any of wack history month?

      • FrankGrimes says:
        (link)

        @malamoney:

        ETM (miss that little prick)
        and now starting Hank
        email sent

        • malamoney

          malamoney says:
          (link)

          @FrankGrimes: I listened to pretty much them all. Especially last week with the show on vacation. I love Hank, but listening to them reminded how much more I love Beetle. Beetle is a true wack packer. Hank is too, but if he didn’t drink, he wouldn’t be very interesting. Beetle is interesting the moment he wakes up. Heck even when he’s sleeping. Get him loaded and he’s even better. I guess the reason is that Hank is actually smart dude that is just angry and drinks…

          • FrankGrimes says:
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            @malamoney:
            I get that. I love me some beet!
            ETM is my all time fav tho.

  21. FrankGrimes says:
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    I’d be interested if draft was Thursday
    I have a rcl draft at that time on 4/1

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
      (link)

      @FrankGrimes: Cool. I will get the details to you this afternoon…

  22. B. Rabbit says:
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    Still looking for H2h players for your league? I’d be down.

  23. Wandering Bear says:
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    What do you think about Stephen Piscotty with relatively standard scoring? I have Melky Cabrera, Piscotty and Danny Valencia for my LF spot hoping that one of them is above average. Is thinking Piscotty could be a top 8ish LF too optimistic?

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
      (link)

      @Wandering Bear: I think a top 10 would be about his max upside for this year. Melky is the safer play, but Piscotty has the upside…

  24. Eric Patnoudes says:
    (link)

    I’m interested in the league you mentioned. Let me know if there’s still room.

  25. Crapshoot Kershaw says:
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    yr exactly right about the medic lady claiming running out into wilderness isn’t a stupid risk. it’s actually awful writing that anybody would be written to argue that. i understand it’s not good to live in debilitating fear and not being able to protect yourself, and those things should be remedied, there isn’t a disjunct though in agreeing with that and still knowing full well nobody should be risking their life for ONE DAMN SODA (even for a fat girl), and if they do do that, it’s still really damn stupid.
    anywhoo, thanks for the ranks, here’s who i ended up with:
    C posey (K)
    1B hosmer
    2B rendon
    3B sandoval (punted this spot pretty damn far, just missed beltre and some others earlier)
    SS correa (K)
    LF gordon
    CF span
    RF reddick
    util v-mart (DH only here in espn)
    BN aoki dokey
    SP carrasco (K)
    stroman (K)
    keuchel (2nd overall after keepers, remember no such thing as negative pts for SP pts league here, could’ve went upton/ fielder/ beltre rather)
    quintana
    lackey
    chen
    kennedy
    buchholez
    RP storen, siegrist (remember holds and saves both worth 5, and wins too)

    stick with pablo or grab one of j.lowrie/yunel/olivera over him? headley too, but he K’s way too much to consider.

    • Crapshoot Kershaw says:
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      @Crapshoot Kershaw: oh yeah, and glen somehow living through that without explaining some kind of distraction that would’ve taken those few dozen zombies out of that alley without somehow biting him is utter b.s. even worse than how fast that lady cop got her gun out to kill the blonde sister (the one who sung tom waits songs) in the hospital where cops raped people on the reg.

      • Crapshoot Kershaw says:
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        @Crapshoot Kershaw: oh that’s right, from rendon having 3B i could also drop panda for one of these: spangenberg, c.hernandez

        • Crapshoot Kershaw says:
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          @Crapshoot Kershaw: oops, that was 2 pts per steal, that is why those 2 come up fairly highly.

          • Crapshoot Kershaw says:
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            @Crapshoot Kershaw: for some reason your link is only showing me 2B guys. but scooter is also available, only worry with him is the at bats won’t exist vs lefties. it’s possible dropping panda and aoki for scooter and another 3B might be best idea, maybe.

            • Crapshoot Kershaw says:
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              @Crapshoot Kershaw: i know from your list on the 17th pablo wins, but was seeing if anything changed since then.

              • malamoney

                malamoney says:
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                @Crapshoot Kershaw: I’d stick with Sandoval, but monitor Olivera…

                • Crapshoot Kershaw says:
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                  @malamoney: sandoval lost job. sorry about not being able to join that league you might be drafting right now. i have TONS of leagues already and am relative newbie in pts leagues.
                  so drop panda for olivera or these others are options:
                  j.lowrie/holt/t.white/yunel? -1 for K’s, +1 for BB’s.

  26. gangreen says:
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    For the walking dead comment about who dies next. Its going to be mashone. Even though that would piss me off I still think its better then daryl. My theory is rick cannot have a girlfriend. Notice carl dissapeared since his dad and her jumped in the sack together. Kil machone and that reunites father and son. Actually they yet to have the awkward moments between best friendies carl and machone so in that case maybe not. Thoughts?

    • gangreen says:
      (link)

      @gangreen: somebody is going to die thats for sure! It wont be carol, not rick either. Rick would die before carrol does, but that could be a good reason to shoot her in the head right before the last episode ends. Because thats the last thing anyone would expect. I could give every character a reason to be next eccept rick , carl, carrol, daryl, and mr. Son of a dick. In that order. My first guess machone, whoever it is its going to be carrols fault they die. Remember morgan saves peoples souls and he is going to find carrol and it will be carrol and morgan alone in the woods for a little while before whatever big new event happens. Wait! I JUST FIGURED IT OUT.
      Shit its carrol that dies. Carrol because morgan finds her saves her soul then she becomes weak. Then on the way home she gets killed because morgan talks her out of making these crucial brutal survival decisions. Leaving morgan to watch her die and he transitions into being more like a carrol. This is how morgan snaps out of his righteousness, because hes been boring ever since he joined rick again. ITS DEF GOING TO BE CARROL!so there you go its 100percent guarenteed to be carrol. That pisses me off.

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
      (link)

      @gangreen: I am thinking both Glen and Michonne!

  27. SpotieOtie says:
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    I asked this of Grey, but I want to reach out to the points guru too

    W +10, L -5, IP +3, K +1, BB -1, H -1, ER -1
    Current staff: Strasburg, Richards, Quintana, Gibson, Miley, Berrios

    Drop Miley for Velasquez?

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
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      @SpotieOtie: Can you use Velasquez at RP in your league?

  28. John says:
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    I tried emailing you about the H2H league but the email keeps bouncing back. It could be on my end? If you still have space I’m interested. Please email me at: [email protected]

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
      (link)

      @John: I just sent you a test email. If you get that reply and I will send you the details for the league…

      • John says:
        (link)

        @malamoney: I replied…just making sure you got it…thank you!

  29. Eric Patnoudes says:
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    In your spreadsheet, Joey Votto and David Ortiz are both missing. Or it appears that way. Is there an explanation?

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
      (link)

      @Eric Patnoudes: Another commenter noticed this as well. Here was my response.

      Somehow it seems he was filtered out. You can see his value by going to the “1B” worksheet. He should have been transferred to the “Rankings”, but somehow he is missing. Thanks for letting me know. I will try and update…

      Here’s an updated version. Let me know if this works for you:

      https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxEg_wSDbJRpSV9vWl94a1pQMkE/view?usp=sharing

  30. Joe Dec says:
    (link)

    Hi,

    Does this site offer a weekly projection for custom scoring points leagues like your excel sheets do? I’m pretty new to fantasy baseball & have been searching the internet for a weekly custom points league projection system to use. Thanks for your help.

    Joe

    • Hi Joe –
      We just added one this year. You can see a screenshot of it at: razzball.com/hittertron-faq. It look like a combo of the ‘Daily Points’ screenshot and the Weekly screenshot.

      Let me know if you have any questions ([email protected])

      Rudy

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
      (link)

      @Joe Dec: Rudy beat me to the response. HitterTron is now ever more awesomer! Yes “awesomer” is a word.

  31. Justin says:
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    Awesome work Mala$. I am in my 3rd year of a H2H points league with friends and you are the only reliable H2H points content provider I have found…thank you!

    I tried to add your excel file to my drive so I could alter the scoring system to reflect my league, but was unsuccessful. Any recommendations how I can tailor your projections to our scoring?

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
      (link)

      @Justin: Thanks! Are you using Excel to edit the spreadsheet? When you say you were unsuccessful, what do you mean? Editing the scoring system should be simple. Many other readers have been able to do so. If you are stuck, send me your scoring system and how many players you start at each position and I will do it for you…

      • Justin says:
        (link)

        @malamoney: Ah that is why, I was trying to use Google Drive to edit the sheet. Unfortunately, I don’t have Microsoft Office on my laptop. If it isn’t too much trouble to plug in my scoring that would be clutch…my draft is tomorrow night! Email is [email protected], scoring below:

        Single 1 pt
        Double 2 pts
        Triple 3 pts
        HR 4 pts
        K – 1 pt
        BB 1 pt
        RBI 1 pt
        SB 1 pt
        CS -1 pt

        Pitching

        K 1 pt
        IP 1 pt
        BB -1 pt
        ER -1 pt
        W 6 pts
        L -3 pts
        QS 3 pts
        Save 5 pts
        BS -2.5 pts

        • malamoney

          malamoney says:
          (link)

          @Justin: Sent!

  32. SpotieOtie says:
    (link)

    Malamoney,

    This may seem like a dumb question, but what formula do you use to calculate auction dollar values?

    I was able to update the scoring system and expand the player pool to get updated zscores and fvarz values. In the past I’ve use the following:

    [(260-(1*25))/25]*(FVARz/(Average FVARz for above-replacement players)+1

    12-team, H2H points league: C, 1b, 2b, 3b, ss, mi, ci, 5 of, util, 9 p, 3 bench
    TB +1, RBI +1, R +1, BB +1, HBP +1, K -1, SB +2, CS -1
    W +5, L -5, SV +5, IP +3, H -1, ER -2, K +1, BB -1, HBP -1
    $260 auction budget

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
      (link)

      @SpotieOtie: While I have never actually attempted this, your formula seems to be the one promoted by FanGraphs and seems to make sense to me.

      I think it needs to be calculated on a “per position” basis because of the “Average FVARz for above-replacement players”

  33. Tulanian says:
    (link)

    Hey Mala$, I hacked your earlier spreadsheet to reflect the scoring and lineup depth for my annual league. Your FVARz has been very helpful in illuminating when, for example, to pick a catcher over an OF. Most simple-sort points-league ranks would have one loading up on SPs and OFs and neglecting infielders and catchers!

    I am interested in your league if you still have a vacancy! Hit me up at [email protected]

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
      (link)

      @Tulanian: Thanks! Glad the spreadsheet was able to help. I just emailed you the details…

  34. Pita pan express says:
    (link)

    Malamoney
    16 team H2H points league weekly lock drafted last night. What u think of the team ?
    C Realmuto / Norris
    1b belt
    2b altuve
    SS semien / Escobar
    3b kang/ wright
    OF mccutchen / J upton/ polanco / fowler / deshields
    SP Felix/ Ventura/ fiers/ leake/ Hahn/ ryu
    RP familia / Britton/ c Allen

    Where’s the weak spots and what do u suggest ? Thanks in advance

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
      (link)

      @Pita pan express: Weak spots appear to be 1B, SS and 3B. And I’d like to have seen one more established starting pitcher. Do you kneed three RP?

      • Pita pan express says:
        (link)

        I don’t need 3 sp unfortunately the draft went autopilot on me and drafted the third RP. I should ship one out with a hitter for another SP?

  35. Ron says:
    (link)

    10-team H2H Points league with a 7 start max per week for SP.

    Scoring System:
    R (1), RBI (1), HR (1), TB (1),Walks (1), K(-.5), IBB (.5), SAC (.5), Net SB (1), Game Winning RBI (1), CYC (2), GSHR (2)

    IP(1.5), W (5), SV (3), K (1), BB (-1), HD (1), NH (3), ER (-1), BS (-2), L (-3), H (-.5), Shutout (2), CG (2), Perfect Game (5)

    Positions started:
    C- Hundley
    2B/SS- Zobrist
    2B/SS- Murphy
    1B/3B- Machado
    1B/3B- Rizzo
    OF– J.D. Martinez
    OF- Springer
    OF- DeSheilds
    UTIL– Pujols
    UTIL- Beltre
    Bench – Castro, Pedroia, Melky, Holliday

    SP- Carrasco, Salaazar, Samardzija, Quintana
    RP- Familia, Britton
    Bench- Rodon, Matz, Odorizzi, Perkins

    Waiver Wire: Myers, Parra, Souza, Conforto, W. Castillo, D. Norris, Semien, Segura, Solarte

    Is this a strong team, weak team or somewhere in between? Where should I look to get help first? Should I start thinking trades to improve or make a couple early waiver wire swaps?

    • Ron says:
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      @Ron: Can I get your thoughts on this post? Thanks.

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
      (link)

      @Ron: Great infield short of Hundley, but you never know hitting in Coors. The only thing you are missing is a true ace.

      • Ron says:
        (link)

        @malamoney: Thank for the reply. Do you think I should swap any of the bench bats with the waiver wire bats?

        Bench – Castro, Pedroia, Melky, Holliday
        Waiver Wire: Myers, Parra, Souza, Conforto, W. Castillo, D. Norris, Semien, Segura, Solarte

        • malamoney

          malamoney says:
          (link)

          @Ron: I might take Parra over Holliday. One’s on the rise, the other’s on the decline. And things are going to be crowded in the Cardinals outfield. I’d also probably take Conforto over Holliday. Which Castro is that?

          • Ron says:
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            @malamoney: Ok I’m gonna grab Parra. That is Starlin Castro. No idea if NY is a good spot for him.

  36. Hambone says:
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    Story is not on your SS list. Where would you rate him? Thanks

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
      (link)

      @Hambone: Damnit! He should be on there. I’d put him around 10. Upside of 7 or 8th. Thanks for catching this…

      • Hambone says:
        (link)

        @malamoney: What is his ADP? Thanks

        • malamoney

          malamoney says:
          (link)

          @Hambone: That is actually in the ADP worksheet. But it’s about 226. However, I think you will have to reach for him you want him as his stock is on the rise…

  37. Just finished an Experts CBS League with your spreadsheet as my guide. Preesh! H2H Points, weekly lineup, weekly FAAB. $260 Auction. Results:

    C – S. Perez $4
    1B – A. Rizzo $45
    2B – I. Kinsler $10
    3B – E. Longoria $5
    SS – B. Miller $2
    OF – M. Betts $37
    OF – B. Zobrist $6
    OF – G. Parra $6
    U – J. Abreu $35
    SP – J. Lester $25
    SP – D. Salazar $20
    SP – M. Tanaka $11
    SP – F. Liriano $10
    SP – D. Smyly $7
    RP -M. Melancon $9
    RP – C. Allen $5
    BEN – A. Pujols $13 (Grey would have lost his mind!)
    BEN – G. Polanco $5 (And again!)
    BEN – J. Ellsbury $3
    BEN – J. Reddick $1
    BEN – A. Descalfini $1

    Descalfini goes to the DL for another SP pickup. And I’ll trade one of Pujols or Abreu for a top-tier SP. Or…trade Rizzo with one of those cheaper OF for Harper.

    Time to show those CBS kids who’s boss.

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
      (link)

      @[email protected]: Nice work. I was going to say you need a true ace, but I see you realize that. The biggest steal is Roddick at $1.

  38. Joe Dec says:
    (link)

    Hi Malamoney,

    This spreadsheet has 3B Matt Duffy getting 335 AB this year. All reports say he will be the starting 3rd baseman for the Giants & batting 2nd or 3rd in the lineup. Is there a reason the projected AB’s are so low Duffy? Id say the average on the spread sheet is around 515 for 3B.

    Thanks,
    Joe

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
      (link)

      @Joe Dec: That’s a good catch. The problem is there are two Matt Duffys. One on the Astros who has minimal projections. My averaging software got them tangled.

      I think he will be good for about 500 AB. You can manually edit his projections on the “3B” worksheet and it should all update. You will have to re-sort the FVARz column afterwards.

      143 games, 528 ab, 149 hits, 25 2b, 5 3b, 11 hr, 64 r, 62 rbi, 34 bb, 104 so, 11 sb, 3 cs

      • Joe Dec says:
        (link)

        @malamoney: Thanks for the response.

  39. Tom says:
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    What are your thoughts on rolling with Colome as a SP in the early going this season? My league’s scoring is pretty friendly to Closers. Figured it might not be a bad idea and then I only have to worry about 4 SP a week. Assume Boxberger regains the role once he’s healthy though.

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
      (link)

      @Tom: Who are your SPs? Or is this pre-draft question?

  40. Vince says:
    (link)

    What about a guy like Sano that walks a ton to go along with his high K rate? Seems like he would be more palatable in a Points league than a Chris Davis type hitter..

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
      (link)

      @Vince: I see them as potentially be very similar. Walk might be close. Davis will strike out more, but he will likely hit more homers. I’m taking Sano over Davis, but that’s because I don’t like Davis in points leagues. He’s an established strikeout master. Sano has yet to prove that…

  41. Tom says:
    (link)

    Thoughts on trading JD Martinez, Blackmon, and Lackey for Chris Sale, Jason Hammel, and Marcel Ozuna?

    14 team H2H Points:
    C: Wieters
    1B: Encarnacion
    2B: Kinsler
    SS: Correa
    3B: Arenado
    OF: JD Martinez, Blackmon, Polanco
    U: Eaton, Carlos Santana
    B: Domingo Santana, Joc Pederson, Deshields
    SP: Lester, Lackey, Rodon, Iglesias, Corbin
    RP: Kimbrel, Osuna
    B: Nicasio, Joe Ross, Fiers

    Scoring System:
    1B Singles 1 point
    2B Doubles 2 points
    3B Triples 3 points
    BB Walks (Batters) 0.5 points
    CS Caught Stealing -1 point
    CYC Hitting for the Cycle 10 points
    GDP Ground Into Double Plays -0.5 points
    HP Hit by Pitch 0.5 points
    HR Home Runs 4 points
    KO Strikeouts (Batter) -0.5 points
    R Runs 1 point
    RBI Runs Batted In 1 point
    SB Stolen Bases 1 point
    BBI Walks Issued (Pitchers) -0.5 points
    BS Blown Saves -2 points
    CG Complete Games 3 points
    ER Earned Runs -1 point
    HB Hit Batsmen -0.5 points
    INN Innings 1.5 points
    K Strikeouts (Pitcher) 1 point
    L Losses -6 points
    NH No-Hitters 15 points
    PG Perfect Games 20 points
    QS Quality Starts 1 point
    S Saves 6 points
    W Wins 6 points

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
      (link)

      @Tom: Not at my computer to run the numbers. I will do so when I get back this afternoon…

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
      (link)

      @Tom: As much as I’d like to get my hands on Sale, you are really blowing up your OF. If you made the trade, would you start Ozuna or would you just put in two of your OF bench players? The best way to evaluate a trade is to see how many points your active lineup goes up or down on average after the trade. Who will you replace Martinez and Blackmon with and how many points will you lose from doing so? Then how many points do you gain by starting Sale and Hammel over Lackey and whichever pitcher you will bench to get Sale in the lineup. Would you even start Hammel?

      • Tom says:
        (link)

        @malamoney: I assume Deshields/Santana/Ozuna would be replacing Martinez and Blackmon. SP would be Sale, Lester, and three of Iglesias/Corbin/Rodon/Hammel/Ross/Fiers/Nicasio. I am tying to get Calhoun over Ozuna now.

        • Tom says:
          (link)

          @Tom: Or even Lackey and JD for Sale.

  42. Jack says:
    (link)

    Thanks for all of the continued analysis that is waaaaaaay better than other mainstream media outlets. I do have a question of which I struggle with every year. It has to do with a H2H Points League that I am in. I will mention that last year I won, but sort of a fluke….maybe. So here is the deal, oh and my draft is tomorrow. Pitchers are heavily valued in my league. the first two rounds 17 Pitchers are taken. He-a-vey!
    I have the #2 pick tomorrow. I read all of the time that Grey says that I do not need a #1 P. I do have your positional adjusted WKSHT. My question is do I still grab Trout that will score me projected 538 points or Arrieta or Sherzer that can get me 740? Is the 200 point differential enough to outweigh positional scarcity here? Thank you!

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
      (link)

      @Jack: Thanks Jack. You have to remember that most of Grey’s general advice is geared towards roto formats. Personally the only pitcher I am taking over Trout is Kershaw. I don’t trust Arrieta. I don’t think he’s a good as last year. Definitely not good enough to take over Trout or Harper for that matter. Scherzer comes close, but I don’t think he’s ahead of Trout. Even though Trout will probably not be in the top two for points scored among batters, he is a safe bet to be right near there…

      • Jack says:
        (link)

        @malamoney:

        I hear what your saying I guess Im concerned that 17 P’s are taken within the first two rounds, I could be up shits creek without a paddle if I go Trout with the first pick. Who am I looking at in the second round? Cole if Im lucky.

        • malamoney

          malamoney says:
          (link)

          @Jack: Trout and Gerrit Cole are a great start! If you take Scherzer what hitter are you looking at in the second round?

  43. Yaz in my pants says:
    (link)

    First off Malamoney I immensely enjoy your Razzball points league write-ups (wildly informative). I’m in a 10-team standard points league (walks and K’s are 1,-1) and my draft is tomorrow. I’m seeking counsel for the following:

    How soon is too soon for drafting M. Brantley? There will be no “deep discount” on him in my league and I’m thinking of pulling the trigger by the 5th round. Is this justifiable? As you know this guy, when healthy, could put up top-5 OF numbers and still be a steal in the 5th.

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
      (link)

      @Yaz in my pants: Does your league have keepers? Currently his ADP is about 83 points leagues. In a ten teamer that’s the 9th round. If that’s about right then the 5th seems too soon…

      • Yaz in my pants says:
        (link)

        Sorry. We keep one and even then it looks like I would still be reaching for Brantley in the 6th round. Thanks for the input Malamoney!

        • malamoney

          malamoney says:
          (link)

          @Yaz in my pants: So just keep in mind that with one keeper, round 1 of your draft is really round 2. Some people neglect to realize that when factoring in ADP as to when you should select a player. I’d grab Brantley in your 7th round the earliest…

Comments are closed.