In his final season in 1966, Sandy Koufax averaged a whopping 24.2 points per start over, wait for it, 41 starts. The season before he averaged 25.9 points per start. To put it simply, those numbers are incredible. However, before his season was cut short last year, Jacob deGrom was averaging 26.2 points. By the way, he is expected to make his 2022 debut this Tuesday. It will be interesting to see how well he pitches. A deGrom-Scherzer one-two punch is going to pack quite the wallop. But I’m not here to talk about the Mets. Sandy Alcantara has been one of the top starting pitchers in points leagues. He has 432 points over 21 starts. That’s an average of 20.5 points per start. Only Shane McClanahan (22.28), Justin Verlander (21.39) and Max Scherzer (20.92) have higher points per start averages.

Here are my rest of season (ROS) estimations for starting pitchers. These estimations are based on the following scoring system:

WIN (+5), LOSS (-5), IP (+3), K (+1), BB (-1), SAVE (+7), BLOWN SAVE (-3), ER (-1), HIT (-1), HBP (-1), WP (-1)

Name ROS FPTS
Sandy Alcantara 257.33
Shane McClanahan 245.75
Justin Verlander 240.02
Aaron Nola 229.52
Corbin Burnes 228.03
Gerrit Cole 224.97
Max Scherzer 221.78
Joe Musgrove 217.25
Dylan Cease 216.79
Robbie Ray 214.45
Alek Manoah 210.19
Clayton Kershaw 204.77
Brandon Woodruff 202.95
Yu Darvish 202.12
Shane Bieber 200.09
Max Fried 199.83
Zack Wheeler 196.51
Julio Urias 194.56
Jacob deGrom 188.90
Shohei Ohtani 188.77
Cristian Javier 188.27
Framber Valdez 187.32
Tyler Anderson 186.34
Logan Webb 185.91
Jon Gray 184.94
Logan Gilbert 181.08
Triston McKenzie 180.99
Carlos Rodon 179.26
Luis Castillo 179.01
Chris Bassitt 175.64
Tony Gonsolin 172.17
Kevin Gausman 169.39
Sean Manaea 165.51
Martin Perez 163.59
Charlie Morton 162.74
Spencer Strider 162.44
Luis Garcia 162.42
Taijuan Walker 159.57
Jordan Montgomery 159.11
Nestor Cortes 159.07
Brady Singer 158.15
Tarik Skubal 157.92
Joe Ryan 157.80
Lucas Giolito 156.11
Nathan Eovaldi 154.52
Zac Gallen 153.98
Pablo Lopez 153.70
Jose Berrios 153.35
Frankie Montas 153.23
Eric Lauer 150.56
Tyler Mahle 149.18
Kyle Wright 148.67
Adam Wainwright 147.86
Cole Irvin 147.59
Johnny Cueto 147.44
Jameson Taillon 146.37
Miles Mikolas 145.08
Nick Pivetta 144.62
Merrill Kelly 144.17
Carlos Carrasco 141.71
Kyle Gibson 140.03
Sonny Gray 139.31
Keegan Thompson 138.60
Marcus Stroman 138.43
Jose Urquidy 138.27
Cal Quantrill 136.64
German Marquez 131.46
Freddy Peralta 131.06
Corey Kluber 130.91
Chris Flexen 126.82
Aaron Ashby 126.50
Dylan Bundy 125.17
Ian Anderson 124.55
Madison Bumgarner 123.52
Josiah Gray 122.86
Mike Clevinger 122.09
Ranger Suarez 121.49
Alex Wood 118.38
Alex Cobb 116.24
Patrick Sandoval 115.93
Noah Syndergaard 115.44
Blake Snell 115.33
Zach Plesac 115.24
Marco Gonzales 113.35
Jordan Lyles 111.63
Brad Keller 108.72
Ross Stripling 108.55
Jeffrey Springs 106.47
Hunter Greene 104.70
Drew Rasmussen 102.85
Reid Detmers 101.35
Kyle Freeland 100.12
Paolo Espino 99.66
Kyle Hendricks 98.01
Michael Wacha 95.51
David Peterson 95.51
Paul Blackburn 94.67
Tyler Wells 94.02
Austin Gomber 93.71
Luis Severino 93.60

As you can see, I have Alcantara as the top pitcher rest of season, but there are several pitchers nipping at his heels. If deGrom is able to pitch consistently, his estimation jumps up to 226 points, putting him between Corbin Burnes and Gerrit Cole.

Clayton Kershaw is currently the 45th ranked SP based on total points. He’s number 6 if you go by points per start. If he can stay on the mound, The Claw is going to be a pitcher you want on your roster for the home stretch as I am predicting that he will finish at 31 overall based on points. That’s a 14 spot rise.

Brandon Woodruff is another pitcher I’d like to own rest of season. Currently ranked 54th, he has a good shot at jumping up 20 spots to about 34th. That equates to a bunch of fantasy points over the next bunch of weeks.

I’ve been making moves in most of my leagues to acquire Shane Bieber. Especially in keeper leagues.

Ex-Reds pitcher, Luis Castillo, is in line for a nice boost with his move to Seattle. Other pitchers to keep an eye on are Brady Singer, Lucas Giolito, Nathan Eovaldi, Johnny Cueto, Cristian Javier, and perhaps Aaron Ashby. I drafted Ashby in a lot of my leagues and he’s been a disappointment. With that said, he actually looks decent and does have 98 strikeouts in 80.6 innings pitched.

Keep an eye on Freddy Peralta returning from injury.

On the flip side, here are a few pitchers I might be willing to move. Tony Gonsolin, Zac Gallen, Kyle Wright, Jameson Taillon, and Merrill Kelly. I just don’t expect to get the same production out of them rest of season. But that’s just me throwing numbers at the wall and seeing what sticks. Or what doesn’t. Wait, why are my walls so sticky?

 

Follow malamoney on Twitter at @malamoney

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Chucky
Chucky
6 days ago

As a Bieber owner in a Dynasty, I’m wondering what your seeing that I’m not? Velocity return? I know we’re not seeing 2020 Bieber?