STL

Dylan Carlson
Projections & Stats

Player Information

TeamSTL ESPNOF Age23
BatsS YahooOF RCL R%95
$/GS (RHP)-0.3 $/GS (LHP)-0.2
Grey Albright's 2022 Player Summary
Looked at all the minor league fly ball rates, and the HR/FB% last year and nearly convinced myself that Carlson can grow into a 35-homer, .280 hitter, and then I looked at his Statcast page, and I started to worry he might hit 17/.240 with no speed.... (click to read the rest)
Jump to: Season Stats | Monthly Stats | Game Log | Batting Order | Player Rater | 2022 Fantasy Outlook

Dylan Carlson Stats

GPAABHRHRRBISBCSBBSOBB%K%AVGOBPSLGOPSBABIP$
Last 7 Days731301020200133.29.70.3330.3550.4000.7550.3705.0
Last 30 Days2911310629829007166.214.20.2740.3190.4150.7340.3075.6
Season381561443514211108235.114.70.2430.2880.3610.6490.273-2.6
ROS Proj112449396975412493141969.121.30.2430.3200.4020.7220.2902.1

Dylan Carlson Projections | Platoon Splits (RHP vs LHP)

Dylan Carlson projected to 150 Games vs RHP and LHP with 12 team mixed fantasy value. This helps identify a player's platoon value for fantasy baseball based on pitcher handedness. These projections by Steamer are a MUCH better indicator of a hitter's platoon splits than in-season stats since it involves multiple years of data and has been properly regressed to league averages. Since games are neutralized across players, values for everyday players may look smaller than for preseason/season to date/rest of season where they benefit from playing time advantages vs other players. In general, left-handed hitters have larger platoon splits.
PAABRHRRBISBAVGOBPSLGOPSBABIPK%BB%$
vs. RHP65057274187050.2410.3210.4020.7240.28721.89.3-0.3
vs. LHP65058273177140.2520.3200.4060.7260.29720.48.1-0.2

Dylan Carlson Projections | Hittertron (Subscribe for all MLB player projections.)

Dylan Carlson daily MLB projections and fantasy value for next 7-10 days. LU=Lineup. If the lineup has been released and incorporated into the projections, it is listed as "Live". Click link in LU to see the lineup at Baseball Press or click here to see St Louis Cardinals lineups for the last 6 days.
GTOppSP%StLUPAABH2B3BRHRRBISBBBSOAVGOBPSLG$
5/216@PITJQuintana(L)100Live4.133.680.920.230.020.430.090.440.030.350.840.2500.3180.394-1.7
5/22-11@PITBWilson(R)95Lst74.163.700.920.250.020.480.110.500.030.350.790.2490.3200.4143.0
5/237TORJBerrios(R)96Lst73.633.270.670.160.020.320.070.330.020.260.850.2050.2730.336-19.1
5/247TORKGausman(R)96Lst73.563.240.650.150.020.290.070.300.030.230.930.2010.2600.328-20.7
5/267MILBWoodruff(R)96Lst73.663.300.680.150.020.320.080.320.020.270.890.2060.2750.337-18.9
5/278MILFPeralta(R)96Lst73.683.240.650.150.020.330.080.340.030.340.930.2010.2860.339-18.5
5/282MILAHouser(R)95Lst73.733.280.760.160.020.380.070.390.040.340.700.2320.3120.360-7.4
5/292MILCBurnes(R)95Lst73.603.260.620.140.020.280.070.290.050.261.000.1900.2590.313-21.9
5/302SDMClevinger(R)95Lst73.643.290.700.160.020.330.080.340.030.280.840.2130.2830.352-15.4

Dylan Carlson Projections | DFS (Subscribe for all hitter DFS MLB projections.)

Dylan Carlson daily fantasy baseball projections for DFS sites such as DraftKings and FanDuel. LU=Lineup. If the lineup has been released and incorporated into the projections, it is listed as "Live". Click link in LU to see the lineup at Baseball Press as well as previous 3 days' lineups.
DFS SiteOppSPL/R%StLUProj PtsSalary$/Pt
5/21DraftKings@PITJQuintana(L)L100Live6.63000454.5
5/21FanDuel@PITJQuintana(L)L100Live8.62300267.4
5/21Yahoo@PITJQuintana(L)L100Live6.6132.0

Dylan Carlson Game Log | Last 30 Days

DateOppSPR/LBatOrdPAABH1B2B3BRHRRBISBBBSOAVGOBPSLGOPS$
2022-05-20@PITZThompsonR74422001010010.5000.5000.5001.00087
2022-05-19@NYMCBassittR65511000000000.2000.2000.2000.400-53
2022-05-18@NYMMScherzerR64432101000000.7500.7501.0001.750115
2022-05-17@NYMTWilliamsR64421100000010.5000.5000.7501.25023
2022-05-17@NYMTWalkerR45400000000100.0000.2000.0000.200-98
2022-05-15SFCRodonL75522000010010.4000.4000.4000.80040
2022-05-14SFJJunisR74400000000000.0000.0000.0000.000-98
2022-05-13SFLWebbR54300000000100.0000.2500.0000.250-84
2022-05-12BALBBakerR74410001110010.2500.2501.0001.25085
2022-05-11BALSWatkinsR54410100000000.2500.2500.5000.750-38
2022-05-10BALKBradishR63311000000010.3330.3330.3330.666-22
2022-05-08@SFJJunisR64421100000010.5000.5000.7501.25023
2022-05-07@SFLWebbR65510001130010.2000.2000.8001.000135
2022-05-06@SFACobbR01111000010001.0001.0001.0002.00045
2022-05-05@SFMLloveraR84421102000010.5000.5000.7501.25085
2022-05-04@KCKBubicL02100001000100.0000.5000.0000.500-22
2022-05-03@KCBKellerR93211000000100.5000.6670.5001.167-5
2022-05-02KCZGreinkeR73310100000000.3330.3330.6671.000-22
2022-05-01ARIZDaviesR74400000000010.0000.0000.0000.000-98
2022-04-30ARIMKellyR73300000000010.0000.0000.0000.000-84
2022-04-29ARIMBumgarnerL64400000000010.0000.0000.0000.000-98
2022-04-28ARIHCastellanosR64400000000020.0000.0000.0000.000-98
2022-04-27NYMCCarrascoR64321010020100.6670.7501.3332.083106
2022-04-26NYMCBassittR54300000000110.0000.2500.0000.250-84
2022-04-25NYMMScherzerR64400000000020.0000.0000.0000.000-98
2022-04-24@CINNLodoloL64410100000000.2500.2500.5000.750-38
2022-04-23@CINTMahleR35522000000000.4000.4000.4000.8007
2022-04-22@CINHGreeneR15422001000100.5000.6000.5001.10054
2022-04-21@MIAPLopezR14411000000000.2500.2500.2500.500-38

Dylan Carlson Batting Order Game Averages | Current Season

Dylan Carlson current season averages per batting order spot along with 12 team mixed fantasy value ($). Only includes games started. Games started percentages for RHP vs LHP are based on last 30 days.
Bat OrdGSGS% vRHPGS% vLHPPAABH2BRHRRBISBBBSOAVGOBPSLGOPSBABIPK%BB%$
11110004.734.180.820.180.640.000.180.090.180.640.1960.2500.2390.4890.220144-16
3110005.005.002.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.4000.4000.4000.8000.400007
4110005.004.000.000.000.000.000.000.001.000.000.0000.2000.0000.2000.000020-98
5310004.003.330.330.330.000.000.000.000.670.330.1000.2500.2000.4500.111817-68
61182184.094.001.180.360.180.090.450.000.090.820.2950.3110.5000.8110.353202-1
7786143.863.860.860.140.290.140.430.000.000.710.2220.2220.3700.5930.238190-13
8110004.004.002.001.002.000.000.000.000.001.000.5000.5000.7501.2500.66725085
9110003.002.001.000.000.000.000.000.001.000.000.5000.6670.5001.1670.500033-5

Dylan Carlson Stats | Season

Dylan Carlson stats and 5x5 fantasy value from 2013-2022.
TeamPosGPAABHRHRRBISBCSBBSOAVGOBPSLGOPS$
2013 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
2014 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
2015 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
2016 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
2017 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
2018 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
2019 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
2020STLOF351191102211316118350.2000.2520.3640.616-14.7
2021STLOF14961854214479186521571520.2660.3430.4370.7806.1
2022STLOF381561443514211108230.2430.2880.3610.649-2.6

Dylan Carlson Stats | Monthly

Dylan Carlson 2022 fantasy value by month for 5x5 leagues.
GPAABHRHRRBISBCSBBSOBB%K%AVGOBPSLGOPS$
April18817314704104134.916.00.1920.2530.2600.513-0.1
May1972682172700495.612.50.3090.3470.4850.8339.1

Dylan Carlson Hitting | AVG vs BABIP

Players exceeding projected BABIP are more likely to see a regression towards Expected AVG. Vice versa.
ABBABIPBABIP (Proj)BABIP (Diff)AVGAVG (Expected)AVG (Diff)
1440.2730.290-0.0170.2430.258-0.015

Dylan Carlson Fantasy Baseball | Rest of Season Player Rater

$Pt. Shr.RHRRBISBAVGPos RkTot Rk
MLB 10 ESPN-1.8-2.4-0.3-0.8-0.5-1.30.058252
MLB 10 Y!-7.6-3.3-1.3-3.4-2.0-2.20.358421
MLB 12 ESPN1.2-2.30.7-0.40.3-0.50.259251
MLB 12 Y!-4.0-3.7-0.4-2.6-1.1-1.60.659400
MLB 14 ESPN4.2-2.21.40.21.10.20.461246
MLB 14 Y!-1.0-4.00.4-1.7-0.3-1.00.759315
MLB 15 ESPN5.8-2.21.80.51.40.50.661234
MLB 15 Y!0.9-4.00.8-1.30.1-0.71.059282
MLB 16 ESPN6.4-2.02.00.71.70.60.561237
MLB 16 Y!2.3-4.01.1-0.90.5-0.51.259268
AL 10
NL 1010.4-0.23.41.43.00.41.225110
AL 12
NL 1213.40.54.12.13.90.91.425103

Dylan Carlson Fantasy Baseball | Rest of Season Player Rater (non-standard 5x5)

$Pt. Shr.RHRRBISBAVGOBPOPSPos RkTot Rk
5x5 (OBP) ESPN 121.5-2.30.6-0.30.4-0.50.00.30.058144
5x5 (OBP) Y! 12-4.3-3.7-0.5-2.6-1.2-1.50.00.40.058143
6x6 (OBP) ESPN 121.4-2.80.5-0.20.3-0.40.00.20.059148
6x6 (OBP) Y! 12-4.4-4.2-0.6-2.5-1.2-1.50.20.20.058146
6x6 (OPS) ESPN 120.8-3.00.6-0.30.2-0.20.10.0-0.662155
6x6 (OPS) Y! 12-5.5-4.6-0.5-2.4-1.1-1.30.40.0-1.661152

Dylan Carlson Fantasy Baseball | Preseason Player Rater

Based on our adjusted Steamer projections for 5x5 leagues with 67/33 hitter/pitcher split.
$$/GPt. Shr.RHRRBISBAVGPos RkTot Rk
MLB 10 ESPN2.0-0.6-1.72.40.5-0.2-1.0-0.749213
MLB 10 Y!-1.6-4.7-2.62.1-1.2-1.3-1.4-0.850402
MLB 12 ESPN4.92.1-1.63.01.00.7-0.2-0.549199
MLB 12 Y!2.0-1.4-2.82.9-0.4-0.4-0.8-0.350240
MLB 14 ESPN7.34.5-1.53.21.31.30.5-0.149191
MLB 14 Y!5.11.5-2.83.50.20.4-0.20.350208
MLB 15 ESPN8.35.6-1.43.31.61.70.70.149190
MLB 15 Y!6.52.8-2.73.70.60.7-0.10.549203
MLB 16 ESPN9.56.9-1.33.41.82.01.00.449182
MLB 16 Y!8.24.5-2.73.90.91.10.30.949197
AL 10
NL 1014.28.00.65.12.63.21.11.32381
AL 12
NL 1216.69.41.55.53.14.01.51.42378

Dylan Carlson Fantasy Baseball | Preseason Player Rater (non-standard 5x5)

Based on our adjusted Steamer projections with a 67/33 hitter/pitcher split.
$$/GPt. Shr.RHRRBISBAVGOBPOPSPos RkTot Rk
5x5 (OBP) ESPN 125.93.3-1.42.80.70.6-0.21.047115
6x6 (OBP) ESPN 124.92.6-2.02.50.80.6-0.2-0.40.648123
6x6 (OPS) ESPN 123.81.7-2.32.40.70.5-0.1-0.3-0.548126
5x5 (OBP) YAHOO 123.20.1-2.62.8-0.6-0.4-0.71.147117
6x6 (OBP) YAHOO 122.2-0.7-3.22.4-0.4-0.4-0.7-0.40.649122
6x6 (OPS) YAHOO 121.2-1.3-3.82.3-0.4-0.4-0.20.0-1.148124

Dylan Carlson 2022 Projections | Preseason

GPAABHRHRRBISBCSBBSOAVGOBPSLGOPSBABIPK%BB%$Rank
Preseason (Steamer)14864656614287217352621480.2510.3300.4320.7620.30123105.5199
Preseason (Grey)56115883217140.2817.0164
Prospectonator

Dylan Carlson Fantasy Outlook For 2022

Grey Albright Player Summary
Looked at all the minor league fly ball rates, and the HR/FB% last year and nearly convinced myself that Carlson can grow into a 35-homer, .280 hitter, and then I looked at his Statcast page, and I started to worry he might hit 17/.240 with no speed. His average should keep getting better with his power, and if he were in a better park, I might’ve even wrote a sleeper post for Carlson, but his minor league 18% HR/FB might be hard to repeat in the majors, and his 37%-ish fly ball rate doesn’t give me the best of feels. Think the most optimistic step forward for Carlson this year is going from a .266 hitter to one who could sneak into the .290s.

Player data for Dylan Carlson maintained by | Updated:

2022-05-21