I’ve just never been a Matt Moore guy…

Uber-talented Moore has always gotten praise for his clean mechanics and smooth delivery, plus fastball, and solid slider, but it never materialized into good control and solid numbers.  Those horrible, horrible walks…  Moore’s K zone looks like a star chart!

After never ranking him favorably the past few years because of a 4.5 walk rate, yes 4.5, I thought the buzz for him off the DL from TJ recovery was too… buzzy.  I’m at a loss for words I’m so confused!  But I hadn’t seen him pitch since hitting the DL after two starts last year, and maybe a reconstructed elbow can help.  “He’s more machine now, than man!”  Well let’s hope it helps the horrific walk rate!  Here’s how he looked yesterday hosting the Astros, along with ranks for pitchers for the second half:

First Inning: Moore’s first pitch is a down and in 92 MPH fastball fouled back by Jose Altuve for strike one.  Moore hangs a change-up, then a 93 MPH fastball right down the middle is hit pretty hard to center, but Kevin Kiermaier drifting back has it for the first out.  Pretty hard hit to start it off.  92 MPH hits the inside corner on Marwin Gonzalez, 0-1 is 92 MPH just a tad low, 91 is inside, 83 MPH change-up flutters outside, and all the way down to 3-1.  Then a 3-1 92 MPH fastball is skipped to the catcher for a walk.  Yeesh, here we go.  Change-up stays high and outside to Carlos Correa, and that pitch hasn’t been close yet.  1-0 is a 89 MPH fastball in there, took some off just to get a strike, then whoa a 91 MPH fastball has catcher Curt Casali jumping to grab it, 2-1.  Control is all over the place.  Then a 2-1 fastball right down the middle towards the lower part of the letters is ripped to left for a double.  Gonzalez gets to third, and it hasn’t looked good at all.  Moore throws 89 MPH outside and Evan Gattis waves through it, then his first slider is a 79 MPH beauty that bends into the zone for strike two:

Moore-slider-1

I’m not sure why those haven’t been mixed in yet, maybe there’s fear for throwing those off TJ?  Then the 0-2 is another good slider, Gattis barely taps it towards third, Gonzalez is able to score, Gattis out at first, and Correa gets to third.  A little unlucky there – very weak contact, but runner at third went on contact to score the first run.  Fastball outside to Colby Rasmus, then even further outside, 2-0. Inside fastball ripped foul, fastball at only 89 is high and tight, then a nicely located fastball at 91 is popped up, it was in foul territory but gets lost in the Trop roof.  Crazy.  3-2 is popped back but gets out of play, then 3-2 again is an 89 MPH fastball too high to put runners at the corners.  Rough first inning – but in Moore’s defense of that walk, it would’ve been an out in any other stadium.  Chris Carter takes a 79 MPH slider that drops in there for strike one, and all 3 of his sliders thrown today have been his best pitches. Then a fastball at the knees is popped weakly to center, and Moore is mercifully out of the inning only giving up one run.

Second Inning: Hoping to get moore efficient (hah – I typoed that but didn’t want to change it), fastball is high to L.J. Hoes, heater again slashed foul, then his first change-up in the zone gets a routine grounder to short for the first out.  Finally locating the change!  Fastball way inside to Jake Marisnick, fastball on the outside edge is flared foul, and James Loney going into the stands barely misses it for a loud foul.  Loney made a kid cry in the stands jumping in there!  Then that sick slider with fantastic life gets a tap foul, 1-2.  That pitch has been located fantastic today!  Then Moore goes right back down there but with a 91 MPH fastball to get his first strikeout:

Moore-fastball

Very impressive bounce back inning thus far.  Slider stays barely high to Jason Castro for strike one.  Still had movement and looked good.  Fastball barely outside, then a heater on the hands jams the hell out of Castro, but it flares to left for a tough-luck single.  Fastball is perfect on the outside edge to Altuve as we go the second time through, then high heat gets Altuve to tomahawk under it for an easy fly to center to end the inning.

Third Inning: Now up 2-1, Moore starts Gonzalez with a fastball in there, huge bending slider breaks down and in, slider again is again down and in, 2-1.  Fastball is outside, yet another 3-1 count, but Moore gets a heater in there, 3-2 fastball inside is ripped foul, then a nice sinking fastball at 91 is cut over and missed for Moore’s second K.  What looked like a perfect slider is somehow called a ball to Correa, fastball inside, tough luck 2-0 count.  Fastball is then in there, change-up drops low, fastball tipped back fall, and another full count.  A lot of those today.  Then the 3-2 is a change-up, and Moore bounces it in.  Yikes, that’s two 3-2 walks on pitches in the dirt.  First-pitch fastball is popped up by Gattis, it might’ve stayed in play but hits a rafter and drops in the infield but when that happens it’s a ball.  That’s now two outs taken away by the Trop.  Yikes.  Slider skips in low, and now he’s lost the consistency with that pitch as well.  1-1 is a change-up, Gattis absolutely torches it to third, and Evan Longoria is able to save it from a double and knock it down to keep it a single.  Hard contact hit, but again it could’ve been an out that AB if not for the Trop’s terrible design.  There’s that good hook in there to Rasmus, fastball inside, fastball high, fastball up at 92 absolutely blows a swinging Rasmus away, then 91 on the outside edge gets Rasmus to wave through it for Moore’s third K.  So a chance to get out of it and Carter first-pitch swings at a fastball in the zone and hits a towering out to center to get Moore out of the inning.

Fourth Inning: At 58 pitches, Moore is in there at the knees with the heater to Hoes, then blows him away with heat again 0-2, then a great slider gets a weak chop on the third base line, Moore gets to it and makes a decent throw, but it hits Hoes in the butt for an infield single.  Right off the Hoes’ buttcheek!  I’ve said that phrase a few times…  And the Rays have a good case that Hoes was out of the running lane.  Anyway, Marisnick bunts one foul, fastball low, then Moore’s best change-up on the day dropping out of the zone at 82 gets a swing and miss, 1-2:

Moore-changeup

93 MPH is way outside as Moore tried to amp it up, fastball down the middle fouled back, a nice slider pulled foul, 2-2 again is another good slider bending into the zone and gets a lazy fly to right.  Fastball way outside to Castro, fastball in there, another good slider gets a groundball into the shift, but Jake Elmore makes a nice play to run to second to get the lead runner.  That was a tailor-made double-play ball, but Elmore was playing like a second baseman so they could only get the one.  Perfect slider drops in to Altuve, slider again tipped foul, then a high fastball at 92 is ripped to left for a two run shot.  Wow, why a fastball?!?!  Two great sliders, then a fastball hittable in the zone on an 0-2 count.  Terrible.  So now down 3-2, Moore is down and in to Gonzalez, then a fastball on the hands is hit to third to end the inning.

Fifth Inning: At 76 pitches, Moore starts Correa with a fastball way high, again high fastball but close to the zone is fouled back, change-up way inside, then fastball again is a lazy fly to right for an easy first out.  Fastball popped foul by Gattis, fastball low, then the 1-1 is that absolutely wicked slider at 79 MPH that got Gattis fishing:

Moore-slider-2

Slider again tipped foul, and slider one more time is pulled to third for an easy groundout.  Two down, and fastball is outside to Rasmus, 91 outside as well, then 91 again in the zone is hit pretty hard to center, but Kiermaier has it on the edge of the track to end the inning.  And that will do it for Moore who ends on a high note, and also picks up the W as the Rays took the lead in the bottom of the frame.

Final Line:  W  5.0 IP  88 Pitches (54 Strikes)  3 ER  5 Hits  3 Walks  3 K  Gamescore: 45   Gamescore+: 48.0

Final Analysis: Location, location, location…  Moore’s still as wild as ever, but even with the poor control, the line should’ve been a lot better.  He had two outs taken away by foul balls hitting/getting lost in the Trop roof, and right before the Altuve HR he had a perfect double play ball that the shift took away due to placement.  As usual with shorter outings, his Gamescore+ ended up a tad higher than his true Gamescore.

Moore’s fastball is at a career-worst 91.3 MPH.  According to Fangraphs, he also utilizes a cutter averaging 88.7 MPH, so a few of the fastballs I mention above were technically cutters, but they didn’t really do too much.  Moore struggled to locate either pitch, and even though he got a few Ks with heaters, the fastball is down a full 3 MPH since his first full season in 2012.  His off-speed stuff features a change-up that, well, didn’t look great.  The change-up GIF above was by far his best one, as he struggled to locate the pitch and keep it down.  But there was one major positive – the slider.  Fangraphs calls it a curveball, but it had sharp movement in the high 70s and was pretty consistent all afternoon.  He was dropping them in for strikes and able to bury them for whiffs.

You have to wonder if Moore is still a little concerned to throw too many of those great breaking balls.  It was his best pitch yesterday, and yet he wouldn’t go to it a third time to Altuve on 0-2, instead throwing a very hittable fastball that was crushed.  In the first inning, he hesitated going to them as well.  I’m worried this is going to be a lost season for Moore as he battles control and slowlly builds up confidence for the breaking ball.  That said, he could be a really interesting deep-league sleeper next year.  The stuff is there, but he still has the abhorrent control issues.  I couldn’t rely on him at all in standard leagues, but he remains in the bottom of the ranks for his smidge of upside in the second half.

Razzball Baseball

JB’s Updated Top 100 SP

(rankings for ROS based on 12-team Roto, green for risers, red for fallers)

RANK SP, Team
1 Clayton Kershaw, LAD
2 Max Scherzer, WAS
3 Chris Sale, CWS
4 Felix Hernandez, SEA
5 Corey Kluber, CLE
6 Madison Bumgarner, SF
7 David Price, DET
8 Gerrit Cole, PIT
9 Zack Greinke, LAD
10 Chris Archer, TB
11 Jake Arrieta, CHC
12 Matt Harvey, NYM
13 Cole Hamels, PHI
14 Jacob deGrom, NYM
15 Sonny Gray, OAK
16 Johnny Cueto, CIN
17 Carlos Carrasco, CLE
18 Francisco Liriano, PIT
19 Jose Fernandez, MIA
20 Dallas Keuchel, HOU
21 Carlos Martinez, STL
22 Michael Wacha, STL
23 Michael Pineda, NYY
24 Jon Lester, CHC
25 Masahiro Tanaka, NYY
26 Danny Salazar, CLE
27 Jeff Samardzija, CWS
28 Jason Hammel, CHC
29 James Shields, SD
30 Jordan Zimmermann, WAS
31 Tyson Ross, SD
32 Alex Wood, ATL
33 Garrett Richards, LAA
34 Noah Syndergaard, NYM
35 A.J. Burnett, PIT
36 Shelby Miller, ATL
37 Trevor Bauer, CLE
38 Gio Gonzalez, WAS
39 Taijuan Walker, SEA
40 Lance McCullers, HOU
41 Jose Quintana, CWS
42 Jake Odorizzi, TB
43 Stephen Strasburg, WAS
44 John Lackey, STL
45 Collin McHugh, HOU
46 Scott Kazmir, OAK
47 Julio Teheran, ATL
48 Lance Lynn, STL
49 Mat Latos, MIA
50 Andrew Cashner, SD
51 Kyle Hendricks, CHC
52 Ubaldo Jimenez, BAL
53 Mike Fiers, MIL
54 Vincent Velasquez, HOU
55 Carlos Rodon, CWS
56 Yordano Ventura, KC
57 Patrick Corbin, ARI
58 Phil Hughes, MIN
59 Eduardo Rodriguez, BOS
60 Rubby De La Rosa, ARI
61 Jimmy Nelson, MIL
62 Nate Karns, TB
63 Erasmo Ramirez, TB
64 Wei-Yin Chen, BAL
65 Kendall Graveman, OAK
66 Kyle Gibson, MIN
67 Andrew Heaney, LAA
68 Cody Anderson, CLE
69 Anibal Sanchez, DET
70 Jesse Chavez, OAK
71 Chris Heston, SF
72 Marco Estrada, TOR
73 Hisashi Iwakuma, SEA
74 Hector Santiago, LAA
75 Robbie Ray, ARI
76 Kevin Gausman, BAL
77 Dan Haren, MIA
78 Matt Cain, SF
79 Aaron Nola, PHI
80 Chase Anderson, ARI
81 Edinson Volquez, KC
82 J.A. Happ, SEA
83 Ian Kennedy, SD
84 Ervin Santana, MIN
85 Mike Leake, CIN
86 Jake Peavy, SF
87 Doug Fister, WAS
88 Michael Montgomery, SEA
89 Drew Hutchison, TOR
90 Justin Verlander, DET
91 Matt Moore, TB
92 C.J. Wilson, LAA
93 Jaime Garcia, STL
94 Nathan Eovaldi, NYY
95 Bartolo Colon, NYM
96 Yovani Gallardo, TEX
97 Danny Duffy, KC
98 Mike Bolsinger, LAD
99 Taylor Jungmann, MIL
100 Mark Buehrle, TOR

Dropped Out: Steven Matz, NYM (yup, torn lat scares me that much, he might only have 5 more starts this year – if that), Clay Buchholz, BOS (same deal – partially torn flexor, it could be a while), Jesse Hahn, OAK (rough couple weeks for injuries!), Joe Blanton, KC (Eesh, my bad.  In my defense, his velo through 7 relief appearance and one start was about 91.5, then it fell to 90.7 when I made my call to 89.7 when it collapsed in Houston.  And never the same again.  Lost it.), Alfredo Simon, DET (talk about losing it!), Trevor May, MIN (bullpen, although they said it wasn’t a season-long decision, but I think it could be), Aaron Sanchez, TOR (seems more and more likely he’s going to the bullpen as well), Matt Shoemaker, LAA (read Sanchez, Aaron), Joe Ross, WAS (the fact he didn’t immediately get the call to fill in for Strasburg tells you they hate him), Aaron Harang, PHI (we knew it’d fall apart, but not like this!)

  • At the halfway point, and technically more than halfway through the season, it’s at the time where injured pitchers just aren’t worth the hold in redraft.  Minor things like a groin for Jaime Garcia, and nothing elbow-related to Stephen Strasburg have them still in, but with some steep drops.  Any arm issues are just too scary.
  • I know I’m a little clumpy with new guys coming in/big risers, but it’s right where the Andrew Heaney and Kyle Gibsons of the world seemed to fit.  Man, Heaney was one of my worst calls last year, but he’s 1-1.5 MPH faster on all his pitches since last year and looks much better.
  • I’ve been enamored with James Shields‘ Ks to the point I hadn’t looked enough at his career-worst walk rate at over 3 per 9.  Embracing his inner Trevor Bauer!
  • It’s about time to pour one out for Garrett Richards, who I thought could crack into the top 10 at some point.  No indicators, well, indicate that he should be much better.  But I’d still hold as an owner.
  • Man, Wei-Yin Chen gives up a ton of homers, but has otherwise been ridiculous this year.  Although even with his HR rate at 14%, his xFIP is still over a run higher than his ERA.  But the career-best K rate gave him a boost in the ranks.
  • I think Cody Anderson is for real.  As in, like a 3.50 ERA guy rest of the way, with not a great but usable K rate.  Love his fastball/cutter mix.  But certainly only in the streaming class for now.
  • Geez, I guess I have to take Hector Santiago a little more seriously…  All-Star bias!  His BABIP is still insane low, but Ks up, BB down (from last year) – I think he can be OK.

It’s great to be back!  Am I still too anti-Moore?  And a lot of shake-ups in the ranks; be sure to let me know if I missed anyone big!  Rick Porcello doesn’t count…  Thanks for dropping by, and catch ya after the All-Star break Razzball Nation!

118 Comments
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Eric B
Eric B
6 years ago

Just taking a shot to see if I could get a lil’ advice prior to tomorrows updated ranks. Here Vinny V is getting recalled Tuesday. Is he worth re-acquiring, noticed you still had him ranked pretty high. I streamed Jungman tonight after adding Hendricks earlier this week. My roster is below:
Staff
P Kluber
P Cole
P Bauer
P Salazar
P T. Walker
SP Odorizzi
SP Hendricks
RP Chapman
RP Britton
Bench RP Melancon
Bench RP Miller
Bench SP Lackey
Bench SP Jungman

So Vinny V, Corbin, Gausman and Graveman are out there. Making a move to add one?

Crapshoot Kershaw
Crapshoot Kershaw
6 years ago

in a 14 team dynasty where my kept staff is
rodon/vince V/j.garcia (he was too good to drop if he’s back soon, but wait till you see how good what’s out there)/iwakuma/arrieta/hendricks (stream spot) along with
darvish (DL)
stephenson/berrios (NA’s)

who’s the best two out of these to keep, i can still stream the rest: vince/garcia/hendricks/sky walker/jungmann/peavy/ray/chavez/gausman?
QS and K/9 also categories.

Crapshoot Kershaw
Crapshoot Kershaw
Reply to  Crapshoot Kershaw
6 years ago

@Crapshoot Kershaw: heston/niese/karns/locke/milone/wisler/george of the roses/rubby/hughes/hellickson/montgomery/happ/corbin/hutch.

Crapshoot Kershaw
Crapshoot Kershaw
Reply to  Crapshoot Kershaw
6 years ago

@Crapshoot Kershaw: other streamers listed last.

JoeG414
JoeG414
6 years ago

Lost Hahn. If Peavy can stay healthy , could he be a nice 2nd half sleeper ? He’s starting Sat @ Az , do you like at least like that start ? Deep daily mixed 6×6 roto.

Ryan741
Ryan741
6 years ago

JB, quick trade opinion for a H2H points keeper league. I would be trading Kershaw/Shields for DeGrom/Zimmerman/Syndergaard. I could keep DeGrom in the 3rd and Syndergaard in the 12th next year. I have both Kershaw and Max as 1st rounders next year, so I would get to keep one of them as my 2nd. Can’t decide between that or keep one in the 1st plus DeGrom/Syndergaard. Your thoughts…

Ryan741
Ryan741
Reply to  JB Gilpin
6 years ago

@JB Gilpin I’m 3rd in total points for the season, but tied for the last playoff spot with 3 other teams. My schedule the last 6 matchups is pretty easy, so I’m torn about going for it this year since I’m the reigning champion, but I’d like to stock up for next year. Either way, it’s hard moving Max or Kershaw since they are easily the 2 best SP in our league, plus Sale. It’s hard to trade either one…..

Nightpandas
Nightpandas
6 years ago

JB

Got an offer of Shelby for my Rodon. It is a partial keeper as both guys would be maybes (keep 11)

Cats: W L Era Whip K K/9 QS

Peter Nincompoop
Peter Nincompoop
6 years ago

What’s good JB? Late to the party here, but wanted to get your two cents on my SP staff as I’m thinking about dropping a player to pick up Smyly and stash him on my DL for August/September. I’m in really good shape for the playoffs in my 10-team, H2H, Keeper, QS league so can afford a temporary drop in the long-week after the break.

I got Sale, Zimmerman, Pineda, Lester, Samardzija, Salazar, McHugh and Heston.

I know you liked Smyly in the pre-season, and when he was temporarily back, he pitched well. If stashing him now could save me some auction $ when it counts, I’m all for it. Is dropping Heston or McHugh to pick up Smyly worth it in your opinion?

Superb stuff per usual…appreciate your help!

Raindoggg
Raindoggg
6 years ago

Brett Anderson?

Fawn
Fawn
6 years ago

Need some 12 team h2h advice. Steals/net steals. Saves/net saves
Drop any guys for Nola, Giles, will smith, pomeranz,Jesse Chavez, Jungman, bolsinger, gausman

Pitchers are
Carrasco, Thor ,Ventura, e-Rod, Hendricks, fiers
Axford,holland,Ziegler

C- Lucroy,
1B – Encarnacion,
2nd – Odor,
3rd -Arenado
If – pujols
Ss – alcides
Of – upton , yelich , soler, bruce,
Util – choo
Bench Khris Davis, dyson, deshields (3 game series in col on Monday),cron

SDB
SDB
6 years ago

JB!

What range in your pitcher rankings do you see as a fair trade for Carlos Santana (note: in a league that inlcudes both AVG and OBP as categories).

Thanks in advance!

Chucky
Chucky
6 years ago

12 team Dynasty forever. Would you drop Buerle, Ventura, Oddorizzi or Anibal for Cashner? Not overly concerned about the keeper aspect of the deal. Needing to stay in contention is my primary objective.

Crimson Fratellis
Crimson Fratellis
6 years ago

I never should have started Wade Miley again. Apparently I was suffering from stuphoria.

Sky
Sky
6 years ago

NO YOU’RE THE DOMEONE!

Sky
Sky
Reply to  JB Gilpin
6 years ago

It was a great one, really, and no shade to the guy who did it. Might have to use it myself some time!

Skeezix
Skeezix
6 years ago

Hey JB, great stuff! I’m targeting some rookies, and I’m interested to see you’ve got Velasquez ranked ahead of Heaney. Guys I’m considering selecting in my mid-year draft are Heaney, Velasquez, Jungmann, and Montgomery – probably in that order (though only one of them). Thoughts on ROS value for these guys? Keeper value is not relevant – just ROS.

Skeezix
Skeezix
Reply to  JB Gilpin
6 years ago

@JB Gilpin: Thanks JB. Also a question on Corbin – you seem to have pretty high hopes on a quick recovery for the second half?

dom
dom
6 years ago

I’ve been offered Tyson Ross for McCullers in a 12 team h2h with W, L, QS, IP, K, ERA, WHIP cats. Tempting because I’m not sure if McCullers is on an IP limit and Ross may actually be pitching when the h2h playoffs come around?

dom
dom
Reply to  JB Gilpin
6 years ago

@JB Gilpin: thanks, it ended up being a package where I gave up McCullers Syndergaard Cueto Freddie Freeman for Keuchel Pineda Ross and Votto. Syndergaard I heard is def on an 180 IP limit and I just feel better about the playoffs with the rookies off. Votto is a big OPS league upgrade over Freeman cuz I’m worried about his wrist and the rest of Freeman’s lineup is complete trash. Hopefully Keuchel isn’t too much of a downgrade from Cueto the second half. ok drunk history of my team is over

Crapshoot Kershaw
Crapshoot Kershaw
Reply to  dom
6 years ago

@dom: that show rules (drunk history)

Lando
Lando
6 years ago

When Joe Ross gets called up again, where do you think he’ d be on the list?

greg
greg
6 years ago

Last word on FIP…lot of sites show discrep. between actual ERA vs. FIP as signs of regression etc. And I disagree on some….guy has better ERA than FIP, well, maybe he has great D around him….for fantasy purposes, I don’t care how he’d fare on a gold glove other team, just the one he’s on….

And another…some guys with LOW Fips and HIGH ERAs…they say, “he, he’ll turn it around, look at that discrepancy.” No, he won’t. Not if his fielders suck. Used to pitch, watching hits that should be outs and frequent errors drains you….affects other things.

I must be overally tired and overally chatty late at night…

greg
greg
6 years ago

(wait, I have 5, I drafted JoeFer on the DL, too….Kluber, DeGrom, Archer, CMart, JoeFer. With Matz and Bucholz I was in the clouds but still doing well….and too many good pitchers out there, this year, so no, I can’t move anyone for a bat)

But I would rather have Eduardo Rodriguez than Cashner I think….

greg
greg
6 years ago

I am sorry, but I think you have Rodon way too high….he hasn’t shown any signs that he can get his control issues under well, control….really, how many games has he had with 4 walks or more? Besides….I dropped him, and if he DOES do that well, I’m going to be annoyed. Ha.

Through trades, I got Kluber, and I drafted “low” on DeGrom, Archer, CMart, call it hunches, so I have 4 out of your top 21. Nice since I lost Rendon (after he came back), Miggy, Springer, then Matz, Bucholz, and Grilli. Lacking saves, power, rbis now, but hey, got wins, era whip….

And I wonder…you really think Cashner will bounce back? What are his issues, and why will they improve?

Lastly, I had a thought today. FIP doesn’t mean as much as people make it out to be. Because a lot of the guys with higher eras out there, and lower FIPs, aren’t “bad luck” they pitch for teams with CRAPPY defense. And that isn’t going to change…so either is the other stuff…people laud the Giant’s defense, especially at home. So the ERAs at ATT are loooowww..(see Chris Heston)….I dunno….my point is: there are some LOUSY fielding teams out there this year…A’s…for one, and a few others. All things being equal, I’d rather have the guy with the Crawford-Panik automatic double play tandem than Semien to god-knows-who into the stands….

Or maybe I don’t understand FIP. I mean, you can say, wow, he doesn’t deserve that ERA, but if the team fields amazing, then, well, he’s going to continue it, deserving or not, isn’t he? He’s blessed to be on a team that gets more outs than they “should.”

Asking on Cashner (won’t trust Rodon) because I took Erasmo after Matz went down (no complaints at all) and Gibson after Bucholz (his periphs are trending up…k/9 etc), but looking at your chart, I should have Cashner instead…even if Pads can’t field either. ;)

Happy ASB

Nitro
Nitro
6 years ago

ROS

E Santana
Velasquez
Nola
all streamers?

Thank you

Stubby Clapp
Stubby Clapp
6 years ago

Helpful list. But you’re mistaken about Buchholz. He doesn’t have a partially torn flexor. He only has a sore elbow. According to Rotoworld, he will most likely only miss one turn through the rotation.

Gordon Shumway
Gordon Shumway
6 years ago

Was curious to see who you’d have ranked lower- Bucholz or Matz, but I see that they’ve both been booted from the top 100. With only 1 DL spot, who would you stash? Thanks!

handsome ed
handsome ed
6 years ago

19 guys in front of Dallas Keuchel, domeone hasn’t been paying attention!!!

Ante GALIC
Ante GALIC
6 years ago

JB!

Super write-up!!

So Heaney and Quintana for the second half if available, huh?

Cheers,
Ante

Don Julio
Don Julio
6 years ago

need to pick 2 out of the 4 of these guys for the second half: Montgomery, jungman, Eduardo rodriguez, corbin. (corbin and rod are available to pick up, I have monty and jung).

my thought on corbin is that hes coming off TJ and will take a lil while to wear off the rust, and have an innings limit. you have him ranked the highest out of the three though.

I know you have junbgman way down there but theres something about him that I like (beast of a kid from texas, top draft pick, just turned in a bad ass performance at LA).

thoughts?

Eric B
Eric B
6 years ago

What up JB. Just dropping, in good stuff as always but this time it just felt like(wait for it…) Moore.

Ok so lets jump right into my roster. I could go either way drop a bat and add an arm, swap out a couple of my current players for others etc. As always I appreciate your advice. My roster is below…

5×5 12 Team HTH w/ OBP
Bats
C McCann
1B Y. Grandal
2B Kipnis
3B Santana
SS Aybar
OF Pollock
OF Calhoun
OF Cepesedes
OF Betts
Util Melky
Util Soler
Util Sano
Bench Avisail Garcia
Bench 2B/SS/3B Semien
DL Freeman
DL Springer
DL Stanton

Staff
P Kluber
P Cole
P Bauer
P Salazar
P T. Walker
SP Odorizzi
SP Graveman
RP Chapman
RP Britton
Bench RP Melancon
Bench RP Motte
Bench SP Montgomery

Possible adds from wire: maybe CJ Cron on O
Wire pitchers: Hendricks, Erasmo, Nola, maybe Gausman

I figure on O Melky and Avisial are the most expendable but Im hesitant to give up either unless it’s an upgrade to my roster, eventually I hope to have my DL sluggers back but for now its about tweaking my roster to stay in the playoff race.

As for SP’s I know Hendricks and Erasmo are rated higher than either Graveman or Monty but that below 50 it gets pretty open to interpretation. I can drop a bat and Monty if you feel llike say Hendricks and Erasmo do more for my staff. I could also lose Motte and Monty and hold my bats. And finally I could drop a bat, add Cron and then drop Motte and Monty to add Hendricks and Erasmo…ok so thanks for taking my post,I’m gonna just log off and listen.

Eric B
Eric B
Reply to  JB Gilpin
6 years ago

@JB Gilpin: Thanks for the reply/advice JB, have a good one. I’m sure I’ll be checking back in towards the end of the week.

Eric B
Eric B
Reply to  JB Gilpin
6 years ago

@JB Gilpin: Hey JB, well I didnt quite make it till the end of the week before I checked back in lol. Any who I just made a trade wanted to see what you thought. I flipped Melky, Magic Mike and Motte for RP Andrew Miller and SP John Lackey. Makes my roster now look like this:

5×5 12 Team HTH w/ OBP
Bats
C McCann
1B Y. Grandal
2B Kipnis
3B Santana
SS Aybar
OF Pollock
OF Calhoun
OF Cepesedes
OF Betts
Util Avisail Garcia
Util Soler
Util Sano
Bench 2B/SS/3B Semien
Bench
DL Freeman
DL Springer
DL Stanton

Staff
P Kluber
P Cole
P Bauer
P Salazar
P T. Walker
SP Odorizzi
SP Graveman
RP Chapman
RP Britton
Bench RP Melancon
Bench RP Miller
Bench SP Lackey

So after processing tomorrow morning I’ll have an open bench spot and I’m looking at 3 players: Dyson(steals), Cron(power) or Hendricks(decent arm). How would you rank those three as it relates to my roster needs?

Eric B
Eric B
Reply to  Eric B
6 years ago

@Eric B: Make that 4 players because someone just dropped Corbin, so one spot for either Dyson, Cron, Hendricks or Corbin.

Eric B
Eric B
Reply to  JB Gilpin
6 years ago

@JB Gilpin: Added Dyson, would you add Hendricks over Graveman. You have Hendricks rated 14 spots higher and he is still available in my league.

Eric B
Eric B
Reply to  JB Gilpin
6 years ago

@JB Gilpin: I’m picking up what you’re laying down JB!

Eric B
Eric B
Reply to  JB Gilpin
6 years ago

@JB Gilpin: Meant to mention Corbin is out there too.

Sange76
Sange76
6 years ago

Asking around and your the pitching guy!
12 team h2h points keeper league. I added my possible keeper rounds for next year. Can only keep 3….

C. S. Perez
1b pujols
2b d. Gordon (rd 8 k)
3b Seager
Ss Alexei Ramirez
oF matte
Of Brantley (rd 9 keeper)
oF Adam jones
Ut c. Santana 1b/3b
Ut sano 3b rd (Rd 10 k)
Bench y. Tomas 3b/of (rd 11k)
Bench c. seager ss (rd 12 k)
P scherzer
P Arrieta
P Garrett Richards
P carrasco
P Teheran
P Ervin Santana
RP tolleson
RP Cody Allen

Offer is my Richards and Flores for Tulo and Heaney. He’ d prefer carrasco. Do I do the deal with either carrasco or Richards? I can counter to try for Tyson Ross instead of Heaney…..worth it?
Or do I stick hard to my Original deal or bust?

Thanks!

Sange76
Sange76
Reply to  JB Gilpin
6 years ago

@JB Gilpin:

Thanks! So if he pushes hard for carrasco, do I just stay as is with a sick staff, or do I give in on carrasco to land Tulo?

Sange76
Sange76
Reply to  JB Gilpin
6 years ago

@JB Gilpin:

Gotcha. Much appreciation. I’ll see what I can pull off. But if it comes down to It, with my roster, gun to our heads….do you do carrasco and Flores for for Tulo and Heaney?

chadaristic
chadaristic
6 years ago

So when is Nola going to get the call?

I’m ready to drop Chavez for him.

griff
griff
6 years ago

What type of fantasy SP do you tyink Nola will develop into? A SP2 or SP3? Trying to get a handle on him and there seems to be a variety of opinions. Some sites say stash him and act like he is going to be an Ace, others have more tempered outlooks. Any thoughts?

Zeus
Zeus
6 years ago

JB great write up. Trying to trade Votto in an OBP league for a pitcher. Which group would you target? Obviously based on if the ther team needs ObP?

Chucky
Chucky
Reply to  Zeus
6 years ago

Similar situation in a 12 team dynasty. Someone offered me Pineda, even up, but I turned him down. OBP here as well. It certainly wasn’t an unrealistic offer. I may live to regret that. Votto appears to have thrown in the towel. Wait until Cueto, Chapman and Bruce are gone.

ferris
ferris
6 years ago

Dynasty – keep 20 (12 teams)

Keep Matt Moore?

fork
fork
6 years ago

Hey man, what would you think about this trade?

Jorge Soler and Jose Fernandez (and possibly Cesar Hernandez)
for
Mitch Moreland, Jimmy Paredes, Michael Pineda, and Kolten Wong?

fork
fork
Reply to  JB Gilpin
6 years ago

@JB Gilpin: It’s a 10 team league. Here is the rest of my roster:
C: Stephen Vogt
1B: Adrian Gonzalez
2B: Jose Altuve
3B: Josh Donaldson
SS: Carlos Correa
2B/SS: Hanley Ramirez
1B/3B: Miguel Sano
OF: Brett Gardner
OF: Jorge Soler
OF: Joc Pederson
OF: Billy Burns
OF: A.J. Pollock
UTIL: Cesar Hernandez
Bench: Kelly Johnson
DL: George Springer

P: Clayton Kershaw
P: Aroldis Chapman
P: Matt Harvey
P: Tyson Ross
P: Jake Arrieta
P: Cody Allen
P: Francisco Liriano
P: Jose Fernandez
P: Kenley Jansen
P: Danny Salazar
P: Noah Syndergaard

My pitching and lineup is pretty solid, but i’m just trying to bolster my team for the playoffs.

roger roger
roger roger
6 years ago

Carlos Martinez has unexpectedly become the backbone of my rotation. (Felix, Carrasco, Shields have all been more erratic, even if at least two of them seem like surer bets.) Should I be worried about him getting shut down at some point before the end of the fantasy season? (Keeper league, so I’d be really hesitant to deal him unless absolutely necessary.)

Scott
Scott
6 years ago

What do you think about Brett Anderson? Just some good matchups lately?

dem ribbies
dem ribbies
6 years ago

In a QS league would you be higher on Jaime Garcia? He and guys like Bhuerle don’t crack the top 100 and are yet like top 30 options in QS leagues. Guys like Wood and Ross w/ the K upside are nice, but they tank the ratios and are like 50/50 on the QS.

Guess I’m saying, ok to drop my wood for Garcia?

dem ribbies
dem ribbies
Reply to  dem ribbies
6 years ago

@dem ribbies: when i say don’t crack, i mean “barely crack the top 100” they’re there but in a 10 teamer they seem almost unownable in the 90’s…

Scott
Scott
6 years ago

C-Mart finally overtakes Wacha! I’ve got them both in my NL-only league, and C-Mart has been way more valuable.

Crimson Fratellis
Crimson Fratellis
Reply to  JB Gilpin
6 years ago

@JB Gilpin: Dude, I thought you were the conductor of the train!

Cool Hunk
Cool Hunk
6 years ago

Buxton was just dropped in my 12 team redraft. Should I use my #1 Waiver priority on him? My OF definitely has room to improve (Reddick, Heyward, Revere, Ethier, Dickerson DL)

Michael
Michael
6 years ago

Why so low on Iwakuma? I know he had a rough first start off of the DL but his second start was sterling and his numbers the past two seasons have been pretty impressive. If you knew he was fully healthy would he have a large boost in the rankings or do you have other concerns?

Peter Nincompoop
Peter Nincompoop
6 years ago

Great write-up and glad you’re back!

Stringer
Stringer
6 years ago

Can you shed some light on Fiers being 53 overall? Seems to have nice strikeout upside, but his control has been awful and pitches in an awful park. Any signs that he repeats that strong second half he put up last year?

Also, who are you more confident in making a second half turnaround: Wood or Richards? Both guys have been pretty frustrating to own so far…..looking to deal one for Pujols in a points league that favors strong pitching.

Thanks for all you do JB!

los locos
los locos
6 years ago

Matt Moore is another Tim Linecum, was a fan when he first was brought up looked great and he strikes out 10 walks 6.

Wow, surprise start on Andrew Heaney, I grabbed him in his first start, then dropped him a day later for Hendricks (cubs) cause of his two start status, which I should of dripped Fiers instead. I couldn’t get him back, so I missed out, oh well it happens.

Been thinking of dropping Fiers for Quintana, and streaming Chavez and Hendricks..

10 team keeper league (k/9) Can keep 4 offensive or 3 pitching or vice versa. Heaney would of been great to hold onto, but I think I Kershaw, Darvish, Strausburg and Salazar isn’t too shabby.

Not much on waivers: CJ Wilson, Quintana, Erasmo and Hughes are the big names. The guys who intrigue me are Milone, Haren Karns and Jungman.

Starters
Kershaw
Salazar
Bauer
Chavez
Fiers

Closer
KRod
Miller

Bench
Strausburg
Hendricks
Boxberger
Darvish DL

Sean
Sean
6 years ago

Robbie Ray has some interesting underlying peripherals. His fastball velocity is up 2MPH over last year due to a mechanical adjustment. I think the change and improvement could be for real. What are your thoughts?

Sean
Sean
Reply to  JB Gilpin
6 years ago

@JB Gilpin: You’re right, the HR rate is like 3%. However the wOBA of righties is actually 264 which is lower than lefties which is 267. It is something to keep an eye on as he throws more innings. He looks like he might have a bit of a split with better road performances. He’s probably a streamer, but hoping the adjustment in mechanics fuels his improvement.

CMUTimmah
CMUTimmah
6 years ago

100% agree on your thoughts of Moore since day one. We play in a league that penalizes walks (head to head, Walks and K/Walks are categories.) Pitchers like Phil Hughes/Mark Buehrle have much higher value in this format because even if they get hit they carry stellar K/BB rates and almost never hurt you in the walk categories. IF he can keep the ball in the park a little better in the second half leagues with these kinds of settings make Hughes/Buehrle top 50 pitchers easily.

Velasquez is a guy that is a buy in my opinion. He’s got a history that shows his wild start is probably due to nerves. He pitches much better out of the windup than the stretch, so keeping free passes down will greatly impact his ratios in the second half. I see him finishing in the top 50 and no, I don’t own any shares of him currently to taint my opinion.

Nola is my mystery man. I picked him up as a stash (deeper benches) in my head to head league anticipating that post all star break call up. I assume he’s going to be pitching in front of a quad A lineup the rest of the season, so I’m not super bullish about his roto potential, but if he keeps his ratios down, he’ll be a nice second half asset for my squad. For reference the top pitchers on the wire are Nelson, Elias, Tillman, etc… it’s not pretty.

Gausman is out there, I’m considering trading one of my middle of the pack pitchers for a bat, and snagging him.

B the Esq
B the Esq
6 years ago

Great write-up! When he first came in the league I was caught up in the Moore hype. Even had him on my DL for a while this year…..ended up letting him go after his first start back and haven’t looked back.

10 team H2H keeper. Keep 5 then 5 under a series of rules for rookies from prior years: round drafted or last round if FA pick up, move up 5 rounds each year.

Current pitching staff is Greinke, Lester, Eduardo Rodriguez, C-Mart, Shark, Fiers, Kershaw, Kazmir, Hammel and Nola. Currently have Paxton, Aaron Sanchez and Yordano in DL slots.

Yordano is no longer DL eligible, and on Yahoo cant make any moves with him in my DL spot until I drop him or drop someone else to activate him. So……..drop Yordano or drop someone else to activate him? If so, who? Yordano was a last round keeper coming into the year, so he will move up 5 rounds next year.

Yordano in the 20th or 25 rounds better value that Nola or E-Rod in the last round?

Thanks!