The top 60 outfielders for 2021 fantasy baseball are roughly around the top 150th overall to about the 225th overall mark. That’s in your late third outfielder to early fourth outfielder range, or very early fifth outfielder and did you even draft any other position? You might be doing this all wrong. Here’s Steamer’s 2021 Fantasy Baseball Projections for Hitters and 2021 Fantasy Baseball Projections for Pitchers.  All projections included here are mine, and where I see tiers starting and stopping are included. Anyway, here’s the top 60 outfielders for 2021 fantasy baseball:

NOTE: All 2021 fantasy baseball projections are based on a 162-game season, and will be until we hear definitively there will be less games.

NOTE II: All my rankings are currently available on Patreon for the price of a Starbucks coffee, if you get one of those extra grande frappuccino jobbers. Don’t wait for the rankings to come out over the next month, and get them all now.

NOTE III: Free agents outside the top 100 are not yet written up or projected. They are approximately ranked, obviously subject to change.

41. Mike Yastrzemski – This tier started in the top 40 outfielders for 2021 fantasy baseball. This tier ends at Davis. I called this tier, “Any song that gets better after a third listen.” As for Yaz Jr. Jr., very sleeper outfielder will be compared to the likelihood they will be Trent Grisham. There’s Grisham-to-be, unlikely-but-possible-Grisham, and won’t-be-Grisham. For example, Mike Yastrzemski will be a won’t-be-Grisham. A “will be” is a “won’t be?” Yes, he will one hundred percent be a won’t be. Yaz Jr. Jr. could be valuable, I might draft him if I need power, but he’s nowhere near the same type of player as Grisham. Last year the Giants hit Yaz Jr. Jr. leadoff, and the only reason they did, that I can ascertain, is a nod to Joe Maddon batting Schwarber or Rizzo leadoff in Chicago a few years back. If you want Maddon to manage your team just ask him, and stop making overtures. Yaz Jr. Jr. should be a cleanup hitter, or even a three-hole hitter. Unless you want to see someone hit 25 homers, leading the club in power, and having only 60+ RBIs. 2021 Projections: 76/23/87/.267/3 in 581 ABs

42. Victor Robles – It’s pretty wild that the Nats still have Jim Bowden fluffers twelve years after the fact. His shadow is as long as his dipshittery. Robles is an unlikely-but-possible-Grisham. The UBPGs framework hangs predominantly on the ability to slip anyone into the Grisham cast and allow for it to harden into a recognizable shape after someone else points out who it is. “Hey, Robles could go 17/30/.255. That sounds very Grishamian.” Nope, that’s UBPG, because it was only after you compared him to Grisham did I actually see it. A key element to the Grisham Laws of Sleeperness are recognizing someone who might be a Grisham without it being pointed out. Once someone points out a possible Grisham, it’s very difficult to backtrack and make them a Grisham-to-be. Grisham-to-be’s have to be organic. 2021 Projections: 73/18/70/.230/21 in 562 ABs

43. Leody Taveras – Already gave you my Leody Taveras sleeper. It was written while on a six-person party bike. 2021 Projections: 87/13/48/.253/26 in 587 ABs

44. J.D. Davis – Already went over him in the top 20 3rd basemen for 2021 fantasy baseball.

45. Kyle Schwarber – This is a new tier. This tier goes from here until Kepler. I call this tier, “Have you seen this show called The Sopranos on HBO?” By the tier name I mean, how long have you been living off-the-grid in a dumpster to not know these guys? As for Schwarber, here’s what I said this offseason, “Signed with the Nats. (Schwarber) hit .188 last year, but last year was two months and I’d crumple that up and toss it in the nearest garbage can. Schwarber is who we think he is. If you don’t know who he is, welcome to baseball. It’s a sport played with a ball. Sometimes that ball is doctored so it can do things no ball should be able to do, but sometimes the players are doctored to hit the doctored ball. But if players are doctored, they could get fined, but if the ball is doctored, it’s fine, assuming it’s the league doing the doctoring.” And that’s me quoting me! 2021 Projections: 80/32/94/.239/3 in 503 ABs

46. Clint Frazier – Here’s yet another guy who makes me so confused when I see insane enthusiasm for anyone due to their 60-game season. If you’re just out here prorating stats, Frazier just had a 32/12/.265 season. “Did you know if you were to say hello to everyone you ever saw, you’d be saying hello every second of every day for 285 years?” That’s Mr. Prorater making up some prorating. But I’m not making up prorating with Frazier. He might’ve broke out last year, and, even though it feels like he’s been around forever — wasting his time saying hello to people perhaps — he’s still only 26 years old. His FB rate and HR/FB don’t quite back up him hitting 32 homers, and the Yankees are low-key Bud Blacks playing every garbage veteran over Frazier, but at this price I love Clint AL Eastwood. UPDATE: With the signing of Brett Gardner, I tweaked Frazier down a little bit (removed 75 ABs). It’s so frustrating that the Yankees won’t just play Frazier. He’d be the number one outfielder on some teams. Stop giving me an ulcer, major league teams! 2021 Projections: 62/21/67/.264/6 in 434 ABs

47. Yasiel Puig – FREE AGENT 2021 Projections:

48. Max Kepler – I could’ve put Kepler and Yaz Jr. Jr. in their own tier called, “Guys who are not prototypical leadoff hitters, who are inconceivably thrust into that role.” Kepler is even more of an odd fit since his lineup is filled with better options. Ryan Jeffers prolly makes more sense leading off than Kepler, but here we are, or rather, there Kepler is. Any hoo! Kepler is a 30-homer, .250 hitter. Established in 2019. Where you been? 2021 Projections: 91/31/71/.247/3 in 549 ABs

49. Tommy Pham – This is a new tier. This tier goes from here until Carlson. I call this tier, “Instacart bringing you raw kabocha juice.” In the bleakness of winter, you reached into the fridge and picked up something called Strawberry Serenity raw kombucha juice that your wife bought. “Serenity comes in Strawberry flavor?” You thought to yourself. Then, after one sip, you were transported to an island in the South Pacific, being fanned with palm fronds by bare-chested natives, as you played poker with a black & white Humphrey Bogart. This isn’t that tier. This is you ordering another kombucha, and them accidentally bringing you kabocha squash juice, which is mealy and gross. As for Pham, let’s take a stab at this–I mean, um, let’s discuss his offseason. He needed surgery on his wrist. He injured himself ‘making it rain’ at a strip club where he was stabbed. You couldn’t pay me enough in singles or Lincolns to draft him. 2021 Projections: 61/17/72/.257/12 in 461 ABs

50. Michael Brantley – Re-signed with the Astros. A team other than the Mets, Padres or Jays signing someone? Ron Burgundy, “I don’t believe you.” Brantley doesn’t get a huge bump in value but he gets a silent nod and–Wait, what does a silent nod mean again? Fastball? Change? These new non-trash can signals are tough to decode.  2021 Projections: 86/21/72/.291/5 in 501 ABs

51. Joey Gallo – As someone who was fully out on Gallo last year because I assumed the park in Arlington would play like a pitchers’ park, and was worried what would happen when pitchers were better vs. Gallo, how much do you think I’m in on him after my concerns were confirmed? To give you something to make you feel smarter than your other fantasy baseballers (<–my mom’s term!), if there’s a roof in Texas, it won’t be as insanely hot during the summer, which will be less of a toll on pitchers. That makes pitchers better. Also, the dimensions in Arlington are not great, either, but that’s less of a concern for Gallo since he averages about 550 ft/homer. 2021 Projections: 71/34/87/.204/7 in 507 ABs

52. Dylan Carlson – Struggled with where to rank Carlson. I wanted to be far enough down on him in the non-sexual way to not give any of youse a tough choice on whether to draft him or not. Since this tier was smallish and the next tier is bigly, I decided to rank him here because ranking him all the way into the top 80 outfielders seemed slightly crazy, even though I want no part of him. If you follow my rankings, there’s no way you draft him here, so I’m good with it. For unstints, if you get this late and Carlson is available, there’s no way Reyes, Solak or Leody or others are taken already, so you’d have to be ignoring who I say to draft to make some kind of point to draft guys I’m out on. You drafting or you spiting me? As for Carlson, here’s my Dylan Carlson fantasy. I wrote it on a lifeboat.  2021 Projections: 69/17/72/.272/8 in 467 ABs

53. Hunter Dozier – This is a new tier. This tier goes from here until the top 80 outfielders for 2021 fantasy baseball. I call this tier, “Big Bird is an accidental cannibal.” There’s no way Big Bird eats so much to be that big and has never accidentally eaten poultry. It’s impossible. Imagine Big Bird at a buffet and just casually eating meatballs to maintain his girth then afterwards, the waiter refilling his glass of Fanta, casually says to him, “Did you enjoy the ground chicken meatballs?” Big Bird might try to spit it up, but he’s already ingested bird, and that’s not the first time that’s happened to him. This tier is also big and it’s impossible to not cannibalize at least a few of these guys. As for Dozier, already went over him in the top 20 1st basemen for 2021 fantasy baseball.

54. Garrett Hampson – Already went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2021 fantasy baseball.

55. Trey Mancini – Already went over him in the top 20 1st basemen for 2021 fantasy baseball.

56. Raimel Tapia – He’s become a ground ball, worm-killing machine, but with his speed it’s fine. It does take away a lot of his supposed power upside, and there might be fear that PETA gets in his head with graphic photos of dead worms as he stares out the team bus window. “Their heads grow back, don’t they?” That’s Raimel looking at a dead worm’s photo as the rain beats against the bus window, making it look like he’s crying. 2021 Projections: 81/8/53/.287/20 in 541 ABs

57. Jarred Kelenic – Already gave you my Jarred Kelenic fantasy. It brought sexy back, then lost it again. Note: Because I am a horny old man for upside, I refuse to let anyone rank Kelenic above me, and, with news coming that he might get the Kris Bryant Treatment (trademark pending), which is kept in the minors for only three weeks, I moved Kelenic up and gave him an extra 60 ABs from his rookie outlook post. All aboard the hype train! 2021 Projections: 52/16/56/.269/14 in 396 ABs

58. Austin Hays – The only thing stopping Austin Hays from being a top 25 outfielder is the fact he’s never even been close. Of course, all guys are top 25 outfielders that just haven’t been top 25 outfielders yet. Also, all outfielders who haven’t been top 25 outfielders yet are not top 25 outfielders until they are. Is this confusing you? Cool, it confused me. Steamer projections for Hays (22/11/.256) are borderline top 25 outfielder. His raw power (60-grade) and speed (55-grade) are there. He’s even hit .272 in 74 career major league games. Could I see a 30/15/.295 season from him? I could. I could also see… 2021 Projections: 74/19/53/.278/8 in 531 ABs

59. Willie Calhoun – Like a urologist talking to an older man, I still believe in this Willie. Last year was a weird year all around, and, if you don’t know that, can I trade brains with you? Calhoun only hit one homer in 29 games, but he was hit in the face with a pitch in Spring Training, then strained his hamstring during the season. And you thought your 2020 was bad. He still hit 21 homers in 83 games the year before, and even though we’ve been waiting for him to breakout for the last gazillion years, he’s only 26. Sadly (for him and his drafters), he has little to no speed, so it’s gonna be a best case scenario 30/.280-type year, which I’d obviously take. He’d have to move mountains with his counting stats to come close to being a top 25 outfielder, but just because someone hasn’t been a top 25 outfielder before it doesn’t mean–Okay, I’ll stop talking in Sphinxesque riddles. 2021 Projections: 71/25/84/.261 in 515 ABs

60. Jesse Winker – How long can the charade go on with Votto as the Reds’ three-hole hitter? The chaReds, if you will, but it’s prolly best you don’t. Their lineup has, like, five guys better suited as their three-hole hitter. It’s just out of habit now, and it’s not even the same mothereffer’s habit. David Bell’s doing it now, and he picked up that habit from Bryan Price, who picked it up from Dusty Baker. Dusty Baker is currently managing two major league teams! Winker’s Launch Angle went up, but still not high enough for a big fly ball rate. Actually, he has a pretty sad one, which is why he’s ranked here and not maybe 25 spots higher. There’s an outside chance he grows his power like last year (12 homers in 54 games), and regains his plate discipline that could produce a .280+ average. 2021 Projections: 64/24/75/.277/2 in 471 ABs

Continue to the TOP 80 OUTFIELDERS FOR 2021 FANTASY BASEBALL

 
  1. c says:
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    My main man Sam Hilliard is going to drop a 25/20 year this year and be a top-15 OF guy.

    Hey, i can dream, right?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Sadly, your dream appears as Bud Black’s nightmare, for some unknown reason

  2. c says:
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    Total side note: Does Calhoun (Willie) still have OF eligibility?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yes

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        I think at least, did he not play OF last year?

        • Will says:
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          8 games in the outfield, 21 games at DH. So depending on league rules he might qualify at outfield.

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            Yeah, I have him ranked for OF

  3. Ante GALIC says:
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    Grey!!!

    Sorry late to the party, I was born late too. [True story, I was due on Jun 13 at 11pm but the doctor delivering me was at a soiree and didn’t get to the hospital until 2am all the while screaming ‘it’s only Ante, what’s the big hullaballoo!’]

    a. Free Willie!

    b. More like Jesse Wanker, but I would not kick 25/.277 out of bed!

    c. Have a nice weekend! Rain planned for us all weekend, so we’re doing indoor sports! Goofy.

    d. MLB quote of the day for January 29, 2021

    1. Steve Sax, born January 29, 1960

    ‘He was a machine, Saxy, in and out every day. I don’t know how he did it. He gave 100 percent one day. The next day, he comes back and gives 110 percent. I thought, ‘Where does this guy get all this energy?’ It was unbelievable. He’d hit a grounder, and he’s flying to first base. Doesn’t matter if we’re down one run or up 10 runs. This guy was the best.’

    Teammate Alfredo Griffin in Miracle Men: Hershiser, Gibson, and the Improbable 1988 Dodgers (Josh Suchon, Triumph Books, 05/01/2013, Page 141)

    2. Jose Abreu, born January 29, 1987

    ‘He’s (Jose Abreu) a difference-maker. He’s such a quality at-bat. His power is unbelievable. He can take so many different pitches and just take you yard. You obviously respect what he can do. He’s changed the complexion of their lineup and allows some of their other players to do other things as well. When you have a guy like that in your lineup, anchoring it, in a way it’s kind of like what we have in Detroit with Miggy anchoring our lineup. He’s only getting better and unfortunately that’s a detriment to us.’

    Max Scherzer (Dan Hayes, 07/14/2014, ‘Miguel Cabrera: Jose Abreu’s start is ‘amazing’, Source)

    3. Tony Pierce, born January 29, 1946

    ‘While attending Jordan (Vocational High School), his curveball enabled him to set pitching records that still stand, including striking out five batters in one inning. Upon graduation from high school, he signed with the Kansas City A’s as a major league pitcher.’

    Columbus Ledger-Enquirer (02/02/2013, ‘Tony M. Pierce Obituary’, Source)

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Haha, did they scream free willie?

      B. Damn, destroyed him

      C. You too, rain here too, sad trombone

      D. Happy birthday Jose! That is some newspaper title there, Dan Hayes

      • Ante GALIC says:
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        Grey!!

        a. I know on the title, I was confused.

        1. Is the story about Jose Abreu or Miggy?
        2. Was Miggy saying Abreu was excellent or was Scherzer saying it?

        Anyway, happy b’day Jose.

        b. So, the final list of tv series I found is as follows.

        1. Dead Still – Irish/Canadian series about a photographer who photographs the dead with their family as a final send off. All of a sudden, the people who are dying (that the photographer is taking pictures of) are somehow related and a detective starts working with the photographer to see if there is any way they can catch the killer before his next move. So, that’d be a yes!

        2. Tom Clancy’s Jack Ryan. Didn’t see that season 2 was out so that is a definite Y-E-S.

        3. McDonald and Dodds – British 2-part season 1, she is the Deputy Chief Inspector and he’s her lackey and they solve murders together.

        4. Mystery Road – seasons 1 and 2. Side note: Found better subtitles that don’t require subtracting 10 seconds from each entry!!!

        5. The Pale Horse – two-part Agatha Christie tv series. What could go wrong?

        Cheers,
        Ante

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          A. Haha

          1. Yeah, I have no idea — HBD, Jose!

          Jack Ryan was solid
          Don’t know the other ones, you’ll have to tell me if any good

  4. moleman says:
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    grey, solid work as always. do you and the other writers go back to read and respond to _new_ comments on _old_ articles? i ask because Yahoo fantasy baseball is now open, and they’ve been pretty, pretty liberal with the position eligibility. to stop burying the lead; Gleyber Torres has 2B eligibility thanks to the games he played there…in 2019. 1) should i be posting this upcoming question in the 2B rankings? and 2) where does Gleyber rank in your 2B rankings?

    • Jr says:
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      I read something from Yahoo that nobody is losing eligibility because they didn’t meet the requirements in the shortened season. So everyone just keeps what they had at the end of last season.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Seriously? That’s so goofy…They’re just too lazy to update the system

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Nah, ask questions for me on my newest post

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      BTW, Gleyber’s around Dylan Moore

  5. BBHHI says:
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    Grey,

    AL-Only 5×5 Auction league with 8 keepers per team.

    Going into auction, I have zero speed, so I’m planning to use OF for a bunch of affordable guys with speed and hope I hit the lottery, after filling infield spots with higher $ consistent production – think Abreau, etc. Who do you recommend chasing?

    Victor Reyes, Austin Hays, ???????

  6. Jr says:
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    So Yahoo Fantasy Baseball went live yesterday and made an interesting decision about position eligibility. They decided that nobody will lose eligibility they gained in 2019 due to not meeting the requirements to keep it in 2020.

    So Machado and Bregman keep SS, Franmil keeps OF, Gleyber keeps 2B, etc.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      So wild, and they are so checked out on their product

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Good on Franmil tho, I guess

        • Jr says:
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          Haha i know right? They’ve always been weird with their eligibility, but this one just seems lazy. I have manny and Franmil in a dynasty so I’m not upset about it, but still…

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            Yeah, they just don’t feel like updating their system — 100% laziness

  7. Dong Show says:
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    Flipped Lynn for Arozerna in a dynasty. Have gotten some positive feedback on that. Think I am finally buying into the skill set (my fear was he’s another Laureano clone or pulls an Aqunio tank job) but I think he has legit super star stuff based on everything I’ve read and his obvious 2020 results.

    Whats your quick take on that trade Grey?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Sounds solid

      • Dong Show says:
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        Appreciate it Grey! Enjoy you weekend

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          You too!

    • Jolt In Flow says:
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      Good swap. Arozarena in the 3 spot with spring training and proper prep time added in should be a big difference maker for you. I think Lynn may regress even though it may not be much. Last year may end up being his best year in his 30s.

      Jolt

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Jolt of approval!

        • Dong Show says:
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          Love the reassurance from both of you and everyone else who has seemingly weighed in on the inter-web over this topic. Thanks Jolt!

  8. LaRockakis says:
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    Mancini!

    Feels great to type that again.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Haha, he’s back! …I think

      • Denver90 says:
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        Mancini: Healthy

        I’m here all week

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Haha

          • Denver90 says:
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            The way you brilliantly use the written word, I knew you’d appreciate that.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Haha, thanks!

  9. Milarky says:
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    OK, I’m probably a bit early with my keeper question, but I’ve read enough of your 2021 rankings to have an idea of who you’re going to recommend, but want to check anyway. Unfortunately I think my slam dunk keepers are Story (yay!) and Bregman (uh oh), and now I have to pick two from the following players:

    Matt Olson
    Anthony Rizzo
    Keston Hiura
    Jose Altuve (obviously not when I read your rankings!)
    Giancarlo Stanton (DH only to start)
    Austin Meadows (you explicitly tell me not to draft him!)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Olson, Hiura

  10. MrBaseball says:
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    Hey Grey Bud and stay safe

    KEEP 10 ONLY – so who do you love man

    Pete Alonso NYM – 1B
    Eugenio Suárez Cin – 3B
    Jeff McNeil NYM – 2B,3B,LF,RF
    Will Smith LAD – C
    Franmil Reyes Cle – RF
    Gavin Lux LAD – 2B
    Bobby Dalbec Bos – 1B
    David Dahl Tex – LF,CF,RF
    Jo Adell LAA – RF
    Carter Kieboom Was – 3B,SS
    Lance McCullers Jr. Hou – SP
    Nick Anderson TB – RP
    Dustin May LAD – SP,RP
    Kirby Yates Tor – RP
    Eduardo Rodriguez Bos – SP
    Kwang Hyun Kim StL – SP

    Roster Positions: C, 1B, 2B, 3B, SS, LF, CF, RF, Util, SP, SP, SP, RP, RP, RP, P, P, P, BN, BN, BN, BN, BN, BN, BN, IL, IL, IL, IL, NA

    Batters Stat Categories:
    Runs (R),
    Doubles (2B)
    , Triples (3B)
    , Home Runs (HR)
    , Runs Batted In (RBI),
    Stolen Bases (SB),
    Batting Average (AVG
    On-base + Slugging Percentage (OPS)

    Pitchers Stat Categories:
    Wins
    (W), Saves (SV)
    , Strikeouts (K),
    Holds (HLD)
    , Earned Run Average (ERA)
    , (Walks + Hits)/ Innings Pitched (WHIP)
    , Strikeouts per Walk Ratio (K/BB)
    , Quality Starts (QS)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Thanks! You too!

      Pete Alonso NYM – 1B
      Eugenio Suárez Cin – 3B
      Jeff McNeil NYM – 2B,3B,LF,RF
      Will Smith LAD – C
      Franmil Reyes Cle – RF
      Gavin Lux LAD – 2B
      Lance McCullers Jr. Hou – SP
      Nick Anderson TB – RP
      Dustin May LAD – SP,RP
      Kirby Yates Tor – RP

      • MrBaseball says:
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        thankss man – i missed a player

        Eddie Rosario – does he make a difference

        • MrBaseball says:
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          David Dahl very sad – he should have been almost great

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            Yeah, Dahl’s done

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Can you wait to see where he signs? He might factor in

          • MrBaseball says:
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            sure

  11. molina bros bbq says:
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    Grey,

    Finally signed up for the season today. Thanks for your posts I enjoy reading you every day leading up to and during the season.

    Fingers crossed for a full 162 this year and for a safe, fun season.

    …aaaaaannnd then probably a work stoppage in 2022, Doh! Hoping they can get their acts together and figure it out.

    Positive thoughts, positive thoughts!

    Happy almost weekend.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Positive thoughts! Yeah, I’m not hopeful for 2022, but will cross that bridge when we come to it — you too!

  12. RoarOf84 says:
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    Looking for some keeper help.

    10-team, h2h, 7×7 where each team can keep 5 players with their cost escalating by two rounds in the draft every year. Undrafted players who are added via free agency are automatically 20th rounders.

    Pitching cats: W, SV, HLDs, ERA, WHIP, K/9, QS
    Hitting cats: R, HR, RBI, SB, BA, OPS, Hits

    Need 5 of the following (round is in parenthesis):
    Flaherty (16)
    Hiura (18)
    Vlad (20)
    Plesac (20)
    Julio Rodriguez (20)
    Franco (22)
    Syndergaard (22)
    Tucker (24)
    Pearson (24)
    Mize (26)

    I’ve also been in talks with another owner about acquiring Buehler (15). The initial return he wants is Franco, Mize, and Syndergaard. Am I giving up too much?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Flaherty (16)
      Hiura (18)
      Vlad (20)
      Plesac (20)
      Tucker

      • RoarOf84 says:
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        Any thoughts on the Buehler deal? I see none of the guys in the trade offer (Franco, Mize, Syndergaard) were included in the keepers you think are best. Should I do the deal and replace one of them with Buehler (15)?

        Who do you think has the better long term value – Vlad or Wander?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Deal sounds fine, you’re not keeping those — Wander, prolly, but your league is not deep enough to be worrying two years in advance

          • RoarOf84 says:
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            You replacing Hiura or Plesac with Buehler?

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Plesac

  13. Dan says:
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    In a dynasty points league do you like Solak or Victor Reyes more? If Reyes develops a little more power I could see him outpacing Solak atop a growing tigers lineup. I’d imagine most would say Solak though

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Solak prolly, but I think that’s very close

      • Dan says:
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        Thanks!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          No problem

          • Dan says:
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            I read your sleeper postand rankings on Dylan Moore.

            Would you still take him over both Solak and Victor Reyes in dynasty beyond this year? Any concern he gets squeezed for At bats by France, Long or a f/a signing (Wong?)

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              I like Moore a lot, but Wong would hurt him prolly, did he get signed there?

              • Dan says:
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                Thanks! Don’t think Wong has signed but saw a few articles linking him to mariners. Got offered Moore for v Reyes straight up. Thinking new to hold until I see how that straightens out.

                But like Moore a more in a vacuum too

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  I like Moore uh more

  14. Mike Rager says:
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    Grey! Can only keep 12 … thoughts?
    ose Abreu
    Eugenio Suarez
    Luke Voit
    Jose Altuve
    Trea Turner
    Christian Yelich
    Mike Trout
    Juan Soto
    Giancarlo Stanton
    Yu Darvish
    Trevor Bauer
    Luis Castillo
    Brandon Woodruff

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      So throw one back? Altuve

      • Mike Rager says:
        (link)

        Not worried about Stanton’s health … or just looking at massive upside as no doubter?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Him or Altuve? Him, and yes upside is nice

  15. Ryan741 says:
    (link)

    Grey, need a trade opinion in a points keeper league. Currently one of my keeps is Buehler with a 12th round value. I have an offer for a 1st round pick where I’d be looking at a Freeman/Arenado/Scherzer/Bauer type. I could then keep either Burnes or Paddack or possibly Gore in the 15th round. With SP innings probably capped for a guy like Buehler, should I trade him and draft a SP who should log more innings and keep a guy like Burnes instead?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Freeman/Burnes is better than Buehler for 2021, Buehler at 12th round is pretty great tho, kinda depends on league size and other factors

      • Ryan741 says:
        (link)

        Would you rather keep Burnes in the 15th or Gore in the 15th? I know you have Burnes ranked much higher this year (love the early Patreon release BTW), but at that value it almost makes more sense to hold Gore long term. It’s not like Burnes will be throwing that many innings this year anyway.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Burnes in 15th, who knows with a prospect arm like Gore…He should be a top 10 SP, but so should caasey mize, matt manning, etc

  16. Sweatpants Nation says:
    (link)

    Have you seen Lupin. Just finished it. Not bad. It’s dubbed but still ok.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      It’s only dubbed if you don’t switch audio controls… Same for all netflix shows, you have to manually switch it…I watched it…Strained believability for me, but wasn’t awful

      • Sweatpants Nation says:
        (link)

        Yeah, somewhat. You mean you didn’t buy his escape from prison? Haha. Still found it worth while. Certainly, not a top 10.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Was listening to a podcast that mentioned how he could’ve just went and visited the guy in prison vs. actually going into prison

          • Grey

            Grey says:
            (link)

            Oh, and he ripped the net off the rim like NBD, it was so silly

            • Sweatpants Nation says:
              (link)

              That was pretty dumb. Most people need a ladder an like 5 minutes to do that.

              • Grey

                Grey says:
                (link)

                Haha, yeah, hasn’t anyone seen the end of March Madness?

                • Sweatpants Nation says:
                  (link)

                  Another silly part was the kid getting so into a dusty old book from the 1800’s. What kid reads like that? And those books are usually boooooring except to Lit majors.I think the next book on his list is Vanity Fair,
                  Wait a minute. Upon further analysis, Lupin is a comedy of the absurd!

                  • Grey

                    Grey says:
                    (link)

                    Haha, yup! It had so many holes of nonsense…But it was entertaining!

                    • Sweatpants Nation says:
                      (link)

                      And French! Haha

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Haha

  17. Harley Earl says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey I need a little help here in a Keeper league.

    We keep 6 forever.

    Hitting Categories are: R, H, HR, RBI, AVG. SB, OBP. SLG, On the pitching side: W, SV, HR, Ks, HLD, ERA, WHIP, QS.

    I’m having a tough time deciding which to keep because it’s determined by round. I can keep these players in the round in parenthesis. I need six. Your opinion is greatly appreciated because you put me on to a couple of these guys last year (Teoscar, Lewis).

    1, Trevor Story (1st round)
    2, Jack Flaherty (2nd round)
    3, Luis Robert (4th round)
    4, Fernando Tatis (8th round)
    5, Lourdis Gurriel (12th round)
    6, Keston Hiura (13th round)
    7, Kyle Lewis (17th round)
    8, Ryan Mountcastle (18th round)
    9, Marco Gonzalez (18th or 19th round)
    9, Jared Kelenic (19th round or 20th round)
    10, Teoscar Hernandez (19th or 20th round)
    11, Wil Myers (18th or 19th round)

    Thanks for the help!!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      1, Trevor Story (1st round)
      2, Jack Flaherty (2nd round)
      3, Luis Robert (4th round)
      4, Fernando Tatis (8th round)
      6, Keston Hiura (13th round)
      5, Lourdis Gurriel (12th round) or Kyle Lewis, only real question mark

      • Harley Earl says:
        (link)

        Thanks Grey. Appreciate the input.

        What about Kelenic in the 20th? That’s where I really was unsure … obviously Lewis and Gurriel are more established. But could Kelenic be better?

        That last spot has me bumfuzzled.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Yeah, he could be better, but bird in hand

          • Harley Earl says:
            (link)

            Thanks.

            I’ll probably stick with Gurriel, but I like to gamble so if Kelenic makes the opening day roster, I just might roll with him! That”s probably how I’ll play it. Thanks again!

  18. Jon says:
    (link)

    Advice on where I can save some dollars? I have a really competitive roster (10-team league) but I’m bumping up against our max budget before a full roster. By the way, it may seem like a ton of starters but league meta is we tend to run 10 starters and 5 relievers (give or take). I don’t have to keep 10 guys, though… Where would you save some money to fill out the empty roster spots?

    C Grandal $10
    1B Abreu $23
    2B Lowe $12
    3B Bregman $20
    SS Lindor $25
    MI
    CI Suarez $16
    OF Yelich $35
    OF Betts $30
    OF Acuna $10
    OF Meadows $7
    DH Happ $2

    Bench x3

    SP Cole $34
    SP Carrasco $22
    SP Berrios $20
    SP McCullers $14
    SP Woodruff $11
    SP Price $11
    SP Civale $11
    SP Taillon $2
    SP Lopez $2
    SP Keller $1

    RP Pressly $4
    RP x4

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      1B Abreu $23
      2B Lowe $12
      3B Bregman $20
      SS Lindor $25
      OF Yelich $35
      OF Betts $30
      OF Acuna $10
      OF Meadows $7
      Cole, Woodruff

  19. Sweatpants Nation says:
    (link)

    Oh Man. Daniel Murphy retired. Here is his quote

    “This is a beautiful game, and I really just feel humbled and blessed that it let me jump on the ride for a little bit,” Murphy tells Martino. “It’s beautiful. It can teach you about so many things. And all I can say is, thank you.” He later added, “I was also able to take a lot of Rockies money that would have been better spent on pitching while also blocking lots of prospects. So, you know, a win-win. Amen”

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haha, nice

    • Will says:
      (link)

      His 2015 post season performance remains one for the ages.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        Was he the first “Guy who left Mets to be spectacular?”

        • Will says:
          (link)

          No, his 2015 post season was with the Mets.

          “He appeared in all 14 of the Mets’ games and posted a combined .328/.391/.724 batting line, belting seven home runs and a pair of doubles while scoring 13 runs and knocking in 11. Incredibly, Murphy homered in six consecutive playoff games during that Herculean performance — including a go-ahead, sixth inning shot of Zack Greinke in the decisive Game 5 of the NLDS and one in all four games of the Mets’ NLCS sweep of the Cubs. “

          • Grey

            Grey says:
            (link)

            I meant what he went on to do right after he left, but yeah crazy postseason

            • Will says:
              (link)

              Believe me I remember. He destroyed the Cubs that year.

              • Grey

                Grey says:
                (link)

                Yup!

                • Sweatpants Nation says:
                  (link)

                  That performance was so magical the Mets didn’t re-sign him! Haha.
                  Then he goes to the best park for hitters and becomes a dud.
                  Are the Rockies the Mets, just at higher elevation?

                  • Grey

                    Grey says:
                    (link)

                    HAHA

  20. Richard says:
    (link)

    OK, I need an expert opinion on a strategy that you have probably seen a lot in auction Formats. Usually the top stars are brought up one after another to “soak up”the fantasy managers monies. What is your opinion on the eventual salary of a player, who’s average draft position is beyond 100, brought up in the first 2 to 3 rounds of the auction. Will his salary be be more or less than the salary that he would’ve eventually had if he was brought up in the eighth or lower rounds of the auction. In other words can you get a decent third or fourth outfielder cheap because everybody’s holding onto their cash to bid on Yelich or are you likely to overpay because everybody still got a lot of dough?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Throw out high-priced players that you don’t want early to get others to spend their money, usually there’s a guy or two at end of tiers that goes for under their price…3rd or 4th OFs usually go at discount, but guys with flashy names are getting bid up either way

  21. Malicious Phenoms says:
    (link)

    Daniel Murphy retired

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yeah, mentioned above

  22. Will says:
    (link)

    Given that the Cubs just replaced Schwarber with Schwarber ver 1.1 in Joc Pederson I’ll be interested to see where you rank Pederson. They are essentially the same player only Pederson is a bit more useless versus left handed pitchers. Nearly idential career BA, OBP, SLG and OPS.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I just wrote him up for Patreon — was shocked to see how useless he was vs. righties last year

      • Will says:
        (link)

        So his .180 BA and a .683 OPS against righties doesn’t excite you??? LOL Such is the state of the Cubs in 2021…

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Haha, it’s crazy that he’s a ‘righty killer’ and he does that

  23. Stratomatics says:
    (link)

    You seem to be pretty up on this fantasy baseball stuff; have you or anyone your aware of come up with a verifiable successful roster construction strategy for best ball.

    Great stuff as always

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I won a Best Ball league last year drafting as I draft for a 12 teamer redraft

  24. Stratomatics says:
    (link)

    You seem to be pretty up on this fantasy baseball stuff; have you or anyone your aware of come up with a verifiable successful roster construction strategy for best ball.

    Great stuff as always

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks!

  25. 183414 says:
    (link)

    How bad does an Arenado trade to the Cards affect him ?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Not especially…Maybe 3-4 less HRs, .15 points on AVG…few less runs/RBIs

  26. Scott Kimmel says:
    (link)

    Grey,

    I am trying to use your player auction values but cant put the players names in alphabetical order. Can you help

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Alphabetical order? What do you mean?

  27. Scott Kimmel says:
    (link)

    when l go to your auction values and rankings,the players are listed in dollar amount order, i want to put them in alphabetical order

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Click name column and it re-sorts

      • Scott Kimmel says:
        (link)

        i did and its not doing that

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Ah, I see, it doesn’t…Okay, see box under Name? You type in a name and it sorts to that player

  28. My redheaded stepchild AJ not getting any love. I know, I know, hasn’t ever really stayed healthy, but looked good at the plate (16 jacks) in a small sample. Thinkin the light came on.
    I’m callin it: 80 / 30 / 80 / 12 / .265 and no DL in ’21!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      30/12?!

      • Optimistic, but somebody said they thought something clicked for W. Myers last year. I feel that way with AJ. Looks more confident and comfortable at the plate. Shortened his stroke and improved his bat speed. Love his current price tag. Once upon a time, way back in ’15 he went 111 / 20 / 76 / 39 / .315!
        Has more power now, but less speed. Opt-Outs outfielders rock!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Yeah, I like him too…Yeah, ’15 Myers feels like a long time ago, but 25/10/.270 is doable

  29. Joc to the Cubbies is OK with me. Not sure why, but when he awkwardly stares at his bat it reminds of that dude on Full Metal Jacket and his rifle! Won’t miss him

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haha, nice!

  30. SteveNZ says:
    (link)

    Sheesh – you can get 30 home runs quite a long way down it seems.

    • 30 HRS may be wishful thinking on my part NZ, do like Pollock to at least come close.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      SteveNZ loves AJ Pollock!

  31. Is It Baseball Season Yet? says:
    (link)

    I was looking over projections for J-Ram here and at Fangraphs.

    The Tribe lineup doesn’t inspire and is going to struggle to score runs. I think it’s being optimistic that J-Ram can get to 90 Runs and 90+ RBI.

  32. ryan says:
    (link)

    In my 14 team h2h dynasty league we need to cut our team down to 27 players prior to our rookie/fa draft. I am currently at 37 players. Which 10 players do I drop to get me down to 27? My players are below.

    ronald acuna
    juan soto
    bo bichette
    ozzie albies
    rafael devers
    luke voit
    max muncy
    austin meadows
    mike yastrzemski
    yuli gurriel
    omar narvaez
    robert puason
    erick pena
    andrew vaughn
    aaron bracho
    luis matos
    julio rodriguez
    jeter downs
    max scherzer
    brandon woodruff
    julio urias
    ryan pressly
    sixto sanchez
    patrick corbin
    nathan eovaldi
    elieser hernandez
    brandon kintzler
    blake taylor
    garrett crochet
    antonio senzatela
    deivi garcia
    daniel espino
    george kirby
    edward cabrera
    carlos rodon
    luis patino
    jon gray

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      carlos rodon
      luis patino
      jon gray
      antonio senzatela
      erick pena
      kintzler
      robert puason
      daniel espino
      george kirby
      Taylor

      I’d run it by one of our prospect guy for his opinion too

  33. Let's Play Two says:
    (link)

    For Yahoo league settings, what’s a reasonable Innings cap for pitching in a shallow 6-team league? I think there will be 3 or 4 SP; 2 P and 2 RP slots.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      1200 IP

      • Let’s Play Two says:
        (link)

        Thanks.

        Also, will you have an update to Story’s projections after CO moving Arenado.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Not yet

  34. DonnieB says:
    (link)

    I think I will be owning a lot of Nolan Arenado this year with him going in the third round. I think I like him in St. Louis just fine. Agree? Thanks…Patreon is a great site!

  35. Scott Kimmel says:
    (link)

    Grey,

    I just got a trade offer: I give up Javier Baez ($33) for Teoscar Hernandez ($6). Make the deal?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Sounds decent if you need that extra $

  36. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey – looks like that other owner is willing to trade his $13 Xander + $10 Voit for my $19 Bieber. (12 team roto, keep forever, $260 budget).

    If I go forward with that move (replacing Bieber with Xander and Voit), who are your 7 keepers from the below?

    $32 Acuna
    $19 Story
    $10 Eloy
    $31 Machado
    $13 Xander
    $10 Voit
    $4 Burnes
    $12 Cookie
    $19 Snell
    [other guys I like below but figure I can re-draft them close to their keeper salary]
    $17 Ryu
    $6 Gausman
    $24 LouBob (drafted him last year for $21, so I’m assuming little keeper savings + that I could redraft him for around $24 this year, right?)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Sounds decent… Acuña, Story, Eloy, Machado, Xander, Voit, Ryu

      • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
        (link)

        Thanks! And I assume you still like those 7 (keeping mostly hitters) vs not trading Bieber and keeping Bieber Ryu Burnes, right?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Yeah

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