The top 40 outfielders for 2021 fantasy baseball is roughly around 75th overall to around the 150th spot overall to give you an idea of the big picture. There will be outfielders to draft and outfielders to ignore with convoluted reasons, as you’ve come to expect and eventually respect. Here’s Steamer’s 2021 Fantasy Baseball Projections for Hitters and 2021 Fantasy Baseball Projections for Pitchers. All projections included here are mine, and where I see tiers starting and stopping are included. Anyway, here’s the top 40 outfielders for 2021 fantasy baseball:

NOTE: All 2021 fantasy baseball projections are based on a 162-game season, and will be until we hear definitively there will be less games.

NOTE II: All my rankings are currently available on Patreon for the price of a Starbucks coffee, if you get one of those extra grande frappuccino jobbers. Don’t wait for the rankings to come out over the next month, and get them all now.

NOTE III: Free agents outside the top 100 are not yet written up or projected. They are approximately ranked, obviously subject to change.

21. Brandon Lowe – This tier started in the top 20 outfielders for 2021 fantasy baseball. This tier ends at Biggio. I called this tier, “Miss Martian.” As for Lowe, already went over him in my top 20 2nd basemen for 2021 fantasy baseball.

22. Cavan Biggio – Already went over him in my top 20 2nd basemen for 2021 fantasy baseball.

23. Aaron Judge – This is a new tier. This tier goes from here until Meadows. I call this tier, “Forever …” Ya know when you’re waiting for someone to respond to you over text and you see those three dots, and you’re waiting and waiting and waiting, and start to lose your shizz? That’s this tier, but those dots are there forever and you will never get a response. The Waiting for Godot of texts. I wanted to rank these two guys even lower, but, if you’re following my rankings, there’s plenty of guys above this tier for you to draft. For unstints, if you get to Aaron Judge, and Castellanos, Lowe, Blackmon, Lewis, Conforto and so many others are already gone, then you’re drafting with 12 Greys. Could you have them call me? I haven’t heard from them in a while, and hope they’re doing well. As for Judge, seriously, who’s still drafting this guy? You glutton for punishment? Gluttony is a sin and your gluttony is torture. Hire a guy to flog your back with a cat o’ nine tails like every villain in a Dan Brown book, and stop drafting Aaron Judge. Please. 2021 Projections: 79/29/71/.253/3 in 444 ABs

24. Austin Meadows – I could’ve ranked Meadows another 20 spots later, but I’m telling you point blank Point Break is the best movie ever, and don’t draft Austin Meadows. Sure, maybe Meadows puts it all together, and is healthy for the first time ever, and maybe Cash doesn’t platoon a player for the first time ever, and maybe Meadows was just out of sorts last year with a floundering K-rate, and maybe his newfound, insane Launch Angle of 24.2 won’t stick, and maybe he won’t hit more fly balls than a karate champ whose expertise is groin kicks, and maybe the world will accelerate its rotation every time he hits a ball, and it will fly out of the stadium, and maybe his walk-up song will be a Phoebe Bridgers’s song, and all the opposing fielders will begin to cry unable to field his weak fly balls. So, who knows, maybe.  2021 Projections: 71/22/54/.257/10 in 411 ABs

25. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. – This is a new tier. This tier goes from here until Solak. I call this tier, “Ricola commercial guy with giant lips.” This tier is filled with guys who are all loud, echoing chef’s kisses. If you had worries about how you were going to find outfielders to draft after I sorta hedged off the last ten-plus outfielders, I have good news for you. I’m really only off Judge and Meadows. I’m fine with some of the Miss Martians. Also, there’s gonna be a ton of outfielders to draft over the next twenty outfielders. Will be skipping out of the McNeil tier, which I will get to Altuvely, but this tier, and the Ian Happ tier further down the rankings is going to be prime drafting material. As for Gurriel, Teoscar but with a .275 average vs. .240. So, why is Teoscar being drafted before Lourdes? Great question. Go ask someone who is doing it and report back to me. I don’t think they have an answer. Not being an ass, being 100% serious. People do a lot of shizz they don’t have reasons to do. The Office did two seasons without Michael. Nah’mean? 2021 Projections: 88/30/101/.276/8 in 579 ABs

26. Dylan Moore – Already went over him in my top 20 2nd basemen for 2021 fantasy baseball.

27. Ramon Laureano – Already gave you my Ramon Laureano sleeper. It had triplets it named Manny, Moe and Bob, they were all girls. 2021 Projections: 83/25/68/.266/13 in 537 ABs

28. Anthony Santander – Already gave you my Anthony Santander sleeper. It drank Kombucha until a doctor said its blood was fermented. 2021 Projections: 82/32/93/.271/2 in 567 ABs

29. Teoscar Hernandez – Presenter in tuxedo opens envelope and reads, “…and the Teoscar for biggest bust in 2021 goes to Teoscar for, uh, Teoscaring.” There’s some awarding Teoscar that Teoscar. Yes, all the guys I loved last year are bust candidates this year. Welp, that sucks. Here’s my prevailing wisdom on prevailing wisdom:  Dur. That’s it. Dur is my prevailing wisdom on prevailing wisdom. Teoscar might be over-drafted, according to ADP, but that doesn’t mean he’s not capable of 30+ HRs, 7 SBs, .240. It’s just whether you have to pay too high of a price for that. I loved that last year when it was being drafted around 200th or later. This year? Being drafted top 65 overall? Yeah, that is steep. In conclusion, which is what I say to wrap up shizz when I have nothing else to say, I like Teoscar, I’m not reaching for him. 2021 Projections: 78/30/91/.237/7 in 541 ABs

30. Alex Verdugo – I’m super jazzed about this tier, if you can’t tell. I’m typing this while doing jazz hams–Damn, typing and jazz hands is hard. So, you might find projections for some guys in this tier better than guys in other tiers. I’m just being more optimistic. There’s also more risk with guys in this tier. Risk I’m willing to take, but it’s fair to point out. As for Verdugo, was surprised I didn’t write a sleeper post for him, but I prolly figured I talked about him a lot in the last 12 months. This was why I didn’t write sleepers about a lot of guys, if I’m being honest. There wasn’t much of a season, so if I wrote a sleeper last year, I tried to avoid writing another one Sixty Games Later, as I’m calling the 2021 season. Okay, really, on Verdugo now, he’s a .310 hitter just waiting to happen. He’s not going to knock the Sox off ya in the knocks department. Maybe 21-ish homers on his ceiling. He won’t steal a bunch of bases either. He’s the kind of guy who could be a cheap DJ LeMahieu. I will call him DJ AtBarmitzvah. Also, I go over him in the video at the top of the page. 2021 Projections: 103/19/59/.304/7 in 568 ABs

31. Wil Myers – So, here I am guilty of doing what I keep ragging on others of doing. Overestimating the value of a 60-game season. Myers got better, though. His K% went way down, his HardHit%, his line drives…he made adjustments and they worked! If a guy gets better, he gets better, no? Is this crazy? Should he be in the “Am I crazy or not” tier in the top 20 outfielders? Sample sizes aren’t supposed to be small, which is what exes have tried to convince me, so it’s difficult to clearly say, “Yes, Myers got better,” but I truly believe he did. Of course, he didn’t (from what I can tell) become a 27.8% HR/FB guy. Steamer’s projections for him are head-scratchers in nearly every category, giving him 29 HRs, 14 steals and .239. I’m usually not this far off, but I think he’s much closer to what I have him down for, and Coolwhip just gave you his Wil Myers fantasy. 2021 Projections: 72/23/82/.277/6 in 558 ABs

32. Eddie Rosario – Signed with Cleveland. He does nothing but hit 27 homers and .275 every year. Cleveland could do worse. Like whoever else is in their outfield. Is there really someone named Daniel Johnson on their team or is that a filler name like John Doe? Progressive Field is a better park to hit in than Hubert H. Homerfree Dome in Minny, and I could see a career year for Rosario — career yeario? Hmm, will work on it. By the way, Cleveland plays in Progressive and it’s gonna take them a full year to change their name after announcing it. Mmkay. Progressive, yeah. 2021 Projections: 77/29/88/.271/4 in 524 ABs

33. Tommy Edman – Already went over him in my top 20 2nd basemen for 2021 fantasy baseball.

34. Nick Solak – Already went over him in my top 20 2nd basemen for 2021 fantasy baseball.

35. Jeff McNeil – This is a new tier. This tier goes from here until Buxton. I call this tier, “Already went over these guys and Buxton.” By the tier name, I mean–Kidding, it’s obvious. As for McNeil, already went over him in my top 20 2nd basemen for 2021 fantasy baseball.

36. Dominic Smith – Already went over him in my top 20 1st basemen for 2021 fantasy baseball.

37. Ryan Mountcastle – Already went over him in my top 20 1st basemen for 2021 fantasy baseball.

38. Byron Buxton – Don’t have past projections at my disposal. I mean, I might if I did five minutes of research, but the general gist is correct here:  Buxton’s projections every year are 30/20/.270-ish and every year he does 15/15/.250-ish. While this is only vaguely right, it’s also 100% absolutely correct. This is after six seasons. So, sure, he could have his 30/20/.270 season this year, and you could get the one cashier at Dairy Queen that doesn’t give you a receipt so your order is free, but I’m not ordering extra jimmies on the off chance. 2021 Projections: 71/18/66/.261/16 in 433 ABs

39. Ian Happ – This is a new tier. This tier goes from here until the top 60 outfielders for 2021 fantasy baseball. I call this tier, “Any song that gets better after a third listen.” Any song that is great is not great on the first listen. I’m sorry, but if you find a song catchy after one listen, you are going to be so sick of that song by the 15th listen, then want to never hear the song again by the 25th listen. But, if a song is just okay after its first listen, then slightly better after its second go through, then you love the song on the third listen, that’s a song you’ll be able to listen to on repeat for twelve-hundred listens. That’s this tier. I’m actually surprised I didn’t write sleeper posts for every guy in this tier. As for Happ — Confession Alert! I started an Ian Happ sleeper, but stopped, because I’ve written it so many times in the past that it just felt stale and I’m 100% fresh guaranteed. Though, best if used by 3/01/2012, like the bottle of red pepper relish you got in a Harry & David gift basket that you’ve tried once. We all have that bottle, I’m not snooping through your pantry. I’ve written an Ian Happ sleeper so many times, I just wrote one less than 18 months ago. Here’s a key bit of tid, “(In 2019), he had a top 30 barrels per plate appearance with a more-than-enough 15.5 launch angle that shows itself in a 41.6% fly ball rate and career 22.6% HR/FB. If he had 530 at-bats with those peripherals, he’s going to hit 35 homers. Nearly identical fly ball and HR/FB% produced 38 homers for Gleyber Torres last year. For his current price of absolute zero duckets, Ian Happ is a great sleeper.” And that’s me quoting me! Prorating his 2020 numbers out? 35 homers. Happ’s about to have his one great full season, after four seasons of starts and stops. One small note, I’m not sure how to project his runs/RBIs. I can’t figure out the Cubs lineup. Maybe Happ leads off, but I have serious doubts that sticks all year. My guess is he gets more at-bats in the three hole. My projections for his runs and RBIs are hedges. 2021 Projections: 86/31/71/.252/8 in 541 ABs

40. Jorge Soler – Yet another guy I started and stopped a sleeper post on. This tier could’ve been called rev ’em up and jam that stick into neutral. Though, that might give the wrong impression. I like the idea being with a guy for a few years, then appreciating him like a song. I didn’t get very deep into Soler’s sleeper, before I looked at what I was going to project for him and think, “Okay, cool, I’d own that, but where’s the upside?” Well, 2019 was his upside, but I think that’s way above anything to expect, so everything else is a let down. 2021 Projections: 71/35/83/.242/2 in 541 ABs

CONTINUE ON TO THE TOP 60 OUTFIELDERS FOR 2021 FANTASY BASEBALL

 
  1. Hernan says:
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    lol, did you take a look at Verdugo’s StatCast page???, he should audition for the Blue Man Group…, xBA looks great…… punch and judy ‘s poster boy…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Verdugo was a top 100 player last year, and has appeared to be exactly the same his entire career, and at top of the Red Sox lineup, not sure why he’d suddenly be terrible — 100/20/70/.290/7 vs. 80/27/95/.275/2 the 2nd line is Anthony Rendon

  2. Ante GALIC says:
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    Grey!

    Awesome top 40 for OFs!! Keep ’em coming!

    a. So avoid Judge and Meadows if they’re too expensive! I love Judge, but his body type is wrong for baseball.

    b. Yesterday in MLB history.

    Phillies trade Larry Bowa to the Cubs for Ivan DeJesus. To ‘sweeten’ the deal, Phillies add rookie short stop Ryne Sandberg. The rest is history!

    [In thirteen games, he hit .167, no home runs or RBI. Team scouts had written him off as someone who would be a career utility infielder without any power (despite his hitting .290 at the minor league level the previous two seasons). The scouts name was Paul Owens.]

    c. MLB quote of the day for January 28, 2021

    1. Magglio Ordonez, born January 28, 1074

    ‘In a country that celebrates its baseball players like royalty, Ordonez was now among the chosen ones. A couple years ago, kids on Caracas ballfields would all yell: ‘I’m Andres (Galarraga)’ or ‘I’m Omar (Vizquel).’ Suddenly, ‘I’m Magglio’ was added to the mix. After a six-year journey that included minor league stops in Sarasota, Hickory, Prince William, Birmingham and Nashville, Ordonez realized he had arrived. ‘It was exciting,’ Ordonez said. ‘I get to the airport and everyone is like, `Oh, it’s Magglio.’ It’s a good feeling. When you get used to that, it makes you work even harder: That’s what I have done this year — work harder and see what happens next.'”

    Sportswriter Paul Sullivan in Baseball Digest (October 2000)

    2. A.J. Griffin, born January 28, 1988

    ‘I just try to focus on what makes me good and how I’m going to help the team the most, instead of worrying, ‘Oh everybody expects me to do this or everybody expects me to do that.’ Just more about the process in trying to get on the right track and to be able to have another awesome year like we did last year.’

    A.J. Griffin on MLB.com (Cash Kruth, 02/26/2013, ‘Griffin’s remarkable rise inspiring A’s confidence’, Source)

    3. Narciso Elvira, died January 28, 2020

    ‘(Narciso) Elvira has the moxie to be a good pitcher. He throws an above-average fastball and curve; all he needs is major league location to be productive.’

    Inside Sports (February 1991, Page 14)

    4. Don Hasenmayer, died January 28, 2020

    ‘I’m only 24. That’s my real age too. No fudging. I was only 16 when I signed with the Phillies in 1944. I’ve played as much pro ball at short as at third, maybe more, but that was because the club I was with at the time needed a shortstop. I’m really a third baseman. My greatest baseball thrill came in Wilmington in 1948. I went seven for seven and batted in nine runs against Hagerstown.’

    Don Hasenmayer in the Birmingham News (Walton Lowry, Hot Corner Hasenmayer Gets Feels of Rickwood, 05/11/1951, Page Forty)

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      A. Ha, yeah

      B. Ouch

      C. Wow, Mags was born during the Middle Ages!

      • Ante GALIC says:
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        Grey!!!!

        a. Haha!!! Very good catch there Maestro! I guess it was 1974, only off by 900 years!!

        b. Yes, Ryno was the throw-in for the deal!

        c. c3 above (Narciso Elvira refers) died at 53. That’s a young age, but if he died in 1020, well he may have been the oldest man alive.

        d. Scoped out a TV series for my wife and I to watch. Unfortch the sub file is 10 seconds too fast, so for each of the dialogue entries I have to reduce the time at the beginning and the end of the dialogue by 10 seconds. For instance,

        Current dialogue entry time
        00:03:45,568 –> 00:03:49,127

        New dialogue entry time
        00:03:35,568 –> 00:03:39,127

        My method for correcting this error is as follows:

        1. I use notepad to open the subs file;
        2. Click on control+H;
        3. In the ‘find’ space, I type 00:03:4
        4. In the ‘replace with’ space, I type 00:03:3
        5. Then I replace each of the entries that satisfy that criterion and then I move on to 00:03:5 etc until I get to the end (i.e., 00:52:4)

        And my wife says there is an easier way to do that, your brain is too small to comprehend! To which I say, ouch!

        By-the-by, the series is an Australian version of True Detective and is set in Australia’s Western Region which is kind of a scary location.

        Cheers,
        Ante

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          A. Damn, I wish I knew this before I bought Mags’ skin cream

          B. Ouch ouch ouch

          C. Haha — what’s the name of it?

          • Ante GALIC says:
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            Grey!!

            It’s called Mystery Road. It’s on AcornTV.

            Cheers,
            Ante

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Hmm…Ya know what we’re liking? A French Village, I think I already told you

              • Ante GALIC says:
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                Grey!!

                Yep, I saw it was there. It’s heavy (aka 5GB for 1 season).

                Cheers,
                Ante

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  It is a big lift but you can dl one season at a time, no?

                  • Ante GALIC says:
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                    Grey!

                    a. Thought about that. Then…

                    1. Seasons 1, 2 and 4 are ok, there in French.
                    2. The rest is a SUPER heavy lift (>>5GB) and it has hardcoded subs in English which is impossible to have overlaid on that Croatian subs.
                    3. So going back to ‘1’ above, season 1 and 2 but no seasons 3-7? Ah, why did you start me on this in the first place? To avoid that question, went looking for Mystery Road with its 10 seconds too fast subs!! Sad emoji!

                    b. I did find Pale Horse (2 part Agatha Christie miniseries) and I really loved Perry Mason, hope I can find stuff similar to that. We started watching 20 seconds of the plot against america and she said turn it off, I’m not watching this! I go WUT, it’s a great tv series. She said, nope! There ya go, my gal!

                    Cheers,
                    Ante

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Haha, yeah, it might not be worth hassle, but I can guarantee you, your wife and Sheba will all like it

  3. Harley Earl says:
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    You’re a little light on Wil Myers, as usual! Remember I told you so when he wins NL MVP!!!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Gotcha

      • Harley Earl says:
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        Well Myers won’t win NL MVP, but I’ll bet you a $50 gift card to the restaurant of your choice that he’ll top 23 HRs and 6 SBs. No way he goes that low. Like I said, you’re a little light on Myers as usual.

        Gotcha. Wanna bet?

  4. I am the Walrus says:
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    Help me choose one between these late keepers.
    Meadows
    K.Hayes
    Hiura

    • Malicious Phenoms says:
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      Meadows

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Hiura

  5. Cory says:
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    I’m in a dynasty league and was just offered Trout for my Springer/Riley/ and prospect Julio Rodriguez…should I run to the accept button?!?

    Thanks for making January better with your rankings!

    • Malicious Phenoms says:
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      Trout

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Thanks! Trout side

  6. ERad says:
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    Ugh Judge

    I have him as a 22nd round keeper in a keep forever, so he’s basically free, but man has he been a pain in my tuchus to own over the last few years.

    As a diehard yankee fan it pains me so. I feel like the captain of the titanic going down with judge and Vlad as a 25th round keeper, just sinking with these schmohawks.

    Anyways, happy to be back reading the rankings post, thanks as always for the quality content! Hope you and yours are staying safe, still unemployed over here it’s nuts! Live music is F’d.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Meh, this is redraft, saying don’t draft him…If I could get him in the 22nd round I would

      Thanks! Hope you’re well too!

  7. RJ says:
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    ummmm did I miss some news about Stanton somewhere or has he yet to be ranked?

    • Jr says:
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      All of his starts last year came as DH, so for fantasy he’s a UTIL only player. Franmil Reyes is another one in the same situation. Grey does a Utility only ranking too that they’ll be included in.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Agree w/ JR

  8. Bort License Plate says:
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    I get the Teoscar hesitation, he is being overdrafted where his ADP sits but even with his risky profile I am leaning toward keeping him as a speculative low-cost keeper in my home league.

    The breakout started around June 2019 after a stint in the minors, he came back up with a batting stance adjustment and went nuclear. Over his past 530 PAs: 39 HRs, 78 R, 84 RBIs, 10 SBs. Dropping Teoscar 2.0 into a vastly improved Jays line-up has big payoff potential. I don’t think he’s the .300 hitter we saw in the short 2020 season because of that K-rate, but I don’t think it’s an automatic regression to .240 either, probably somewhere in the middle.

    The choice for me is selecting between the likely boppers who have middling StatCast and Barrel data (Lewis), poor contact rates (Lewis/Franmil), high grounder rates (Franmil), and little-to-no speed, and a guy like Teoscar who indeed has the poor contact rate but the juicy flipside-upside on those other traits. It’s just poor risk management to take him as your OF1 but if your situation allows you to get or keep him as an OF3, I’m gladly taking that.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah, I’d draft or keep him as my OF3 too, he’s in a tier I’d draft…I worry about the AVG, may not be automatic tho

  9. dill says:
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    Little piece of advice for everyone : dont be lazy, subscribe to Patreon. Its awesome to have the rankings in advance and you still laugh when you read them the second time.

    I have to choose one between two sleepers: Bassitt or Tellez? I am afraid Tellez looses playing time with the Semien signing.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Thanks, appreciate it!

      I’m afraid Tellez loses playing time too — he’s much more interesting sleeper, Bassitt is likely above him overall tho

  10. Will says:
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    So Myers hit 15 HRs in 55 games (198 ab) last season but this year you see him only hitting 23 HRs in 558 at bats? Now granted Myers has only gotten more than 500 at bats twice in his 8 seasons but both times he did he hit 28 and 30 home runs. Thinking you might be a tad harsh on Mr. Myers in the power category.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah, maybe was a bit too harsh, tbh…His LA was noticeably better last year…Well, I like him, take projections with a grain of salt

      • Will says:
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        I watched a lot of Padres games last season, it just seems like something clicked for him. Better lineup around him, maybe? But he looked dialed in and was drilling breaking balls over the fence regularly. Padres should be a fun team to watch again this year, one of the few teams actually trying to get better.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Oh, he got better last year, I agree…I haven’t liked him for years, and I like him now

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            Something unmentioned that could happen — lots of bats to get in lineup, he might be rested more

            • Will says:
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              Yeah that concerns me a little bit with them re-signing Profar and signing Kim during the offseason. And not trading Cronenworth.

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                Yeah, they have so many bats

  11. NUX says:
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    Love getting pinged through Patreon every time that the rankings are updated!

    Hate trying to figure out the change you just made lol

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah, I thought that might be the case, not sure how to fix that without writing at top “Steven Matz is updated”

      • NUX says:
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        Haha yea there is no way to fix that, but I appreciate you pointing it out for this specific one! I promise not to ping with a bunch of “?????” everytime I get pinged by Patreon!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Haha, No problem, I don’t mind specifying here

  12. Thundergunn says:
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    Aaron Judge is like that movie Tenet..a lot of hype, no payoff

    people think a christopher nolan film will always be good, they think a yankee will always be good

    His career stats are moving backwards while time moves forward..was that the gimmick? I’m still confused, all I know is both judge and tenet make me snooze…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I haven’t watched yet, but I haven’t heard anything good — really that bad? That sucks, I love Nolan movies

      • Thundergunn says:
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        I fell asleep, and I love Nolan movies, I’m even an interstellar apologist. Just not good, like Judge

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I fell asleep during Inception and I wasn’t sure if I had woke for like 3 years

          • Thundergunn says:
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            Well i’m a sawx fan, so i feel like i’ve been stuck in a bad dream for 2 years now

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              They at least seem to be rebuilding, unlike some tanking teams

              • Thundergunn says:
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                you know you’re desperate for prospects when you’re willing to give your biggest rival payroll flexibility for their 24th ranked prospect….woof

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Ha, yeah, that was a weird one, but Jeter Downs looks dope

  13. Flag says:
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    Solid work but I don’t think you know what a Karen is.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Thanks!

  14. Coolwhip says:
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    Yessss this is the sweet spot for your 2nd and 3rd outfielder. I see myself grabbing either a top round guy or Springer as my OF1 and then scooping up a couple here, specifically high on LGJ, Laureano, Verdugo, Myers, Happ… give me all the shares.

    Obviously I’m with you on Myers. The main point I could have summed up a bit better at the end of my post is, What Myers is doing is essentially what he’s already done, but now comes with better plate discipline. Some of the super high statcasty numbers will regress a bit towards his mean over a full season but a healthy Myers is a good Myers. And his improvement vs sliders is a result of his improved discipline, which I think leads to a higher average like you are predicting. Feels like Steamer et al are projecting him based on his old discipline ignoring his plate improvements. First pitch swing rate was down 30%, that’s as clear a marker as any. Swing rate stabilizes the quickest because its entirely in the control of the batter (duh). And that was his largest change. Myers Stonks!

    And with Happ, right now everyone is sleeping on him like 2020 didn’t matter, but tucker, teoscar, blah blah are the bees knees? Him Machado and Grisham were prob my most stanned batters last year lol. Happ is the Gamestonk about to shoot to the moon.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Same, same, same…How good and cheap are Verdugo, Laureano, LGJ, Myers and Happ compared to others who will do the same — Wil Stonks Myers feels like just free money where he’s being drafted — right on Happ? What is…HAPPening? People are believing Tucker et al, but Happ didn’t just have that season?

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Ian Gamestonk!

  15. Kcc26 says:
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    Keeper decision time!

    12 team mixed 6×6, keep forever but escalating price.

    Keep 6 (Note that if choosing two players that cost the same round, one gets bumped one round earlier):

    Keeping Story (3), Acuña (5), Albies (7)

    Need 3 more from:

    Machado (2)
    Darvish (2)
    Alonso (10)
    Arozarena (16)
    Kelenic (21)

    Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Not easy call…I think I’m going Alonso, Randy, Machado — but could see Jarred and Yu too

      • Coolwhip says:
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        agree with Grey. Yu in 2nd is not good keeper value in my opinion and I feel you can get Kelenic via the draft at a good value.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yeah, same

      • Kcc26 says:
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        Yeah…I am currently feeling like I should keep Yu given how many top arms will likely be kept. But open to machado instead. Really want to hold Kelenic on the chance that he’s a top 20 player in a year or two, but hard to throw the others back over him!

        I can trade though, so we’ll see what I can do

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Agree with Coolwhip

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Redraft Kelenic

  16. Dave_W says:
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    where do you think Mountcastle lands in the field or does he continue to play a little OF and a little 1B?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Mostly 1B

  17. 183414 says:
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    BlueJays trade for Matz and don’t resign Walker. Give me a break.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Terrible move by a team that seemed to be making smart moves

      • Cram It says:
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        Mets shedding some payroll to go after Bauer!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Bauer replacing Matz would be huge — just losing Matz is huge, honestly

          • Cram It says:
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            For sure. As it stands, we don’t have a viable 5, if we even have a 4. They must be up to something with this trade.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              I’d imagine, yeah

  18. Jr says:
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    If Franmil was OF eligible where about do you think he would be ranked as an OF? 40/.267 could be Top 10-15 right? I’m hoping he gets 5 starts so I can get him back in my OF in a yahoo dynasty league.

  19. Steveo says:
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    Would you say Arozarena is a safer pick than K.Lewis but Lewis has more upside and might be cheaper?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I think Lewis is safer, but close on risk

  20. Nitro says:
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    What do you think of C Bellinger for Ozuna and A Mondesi.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Sounds decent to get Ozuna/Mondesi

  21. Milarky says:
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    OK, I’m probably a bit early with my keeper question, but I’ve read enough of your 2021 rankings to have an idea of who you’re going to recommend, but want to check anyway. Unfortunately I think my slam dunk keepers are Story (yay!)and Bregman (uh oh), and now I have to pick two from the following players:

    Matt Olson
    Anthony Rizzo
    Keston Hiura
    Jose Altuve (obviously not when I read your rankings!)
    Giancarlo Stanton (DH only to start)
    Austin Meadows (you explicitly tell me not to draft him!)

  22. If I want Lourdes may have to reach a little, guessing D. Carlson almost snuck in?

  23. Bobby says:
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    Hey Grey,

    I’ve been following you for years and helped me build team that’s on the cusp of breakout out after several years in the cellar of going all in on prospects.

    Dynasty question, 25 roster, can keep all 25 if you want. 5×5 11 team rotisserie league

    1. C daulton Varsho
    2. 1B Alonso
    3. 2b biggio
    4. SS tatis
    5. 3B yoan moncada
    6. OF acuna
    7. OF Soto
    8. OF Kyle lewis
    9. Util (of) yordan Alvarez
    10. Util (1b/3b) vlad guerrero

    11. Bench of jo adell
    12. Bench of Dylan Carlson
    13. Bench SS wander Franco
    14. Bench c Luis campusano

    15. RP Josh hader
    16. RP karinchak

    17. P Chris sale
    18. P Walker buehler
    19. P Chris paddock
    20. P Dustin may
    21. P Triston McKenzie
    22. P sixto Sanchez
    23. P Nate Pearson
    24. P Matt Manning
    25. P Tanner houck
    26. P Chrisian Javier
    27. P Skubal
    28. P Aaron civale

    I was going to keep all my hitters to see who breaks out for my 3rd OF between Kyle lewis, adell, Carlson and who would be my future catcher varsho or campsuano. Franco is a must keep

    My question would be who you keep for the pitchers? Can only keep 11 since I’m keeping 14 hitters

  24. Harley Earl says:
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    Hey Grey I need a little help here in a Keeper league.

    We keep 6 forever.

    Hitting Categories are: R, H, HR, RBI, AVG. SB, OBP. SLG, On the pitching side: W, SV, HR, Ks, HLD, ERA, WHIP, QS.

    I’m having a tough time deciding which to keep because it’s determined by round. I can keep these players in the round in parenthesis. I need six. Your opinion is greatly appreciated because you put me on to a couple of these guys last year (Teoscar, Lewis).

    1, Trevor Story (1st round)
    2, Jack Flaherty (2nd round)
    3, Luis Robert (4th round)
    4, Fernando Tatis (8th round)
    5, Lourdis Gurriel (12th round)
    6, Keston Hiura (13th round)
    7, Kyle Lewis (17th round)
    8, Ryan Mountcastle (18th round)
    9, Marco Gonzalez (18th or 19th round)
    9, Jared Kelenic (19th round or 20th round)

    Thanks!

  25. Josh Burroughs says:
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    @grey
    10 team dynasty roto lg. We start 5 outfielders, dh, & utlility spot. I’m stacked at outfield but was just offered Eddie Rosario.

    I would give up AJ Puk who is in a minor lg slot.

    Take Eddie and run or hang on to Puk for the future?

    Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I’d take Eddie

      • Josh Burroughs says:
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        No faith in Puk or you think Eddie is just that much better?

        I was surprised to get the offer, but I like to ask others opinion…. I’m not sold on Puk, but I hate the what if’s !

        • Josh Burroughs says:
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          @grey

          Also if I take on Eddie this is what I have for OF for 5 slots plus a dh and utility. Who would you maybe try to trade?

          Harper
          Castellanos
          Springer
          Ozuna
          Laureano
          Jd martinez (dh)
          Utility would be from:
          Eddie Rosario
          Robles
          Calhoun

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            Calhoun or JD

            • Josh Burroughs says:
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              Thanks!

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                No problem

                • Josh Burroughs says:
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                  What do you think about me sending Springer for a rendon?

                  @grey

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