Happy Wednesday! I’ll be honest with ya, I’m struggling to write an opener for this article. I’ve been struggling with a lot of things lately. Maybe we’ll call it a mid-life crisis, but at 38-years old, I still don’t feel like an adult. Don’t get me wrong, I’m as adult as you can get – mortgage, bills, a career that I’ve been at for 16 years, kids, coaching those kids – but I just feel like I’m faking it. Yes, I will pay my mortgage on time, but I’d much rather hit the slip n slide that my kids are on (I do). Sure, I’ll work from home, but you better believe I’m playing Warzone on my lunch break. It’s a strange time in my life and I guess the same applies to fantasy. We’re not even halfway through the season and I’m already spent. I’ve placed 169 players on my IL while trying to find replacements for them and it’s been tough. Every time I grab a hot Evan Longoria, he gets hurt. My “Man of the Moment” is Jonathan India, who slid into the back of this list, but boy are my options dwindling. Let’s get to the list and then we’ll talk about some movers.

Rank Player Position Team +/-
1 Jose Ramirez 3B Indians    –
2 Rafael Devers 3B Red Sox    –
3 Alex Bregman 3B Astros    –
4 Manny Machado 3B Padres   +1
5 Kris Bryant 1B/3B/OF Cubs   +1
6 Nolan Arenado 3B Cardinals   -2
7 Yoan Moncada 3B White Sox   +3
8 DJ LeMahieu 1B/2B/3B Yankees   -1
9 Max Muncy 1B/2B/3B Dodgers   -1
10 Anthony Rendon 3B Angels   -1
11 Tommy Edman 3B/SS/OF Cardinals    –
12 Justin Turner 3B Dodgers    –
13 Josh Donaldson 3B Twins   +2
14 Eugenio Suarez 3B/SS Reds    –
15 Matt Chapman 3B Athletics   -2
16 Ryan McMahon 1B/2B/3B Rockies   +1
17 Eduardo Escobar 2B/3B Diamondbacks   +1
18 Ke’Bryan Hayes 3B Pirates   NR
19 Austin Riley 3B Braves   -3
20 Isiah Kiner-Falefa 3B/SS Rangers    –
21 Jean Segura 2B/3B Phillies   +2
22 Gio Urshela 3B Yankees   -3
23 Kyle Seager 3B Mariners   -2
24 Joey Wendle 2B/3B/SS Rays   +1
25 Jonathan India 3B Reds   NR

 

Not a ton going on up top. Manny Machado is healthy, so he slides up slightly. Nolan Arenado slides back a little. I still like him, but he’s doing essentially what we thought he would outside of Coors. Slightly lower batting average and power, but the counting stats are still nice and if he finishes batting .285 with 30 homers, you’re going to be happy.

I’m not completely positive that it was the correct thing to do, but I slid Yoan Moncada up above DJ LeMahieu and Max Muncy. If Moncada was running, literally at all, this would’ve been an easy decision, but he’s not. No stolen bases this year and just one attempted steal. Steamer has him projected for a modest 5 stolen bases for the rest of the season, but given his track record so far this year, I’m inclined to take the under. However, when I look at LeMahieu, I’m not really that impressed either. A little more speed (2) with a little less pop (2) and you have a similar player with fewer counting stats and a lower batting average. So, for now, I like Moncada a little more than LeMahieu.

Matt Chapman has just not turned that corner at the dish to prove to me that he’s 100% recovered from his hip injury. The strikeout rate remains high and while the walk rate looks decent, the .200 batting average does not have me inspired. When we dive in a little more, the hard-hit rate is at a career-low, as is his max exit velocity. He’s just not hitting the ball with authority. All that to come full circle and say that I just don’t think he’s fully recovered.

Ke’Bryan Hayes is back baby AND he picked up right where he left off by coming off the IL and raking. Hayes has 7 hits in his four games back including 3 extra-base hits and 3 multi-hit games. I was so tempted to jump him up higher on this list, but I didn’t want a four-game sample size to completely skew my judgment. However, if he continues to flash his hit tool, don’t be surprised if he lands just outside of the top 10 in my next update.

The bottom of this list is so underwhelming. After weeks of holding out hope for Mike Moustakas, I decided to give him the boot. Word is he’ll begin a rehab stint in about a week, but I want to see him healthy before I shoot him up the list. After Jean Segura, I just don’t have a ton of confidence in the Kyle Seager and Joey Wendle range. Frankly, I wasn’t even that excited about the guys that just missed like Jeimer Candelario and Hunter Dozier.

I did bump Jonathan India onto the back end of this list. He’s strung along a nice little hot streak and has been batting towards the top of the Reds lineup and has chipped in some power and speed. He’s currently just rostered in 30% of leagues, so if you’re tired of waiting on Seager or Wendle to turn it around, churn and burn.

 
  1. Zach says:
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    Austin Riley drops 3 spots… after the weeks he’s been putting up??

    • lindorphins says:
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      I was just about to post a similar question, haha. 19th seems extremely low for him.

      • Harley Earl says:
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        One of my first thoughts, too, until I saw Eugenio still ranked above him, which made my blood pressure rise even more. Riley is solid.

    • Richardo

      Richardo says:
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      Hmmmmm some mistakes may have been made.

    • Richardo

      Richardo says:
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      Riley is definitely solid. Looking back at it, I think I’m going to have to shuffle that deck a little. Would you have him over Chapman? That’s as high up as I think I could see putting him if I was going to expect him to continue to perform at this pace moving forward.

      • Harley Earl says:
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        Right under Chapman seems fair to me.

        • Roll Tribe says:
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          Riley over Chapman for sure. Stats don’t lie.

          What about Wisdom?

          • Richardo

            Richardo says:
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            That’s a good one too. I don’t think he’ll keep up this current pace (obvi) but definitely will be on the next update. He’s one that didn’t really show up on the ROS projections, so definitely slipped thru the cracks.

  2. Coconut Willie says:
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    I’m a 59 year old kid… don’t sweat it… we just age physically.

    • Richardo

      Richardo says:
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      100%. When I did the slip and slide with my kids, I made a perfect “stealing second” head-first slide. My abs – or what used to be in that area – were destroyed for the next couple of days.

  3. Harley Earl says:
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    You really believe Suarez is going to be top 14 at 3B the rest of the season? Or you’re too afraid to bet against him? After these first two months, I’ll put my name on it and bet against him. He stinks.

    • Richardo

      Richardo says:
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      I have such a difficult time balancing what I think I see on the field vs what the ROS projection systems tell me. And even inside of those its a mess. Comparing The Bat’s projection of 31 HRs ROS with Steamers 21, they’re two different people.

      The other part that I have a difficult time with are the players below him. As mentioned by someone above, I think Austin Riley has been consistent enough to slot over him, but Chapman’s been worse, McMahon’s in the middle of a 2/16 stretch, Escobar has 3 runs/RBIs in that poo lineup this week. It’s just a cesspool. I’m excited that Hayes looks healthy, but I’d rather take a shot on Suarez having a 7-8 homer month than some of this other stuff.

  4. cliffyw says:
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    I lack your confidence in Bregman. His expected stats are all weak and based off poor exit velocity and barrel rates. Plus no steals.

    • Richardo

      Richardo says:
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      That’s been Bregman’s career. Even in the seasons he hit 31 and 41 homers, he had the same barrel rate he does now. Although, I think he might have had a little trashcan help lol.

      I might make an adjustment to slide him below Machado and Bryant (honestly, I’m not sure how high is too high for Bryant, he’s been excellent), but then we get into the LeMahieu, Rendon, Arenado range which have similar warts.

      • Logan says:
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        See, I own Bregman because I got him for Ian Anderson, but wasn’t excited about his star cast and then he’s slumped a little…but he might just be one of those guys. Bichettes don’t fly off the page either. 3/5 with a homer today, and look up his monthly splits…he gets hot post all-star break.

        Also, I think I hear them considered an elite offense, but there’s a lot of evidence they are the best offense. Contact everywhere, don’t strike out…Brantley and Yuli have been huge for me this year when so many people can’t hit for average. Bregman is another of those guaranteed .300ish guys and will never be moved from that no.3 lineup spot.

  5. zombie says:
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    Bohm’s a bum? Any hope? Sigh.

    • Richardo

      Richardo says:
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      Such a bum. I’m a Philly fan and keep hoping for the best. There’s been a tiny glimmer of hope in that he’s had two multi-hit games in the last 5 games. We’ll see. I’m still holding out hope.

  6. Powdered Toast Man says:
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    I’m starting to wonder if I dump Chapman for Brad Miller ROS. Keeper league and have kept Chapman last two years but it may be time. Thoughts?

    • Richardo

      Richardo says:
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      I don’t know if I dump him for Miller, but I wouldn’t be surprised if he lands on the IL if he continues to slump. I definitely would be looking to stream someone while the slump continues, I’m just not sure I want to miss out if he heats up.

  7. Logan says:
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    So I’ve ended up, just from collecting talent and taking a trade I couldn’t turn down, with Devers, Bregman, and Hayes, and my pitching sucks…the obvious thing to do is trade a 3B for a pitcher.

    Thing is, no one is biting on Hayes for any top 40 SP. He’s unproven, never hit for power in the minors, in a bad lineup. Evaluating him on my own, I’m so intrigued by the clear “good baseball player” he is, but for fantasy things are iffier. The power questions, the BABIP…but the eye test for me, and I watched quite a few at bats, was impressive. One homer called back when he missed a base, a triple and a double ripped to the wall…not that he’s going to hit for power, but I see a real line drive machine here with great base path speed (don’t know why he doesn’t steal..but could develop)

    So, where do you see his value in an SP trade? Would I have to wait for him to prove more? I have an amazing hitting team and believe if he hits for the same average (my league also counts hits) as Bregman I can weather some damage, and trade Bregman for…

    Who are some pitchers I can aim at for both. Would you accept Kyle Gibson for Hayes? Max Fried?

    • Richardo

      Richardo says:
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      Yeah, if that’s the case, where no one is biting on Hayes, I’d look to move Bregman. I’m in the same boat as you – very impressed with how comfortable he looks at the plate.

      While Gibson has been surprisingly impressive, I’d rather see if I can move Bregman for a better SP and hold Devers and Hayes.

  8. keith o branstetter says:
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    Hayes and Riley way too low and a couple others way too high, this list needs a rework.

    • Richardo

      Richardo says:
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      haha noted

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