Last year, I won Tout Wars in a wire-to-wire cakewalk.  So, before the Tout Wars draft this Saturday, I prepared like any great champ would.  I took a page from Rocky Balboa and ran up a flight of stairs, hands raised in exultation.  I took a page from Ultimate Warrior and ordered a group of preteen girls to tighten the slack on a jump rope and shook it furiously.  Finally, I took a page from E.T. and draped myself in a blanket, squatted in a bicycle basket and had Rudy pedal me around our hotel room floor.  Did E.T. have anything to do with being a champion?  Not especially, but I was feeling nostalgic for some faux sentimentality and Ready Player One isn’t out yet.  In my mind, I was standing, arms raised, with a lone spotlight shining on me as Lin-Manuel Miranda sang how I was not going to throw away my shot at a repeat.  Only it wasn’t in my mind.  In our hotel room, Rudy shined an iPhone flashlight on me as we played a rather tinny version of Hamilton off YouTube.  I’m past patiently waitin’ I’m passionately mashin’ every expectation!  And I’m not throwing away my shot!  *clears throat*  “Um, Rudy, could you help me down from this Marriott end table?  I’m getting vertigo.”  Anyway, here’s my Tout Wars, NL-Only recap:

C: Tyler Flowers – $7
C: Tom Murphy – $1
1B: Rhys Hoskins – $29
3B: Nolan Arenado – $36
CI: Jose Martinez – $8
2B: Logan Forsythe – $9
SS: Amed Rosario – $11
MI: Adam Frazier – $2
OF: Bryce Harper – $39
OF: Ryan Braun – $19
OF: Scott Schebler – $12
OF: Joc Pederson – $7
UT: Lane Adams – $1
SW: Carlos Asuaje – $2

P: Jeff Samardzija – $17
P: Sean Doolittle – $13
P: Jeurys Familia – $7
P: Jon Gray – $12
P: Mike Foltynewicz – $4
P: Michael Wacha – $12
P: Nick Pivetta – $1
P: Hyun-Jin Ryu – $6
P: Chris Stratton – $5

Bench: Harrison Bader, Brent Suter, Hunter Strickland, Carson Kelly

HEY, DIDN’T YOU WIN THIS LEAGUE LAST YEAR BY THE LARGEST MARGIN IN THE 20+ YEAR HISTORY OF THIS LEAGUE, AND BEAT EVERYONE BY SOMETHING LIKE 70+ HOMERS MORE THAN THE 2ND PLACE TEAM?  

I’m glad you mentioned that, Mr. Al Bolden Caps, in a completely unprovoked manner.  I’m not looking to gloat (much), only to point out last year’s draft and how it relates to my draft this year.  It’s an “if it ain’t broke” scenario.  Last year, I spent $40 on Paul Goldschmidt, $30 on Trea Turner and $28 (!!!!) on Giancarlo.  You can see the parallels to this year’s team.  I wanted to dominate offense again, knowing I would go hard after Bryce.  There was no way I was not owning him.  In our 12-team NL-Only auction values (though, that link is AVG; Rudy made me OBP values for this draft), we have Bryce Harper as the top player at $41.  I would’ve likely went to $43 for him.  Of course, no one in the room forced a cojones check.  If Bryce Harper was on the Cubs, Andy Behrens would’ve opened the bidding with $67 and I would’ve never secured him.  Thankfully, Harper was like a Valentine’s hard candy and meant to “Be Mine.”  Your mileage may vary on how much you think my last year Goldschmidt pick equals this year’s Harper, but, as mentioned a prior thousand times, Rudy’s rankings are amongst the best in the business, and Harper’s #1 (with OBP).  This was an easy call for me, because it’s confirmation basis on how much I like Bryce this year, too.  Would it shock anyone if Bryce has one of those 110/45/125/15 seasons with a .450 OBP?

Know who else I like a lot this year?  “My Favorite Messiah” Rhysus Hoskins.  He could be Goldschmidt this year, and feels like the makings of my Giancarlo $28 (!!!!!!!!!!!) pick last year.  Giancarlo returned a lot more value than $28 (! + infinity) and samesies for Hoskins this year.  You’re lucky you’re not reading this recap in the same room as me because it’s getting me horny!

Finally, my 3rd baseman.  I’m just going to carelessly put down this Honus Wagner tobacco card by an open window–NOOOO!!!!  Torneado!!!  Are you kidding me?  Seriously, I have so much offense that Nolan Arenado is the last guy I talk about and he also happens to be a 110/40/125/2 guy with a .370 OBP.  I will now cackle like a madman.

OKAY, THAT WAS A SLIGHTLY CONVOLUTED GAME PLAN, BUT IF TREA TURNER IS NOW HOSKINS, GIANCARLO IS NOW THE BRYCE IS RIGHT AND ARENADO IS GOLDSCHMIDT OR SOMETHING.  WHO, PRAY TELL, IS LANE ADAMS?

Live with me for a second; here’s my end game values:

In short, my goals are a 32 in each category; I have a 42.9 in power.  I could lose Hoskins and be fine.  Knock on Alex Wood that never happens, but you feel me.  Metaphorical!  Please don’t touch me!  If you look at my offense and don’t see how stacked it is, you need to get your fantasy baseball goggles recalibrated.  Someone on Twitter said I overspent on Amed Rosario.  A) Ha.  B) Seriously, Ha!  C) There’s no C.  D) Seriously, there’s no multiple choice here of why I didn’t overspend on Rosario, but here’s 1) My auction value for Rosario is $11. 2) I needed some speed. 3) There’s no 3. 4) Rosario is set to hit eighth, until around the end of April when this fairly apparent thought crosses the Mets’ collective mind, “Rosario is our future leadoff hitter, why don’t we just hit him leadoff now?”

As for Lane Adams, this is funny (not funny).  On the Prospectonator (our tool that shows the stats for all rookie hitters and pitchers if they had a full season), has Lane Adams projected for 14 HRs and 31 SBs.  I know, I know, that’s lunacy, and ¡Acuna! will replace him, but Adams went 5/10 in only 109 ABs last year.  If he gets 250 ABs, I’d take that for a $1.  For you old school fantasy heads, Adams reminds me in looks and potential results to Drew Stubbs.

OKAY, OKAY, YOU’VE SPUN GOLD FROM WISPS OF YOUR MUSTACHE HAIR FOR YOUR OFFENSE, BUT CAN GREYPUNZEL LET HIS MUSTACHE HANG OVER HIS PITCHING SO NO ONE CAN SEE IT?

Out of 36 possible points last year in ERA, WHIP and Ks, I scored 30 points with a staff of Lackey, Samardzija, Chacin, and a $12 (!!!!!) Robbie Ray.  Again, your mileage may vary how much you think last year’s Robbie Ray reminds you of this year’s Jon Gray, but for starters (pun!), if Gray pitched anywhere else, he’d be a $25+ pitcher.  Gray is headed into his “when shizz gets gorgeous” third year and is projected for 200 Ks by everyone, if he gets the IP.  Now, if he gets the bounces at Coors, he could be the best thing in the Land of High Miles since Ubaldo.  As for the rest, Samardzija is innings and Ks as he was last year; I wrote a Michael Wacha sleeper; my couched excitement for Nick Pivetta is in my top 100 starters; Stratton is a Rudy fave, and on a ton of “Wow, this guy is showing me something” lists in the spring, and I drafted enough saves for around a 9 out of 12 points.  Maybe my golden mustache locks don’t hang fully over my pitching staff, but there’s some gold in their skills.

WHY DO YOU THINK THE OTHER ‘PERTS IN YOUR TOUT WARS LEAGUE ALLOWED YOU TO COME IN AND DO SAMESIES ON THEIR FACE?

That’s a great question like, “Why does every billboard of a DJ look like an In Memoriam?”  Could be a couple of things at work.  Some guys just have their own game plans.  They’ll come in, bid $40+ on Votto like he somehow wins them anything but OBP.  Or they’ll come in and bid $39 on Kershaw, even though that means if he gets injured their second best pitcher is Jason Vargas.  Maybe they’re too proud to follow my lead.  Or perhaps they just don’t believe in my previous year’s results, and allowed me to come in and do samesies.  If it’s the last scenario, it’s going to be a shame when it’s mid-May and I’m doing Here Comes the Hotstepper to another victory.

 
  1. VinWins

    VinWins says:
    (link)

    As I said the other day, I love this team! (I think that comment may have been deleted accidentally; don’t bother searching for it.)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @VinWins: I do too! Thanks, Vin!

  2. David says:
    (link)

    Looks like a repeat Champ! 14 team H2H, 5×5 with OBP replacing AVG. I can only keep 1, but can keep as long as I want. Which one? Altuve, Arenado, or Harper? Thanks.

  3. BitchesBeShoppach says:
    (link)

    Hey grey. Had our draft on the weekend. Just wondering what you thought of it. 12 team keeper league. Yahoo 6×6 qs instead of wins

    C – Jorge Alfaro
    1 – Paul Goldschmidt (keeper)
    2 – Jonny Schoop
    SS – Tim Anderson
    3 – Nolan Arenado (keeper)
    OF – Mike Trout (keeper)
    OF – Yasiel Puig
    OF – Gregory Polanco
    Util – Miguel Sano
    Bench – Nomar Mazara

    SP – Jake deGrom
    SP – Zack Greinke
    SP – Luke Weaver
    SP – Blake Snell
    SP – Lucas Giolito
    SP – Vince Velasquez
    RP – Ken Giles
    RP – Rasiel Inglasis
    Bench – Matt Harvey

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @BitchesBeShoppach: Worried a bit about Greinke, and Giolito down for starters are risky, but I like the hitting a lot…

  4. Duntroon68 says:
    (link)

    I don’t know much about onlies but that looks a sound team. Not just playing time but decent to good players up and down. I like how your only teams have that stretch of $5-19 players that never leaves you with some fifth outfielder. Almost all of these guys would go in a mixed league.

    Having said that, I had to look up Lane Adams and I’m glad I did as my 50 round draft and hold is getting into the doldrums. Anybody who might play is starting to look good.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Duntroon68: Lane Adams is a deep league flyer, for sure… You see his 150-game projection on the Prospectonator?

  5. Earl says:
    (link)

    Looking for comments and advice on what I should target in upcoming rounds.

    It is 12 team 5×5 roto league and we are in round 16 of 30 rounds.

    Thinking of targeting maybe Lance Lynn, Lucas Gioloto for staters
    Greg holland, Shane Greene for closers
    Perhaps Michael conforto, kiermaier, Lewis Brinson for outfield
    Maybe Ryon Healy, Logan Morrison, yonder Alonso for util.
    I still have 2 catchers to get but so far only 7 top catchers have been selected, usual group.

    Anyway here it is:
    Need 2 catchers
    1b Freddie Freeman
    2b Jose Altuve
    Ss Paul Dejong
    3b Anthony Rendon
    Mi Eduardo Nunez
    Ci Miguel Sano
    Of Justin upton
    Of Ronald acuna
    Of trey Mancini
    Of
    Of
    Util

    Sp Stephen Strasbourg, Luis Castillo, zack godley, Jamison taillon,
    Rp Felipe rivero, kelvin Herrera

    Thanks as usual for advice help.

    • Packers says:
      (link)

      @Earl: I’d go outfield. I like Acuna but you just never know when he’ll be up for sure. To free up Mancini for !B if need be you need OF there too plus OF can be UTL.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Earl: Conforto

      • Earl says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Just took Conforto now trying to decide what next pick shortly. Thinking Lance Lynn or Drew Pomeranz for 5th starter. Think I like Lance for some reason. Could also go another OF but feel both of these pitchers will be gone next time around.

        • Earl says:
          (link)

          @Earl: Also think I will change my team name to High Risk. Took Miguel Sano and now Conforto!

          • Grey

            Grey says:
            (link)

            Ha

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Pom

  6. Fdileo says:
    (link)

    Hi Grey-
    Draft on sat. 12 Team H2H points. Pitching heavy. Steals only worth a point….

    C- Hedges
    1B – Freeman
    2B- Albies
    3B- Beltre
    Ss- Correa
    CI- Suarez
    MI- Baez
    OF- Harper -Upton – Nelson Cruz- Kipnis- Polonco

    SP – Ray- Paxton- Arrietta- Castillo- Mcculers- Snell- Mikolas- – Clevinger- VV- karns- Garrett – Garcia
    ( Virtually all SP get drafted).

    Limited pickups once season starts, so multiple position eleg helps alot (Kipnis, Baez)

    My question is, do I dump Hedges for:
    Mccann Grandal Alfaro Chironos

    Hedges looks clueless still in ST. Aside from the HR, I can see him hitting .190.

    Also any of these arms exciting enough to pickup and drop Jaime Garcia / Karns :

    Tyson Rosss. Stratton – Marco Gonzalez- Junis

    sorry for the long post, and thanks for any help!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Fdileo: Can try Stratton over Garcia

  7. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
    (link)

    This is definitely another championship team! Can’t believe you snagged Harper AND Arenado AND Rhys on one team. Rhysus Christ indeed!

    Yesterday I asked you to help me decide between keeping $18 Rhyeezy over $4 Godley in a 12 team mixed roto, keep 7 forever ($3 inflation). I assume your reason for going with Rhys despite him being roughly market value compared to Godley is because he could easily go Goldy/Rizzo/Stanton on us and make that $18 (21 in 2019) look pretty cheap?

    I’m pretty in love with that $4 Godley (I love Godley but also love how much flexibility it would give me in the draft), but am I just getting “too cute” with things trying to reason my way away from keeping a fairly priced super young 100/35/100/3-10 guy who won’t kill my average?

    Thanks!

    • Cram It says:
      (link)

      @Duda Want to Build a Snowman?: Rhys is highly ranked! So you want him to tell you again to take Rhys? Just take Rhys.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Duda Want to Build a Snowman?: I know, I’m a little surprised it was that easy to get those 3 again… Rhys can go next level, Godley’s solid, but an SP

  8. Crime Dog says:
    (link)

    I didn’t know you like Ryan Braun this much. I think this is the second team you took him on. I thought you stayed away from injury prone guys? Braun is the epitome of injury prone.

    • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
      (link)

      @Crime Dog: Noticed that too…I think Braun gets more interesting when he’s safe at first base?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Crime Dog: I didn’t know I liked him this much either, but he’s projected for 25/12/.280… That’s easy $19

  9. RJ says:
    (link)

    Grey, is our boy Delino DeShizz moving up your OF ranks yet? Your projected ABs for him seem a little low in light of recent news that he’s the everyday CF and leadoff man

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @RJ: Nah, not changing him

      • VinWins

        VinWins says:
        (link)

        @Grey: If you want DeShields, you’ll have to move him up your draft list. In RCLs on the weekend he went at 162, 153, 148, and 131,

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          7/30/.270 with risk of dropping in order or to platoon is fine where I have him for me…

          • VinWins

            VinWins says:
            (link)

            @Grey: Yeah, I get that. I just meant if someone wanted to draft him, they couldn’t wait that long.

  10. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
    (link)

    Had my first draft last night! 12 team roto redraft, snaking at pick 9. Daily lineups with a fairly generous IP cap, so good RPs are valuable. What do you think? Any holes?

    C – ALFARO (pick 29/29) – love the value there per your sleeper post
    1B – GOLDY (1)
    2B – DEE (3)
    SS – SEMIEN (17)
    3B – MACHADO (2)
    MI – ALBIES (12)
    CI – SHAW (9)
    OF – MARTE (6) – I know I have Dee already but too much value to pass up in the 6th. I figure I can always trade Dee mid season
    OF – KHRIS (5)
    OF – MANICINI (15)
    OF – DESHIZZ (14)
    OF – CARGO (19)
    UTL – ALONSO

    SP – VERLANDER (4) – Severino and Ray were jumped early.
    SP – MCCULLERS (8)
    RP – OSUNA (7)
    RP – COLOME (13)
    P – CASTILLO (10
    P – GODLEY (11)
    P – BEDROSIAN (16)
    P – WACHA (18)
    P – GIOLITO (20)

    Bench:
    PERAZA
    BRINSON
    G. HOLLAND
    BOXBERGER
    ALEX REYES
    REED
    ESTRADA

    Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Duda Want to Build a Snowman?: You’re high on speed — Gordon, Marte, Albies and DeShizz? High on speed means low on power… Combined these guys might hit 20 HRs… Pitching looks solid

      • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Thanks – yeah I agree. When I took Marte late there, I assumed I’d either trade Dee now or around ASB, when I should have a huge lead in SB (at least, I’d hope so). I was going to take Myers where I took Khris, but given the weight on speed, probably better that I went with the no-speed pop there!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Can always trade Gordon and/or Marte

  11. Crime Dog says:
    (link)

    Is anyone worried about Bumgarner this year? His homers allowed went way up when he came back last year and wasn’t getting the swings and misses on his FB like he normally does.

    I hate having to draft a top tier SP but I’m kinda forced to with the way the league scoring is set up, you need a top ten ace . If I pass on bumgarner/stras/degrom/Thor I may get Robbie Ray if I’m lucky but likely would end up with Nola as my SP1 which I’m afraid isn’t nearly enough in this league.

    • FrankGrimes says:
      (link)

      @Crime Dog:
      is it a points league?
      Btw grey hates mad bum! He so jealous. Lol.

      • Crime Dog says:
        (link)

        @FrankGrimes: no it’s 14 team h2h cats. but the cats are ERA, WHIP, SV, QS, HR, K/9….you need 7 starts each week….but playoffs are 2 week matchups so only 3.5 starts per week in playoffs.

        I really don’t like mad bum either….but with the format I should probably take a SP in round 3 and Grey did rank mad bum 5.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        @FrankGrimes: Bumgarner might be one of the most overrated pitchers in the game

        • Crime Dog says:
          (link)

          @Grey: so you’re telling me to draft this overrated pitcher? I’m just confused because you have him projected for good stats, but I get the feeling you wouldn’t draft him in my shoes….but you’ve told me before I should get a top 10 pitcher in this format.

          • Grey

            Grey says:
            (link)

            I write in my rankings pretty clearly I would never draft Bum

            • Crime Dog says:
              (link)

              @Grey: Sorry if I’m being annoying. Just freaking out a bit with the draft on the horizon. So if you were in my shoes. Who are you taking? you can see the pitching settings above. it’s 14 team h2h. I pick 1st, going Trout obviously….I was thinking round 2 I’ll for sure take Abreu, he’ll be best available based on your ranks for offense. Are you taking a pitcher in round 3? I think before you’ve told me you would take a top 10 pitcher in this format. If that’s the case, are you going Stras?

              this is where I get confused because the best pitcher on your rankings is mad bum, but you said you’d never take him. I know in a traditional format you would never take him, neither would I. I like to wait until round 5 on pitching, but feel like in this format maybe that’s a bad move.

              • FrankGrimes says:
                (link)

                @Crime Dog:

                I’d try to grab two starters in the second tier.
                Ray/Quintana types at the top of your rotation.
                You know your league maybe you have to in third or preferably in the fourth.

              • Grey

                Grey says:
                (link)

                Round 3 I am taking a pitcher if Severino is next man up, that’s when I’d start drafting SPs, it says this in my rankings, H2H even more so

                • Crime Dog says:
                  (link)

                  @Grey: ok. I’m just misunderstanding what you’re saying in your rankings then. I guess I never would’ve thought you’d take severino over Thor/carrasco/degrom/bum/stras if you had the choice…I was thinking you were saying you would start drafting around severino because the others mentioned would be gone by the time severino starts going off the board. Let me know if I still misunderstand

                  • Crime Dog says:
                    (link)

                    @Crime Dog: in round 3 in my draft I’ll have the choice of basically any pitcher aside from kluber, scherzer, sale, kershaw

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Then wait until round 4… Just take a #1, forget Bum tier

                  • Grey

                    Grey says:
                    (link)

                    I’m not taking Severino over those guys…I’m waiting until they’re drafted, then taking Severino… If it happens he goes, then I move down my rankings until someone is there… You’d be fine with C-Mart and Bauer, which seems easy to get in most leagues

                    • Crime Dog says:
                      (link)

                      @Grey: awesome. Thanks grey. Exactly what I was looking for. This site truly is the best. You can’t get this help anywhere else and the responses are so timely. Greatly appreciate it.

                      I think worst case scenario I’d be looking at Nola and Bauer as my 1-2 punch…can probably make it work somehow

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      No worries, yeah, Nola/Bauer would be great

        • FrankGrimes says:
          (link)

          @Grey:
          Hehe.
          How many rings do Kershaw Yu Max Sale and Kluber have?