The top 60 outfielders for 2020 fantasy baseball will be filled with guys you absolutely should and will own, and guys you absolutely won’t and should not own. Was like that last year, was like that the year before and has been like that since the dawn of time. In 6,000 B.C., a caveman scratched his butt on a stick and thought, “Hey, I wonder if I can patent a stick for butt scratching, and should I hold this top 60 outfielder or drop him?”  Such is life with the top 60 outfielders. So, here’s Steamer’s 2020 Fantasy Baseball Projections for Hitters and 2020 Fantasy Baseball Projections for Pitchers. As with all of my 2020 fantasy baseball rankings, my projections are included and where I see tiers starting and stopping.  Anyway, here’s the top 60 outfielders for 2020 fantasy baseball:

ALL PROJECTIONS ARE BASED ON 60 GAMES PLAYED, DUE TO COVID-19. BE SAFE OUT THERE!

CLICK THRU TO TOP 40 OUTFIELDERS FOR 2020 FANTASY BASEBALL

41. Max Kepler – This tier started in the top 40 outfielders for 2020 fantasy baseball. This tier ends at Calhoun. I called this tier, “Do I feel warm to you?” As for Kepler, I should’ve named this tier, “Will life be forever cruel?” Because all of these guys could bite me so hard in the ass I will think I wandered into a S&M swingers retreat. “Hey, are you filming episode 22 of Real Sex? Cause that gross guy is naked and wants to massage my pectorals.” Some of the guys in this tier also have this attached to their names:  Guys I loved in 2018 who defecated all over my teams that year, then broke out in 2019 on other people’s teams. So, if they now do a #2 in the proverbial bed in 2020, it will prove they all hate me so much and we are filming a weird episode of Real Sex. Sure, Max Kepler’s grandfather prolly would’ve hated me as he partied with John Demjanjuk, but why does Max have to hate me? He did exactly what I expected from him last year, only I predicted it a year too early. He can now do the same again, right? *hems and haws for ten minutes* Maybe. 36 homers last year does seem a tad high. I did think he was a 30-homer hitter though. The thing I loved about him prior and still do:  He hits a lot of fly balls. He can have a manageable 16% HR/FB, and still hit 32 homers, which I think is well within his floor. 2020 Projections: 31/12/34/.250/1 in 200 ABs

42. Willie Calhoun – Already gave you my Willie Calhoun sleeper. It was like this y’all, it was like that y’all. UPDATE: Hit on the mouth by a fastball and was carted off the field. Took them a bit longer than usual for the cart because they had to sterilize it prior to using. Hashtag coronavirus, hashtag know your disease. Without bad luck, Calhoun would have no luck at all. He finally gets a real chance to play and he gets his jaw broke. Hopefully he returns with one of those Bill Laimbeer-Hannibal Lecter masks and chews up all (fava) beanballs, but I’ve deducted 100 ABs from his line, and moved him down in the rankings. UPDATE II: With the season in delay, Willie’s back in my good graces. It was all worth it, wasn’t it? No? Yeah, you’re likely right. 2020 Projections: 25/10/29/.282/2 in 190 ABs

43. J.D. Davis – This is a new tier. This tier goes from here until Lowe. I call this tier, “T.I. is surprisingly entertaining.” During the offseason, I watched Rhythm + Flow on Netflix. It’s like The Voice, but with rap. I expected absolutely nothing from this show, but, I gotta say, I loved it, even if I can barely remember who won. T.I., who I knew nothing about except his songs, was especially fun. That’s this tier. I’d expect nothing, and you might just be entertained. As for Davis, already went over him in my top 20 3rd basemen for 2020 fantasy baseball.

44. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. – Went over him in my top 20 2nd basemen for 2020 fantasy baseball.

45. Tommy Edman – Went over him in my top 20 2nd basemen for 2020 fantasy baseball.

46. David Dahl – Call me a sucker for Dahl, but a sucker is also a lollipop, so I’m a Dum-Dum for Dahl! How can you hate Dahl so much to not draft him this late? Seriously, how? Is it possible? I don’t think it is. He’s just too alluring with his 30/15/.280–Ha, I’m kidding. He’s never hit more than 16 homers or stole more than five bags. I’m a total Dum-Dum, this is very true, but I’m not a Dum-Dum enough to think Dahl is some kind of guarantee for 30/15/.280 even if he stays healthy, which he’s had an eensy bit of trouble doing. Dahl stays about as healthy as Mr. Glass from Unbreakable. Dahl sneezes and his oblique shoots out his mouth. Joking aside, I think it’s very possible Dahl is so injury prone that he’s not giving it his all because he’s afraid he’s going to hurt himself. You can see him out there playing gingerly just to try to stay on the field. The one thing about this is a lot of players were injury prone for a few years only to become 150 games per season-type players. At one point Brantley, Puig and Nelson Cruz all seemed quote-unquote injury prone only to shake that tag. Dahl, of course, is especially injury prone, but that’s only the case until he puts together a 145+ game season. How’sever, at this point, I don’t even know what he can do with 145 games. 2020 Projections: 33/10/24/.281/2 in 200 ABs

47. Brandon Lowe – Went over him in the top 20 1st basemen for 2020 fantasy baseball.

48. Byron Buxton – This is a new tier. This tier goes from here until Mallex. I call this tier, “*making the crazy-in-head motion by rotating index finger by ear*.” This tier is pretty self-explanatory. I think you are legitimately out of your mind if you’re drafting these guys. This tier is like winning a game of dominos on a broken card table. BAM! You smack your last tile down on the table and the legs gives out and you fall over, spraining your back. You think shizz is good, but it’s about to go horribly wrong. As for Buxton, when I see someone draft Buxton, I clutch my pearls and say, “Oh, dear me.” Sure, he could go 25/25/.260, and George Clooney could show up at your house and ask you to become his stunt double because of the incredible resemblance. I guess a lottery ticket isn’t a bad idea once in a while. The people on My Lottery Dream House seemed to have done all right for themselves. Just know, that is exactly what Buxton is. He’s a scratch-off ticket, which might be why he’s always getting scratched from games. 2020 Projections: 29/7/23/.256/7 in 161 ABs

49. Kyle Tucker – I’ve seen him ranked as high as a top 25 outfielder. Okay, okay, OKAY! Did you have a lobotomy drafting (or ranking) him that high? Is there a jar on your desk filled with formaldehyde and your brain? Blink once for yes, blink twice for no. Do you need someone to blink your eyes for you? Okay, drop your head on your desk once for yes, bang your head on your desk twice for no. Bang you head on your desk three times for a changeup. Who are the Astros benching indefinitely for Tucker? Sure, Reddick should be benched for him while also sounding like someone who would be a Tucker, but will the Astros do that? I’d guess Tucker is traded in July for a starter before I projected him 550+ ABs. 2020 Projections: 17/6/20/.252/4 in 140 ABs

50. Mallex Smith – This tier is all lottery tickets. Mallex could get crazy lucky and have a .375 BABIP and a .285 average with 50+ steals. I’m not opposed to lottery tickets either, but they should be the last round or three of a draft. I’ve seen Mallex drafted barely out of the top 100 overall in some leagues. That’s not a lottery ticket, that’s a low #2 outfielder or a high #3 outfielder. That’s ludicrous for a guy who might be in a platoon and/or batting ninth. Jarrod Dyson is being drafted about 150 spots later and is essentially the same. Sure, you say, Dyson doesn’t have a team, and, ya know what, Mallex might not either by June. Mallex sounds like indigestion medicine, and that’s what you’ll need if you draft him too high. 2020 Projections: 22/2/19/.241/11 in 177 ABs

51. Joc Pederson – This is a new tier. This tier goes from here until the top 80 outfielders for 2020 fantasy baseball. I call this tier, “O.J.’s killing it.” The tier name is self-explanatory. I mean these guys are Old and/or Janky, and those two traits are killing it, as in Urban Dictionary’s definition of ‘killing it,’ which is good. Put in layman’s terms, I like this tier of guys, but they all have major red flags. As for Joc, went over him in the top 20 1st basemen for 2020 fantasy baseball.

52. Ian Happ – Went over him in my top 20 2nd basemen for 2020 fantasy baseball.

53. Ryan Braun – We’re a Steamer family here, so when I see Steamer in NY in March (I usually see them every year — they’re multiple guys; I know, crazy), I’m going to mention to them, they might want to look at their projections for older guys. Braun did have a solid season last year:  70/22/75/.285/11 with a .325 BABIP, uptick in Ks and downtick in walks. Batted ball profile looked relatively samesies, bit lower on HR/FB%, but he’s 36 years old so the ball isn’t traveling as far, even when he gets into one. Therefore, ergo, vis-a-vie, how is Steamer coming away with a statline of 82/29/92/.268/11 in a similar number of games as last year? That’s Crazytown; population: Them. I don’t even know how to get my projections that high for Braun. He’s settled into a 20/10/.260 hitter, who the Brewers inexplicably hit third, so he gets good counting stats. But 29 homers? Sure, with maybe a 35% HR/FB. 2020 Projections: 27/7/28/.262/3 in 173 ABs

54. Andrew McCutchen – He’s old and coming off major surgery, so this is weird for me, but I’m seeing a small buying opportunity for McClutchin-My-Knee. I stopped believing in the steals from McClutchin a few years ago, so I’m not too worried about the loss of those, and he’s continued to maintain his OBP with decent power. Honestly, without too much effort, I can look at McCutchen and see Blackmon. Hmm, that sounds weird and maybe racist. UPDATE: Won’t be ready for Opening Day. They don’t call him McClutchin-His-Knee for nothing (or to his face). Him not being ready for Opening Day was baked into his price, so I’m not moving him in the rankings.  *Beavis laugh* I said ‘baked.’  I did cut 50 ABs off his line, though. UPDATE II: Guess what? He could be ready for Opening Day, if there is one! 2020 Projections: 31/9/25/.257/1 in 187 ABs

55. Shin-Soo Choo – The Seoul Train’s last season was so remarkable (24/15) at the age of 37, and it didn’t seem to get that much recognition. Don Koreanlius deserves major props and all the galbi beef he can eat, but he had a shoulder procedure this offseason, so not sure he can still do the Soo Choo Slide. 2020 Projections: 30/7/21/.259/2 in 194 ABs

56. Yoshitomo Tsutsugo – Here’s what I said this offseason, “Signed with the Rays. Ya know what would be awesome? If every country in the world, posted baseball players. It’s like the Red Ryder BB gun, or any Christmas present you didn’t think you were getting that was hidden in a different closet to fool you into thinking you had opened all the gifts. “You’ve already opened all your free agents, Grey. Yup, Ozuna or Castellanos are it for big-name free agent outfielders left.” You start to crumple the Christmas wrapping paper together to throw away because you know if you leave a mess and Dad’s drinking the spiked nog, he’s going to spike your noggin, then, suddenly mom walks out of the closet with Yoshitomo Tsutsugo. “Grey, you said you wanted another free agent…right?” Then you run up, hug Yoshitomo around the waist, sobbing from joy. Then your father spikes your head anyway. Ah, yes, the holiday spirit. So, Tsutsugo is a chunky Ishikaya meatball, huh? I watched every at-bat I could find and he looks like Bryce Harper’s swing has entered Kyle Schwarber’s body. Kyce Harber? Hmm, nope, has to be Bryle Schwarper. Any time you can start a word with Sch, you do it. That’s like rule #1 in Yiddish Fight Club. That’s like having Howie Kendrick and Mike Schmidt and passing on Mowie Schmendrick for Hike Kidt. Any hoo! Tsutsugo has shown solid power (44 HRs in 2016), but last year was by far his worst year (29 HRs, 25.3% K%). Not to pee in the Gatorade and call it Lemon-Lime, but I could see him getting eaten up by major league pitching, or at least platooning out vs. lefties. Also, the profile he’s bringing to the U.S. isn’t exactly missing from today’s game. Throw a rock and hit two 25-homer hitters and nick a third. In the end, a BB gun is fun, but feety pajamas actually keep you warm.” And that’s me quoting me! Also, I went over him in the video at the top of the page. 2020 Projections: 23/10/27/.248 in 167 ABs

57. Shogo Akiyama – Upfront, I’m not some kind of psycho who is grouping players by country of origin. These guys just feel like they have similar levels of risk attached. Grab one BB gun and fun, but dangerous and watch your eyes!  Grab two and you’re gonna go blind after shooting out both eyes. They’re not at all similar players. Shogo Akiyama went 20/12/.303 last year with a 15.9% K% and 11.5% BB%. Akiyama is Brett Gardner to Tsutsugo’s Schwarber. What do they have in common? Joe Buck watches video of them when he wants a little Asian flair under the sheets. After watching Shogo, I’ve concluded he could be a solid 3rd to 4th fantasy outfielder, or a boring 12/12/.285 player. I don’t know, which is why they’re in this janky tier. They’re not old, obviously. Remember, at one point, Kosuke Fukudome seemed all but a lock for greatness. Also, I have no idea where the Reds plan on playing Akiyama to get everyday at-bats. I know where they could, but have they abandoned Senzel completely? Winker? Things that make you go hmm, while sitting like The Thinker. 2020 Projections: 30/6/23/.284/4 in 164 ABs

58. David Peralta – In early ADP, Peralta seems entirely forgotten. Let’s put aside his jankiness for now, which is that he struggles to stay on the field. If we assume he gets 512 ABs, he averages 22 HRs, 6 SBs and .293. That was super easy for me to figure out. Ya know why? Because he had at least 512 ABs in two of the past three years and averaged exactly those stats. Yes, he has the health concern, due to last year, but Peralta is being wildly underrated in drafts thus far. If he’s healthy, he’s hitting in a top three spot in the lineup and will be productive. 2020 Projections: 31/8/27/.282/1 in 190 ABs

59. Bryan Reynolds – He’s not old, so obviously a little janky. The jankiness of Reynolds is less to do with him, than it has to do with the Pirates. If Reynolds is really a 20/7/.290 hitter, which he looks like, it would mean the Pirates were actually correct on one of their prospects, which is laughable. The Pirates haven’t been right since Barry Bonds and they let him go too. Everyone saw Reynolds as a 45 grade guy and the Pirates saw more, and they might’ve been right? That’s crazy! And, frankly, janky. Jankly? Also, I go over him in the video at the top of the page. 2020 Projections: 33/6/26/.281/1 in 219 ABs

60. Gregory Polanco – Latest news I saw on Polanco, “Pirates unsure if he’ll be ready to start the year.” Sounds like he’s in game shape by not being in game shape! By the way, if Polanco bats third for the Pirates, he’ll have way more value than a pick this late while also being the saddest three-hole hitter in baseball. *looks at Tigers lineup* Okay, it’s a close race, but Polanco’s sadder. 2020 Projections: 26/7/26/.247/3 in 181 ABs

 
  1. Not the real Hubie Brooks says:
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    Hi, January Grey, I’m so glad you’re back! Which side of Blackman for Suarez would you want? The Razzball trade thingy thinks Blackmon is a big win but I’m skeptical. (Why does Steamer hate Eugenio so much? Did he insult its dachshund?) Thanks!

    • Donkey Teeth

      Donkey Teeth says:
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      I’d want Eugenio but it’s close

    • Crime dog says:
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      I just pulled up suarez on fangrphs. I wouldn’t say steamer hates him but I do need an explanation on something. Looking at his 2018 vs. 2019. His K rate went way up, hard hit went down, soft hit way up, iffb way up, oswing up, z swing down, contact rates all went down and he had a career year for power hitting about 15 more homers in 19 than 18. How does that even happen? I’ve never seen something like that. Literally worse in all peripherals but significantly better stats.

      • Coolwhip

        Coolwhip says:
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        I laid it out some in a post towards the end of last season… summary: barrel% up, LA up, Pull% way up with the addition of dead-eyeing early fastballs and pulling them to the moon resulting in SLG vs FBs of .660 at the cost .070 pts on his AVG vs offspeed. Grey also laid out more of this in the Top 3B for 2020.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Eugenio — I love dachsunds, and you’re an anti-German if you don’t

  2. toolshed says:
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    The only good thing for tucker is that hinch is not there which could help him get more playing time. Reddick redefined the term awful last year and still found his name penciled into the lineup on a daily basis I am not going to pull his stats but he had a lengthy stretch that put jose ramirez first half to shame. The astros called up virtually everyone from their AAA squad at some point due to injury except tucker even though tucker was the only one originally on the 40 man roster. I thought he would have been traded last year after posting a sweet 30/30 season in the minors. It didnt happen. Btw, how does a team let someone go 30/30 in the minors? I still am bitter about it.

    • toolshed says:
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      Minors as in AAA. Wtf?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      30/30 in the minors alone means someone should be fired on the major league team — but Joc Pederson was last player I remember going 30/30

  3. LaRockakis says:
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    Sigh. Another year of Mancini being ranked lower than Conforto.

    How many times do we have to teach you this lesson, old man!?

    Is it just because of the steals?

    • The Great Knoche says:
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      I’d say more because of the Orioles.

    • batflix says:
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      Why would you rank Mancini higher this year, or any other year?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Haha, Mancini hit a lot of GBs, I don’t hate him, remember when I loved him in 2018 before it was cool?

      • LaRockakis says:
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        Goatcini beat Conforto in total hits, singles, doubles, triples, homers, rbi, slg and average in 2019. They’re both about the same age. Conforto got him in walks and sb, but what am I missing here? Obvious homerism aside, pun intended! A visit from the regression fairy? Tee bee aitch, I don’t see the Orioles being any better than they were last year.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I don’t mind Orioles being terrible, it gives him a solid lineup spot — I like Mancini as I said in the top 20 1B, but he hits a lot of ground balls, puts a strain on his power

          • LaRockakis says:
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            I guess you’ll still be invited to the Mancini cookout, but I got my eye on you.

            Anyway, I love Razzball and read everything you write (not just the Mancini blurbs). Rizzly Razz has helped turn my love of baseball into a full-fledged fantasy baseball addiction. Looking to play 5-10 leagues this year instead of my usual two.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Ha, No problem! I hope Mancini surprises me, but he needs to launch a bit more

  4. Ante Galic says:
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    Grey!!!

    Loved this top 60 for OF report.

    a. You forgot to mention that Cleveland kept Choo on the farm for SEVEN (7) years!!! Seven!!! So yeah, that makes what he did in his year 37 season pretty awesome.

    b. MLB quote of the day (test case)

    I’m testing a few before the season starts for optimum quality control and quality assurance (the industry standard QC and QA).

    ‘So now the batter is Juan Soto. He swings and belts one to deep right-center field. Way back, going, going and GONE!!! Goodbye half-way up the pavilion. A tremendous game-tying home run by Juan Soto. And this game is all even.”

    Dodgers stadium, Dodgers-Nats, game 5 of the NLCS

    c. Have a nice weekend.

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Thanks, Ante!

      A. That’s a good call, had forgot about that

      B. Awesome! I already love this!

      C. You too!

      • Ante Galic says:
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        Grey!!

        Thanks, man.

        QC/QA approved. I have a few things to do next week, so I’ll be in again the first week of February.

        On the quote, haha! It was in the NLDS vs LAD, it was a typo on my part so shame on me.

        Cheers,
        Ante

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Shame on you! It was good anyway

  5. Beat the Bots says:
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    Great stuff as always, surprised to not see Jo Adell yet? LOL Rhythm & Flow, randomly stumbled across it on Netflix and I watched a few episodes to see all the ridiculous things Cardi B says (never thought Cardi would get referenced in a fantasy baseball forum HA)

    • Donkey Teeth

      Donkey Teeth says:
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      Agree, I’d have Adell in my top 50. Sucker for upside…

      • Beat the Bots says:
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        Gotta figure he’s up by May – gets the Kris Bryant treatment, especially since Calhoun’s option was declined.

      • thatguy says:
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        eh Adell strikes out almost 30% of the time in the minors. Govs of potential, but the upside is rather limited during his early years imo

      • Numba One Stunna says:
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        Bruh….
        Adell bruh

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Haha

  6. kwoox says:
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    In GREY WE TRUST!!!!!!!!!!

    In my league 12 teams, 5 keepers in the rounds that move up. All standard categories. Please give insight to who you would keep. I think we know 3 for sure. I share this team and we both always agree what Grey says TRUMPS so you are the judge, jury and verdict

    Acuna- 21th round
    Hoskins- 21th round
    Eloy: 24th round

    pick 2 of these please
    Kingery: 27th round
    Hector Robles: 27th round
    Jo Adell- 27th round
    Wander Franco-27th
    Sean manaea

    • Donkey Teeth

      Donkey Teeth says:
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      Depends a little on prospect valuations in your league but don’t think you can go too wrong with any two of this group.

      I’d go Adell, Manaea with Kingery missing out as a close 3rd.

      • The Great Knoche says:
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        No Franco? Unless you are competing right now, I’m not sure I am throwing him back with his 80 grade hit tool.

        • Donkey Teeth

          Donkey Teeth says:
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          I’m fine going either way on Wander here.

          With only 12 teams and only 5 keepers its pretty shallow. I’d prefer to keep guys who will contribute this year and next year…no guarantee we even see Wander in 2021…

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            Agreed, it is shallow

    • batflix says:
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      If you have a chance to lock up Wander now, you should probably do it

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Adell, Wander, Kingery

  7. DonnieB says:
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    Hi GREY…I have a keeper and/or trade question. The league is a 12 team auction keeper where you can only keep players for three years at same price then they go back to draft. The cap is $300. I can keep 8 players.
    My current keepers could be(name is followed by price and years left to be kept):
    C. Yelich $33-1
    R. Laureano $10-2
    Y. Grandal $3-1
    E. Escobar $2-2
    W. Buehler $10-1
    P. Corbin $4-1
    M. Soroka $10-2
    R. Osuna $10-1
    My other keeper options are:
    W. Smith the C $10-2
    G. Springer $33-2
    Z. Gallen $10-2
    T. Bauer. $16-1
    L. Hendriks. $10-2
    J. Luzardo $10-2
    W. Smith the RP $5-2
    Mallex $9-2
    First, would you keep any of the options over any of the first 8 listed? Second, would you trade for Trevor Story who is at $51 for 2 more years? Which keeper would you drop to keep him? Trout,Acuna and Bellinger will be in the draft for sure. Top players could go for $65-$75. Thanks. Sorry for the long question. Obviously this team won last year by 20 points.

    • Donkey Teeth

      Donkey Teeth says:
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      I’d go Springer over Escobar.

      Trading for Story sounds good depending on the price. Would keep him over either Grandal or Osuna depending on how catchers and closers are valued in your league.

      • DonnieB says:
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        Thanks DT. It’s a two catcher league so top catchers get valued highly as do closers. Last year Realmuto was $35 and Sanchez $34. Top closers go $18-25. Does that change any thoughts? Maybe just forget Story and save money for a top player in draft? He would cost me two of my non keepers and a $58 Arenado who I would throw back. Thank you!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Escobar is kinda bleh but Soroka prolly can just get redrafted — either way, yes, go with Springer over one of them

      Story is fine at $51, obviously no great deal — one of the other guys I mentioned in 1st line (Soroka/Escobar)

  8. Nitro says:
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    Another trade to consider:

    Blackmon $41 and R McMahon $3 or E Rod $16 and Aquino $12

    12 team points keeper league

    • Donkey Teeth

      Donkey Teeth says:
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      Aquino side for me

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Aquino!

  9. Homers got the runs says:
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    Hey, keeper question here. I play in a league where you can keep a player until you don’t want him anymore. I am knee deep in pitching and can keep 14 players. I currently own Beiber, Clevenger, Snell, Giolito, Woodruff, lamet, Wheeler and Lynn.
    I was thinking of offering Trout and Snell for Acuna. I know it’s an overpayment but as I said I still have an abundance of pitchers as I would keep all the pitchers up until Woodruff or Lamet. The others in the league only see my first four pitchers as substantial needle movers.

    • The Great Knoche says:
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      I wouldn’t.

    • Donkey Teeth

      Donkey Teeth says:
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      Agree with TGK. At least need to get a piece back in that deal to upgrade one of your other 13 keepers.

      • Homers got the runs says:
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        What if I offered Giolito instead of Snell? I think I would have to offer more than trout due to age difference.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Giolito’s a bit much too — Trout plus small piece for Acuña

          • Malicious Phenoms says:
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            Check out Joey Barts writeup on Gio lite. I’d move him in the deal for Acuna.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Agree with others

  10. The Great Knoche says:
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    It’s uncommon knowledge that Dahl moved into Tulo’s old locker at Coors. You think after the first lacerated spleen the Rockies might have avoided that.

    Kidding aside it’s not just the injury history, but the way the Rockies do things. Unless he’s straight fire out of the gate he’s still gonna lose some ABs to Tapia and Hilliard as well. You are right on with the not full speed thing, and funny thing is that’s when injuries seem to happen.

    He was on pace for 22/6 when he got hurt so that’s also meh. He’s getting drafted ahead of guys like Aquino, Reyes, Gurriel, Calhoun and Kingery so I am not going to own him anywhere this year.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      “Hey, kid, you get one lacerated spleen per season in this locker, you sure you want it?”

      *Dahl laughs, reveals Lacerated-Off spray*

      Yeah, I’m not a huge Dahl guy anymore… He’s fine bc of Coors, but I have no high hopes for him anymore

  11. Tom says:
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    Recently finished NFBC DC went Trea, JoRam, Baez and Vlad Jr. with top four picks so was left kind of scrambling for an OF, ended up with Conforto, Schwarber, Calhoun, Happ, TsuTsugo, Peraza, Bader and Domingo and a few late fill in guys is that good enough?

    • The Great Knoche says:
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      You are going to end up with 1 point in Batting Average combining your first four with that group,

      • Tom says:
        (link)

        So you’re saying not great? Actually I’m a little more optimistic about the BA, I don’t think Vlad is a .250 hitter or JoRam but I do see the downside.

        • Tom says:
          (link)

          I think Trea, JoRam and Vlad can threaten .300 and Baez looks like he’s a .280-.285 range guy.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I don’t mind it, Tom

      This: Schwarber, Calhoun, Happ, TsuTsugo, Peraza, Bader and Domingo — might hit .240 — so you need other guys to carry

      • tom says:
        (link)

        I agree, I think Knoche was a little harsh with his 1 point in BA, as they say we shall see.

      • Tom says:
        (link)

        Now that I’ve looked at your projections for those guys, Schwarber .257, Willie .282, Happ .266, Tsutsugo .248, and Peraza .272 makes Knoche’s prediction of 1 point in BA sound downright silly.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          They all do have BA downsides tho, I don’t think your BA is in clear either, but 1 point might be on low end

          • Tom says:
            (link)

            Can’t go any lower, I hope your projections are spot on.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              I hear ya

          • The Great Knoche says:
            (link)

            My point although maybe slightly exaggerated was that your first four are not likely to guarantee you offset potential pitfalls with some of these guys. Schwarber, Happ, Peraza, Bader all are also potential .230 guys. Your top four no one is guaranteed to be over .300.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Yeah, there’s some BA concerns

  12. Fungazi 2.0 says:
    (link)

    Kepler hit so many homers his BABIP was lower than his AVG

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haha, hadn’t remembered that

  13. BBHHI says:
    (link)

    I had to go to the medicine cabinet and take some Mallox, with your comments about Mallix. Given that I’m in an AL-Only league (maybe) how can I not keep him at $11 ($280 budget), given the paucity of steals out there? Love to hear your thoughts on him as a AL-Only keeper?

    THANKS!!!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Nah, there’s exceptions and you have one — $11 in AL-Only is decent

  14. The discarded head of Ted Williams says:
    (link)

    After reading your rankings, I’m confused and sad. Why did you recommend I accept a trade where I get tucker and Edman for Oscar Moncada last week? It seems from your rankings and blurbs I got massively ripped off.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Oscar Moncada?

  15. The discarded head of Ted Williams says:
    (link)

    After reading your rankings, I’m confused and sad. Why did you recommend I accept a trade where I get tucker and Edman for Oscar Moncada last week? It seems from your rankings and blurbs I got massively ripped off.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Oscar Mercado or Yoan Moncada? I’m sure I had reasons, is it a keeper? Dynasty? I don’t know, you need to give me info on your league — Tucker/Edman for Mercado is solid; Tucker/Edman for Moncada is more info needed

      • The discarded head of Ted Williams says:
        (link)

        Sorry. Mercado.

        It is a keeper. That makes some more sense. I’ve been anxiously awaiting your tucker blurb and upon seeing it I was dismayed. Thinking about it after I posted I thought since it’s a keeper league it made a bit more sense.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          This is geared towards redraft…In a keeper, Tucker is great

          • The discarded head of Ted Williams says:
            (link)

            Thanks. Sorry if I came off ungrateful for all the free fantasy advice you give. Your help is much appreciated!

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Nah, No problem

  16. Lenny says:
    (link)

    Grey, what do you think of Tyler O’Neil? I mean, do you think about Tyler O’Neil?

    And where is Domingo going to play? Depending on where he signs, does he jump in the top 60?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I will have O’Neill ranked shortly

      Where is Domingo signing? Korea? I don’t know

  17. Malicious Phenoms says:
    (link)

    Trade Mallex for Jake Odorizzi?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Sure

  18. Denver Diehard says:
    (link)

    Greyt stuff as usual my man!

    Quick question regarding Story, how much does Arenado being traded affect Story ranking and his Hone/Away splits are drastic. Any worry if he leaves Coors he’s just another Andrus?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks! Arenado was traded?!

      • Coolwhip

        Coolwhip says:
        (link)

        nothing official yet, still rumors of discussion

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Meh, he’s not going anywhere

          • Coolwhip

            Coolwhip says:
            (link)

            thats why its rumors of discussion, not rumors of a deal ;-)

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Haha

  19. Don’t wait too long on OF’s or you’ll end up with indigestion.
    Don’t wait too long on speed either, of you may just panic – lesson learned

    • of – *or

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haha, yup

    • 183414 says:
      (link)

      you can panic early. haha

  20. Peacecoast says:
    (link)

    so my keepers in my home league this year are Kingery, Biggio, Aquino, Soler and Robert. I think every one of those got a sleeper post from you this year? Team Grey! I also plan on drafting Acuna 1. So I will be pretty set for speed and power but my BA might be an issues right?

    hey tell me about Razzball NFBC. 50 rounds slow draft or is it over 4 hours or some shit? how many leagues do we make? which one can I get into?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Team Grey! We’re rocking this! And, yes, prolly no BA…

      We usually make 3 NFBC leagues, but if there’s demand we can do 4 (honestly, they’ll let us do as many as we fill)…. It’s 50 rounds, and last about two to three weeks, usually you pick twice a day, and it’s 4 hours between picks, but some people pick much quicker, obviously…. Then in-season you have lineup changes once a week for pitchers and twice a week for hitters (before Monday and Friday games)

  21. 183414 says:
    (link)

    I tried to send you a copy of the profile NFBC did on me last night. They did a good job. I would gladly do a testimonial for you and Razzball.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      You sent to me? By email?

      Yeah, you should do a testimonial!

      • 183414 says:
        (link)

        Sent it to you @ Razzball. I’ll try again. Candid and unvarnished. Posted yesterday on NFBC forum/ General NFBC Discussion. Should be on 1st page.

        • 183414 says:
          (link)

          Just sent it to your e-mail.

          • Grey

            Grey says:
            (link)

            Ok, cool, thanks!

          • Grey

            Grey says:
            (link)

            That was awesome, man! Big congrats again! Well deserved!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          @Razzball? You mean on Twitter? I get too many notifications there to pay attention to any — just comment with the link

          • 183414 says:
            (link)

            Think it’s done, below.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Thanks!

            • packers2018 says:
              (link)

              183414, I tried to find your testimonial. What link should I be using on the NFBC site?
              Thanks and that’s pretty cool. Congrats.

              • 183414 says:
                (link)

                Go to forums. General Discussion. Their 1st link. Should be on 1st page.
                Thanks. I was candid and unvarnished !

    • Peacecoast says:
      (link)

      naw man keep this place secret

      • 183414 says:
        (link)

        Razzball deserves a testimonial. Truly my only source of opinion that I utilize.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Hearing that makes me happy alone, appreciate it! If Rudy ever gets a testimonial page up and running, you’ll be one of first we reach out to

          • 183414 says:
            (link)

            Thanks Grey. But sincerely, you, Grey Albright deserves the props. Seems we’re always in agreement on a good number of players for whom I reach for and help me win my leagues, now a championship.
            I did go against the grain , however, and hold onto Olson last year, after he broke his hamate, and despite the 4-6-8 week time table to be on the d.l., and warningsof decreased power, I kept him on my bench, and picked up Healy, who wasn’t that awful, as a replacement.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              No problem! Just glad you reached mountaintop! Love Olson this year, hopefully he keeps it going

              • 183414 says:
                (link)

                Definitely. Missing 2 game after he came back and all of his peripherals and his age, I’m shooting for him everywhere.

                • 183414 says:
                  (link)

                  1 game after returning. Impressive.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  Totally!

        • Me too! Good luck in ’20!

  22. Place Tevere says:
    (link)

    Who would you keep in a H2H categories league with OBP & QS? There is a three year limit on keepers. I can only keep two:

    Eugenio – $1
    Morton – $2
    Bieber – $17
    Verlander – $25

    • Coolwhip

      Coolwhip says:
      (link)

      eugenio at 1$ seems like a steal too good to pass up, those saved dollars can go toward winning other players.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Bieber, Verlander

  23. Coolwhip

    Coolwhip says:
    (link)

    Akiyama is an intriguing piece if he gets playing time. Feels like his skill set crosses the ocean the best with his low K and high BB rates. I think if he’s a fulltime OF, he might get lucky on some juiced balls in GAB. Shin Soo Choo went 21/20 in GAB at age 32 i think, so if he hits he could be similar 21/15 etc… but in the end who really knows with these players… the Fukudome experiment is evidence of that. For every Ichiro theres 3 Fukudome, and for every Darvish theres a Matsuzaka. Though, Pitchers do seem to work out more often. If i was the Reds and really wanted to compete for pennant, I’d consider a Senzel for Lindor type of deal. The Cards are worse, Cubs didn’t improve, and Brewers didn’t really improve either (though Shaw leaving could be considered an improvement).

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Agreed on all accounts… Shogo and Yoshi are such wild cards for what they will do and PT — Kinda shocked Reds haven’t moved Senzel or Winker — not sure what they plan on doing w/ them

      • Coolwhip

        Coolwhip says:
        (link)

        Yeah Reds seem to have a foot on each side of the fence, are you rebuilding or are you competing? They are like that girl that wants to to try on every wedding dress. Look sweetie, do you want sleek and modern or go ballroom dancing? you can’t have both. I think cashing in and adding Lindor would be HUGE for them, gives them exactly what they need, and a clubhouse leader with positive attitude (farting in Votto’s direction). Plus they have pitching depth, could be a dark horse candidate for the NL Central.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Yup, I like Reds to sneak into playoffs… Their pitching isn’t terrible and they should have the bats — plus, Cubs and Cards did nothing to make themselves better and Brewers added Justin Smoak

  24. Cohen says:
    (link)

    Grey, early draft scenario question
    12 team roto i got 6 th pick
    If I grab Story at 6 i think Tatis could be there at 19. Dumb to take two shorstops in first 2 rounds or go in different direction?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Meh, I wouldn’t take 2 SS

    • 183414 says:
      (link)

      Tatis won’t be there at 19.

      • 183414 says:
        (link)

        Not in an NFBC online, that is.

      • Cohen says:
        (link)

        Tatis is going lower in the other sites that these guys in my league follow

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Tatis is a steal at 19

        • 183414 says:
          (link)

          If Tatis is there at 19, it’s a no brainer !!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      So awesome, glad to hear you’re on road to recovery after surgery too!

    • Peacecoast says:
      (link)

      Grey seems to like you, which is making me jealous.

      • 183414 says:
        (link)

        No need. We should all be grateful for Grey. Out of the box analysis with a great sense of humor. Replied promptly to everyone.

        • Malicious Phenoms says:
          (link)

          I approve this message!

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        Haha

    • Very nice! Class act, completely humble. Best of health to you!

  25. Cyler says:
    (link)

    Love the rankings and I think you are spot on.

    Have sort of a tough one maybe. 10 team dynasty keep forever league. 6 X 6 OPS league.

    My Bregman, Robles and Merrifield for his Yelich and Starling Marte?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yelich side

  26. Peacecoast says:
    (link)

    Does it bother you that if Razzball was converted to an Expanse episode you would be Miller and I would be Amos.

    • Peacecoast says:
      (link)

      Cram would be that older spacer guy with the scarred face.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        Haha, yes on Cram

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I was gonna say you were Naomi — I finished it last night, it’s a solid show where I have no idea what the hell is going on at least 50% of the time

      • Peacecoast says:
        (link)

        If I am Naomi then you gotta be Holden xox

        I kinda get sick of the Senator Avarasala woman cursing all the time she sounds dumb

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Haha – I have to be Holden — Rudy’s Miller

          Yeah, someone told Expanse they can curse this year so they were like, “F*** yeah!”

          • Peacecoast says:
            (link)

            was nice to see Amos finally get laid

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Wasn’t he gay in previous seasons? I thought that was a storyline, must be remembering it wrong

              • Peacecoast says:
                (link)

                from the author:
                “Amos’ sexuality is far too complex to be defined in simple binary terms.”

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  Haha, did you read the book?

                  • Peacecoast says:
                    (link)

                    I might have read the first one, no I found this info on google. The same google that failed me when I looked you up those years ago after reading your book.

                    “I’m with food”…………….was that it?

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Haha, yeah

              • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
                (link)

                I’ve read all books in the series so far (really fantastic) – even the novellas in between full length books! Amazon/Scifi is doing a great job adapting. Highly recommend the books if you’re a fan of Thrones x SciFi x Firefly/Serenity.

                Amos has a really complicated back story where they get into that a bit. When you read the chapters from his PoV it makes more sense.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  Ah…nice! Maybe I will read bc I love the show, even if I don’t follow it completely

                  • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
                    (link)

                    It’s much easier to follow in the books. The cursing thing also makes more sense with Avalasara’s stuff (less so for everyone else). She’s great in the books and felt a bit muted in comparison on Syfy due to the language restrictions.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      She’s a good actress, and I don’t mind the cursing, but it feels more abrupt prolly bc there was no cursing in previous years

  27. I Miss Steve Sax says:
    (link)

    Just completed this trade, think I made out pretty well. All players kept this year at current price with the option after this year to guarantee two more years with an additional $10 added on to their salaries.

    Traded Jorge Polanco ($5), Travis d’Arnaud ($5), Sheldon Neuse ($1) for Aristides Aquino ($9), Christian Walker ($5) and Zach Eflin ($4)

    Thoughts?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Nice!

      • I Miss Steve Sax says:
        (link)

        I think this trade has left me with too much quantity, not enough quality. 16 team league, 9 pitcher slots open, one is filled with Daniel Hudson, a 2nd will be for another closer.

        Right now, I have Woodruff, Stroman, Lance Lynn, Heaney, Eflin and Mikolas as starters I’m keeping (that would leave only 1 starter spot to fill in the auction). Should I bid on top level starter in the auction (Verlander is a Free Agent, others will be too), or try to trade 2 for 1 to improve my quality.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Sure, you need a #1 SP

  28. Big Ticket says:
    (link)

    Reds playing time is gonna be Senzel and Shogo every day, Winker and Acquino platooning. Don’t disagree with you on Acquino upside, but it’s highly unlikely that it’s realized this year. Speaking of the Reds, have I missed Senzel in OF ranks so far?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Aquino needs to make it impossible for the Reds to remove him from the lineup…It’s a concern

      • Big Ticket says:
        (link)

        As a Reds fan, totally agree. Give him a hot April and he might keep the job.

        Senzel seems like a huge buy-low target though. 70 hit tool, 55 power (game & raw), 55 speed. 20/20 with 275 and 90 runs seems likely. Obviously gotta stay healthy, but everyone is moving on from a top 10 prospect super quick.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Yeah, I hope Senzel doesn’t become a 4th OF, as he looks like he’s slated, would be a major waste

          • Big Ticket says:
            (link)

            You think he’s slated to be OF4?

  29. Peacecoast says:
    (link)

    hmm maybe I keep Manaea instead of Aquino?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      WUT, no

      • Peacecoast says:
        (link)

        see platoon discussion above. I am commenting way too much today. It is a clinic day can you tell.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Haha, clinic day means…?

  30. BEn says:
    (link)

    What is your projection on Arsitides Aquino of the Reds for the upcoming season Grey?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      See earlier outfield post

  31. LaRockakis says:
    (link)

    Maybs too early for the pitchers, but I can’t wait another minute!
    I tried.

    Can keep three pitchers.

    Paddack
    Gallen
    Carlos Martinez
    Manaea
    Rob Ray
    German Marquez
    Heaney
    Nate Pearson

    Paddack and Gallen are the only two I’m sure on. CMart could be good assuming he gets back into the rotation. German…#neveragain. Think it’s too early for Pearson, but he looks like a spicy pepper. Which three would you pick?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Manaea or CMart or Heaney

      • LaRockakis says:
        (link)

        I got an offer for Civale. Is he any noticeably better than the above? I don’t think so, but I am also not the Fantasy Master Lothario.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Nah

  32. Malicious Phenoms says:
    (link)

    Trade McCullers and Villar or Mondesi for Clevinger?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      McCullers/Villar for Clevinger seems fine

      • Malicious Phenoms says:
        (link)

        What if he will only take Mondesi, still do it?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Nope

  33. Malicious Phenoms says:
    (link)

    What if he will only do McCullers and Mondsei, still do it?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Nope

      • Malicious Phenoms says:
        (link)

        Thanks..have a good weekend.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          You too!

  34. Dave D says:
    (link)

    Wow, I just checked Shogo Akiyama’s ADP since Jan 1 and its 263. I got him in our Razz DC at 391, and in ME Qualifier at 372, both back in Nov. Looks like a good value now. I think he’ll hit at top of order and play 150+ games in CF and put up Eaton type numbers which would beca pretty good 5th OF in NFBC format IMO. Ranks look pretty good to me.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Can’t disagree fully with it, just need the Reds to play him consistently, or he just hits too much to remove him for Senzel or Winker

      • Dave D says:
        (link)

        He seems like a great contact/OBP guy so a pretty good candidate for leadoff which has been a real area of deficit/need for Cincy. Not sure if any body else can beat him if he pans out.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Could see it, actually, I kinda hope so

    • Yeah nice pickup DD, everyday CF, Senzel super-utility

      • Dave D says:
        (link)

        Thanks! Yeah, totally. Cincy should be interesting this year. If the lineup reaches its potential they could be very exciting to watch.

  35. Big Magoo

    Big Magoo says:
    (link)

    Just checked out last year’s rankings for a quick refresher. Forgot that we made a gentlemen’s bet over whether or not Dahl would be a top 25 pick this year. But I also failed to realize that there need to be gentlemen involved for there to be anything at stake. Damn loopholes…

    • Dave D says:
      (link)

      I’m definitely buying Dahl at his current 146 ADP in NFBC this year. His upside seems like a nice gamble there.

      • Big Magoo

        Big Magoo says:
        (link)

        That seems like a reasonable spot for him. I just thought he was way overvalued last year. Haven’t checked ADP yet since I’m still finishing off my rankings/projections, but the Rockie that I might take a chance on is Hampson. I’m a sucker for that type of profile.

        • Dave D says:
          (link)

          Yeah, that was a good call. I was out on him last year for same reason. 65ish ADP was way too high. Rockies are a weird team. If Hampson plays he could be awesome, but I don’t trust the team. Look at Tom Murphy now. I drafted him last year after they started shopping him and he turned out well. I hope for Hampson’s sake hd doesn’t have to wait for same fate.

          • Big Magoo

            Big Magoo says:
            (link)

            Yeah, the Rockies make some strange decisions, but I think that Bud Black knows that another year like last year and he’s out. Hopefully, that’ll push him to play his best players like Hampson.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Feels hopeful

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haha, I was 100% wrong on Dahl, wasn’t the first wrong, won’t be last

      • Big Magoo

        Big Magoo says:
        (link)

        Seriously, what’s wrong with you? Should’ve drafted Segura everywhere like this brainiac.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Haha

  36. nightpandas says:
    (link)

    Happy Saturday

    Which side ya like?

    My Ohtani (bat only) & Mack Gore for his Wheeler and Ryu.

    15 team keep 11, going for it this year….

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Ryu

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        Actually, I change my mind, I’d take Ohtani… It’s super close

        • Nightpandas says:
          (link)

          Could swap out Ohtani and give him Pollock

          • Grey

            Grey says:
            (link)

            That’s much better

  37. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey! Which combo of 2 would you be targeting for a return on a $19 JDM keeper? Is it close or an easy “trade away JDM” for this return? Thanks! (Btw this is a different league from the other one, this is weekly lineups 12 team roto, $260).

    $19 Olson
    $10 Pham
    $4 Edman
    $4 Hampson
    $6 Kepler

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Easy trade away

      Olson, and any of them…Pham is safest

      • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
        (link)

        Thanks! He’s actually not even planning to keep Olson!

        Next to Pham, who’s next on your list (if I can snag 3 instead of 2 since he’s not keeping Olson)?

        Kep, Edman, or Hampson?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Edman

  38. SpecialED says:
    (link)

    how come you take a break on the weekends from posting these rankings. just curious.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Too drunk

  39. AL KOHOLIC says:
    (link)

    Besides,who the hell wants to work 7 days a week

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haha, “too drunk” woke up Al Koholic

  40. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
    (link)

    One more for ya! Keeper leagues…are you in favor of the Bellinger side in all of these trade scenarios below?

    1. $9 Bellinger or any two of $50 Yelich, $19 JDM, $8 Villar

    2. Bellinger or any two of $29 Acuna, JDM, Villar?

    3. Bellinger for Acuna straight up

    Thanks again!

  41. In says:
    (link)

    $5 Gleyber or $11 Tatis in a keeper league, salaries go up $5 each year.

  42. In says:
    (link)

    Previous comment had some issues, trying again –
    $5 Gleyber or $11 Tatis in a keeper league, salaries go up $5 each year.

Comments are closed.