In an incredible turn of events, I’ve done all the infield 2020 fantasy baseball rankings.  Less incredible, you’ve read them.  It’s like that time your favorite team won because they played better than that other team but you convinced yourself they won because you cheered loudly. When I win the Fantasy Baseball Blogger of the Millennial in 2099, and my frozen head is accepting the award, I’m going to thank you, the readers, but I’m secretly going to be thanking myself. Without me, none of this would be possible.  You’re a close second though!  Okay, enough ranking of you and me, let’s rank some outfielders! Here’s Steamer’s 2020 Fantasy Baseball Projections for Hitters and 2020 Fantasy Baseball Projections for Pitchers. All my projections are listed by the players and where I see tiers starting and stopping.  Anyway, here’s the top 20 outfielders for 2020 fantasy baseball:

ALL PROJECTIONS ARE BASED ON 60 GAMES PLAYED, DUE TO COVID-19. BE SAFE OUT THERE!

1. Ronald Acuña Jr. – Went over him in the top 10 for 2020 fantasy baseball.

2. Christian Yelich – Went over him in the top 10 for 2020 fantasy baseball.

3. Cody Bellinger – Went over him in the top 10 for 2020 fantasy baseball.

4. Mookie Betts – Went over him in the top 10 for 2020 fantasy baseball.

5. Juan Soto – Went over him in the top 10 for 2020 fantasy baseball.

6. Mike Trout – Went over him in the top 10 for 2020 fantasy baseball.

7. Bryce Harper – Went over him in the top 20 for 2020 fantasy baseball.

8. J.D. Martinez – This is a new tier. This tier goes from here until Starling. I call this tier, “Tide pod flavor:  Wishy-Washy.” There’s a case to be made for all of these outfielders to be higher and lower in the rankings. The major drawback for all of them is health and/or age. Just Dong clearly has had injury concerns in the past, but he’s also been fine for a while, playing in a ton of games the last few years. Then again, he’s getting older. Who would’ve thunk it?! Baseball’s salaries and contracts are severely broken, so I don’t want to read too much into how Just Dong decided not to opt-out of his deal. He likely felt, and rightfully, that the market is weak for everyone, even a guy who could be an MVP. Age does factor in, though. How much? Hard to say. For every Nelson Cruz, there’s a Justin Upton. For every Josh Donaldson, there’s a Khris Davis. For every Lorenzo Cain, there’s a Tommy Pham. Of course, none of these guys are costing as much as Just Dong to draft. Puts me in a tough spot on ranking and projecting him. The bottom may not fall out, but to expect more than his previous year’s 36/.304 feels foolish. One thing I am not is foolish– *intern whispers in my ear* –just finding out that I am, in fact, foolish. Damn. You see why I’m swallowing that Wishy-Washy Tide pod, right? Because I’m capital I iffy on all of this tier. 2020 Projections: 34/12/36/.288/1 in 191 ABs

9. George Springer – Jeez, these guys grow up so fast, huh? Springer is another age/health concern. His age (30) worries me a bit less. (At 32 years of age is when I really start to pump the brakes.) Can Springer continue to push elite numbers over the statline in his partial years? His numbers don’t give me a ton of pause — top 10% for barrels; top 5% for xSLG; starting to take a pitch, which comes with age, and is now pushing over .380 OBP and he doesn’t hit cheap home runs. His fly ball rate and HR/FB% are a tad absurd, and his ALB HR% (home run percentage after a loud bang) was almost 78%, which is suspicious. It’s hard to hate him, while I’m also not loving him to the point of pushing him into the top 20 overall.  2020 Projections: 40/11/31/.281/2 in 204 ABs

10. Starling Marte – Do I hate the guys in this tier? Not really. Do I love them for their current ADP? Not especially either. If Marte falls far enough in a draft, I guess I could see drafting him. Marte is still hopefully one more year away from becoming Lorenzo/15/15/Cain. Big time emphasis on that ‘hopefully.’ Put some of those movie premiere lights on that ‘hopefully.’ And not just for Marte’s age leading to fewer steals, his fly ball rate was 28.2% last year. When you sort by worst fly ball rates, and you’re in the bottom 15, it’s not great, Bob. UPDATE: Traded to the Diamondbacks. The Pirates obviously said to themselves, “We haven’t lost a big trade in almost a year, let’s get this done!” Now that the Diamondbacks have two Martes, they just need to sign Damaso Marte, and they can begin to build hotels. Thought the Diamondbacks were drunk on Martes before when they only had Ketel, now it’s a full-on Marte party! My guess is Marte goes to center, Marte goes to 2nd–Hold on, Starling goes to center; Ketel goes to 2nd base; Eduardo goes to 3rd and Lamb is baaaah-bye. This won’t change Starling’s stats dramatically, but a better park and lineup does inch him up a little in counting stats and power. His projections have been adjusted. 2020 Projections: 36/8/32/.289/8 in 215 ABs

11. Ketel Marte – This is a new tier. This tier goes from here until Judge. I call this tier, “Jumped out of the closet and scared a cat.” The standard trope is a cat jumps out of a closet and scares a person. Well, this tier is so shocking that it’s me jumping out of a closet scaring a cat. I was not expecting to like any of these guys, and especially not this high, but here we are and I love all of these guys. As for Ketel, already went over him in my top 20 2nd basemen for 2020 fantasy baseball.

12. Eloy Jimenez – I might come back around on Vlad Jr. He is still so young and there’s time for me to appreciate him like Sir Mix-A-Lot would if he just caught a glimpse of his posterior. That’s not my feelings on Eloy. Him, I’m in on right now. Give me all the Eloy shares this year. (Yes, I’m loving just about every White Sox hitter this year — don’t think about it too hard, it’ll make you a little crazy.) Eloy ‘only’ had a 33.9% fly ball rate this past year, but he’s approached 40% some years in the minors. If he comes close to 40% on fly balls, he’s going to hit 40 homers with ease. I wouldn’t be shocked if between Eloy and Vlad Jr., Eloy is the first one to make an appearance in the top 15 overall. Though, I wouldn’t be shocked if Vlad beats him to the top 5. So, sticking with the tier theme, I jumped out of the closet and scared a cat, then that cat jumped out of a smaller closet and scared me right back. 2020 Projections: 32/13/38/.284 in 216 ABs

13. Austin Meadows – When I wrote the Austin Meadows sleeper post last year, I loved his draft price. It was so sweet. I took his ADP and ran through an abstract meadow of water lilies hand in hand with Audrey and Jayne Meadows. It was a glorious time to be alive. Now? There isn’t any kind of discount, which sucks. I feel like the Pirates after every trade or an Astros’ opponent eighteen months after a loss — I’ve been cheated! Oh well, they can’t all stay sleepers like Ian Happ. For full disclosure, where I’ve ranked Meadows won’t allow me to draft him in most leagues. It’s not that I don’t like him, I just don’t see the value any higher than this. He does hit a decent amount of fly balls so he doesn’t need to hit 30% of them for homers or something equally absurd, but lots of fly balls can get him in trouble and make him more of a 27/12/.270 hitter vs. the 33/12/.291 we covet. It’s relatively small difference in grand scheme of things, but it’s enough to pump the brakes just a bit. Speaking of which, he’s not a speed guy. With all of that said, if he’s here, at this price, I’ll draft the stuffing out of him. 2020 Projections: 34/10/33/.277/4 in 215 ABs

14. Jorge Soler – Full disclosure, I expected to not like Soler this year. His previous year screams fluke — or hirame if it’s in a sushi restaurant. If you just look at the surface and see 48 HRs, you think, “Meh, this guy was a 15-homer guy prior. Dude must’ve stepped in crap on the way to the plate every game, and now that Cam Gallagher isn’t the starting catcher, there’s no one to crap near home plate anymore.” Fair points. Unfortunately, not accurate points. Soler made some of the best contact in baseball last year. To say he’d go from 48 HRs to, say, 15 HRs is the same as saying Matt Chapman, Joey Gallo or Yelich would suddenly hit 15 homers. Soler’s 41.2% fly ball rate, 17% barrel rate, 92.6 MPH exit velocity, .593 xSLG, 50% hard hit percentage–Everything is beautiful! I’d suggest there’s actually a case to be made that Soler is only one of maybe ten guys who you can safely say will give you 35+ homers, juiced ball or not. If Soler had 10+ steal speed, I might’ve ranked him in the top 20 overall. I know it makes no sense, but his peripherals back up what he did last year with or without Cam Gallagher dropping trou. 2020 Projections: 31/13/38/.271/1 in 216 ABs

15. Yordan Alvarez – I realized recently that Yordan Alvarez has a father who plays major league baseball. They haven’t made as much of this as the Griffeys and their father-and-son celebrations every-other-freakin day. Now, trying to figure out why Yordan has an ADP about 60 picks before his daddy, Nelson Cruz, who has done what son hopes to do for 27 straight seasons, tying the Yankees’ championship record, well, who knows. Age does make a difference. Fan them flames of upside with my pants’ tent. Yordan’s making money moves. Okay, now I’m just singing Cardi B. Yordan’s exit velocity is ridiculous. He ranked/raked 13th overall in majors, but Cruz ranked 3rd, so *raspberries lips* I don’t know. The deeper you look at it the more the comparison gets without the can, i.e., uncanny. They both averaged 411 feet on homers. Yordan is top 2% of xSLG; Cruz was top 1%. Cruz is top 2% of wOBA; Yordan is 1%. Yordan’s HR/FB% was 32.9%; Cruz’s was equally crazy at 31.3%. Yordan’s chase rate was 30.7% and Cruz’s was 30.5%. Holy crap, Nelson Cruz isn’t getting old, he’s getting younger and is now playing under a different name for a different team and OH MY GOD! Cruz is Yordan! Yordan is Cruz! Really, only thing I can think of why Yordan is dramatically over Cruz is the latter was born in 1962 and gave birth to Yordan. UPDATE: Tested positive for Covid. 2020 Projections: 29/10/31/.291/1 in 181 ABs

16. Ramon Laureano – I know you love the Blindfolded Name Game. It’s the one where we remove the names and just look at stats and decide which player is better. It’s helpful because names bring with them connotations and prejudices. This is not going to be super easy to hide names because one of them is obviously going to be Laureano, but let’s try anyway, shall we? Player A:  56/17/54/.277/7 in 359 ABs vs. Player B: 51/16/48/.272/9 in 356 ABs. Any guesses who is who? Okay, guess which one is Ramos Laureano’s projections and which one is Austin Meadows. Okay, just look at Austin Meadows’s projections three blurbs above and look again Ramon Laureano’s projections. So, why, over-the-internet friend, is Laureano being drafted so far after Meadows? Yeah, I don’t know either. 2020 Projections: 30/10/29/.272/6 in 213 ABs

17. Eddie Rosario – This guy is the Rizzo of the outfield — Rizzario? His upside and downside are closely aligned. You can’t see a huge, huge, HUGE, huge year from him, but you can’t really see an absolute terrible year from him either. Also, Jose Abreu comes to mind. Rosario is a solid bet for 28-32 HRs, 3-8 SBs and .275-.290. During a healthy year, do I see much below any of those numbers possible? Nope. I also don’t see a ton higher than those numbers either. On a side note that is actually related unlike most of my side notes, why do I see so many people ranking Rosario way below where they’re ranking Rizzo? You really see a ton of difference in their numbers? Rhetorical! 2020 Projections: 35/11/40/.281/1 in 214 ABs

18. Giancarlo Stanton – The other night, while laying under Giancarlo’s bed, crocheting mittens that connected at the thumb for me and him, I began to think about how fortunate I was to ever have Giancarlo in my life. The home runs, the fantasies where I was hiding in his shower while he read Men’s Health on the toilet. They were some terrific times I had, and I imagine him, as well. Wearing a giant suit made of magnet, I attached myself to the underside of his Hummer while we drove around Florida. Him doing errands, me avoiding potholes. It may never be matched again in our lifetime, and, from the bottom of my heart that reaches all the way to my pants, I say I want what’s best for him, but Giancarlo and I will not be sharing fantasy team memories this year. Only erotic glances while he’s on someone else’s team. 2020 Projections: 31/13/33/.272/1 in 190 ABs

19. Aaron Judge – If 2020 foresight were 20/20 hindsight, ideally, here’s how I’d like a 2020 draft to start:  Christian Yelich, Adalberto Mondesi then Aaron Judge. Or Treat Urner, Javier Baez and Aaron Judge. Or someone, anyone, Aaron Judge. The problem with that thought bubble is its above my head in Fantasy Land. I just don’t see Aaron Judge falling into the third round. Now, if he does, then by all means, you should draft my fantasy fantasy team, then print out your team roster, and mail it to me so I have something to put under my pillow at night for my dreamchaser. So, if I’d happily draft Judge in the third round, why not in the 2nd? Mostly, there’s guys I trust a ton more to stay healthy and produce. Rather than production, Judge is one more season of prosucktion away from falling to the bottom half of the top 100. Even at this point, after two straight 27-homer seasons of barely 110 games, Judge is getting by a bit on good vibes and bad farts. Seriously, if Judge were a normal-sized human who hit 52 homers three years ago, then followed that with two straight 27-homer season, would he be ranked anywhere near this high? I doubt it. UPDATE: Will miss the start of the year. Whatever positives Judge has from being a giant it’s also hurting his ability to stay healthy. I wonder if he has the same thing as Andre the Giant. Guess on the bright side we might get a feature film with him co-starring Billy Crystal. “He used to drink 45 kegs of College Inn chicken broth during dinner.” That’s Billy Crystal on the DVD extras about Aaron Judge. Anyway, yeah, I’m now out on Judge, and have moved him down in the rankings and adjusted his projections. UPDATE II: Diagnosed with a stress fracture in his rib, which happened last September. The Yankees are going to give it two weeks of rest to see where Judge is at rather than opt for surgery. That’s right, something that didn’t heal in the last six months will be given two weeks more. The magical last two weeks of healing as Dr. Nick, the Yankees’ team doctor, describes it. “If rest doesn’t heal him, we will look at other options.” That’s Dr. Nick looking at a turtle that’s been dead for a month. I’m tempted to just remove Judge entirely from my rankings, since I wouldn’t draft him in any way, shape or humongoid form, but I left him in there. However, that will invariably lead to someone saying, “I see you have Judge around 200th overall, is that where you’d draft him?” Sure. I mean, no, I wouldn’t, but, sure, do what you want. I’m not drafting him.  UPDATE III: If anyone can hit 30+ homers in only 100 games, it’s Aaron Judge, so I still don’t trust his health, but I had to move him up. 2020 Projections: 39/15/34/.262/1 in 187 ABs

20. Charlie Blackmon – This is a new tier. This tier goes from here until the top 40 outfielders for 2020 fantasy baseball. I call this tier, “The Braille word for boobs.” It seems like it would be fun to run your finger across it, but it’s just raised dots. Similarly, the guys in this tier seem like they’d be fun, but you’re going to likely be disappointed. As for Chazz Noir, it’s difficult to be too against any Rockies hitter. They play in a real-life MLB The Show park where the bat boy could homer. As with most 33-year-olds, Noir’s speed has completely vaporized. Last year, he had two steals in — and this made me laugh — seven attempts. Bud Black, man (no relation), had to keep sending him? That franchise is such a mess. Coors is so good too! It’s like a hot fudge sundae made by a five-year-old and it’s all fudge and whipped cream and there’s no actual ice cream. Chazz Noir’s sprint speed was 308th in the league. He was as fast as Jay Bruce. With his flat feet, Blackmon’s BABIP is going to come down, even in Coors, which is a notoriously high BABIP park, then his average will fall and his goofy power will fall back to earth and– This is like musical chairs. You keep sitting in Blackmon’s fantasy value, year after year, but at some point the music is going to stop and you’re gonna be left standing with a 24-homer, .270 hitter. Or worse:  Daniel Murphy. 2020 Projections: 39/10/29/.288/1 in 211 ABs

Continue to the TOP 40 OUTFIELDERS FOR 2020 FANTASY BASEBALL

 
  1. Zeke Mahogany says:
    (link)

    I went back and looked, Yordan Alvarez isn’t in your 1B list (I know he didn’t play 1B in MLB) and he’s not in this list for OF. Isn’t he a top 20 OF? Have you seen his statcast stats? OH MY. Would love to hear your thoughts on Yordan.

    • Dave says:
      (link)

      DH only??

    • Big Carl says:
      (link)

      Yordan is strictly utility because he only played at DH last season

    • Justin says:
      (link)

      Yordan is DH only in most leagues. I heard that he will maintain OF eligibility in Yahoo.l though. For those of us playing yahoo leagues, I’m curious where he would be ranked on this list.
      Thanks!

    • NCPhilly says:
      (link)

      My first thought/question as well! Great minds ask alike, as they say.

      • Curtis W. Jones says:
        (link)

        Ha, I asked the same question re: Andujar yesterday, and was going to as about Yordan today. My guess is around Soler?

        • NCPhilly says:
          (link)

          I think that is a good guess, though if Grey were to indulge us I bet he could surprise everyone with a ranking between Judge and Marte. Personally, I think it would be easy to argue for placing him after Jimenez and before Meadows.

        • The Great Knoche says:
          (link)

          I’d have him in after Harper and in front of JD

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      You’ll hear my thoughts on Yordan, but he’s not an OF

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        Oh, wait, he did have 9 games started at OF, hmm…I might’ve Mr. Bungled that…That seems like he’s Yahoo eligib. Okay, adding Yordan in… Good catch…

        • Stav says:
          (link)

          My CBS league, with a 10 game position eligibility rule, shows him eligible in 2020 at OF.

          POS. C 1B 2B 3B SS MI CI OF U P
          This Year — — — — — — — x x —
          Last Year — — — — — — — 10 — —

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Fixed, good catch, Zeke!

      • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
        (link)

        Bonus write up! So, safe to say that you have Cruz pretty close to Yordan in the top 100 + would basically take whoever you can buy for less in an auction draft?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Cruz is pretty close (relatively?) — Cruz is riskier due to age

          • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
            (link)

            Makes sense. Thanks!

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              No problem

  2. The Jonny Jameson says:
    (link)

    Where does Joey Gallo fall?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      He’ll be in the top 40 OF tomorrow

  3. JP says:
    (link)

    Hi Grey. 6×6 14 team roto no salaries no contracts. Avg, Obp, HR, RBI, Runs, and SB. ERA, WHIP, Saves, Wins, Holds, and IP. Been offered Soroka for my Benintendi. My pitching sucks but worried about regression from Soroka. What are you thoughts. Thanks a million.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I have Benintendi above Soroka

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I don’t mind Soroka tho

  4. Chris says:
    (link)

    You know, the crazy thing is looking at Stanton and Rosario’s numbers, is that L. Gurriel has a solid shot at hitting those numbers.

    Since he is also likely to hit 3rd or 4th in that increasingly interesting Bluejays lineup, all the roto stats might be there…

    Don’t know, it just occurred to me how we might be talking about a 30/10 season from Gurriel in 9 months.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      What Stanton numbers? (Kidding, I moved him when adding Yordan)

      Lourdes Gurriel or Stanton last year? Was it close?

  5. TC says:
    (link)

    Ugh… was hoping you’d surprise me with a Conforto at 20 blurb to make me more excited to keep him.

    • batflix says:
      (link)

      If it makes you feel better, Conforto will out produce Aquino, Rosario, and Blackmon

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Meh, he doesn’t hit for high enough average or give SBs

  6. Lee says:
    (link)

    About where in top 100 does Laureano fall? Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Currently around 50

      • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
        (link)

        Is Albies above or below him? Sorry, relevant to a trade I need to decide on this week. Thanks!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Albies above or below who?

          • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
            (link)

            Above/below the Aquino/Laureano grouping

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Albies is above

  7. big league wood says:
    (link)

    I think an Acuna, (Ttout or Yellich) Judge, and Marte start to a 15 Teamer would give a team an awesome foundation if you get a Top 3 pick.

    Roster question. In a league allowing Monday and Friday lineup carnages – including pitcher on Friday, what would your optimal roster construction? 15 team 30 players and weekly FAB. It feels kind of like NFBC meets RCL, Seems like the MRs have good value here. Any insight???

    • big league wood says:
      (link)

      * changes = carnages

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      As long as it’s Ketel, yeah

      Prolly would go an extra SP (think 7 vs. 6) so give yourself options on Friday

    • Thwe Gipper says:
      (link)

      How about an OF of Acuna, Meadows and Marte?

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        Yummo!

  8. Bterry says:
    (link)

    I was able to snag bellinger baez judge machado in my first 4 rounds of an nfbc 15 teamer. Im pretty happy about the way that roster turned out. (Snagged mondesi in 4th in my other two NFBC too). Early nfbc this year looks to have some value.

    • Tom says:
      (link)

      How did your pitching shake out?

      • Bterry says:
        (link)

        I went a little different this go run cause of the way the draft panned out. But i got bauer hader chapman gallen luchessi stronan keuchal richards sheffield with a few high upside young guys on bench like mac gore alex wood and graterol.
        So… my pitching suffered. I grabbed realmuto in the 6th too cause he fell so far. I almost never snag a top catcher but made the leap there. Hader and chapman fell out of top 100 so I snagged them back to back too.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Pitching doesn’t seem bad either, nice, bterry

          • Bterry says:
            (link)

            Thanks!!!! I like where I was able to get all these guys. I t was a strange draft where everyone went pitching first 7/8 rounds then it was free picking of guys ranked 150/200ish. Its risky but hoping I can use the deep roster to either find a gem or pair up enough two start weeks/good matchups from guys to compete.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              No problem

        • Tom says:
          (link)

          It looks like those middle 3 starters, Gallen Luchessi and Stroman will make or break you.

          • LenFuego says:
            (link)

            With a top catcher and two top relievers safely ensconced on the roster, Bterry can work the FAAB primarily for SPs. Like every year, there will almost certainly end up being a handful of top 30-40 SPs who are not drafted.

          • Bterry says:
            (link)

            Completely agree. Its a deep league tho and I drafted 15 starters total. Ill be able to run a good bit of two start pitchers throughout the year. Im hoping my hitting keeps me in it and some of the 15teams start to peel off towards the end and I can steal a few extra pitching points late. It was the first nfbc draft that finished this year (i think second one that filled, but was a 2 hr and first was 4hr) and was reallllly weird. Alllll pitching early except for 3 teams who almost seemed to be throwing it. One team went villar and dj lemahuie At the turn of the first round. 15/16 with those two and the rest of their draft was equally as ridiculous. K they were trying to throw it. I dunno. I ended up with a few guys that dropped because 3, maybe more, of the 15 teams were drafting nuttyness all draft. I shouldnt have the hitters I have in a 15 team nfbc draft. Ive got sal perz. Mcmahan. Cutch. Upton mallex santander and either fletcher peraza or frazier as my number 14 hitter. Im interested to see how this team pans out.

          • Bterry says:
            (link)

            Last two hitters starting I didnt list are hosmer and grichuk. I think the team has a shot but we will see. So much meeds to break right regardless.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Hell of a top 4!

      • Bterry says:
        (link)

        Im interested to see how it pans out. It was a really weird draft. A couple months ago a commenter posted the first nfbc $150 draft results first ten rounds on the boards. I was in that draft. Someone took villar and lemehuie at the turn and it really seemed like 3 teams or so were trying to throw it by picking guys in the early to mid rounds they could get wayyyyy later.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Totally!

  9. Peacecoast says:
    (link)

    trade my Giolito for Soler? both 20 round keepers. also could ask for Sano in 23. other options bichette in 20. L robert in 20.

    • Peacecoast says:
      (link)

      oh keep for this year only! gotta be Soler right?

      • NCPhilly says:
        (link)

        My two cents: since this is keep for this year only, I think Luis Robert is too risky to trade for, particularly in that he is probably not going to make the big league roster out of spring training. Giolito vs Soler probably depends on the rest of your keeper construction, but I favor Giolito for near-ace potential in a more difficult position to fill than outfielder is. Do you see more potential for Giolito or Soler to repeat and even improve on his breakout year?

        • Jsherrard9 says:
          (link)

          Why wouldn’t he be up for the start of the year? Just signed a long term deal so service time isn’t an issue and he was one of the top players in the minors last year. Fangraphs has him as the starting CF hitting 8th.

        • Chucky says:
          (link)

          If Robert doesn’t make the big league roster out of Spring training it can only be because of poor performance, injuries or both. He’s signed so service time is now a mute point.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I have Giolito at 46 and Soler at 54 overall, so same round, depends on wants/needs — I think Giolito is must keep if I don’t have pitching, but, if I do, then Soler

      • Peacecoast says:
        (link)

        could ask for Soler plus one. What would be reasonable?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          If you can pull it off, sure… Guess depends who is +1

  10. Ante Galic says:
    (link)

    Grey!!!

    Awesome report!

    Gonna love Aquino. Taking him earlier for sure.

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks, Ante!

  11. The Great Knoche says:
    (link)

    Yeah, The Meadows thing I just don’t get. I understand he was a top prospect and is just coming into his Man Muscles, but he has some swing flaw issues you alluded to and I think .290 is his ceiling for average.

    Meadows Currently going at 35 in NFBC. I think you get the same production from Conforto minus 5 steals and he is going 117.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I like Conforto, but .260 vs. .290 and 12-15 SBs vs. 3 — I do think Meadows is overrated and Conforto is under, tho

  12. Matty says:
    (link)

    In trying to push through a bunch of cost-cutting deals to get my team under the cap before our roster deadline this weekend I have a general question for everyone (and may have more specific ones later today or this week as deals get lined up).
    In a 12 team H2H dynasty with a 30-man MLB roster (8 man MiLB) and $325 salary cap- salaries escalate through a complicated formula. How do you guys generally value salary savings?
    For example, I have Harper under contract for $69 (nice!) unless I cut him loose. Historically this is about on par with what he’d fetch at auction, so I can trim a lot of roster around him, trade him to someone with deep pockets for scraps, or throw him back and see what I can get with the roster money- him or several other parts.
    I know a lot of this depends on roster construction/ leaguemates/ etc., but generally, when constructing a trade how much value do you add or subtract for salary considerations? How much extra would you give up in the trade analyzer if there is enough savings to grab some of the sleepers in the draft?

      • Matty says:
        (link)

        Of course Cram!
        But for ? do you prefer to use projected value or perceived value?

        • Matty says:
          (link)

          That middle “?” should be the symbol for “mu(sub A)”
          Nothing like explaining a joke to really help it land.

          • Cram It says:
            (link)

            Haha. Nailed it!

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        Haha

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Matty — In keeper leagues, it’s next to impossible to know exactly prices, since everyone has extra money, i.e., someone could have a $40 player for $10 so they have an extra $30 — You just have to build/construct/assemble a team that is going to win — and stick to 70/30-ish split on hitting/pitching

      • Matty says:
        (link)

        Thanks. Figured as much, but didn’t know if anyone had come up with a pneumonic device. Or a spell that convinces people to trade slightly lesser players for big salary albatrosses.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Haha — I’d look at it this way, and it’s a team by team thing — but say I had Harper at $69 and Corbin at $1, and Harper is about right on price and Corbin is $25 less, then I’d say to myself I have $25 to spend elsewhere

    • LenFuego says:
      (link)

      In short, salary considerations in any keeper league with a salary cap are EVERYTHING — the game is to accrue *excess* value over your budget. To win the league, you are going to need players performing in excess of $400 worth of value in a $325 league. That means you need to average 25% excess value over your entire starting lineup. A lot of people never seem to understand that – they just fall in love with top players even though those players do not provide them with any excess value.

      If you can pick Harper back up at $69 or lower, then there obviously is no point to keeping him — you could just pick him up in the auction. At a $69 salary, he will not hit the 25% profit level that you need to average unless he ends up performing at a $87 level or better! Do you think that is going to happen? Furthermore, by tying up over 20% of your budget in a player who is unlikely to give you significant excess value, you are giving up over 20% of your “power” to try to acquire players who could. (Teams that won leagues last year hit big excess value guys like K-Marte, Devers, Alonso, Soler, LeMahieu, Mancini, Morton, Ryu and Giolito.)

      So personally I would see if anyone else in your league has a hardon to trade for Harper, and if not, I would not hesitate to set him loose, and see what bargains you can find. If Harper falls in value, go ahead and pick him back up if you want.

  13. thereal says:
    (link)

    Was offered Aquino for the first overall pick in a Dynasty first year player draft (probably Jasson Dominguez). This is a long-standing league with 20 teams, and my team will be competitive for a championship with or without him. If Aquino is a top 30 player, that probably trumps a top 10 prospect who’s 3 to 5 years out right?

    • The Great Knoche says:
      (link)

      I’d want Aquino. Never know if the prospect will turn out…See Milledge, Lastings

    • LOLmets says:
      (link)

      Aquino is far from a lock. Far from it.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Top 10 prospect like who? Wander or is he owned?

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        Oh, I see, you said Jasson — I’d go him, Aquino is great, but 1st overall pick can be magical

  14. Game of Throws says:
    (link)

    Grey- thanks for all your hard work on these rankings.

    I can keep 4 players in the first four rounds. I am definitely keeping Bellinger, JRam, and Snell.

    Should I keep JD Martinez in the 4th round or try my luck with the following pool of players who may or may not be there by the time I get a pick:

    Bieber, Devers, Trea Turner, Mondessi, Corbin, Matt Olson.

    There’s no guarantee these guys will be there, but I’m guessing at least one will.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Try your luck

  15. Steve says:
    (link)

    Hi Grey,

    About where are we in the top 100 here for these guys? Interested in Aquino in particular, top 50?

    Would you keep Aquino over a SS like Semien or Anderson (or both)?

    Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I have Aquino around 60th overall — Semien is 58th

      • Steve says:
        (link)

        Awesome, thanks Grey – you said Laureano was around 50 in another comment, he’s not above Aquino though, right?

        Does Goldschmidt crack the top 75 this year?

        Thanks for doing these, my team would be (more of) a mess without you.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          I was guessing on overall, but around there… He’s obviously below Aquino, so 63 exactly — I’m not going to look up every player on my top 500, that’ll be out soon, but I think Goldy is around there, yeah

          • Steve says:
            (link)

            Thanks! I start to get the shakes this time of year, it’s like waiting for the last night of Hanukkah. You get small glimpses of what’s to come, but you know the real present comes at the end.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Haha

  16. LOLmets says:
    (link)

    I’m worried about Aquino for one reason. That stance. There has to be some exploitable holes in that thing. He stands facing the third base dugout. Can he really cover the whole plate with that stance? If he’s amazing so be it but I’m not reaching for him or in on him at all. Think he might hit .200 and get demoted this year and be a complete flash in the pan. He was a 240 hitter in the minors and hit as low as low as .216 in AA in 2017.

    Huge bust alert.

    • LOLmets says:
      (link)

      Hit .216 in the minors in 2017 on a huge sample size too like 400 at bats.

      This past year in MLB he took the league by surprise, hit a HR every at bat it seemed and he still only managed a .259 avg.
      Id bet he hits under .240 this year if he plays a full season. I’d bet a lot on it.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Damn, drenching GGIATOAT is major cold water — LOLmets, please stop LOL’ing at Aquino

      • LOLmets says:
        (link)

        I’m sorry, but you calling him great in the comments above is pushing it. Great? I think he has a better chance at a demotion than he does at being a top 50 player this year.

        I picked him up last year and was loving what he was doing early on after his promotion but it feels fluky af not very repeatable and I’m passing.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          That’s fair, there’s some risk involved, but he also showed what he’s capable of, which is a super easy 30+ HR guy with speed

          • LOLmets says:
            (link)

            Yeah but if it comes with 220 avg? Over his last 166 PA as Magoo said below- 227 avg and 8 homers. That home run pace seems more like it (and the avg too)

            So 8 homers in 166 plate appearances, that works out to about 28 homers over 600 PA’s

            Plus if he’s hitting 220 he prolly platoons and doesn’t get to 600 PA’s.

            Aquino is going to be this year’s Jesus Aguilar

            Let him slide.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              That’s fair, and it’s a possible outcome, but I like the possible outcome that he hits .244

              • LOLmets says:
                (link)

                Don’t say I didn’t tell you so this July.

                Actually, do say it.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  Haha

  17. Big Magoo

    Big Magoo says:
    (link)

    Quite a bit of risk in this group, eh? I think I’m fading Yelich out of the top 5 overall because of durability issues. The knee is a big concern for me. Back issues tend to linger too.

    I need to see it again from Ketel and Soler before I’d be willing to pay a premium for those guys. Anything in the top 50 overall would be too rich for my blood.

    The two Yankee giants can’t seem to stay healthy (who would’ve thought that bigger muscles would lead to more muscle injuries?), but that being said, I’m back in on Stanton at the right price. Should see plenty of time at DH, and just needs decent health to put up .270/45/120.

    Speaking of Giants, Rosario’s hard hit rate was sandwiched between Posey and Belt way down the statcast leaderboard. His 46.3% O-Swing% was the 2nd highest among outfielders last year too. Adding Donaldson means the Twins will move him down the order as well. Mediocre power, free swinger, no speed, likely hit in counting stats. No thanks.

    Aquino is a wild card. The league adjusted to him, and he’ll need to prove that he can readjust (.345/.390/.964 w/ 11 HR in first 59 PA, .227/.289/.433 w/ 8 HR in last 166 PA).

    I think I’m in on Robles again. He was just a tick away from a 20/30 season, but it feels like he’s lost some shine. I’d be curious to see where his ADP falls.

    • LOLmets says:
      (link)

      Agree with everything you said

      • Big Magoo

        Big Magoo says:
        (link)

        Thanks man

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Giancarlo, while my love is undying, he hurts himself half the time while at the plate and running bases…

      You’ve been out on Rosario for the past few years when he’s done well? Sí or no sí? It’s fine if you have been, but he’s easy putting up great #s every year

      You can’t talk about soft contact and be excited about Robles this high

      • Big Magoo

        Big Magoo says:
        (link)

        It was one bad year of health for Giancarlo. I’m still a believer.

        I haven’t been for or against Rosario in the past, but I don’t see anything special. More than 27 homers in a season once. 80+ RBIs once. Three steals last year. Gradually declining average as his chase rate ticks up. His numbers from last year were solid, but I see them as his ceiling with a decent amount of downside going forward.

        Soft contact for a speedster isn’t a big deal. A dribbler for Robles could easily lead to an infield hit, steal, and run scored, while the same for Rosario is an out, you know?

        • LOLmets says:
          (link)

          (crowd watching and chanting) Jerry, Jerry, Jerry !!!…

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          One bad year of health for Giancarlo in the past one year

          Meh, you’re cherrypicking on Rosario — taking me out of the equation, Steamer has him for 30/5/.284 — I’m fine with that as my *hopefully* 2nd

          Fair enough on Robles, was just saying his contact last year was abysmal, but I like Robles too, just not enough for top 20 OF

          • Big Magoo

            Big Magoo says:
            (link)

            I’m all for a mix of ceiling and floor. I just see there being better floor guys out there than Rosario. He’s Pham without the speed and plate discipline. Which now that I think about it…

            Anything over 15 homers is gravy for Robles, plus he’s still improving at the plate. Even if he just repeats his 17/28 from last year with slight improvements in the other three cats, that should be enough to crack the top 20 OF.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Maybe because I watched Robles get absolutely worked in the playoffs, but I have some issues with him… Not to say I don’t like him for the right price — top 20 OFs isn’t right price for me

              You’re gonna regret owning Pham

              • Big Magoo

                Big Magoo says:
                (link)

                Yeah, but he was getting worked over by some of the best pitchers in baseball in the playoffs. Still learning, and never played that long slog of a MLB season + playoffs before.

                I’ve owned Pham once in my fantasy career. Just pointed him out because I saw a huge disconnect with him a couple of years ago, like with Rosario this year. Probably won’t be owning either player this year, to be honest.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  Yeah, agreed on Robles, was going to add that caveat myself… It’s also why I’m still willing, for the right price, to draft him and not look at the playoffs Robles as the only Robles possible

            • 183414 says:
              (link)

              Agree on Robles. Just a pup.

            • Similar to Albies in Atl, if V. Robles is moved to the 2 hole his value shoots way, way up.

        • 183414 says:
          (link)

          Giancarlo can injure himself by jogging or swinging a bat. He’d have to really drop below his well earned current adp.
          To a certain extent, Judge is similar. More muscles, more pulled muscles and obliques.

          • Grey

            Grey says:
            (link)

            Agree, 183414

    • swaggerjackers says:
      (link)

      I like your style, Magoo. I wish you’d write on this site again.

      Any OBP sleepers I should keep my eye on this season?

      • Big Magoo

        Big Magoo says:
        (link)

        Thanks, Swagger. I’ll be hanging around bothering Grey all offseason, so feel free to pop in whenever.

        I’d check with razzball’s OBP rankings (maybe Grey and/or Rudy can chime in with a link or update on those if they’re ready to go for 2020), but guys like Hoskins, Muncy, Grandal and Voit get a nice bump in that format. The fringey vets like Votto and Choo become more viable too. The free swingers like Tim Anderson, Marte, Baez, and both Rosarios take a bit of a hit in value. Most of the players who aren’t on the extremes of the plate discipline spectrum can be valued similarly to a standard 5×5 format.

    • LenFuego says:
      (link)

      That “the league adjusted to him” stretch for Aquino still works out to a 32 HR, 28 SB full season pace (all 7 of his SBs came in that 40 game stretch). I can live with a .227/32/28 cherry-picked rock bottom given the enormous upside possibilities.

      He also showed signs of counter-adjusting the last 10 or 11 games of the season, and now he has an entire offseason to work on adjustments.

  18. LOLmets says:
    (link)

    Last comment on Aquino. You know he’s going to be pressing to live up the name “The Punnisher” and what he did last season and as soon as he isn’t living up to those impossible expectations- look out. Wild swings and misses on tap.

    I’m going to guarantee a demotion for Aquino in the 2020 season. Can I get a Vegas line on this?

    If I’m wrong just pretend I never said any of this!! Haha.

    Thanks for this look, forward to more great write ups.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haha, that’s everyone’s MO — if I’m right, I will shout it from rooftops — if I’m wrong, let’s never mention it again

      • LOLmets says:
        (link)

        Obviously.

        I’d be happy to make a bet on it tho.

  19. LOLmets says:
    (link)

    Last last point. From a internet article believe it was BR but just closed the window.

    Cincinnati Reds: Aristides Aquino not assured to be starting right fielder
    by Drew Koch15w ago
    Aristides Aquino bursted onto the MLB scene in August. However, it sounds like Aquino won’t be assured a spot in the Cincinnati Reds outfield in 2020.
    Bobby Nightengale of the Cincinnati Enquirer spoke with Cincinnati Reds president of baseball operations Dick Williams about some of the team’s offseason plans. Williams, who’s usually very forthcoming with information, suggested it’s not a forgone conclusion that Aristides Aquino will be the Reds starting right fielder when the 2020 season begins.

    That news may come as a shock to some fans, but it’s honestly very refreshing. In the past, the Cincinnati Reds have been very quick to anoint certain players who’ve had a sudden burst of production. Case in point, look at what happened to Derek Dietrich this season. After the month of May saw Dietrich hit 12 homers, his bat went deathly quiet over the second half of the season.

    Aquino set the world on fire upon his arrival from Triple-A Louisville. The Punisher slashed .320/.391/.767 with 14 home runs and 33 RBIs. Aquino took home Player of the Month honors for the month of August. Despite finishing 2019 with an .891 OPS and 19 home runs, it sounds as though Williams, who spoke with the Cincinnati Enquirer, and the Reds brass aren’t yet convinced.

    He isn’t even guaranteed playing time as of today apparently.

    Pass pass pass

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I do have worries about Senzel, Winker and Akiyama, so I’m 100% there that I’m watching spring training just in case the Reds do anything stupid, but I think it would be stupid to not roll with a guy who can carry the team for months at a time

      • LOLmets says:
        (link)

        1-5 with his solo shot once every 5 games is going to carry the Reds. But Mike Trouts Angels can’t make the playoffs. Haha. Damn, now I sound like Ralph on the last podcast.

        I’m only here so I don’t get fined.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Haha

    • I think Senzel ends up in a super-utility role, with Aquino in RF

  20. Ralphy says:
    (link)

    Has your love for Benintendi died?

    • LOLmets says:
      (link)

      Watch the video

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks, LOLmets!

      Watch the video — he’ll be up shortly (tomorrow)

  21. Task Force says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey you helped me last year getting Jordan early so thank you! Now getting my keepers set for this season in a 12 team 6×6 OBP and holds league I get 5 keepers so I have Redon, Jordan and Abreu as for sures.

    My next 2 can be choices of Blackmon, Stanton, Moustakas, Kepler, Bauer, Berrios or Yates. I’m leaning to Blackmon and Stanton but I’m open to suggestions as I have worries with both of them.

    Thanks in advance

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yeah, I think those two, but tough call

  22. Mike says:
    (link)

    I can keep both Eddie Rosario and Eloy Jimenez for $16 each (5×5, unlimited keepers, with $5 price increase first year, $10 second year, etc.). Keep them both or take my chances in the draft?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Both

  23. Paul says:
    (link)

    Keep Calhoun for $6? Or is he basically a $1 player this year? (5×5, 10 team)

  24. Paul says:
    (link)

    Keep Willie Calhoun for $6? Or is he basically a $1 player this year? (5×5, 10 team)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Seems fair, might depend on who else you’re keeping

  25. Yordan and Eloy stand out like a blonde with big ones! Get on the bus!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      HA

  26. swaggerjackers says:
    (link)

    I saw an interesting read on Fangraphs about sprint score. Worth sharing here since that metric has been used a couple times in these rankings:

    https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/should-i-care-about-sprint-speed/

    The TL:DR: Time-to-First is more indicative of a hitter’s future fantasy performance and sprint score can largely be ignored.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Interesting, thanks for sharing!

  27. capainpyper says:
    (link)

    Giancarnooooooooooo!!!!!!!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haha

  28. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
    (link)

    Had a random site feature suggestion, if of interest (if not, feel free to ignore!)….

    Would be cool if player pages had you preseason and midseason blurbs at the top. During the season, I always find myself pulling up your rankings to look for your thoughts on a particular guy outside of the projections themselves to help see if the concerns or excitement you had about a guy are happening (or not).

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I like it! But implementing it…I don’t know, I can ask Rudy

      • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
        (link)

        Yea, easier said than done! When we recommend changing things on our site that seem easy in theory, our product team always explains why it’s actually super complicated to do so.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Yeah, happens all the time with Rudy… I’ll say we should do something and he’s like that’s a $10,000 development change

          • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
            (link)

            Totally!

  29. 183414 says:
    (link)

    Loved your “father/son” take on Yordan and Cruz. Nelson is remarkable.
    On Yordan, he played 10 games in o.f. last year, and wouldn’t be surprised if he gets 10 games before mid season. Brantley getting older. Springer always an injury risk. Plus, Alvarez still just a youngster. With his peripherals, I’d definitely take him after Harper, but before Judge (I’m a Yankee fan) and before Meadows.
    Yelich made me a lot of money last year, and I love him, but back injuries are a recurring problem. So is neuroma, which Trout had surgery for (I had 2 surgeries). Didn’t Trout also have some back problems ? Can see Betts returning to the #2 slot by the end of the year.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Can’t argue with any of that…Could all happen…

  30. Crazy J says:
    (link)

    Up next… David Duhl

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haha, no thank you

  31. Chris says:
    (link)

    10 team h2h points league – keep forever league

    Do you keep Vlad Jr or Bryant?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Vlad Jr

  32. Matty says:
    (link)

    Hopefully my last Bryant question – for the sake of everyone here’s sanity and the sake of getting back to doing work instead of scribbling fantasy baseball numbers on post-its like a maniac:
    H2H, dynasty, 6×6 OPS, $325 salary cap:
    Bryant ($19) or Chapman ($17) and Ed-Rod ($4)?
    I’m assuming you’ll confirm my thought.
    Thanks.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haha, how many teams? It’s pretty close, I’d prolly go Ed-Rod if both are keepers

      • Matty says:
        (link)

        Twelve teams. Any can be kept, but the salary slowly escalates (and Bryant is escalating quicker than the others).

        • Matty says:
          (link)

          That’s Matt Chapman, not Aroldis.
          I always forget about closers.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Oh, Matt? That’s easy for him

          • Matty says:
            (link)

            That’s what I thought.
            I still haven’t made all the numbers work yet, and still not sure if I can afford to keep $69 Harper (who sounds like a porn star when I say it that way, Harper must be the name of some hot girl on TV), but I like getting cheap good arms as throw-ins when I can.
            Thanks.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Yeah, Ed-Rod’s tasty

  33. SteveNZ says:
    (link)

    Springer is 30? How did this happen?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haha, we got old

      • SteveNZ says:
        (link)

        But I’ve been the same age this whole time!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Haha, me too!

  34. Sano Chance in Hell says:
    (link)

    Grey –

    Would appreciate your quick thoughts on my keeper options below. Each guy can be kept for up to 5 years with increasing rounds, most of the below have 5 years unless noted.

    5×5 10 team H2H keeper with OPS and QS, pick 8

    Round 7 – Villar
    Round 8 – Ohtani
    Round 9 – Baez (2 years left)
    Round 11 – Snell (3 years)
    Round 13 – Bregman (3 years)
    Round 14 – Corbin (3 years)
    Round 16 – Paddack
    Round 19 – Robles
    Round 20 – Hoskins (3 years)
    Round 21 – Meadows
    Round 22 – Devers
    Round 23 – Kyle Tucker
    Round 27 – Gavin Lux
    Round 28 – Wander Franco
    Round 29 – Aristides Aquino

    Was thinking Bregman, Devers, Paddack, Snell, Corbin, Meadows as locks, but unsure about last 2 spots? Will continue to monitor through spring training, but initial thoughts? Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Damn, you’re stacked… prolly those six and Robles and Villar but I’d check back in spring

      • Sano Chance in Hell says:
        (link)

        Thanks! Sold a lot of expiring keepers last year and may have overdone it on options…

  35. primetime says:
    (link)

    Loving these articles so far, especially since I own Bellinger, Freeman, Arenado and Story in my 10 team keeper league 5×5 OBP.

    Can’t wait for next week with the pitching who you got. I plan to keep Nola, Bieber and Kershaw. Unless you feel that Glasnow or Gallen should be kept over Kershaw.

    My other keeper feeling good as well with Bellinger, Tatis and Lindor. I have an arsenal of pitching in that league. I am keeping 4. I have Scherzer, Verlander, Giolito, Bieber, Bauer, Severino and Soroka

    Both league we can only keep 7 players total.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks! Maybe Gallen over Kershaw, but straight ranking no

  36. Cole says:
    (link)

    Months removed now, I’m still shocked how the juiced ball revolution hit everyone but Dahl. It’s just doesn’t seem possible…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haha, yeah, except Dahl seems to be playing at 70% strength even when at 100%

      • Cole says:
        (link)

        Yeah last year I drafted yelich and adalberto, but my power core was Giancarlo, dahl, and shaw. My pitching was stupid good with buehler and Flaherty as keepers, but I just wasnt competitive in power, obp and average. H2h cats league btw. Hope for better luck this year. Keeping buehler and gallen at very cheap prices

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Yeah, surprising considering that core — you hit every landmine there for power

  37. Bill Lumbergh says:
    (link)

    Grey-
    Been forever since I posted…awesome stuff as always! Just swapped Merrifield and 4th round pick for Laureano and 6th round pick. DEEP 27 team keep 5 no limit. You likey? Thanks and I’ll take your response off the air.

    • Bill Lumbergh says:
      (link)

      4th round pick is about player #230 and 6th round is about 280…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Good to see you! Yeah, I like that!

      • Bill Lumbergh says:
        (link)

        Thanks! BTW- gotta get some more Glossary terms going… I’ve got my Crayola Canyon and Scrubstitute credits, need that hat trick baby!! LOL

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Haha, stay tuned for in-season

          • Bill Lumbergh says:
            (link)

            Sounds good – I’m sure there will be some great opportunities to diss on the ASStros in there somewhere. Those damn Buzzer Cheaters! ;-)

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              You mean, the Asterisks?

              • Bill Lumbergh says:
                (link)

                Was like a Chumbawumba concert in that dugout…

                Lots of Tub Thumpin!

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  HAHA

  38. Lou says:
    (link)

    I’m in a keeper league and keeping Yellich, Turner, Alonso. Do I take a top OF with first pick in fourth round or go SP?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      How many teams?

      • Lou says:
        (link)

        12

        • LenFuego says:
          (link)

          It is unlikely that one of the top 4 SPs are there, but if so, I think you have to nab him … otherwise, it could go either way depending on who in particular is available.

          • Lou says:
            (link)

            Thanks, it was a tough call I could have kept Flaherty but I’ll take my chances with who’s available

  39. Kutty says:
    (link)

    No L. Robert? Hmmmm. I thought for sure he’d be pretty close to Eloy. Especially with a emphasis on the speed he could provide. That’s fine, more white sox players for me to draft!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      He’ll be up tomorrow!

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        I mean, not promoted, but maybe

      • Kutty says:
        (link)

        I guess I’m just looking to see where you rank him relative to Acuna ranking 2018. It’s it close or am I’m just being a white sox homer?

  40. Chin Music says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey, I’m trying to figure out the final two keepers for my 12 team (forever) keeper league

    These 8 I’m almost definitely keeping: Abreu, Arenado, Correa, Soto, Eloy, Buehler, Clevinger, Osuna

    These are the guys I’m currently considering for those last two spots: Lux, Conforto, Puig, Gore, Luzardo, Lynn, Gallen

    Longshots: Lamet, Hendricks

    I’ll have the 2nd overall pick when we draft the unprotected players. If I am strictly thinking longer, it would be Gore and Lux, and then try for Lux at #2 and maybe take Conforto if Lux goes #1 (not likely.) I really, really, really like Gore and I am willing to do whatever it takes to make sure I have him rostered (we have 1 roster spot specifically for inactive players). I like Conforto, and his CF/RF eligibility is useful because both my stud outfielders are LFs. I am hoping that I can end up with at least 4 of thee guys keeping two and drafting the other two at #2 and #14 overall

    Any thoughts?

    Thanks.

    • Chin Music says:
      (link)

      Last paragraph, 2nd sentence should have been: “If I am strictly thinking long term, it would be Gore and Luzardo…”

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Tough choices… Lux, Conforto, I guess… I would’ve said Conforto, Lamet if you didn’t tell me you wanted Lux, tbh

  41. Ben says:
    (link)

    Grey, if Muncy had OF eligibility, where would he in here? Thanks.

  42. Harley Earl says:
    (link)

    Love your projections for Aristides!!! Remember all those times I would come here and post “Aquino Again!!!” and you would be like “Holy mother of the Virgin Mary!” Haha!! Those were good times!!!

    If he lives up to your projections, I will be more than happy with AA. I hope his initials don’t indicate something about his affection for booze????

    Also, wanted to say I’m disappointed with the HR numbers on Springer! He hit 39 last year. Even without the garbage can, I expect 32 and as you say “with a chance for more” !!!!

    Keep the good shit coming, bro!

  43. adam fisher says:
    (link)

    Ugh…. castellanos… what does that do to your aquino pick?

  44. I like reading your lists but don’t agree with some things, You project Stanton for 500+ AB’s but only 34 HR? He’s in his contract year (I know everyone thinks he won’t dare opt out) but even conservative Streamer loves him. At his current ADP, he should be well ahead of most of these guys. He can legitimately hit 60 HR. If he’s healthy, he’s a beast. You have a bunch of guys who could have sophomore slumps like Alvarez who doesn’t help in SB’s and isn’t as good as Stanton. He just isn’t.

    Judge had two freak injuries, if he’s healthy that’s another MVP season right there. Those 27 HR were not in that many AB’s and his ADP is putting his health risk into it.

    I like your site don’t get me wrong, just feel you’re a little low on a few guys.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I have no issues with disagreeing with me… That’s why there’s chocolate/vanilla… I know Steamer loves Stanton still and Judge…And I hope they’re fine, I have no problems with them…But I am full stop out on Stanton and Judge, maybe, if he falls, but seems doubtful

Comments are closed.