I sure wish Grey would do his 2020 fantasy baseball rankings.  Wait, I am Grey and this is the rankings!  AHHHHH!!!  I need to sit down.  Wait, I am sitting!!!  I can’t handle all of this!!!  I’m going to put on a pair of pants and go dance in the street.  Meh, let’s be honest, pants are a chore.  So, this is the greatest day ever!  Now, only 400,000 words more until I finish my top 500 and I’ll be done.  Worst day ever!  Damn, that excitement was fleeting.  Well, not for you because you don’t have to write all the rankings.  You lucky son of a gun!  I wish I were you… *wavy lines*  Hey, why am I balding and have lost all definition in my buttocks?  *wavy lines*  Hmm, I’m gonna stay me.  Now before we get into the top 10 for 2020 fantasy baseball (though I imagine every single one of you has skipped this intro paragraph), I’m gonna lay down some exposition.  Here’s where you follow us on Twitter.  Here’s where you follow us on Facebook.  Here’s our fantasy baseball player rater.  Here’s our fantasy baseball team name generator.  Here are all of our 2020 fantasy baseball rankings.  Here’s the position eligibility chart for 2020 fantasy baseball.  And here is a picture of my son.  What a punim!  You may not get all of those links in such a handy, easy-to-use format ever again this year, so make proper note.  (Unless you just go to the top menu on this page that says “Rankings” and click it, but semantics, my over-the-internet friend, semantics.) Also, here’s Steamer’s 2020 Fantasy Baseball Projections for Hitters and 2020 Fantasy Baseball Projections for Pitchers. Rudy’s on top of it this year! Sorta, he says to note it’s Version 1.0, and tweaks will happen over the course of the next few weeks.

Now my expositional half insists I breakdown some generalizations about these 2020 fantasy baseball rankings.  The 2020 fantasy baseball rankings will be an ever-evolving mass like the blob.  This fantasy baseball top 10 for 2020 list is as of right now and could potentially change with a big injury or Mike Trout quitting baseball because he’s bored with being the best and wants to play competitive Mahjong.  (I’m not sure yet where Trout would rank in my Mahjong Top 10.)  So while it is the 2020 fantasy baseball gospel, take it with a tablet of salt.  Tomorrow we will cover the rest of the top twenty for 2020 fantasy baseball, then we will go around the horn with a top 20 (more like 60) list for every position.  Then for pitchers and outfielders, I’ll turn the dial to 100 (more like 140).  Listed with each player are my 2020 projections.  Did I consult with anyone else who does projections?  It would be ignorant not to, but, in the end, these are my projections.  Players need 5 games started at a position to get included in the positional rankings.  If I put someone in a position, that is why.  Well, that is whyahoo, actually.  Finally, as with each list in the 2020 fantasy baseball rankings, I will be mentioning where I see tiers start and stop.  I look at tiers like this, if Christian Yelich and Acuña are in the same tier, it doesn’t matter if one guy is ranked 2nd and one guy is ranked 1st, they’re both very close.  It comes down to personal preference.  I would prefer the guy at number one over the guy at two, but you do you, I’ll do me and let’s hope we don’t go blind.  Anyway, here’s the top 10 for 2020 fantasy baseball:

ALL PROJECTIONS ARE BASED ON 100 GAMES PLAYED, DUE TO COVID-19. BE SAFE OUT THERE!

1. Ronald Acuña Jr. – This tier goes from here until Trout. I call this tier, “Acceptable ‘Best of the Decade’ Lists.” Some unacceptable “Best of the Decade” lists include:  Boyfriends of Taylor Swift; Best Meningitis Outbreaks; Best Disney World Decapitations. This is not one of those lists. This list is an acceptable ‘Best of the Decade’ list. Only the decade is the 2020s and we’re only a few weeks into it, and these guys are just the best. Last year people gave me crap saying I was too high on Acuña by ranking him 4th overall. At the time, that seemed aggressive to you, even if it didn’t feel that way to me. You complained; I ignored or said “Ha.” No worries about apologizing. As Napoleon once said, “I forgive you for only putting two layers in my whipped-cream dessert, but if you meant it as a dig on my height, I will never forget.” But, ya know, if you were to apologize, don’t start the apology with, “To be fair, you were being a jerk.” I can forgive a lot. For unstints, I can forgive the pics you posted of me while looking sad. I was listening to Neil Diamond’s Solitary Man while in a very reflective mood. What I can’t forgive is poorly formulated forgiveness. You were wrong on Acuña and I was right. I won’t gloat. Standing on top of a mountain, “I WAS RIGHT!!!” This year, nowhere to go but down, huh? I don’t know, Poppa Large. Tildaddy seemed very interested in getting a 40/40 season last year, and, after falling a little short, my money’s on him not falling short again. I did debate Trout or Tildaddy at number one overall longer than I want to admit (47 seconds). Trout looks like a lock for more power than Acuña, but his steals are not even going to be nearby adjacent. Tildaddy is an easy 30-steal guy with a 38% fly ball rate and a likely 22% HR/FB, which gives him 37.4 homers, and a point-four homer is obviously a 384-foot fly ball off-the-wall that Acuña jogs into a single. Tildaddy says he wants to run hard, here’s hoping! 2020 Projections: 73/25/60/.287/25 in 365 ABs

2. Christian Yelich – Honestly, I almost made Yelich my number three pick and Trout number two, but that’s why there’s tiers and how I say anyone in a tier is fair game, i.e., if you drafted Yelich 1st, 2nd or third; Tildaddy 1st, 2nd or 3rd or Trout 1st, 2nd or 3rd, it’s all the same diff. Like when I’m not using my usual conditioner, I’m splitting hairs. Yelich’s recent numbers make Trout’s pale in comparison, but a pale Trout is a halibut, and I ranked them this way just for the halibut! Yo, my DJs on the wheels of steel! (That’s not deejays or DJ LeMahieu; that’s DJs as in Dad Jokes.) There was actually a real case to be made Yelich should be 1st, but I’m concerned his knee injury might slow his running game. There’s also some splits issues — home/away and righty/lefty. By the by, keep in mind I’m pointing out issues with these guys, but that doesn’t mean I don’t like them. I’m picking nits and not because I don’t want to shampoo with petroleum jelly. Yelich’s home/away splits: 27 HRs/17 HRs, .347/.312; righty/lefty: 32 HRs/12 HRs, .358/.277. These aren’t even that bad. If he only faced lefties in away games all year, he’d still be a 32-homer, .285 hitter, which is, ya know, great. Also, to be fairer than fair which is better than being colder than cold — ice cold! — Yelich may not be as good on the road, but he still hits like an absolute beast at home. I just chuckled. The soft, delicate laugh of a small man who was thinking about how Giancarlo and Yelich were on the same Marlins team and Yelich is now the guy I’m calling a beast. 2020 Projections: 71/23/69/.312/9 in 340 ABs

3. Mike Trout – Maybe because I ranked him 3rd overall vs. 1st or 2nd, but I can, for the first time, see an end to the supremacy Trout has reigned over us since 2012. Crazy how fast athlete primes are, right? I went back to look at my 2012 top 10 (remember, this is coming out of 2011, and before Trout became Mr. Man) and Miggy and Pujols were in the top three. Now those two guys need a tag team partner to run around the bases on a home run. Miggy became a top five pick in 2005, and Pujols entered top five convo in 2003, so his run was a tad longer. Seven to nine years for a top five prime? Not too shabby. Of course, Trout’s the best there ever was and I’m jumping the gun on saying he’s done, because with the internet you always have to be the 1st to say something, no matter how outrageous. How’sever, there’s some concerning bits in Trout’s profile. His fly ball rate was all the way up (literally) to 49.2%. That’s goofy high. Obviously, he’s not Rhys Hoskins or Jose Ramirez, who hit a lot of 370-foot fly ball outs, but Trout’s Hard Contact (43.8%) was 39th in the majors. No, silly, that’s not bad, but he’s getting prone to hitting dumpers into the left field bleachers, and you can kind understand why his BABIP came down to .298 (though he still hit .291 because so many line drives). Plus, he just had foot surgery, and, at some point, his 10+ steal speed is going to become, “Meh, it’s not worth it, my toesies needs their rest.” Again, he’s not bad, but I can see Trout’s 2nd act becoming 35 homers, .275 average and two steals, and a top 25 to 50 overall pick more now than I could last year. 2020 Projections: 67/27/72/.285/7 in 316 ABs

4. Cody Bellinger – This is a new tier. This tier goes from here until Lindor. I call this tier, “Flavor Town.” Sometimes when Guy Fieri says, “Flavor Town,” I hear a place called Flavor Town, where everything is deliciously drenched in donkey sauce. Other times I hear, “Flavor Town,” and I hear the verb flavor, as in a town that is boring that needs to be flavored by Guy Fieri. Both are similarly terrific, be sure on that, but they are subtly different. That’s how I am with this tier. Every time I look at this tier I think about drafting a different way. Usually I save indecision for the top 20, but this year I’m super whatever on the rankings of these guys. I’m not saying I don’t like them; I’d draft any of them and will. I’m merely saying that if you think Bellinger has to be 4th, Story 5th, etc. — like, has to has to, you’re lying. No one in this tier has to be in this order. It’s a tier and I give you permission to draft any of them, as long it’s one of these four. Now if I see someone draft Gerrit Cole or Juan Soto or Torenado in this area of the draft, then I will just slowly shake my head, turn to a mirror and say, “You tried your best, handsome.” As for Bellinger, I was thisclose to putting him in the above tier. So close there’s not even space between this and close! Can you imagine? Speaking of close, did you know we close our eyes when we yawn because God thinks it makes us look cute? Little trivia for you! Bellinger’s 15 steals last year feel like the tippy top ceiling, and, if he stole eight bags, it wouldn’t shock me. His strikeout rate went from okay to I Can’t Believe That’s Not Butter, so a better average looks right. His power, well, that needs to be 42+ homers, and it should. Bellinger’s 24.6% HR/FB looks repeatable, and his fly ball rate of 42.4% last year might’ve been a tad low, i.e., he hit 47 homers last year and I wouldn’t be surprised to see him hit 50. My only small concern is his Launch Angle went from 16.1 to 17.6, and why he almost hit twice as many year-over-year homers, so, if that regresses, well, we don’t want a possible 25/12/.290 guy 1st overall (what I’d be saying if he was in the above tier.) 2020 Projections: 67/26/71/.292/6 in 347 ABs

5. Trevor Story – I wanted to shock the world and rank Story even higher, because he feels like he could be a 45/20/.315 hitter and be a number one overall guy, but I couldn’t pull the trigger on Trevor — the Trevor trigger — the Tregger. His year-over-year numbers are remarkably similar. His fly ball rate creased a less than one percent difference from 2018 to 2019; his HR/FB% is exactly the same the last two years; his Hard Contact rate went from 44.5% to 44.1%. Yo, you a robot, Story? If you are a robot, don’t be giving me any of that cockblocking CAPTCHA shizz! So, yes, I could say Story will get 45/20, because:  Coors. But I can’t point to anything to back that up other than my gut, and I just ate blue cheese that was once yellow. 2020 Projections: 65/23/63/.293/10 in 359 ABs

6. Mookie Betts – Last year he went 135/29/80/.295/16 in 597 ABs. That some saw this as a down year will now cause me to laugh hysterically until I fall into a coughing fit and am ushered off to a sanitarium for two months, only to return telling people not only am I better but explaining to others how they can be better too, which will piss off everyone else around me until people start saying things like, “I liked him better when he was crazy, and less self-righteous.” The big difference between Betts — Bettsween? — when he put together a top fantasy season and merely a top ten season was 30 steals in 2018 to 16 steals last year. I don’t know if the steals will come all the way back. Tee bee aitch, Betts never had 30-steal speed. He was around the 150th fastest in 2018 and 170th last year; his sprint speed went from 28.1 to 27.9. He’s not Albert Pujols in a motorized scooter rounding the bases, but he’s also not Tim Locastro. You might remember Locastro is the secret ingredient in potato chips that gives you the runs. Mooks looks (doesn’t rhyme, sucka!) like an elite, safe draft pick with little upside or downside — a floor bore (does rhyme, sucka!) UPDATE: Los Angeles is such an eco-friendly city that when a recent EPA report cited jet fuel as accounting for 17% of air pollution, the Dodgers went out and traded for Mookie Betts. See, this year’s All-Star Game is in Dodger Stadium, and now eleven of their players don’t have to fly anywhere for the All-Star Game festivities. Always giving, my great City of Angels, that’s not actually the city of the Angels, that’s Anaheim, but they call themselves Los Angeles and it’s nowhere near Los Angeles. Not confusing at all! Let’s just drool for a second at the Dodgers’ lineup:  Betts, Muncy, Turner, Bellinger, Pollock, Seager, Will Smith and Gavin Lux. If they trade Austin Barnes to the Astros for a trash can, then their 2020 title hopes will be sealed! Before you laugh, the Astros could use a catcher. So, Betts’s best will be in the starry skies of Los Angeles, and Rihanna might just start liking baseball again. “You’re cute with that silliness.” “Nah, seriously, I want to go bowling.”  That’s Mookie and Rihanna on their first date. Betts is in the prime of his career, and I can’t see any chance a move to Los Angeles slows him down, however–Don’t do it, Grey! Don’t be negative here! Well, Fenway to Dodger Stadium isn’t the best move. Some of those doubles off the wall might go for deep outs to the left fielder. The Dodgers didn’t steal a lot in 2019 either, but that could be from a lack of threats. Justin Turner is running? Muncy? Bellinger did run, because he can. Betts should still be a lock for 15-20 steals, but I’m knocking his power down a tad with the park change. While his projections will change a bit, his ranking is staying the same. 2020 Projections: 72/17/54/.292/11 in 363 ABs

7. Francisco Lindor – Going to talk briefly about how important it is to draft guys who give you steals and power. Do you wanna win your league? Great, good first step, Cousin Sweatpants. Bravo. Hoist your family crest, coat of arms flag and do a lap around your couch in celebration. In order to win your league — now here comes the super surprising thing — you’re going to need power and speed. *insert GIF of Russell Crowe from A Beautiful Mind scribbling on a window, but only scribbling the words ‘power’ and ‘speed’* You can grab guys later for SAGNOF who will give you speed on the cheap — Mallex, Dee Gordon, Jarrod Dyson, to name a few. That ‘few’ has become fewer in recent years, and they all left me shuddering to different degrees. They had a combined average of around .235; Lindor hit .284. That crapumvirate combined for 98 RBIs, Lindor had 74 RBIs. That trio of vomit had 16 HRs; Lindor had 32. They obviously had many more steals. Lindor had 22; Mallex alone had 46 SBs, but Mallex had a negative twelve dollar value for runs, average, homers and RBIs! It is imperative you get guys that give speed and power, so you’re not tacking on massive negatives later on to try to make up for a lack of speed. Not to mention, if you’re relying on one guy for speed, and he gets hurt, you’re screwed. Take it from me with my draft pick of Trea Turner last year. He wasn’t terrible, but he was projected for 50+ steals, and ended up with 35 steals, which left me about 15 steals shy of middle of the pack for steals, and six points shy in league standings. A guy like Lindor getting you 30+ HRs and 20+ steals is priceless. (Actually, he has a price, that of about a mid-round 1st round pick.) 2020 Projections: 69/22/55/.287/13 in 381 ABs

8. Trea Turner – This is a new tier. This tier goes from here until the top 20 for 2020 fantasy baseball. I call this tier, “3.75 of a Does Matter.” The difference between these tiers are mere fractions. The fractional equation is:  Three-quarters of a “I Likey” divided by two-thirds of a “I No Likey” equals 1.125 of a Like, which you have to divide by “Three-Tenths of a Doesn’t Matter” and that equals 3.75 of a Does Matter, because you’re only getting one 1st rounder anyway. So, in conclusion, tiers matter even if it doesn’t seem like they do.  As for Treat Urner, he gives you speed like a baller lamping in the passenger seat of a Tesla auto-driving as it bounces with hydraulics and neon lights while playing Posse on Broadway while not on a street named Broadway because you don’t give a f*ck. Treat Urner is Ford and Ferrari. I’m not going to disparage his speed, which is what I say right before doing just that. He had one game with more than one steal after his injury last year. He only stole one bag in the entire postseason. I do think he can steal 55+ steals. I mean, he is physically capable. Will he? Does he have the wont? Does Treat Urner want to urn 55+ treats? I don’t know. Last year tells me he doesn’t need to for the Nats to win the World Series, so why suddenly become a 55-steal guy? Obviously, 20/40 still has massive value. 2020 Projections: 69/12/38/.287/25 in 387 ABs

9. Juan Soto – The year is 2045. All the years after 2038 have been a blur because, seven years prior, I was hit by a flying car, and now my frozen head is in a jar, and the visibility through formaldehyde is 100% blurriness. Don’t fret; I’m way ahead of Ted Williams in line to get another body, because it’s alphabetical. Haha, eat it, Ted W.! Taking a summer vacation this year for the 1st time in forty years as my 100-something-year-old Cougar drives my head to see Juan Soto get inducted into the Baseball Hall of Fame, which she keeps saying in its entirety and I keep gurgling into the formaldehyde jar, “You can just say, ‘Hall of Fame.’ You don’t have to say ‘baseball,’ we know where we’re going.” On the trip, I begin to recount all of Juan Soto’s achievements — his 600+ homers, his .295 career average, his .415 career OBP, which tied fellow inductee, Daniel Palka, who became a huge star the year after I wrote a sleeper post for him in 2019. All incredible marks and my head trip shows how much I love Sexy Dr. Pepper, but what was his top mark in steals for any year? 12? Maybe 15? Sounds like Mike Trout without the huge power upside. 2020 Projections: 62/22/67/.294/6 in 332 ABs

10. Fernando Tatis Jr. – Ending the top 10 for 2020 fantasy baseball with a bullet! FTJ gonna fun the jewels fast, fun them, fun them jewels fast! When I started ranking, I didn’t see myself putting Fun the Jewels this high, but it goes back to the Lindor blurb. I want speed and power from everyone, and, since we’re back at Lindor’s blurb, let’s look at his projections vs. FTJ’s. More runs, power, RBIs and average, but less speed and mighty close on all counts. Also, who’s got more upside? FTJ or Lindor? Is it even close? In 2020, FTJ could be Acuña with 20/20 hindsight while rocking 40/40 like my eyes when I forget my contacts are in and I put on my glasses. Is Lindor gonna sniff 40/40? Maybe 40 homers, but, c’mon, he’s not gonna come within a country mile of 40 steals. (A country mile is Jim Thome with a long tape measure.) Then, forgetting Lindor, let’s think about Tildaddy going into last year. No one trusted him to rank him as high as 4th overall like I did. Why? Because he hadn’t done it before? Not to insult your intelligence, but it insults my intelligence to avoid a guy just because he hasn’t done it before. FTJ had about a half a season last year, going 22/16/.317. “Hello, 911, I have an emergency. I think Mr. Prorater is having a heart attack.” I should be ranking FTJ in the top four overall, but his .410 BABIP and 29.6% K% shook me a little and I’m worried he bottoms out to .240-ish. The power and speed won’t go anywhere though, so, even if he goes 30/30/.240, I’m more than happy taking him in the top 10. Actually, more than “more than happy.” I’m hanging my head out a window like a female Great Dane slobbering to draft FTJ, then taking Lizzo’s DNA test to show I’m 100% that bitch. 2020 Projections: 65/20/41/.259/19 in 366 ABs

 
  1. Boomer19 says:
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    Wow! Great start to another exciting year! Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Thanks, Boomer!

    • Don says:
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      can imagine Trout’s .275 35hr future — but I think that’s more likely to cover ages 32-36 than 28-32.

  2. Brian says:
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    Truly a changing of the guard. No bregman, no Arenado, No Harper and no Altuve in the top 10. Cheers to Grey and thank u for what u do! Arenado rumors of trade must be depressing value. Sign stealing for Altuve and breagman? Too many cheese steaks for harper? Finally 2020 is here!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      2020! Some of those names are coming tomorrow in the top 20…

  3. thatguy says:
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    Bellinger is outside my top 25. Fluke city

    • thatguy says:
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      The second half is in line with career norms, adjusted for the juiced ball of course. The first half is aberrant

      • thatguy says:
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        To be honest I love your top 10 and might simply pull Bellinger out and put Mondesi in.

      • bigbear says:
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        He’s 24 year old with 3 full seasons under his belt. So he’s just beginning to hit his prime. I agree that the first half (actually just the first month) was abnormal. But if you normalize that he’s still a 40+/.280+ guy. Babip is in line with career and league averages. Better than average plate discipline. I’d argue that 2018 was unlucky HR wise instead of saying 2019 was an aberration.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Meh, I think bottom of Bellinger is between 2018 and 2019, which is still great, and safe and worth the pick… His AVG looks real, his counting stats will be good, and his steals are decent for 35 homers

  4. Crazy J says:
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    Moar SS! I knew you’d put Story, Taters, and Lindor in the top 10… and figured Treat would have to be there with his speed. Will be awesome when Mookie gets the 2B tag with the Dodgers.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Haha, yeah, shortstops are absolutely stacked up top

  5. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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    Officially baseball season now! Thanks Grey!

    • titan says:
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      I second this…..I wait for Grey top 10 article to shift my “BB” bookmarks ahead of my “FF” bookmarks….hey I’m watching it snow in Wisconsin…it’s life’s little pleasures.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Thanks, titan!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      LFGDWTBAS!

  6. Sweatpants Nation says:
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    Oh happy day! Thank you for my reading material for the next month or so.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Get ready for lots of words, Sweatpants!

  7. moses mashers says:
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    Happy New Year, Grey.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Happy New Year, Moses!

  8. Malicious Phenoms says:
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    Solid top ten, different than I thought it would be but still solid!

    And on that note, less than a month until pitchers and catchers report!!!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Thanks! Feels like they reported today, tbh

  9. Beastman says:
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    For most people, the new year officially begins when they wake on January 1st, full of regret from days past yet ready to start fresh.

    I however, don’t reach that blissful state of fleeting satisfaction and empty optimism until Grey’s Top 10 column is published. It marks the official beginning of fantasy baseball season, when everyone’s teams-to-come are full of promise and everlasting SAGNOF hope.

    Thanks again Grey, Happy New Year!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Thanks, Beastman! Happy New Year!

  10. Evan says:
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    Awesome work! So many SS in the top 10! I have Javier Baez for $23 in a 14 team mixed deep keeper. Think that’s good value? I’m hoping he pops up in the top 20!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I know, and Baaz is great too…He’s worth $23

  11. Snacks Zillion says:
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    Like an early Christmas!! Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I would’ve went with late Xmas, but you’re a forward-looker, Snacks

  12. Matty says:
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    I’ve been enjoying the rest of the offseason content but now it’s really baseball season.
    I’ve been in Japan on my honeymoon and saying “Hisashi me Dashi slurp slurp” (and often three slurps) every time we have dashi, or ramen, or udon, or any other delicious slurpy food. By the fourth or fifth time I did it I realized the brilliance of the extra slurps in the joke. I’m looking forward to more quotable content. I’m sure my wife is too.
    Thanks a bunch. Here’s to another great season everyone.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Haha, I might be going to Tokyo in November, and plan on bringing that to the masses

      Thanks!

      • Matty says:
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        You definitely should. You’ll deserve the vacation by the time you wrap up the 2020 Recaps.
        I’m sure there are other folks on here with more knowledge of Japan, but let me know if you need my notes.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I definitely will want your notes when it comes time!

  13. jack florida says:
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    happy new year–i know its baseball time when your rankings start to appear

    looking forward to another great razzball year

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Good to see you, jack florida!

  14. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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    Hey Grey! Regarding that Villar ($5) for Meadows ($8) keep forever trade we were chatting about yesterday (you were meadows side but it was close)….

    Is it an easier choice in favor of meadows for you if you had a keeper baseline of Yelich, Acuna, and Story to give you steals (aka Villar isn’t the only speedster)?

    Thanks again!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah, that makes sense for Meadows

      • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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        Great thanks! Looking forward to seeing where Meadows stacks up in the rankings. Didn’t look at him closely until I received that offer . . . but man, it’s almost like what we dreamed about for Corey Dickerson way back when (when he was on COL and looking like a 30/15 .290 guy with good counting stats)

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Meadows looks like 27/15/.280 with risk, but upside

          • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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            Makes sense. Thanks!

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              No problem

  15. zombie says:
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    Time to get to work. Or, become much less productive at reality work. Giddy Monday. Tough to disagree with any of the T-10, assuming that you’re assuming an Arenado change of address. Here’s to another great season Grey, Rudy, Donk & crew and all Razzballers!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Thanks, zombie!

  16. Tom says:
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    I’ll pass on Tatis in the top ten, struck out 33% of the time with a .410 babip, got caught stealing 37 % of the time, just like he did in the minors. Those numbers scare me a little too much for top ten, second round sure.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      That’s fair, and I do think he’s a bit risky for top ten, but the upside is insane, and I want to own him everywhere

      • Norman Ginsberg says:
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        I’m also afraid that he might be injury-prone — am I being unfair?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yeah

    • jbona3 says:
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      Fangraphs had a nice piece of research last season that showed that MiLB plate discipline is “sticky,” that as a prospect moves to MLB there was a 0.6 correlation between their plate discipline in the minors and majors, so I can see fading Tatis based on that.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Gotcha

  17. The Great Knoche says:
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    You’ve been spending way too much time with Drunkey Teeth the last month. Talked you into bumping Story all the way up to five. And come on, You know you are getting .300/100/35/125/2 from Arenado. I’m still grabbing him before Soto.

    Happy baseball!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Ya know, I must be with DT bc I wrote my top ten then DT told some random in the comments last month what his top ten would be and it was exactly the same

  18. Bill says:
    (link)

    It’s the most wonderful time of the year…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks, Bill!

  19. bigbear says:
    (link)

    Trea is still in my circle of trust for the titillating upside SBs.

    FTJ!!! Ballsy even! Glad you noted the BABIP and K%. Legit concerns. And I really wanted to poopoo the 30 SB because FTJ isn’t really a leadoff hitter. But he’s fast (29.3 sprint) and who else is gonna hit 1st for the Padres? Gresham? Pham? I think FTJ is going to be one of those guys that has a fairly high average BABIP anyway. Not .410 high (or .420 high), but .350 is reasonable. So .265+ BA is doable even with no K% improvement. In the MiLB he hit .280 with a 21.4 K%. What about that low LA? Pick your argument between “Yelich has a low LA” and “historically, as the LAR continues those who buy in will hit more dingers”. FTJ!!! A little bit of hopenomics in there, but I trust the power and speed. Not many legit 30/30 threats in the game.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      We need some hopenomics nowadays, and I agree with everything you said — he’s fast and will hit .255+ even if the Ks are a little wonky

  20. Big Magoo

    Big Magoo says:
    (link)

    Nice to see you, January Grey. Can’t believe that pitchers and catchers report next month. Seems like it’s been a quick offseason for a change.

    I’d be hard pressed to pull the trigger on Tatis over guys like Bregman and Arenado, but I know how much you like your toolsy youngsters. And an Arenado trade wouldn’t help his value either.

    I can see owning a few shares of Lindor this year. Only player in MLB to go 30/15 in each of the last three years. Switch hitter, age 26 season, great plate discipline, power, speed, the whole package. A trade to a team like the Dodgers would only improve his value too. Might consider him over Yelich if forced to choose due to Yelich’s persistent health issues (back, knee).

    Soto might walk 150 times this year. Without Rendon behind him, why would anyone pitch to him? Facing Soto vs Kieboom/Gomes/Zimmerman/Robles. I wonder which option Nats’ opponents will choose…

    • FrankGrimes says:
      (link)

      Magoo!

      • Big Magoo

        Big Magoo says:
        (link)

        Grimey!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Magoo! Great to see you! Agree on Lindor, seems like a super safe pick, with maybe a tad bit of upside even in power if he has a career year… Agree on Soto too, I think I’m out on him this year, price is going too high

      • Big Magoo

        Big Magoo says:
        (link)

        It’d help Soto if the Nats land Donaldson, but I’m not sure I trust Donaldson a ton at this point anyway. Probably a pass for me too.

        Now that I think about it, I know why you’re so high on Tatis. Tommy Pham! He’ll help everyone in that lineup. That’s a pretty convincing argument, well done.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          As you know, I’m not a huge Donaldson fan, so that wouldn’t change my mind… Don’t love Pham either, tbh, but he’s solid for others around him… I have more problems with Pham due to his ADP

          • Big Magoo

            Big Magoo says:
            (link)

            I don’t see a problem with Pham’s ADP unless it’s in the top 10, then it might be a tad high. Just a tad. Kidding, I’m not stumping for Pham anymore. Wasn’t even doing it last year. I still like him as a player, but he’s a high floor guy whose floor is a bit questionable due to his eye condition and age.

            I haven’t even checked ADP yet tbh, so I don’t where Pham’s going anyway. Still working through my rankings. I like to be as unbiased as possible while compiling those. There usually aren’t too many huge discrepancies in the early rounds for me on the hitting side, but the pitching side can be a different story. Last year, Cole, Wheeler, Ryu, and Hendricks were some of the guys that I stumped for in this space. Got a few this year too. I’ll be ready to discuss when your SP rankings come out.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Honestly, I don’t know Pham’s ADP off top of head, but I know whenever I see him I think it’s too high… Maybe the market has corrected due to trade… A lot worries me about him tho, age, eyes, he is Adam Eaton 5-7 rounds sooner, etc.

              Yeah, I do same, try to avoid too many prejudices with ADP

              • Big Magoo

                Big Magoo says:
                (link)

                Pham has averaged better than 20/20 over the last three seasons and I don’t think that Eaton has ever hit 20 homers or stolen 20 bags in a season, but I get what you’re saying. I see a 5-6 round difference between them, but it depends where those 5-6 rounds fall in a draft.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  Ha, very true… I just can’t help feel like 20/20 becomes 15/15 so quickly and Eaton’s 12/12 is so close to that and I am jumping thru hoops for this comparison

                • Pham up and down, but definitely takes a hit moving to SD. I’m off

                  • Florida Cracker says:
                    (link)

                    Speaking of ADP I’ve been trying to look at NFBC ADP for a month. The home page loads with all the columns but no player names appear. Is anyone else having this problem?

          • J-FOH says:
            (link)

            Grey! Magoo! Top Ten!

            Agree on Soto with Magoo, Tatis lust in full swing

            • Big Magoo

              Big Magoo says:
              (link)

              JFOH! Tatis lust sounds like the title of a Russ Meyer movie.

              • Grey

                Grey says:
                (link)

                HA! Nice, Magoo

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              He’s so sexy! Love to hear you’re back playing FB, JFOH

              • J-FOH says:
                (link)

                Im co-managing a 20 team Dynasty with Ralph and have a team in his Razz30 dynasty. Doing a daily redraft league is probably not in the cards.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  Damn…Glad to hear you’re still in the game at least

                  • J-FOH says:
                    (link)

                    Keeping in with the hopes I can make the time to play like I did before

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      That makes sense…Well, still good to see you!

  21. FrankGrimes says:
    (link)

    Hahah Rankings!!
    Second half of season last year
    I kept saying given the chance I’m taking acuna first next year
    And you was all like “Grimey that’s cray cray…”

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haha, I’ve come around on Acuña being number one… I was thinking Trout is just too safe, but Acuña is safe plus an extra 10+ steals

      • FrankGrimes says:
        (link)

        Did you see Genny is in Fargo S4?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Yeah, I gave him a shoutout on Twitter and he retweeted it, member?

          • FrankGrimes says:
            (link)

            That’s right. Dur.
            What are you watching now?

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Cheer was awesome on Netflix

              I’m watching You (ugh, it sucks so bad), Vikings on Hulu (it’s aight) and trying to catch up on movies (watched 1917 and Irishman this weekend)

              • Big Magoo

                Big Magoo says:
                (link)

                How was the Irishman? I’ve been wanting to see it. Was a bit concerned when I heard about the de-aging that they were doing, but was excited to hear that Pesci was back on the big screen.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  Funny, I had similar concerns, and I thought de-aging was great, I didn’t like the length of the movie, felt like they could’ve lost a goof 30 mins from it… I enjoyed it more than I thought tho, even with a 3:30 RT

                  • Big Magoo

                    Big Magoo says:
                    (link)

                    That is a long runtime, but it seems like the pros outweigh the cons. Thanks, I’ll check it out.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      As far as movies this year, Marriage Story, Parasite and JoJo Rabit were excellent

                    • FrankGrimes says:
                      (link)

                      Don’t bother. It was weak af.

              • FrankGrimes says:
                (link)

                You stinks.
                Viking is lame I want the last kingdom to return.

                Watch kingdom. Season 2 is about to drop.

                I’ll check out Cheer per your recommendation!

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  I watched Kingdom, I’m waiting on that too, need something in the meantime….Cheer!

  22. Ghost of Grady Little says:
    (link)

    FTJ was on the waiver wire at the end of last year in my keep 2 players league. If I had known he’d be your top 10…. FTJ? More like FML. Haha. Welcome back!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haha, damn

  23. Peacecoast says:
    (link)

    Love the list! I have first pick this year in my home league and I was torn between Acuna and Trout.
    Early keeper questions (warning they are not great)! pick 5 to keep 12t mixed roto by rounds. no innings limit so SP have more value

    Biggio 20
    R Mcmahon 26
    Aquino 20
    Kingery 20
    Giolito 20
    Manaea 20
    T Rogers 26 (but s+h league…still 26 tho)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Peace! You have to watch Cheer on Netflix…

      Not McMahon or Rogers

      • Peacecoast says:
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        afraid I may get aroused

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          That’s only one of the reasons to watch!

  24. The Talented Mr. Dope Man says:
    (link)

    YYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEESSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSS!

    that is all.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thaaaaaaaaaaanks!

  25. Phil says:
    (link)

    The New Year has finally begun with the Commencement of Grey’s Rankings! I think I just broke my zipper, that’s how excited I am. I can’t wait for the full Top 500 rankings, etc.

    Also, a question to my fellow fantasy baseball brethren:

    I have to keep four players, in exchange for draft picks, in a 12 team league. So I’m keeping Yelich for a 2nd rounder, Lindor for a 3rd rounder, and Juan Soto for a 12th rounder. However, I’m somewhat torn as to whether I should keep deGrom for a 1st rounder ( I have the last pick in the first round so he’d be undoubtedly taken before I draft), Ozzie Albies with a 4th rounder, Luis Castillo for a 10th rounder, Eloy Jimenez for a 13th rounder (I would include Bo Bichette for a 24th rounder but I’m keeping Lindor).

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haha, nice!

      DeGrom

  26. Sing Us A Vogelsong You’re the Pineda Man says:
    (link)

    January Grey is my number 1 Grey in my Fantasy Grey Albright Rankings (closely followed by April Grey, July Grey, August Grey, June Grey, May Grey (considering moving this one up because it rhymes), September Grey)).

    Anyway, after several years of getting second or third, last year I finally won my league. This was helped, in large part, to your daily write-ups, this site’s tools, and your fantasy philosophies.

    Thanks for being a killer, and I will be targeting Trevor Story in all of my leagues!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Kinda surprised to see May Grey that low, even without the rhyme he’s still going strong, definite 1st half player

      No problem!

  27. LJ Hoes says:
    (link)

    Would anyone else besides Grey trade Baez for Tatis?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Hoes, didn’t Tatis do nearly same HR/SB-wise as Baez in 60+ less games?

  28. big league wood says:
    (link)

    Nice start to the year Coach !!! question is with Juan Soto vs George Springer. I have picked Springer up multiple in early drafts at the 3/4 turn. Are their projection close?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Outfield rankings will be up soon, next week…

  29. hondo says:
    (link)

    The first sign of spring.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks!

  30. Cognoscere says:
    (link)

    Best time of the year…and GEAUX TIGERS!!!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haha, thanks!

  31. William Hung says:
    (link)

    This ranking pains me so much since I lost in the semis last year – I had all the guys 4-7… :( :( :(

    Stupid Quintana sunk me that week #neverforget

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Ugh, Quintana was the worst

  32. knucks says:
    (link)

    Steamer has Thomas Pannone down for 194 Ks. I know this is a “Rudy question”, but give me your first reaction, Grey.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      My 1st reaction when I saw that was: Who?

      That’s one of those things Rudy will have to adjust, Pannone is a MR, and for some reason getting a full year of IP

  33. Cyler says:
    (link)

    So it begins. So excited to read Razzball everyday….wait I already do. I meant excited to read every article twice a day.

    Can I get some keeper help in a 10 team 6 X 6 OPS dynasty league. We can keep players forever. We get 10 keepers and I have it narrowed down to 13 below.

    Anthony Rizzo
    Whit Merrifield
    Alex Bregman
    Trea Turner
    Yordan Alvarez
    Austin Meadows
    George Springer
    Victor Robles
    Yoan Moncada
    Mike Trout
    Jack Flaherty
    Aaron Nola
    Noah Syndergaard

    Also if you could trade Nola and Flaherty for Machado and then keep Machado is that a good deal? With Razzball community help I do feel really confident in getting draft day SP value and streaming. So I feel it’s unnecessary to keep a SP unless it’s a bona fide ace. Flaherty feels close though.

    Thank you!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haha, thanks!

      I’d want Flaherty over Machado

      Nice keepers tho! Lose Nola, Syndergaard and dealer’s choice, prolly Robles, but could see losing Whit or Moncada

  34. Huffin Gas says:
    (link)

    It’s rankings time…which means I probably won’t even tab over to porn hub in my browser for the first time since Sept.. Thanks for the content!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haha, No problem!

  35. Bas says:
    (link)

    Sir Grey!

    I hope all is well with you. J

    ust saw Tigers son hitting a golfball and I just wonder why can’t I hit a ball like that and making some extra money….

    Anyway, very happy to see the Top 10 and having Tildaddy and Story as 2 of my keepers.

    Let the games begin!!

    Best,
    Bas from Holland

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I’d like to do something like golf and make millions too, please let me know if you track down formula

      Thanks!

  36. Vanguard says:
    (link)

    I’m in a 5×5 10 team roto league that allows you to keep players based on points. Keep up to 10 points. The players I have are as follows and the rounds I would keep them in:
    Gerrit Cole – 4 pts round 1
    Giolito – 1 pt round 17
    Glasnow – 1 pt round 21
    Montas – 1 pt round 11
    Max Fried – 1 pt round 12
    Gallen – 1 pt round 13
    Freeman – 2 pts round 7
    Hiura – 1 pt round 16
    Eloy Jimenez – 1 pt round 14
    Bo Bichette – 1 pt round 15
    Puig – 1 pt round 10
    Moustakas – 1 pt round 9
    Kyle Tucker – 1pt round 18

    Any ideas on who to keep based on the above info?
    Appreciate any help

  37. Schwab says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey,
    Thanks for the rankings. 8 team, H2H league points Dynasty league. We can keep players forever. One Utility spot. We only start 7 pitchers each week, so everyone has equal starts. We keep 15. Last year I did put up the most points in the league. Which 5 to drop?

    Realmuto, Alonso, Moncada, Bryant, Bogaerts, Stanton, JD Martinez, Rosario, Josh Bell, Chapman, Escobar, Wander Franco, Corbin, Marquez, Snell, Whitley, Bauer, Giolito, Boyn and Woodruff.
    Thanks again.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      No problem! Whitley, Boyd, Marquez, Woodruff, then tough call, prolly Bauer

  38. Great start to a great season! FTJ!!!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks!

  39. Srbanator says:
    (link)

    I can’t tell you how happy this makes me. Great work as always.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks!

  40. Laura Holt

    Laura Holt says:
    (link)

    Happy New Year! Had a mid-round pick in my first draft (15-teamer) and was planning on taking Trevor but went with Trea — I think I’m going to be powerless to resist potential speed this year.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Happy new year! Yeah, it’s tough to get out of the 1st round with no speed this year, which is why I’ve kinda buried Arenado, Freeman and a few others coming in the top 20 tomorrow

  41. Mike Adamson says:
    (link)

    Your son is very suave.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Takes after his old man

  42. herschel says:
    (link)

    @Grey: giggity. good to be back. hope you had a nice hibernation/holiday.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Good to see you!

  43. Malicious Phenoms says:
    (link)

    Luhnow and Hinch suspended for one year for cheating..thoughts

    • Malicious Phenoms says:
      (link)

      PLUS, Astros fine will be $5 million and take away their first- and second-round draft picks in the 2020 and 2021 drafts.

      • Malicious Phenoms says:
        (link)

        Manfred is a joke, he has to go!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Cause of the Astros punishment? Thought it was pretty severe

          • Malicious Phenoms says:
            (link)

            Nah, not severe enough. The money is nothing. Lotto picks not that big of a deal. Luhnow and Hinch AND Cora, should be lifetime bans..

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              No amount of $ will make up for it, but suspending GM and manager for a year felt was tough

              • Malicious Phenoms says:
                (link)

                Hinch will draw a Bobby Valentine moustache on his lying face and still be in the dugout in 2020!

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  Wonder if he ever gets a job again

                  • Malicious Phenoms says:
                    (link)

                    I hope neither of them do..

            • LenFuego says:
              (link)

              The money was the most he was allowed to do. Luhnow and Hinch got fired, so from the Astros perspective that is a lifetime ban. And Cora will get his when the Red Sox investigation is over — it seems likely that he will get the most severe penalty of anyone (maybe lifetime ban) based on doing this with multiple teams and being the kingpin behind it all

              • Grey

                Grey says:
                (link)

                And Cora couldn’t even name a closer last year!

    • Ozone Ranger says:
      (link)

      “crapumvirate“

      That’s was fargin hi-larious.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        Thanks!

  44. LOLmets says:
    (link)

    Soto > Trout

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Ya know, you might be right, but wasn’t willing to go there yet

  45. LOLmets says:
    (link)

    How does Soto not have huge homer upside ? The kid popped 22 dongs in what?400 at bats as a 19 year old? Telling me he’s fully developed his power? Soto is the guy.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      That’s fair, but his swing isn’t a power swing, which is what you can point to in September when he has 50 HRs

      • LOLmets says:
        (link)

        I think he hits 40 homers this year with 17 steals and is the second most valuable player behind only acuna.

        Fade the fucking hell out of Christian yelich at 2 overall. Shocked to see you have him second.

        • LOLmets says:
          (link)

          owning yelich last year was so frustrating constantly getting some kind of nagging injury and then struggling to get back into the lineup I don’t see how that gets better with age.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          I am a little concerned about Yelich’s knee… Damn, LOLMets, you got me rethinking everything

          • LOLmets says:
            (link)

            Yeah man, u ever see yelich up close? He’s an actual giraffe. Not just his knee he gets a stiff neck and needs a week off.

            Those injuries eventually will effect his performance. Sorry for coming in so hot.

            Give me the youth tho. All in on acuna (obv) and Soto as the best 2 players

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Ha! I hear ya, no worries, I like passion!

  46. LOLmets says:
    (link)

    The only player I would trade Juan Soto for is Ronald Acuna

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Can’t hate Soto, so I’m good with that

      • LOLmets says:
        (link)

        Soto is the second best player in th league. No shit you can’t hate on him

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Haha…LOLMets coming hard for me

  47. Curious George says:
    (link)

    This truly is the most wonderful time of the year! Love the top 10! Had to give up my 24th round tatis keeper after not taking home the championship this past year (still have my acuna 6th round keep and Soto 21st round keep).

    Question: we have 8 categories in our league – AVG, OPS, XBH, HR, R, RBI, Net SB, and K’s (which obviously puts quite a bit more emphasis on power than speed). As such, how much do you think you would downgrade someone like Treat Urner? Or even FTJ?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Damn on Tatis, but at least you got the ‘ship

      I’d drop them there about ten spots, and Trea below that at maybe 12-15 spots… Those cats are not made for them

      • Curious George says:
        (link)

        Awesome. Thanks for the input – looking forward to the rankings to come!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          No problem!

  48. AL KOHOLIC says:
    (link)

    Yippie Ki aye Mother F$&@?&S Yes I’m ready. Had to make a drink to read this post and get myself mentally ready. Thanks again for everything

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Ha, No problem!

  49. Harley Earl says:
    (link)

    Ahhhhhhhhhhh, the rankings!!! Yay!!! Thanks for moving on past the sleepy Sleepers!!!

    Two questions here basically:

    1, Will you be doing a Schmohawk post again this year? I love them and you’re usually right, so I like to know who to avoid.

    2, I get why you ranked Yelich #2, anybody with half a brain should. However, I’m concerned about that cracked knee cap being problematic in getting to his power. Did you consider his injury effecting his play when making this ranking or do you believe the injury will have little to no effect? I think there is reason to be cautious here, even if it’s only for the first week of the season.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      1. Yes, in February after rankings

      2. I’m worried about his knee affecting his running, but we’ll have time to see what’s up once spring training starts… If there’s an issue, he could get moved down

      • Harley Earl says:
        (link)

        Yeah, you actually make a better point about the running than a drop-off in power. I really hadn’t even considered how it will effect his speed.

        I’m just worried that this is not something that can easily be dismissed. In one-year redraft leagues, I’m taking Trout, Acuna, Story, Betts and Lindor ahead of Yelich. It’s not that I don’t think Yelich can’t be just as good as he was. It’s more of a precautionary “safety” measure. I mean, he might be fine in March, but will it hold up through July and August when you need him the most? I’d rather play it safe than be sorry. For drafts before spring training games begin, I’m not touching him with that high of a pick.

  50. SteveNZ says:
    (link)

    Woah Astros. Luhnow, Hinch GONE.

    • Malicious Phenoms says:
      (link)

      GOOD!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yeah, had to be done, someone had to fall on the grenade

      • SteveNZ says:
        (link)

        It’s been pointed out that what they’ll save in salary for Luhnow and Hinch comfortably exceeds the amount of the fine…

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Rich get richer

          • SteveNZ says:
            (link)

            I find it kind of (very) amusing that for all the high-tech wizardry that the Astros have brought to their baseball operations (both honest and dishonest), they passed on pitch information to the hitters via a trash can lid.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Ha! Yeah, like a bunch of hobos

              • SteveNZ says:
                (link)

                Elsewhere, just re-reading The Cold Six Thousand for the umpteenth time – *such* a cool book.

                And I may have mentioned this via another channel, but The Best Team Money Can Buy by Molly Knight is a really great read. Some cool behind-the-scenes stuff.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  I’m not reading about the Dodgers, but I do appreciate book recommendations! I’m reading Killers of the Flower Moon, which is fascinating and highly recommended

  51. KrazyIvan says:
    (link)

    My Ravens get trounced and bounced from the playoffs and on Monday I get this top 10 from Grey-perfect timing!

    I have a 12 team H2H where I can only keep one batter and one pitcher. Do I pull the trigger on Trevor or play it safe with Mookie?
    I can make a strong case for both, but with the extra categories it seems like a want to lean towards Betts.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Ha, sorry about the Ravens!

      I’d play it safe with Mookie in a keeper

  52. Mr. Crab says:
    (link)

    Officially MLB 2020 season has started !!! Thanks again Grey and looking forward to the best insight information in Fantasy Baseball ??

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Appreciate it!

  53. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
    (link)

    Most fantasy relevant takeaway from the Hinch firing? Add some steals back onto the Astros hitter projections, at least for Springer, Breg, and Altuve. Hinch hated stealing if I recall . . . which, of course, is super super ironic now! [zing!]

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Honestly, I’m not sure there is a fantasy takeaway… Do they all tank? Seems farfetched… Do they struggle with changeups? It can’t be, right? I don’t know… I’m looking at it like the players are who they are and this isn’t going to kill their value, but if Altuve (or any of them) struggle, it’s gonna be hard to not look at this as a reason

      • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
        (link)

        For sure. The only thing I’ve been doing is looking at home/away splits.

        Bregman was actually a lot better away last year, so less of a concern for him.

        Yordan was interesting. He crushed righties everywhere, well over .300 in all spots. But his home/away for lefties . . . .404 at home….211 away! I’m not docking him at all, but if he struggles more against lefties at home, the narrative would definitely be that he’s a beast but got help against lefties at home (and didn’t need any help against righties).

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yeah, we prolly won’t know for sure if it means anything until we see games, but my guess is it won’t mean much, or at least not noticeable difference, not like Altuve will become Arraez

      • LenFuego says:
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        As someone with Bregman as a keeper, I am encouraged by the report’s findings. The Astros cheated rampantly in 2017, using two different methods (use of trash can signalling of pitch types determined in video replay room, and use of center field TV to decode signal scheme and relay to runner on 2nd), used only the weaker method for part of 2018 (center field TV for decoding signals in first part of season — NO use of trash can/video replay room), and apparently no cheating in 2019.

        I was concerned they would be found to have cheated all three years, and thus a risk that Bregman’s statistics were significantly augmented by the cheating. That does not appear to be the case. The year of massive cheating, Bregman had only 19 HRs, the year with lite cheating he had 31 HRs and the year of no cheating he had 41 HRs.

        • LenFuego says:
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          Also, the report included the following statement: “Some Astros players told my investigators that they did not believe the sign-stealing scheme was effective, and it was more distracting than useful to hitters.”

          Based on Bregman’s results each year and just what I know about his personality, I would not at all be surprised if he was one of the players for whom it was more of a distraction than effective.

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            Exactly, I wouldn’t be surprised if some of that nonsense was widely distracting and ignored… Can you imagine trying to listen for something?

            • KrazyIvan says:
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              ^This. It’s hard enough hitting, but listening to Alex the Grouch slamming a trash canS- this story is more ridiculous then scandalous.

              Like, why does the report point out that Hinch didn’t “support the scheme”?!! In what bizarre world does someone think that a baseball team is a democracy? Whatever the manager wants he gets! He smashed the monitors twice when Alex was laying down a beat as an Astro whiffed to end the game.

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                Yeah, pretty much agree…. You can’t let that shizz go on on your watch, but it’s impossible to hit a baseball even if you know what pitch is coming… It’s why every team uses same signs, doesn’t matter if you know a heater or a curve is coming

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yup, I saw that too… I’m not hugely concerned on players stats changing

  54. Big Ticket says:
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    Thanks Grey! Love reading every year. In OBP, do you see Trout staying top 5 for longer? I was thinking about flipping Belly and some bum keepers for Trout.

  55. Kutty says:
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    Weeeeeeee!!!!!!!!

    • Kutty says:
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      Like Christmas morning!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Ouiiiiiiiiii!

      • Kutty says:
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        Lol. Can’t wait to see your thoughts on L.Robert and Mondesi

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Me too!

  56. Beat the Bots says:
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    Happy New Year!! Long time league went from 14-18 teams, how would your strategy change? 6×6 roto obp

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Happy new year! You need to make sure you have an ace, and you better go hard after five category guys

      • Beat the Bots says:
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        Thanks! Does Pax or Darvish count as an ace ?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Fringe aces

  57. Cohen says:
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    Grey, so thrilled to see the rankings!! This is my 6 th year on your site. I ve won 4 titles in 5 years! Cant wait for another fun year! Thank you!!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Awesome! Good to see you!

  58. The Great Knoche says:
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    So here’s my question in the whole “trashcan Gate”.

    What about Beltran? Everything id seen so far says he’s a part of this.

    Also i don’t see this tanking anyone completely but I definitely see averages going down a little and Ks going up. And I’m fading Astros, and Red Sox hitters a little. And what if this goes deeper and other teams weren’t caught?

    Case in point George Springer K% in minors around 27%. First year in Big Leagues 33%, first year Hinch arrives it drops to 24%. Now we all saw that as hitter progression, but what if that wasn’t only thing. 9% drop in K Rate is pretty rare over one year, and it’s only come down to around 19-20% in 4 years since then. I could see him being a 25%+ K rate. I mean he was striking out 1 of every 5 ABs and he knew what was coming.

    Extra 30 Ks per year will drop average about only about 10 points max, but it’s still significant. 30 less chances for counting stats as well. There’s 6 RBIs and 6 Rs a few Hr

    And if he doesn’t know what’s coming when he does put bat on ball there’s another 10 points and maybe 10-15 RBIs and Runs and a few more HRs

    So he’s down 20 BA points, 15 R, 15 RBIs and 5 HR

    Fade.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Meh, maybe, I just don’t see it being that much of a help… Maybe it helped their confidence a bit, but you can know what pitch is coming and still not hit it

  59. LaRockakis says:
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    You know who I didn’t see in your top 10 that SHOULD be there? I’ll give you one guess.

    Jk’ing.

    It does feel like the year has finally begun. And I still owe you some change from winning last year’s championship.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Mancini!

  60. J-Money says:
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    Lets go!!!

  61. Toro says:
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    Grey,
    Thoughts on luzardo and Soroka. Who’s the better pitcher?
    Are they off by a lot.
    Can’t wait for your SP rankings.

  62. nightpandas says:
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    Good stuff Grey!

    Dahl or Darvish? OBP/SLG QS/Kper9 partial keeper league

    • The Great Knoche says:
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      Depends what you need. If you can stomach the injury risk I’d want Dahl.

      But if rosters are deep Hilliard could be a solid deep roster guy to hold onto just in case

  63. Powdered Toast Man says:
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    Rankings making my January, January Grey! Thanks!

  64. Big Mike says:
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    Thank the good Lord!

  65. Zackary Paal says:
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    Looking for advice on final and 8th keeper in 11-team AL-only auction league. I’ve kept 5 bats and 2 SPs already. The candidates are:

    Mallex – $17
    Urshela – $10
    Verlander – $37
    J. Abreu – $38
    Urquidy – $10
    Plesac – $10
    Poche – $1 (it’s a H/SV league)

    Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Take comments to my newest post, thanks!

  66. scott smith says:
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    Grey!!!!!!!!! My favorite part of the year, reading your Razzball blog on player rankings. How do you come up with some much hilarious stuff??? Last year I took Acuna in a dynasty league towards the bottom of the draft, thanks to you. Now I have him locked up for years and he only counts against a late-round pick!!! I did with with Goldshitzzzz for years, thanks to you!!! I probably owe you free drinks and dinner. Let me know when you come to Salt Lake City. Your dinner and drinks are on me!!! Your devoted admirer!!!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Awesome, thanks so much!

Comments are closed.