Who is Chi Chi Gonzalez?

He’s a pitcher I only really knew because of his incredible name (and seeing it a few times on prospect lists)… I knew almost nothing about this guy.  So instead of doing any research or pounding the Fangraphs, I decided to go into this week’s Pitcher Profile blinded.  I’m going into it like walking into a crowded room, desperately yelling “Chi Chi?!  Chi Chi!??!?!”

And honestly, I wouldn’t have broken down his debut against the Red Sox on Saturday had it not been a no-hit bid into the 6th.  Debut bias alert!  “JB, you got suckered in…”  Darn tootin’!  But I was unable to watch the start live, so even though I figured there was some smoke and mirrors going on, you never really know until you sit down and watch a guy to see how he looked.  So alas, here’s how I saw Chi Chi’s Major League debut:

First Inning: Chi Chi’s first pitch is a 90 MPH fastball in there to Dustin Pedroia for strike one.  Welcome to the bigs.  91 again in the zone is fouled off, a hanging cutter or change at 86 is pulled foul, then 91 on the hands is hit to third for a relatively hard hit groundout.  92 perfectly paints the outside corner to Mookie Betts, a nice sinking fastball at 93 is just an inch off the plate, 1-1.  Good to see the velo ramping up.  A sinking fastball at 91 is low and in, Gonzalez way overthrows a 91 MPH fastball in the dirt that skips away, then 3-1 is a fastball way up and in for a walk.  Lost the fastball incrementally there – barely missed and missed more and more – maybe some nerves.  David Ortiz takes 90 MPH way outside, and it’s 5 straight balls now.  But Chi Chi gets back in there at 90 to even it up, 90 is just high, 85 MPH change-up flutters way outside, and 3-1 again.  Really not too impressed so far.  90 in the zone is tapped foul, then another high 90 MPH fastball is grounded weakly into the shift for the second out.  Betts moves to second and Hanley Ramirez takes 90 MPH up and in, 86 MPH gets Ramirez out in front for a tap foul, 90 just misses inside, he brings the 2-1 closer to the plate and gets the call on the inside black 2-2, Hanley doesn’t like it, then an 86 MPH slider runs into the bottom part of the zone for strike three looking:

Gonzalez-Slider-1

Chi Chi’s first strikeout and he gets through a bit of a struggle with his command in the first inning.

Second Inning: Picking up an early run of support, Gonzalez starts the second with an 89 MPH sinker in there to Pablo Sandoval, another sinker is chopped weakly right back to the mound and Chi Chi makes the easy play, one down.  Sinker outside at 89 is fouled back by Mike Napoli, 89 drops in there, 0-2.  The fastball is showing a lot more bite with the sinking action – I’m getting some Rick Porcello vibes!  Slider misses low, then slider again is flared into foul territory and barely missed by Josh Hamilton.  1-2 is a two-seamer at 92 that runs way inside, 91 almost hits the inside corner but is called in, full count.  Chi Chi challenges with a 92 MPH fastball in the zone that’s fouled off, 3-2 again is on the hands and pulled foul, then a 91 MPH sinker dropping low gets Napoli to almost offer, but the appeal says he held up and it’s a walk.  Tough battle there through 9 pitches.  So runner on, and Brock Holt takes a sinker way low and inside, a great sinker at 90 is tipped foul – a lot of swings out in front getting weak contact.  1-1 is another sinker low, then sinker again induces a tailor made double play ball, but Elvis Andrus drops the ball before he can turn it to first so only the lead runner is out.  Two down, Holt at first, and Sandy Leon takes low, 90 MPH sinker is low again, 2-0.  It’s official!  Chi Chi = sinkerballer.  Again a sinker barely misses low and in, 3-0.  And Chi Chi loses him with another sinker low, and it’s 3 walks for the rook.  Yikes.  Rusney Castillo takes a mighty rip at a first-pitch sinker and fouls it off, 91 MPH paints the high inside corner, 0-2.  Then Chi Chi ends yet another inning with a K, and this one in flamboyant style with a sinker that completely fooled Castillo and gets him to helicopter his bat into the stands:

Gonzalez-Sinker

I want to start the chant of “butt-er-fing-ers!”, but I’m not there in Texas!

Third Inning: Back to the top and sporting a 1-0 league, Chi Chi starts Pedroia with a slider that dives into the zone, slider again just misses outside, then slider one more time that ended up below the zone is grounded hard to third, but Adrian Beltre makes the backhanded play and it’s another hard-hit groundout for Pedroia.  Betts takes a slider in there, then a fastball on the outside corner is flied to right for another fast out – and the first non-groundout/non-K out so far.  Gonzalez paints the outside corner at 92 to Ortiz with a four-seamer – not all sinkers – then paints the same spot at 82 MPH with a slider to get up 0-2:

Gonzalez-Slider-2

Man, I was about to dismiss Chi Chi entirely as a poor man’s Porcello, but he is dialed in right now.  Then Chi Chi climbs the ladder at 93 MPH with a two-seamer and Ortiz pulls a grounder right into the shift for an easy out.  A sorely needed 8-pitch inning and Gonzalez looked like a different pitcher out there, awesome stuff.

Fourth Inning: Hanley takes a slider in there for strike one, Chi Chi’s 51st pitch on the day, then an 85 MPH change-up gets Hanley to swing out of his shoes, 0-2:

Gonzalez-Changeup

Man, a change-up that close to the fastball velo shouldn’t be that effective, but it was there!  And yet another 0-2 count and a sinker gets Hanley to fly it lazily to center for the first out.  And on the first pitch change-up, Sandoval tops it for a weak grounder to second for the second out.  Shaping to be another quick inning.  89 MPH hanging sinker is high and tight to Napoli, a solid slider bends into the top of the zone to even it up, slider again is low, 91 on the hands is popped foul, 92 again on the hands gets an excuse-me tap foul, slider at 87 is taken low, payoff pitch is a sinker on the outside edge fouled back, 3-2 again is a slider tapped foul, then a 91 MPH fastball is just inside for another walk taken by Napoli.  Another long at bat for him too, spoiled a bunch in both.  Holt takes a big slider at 80 MPH low and in – maybe a curveball that time – then 91 MPH fastball is in there, 1-1.  The broadcast shows a great graphic that in 47 starts in the Minors, Chi Chi had only one 3+ walk game – has 4 tonight.  And just like that a slider is grounded weakly to short and Chi Chi is out of the inning with none of the walks hurting him and no hits allowed.

Fifth Inning: Now with a huge 5-0 lead, Chi Chi gets a sinker in there to Leon, big bender at 79 MPH is just off the plate, slider tipped foul, 90 MPH on the hands is barely tipped foul, 86 MPH change-up is flared foul, slider hangs outside, then a 90 MPH sinker on the outside edge is tapped to the mound and Chi Chi makes the easy play for the first out.  Sinker low to Castillo, slider is low, sinker is barely low and in, and a 3-0 count again.  I wish he could carry that aggressiveness from the 3rd and most of the 4th inning all the way through.  Sinker again is in there, sinker one more time is tipped foul, and he’s fought back to 3-2.  Payoff pitch is a sinker flared foul, then a 91 MPH fastball is way up and in on Castillo for another walk.  That wasn’t even close…  So Gonzalez is still fighting command issues and 91 MPH is barely inside but could’ve gone either way on Pedroia, then the 1-0 is a sinker that hung at the letters and Pedroia with that upper cut swing gets a good bit of it, but it’s caught on the warning track for the second out.  Perdoia has hit all 3 of his outs hard.  Betts takes a sinker in there for strike one, a great slider dips just low at 87 MPH, 91 is outside, 2-1 and Chi Chi is behind again.  Slider is low, 3-1, then a sinker on the outside edge is ripped to third, but Beltre is able to field it cleanly and get the final out.

Sixth Inning: Still a ton of zeroes on the scoreboard, and Chi Chi is outside to Ortiz, 89 MPH on the hands is tipped foul, 85 MPH change-up dives low and outside, sinker in the zone is tipped back foul, 2-2 with Ortiz barking at himself for missing that pitch.  Change-up I think at 79 MPH (maybe a hanging slider) is well outside, the the payoff pitch is a fastball in the zone that Ortiz rips into the gap for a leadoff double.  Well, that crushed everyone’s hopes and dreams, but at 93 pitches it’s not like Chi Chi really had a chance to go to the distance anyway…  Hoping to recover, Chi Chi throws a first-pitch sinker on the hands and Hanley Ramirez fists it to first with Chi Chi recovering for an easy out.  One pitch to battle back!  Ortiz moves to third and Sandoval takes a sinker low, sinker is way outside, then another sinker is topped right to the mound, Chi Chi makes another great play fielding his position and Ortiz wandered too far off of third base and Chi Chi catches him in a rundown to get the lead runner out.  Some great vet awareness there.  Two outs, only the runner at first now, and Chi Chi is low and in the dirt to Napoli, drops a perfect change-up into the zone, 91 MPH gets a swing and miss on the outside corner, 1-2.  Not too many whiffs on the fastball…  Chi Chi tries to expand the sightlines with a fastball 4 feet out of the zone high, then the 2-2 is a sinker at 91 MPH that stayed elevated in the zone and Napoli crushes it to right for a double – luckily it was Pablo Sandoval at first to keep runners at 2nd and 3rd.  And at 102 pitches Chi Chi’s debut is done, and luckily neither runner would come around to score to keep his debut scoreless.  Great moment on the mound with sipper Jeff Bannister praising his rook, and as he walks off the crowd gives a rousing applause.

Final Line:  W  5.2 IP  102 Pitches (60 Strikes)  0 ER  2 Hits  5 Walks  2 K  Gamescore: 62  Gamescore+: 60.8

Final Analysis: Well, pretty much a mixed bag on what I think on Chi Chi, but it’s pretty clear he’s not going to be a big fantasy contributor in leagues with innings or starts limits.  He’s a tried and true sinkerballer with some pretty good pitches to mix in there, and I can easily see why he’s usually a good control guy.  As the broadcast mentioned in the 4th inning – in only one of his 47 starts in the Minor leagues he issued over 3 walks.  Not surprisingly, his Gamescore+ came out a little lower than his Gamescore with both hits hard-hit and the low Ks.

Obviously the main fastball offering is the sinker, that stayed low almost the whole game until the double to Napoli.  As with any sinkerballer, when it’s up you’re hittable.  And when you’re brand new to the block, dat’s scurry.  The fastball arsenal also mixed in a few cutters and two-seamers.  His slider was pretty consistent with movement biting low in the zone, but nothing with a tight, sharp break.  The change-up needs to be a few MPH lower to have success and he didn’t have the greatest consistency with that pitch, but all-in-all this is a Major League ready arsenal…

…Unfortunately this is for fantasy where the future looks…  Rick Porcello-ish.  And that’s like early Porcello, not the kinda-decent Porcello we’ve seen at times the past year.  In roto or H2H leagues you can likely ignore him, but in deeper Pts formats I think he can eat some innings and keep the Rangers in ballgames.  He’s in the perfect spot to be a groundball pitcher with a great offense behind him.  I knew not to expect too much from Chi Chi and he seems boring for fantasy, but hey the dude had 5 innings of no-hit ball in his debut.  He’ll be a great option to stream on the road against poor offenses to try and vulture some wins, but there’s not enough here to crack the top 100.

Razzball Baseball

JB’s Updated Top 100 SP

(rankings for ROS based on 12-team Roto, green for risers, red for fallers)

RANK SP, Team
1 Clayton Kershaw, LAD
2 Felix Hernandez, SEA
3 Max Scherzer, WAS
4 Corey Kluber, CLE
5 Chris Sale, CWS
6 Madison Bumgarner, SF
7 David Price, DET
8 Zack Greinke, LAD
9 Cole Hamels, PHI
10 Johnny Cueto, CIN
11 Matt Harvey, NYM
12 Jake Arrieta, CHC
13 Gerrit Cole, PIT
14 Carlos Carrasco, CLE
15 Chris Archer, TB
16 Garrett Richards, LAA
17 Sonny Gray, OAK
18 Jon Lester, CHC
19 James Shields, SD
20 Jeff Samardzija, CWS
21 Michael Pineda, NYY
22 Jacob deGrom, NYM
23 Danny Salazar, CLE
24 Dallas Keuchel, HOU
25 Jordan Zimmermann, WAS
26 Francisco Liriano, PIT
27 Michael Wacha, STL
28 Yordano Ventura, KC
29 Jose Fernandez, MIA
30 Collin McHugh, HOU
31 Tyson Ross, SD
32 Trevor Bauer, CLE
33 Stephen Strasburg, WAS
34 Masahiro Tanaka, NYY
35 Andrew Cashner, SD
36 Jason Hammel, CHC
37 Lance Lynn, STL
38 Jesse Chavez, OAK
39 Jake Odorizzi, TB
40 Alex Wood, ATL
41 Carlos Martinez, STL
42 A.J. Burnett, PIT
43 Gio Gonzalez, WAS
44 Jose Quintana, CWS
45 Shelby Miller, ATL
46 Noah Syndergaard, NYM
47 Mike Foltynewicz, ATL
48 Mike Fiers, MIL
49 Jimmy Nelson, MIL
50 John Lackey, STL
51 Aaron Harang, PHI
52 Carlos Rodon, CWS
53 Rubby De La Rosa, ARI
54 Clay Buchholz, BOS
55 Scott Kazmir, OAK
56 Taijuan Walker, SEA
57 Julio Teheran, ATL
58 Eduardo Rodriguez, BOS
59 Kyle Hendricks, CHC
60 Drew Hutchison, TOR
61 Matt Shoemaker, LAA
62 Chris Heston, SF
63 Jered Weaver, LAA
64 Rick Porcello, BOS
65 Edinson Volquez, KC
66 Phil Hughes, MIN
67 Chase Anderson, ARI
68 Justin Verlander, DET
69 Nate Karns, TB
70 J.A. Happ, SEA
71 Patrick Corbin, ARI
72 Jesse Hahn, OAK
73 Alfredo Simon, DET
74 Ian Kennedy, SD
75 Anibal Sanchez, DET
76 Bartolo Colon, NYM
77 Mat Latos, MIA
78 James Paxton, SEA
79 Lance McCullers, HOU
80 Miguel Gonzalez, BAL
81 Nathan Eovaldi, NYY
82 Tim Lincecum, SF
83 Ubaldo Jimenez, BAL
84 Wei-Yin Chen, BAL
85 Hector Santiago, LAA
86 Mike Leake, CIN
87 Jake Peavy, SF
88 Kevin Gausman, BAL
89 Hisashi Iwakuma, SEA
90 Tim Hudson, SF
91 C.J. Wilson, LAA
92 Nick Martinez, TEX
93 Danny Duffy, KC
94 Jon Niese, NYM
95 Shane Greene, DET
96 Aaron Sanchez, TOR
97 Archie Bradley, ARI
98 Mike Bolsinger, LAD
99 Kyle Gibson, MIN
100 Dan Haren, MIA

Dropped Out: Kyle Lohse, MIL (cue the Charles Barkley “turrible”), Alex Colome, TB (Where’s the beef?!  By beef I mean Ks…), R.A. Dickey, TOR (was always in the 90s, just has inspired nothing to stay in), Brandon Morrow, SD (on track to return soon but I just can’t wait any more for this guy just to get hurt again)

  • Big rise this week for the godlike ascension that is Chris Archer.  Dude is getting away with the huge slider rate (38%) and nothing past slider/fastball (barely any change-ups).  But hey, he’s been around the block and it’s not like it’s the first time teams are seeing him.
  • As much as I wanted to, until we hear any further news I couldn’t move Stephen Strasburg down any further with this neck issue DL stint.  Maybe this fixes him!  Or maybe it’s hiding a torn shoulder…  So many outcomes…
  • Mmmmm, another week in and another week closer to JoFer…
  • Mmmmm, another week and another nice K:BB trend for Mike Foltynewicz, who is 22:3 in his last three starts.
  • Great debut for Eduardo Rodriguez (who I keep wanting to call Eduardo Ramirez because of Erasmo Ramirez, I guess…) going 7.2 scoreless with only 3 hits and 7 Ks.  Talk of the Pitcher Profile water cooler if you ask me!  Don’t get me wrong I like him, but not going balls deep ya know…?
  • This was me last week!!!! – “If there’s one pitcher I would say sell high on, it’s Julio Teheran.  He pitched well against my Brewers, but I kept scratching my head at his velo.  I don’t know if he threw a single pitch over 90 MPH and his fastball averaged 88.0.  It was previously going up, but that’s just really weird to suddenly be 3 MPH slower than where he’s been the few starts before (91-92 range).  I’m scared.”  This is me this week!!!! – “Ahhhhhhhh!!!!”
  • Here’s to hoping my first real buy into Taijuan Walker came at the right time…  That last start was dominatrix-esque.
  • Justin Verlander got it up to 96 reportedly, even though his AAA start didn’t have great numbers.  I’ll take the gamble that deep – it’s getting pretty ratty by the 60s now.
  • Well, now James Paxton has worn out my middle finger tendon too…
  • Luckily for the Mariners, Hisashi Iwakuma looks like he’s over his setback and could return in a few weeks.  I’ve been low on him all year, but he’s good enough to crack the top 100 if he’s getting healthier.
  • I still don’t trust Dan Haren; obviously making it at #100 with his stats this year bears it out, but I had to find him a way in…  Even if I feel dirty for doing it…

What are you thoughts on Chi Chi?  More upside than I imagine?  As always shoot your thoughts on the ranks and you pitcher preguntas below, and happy pitching in June Razzball Nation!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Now how is that weird?

      • Sky

        Sky says:
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        Just because we call you Tetas doesn’t mean you should relish in it

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          They don’t call me Tetas anymore, they call me Caitlyn

          • Sky

            Sky says:
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            @Grey: Ok Bruce Jenner!

        • Scott says:
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          @Sky: Maybe if it was Amo Chi Chis?

          • Sky

            Sky says:
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            @Scott: Like Joanie Amo Chi Chis?

    • Scott says:
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      @Sky: Is that restaurant still around, by the way?

      • Sky

        Sky says:
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        @Scott: They call them Breastaurants now

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @Sky: Chi Chi’s bar and grille – love the drink specials!

          • Sky

            Sky says:
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            Company logo: ‘Titty Bars are plentiful; the grille is what makes this one special!’

            • JB Gilpin

              JB Gilpin says:
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              @Sky: Double D Burger!

  1. Disco says:
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    What is keeping you from moving Bolsinger higher on this list?

    • Marty Janetty_Was Set Up says:
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      @Disco:

      It might be something with his 2 pitch repertoire of a high 80’s fastball and curve. He’s been embarrassing teams that face him for the 1st time throwing low heat and a nasty curve, I’d bet money (it’s my thing) that when teams face him the 2nd time around that 88mph fastball is getting blasted…unless he’s truly the second coming of Greg Maddux.

      My 2 cents, eager to hear JB’s take.

  2. Big W says:
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    Thanks for the profile and top 100 update JB!! Really enjoy your material!

    Cheers!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Big W: Thanks so much for reading man, really appreciate it!

  3. e says:
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    not drinking the Ubaldo Kool-aid yet? 3.15 fip 3.18 xfip, 3.36k/bb – sub 3.5 ERA may be possible here

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @e: Nah, it took a lot just to get me in, and indeed the peripherals look really good – hadn’t looked at them in a while. Velo is lowest of career is a concern, so I think there’s still across the board regression but I might not to re-think him a little for next week – thanks for the thought!

      • E says:
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        @JB Gilpin: @JB Gilpin: I noticed the velocity at first too but the closer I look at his numbers the more I think for him it’s all about control.

        He’s at 2.44 bb/9 this year and the years he has been successful he’s had bb/9 under 4, and the bad years it’s been over 5/9.

        Hr/fb, lob%, babip, are all avg or within career norms.

        But it has been a relatively small sample and hopefully as the weather warms Ubaldo doesn’t get hit too hard. A few more starts could give us a little better picture.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @E: Hah yeah the fact he’s waffled from 2 this year all the way to the 5s is mad scary. He’s so hard to depend on in a ROS sense, but short term it’s certainly fine to ride the wave – had it going most of today [email protected]e:

  4. Blake says:
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    I am in a 13 team pts league – We have a pickup

    limit and I only have 8 left on the season. (15pts for a win, 1pt for a K)

    Here is my pitching staff – I start 7 each week

    N evolvdi
    A Wood
    C Archer
    C Rodon
    T Ross
    D Salaza
    M Pineda
    C McHugh

    Would you drop any of these for a Foltyeiwiz, or a fiers?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Blake: Whewwwwww that’s so few moves left! I have never been on the Eovaldi train, so I’m good losing him for Folty… And would indeed do Rodon for Fiers, but with only 7 moves left after that first one, I’m hesitant

      • Blake says:
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        @JB Gilpin:

        or should I wait for another pitcher? u think Folty is the real deal?

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @Blake: Right now he certainly looks it and I think is worth the gamble. I think he’s worth one of those precious adds

  5. Keith says:
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    Why is Jose Fernandez ranked?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Keith: The ranks are for the rest of the season and JoFer is about a month out. Fernandez ROS numbers – one month I think has him good enough to be where I have him

  6. los locos says:
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    JB, as usual nice job. I picked up Folty after his start vs Giants.

    Got a question on my weekly league, 10 team keeper league.

    I like Hutchinson start vs astros this week, but I don’t think I have anyone to drop for him.

    Right now I was gonna start Bauer @ KC and Folty @Arizona this week. Bolsinger got nice schedule next week vs Dbacks and San Diego.

    Kershaw
    Salazar
    Bauer
    Chavez
    Quintana
    Folty
    Bolsinger
    Strausburg – DL
    Darvish – DL SPOT

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @los locos: Thanks man! Hmmmm well I do still like Hutch overall more than Bolsinger, but right now Ball-Slinger is hot and Hutch is still inconsistent, I think you’re set as well

  7. john says:
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    Does Mchugh have unlucky contact numbers right now? I’m just seeing it with him so far this year…

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @john: Well his BABIP is .317 which is only a smidge unlucky, but I did find something interesting – last year his BABIP was .259 with 24.1% line drives, this year the BABIP is 70 higher with only 20.4% line drives. A lot less line drives and a much higher BABIP – yeah I’d say he’s been a little unlucky

  8. Ken says:
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    Can buy Hughes cheap in 16 team mixed…get and dump Bolsinger?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Ken: Yeah I think I would, tough to lose a hot arm like Bolsinger in a deeper league though, but I’d do it

  9. Fungazi says:
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    Quite a plunge for Paxton, he was actually doing pretty well lately, did you drop him that far because of the severity of the injury? Like it’s something that will keep him out for months rather than weeks?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Fungazi: Yup, all injury based. Still will be excited when he’s back, but I think he misses more like 4-6 weeks (he’s gonna be “reevlauted in 2 weeks”, so even if he’s perfectly healthy he’ll need a rehab start or 2) and possibly longer. Hand tendon things can certainly linger.

      • Fungazi says:
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        @JB Gilpin: Good call. I remember him being a slow healer as it is from nagging injuries the past couple years, then you factor in that his first real start or two back might not be great and suddenly you are in August.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @Fungazi: Yeah that lat thing took forever last year… In my dynasty (it’s 10 team shallow though) I am holding, but redraft in 10 or 12 he’s been cut

          • Fungazi says:
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            @JB Gilpin: That’s why I asked, I’m in a 12 team and tight for DL space, so later Pax.

            • JB Gilpin

              JB Gilpin says:
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              @Fungazi: Yup agree… Needs to work on some middle finger exercises in the offseason, just have him drive in Florida…

  10. Scott says:
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    So what happened with Rubby this week?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Scott: Hah, great question – he has one more start before he’s cut on all my squads. Brewers got some homers, bad pitcher park, I’m giving him the Braves start since the K:BB is still so good and he looks good out there, but needs to make it count

  11. Scott says:
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    I’m happy with your move up of Folty. Now I know I’m not just a homer for liking him.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Scott: Yeah he looks great, I didn’t think he’d find elite command like this all the sudden, turned the corner with that mighty fast

  12. Eddie says:
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    What do you see as Folty’s ceiling if he really can tame the walks? Thanks–love these posts!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Eddie: Thanks for reading man! Ummm, wow he really could move into the top 30 IF (big if) he does this another 3 or 4 weeks. Hard to see him going past that

  13. Ante GALIC says:
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    JB!!!!

    What’s up? Great work, man! Keep it up, we’re 1/3 of the way through, more or less.

    I’m loving Folty. Do you trust @ AZ this week going up against Rubby DLR? AZ hits poorly versus RHP, right?

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Ante GALIC: Yo dude! Thanks man!

      Wow, yeah the year is flying by! Maybe because my Brewers are so bad it’s going faster through my grief haha…

      Yeah Zona has no real solid lefties, so yeah def starting Folty no questions asked, should be a good one as long as Goldschmidt only gets singles and no homers haha.

  14. Scott says:
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    Why is Gio ranked so low given his perips? xFIP, SIERA, K-Rate, GB% etc all look pretty amazing.

    I know that he walks too many…but am I crazy to think he’s quite undervalued right now?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Scott: Hmmm, I didn’t think 43 was too bad for him, given like you mentioned those awful walks. Sure the BABIP is unlucky, but 1.53 WHIP so far, yikes. I think 43 overall builds in that he’s gonna do much better, but I don’t think he takes off back into Gio a few years ago

  15. Chris says:
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    This week in a weekly lock H2H points league choose 5 to start:

    Keuchel (vs BAL)
    Archer (@LAA @SEA)
    Sale(@ TEX)
    deGROM (@SD @ARI)
    Cashner (NYM @CIN)
    Buccholz (MIN OAK)

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Chris: Whoa, lots of great options… I think I’m leaning sitting Buchholz

      • Chris says:
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        @JB Gilpin: Drafted well and traded even better!

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @Chris: Nice work – cha ching!

  16. Chris says:
    (link)

    Jordan Zimmerman for Joc Pederson fair value?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Chris: Sure, I think that’s fair given needs

  17. Zeus says:
    (link)

    Great write up on Rodriguez.

    Need to start two of these schmos this week.

    Hahn
    C Young
    eovaldi
    Hutch
    Nelson

    Thanks

    • Zeus says:
      (link)

      @Zeus: quality start league btw

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
        (link)

        @Zeus: Thanks man! Ugh sorry if I missed your cutoff but I would have gone Hutch and Nelson off the top of my head

  18. Zeus says:
    (link)

    Desperate league. Rubby, Wada or Cody Allen as 4th closer?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Zeus: Ummm, I think I’d lean Rubby

  19. whichside says:
    (link)

    giving up Greinke, Alex Wood, Quintana, Marte, for Heyward, Richards, Arrieta, Salazar

    • Zeus says:
      (link)

      @whichside: I prefer the Salazar side.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Zeus: @whichside: Hmmm that’s damn close. I really like the OF upgrade, but yeah I’ll take Salazar side too

  20. TheMuppetManiac says:
    (link)

    I picked up Wada last week. Would you drop him or Foltynewicz for any of these guys?
    Taijuan Walker
    Jimmy Nelson
    Lance McCullers
    Nathan Eovaldi

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @TheMuppetManiac: Defffff losing him, I think Folty would indeed be my add

      • TheMuppetManiac says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin:
        I have Foltynewicz already. I asked if you would drop him or Wada for any of those guys, I was thinking of dropping Wada for Walker, but I’ve been burnt by Walker before, so I’m a bit weary.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @TheMuppetManiac: Ack my bad! I read too fast. Nah I’m not too big a Wada guy. I think he can go for indeed Taijuan… I’ve stayed away all year so haven’t been burned yet, this is my first big rise for him in the rankings and grabbed him where I could

  21. Cheese says:
    (link)

    Noah syndergaard and Carlos Gonzalez for Matt carpenter? Which side?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Cheese: Man, a lot is based on needs, I think in a shallower league I would likely take Carpenter

  22. b-rock says:
    (link)

    Love this weekly update!

    Curious your thoughts on Wada.. I didn’t see him up there (or did I miss him?) He’s got good numbers after a few starts, which yea yea.. small sample size , but shutting down the Royals lineup is no small feat nowadays (I can’t believe I just said that)

    • Bro Jackson says:
      (link)

      @b-rock: Agreed. Grey Likes Wada more than Hendricks and you don’t have Wada in the top 100. What do you know that Grey doesn’t? I want to know.

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
        (link)

        @b-rock: @Bro Jackson: Thanks for reading man! Nope no Wada rank yet. Really surprised Grey would take him over Hendricks, I don’t get the Hendricks hate… For Wada, I really don’t buy the Ks and the peripherals (small sample now used against him) are outta whack with BABIP and LOB. He’s just passed 80 Major League innings and I’m not impressed with the stuff – I think teams figure him out with decent offenses in the division. Short-term I’d be fine riding him out, but long term I think he gets figured out and we’re seeing that play out a bit already – still hasn’t gotten to 6 innings yet while not having a ton of baserunners on, i.e. a lot of foul balls hitters can see and spoil

  23. M says:
    (link)

    Obviously Rodon has the better prospect pedigree…but at this point is there any difference between him and Foltynewicz? From what I see, Two guys with nasty stuff, control issues and once they figure out a 3rd pitch/control can make a leap up to ace status

    • Bro Jackson says:
      (link)

      @M: Agreed. Grey Likes Wada more than Hendricks and you don’t have Wada in the top 100. What do you know that Grey doesn’t? I want to know.

      • Bro Jackson says:
        (link)

        @Bro Jackson: crap, wrong post, sorry M.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @M: Yeah I think there is in that Folty has pitched more professional innings and has shown a huge leap in command the last 3 starts and at the eye level it looks legit. Rodon has only 1 start now with sub-4 walks, so I’d need to see a trend first – also Folty has FB/slider/curve so is working with 3 pitches right now – just hasn’t developed the change-up 100% yet which could make him bumpy vs. teams with good lefties. One more thing in his favor v. Rodon – AL vs. NL and divison

  24. Landisimo3 says:
    (link)

    Great write up!

    Sort of off topic… 12 team dynasty .. Roto…

    Can stash 10 minor leaguers .. I have 1 spot and am looking at:

    Grant Holmes
    Toukki Toussaint
    Rafael Devers

    Who would you pick up?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Landisimo3: Thanks man! Geez these guys born in 1996… I feel ancient… I think I’ll lean Devers of the 3, seems to have good bat upside vs. pitchers a long ways out

  25. Bro Jackson says:
    (link)

    Jason Hammel. Who knew?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Bro Jackson: Me! Me! I had him preranked pretty high all the way, but damn now looking back down at 69. I think I was fairly above consensus but not enough!

  26. WalleyWorld says:
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    Great article man. I always enjoy the in depth breakdowns. Dynasty league question: Just picked up Chi-Chi from waivers for his most recent start. Also picked up Colome a little while back. Just flipped Gonzalez/Colome for Grichuk/Cingrani. How did I do?

    • WalleyWorld says:
      (link)

      @WalleyWorld: Follow up question. Same dynasty league. Would you trade Betances for Taijuan Walker? I have Strickland, Giles, Miller, Grimm, Capps, Maurer, and McAllister as other RP’s.

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
        (link)

        @WalleyWorld: Thanks for reading man! Whoa, holy crap you did awesome! Grichuk is loved by those Cards and looks good at the plate vs. two pitches than have the upside as mid-rotation guys at best IMO.

        Hah – my RCL I have Strickland/Grimm/Capps myself to fill innings… I’m waffling a ton on this one, but I think Walker’s upside is worth giving up Betances, but close

  27. Oranje says:
    (link)

    I was offered the following trade: D. Travis for C. Archer. Travis is $0 and comes with a 2-year contract while Archer is $13. If I trade Archer, I have the following SPs: Arrieta, Hamels, Liriano, Greinke, Salazar, Buchholz, Lackey, Foltynewicz, Nelson to choose from. Dynasty/Keeper league: a 5×5 h2h where I play every team each week. Would you make this trade? Current 2b is A. Russell (who I have a 4-year contract on) and I am awaiting Rendon to come off the DL. Who would be fair value for Archer?
    Thanks.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Oranje: While you’re loaded at SP, I think I’d want a ton more. Archer is still young and seems like he’s entering some ace-like years. Especially with Rendon coming off the DL to help you soon-ish, I would need a ton more. Fair value is tough to say, but a top 50-60 bat would be more what I shoot for, especially in a dynasty

  28. Sam says:
    (link)

    Two questions:
    i. is Doolittle an outright drop? I’m leaning yes with the shoulder injury (being that its a different shoulder injury)
    ii. is Teheran an outright drop? (I have Price, Lester, Salazaar, Syndergaard, Rodon, Eduardo Rodriguez and Yordano) He keeps burning me (sit on the good ones, play on the bad). If so, think Matz is close? is it worth stashin him over waitin on Teheran

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Sam: 1. Yeah probably… Unfortunate, he was a monster last year. 2. Do you have a starts or innings limit? Ehhhh, either way I think I’m holding Teheran a tad longer even though I’m way way down. Matz just has such a full rotation in front of him and the Mets take their sweet time with pitchers… I’d hold off

      • Sam says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin: Thanks JB! Ya really too bad about Doolittle, he was awesome last season. With Teheran, I was kinda hoping you’d talk me off the ledge.. I really liked him but this season he hasn’t been able to control his stuff and has lost a couple mph.. hopefully he finds the control

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @Sam: Yeah I’m certainly very very worried, but his upside is still more than Matz ROS since we don’t know when Matz is up. If he got called up and the Mets suddenly went to 5-man rotation with him in it, then I could see going Matz

  29. dom says:
    (link)

    my 12 team h2h cats are W, L, QS, IP, K, WHIP, ERA so i’m not sure if that would make Foltynewisz less valuable than what you have him ranked since he pitches for the doo doo braves. He starts @Arizona this week and i’m wondering if I should drop McCullers (BAL) or Jaime Garcia (@LAD) for him.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @dom: Ummmm, nah I don’t think it hurts too much… even though Garcia looked good today and Dodgers sometimes struggle with lefties, he’s the cut for me

  30. Beastman says:
    (link)

    JB, nice work as always. Could you point out a few buy low guys from this list?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Beastman: Thanks man! Great question – a week ago I woulda said bar none Carrasco, but he’s already finding his stride. I think Richards and Chavez would be 2 for me, Chavez can even be picked up in some leagues, don’t get the wait for him

  31. Jabroni says:
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    Drop Aoki for Nelson, Foltynewicz, Walker or Hendricks?

    My staff is Ross, Samardzija, Salazar, Chavez and Burnett.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Jabroni: As long as you are solid in OF or there’s wire options, sure I’d lose him for Folty

      • Jabroni says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin: Thanks!

  32. Ron says:
    (link)

    I want to pickup Syndegaard but I need to make a roster move to do it.

    Norris, Lucroy , Span and Ortiz are the only bats that I could drop in my 10 team points league. Which one would you drop right now?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Ron: Whoa damn…. Hah it’s funny you have Lucroy and Norris – I lucked into Norris when Lucroy got hurt in 2 of my leagues and can’t find a buyer for Norris either and he’s too good to drop IMO. That said, I think it’s too hard to hold onto 2 C in a 10er, I think he’s (Norris) your drop

    • jal179 says:
      (link)

      @Ron:

      norris

  33. jal179 says:
    (link)

    JB not gonna lie… I totally dealt my Pulos for Carrasco last week mostly based on your ranking…I FAed Big Teix early and couldn’t afford to leave him on my bench in a weekly h2h….

    Tried trading Teix but no one would bite so I moved Pujols instead…. I may regret it by arms are boss now.

    Max, Hamels, DeGrom, Richards, Wacha, Odorizzi, Syndergaard, Carrasco, Miller, Holland, Ramos, Rondon

    I was losing K and QS and Ws on occasion so I’m hoping Carrasco puts me into pitcher domination mode now.

    Thoguths on deal? Opponent had Boobs Butler at CI so needed a CI real bad.. in hindsight I maybe should of offered Pujols for MadBum (both 4th rounders) but Poo was cold a the tie of the deal and now has nicely warmed up since dealing him.

    Great work– your list always passes the eye ball test

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @jal179: I like it man! Sure Pujols is hot, but I’m good with it.

      Hah Boobs Butler…. Yeah MadBum I woulda liked more, but you got the deal done and Carrasco is pitching pretty well again tonight thus far (knock on wood)

      Appreciate it man!

  34. money ballers says:
    (link)

    I played against Chi Chi from little to high school, and it’s good to see him making him big. I’ll always remember his mom from being the loudest person in the stands lol. I’m pretty sure he didn’t start taking pitching serious until his senior year too.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @money ballers: Whoa awesome! He was from Florida if I remember right, correct? Awesome he got to the big leagues and even better he started taking it seriously – ground ball pitcher there in texas is a perfect spot for a little $$$

      • money ballers says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin: Yah he’s from good ol Palm Beach County but went to school in Oklahoma, I think. It was actually Chi Chi vs Kyle Smith (in the Astros’ minor leagues) pitching during my last high school playoff game. We lost 2-0 =(

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @money ballers: Oh sweet man! Damn, well yeah vs. a Major Leaguer I could see the O struggling! I didn’t play baseball but one of my friends growing up was really good and played in a tournament in Virginia in middle school and caught with Justin Upton on the other team, who hit a homer. And my college roommate from the Asheville area ran track against Cameron Maybin. That’s about all the degrees of separation I have with baseball players haha.

  35. slimbo says:
    (link)

    Drop gio gonzalez, carlos martinez, or eduardo rodriguez for folty in a 8 team keeper?

    Also own teheran what kind of bat could I get for him? Would I be reaching if I asked for wong or machado?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @slimbo: Yeah I like Folty over Eduardo. I know he’s the hot name, but I like NL guy and Folty overall better.

      I’m so so down on Teheran that I highly doubt either works, but maybe it works ya never know, can’t hurt to offer! Def not insulting

  36. Wes says:
    (link)

    I’m having a tough time deciding whether to drop Rubby De La Rosa for Eduardo Rodriguez…

    Please help, should I pull the trigger?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Wes: Eesh, my ranks have Rubby higher but it’s a show-me week for him. I am giving Rubby that one final start before making that move

  37. Swfcdan says:
    (link)

    Gerrit Cole is pitching like a CY young contender already, insane start to the year. Jo-Fer who? Jason Hammel is pitching like a god this year too, you gotta move him up man!

    Noticed a better start from Anibal last week, is he a buy low in deeper (16 team) leagues? Also in my other shallower league need another starter now J-Pax (!) went down, has Karns graduated to that status yet?

    • Swfcdan says:
      (link)

      @Swfcdan: Or sky Walker over Karns? Hes been cut recently.

      • Swfcdan says:
        (link)

        @Swfcdan: Or Folty!

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @Swfcdan: Hah yeah Cole is looking great! Liked him all the way, but didn’t get him anywhere…

          I’ve had Hammel high all the way too! Getting him into the 20s seems steep though, but we’ll see.

          Sure, 16 teamer I could see taking a gamble on Anibal. I am taking the plunge with Walker over Karns, but indeed it’s Folty to me. Command is insane now, and turned a major corner it looks like

  38. Hero says:
    (link)

    Streaming any of these guys with confidence?
    Walker vs yankees
    Nelson @cards
    Miguel Gonzalez @houston
    Folty @arizona
    Haren vs cubs
    Santiago vs rays
    Gee @sd
    Vargas vs cleveland
    Chen @houston
    Elias vs Tampa
    Hellickson vs mets
    Desclefani @philly
    Greene vs oakland
    Frias vs stl
    Harang vs cincy

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Hero: Def liike Folty. I probably would risk Taijuan, but def not confident. Harang is my 3rd choice of the list

  39. Cafuné

    Maxi says:
    (link)

    12team, OPS yahoo league, with SV+H.

    My OF currently is Souza, Reddick, Soler, Burns with Tomas playing 3B but can switch to OF when Rendon is back. I also have Dickerson and Myers on the DL and hope to have them back soon (although their production upon return is in doubt), so now might be a good time to move an OF.

    Would you trade Souza + RP (either Tolleson, Britton, Grilli, Ziegler or Qualls) for Cueto? Does his elbow scare you at all? He’s starting today but I’m in talks with the Cueto owner, so let me know when you get a chance. Thanks, and great write-up as always!

    • Cafuné

      Maxi says:
      (link)

      @Maxi: we only start 3OF and 2UTIL

      thanks again

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
        (link)

        @Maxi: No right now I’m not too scared of Cueto, and even if he’s traded he couldn’t go to much worse of a park. Looked good tonight even though his bullpen blew it for him. I am def good with that trade, and would start low on that list of RP guys and see how it goes.

        Any time, thanks for stopping by!

        • Cafuné

          Maxi says:
          (link)

          @JB Gilpin: Thanks man, he wants Grilli so I think I’m cool with it since there are good replacements (Boyer, Thompson) and I really need the help in Ks/QS.

          • JB Gilpin

            JB Gilpin says:
            (link)

            @Maxi: Yup I’m good with that too!

  40. Jonas says:
    (link)

    Do you have a beef with Wada that is not related to the velocity? Your lack of love for him stands in contrast to his Greyness who has recommended him a couple of times.

    Obviously he will tank now that I have said this, but I am challenging you (because I am too lazy to do more research) to explain your break from Grey here.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Jonas: Haha I got a little into it above and will do a little C&P magic :)

      “Really surprised Grey would take him over Hendricks, I don’t get the Hendricks hate… For Wada, I really don’t buy the Ks and the peripherals (small sample now used against him) are outta whack with BABIP and LOB. He’s just passed 80 Major League innings and I’m not impressed with the stuff – I think teams figure him out with decent offenses in the division. Short-term I’d be fine riding him out, but long term I think he gets figured out and we’re seeing that play out a bit already – still hasn’t gotten to 6 innings yet while not having a ton of baserunners on, i.e. a lot of foul balls hitters can see and spoil”

      Hendricks wasn’t great today but at least got some Ks!’

      Great question though, another solid start and he’ll have to break in

  41. Uehii says:
    (link)

    Which one should i cut hendricks? People are saying to drop mchugh but theres no one to really pick up?
    Rotation is rubby, carrasco, syndegarrd, mchugh, fiers, hendricks, ventura,paxton

    • Uehii says:
      (link)

      @Uehii: Still Kind of want to keep Paxton unless you think I should keep Hendricks and Mchugh for ROS over Pax

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
        (link)

        @Uehii: Nah I’m still OK with McHugh. I think Paxton is indeed your drop if you have no DL room, I love him to death but I think it’s at least another month. But if no one is clearly sticking out on the wire, I’m good standing pat

  42. Dooda says:
    (link)

    Drop any of these pitchers
    Samardijza, mchugh, Fiers, Liriano,

    for
    Eduardo Rodriguez, Rubby, Folty, Quintana, Kazmir, C-Mart, Volquez, Mccullers

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Dooda: Ugh Rubby has pretty good stuff today just a bad homer and some bad luck. Kazmir is close, I think I’m standing pat, but man E-Rod looked good today too.

  43. KevBo says:
    (link)

    Hi JB,

    7×7 H2H counting QS and SV+Holds in addition to W/L/K/ERA/WHIP.

    Tanaka was dropped in my league, worth burning my #1 waiver priority on him? If so who would you drop between Rubby/McHugh/Samardzjia/Wada/Volquez or Bauer? Fiers is also a FA if you think he is an upgrade over any of those guys listed.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @KevBo: Definitely! Looking great this afternoon. I know he’s been bad today, but I’m still holding Rubby and letting Wada go. Ah Fiers is out there, gimme him over Volquez too.

  44. peter quill says:
    (link)

    JB, can you give a ranking of these injured arms headed our way in the coming months, lets frame it as best long term/upside keeper as opposed to this guy helps me win this season…

    1. Patrick Corbin
    2. AJ Griffin
    3. Beachy
    4. Medlen
    5. Martin Perez
    6. Luebke

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @peter quill: Gotcha, yeah Corbin is far and away # 1 for me. I’d put Beachy 2 but otherwise go with your list. I wanna like Luebke more, but poor guy just can’t get back.

  45. Eric B says:
    (link)

    What up JB, just chillin on a rainy day here in Eastern NC. Checking in to see what you think of Walker, 2 decent starts, better control still gave up 2 HR’s though. Is it time to add him, missed out on adding Folty.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Eric B: What’s good man?! Yeah it got stormy, I played some ball though at the Y so still got a workout in. Yup I am buying in on Walker now as I mention above. Walks coming around, and I kept him ranked 60ish the whole way because I saw a really hot streak as possible

      • Eric B says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin: Ok so I added Walker. I’m gonna post my roster below, what I want to know is am I using all 3 DL spots properly and would you make a move to add Corbin, Gauseman or Moore to one of those spots or is my pitching adequate? Took a hit with K-Pax and Odorizzi getting dinged.

        Bats
        C McCann
        1B Freeman
        2B Kipnis
        3B Santana
        SS A.Ramirez
        OF Stanton
        OF Calhoun
        OF Springer
        OF Betts
        Util Pollock
        Util Semien
        Util Avisail Garcia
        Bench P.Alvarez
        Bench Baez
        DL Soler
        DL Daniel Murphy

        Staff
        P Kluber
        P Odorizzi(DTD)
        P Cole
        P Salazar
        P T. Walker
        SP Ventura
        SP Bauer
        RP Chapman
        RP Britton
        Bench RP Perkins
        Bench RP Melancon
        Bench SP Chavez
        DL Paxton

        • Eric B says:
          (link)

          @Eric B: Well Baez is the obvious drop now, I know youre not a big fan of Moore, so is Corbin or Gausman worth stashing?Gausman isnt recovering from TJ and supposedly has ace-like potential, but you have Corbin rated higher.To add either I’d have to boot someone off the DL, or say activate Soler and just wait it out for the next 2 weeks with him occupying a roster spot.

          • JB Gilpin

            JB Gilpin says:
            (link)

            @Eric B: Sorry just saw ya here, but I think I got ya on today’s!

  46. Do says:
    (link)

    Starting any of these guys tomorrow
    Elias vs Tampa?
    Hahn @tigers
    Wright (Boston) vs twins
    Hellickson vs mets

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Do: Yeesh. Probably none, Hahn I like the best by far overall but not liking the matchup. Tampa just hit a 3-run shot off a lefty as I was writing this, so another lefty seems troublesome. I think I’m avoiding

Comments are closed.