If you read the title and expected this post to be an anit-MadBum rant, you’ll find your initial impression to be inaccurate. I’ve been a huge Bumgarner fan since he came into the Majors. In fact, I picked him to be this season’s National League Cy Young Award winner in the Razzball experts picks. I had to change that prediction to Stephen Strasburg after the injury for obvious reasons. Last year’s accident was one hundred percent avoidable. As much as I love him, I really hope he did not get paid for his missed time. Shame on him for riding a dirt bike. What’s next, sky diving? This year, however, was just another of the many injuries to a pitcher as a result of an unpredictable comebacker. I’m going to go out on a short limb and say that there was very little, if anything, he could have done to avoid the injury. The incident actually looked quite harmless compared to other comebackers I’ve seen over the years. My favorite was back in 2008 when Papa Grande took a line drive right off the dome piece. I can’t seem to find a good quality video, but he went down like he had been shot. The craziest part is that he ended up staying in the game and getting the save. The messed up part is that when he went down, all I could think about was the ten points I wasn’t going to get for the save. I was pissed. When he ended up staying in the game he became an instant hero.

As far as Madison Donegarner is concerned, he’s far from done. Broken bones heal. He’ll be back and as good as before. I expect him to help a lot of fantasy teams in the second half of the season. He’ll be fresh and rested and come out firing when he returns. Hopefully many of you were able to get him at a solid discount after the injury happened.

The reason I mention Bumgarner and his injury is to stress why I insist that all of my drafts for pay leagues occur within five days of Opening Day. I absolutely refuse to budge on that rule. Aside from the potential injuries that can happen between the time you have your draft and Opening Day, there’s also the fact that there are plenty of undecided roster decisions still to be made. Take Scott Kingery example. It’s bullshit that so much can happen after your draft that is very much out of your control. Moral of the story is “draft late”.

At this point most of you have already had your drafts. If you are having it tonight then congratulations on having your draft just about as late as possible. This is a very smart move as nearly anything that can happen before Opening Day is in the rear view mirror. Here’s the last bit of advice I can give you. Have a plan of attack and stick with it. Identify the players you want and use ADP to get an idea of by which round you need to draft them. Don’t be afraid to jump ADP a few rounds to get the players higher up on your list because if you don’t your leaguemates might. But don’t get crazy. If Byron Buxton has an ADP of round 10, don’t take him in the 4th round. Whether you use my spreadsheet or come up with your own, rank the top 200 or so players so you can know who’s your next pick. Being prepared will keep you from having to scramble last minute to figure out your next move when the guy you were targeting was taken right before your turn. There’s nothing worse that drafting a player and realizing you missed a much better player when he is drafted by the guy picking after you. It’s a sinking feeling that could very well send you into a tailspin.

In the last few weeks I have participated in several “expert” mock drafts and a few real league drafts. I thought I’d take this opportunity to share with you some of the results of those drafts and perhaps touch of some trends.

12-Team Roto Mock Draft With Fighting Chance Fantasy Experts (Feb 7, 2018)

In the first round with the 4th pick I drafted Nolan Arenado. In my opinion he is one of the lowest risk first round picks. I backed him up with Jose Ramirez in the second round. My first pitcher was Carlos Martinez in the 4th round.

Bumgarner was selected in the 2nd round (22nd overall).
Mike Trout was the first overall pick.

10-Team Roto CBS Mock Draft (Feb 13, 2018)

In the first round with the 9th pick I took Giancarlo Stanton. With the 2nd pick of the 2nd round I took Manny Machado. I didn’t take a pitcher until my 5th round pick when I took Carlos Martinez.

Bumgarner was selected in the 4th round (39th overall).
Jose Altuve was the first overall pick.

10-Team H2H Points League CBS Mock Draft (Feb 23, 2018)

In the first round with the 10th pick I drafted Paul Goldschmidt. Being on the turn I grabbed Chris Sale with the next pick.

Bumgarner was selected in the 4th round (33rd overall).
Mike Trout was the first overall pick.

12-Team H2H Points League Auction Draft (March 7, 2018)

Bumgarner went for $35.

Here’s my team:

malamoney
POS PLAYER SALARY ELIG
C Salvador Perez C | KC 3 C,U
1B Eric Hosmer 1B | SD 13 1B,U
2B Brian Dozier 2B | MIN 29 2B,U
3B Travis Shaw 3B | MIL 12 3B,U
SS Didi Gregorius SS | NYY 11 SS,U
OF Andrew McCutchen CF | SF 17 OF,U
OF Marcell Ozuna LF | STL 24 OF,U
OF Eddie Rosario LF | MIN 6 OF,U
U Ryan Braun LF | MIL 6 OF,U
SP Carlos Martinez SP | STL 30 SP
SP Marcus Stroman SP | TOR 9 SP
SP Jose Quintana SP | CHC 24 SP
SP Dylan Bundy SP | BAL 12 SP
SP Jon Gray SP | COL 13 SP
RP Felipe Rivero RP | PIT 8 RP
RP Brad Hand RP | SD 9 RP
RES Luke Weaver SP | STL 14 SP
RES Kevin Gausman SP | BAL 9 SP
RES Javier Baez 2B | CHC 2 2B,SS,U
RES Jameson Taillon SP | PIT 8 SP
RES Josh Bell 1B | PIT 1 1B,U

12-Team H2H Points League CBS Mock Draft (March 20, 2018)

In the first round with the 7th pick I took Paul Goldschmidt. Humidor be damned. I followed up with Anthony Rizzo in the second. First base on lock down! My first pitcher came in the 3rd round when I drafted Stephen Strasburg.

Bumgarner was selected in the 2nd round (23rd overall).
Mike Trout the first overall pick.

10-Team H2H Points League (March 25, 2018)

In my 18-year personal H2H points league I am lucky enough to have the following keepers. Goldschmidt, Votto, Freeman, Lindor, Strasburg and Quintana. Not a bad start. However since I won the league last year I also have the last pick. So with ten teams and six keepers, it was slim picking with 69 players already off the board before my first pick. With my first two picks I grabbed Andrew McCutchen and Gerrit Cole.

Some players I’ve targeted in nearly every draft include Ender Inciarte, Josh Bell, Nick Castellanos, and Byron Buxton. Finally, here are some picks that could help your team. Josh Reddick, Randall Grichuk and DJ LeMahieu.

Bumgarner waits for Whit Merrifield to emerge.

PLAY BALL!

 

 

Follow me on Twitter at @malamoney

 
  1. WhiteRabbit says:
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    Couple things about the comebacker and the finger

    1. Looks like he could have gotten the glove there and deflected it – pitchers know to never use the pitching hand. bad luck maybe but probably preventable IMO. this is debatable so no need to go back and forth on it

    2. ever had a pin in a broken finger – generally will have arthritis, tingly feeling and random sharp pains for rest of life at this age. he’ll also need time to ramp up and try to get feeling/grip back to normal in that hand.

    3. speaking of age and the amount of innings this guy has thrown – i’m guessing the rest will help but he’ll be luck to get just over a half year of innings

    love the madbum but no cy young this year

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
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      @WhiteRabbit: I’ve never had a pin in a broken finger, but I have small plate with screws in my foot (fracture metatarsal soccer injury) and a surgically repaired ACL (another soccer injury). Both occurred in my 20s. I am in early 40s now and I have been playing ever since. No signs of arthritis, etc. However I do expect it will come at some point. Perhaps I’m comparing apples to oranges, but I’m guessing once he gets his grip back he will get back to normal. I don’t see him having arthritic symptoms in the next few years. Then again, there is no M.D. at the end of my name…

  2. THE CBE GROUP says:
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    Great late grab on Bell. I’m very high on him this year.

    I have an early trade question.

    Keeper league, 10 team, keep 8, pitching cats are Wins (W), Losses (L), Strikeouts (K), Earned Run Average (ERA), (Walks + Hits)/ Innings Pitched (WHIP), Strikeouts per Walk Ratio (K/BB), Net Saves (NSV).

    Trade offer is for my Thor/Rich Hil for Scherzer/Matz.

    Any thoughts?

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
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      @THE CBE GROUP: How many years can you keep a player?

      • THE CBE GROUP says:
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        @malamoney:

        No limit. Strange league.

        • malamoney

          malamoney says:
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          @THE CBE GROUP: I’d want Thor given his age…

  3. David Bishop says:
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    We had our 10 team H2H points league draft this past Sunday. So, after MadBum was hurt. When he was still sitting there in the 10th round, I couldn’t help myself and drafted him. My 1st pitcher taken was Carlos Martinez in the 5th, then Quintana in the 7th and Tanaka in the 9th. We only have one DL slot though. So, it’s going to be hard on me to be patient with MadBum and leave him there while player after player on my roster hit the 10 day. I know it’s going to be frustrating but hopefully worth it come August/September.

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
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      @David Bishop: Well you can’t drop him. Once you decided to draft him, you made the decision to lock up your DL spot. Is this a keeper league?

      • David Bishop says:
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        @malamoney: No, it’s not

  4. Ron P says:
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    10 team H2H Points league where all hitting stats (HR, RBI, R, TB, SB, BB) are just 1 point a piece and strikeouts are -.5.

    For pitchers, Wins are worth more than Saves and a total of 7SP and 3RP are allowed for the team.

    C – Molina
    2B/SS – Merifield, Kinsler
    1B/3B – Rizzo, Donaldson
    OF – Stanton, Bruce, Calhoun
    DH – Morales
    Util – Abreu, Rendon
    Bench – Bell, DeJong, Semien

    SP – Quintana, Nola, Bauer, Castillo, Gio, Taillon, Lamet (DL), Pomeranz (DL)
    RP – Colome, Miller, Herrera

    1) What do see as the biggest weakness with this team that I need to address?
    2) Who are the Top 2 OF from- Cargo, Grichuk, Haniger, Markakis, Melky?

    Thanks.

    • Ron P says:
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      @Ron P: Any thoughts?

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
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      @Ron P: Sorry, somehow I missed this. Here are my thoughts.

      1. I don’t like Kinsler.
      2. Your OF is risky. Bruce and Calhoun can both be good, but are not reliable. That leaves Stanton who’s great as long as he’s not hurt.
      3. Kendrys doesn’t excite me. I’d be playing Bell over Morales. In fact I don’t even think I’ve seen him drafted in any of my leagues
      4. You don’t have a true ace, but you have several top quality pitchers.

      Probably Cargo and Haniger, but I like Grichuk this year as a sleeper.

  5. Tom says:
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    Help! 14 team h2h points I was offered Carlos Santana and Darvish for Rizzo and Hand. Boxberger is available on the wire.

    Runs 1
    Home Runs 4
    RBIs 1
    Stolen Bases 1
    Singles 1
    Doubles 2
    Triples 3
    Walks 0.5
    Strikeouts -0.5
    Hit by Pitch 0.5
    Ground into Double Play -0.5
    Caught Stealing -1

    Wins 7
    Saves 7
    Strikeouts 1
    Innings Pitched 1.5
    Quality Starts 2
    Complete Games 3
    Losses -7
    Blown Saves -4
    Earned Runs -1
    Walks -0.5
    Hit by Pitch -0.5
    Hits -.25

    • Tom says:
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      @Tom: Probably worth mentioning I drafted Bum last Thursday before the injury. Current pitchers are:
      Quintana, Castillo, Wood, Hill, Richards, Manea, Minor, Flaherty

      • malamoney

        malamoney says:
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        @Tom: Is Rizzo your only 1B? Who are your current RP? Is Boxberger still available?

        • Tom says:
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          @malamoney:

          Bell and Santana would be my 1B. Boxberger is still available along with Claudio, Nate Jones, Blake Parker.

          My Team:
          C Yasmani Grandal
          1B Anthony Rizzo
          2B Jason Kipnis
          3B Eduardo Nunez
          SS Elvis Andrus
          OF Mookie Betts
          OF Ender Inciarte
          OF Gregory Polanco
          U Josh Bell
          U Nelson Cruz
          Bench
          1B Jose Martinez
          2B Scott Kingery
          OF Mitch Haniger

          Pitchers
          SP Luis Castillo
          SP Rich Hill
          SP Jose Quintana
          SP Garrett Richards
          SP Alex Wood
          RP Brad Hand
          RP Brandon Morrow
          Bench
          SP Jack Flaherty
          SP Sean Manaea
          RP Mike Minor
          DL
          SP Madison Bumgarner

          • Tom says:
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            @Tom: Sounds like he would take Manaea instead of Hand. Idk if that makes a difference.

            • malamoney

              malamoney says:
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              @Tom: I’d pass. I like Manaea’s potential upside.

          • malamoney

            malamoney says:
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            @Tom: This is a tough call. Rizzo is the best player in the trade and I always like to have the best player in the deal. I’d probably pass.

            On the flip side. I think the difference in points between Rizzo and Santana will be about 100 points. I think the difference between Darvish and Hand will be similar. However, you can pickup another closer off the wire. Is Holland available? But who do you drop? Minor?

            • Tom says:
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              @malamoney: That’s correct I would have to drop Minor or Flaherty to grab a closer. Losing Bum hurts, but I think I can stay afloat with my staff + streamers until he gets back. At least I hope I can…

              • malamoney

                malamoney says:
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                @Tom: I think you can stay afloat as well…

  6. AL KOHOLIC says:
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    Some will disagree but that isn’t a bad trade for your team and yes hopefully u already grabbed box

  7. SF says:
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    Points league with the following stats:

    Runs (R) 1
    Singles (1B) 1
    Doubles (2B) 2
    Triples (3B) 3
    Home Runs (HR) 4
    Runs Batted In (RBI) 1
    Stolen Bases (SB) 1
    Caught Stealing (CS) -1
    Walks (BB) 1
    Hit By Pitch (HBP) 1
    Strikeouts (K) -.5
    Hitting for the Cycle (CYC) 5

    Would you rather have M. Davidson, S. Marte, K. Calhoun or, Gardner as a bench bat? Thanks!

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
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      @SF: Marte, then Calhoun, then Gardner, then Davidson. But I could see taking a flyer on Davidson over Gardner give the crowd of players in NY and the fact that strikeouts are only -0.5 instead of a whole point…

  8. SF says:
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    Thanks!

    Another question: Would you have more than 1 bench bat in a points league? Or would you rather load up on SP or RP’s? First time playing points so lots of questions.

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
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      @SF: Depends on my team. If I have a handful of solid pitchers that I plan to put out there every week, then bench depth is not as important. If I have a bunch of middle of the road/potential upside guys, then I’d rather have an extra one or two.

      Also, is it a weekly or daily lineup league. Start limits?

      • SF says:
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        @malamoney:

        No start limits in this league. The lineup is daily. I have Kershaw and Carrasco as my top two pitchers, then my other 3 are middle/upside guys (Wacha, Fulmer, Bundy). Here are the pitching stats that are counted

        Innings Pitched (IP) 1.5
        Wins (W) 8
        Losses (L) -4
        Complete Games (CG) 3
        Shutouts (SHO) 5
        Saves (SV) 5
        Hits (H) -.5
        Earned Runs (ER) -1
        Walks (BB) -.5
        Strikeouts (K) .5
        Holds (HLD) 4
        Quality Starts (QS) 3
        Blown Saves (BSV) -3

        • malamoney

          malamoney says:
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          @SF: What’s the points for hitters? What I want to see is if hitters or pitchers score more points or if the scoring system is balanced. If there are no start limits and pitchers generally score more points then I’d want the extra pitcher or two so I could squeeze out some more pitching starts each week…

          • SF says:
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            @malamoney:
            Pitching stats:
            Runs (R) 1
            Singles (1B) 1
            Doubles (2B) 2
            Triples (3B) 3
            Home Runs (HR) 4
            Runs Batted In (RBI) 1
            Stolen Bases (SB) 1
            Caught Stealing (CS) -1
            Walks (BB) 1
            Hit By Pitch (HBP) 1
            Strikeouts (K) -.5
            Hitting for the Cycle (CYC) 5

            • SF says:
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              @SF:
              The best pitchers left on the waivers that i could pick up are:
              Manaea, Happ, Estrada, Walker, Davies, C. Richard.
              Or i could grab and stash from the DL: Pomeranz, A. Reyes, Samardzija, or E. Rodriguez.

  9. Ryan741 says:
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    Malamoney, need your opinion in a H2H points league where QS are worth 3 points and wins are worth 7. Which side do you prefer: I would give Severino and Strasburg and would get Price, Hendricks, Tanaka and Alex Wood. Right now my rotation is:

    Severino
    Strasburg
    Greinke
    Wacha
    Roark
    Ryu
    Clayton Richard
    Mikolas
    also have Gohara on the DL

    I hate trading my 2 studs, but I’m not sure about the depth I have in a H2H points league, especially if either of them spend any time on the DL. What are your thoughts? I could also try trading Greinke and Wacha for Wood, Price, Hendricks and Tanaka and try to hold onto Strasburg instead.

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