Framber Valdez pitched after his fractured finger happened, so will be assuming it’s not too terrible. Haha, I’m lyin’ to myself! Now now NOW! Calm down, Grey, it’s gonna all work out. *turns abruptly to mirror* Is it? So, this isn’t great news, but it’s early enough, and it was his ring finger on his pitching hand, but our writer, Coolwhip, looked at his grips for me (because I was too panicked), and it seems Framber only uses that finger 10% of the time with his change, which isn’t a good pitch for him. He’s primarily a sinker/curve guy. I reranked him, placing him in an area where I’d still draft him, but obviously this isn’t the ideal stuff you want to see. Unless you’re a demented ess oh bee. You a demented ess oh bee? Hmm…? Are you? Tell me! Sorry, I’m amped up. Speaking of which, kinda, he will need to ramp up to game-shape after returning in May, so I’m conservatively projecting him to return end of May, early-June. Okay, clerical work now *adjusts priest’s collar* Here’s my adjusted top 80 starters for 2021 fantasy baseball with new projections; top 100 for 2021 fantasy baseball with Framber removed; top 500 for 2021 fantasy baseball with Framber moved down about 125 spots, and my pitchers’ pairings tool adjusted. Anyway, here’s what else I saw in spring training for 2021 fantasy baseball:

Taijuan Walker – Signed with the Mets. Now New Yorkers can go to Queens or Canal Street to see something Taijuan made. “Hey, check out this Rollex I bought. There’s another L for the metaphor of me spending $250 on a knockoff.” That’s a guy returning from Canal Street, knowing he got duped. You know who didn’t get duped? The Mets! Solid innings bet for Taijuan, and best case scenario is much better than that, since he’s only a couple years away from a 3.50-ish ERA, and the slider he was pumping in last year makes me optimistic. Honestly, I’m tempted to move him even higher in my rankings, but Syndergaard (eventually), Lucchesi, Peterson and Taijuan for two spots has me hedging a little. Can find him in the top 100 starters for 2021 fantasy baseball. 2021 Projections: 8-9/4.21/1.32/126 in 133 IP

Brett Gardner – Re-signed with the Yankees. It’s a very optimistic ranking of Gardner in my top 100 outfielders. Oh, not optimistic for him! No, not at all! It’s optimistic that the Yankees will actually play Clint Frazier. “Yankees, hey, long time no speak, so let me ask you something, and feel free to answer because I’m dying to know — why the eff don’t you ever want to play Clint Frazier?” That’s me calling the Yankees’ helpdesk. For what it’s Wuertz, I also tweaked down Frazier in my top 60 outfielders. 2021 Projections: 34/12/39/.230/8 in 271 ABs

Todd Frazier – Signed with the Pirates. See, this would trigger my “Asdrubal to Diamondbacks” Rule (might need a new rule name). The rule states if a team doesn’t spend more than $50 million in the offseason, they cannot sign someone under $3 million to start at any position. They must play an in-house prospect or player. Sorry, I don’t make the rules (I do make them). Imagine being the Pirates, and signing Frazier to replace Colin Moran, even for rest days, or even to platoon. What would you actually be gaining there? Just play Moran, you morons!

Kole Calhoun – Went for knee surgery, and his timetable is four to six weeks. I docked him two months from the season, because of the unknown. “All Kole’s turn to diamonds, and other myths we tell ourselves…On this Ted Talk I will explain–” Oh, hey, what’s up? Sorry was talking to myself. With Kole saying, “What’s the inflammation information, kneeth?” it’s time for someone to step up? Varsho! Since Calhoun took a knee (to the doctor), I moved Dalton Varsho up in the top 20 catchers, and bumped Calhoun down into the top 100 outfielders.

Ian Desmond – Sounds like he’s opting out of playing, i.e., saving Bud Black from himself.

Gio Gonzalez – Signed with the Marlins. Yo, yo, YO! Don’t be trying to mess with the South Florida Bad Boys rotation. Shizz is stacked, and we don’t have room for anyone else. Go swingman out of the bullpen, Gio.

Ian Kennedy – Signed a deal with the Rangers. Just what a Kennedy needs to do, head out to Dallas.

Scott Kazmir – Signed with the Giants. A random smattering of Giants pitchers:  Aaron Sanchez, Alex Wood, Cueto, and Kazmir. Are they putting together a team or a staged production of Grumpy Old Men?

Jarred Kelenic – In a rare move, without any major news, I’ve moved Kelenic up in my rankings — find his new ranking and projections in the top 60 outfielders for 2021 fantasy baseball. I’ll be damned if I’m ranking a sexy prospect lower than ESPN. Oh, hecks no. I also drafted my first share of Kelenic the other day. *motions to hostess* Table for 2, please. *looks at Kelenic, fans self* Why hello there, Jarred…It’s not pronounced like what I do with my apricot preserves? …I see…Are you sure?

Jake Odorizzi – Giving Odorizzi and Yasiel Puig one more week to sign before dropping them way down in all my rankings. You’ve been warned if you’re currently or about to draft.

Spencer Torkelson – Cut his finger with what the Tigers are saying was a fake can opener. “Hey, guys, don’t want to alarm anyone, but did someone label a sword as a ‘can opener?'”

Royce Lewis – Diagnosed with an ACL tear, and expected out for a year. Woofy woofy woof. Damn. He tore it when he slipped on melting ice in Texas. Hate to see it, Royce Lewis was taken out by climate change.

Nick SenzelReds’ manager Buddy Bell’s son, David Bell, said that Senzel will be their everyday center fielder, which is what they say, then on April 4th, they say Senzel is just getting “rest” after starting three whole games.

Jake Lamb – Signed with the Braves. The Atlanta front office neither confirmed nor denied getting Lamb to motivate Sandoval.

Shin-Soo Choo – Left the states to go play in Korea. Standing on the tarmac, Shin-Soo looks out over the horizon. Finally, with much sadness, “I Choo-Choo choose to take my puns elsewhere.”

 
  1. Member Berries says:
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    Prospects showed up ready to drop bombs – Wander, Kelenic, and Dalbac all hit a HR on Wednesday. Vaughn and Duran hit one on Tuesday. This is me not mentioning TTrammel – feels like he’s 29 since he has been traded like 8 times.

    I’m so hungry for baseball I’m overreacting to everything. GSanchez is back! Mitch Garver too. Alfaro and Ckelly stole a base?! Sign me up! Drafting 5 catchers. And Austin Hays who had a hr and SB aka 40/40 year coming.

    I think I’m just going to use 2020 rankings.

    Why wont the Angels strictly hit Ohtani? Listen, one healthy year of 450 at bats and we can let you start 10 games the following year.

    Re: framber
    Why I hate drafting early. Try to wait until end of spring or late March.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Haha, yes! This is Austin Hays’s year! Remember this comment or don’t (don’t even if he’s not good)… No idea on Angels, it’s so obvious Ohtani should only hit — at most work middle relief — why is this so obvious to everyone but not the Angels? I hear ya on drafting early, agreed, can get some discounts then that you might not get in March tho

  2. toolshed says:
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    What does Pit gain by signing a carcass like Todd Frazier? You mention not playing Moran. He and frazier both can play 3b and 1b / no dh this year. I hate to say it, but Pit could be planning to play the service time game with hayes. He didn’t lose his rookie eligibility last year. While it seems crazy, the scariest part is that we are talking about the Pirates. They don’t seem to care. They could even fake an injury to hayes later in spring to stall him. I don’t mean to be negative but I have to consider the scenario.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Pirates should be ashamed to sign Todd Frazier, there’s literally no reason for it

  3. toolshed says:
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    While my take on this is extreme and unlikely, I can see hayes starting the year in the minors. The pirates may be able to keep him from reaching arbitration until he is 27.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah, that wouldn’t shock me as much as it should

  4. 183414 says:
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    If MLB had an actual Commissioner, the Oirates owner would be forced to sell the team. But unfortunately MLB has woke Boyfred as the worst commissioner of ant professional sport, and that says a lot. Certainly makes Selig look like Kennesaw Mountain Landis.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yup!

  5. 183414 says:
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    Pirates

    • swaggerjackers says:
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      Indians

  6. galica123 says:
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    Grey!!!

    Superb writeup!

    a. Comp problems, so sad for Hayes and Clint owners. Maybe Todd and Bret don’t last long.

    b. MLB quote of the day for March 4, 2021

    1. Jose Acosta, born March 4, 1891

    ‘(Jose) Acosta is a pretty good pitcher, a trifle small in stature, but with plenty of well-known intestinal upholstery which is sometimes termed guts. He has a beautiful curve ball and a lot of speed for a little chap, and should make a great relief hurler for the Mackmen, if he doesn’t die at the job through overwork. Acosta is a Cuban and came to this country with the invaders from the Antilles, and (Clark) Griffith has been sweet on him for some time. He acted in the relief role for [the] Nationals last year, and performed in no mean and insignificant manner.’

    The Philadelphia Inquirer (01/11/1922, Joe Dugan Traded to Washington for Bing Miller, Outfielder, Jose Acosta, Pitcher: Macks’ Prima Donna Will Land in Boston, Page 16)

    2. Dazzy Vance, born March 4, 1891

    ‘Back in Nebraska I knew a cowboy who, when he saw a horse, a gun or a dog that he liked, would say ‘Ain’t that a daisy,’ only he would pronounce ‘daisy’ as ‘dazzy.’ I got to saying, ‘Ain’t that a dazzy,’ and before I was 11 years old, the nickname was tacked on me.’

    Dazzy Vance

    3. Lefty O’Doul, born March 4, 1897

    ‘A kid copies what is good. I remember the first time I saw Lefty O’Doul, and he was as far away as those palms. And I saw the guy come to bat in batting practice. I was looking through a knothole, and I said, ‘Geez, does that guy look good!’ And it was Lefty O’Doul, one of the greatest hitters ever.’

    Ted Williams in The Sporting News (1994)

    4. Leron Lee, born March 4, 1948

    ‘I’d find myself batting against Nolan Ryan and Tom Seaver. When Lou Brock didn’t want to play, they’d send me out there. One day in St. Louis, it was 110 degrees. At 11 in the morning, Lou comes to me and says ‘Give me a break today, play left field.’ I said, ‘Fine.’ He said, ‘Nolan’s pitching.’ That was great. I struck out three times on 11 pitches. The biggest thing that enticed me (to leave and play in Japan) was that I had a chance to be the No. 3 or 4 batter and play every day. I had been sitting around for seven years.’

    Leron Lee in the Los Angeles Times (UPI, 01/26/1986, ‘Ex-Dodger Leron Lee Right at Home in Japan’, Source)

    c. Random Reggie Jackson quote of the day for March 4, 2021

    ‘I didn’t see Kirby Puckett as a Hall of Famer. I didn’t see Gary Carter as a Hall of Famer. I didn’t see Don Sutton as a Hall of Famer. I didn’t see Phil Niekro as a Hall of Famer. As much as I like Jim Rice, I’m not so sure he’s a Hall of Famer.’

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      A. Haha, yeah

      C. Reggie making lots of sense

  7. Warren Shapiro says:
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    So I gots me a Frambler…….

    Anyway – some enterprising owner just offered me a 2 dollar Manaea for a 7 dollar rowdy in a 12 team al only obp auction 5×5 auction. I know you like you a Rowdy guy on your team but is a 2 dollar solid unspectacular arm worth a rowdy when his PT can be suspect?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Sounds like it might be worse since I posted this

      I’d want Manaea, but it’s close

  8. Clyde Prompto says:
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    I have so many questions about this Torkelson injury. Was the can opener a fake (something I’ve never heard of in my life), OR did he hurt himself with a tool used for opening fake cans? Follow-up: is Spencer Torkelson a plastic surgeon???

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      HAHA, I do not know, but I like to think it was one of those “hey, a can of peanuts, cool!” that opens with jumping snakes…But instead it was labeled a can opener and opened to a sword

      • Clyde Prompto says:
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        Hahahaha. Miguel Cabrera stuck a sign that said “CAN OPENER” on a wood-chipper and Torkelson stuck his arm into it while holding a can of Spaghetti-O’s. Classic Miggy prank!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          HAHA

  9. florida jack says:
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    Kluber, 2 IP, 3K, faced 6 batters, nothing hit hard, topped out at 91MPH, per a scout in my section. looked sharp.

    monday, Taillon, 1IP, 7 pitch inning, all from the stretch

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Nice, thanks for the updates!

  10. Gator says:
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    Saw Franco’s HR yesterday. The power and effortless swing reminded me of Griffey. Cant imagine he’s not called up by mid May. Who would you rather have over the next 3 years Franco or Mondesi?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      He looks so good, right? Franco will be Tatis by next year, top 15 guy, better than Mondesi

      • Gator says:
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        Thanks for the feedback. Thinking the same thing.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          No problem

  11. Thundergunn says:
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    signing a 37 year old kazmir is the most giants thing ever

    Ian desmond blurb made me cackle

    I can stash 2 prospects in NA slot, It’s a 4 player keeper league. Trying to weigh guys who will be more valuable this year vs potential to keep. If you had to pick 2 out of these 4?

    wander, kelenic, vaughn, jung

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Thanks! Wander, Kelenic

  12. NUX says:
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    Maybe just wishful SAGNOF hope, but I was bumping up Locastro, after the Calhoun news.

    I think I saw he tested positive recently, so that’s no good. But if no significant COVID issues, I still think he may benefit more playing time wise than Varsho in April. I have nothing to base that on at all, but with 101 ABs, I think Varsho is still a rookie? And that Snakes could do service time stuff? Right now, Roster Resource has Varsho in a LF platoon with other random OFs. But I could see Peralta, Ketel, Locastro being the OF from left to right on opening day. Would mean AssCab at 2B I think though.

    There was a really great write-up in the Athletic the other day about how his teammates are rooting for him to take over the leadoff role in 2021. Obviously, we know it’s that time of the season for teams/players to be blowin’ smoke.

    From that Zach Buchanan Atheletic piece that I just mentioned:

    “Last season, Locastro showed some signs of figuring that stuff out. He received only 82 plate appearances but batted .290/.395/.464. His line-drive rate jumped to 32 percent from 21 percent a year earlier. He was less pull-heavy and sprayed the gaps more. He also increased his walk rate from 5.6 percent to 9.8 percent, making him less reliant on getting beaned.

    With Locastro’s speed, the adjustments in his approach don’t need to be major to unlock an offensive force. Take his 2019 season. If you turn 10 of his singles into doubles and five doubles into triples, his OPS jumps from .697 to .838. “Or 20 more walks,” said Hazen, an adjustment that would boost Locastro’s 2019 OPS to .863. And that doesn’t even account for the offense Locastro would produce once on the basepaths.

    “Driving the on-base independent of hit-by-pitches will transform him as a player,” Hazen said, “regardless of the power potential.” The Diamondbacks think that transformation is happening.”

    And then later in the article… “What’s clear is that Locastro’s teammates want him in the lineup, and often hitting leadoff. Ahmed said he’d “love to see him hit at the top of our lineup.” Calhoun said all the cheerleading in BP was to let Locastro know center “should be his job, and to go out and earn it.” Eduardo Escobar was particularly effusive: “I told him when I retire in 10 years, if I’m a manager or a coach, I want Locastro on my team because he’s the best. He’s the guy you want on your team. He plays good baseball. He’s a smart guy. I love it. He has an opportunity in center field and hopefully is the leadoff guy on the team.”

    Anyways, he was completely off my radar until recently. So I just thought it’s worth bringing him up. Love a speed demon (he is the fastest player in MLB apparently) who has that weird skill of getting plunked often.

    In other SAGNOF news, my early Myles Straw call is looking even better with JBJ off the board. It’s kind of wild that the Astros would give him this job, but I’m glad that I was grabbing a ton of him early, just in case.

    • NUX says:
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      *UPDATE* Locastro is asymptomatic and feeling fine according to Nick Piecoro in an AZCentral.com article yesterday afternoon. Should be back with the team in 10ish days.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Kinda shocked on Straw having an everyday job, but I drafted him too, so I hope he does…Locastro screams to me pinch-runner, but I don’t know, maybe he gets some April ABs, would be nice for SAGNOF, for sure!

      • 183414 says:
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        No offense Grey, but the fact that Locastro’s teammates , who play in the mlb say that locator should lead off, speaks volumes.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yeah, maybe, hey, I’d love to see it

  13. Joe Shmoe says:
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    I don’t know if I have a valid gripe, so I will listen to you, Mr. Grey, and the readers.

    1. I sign up for an RCL. (I have been playing for more than 3 years, I think. I join money leagues as well.)
    2. RCL fills up. I check out my draft spot. #3! I check out the teams in the group.
    3. A day later, my draft spot changes. Same teams. Something fishy?
    4. Last year I noticed the same thing happened. Same teams, my draft spot must have changed 2-3 times.
    5. Looks like, and I could be wrong, someone joining, then dropping the league to get the spot they desire.

    I know it shouldn’t matter, but something feels dishonest about manipulating draft order. (Is it? Am I being paranoid?)

    I know, I know… draft the sh*t out of the others. But I remember reading an article in the past on this site where the first 5 picks tend to have a higher statistical success then the other 7. I could be wrong.

    Sorry for awkward and possibly unjustified whistle blowing…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Meh, I think that’s a Fantrax thing if anything…No one can change draft order on our end or anyone in your league’s end

    • Ante Galic says:
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      Joe Schmoe!

      Just my 0.02$. Have also been in RCLs for the same period, actually one year more. Here’s my experience.

      1. 2018, drafted 8th, won my league (RCL 48).
      2. 2019, drafted 8th, came in 5th (RCL 31). I used all my moves before September 1.
      3a. 2020, drafted 10th, won my league (RCL 47). My first pick was Tatis!
      3b. 2020, drafted 8th, came in 2nd (RCL 11).

      On the matter of the draft order being set and then changing, it could be as you say, someone manipulating the system. You just have to pull up your socks and be prepared. At least 2 hours before the draft the order won’t change and you can get a few mock’s in. Still have the war room and Grey’s top 500 which is the bible in every Motel 6, he’ll keep the light on for you.

      Cheers,
      Ante

      • Joe Shmoe says:
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        Thanks, I have too much time for conspiracy theories.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        What I think it is…The league fills, draft order set…Someone leaves the league, draft order un-sets…Someone fills the league again, draft order re-set

        • VinWins

          VinWins says:
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          Yeah, that’s what he was saying Grey. Somebody keeps leaving and returning intil the order is more to his liking. I have seen that before.

          In other news, the Razz drafts went off without a hitch. Were autodrafters that got the stars. One revamped his team, using 25 (of 50 limit) moves for the 22-man roster.

          I joined a H2H league this morning because they draft this afternoon and I had nothing going until a 5:00 auction. What? Seems perfectly reasonable.

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            Oh, I see…So same person leaving and coming back? Meh, I don’t think it matters, tbh…

            There’s a 50 move limit?

            • VinWins

              VinWins says:
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              Doesn’t matter to me, either. I’ve found you can mess up your team from any slot. I had the #4 slot in each of 3 drafts Monday, and took Soto every time.

              Yes, 50 moves. Try to make it as little time spent as possible to allow those fools that already have more than 2 teams to join. Did make it an 8-man bench to help out though.

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                Haha, yup!

                Ah, the Razz leagues, gotcha

                • To the best of my knowledge, the draft order changes every time someone joins the league. However once the league fills, you cannot delete your team and the draft order is therefore set in stone.

                  • Grey

                    Grey says:
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                    Ah, gotcha…I don’t know, tbh, but I’m sure it’s fine

  14. Jb says:
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    Grey:

    10 team dynasty.

    I was offered Luis patino and max fried for Strasburg.

    What side are you leaning

    • Dr Sauce says:
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      For me, it’s Fried side by quite a bit. Fried younger, more durable and more upside than Stras. Bonus, Patino in a dynasty is a nice get!

    • Cram It says:
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      Patino/Fried

      • Jb says:
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        I felt the same, but wanted to double check…. almost felt too good to be true.

        Strasburg is a risk, but I gain in age and can slot Patino in a minor lg spot.

        Thanks guys

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Agree with Cram

  15. Cliff says:
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    Hey Grey,

    I have the first pick in the minor league draft part of my start up dynasty. 12 teams H2H points. Can’t decide between Franco or Kelenic. Franco fits right into my MI slot, but is projected to get called up later than Kelenic.

    Hitters:
    C- Grandal
    1B- Vlad Jr.
    2B- Ryan McMahon
    3B- Devers
    SS- Story
    CI- Jose Abreu
    MI-Arraez
    OF- Yelich, Myers, Nimmo, Hicks, Kepler
    UT- Yordan, Franmil Reyes

    Points system: 1B-2; 2B-3; 3B-4; HR-4; R-1.2; RBI-2; BB- 1.5; SB-2.5;

    Thanks!

    • Dr Sauce says:
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      Can’t go wrong with either, I prefer Wander, his ceiling seems (and floor) seem higher to me.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Agree with Dr

  16. Dr Sauce says:
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    A quick one … league context ESPN, 12 team, 5X5 roto.
    Keeper bats Acuna, Betts, Tatis, Belly and Tucker
    In upcoming draft, best bats on board will be Olsen and Blackmon. I realize Olsen is ranked higher, wondering if Blackmon might be a better fit for my roster construction? I obviously love my keeper bats, however if being nit picky average could be a minor concern. Given my keepers, do you lean Blackmon or Olsen? Thanks

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Blackmon

      • Dr Sauce says:
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        Nice, thanks. Gurriel available as well. You have him approx. 40 spots lower than Blackmon, however your projections on them are remarkably similar Blackmon more runs, Gurriel more rbi’s, but everything else relatively comparable. Is there difference in rank based on expected role, ie Blackmon no competition for AB’s while Gurriel faces a loaded Blue Jay’s lineup, as a result could lose AB’s if inconsistent. Or possbily perceived value of where you would have to draft them. Or possibly track record? Thanks for clarifiying,

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          No problem — Yes, you got it…Blackmon is safer, Gurriel has more upside, but more downside

          • Dr Sauce says:
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            Thanks, might take a chance on Lourdes! My Canadian bias has me thinking Blue Jay!

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              No problem

  17. FrankGrimes says:
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    You bastard I was about to swoop Kelenic a couple rounds early and now he gone cuz of your blurb haha

    • Jolt In Flow says:
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      This AM in our’s too… by none other than Donkey Teeth!!!

      Man, the influence of one Grey post is immediately felt throughout all pools.

      Jolt

    • Jolt In Flow says:
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      BTW, FG, you’re in Rudy’s league, correct? Or are you in DT’s league as well???

      Jolt

      • FrankGrimes says:
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        I’m in Rudy’s Jolt.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Muahahaha

      • FrankGrimes says:
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        Is blowhard Flowers in Razzslam? Tell Donk to get me in his league!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Haha, who? I think league assignments are done

          • FrankGrimes says:
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            3rd pick!

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Who, you?

              • FrankGrimes says:
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                Yup

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  Who’s league are you in?

                  • FrankGrimes says:
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                    I don’t know anyone I think bender sounds familiar tho…

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Hmm, okay, sounds fun!

                • Cram It says:
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                  I’m in DT’s Razzslam. I have third pick. I don’t see a Flowers in there.

                  • FrankGrimes says:
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                    With both had 1st pick then 3rd… Nice!

  18. Sport says:
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    To DH or not to DH. Right now there is no DH in the NL. Is the MLB going to change their mind in the last minute like last year Sir?

    This weighs more on NL pitchers, in a fantasy perspective, does it not? How many more SO would you give a NL pitcher slotted to get 150 innings? Or are the projections already figured in to not have a DH in the NL?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I think DH is off table this year

    • swaggerjackers says:
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      No DH. They’re kicking the can on that until the new CBA.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Yeah

  19. eballs says:
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    So my league is starting a format where the first 4 picks are keepers this season. I’m wondering based on ESPN rankings if you would consider avoiding 3B in the first 2 rounds if I draft a SS with my first pick. My reasoning for this would be, if I take Story 1st, then Machado, it might be a stretch to acquire guys like Robert or Jimenez in the 3rd round. Am I overthinking this? Let me know what you think. Thanks.

    Here’s my league format:
    12 team snake ESPN points league
    First 4 picks are keepers for next 2 years

    • Cram It says:
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      I’m not following your thinking. What does a 3B have to do with a SS? But if you like Eloy more than Machado, then take him.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I’d guess Robert or Eloy are available in 3rd round of a ESPN draft

  20. NCPhilly says:
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    The latest update from MLBTradeRumors.com, from Heyman as source, on Framber Valdez:

    March 4: The initial recommendation for Valdez’s injury is surgery, tweets Heyman. The recovery time on the recommended operation would be sizable enough that there’s concern the left-hander could miss the entire season, Heyman adds. That’d register as a surprise based on the initial announcement, although we don’t know the extent of the fracture at this point or whether there was any additional damage in Valdez’s hand. The club is still seeking second additional opinions.
    https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2021/03/astros-framber-valdez-finger-injury.html

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Damn

  21. Brad says:
    (link)

    I need Hot Rod’s War Room spreadsheet in my life ASAP.

    Help me, Hot Rod…you are my only hope.

    • BoKnows says:
      (link)

      +1

      • hal_incandenza says:
        (link)

        +99

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I hope he’s okay, I haven’t heard back from him over email

  22. ERad says:
    (link)

    Where would you target Wander Franco in a keep forever league where the top 50ish guys are already kept?

    FTJr went in Round 5 a couple years ago, which at the time seemed like a huge reach but in hindsight was a great pick. Round 9-10 if I’m lucky?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      You keep 50 guys already? Wander should be in the 1st round (round 6)

      • ERad says:
        (link)

        Sorry, I wasn’t specific – it’s a real pet peeve of my wife’s!

        5 keepers per team – 10 team league – that’s where the 50 comes from

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Right, and Wander should be a 1st round pick, in the 60s overall

          • ERad says:
            (link)

            Ah gotcha, another pet peeve is that I don’t listen!

            Thanks G! Baseball on the horizon!

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              No problem

            • dj says:
              (link)

              Both ‘pet peeve’ comments were the funniest thing I’ve read in a long time (and true for my wife and Inas well)!

              Kudos!

  23. Phil says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey!

    I always appreciate your advice and thoughts…you commented previously that in my 12-team 6×6 (OPS and holds) roto league I should keep Degrom (in exchange for a first rounder), Yelich (2nd round), Lindor (3rd) and Juan Soto (12th).

    So my first pick will be in the 4th round, 6th overall. For the next few rounds, how do you think I should approach it? Should I draft hitters in the 4th and 5th, and then a couple of starters, and wait on closers? Or should I draft a closer earlier since league history has shown a scramble for closers very early on (top closers in the 3rd or 4th round)? Or hitter, starter, hitter, closer, etc.?

    I know it’s kind of a silly question without knowing who has been kept and who was drafted in the first three rounds, and I know you tend to prioritize hitting generally, but I’m just curious if I should consider a particular strategy.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      You need a corner man, and dealer’s choice for best available player, prolly an arm

  24. Doodie says:
    (link)

    I’ll get it started. “Cheap Bastards” rule. I’m sure there will be a better one.

    geezus – that kennedy comment…..

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haha

  25. OaktownSteve says:
    (link)

    How old are you in fantasy years? For instance, I was in a 4×4 NL only, doing the stats by hand out of The Sporting News. My C2 was Bruce Bochy.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Going on 30

      • OaktownSteve says:
        (link)

        You’d think we’d be good at this by now.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          You’d think!

      • Will says:
        (link)

        My league started in 1984. Still going strong with the same ten original guys!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          That’s amazing!

          • Will says:
            (link)

            It’s competitive as all get out. Everyone knows baseball really, really well and it’s a daily transactions league so ya gotta be on your toes with the moves and waiver transactions.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Always the best leagues!

        • OaktownSteve says:
          (link)

          That’s awesome. I’m pretty sure ‘84 was the year the book was published.

    • hot corner says:
      (link)

      I have no idea, but I do remember that my first fantasy team had Jimmy Key on it.

      • OaktownSteve says:
        (link)

        Nice. Soft tossing lefties are roto gold.

    • Dave D says:
      (link)

      Im relatively new to this stuff. My first league was 1997. However, I did start collecting baseball cards in 1978 and became obsessed with stats then.

  26. No bueno says:
    (link)

    Ayo Grey,

    Our league has removed SV and transitioned to (SV + Hold) as a category this season. I know SAGNOFF but does this further discount the need for relievers as there are now more available? Thanks for the input.

    • Cram It says:
      (link)

      Correct, since closers and relievers are of equal value.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yeah, makes relievers extremely cheap…Wouldn’t spend money on a closer at all

  27. Licketty Splits says:
    (link)

    JBJ to the Brewers. So does he start over A Garcia most days? I assume JBJ might take CF from Cain? I imagine all 4 guys get a fair amount of playing time with Yellich in the lineup nearly daily.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yeah, JBJ is a lame starter, Avisail will never play every day but Cain is old and should retire, I’ll update my rankings shortly

      • hot corner says:
        (link)

        Do the Brewers know something about the DH that we don’t or is someone getting traded? It is a strange signing for a small market team. They now have half of their payroll tied up in 4 OF’s vying for 3 spots.

        • hot corner says:
          (link)

          And yet, some combination of Arcia, Urias, Shaw and Robertson on the left side of the infield. Maikel Franco would have been perfect for the Brewers.

          • Grey

            Grey says:
            (link)

            Not that I think their moves are great, but JBJ is prolly best real baseball move they’ve made

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Nah, Cain’s a bench player prolly

  28. hanklongball says:
    (link)

    Grey,

    In a 12-team 5×5 OPS league with three keepers, would you hold on to Wander Franco or Bryce Harper? I already have Betts and Bellinger for the other two spots. Harper seems like a win-now, but Franco seems like the smarter pick for 2022 and beyond…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Bryce

  29. M is for Mookie says:
    (link)

    Posted a few weeks ago but will re-ask now as the timing is much more relevant, in case anything has changed. I need to select keepers this weekend in a Yahoo 12 team 6×6 (standard hit + OPS; standard pitch + QS, using SV+H). Starting lineup is C/1B/2B/3B/SS/3OF/2 any position; pitchers are 3SP/2RP/4P, bench is pretty extensive, keep 3 for up to 3 years (including year 1). In order of your rankings the best players I have available to keep are below. I drafted all these players new last year, so could keep them all for this season and the next season maximum.

    11- Yelich
    61- Grisham
    65- Lynn
    72- Gray
    97- Rizzo

    Last time I asked you said Yelich, Grisham, and one of Lynn or Gray (personally I’d probably keep Lynn). Is that still the case? Is there any merit to taking Yelich, Lynn AND Gray (instead of Grisham) and not drafting SP3 til at least after I draft at least 1B/2B/3B/SS/2 OF and maybe a utility? I’m wondering whether I’d be more likely to want to keep the two SP next year over Grisham, but I suppose it depends on who I get to draft otherwise. Grisham just seems…eh? for his position, while Lynn and Gray are both, ideally, rock solid. But perhaps I am falling into the over-valuing of SP in a relatively shallow league…

    Thanks for the advice as always

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Nah, nothing’s changed

      • M is for Mookie says:
        (link)

        Sounds good, here’s hoping Grisham goes off 30/30. Thanks

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          No problem

  30. Put the devil in Ray says:
    (link)

    Standard h2h with 10 bench spots and open waivers is it a good idea to draft 2 of sale/syndegaard/severino and keep them on my bench since 10 is such a big bench? Thank you again!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Sure

  31. Curious George says:
    (link)

    Do you think the rays would bring wander up after gaining an extra year this season? Don’t want to overload my team with prospects… trying to decide between kelenic and wander

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Kelenic is above Wander in preseason rankings

  32. Jr says:
    (link)

    After your post yesterday I was able to trade Tucker for Devers in my h2h dynasty league. Did a deeper look into tucker’s stats and he had a 2 game series in CO where he went 6 for 9 with 3 triples and a home run. Take that away and his slg drops from .512 to.460, which is a bigger deal in H2H especially. But I think you’re spot on about Tucker being a schmohawk!

    Hopefully Randy lives up to the hype, because he’s now my OF1 with Lourdes, Franmil and Frazier (4 outfield spots)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks! Hopefully!

  33. TualatinTwoStep says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey!

    Did my 1st ever RCL draft last night, picked out of the 10 spot. Had one major mess up, as my laptop froze up in round 3 as I was frantically trying to draft Mondesi, and I ended up with Snell. But here is my team:

    C Nola
    1B Alonso
    2B Lux
    3B Machado
    SS Anderson
    CI Escobar
    MI Gimenez
    OF Bellinger
    OF K Lewis
    OF Blackmon
    OF Myers
    OF Santander
    UT Yordan
    Bench: Straw, Wendle

    P’s: Snell, Lamet, Alcantara, McKenzie, Civale, Hand, N Anderson, Barnes, Antone, Graterol

    Civale fell all the way to round 21, and followed that with Escobar in round 22. Liked the value there.

    Thoughts?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Hmm…You have some holes in this team…Don’t love Lamet, your pitching in general is a bit of a mess…Wish I liked your hitting better too…It’s workable tho…You’re gonna need to stream, and prolly fix Lux if he doesn’t have an everyday job

      • TualatinTwoStep says:
        (link)

        Yeah 2B got away from me. Kept getting sniped. That is why I took Wendle with my last pick, figured I could platoon him and Lux until someone develops as a waiver claim.

        Thanks man!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Gotcha…No problem

    • 183414 says:
      (link)

      What’s up with Odorizzi ?
      You’d think that if he was healthy and throwing, a few teams, starting with the blue Jays would have been calling . Something fishy here.

  34. Rosterbater says:
    (link)

    11 team keeper and lots of kept value throughout the league. I can keep up to 15. I know my pitching is light but here goes

    Keeping these 12 for sure
    Jose Ramirez (round 1)
    Jacob Degrom (3)
    Ozzie Albies (4)
    Eloy Jimenez (5)
    Gleybor Torres (12)
    Brandon Woodruff (13)
    Liam Hendriks (14)
    Fun the Jewels (15)
    Will Smith (catcher) (16)
    Eugenio Suarez (17)
    Trent Grisham (18)
    Aaron Judge (20)

    For my last 3 Im torn if I should keep any of these
    Patrick Corbin (7)
    Dominic Smith ((19)
    Marco Gonzalez (21)
    Dustin May (21)
    Tony Gonsolin (21)

    Thx for the advice

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I’d struggle to not keep the Dodgers’ young pitchers, they’re so good…And then coin flip on last one…Prolly go Corbin for safety

      • Rosterbater says:
        (link)

        even with no bench spots

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Oh, with no bench spots, then you can’t take the Dodgers’ youngsters

          • Rosterbater says:
            (link)

            Thx Grey. Thats what I was thinking too.

            Keep up the great work!!!

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              No problem

  35. Cram It says:
    (link)

    I think is the first time I’ve been in more than one league with you, and I’ve noticed a lot of similarities between your NFBC and Best ball and teams. Do you typically draft the same guys across all leagues? It’s interesting either way.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yeah, I like maybe 25 guys, and just keep drafting them, sprinkling in new guys, like Kelenic

  36. 183414 says:
    (link)

    What’s up with Odorizzi ?
    You’d think that if he was healthy and throwing, a few teams, starting with the blue Jays would have been calling . Something fishy here.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Hoping Astros sign him in next few days if Framber’s out for year

      • dubjay says:
        (link)

        If he signs with the Stros, where would you rank him? Does seem a little strange that he hasnt been signed as of yet. Just lost F.Valdez and need a replacement. Looking at Yarbrough, Smyly for SP or keeping the slot open for streaming and grabbing a potential closer with Y.Garcia, C.Martin, D.Castillo, Harvey or Soto.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Where he is

  37. Earl says:
    (link)

    I am amazed in some drafts I have been in how some people have drafted (maybe they know more than I do and that is very possible).

    In one league, guy drafted like all pitcher for first 8 rounds before taking hitter.

    In another league, guy did the opposite taking hitters for like first 8-10 rounds and then started with pitching.

    Should be interesting to see how they do over season. Who knows maybe it will be good for them.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yeah, some people try new things, no accounting for it, I don’t think

  38. JB says:
    (link)

    Would you move E Rosario for Josh Bell

    • Jb says:
      (link)

      10 team dynasty using OBP over Ave

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Nah

      • JB says:
        (link)

        Agree… I’m not big on Bell.

        E Rosiaro for Rizzo any better?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Yup

  39. moses mashers says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey. Finally finished 1st draft. 10th pick, 12 team league. I am happy with the hitting.

    C) Vazquez (17)
    1B) Olson(7)
    2B) Gimenez (18)
    3B) Devers (3)
    SS) Story (1)
    CI) Moncada (9)
    MI) DeJong (22)
    OF) Yelich (2)
    OF) Eloy (4)
    OF) Blackmon (8)
    OF) Kepler (16)
    OF) Moore (13)
    UT) Muncy (12)
    UT) Schwarber (19)

    Bench: Reynolds, McMahon

    P) Lynn (5)
    P) Carrasco (6)
    P) Paddack (10_
    P) Montas (14)
    P)Guasman (11)
    P) Eovaldi (21)
    P) Montero (15)
    P) Barnes (20)
    P) Soria (28)

    Bench: Dunning, Minor, Montgomery, Singer, Ottavino

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Nice! Looks solid! I like the hitting and pitching a lot…If I had to quibble, you might be a bit low on saves, but small complaint…Nice team!

      • moses mashers says:
        (link)

        Thanks! I thought the same thing about saves. That’s why i grabbed ottavino late. I wanted to at least lock in some Red Sox saves when Barnes loses the job.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Yup!

  40. Will says:
    (link)

    Stanton is available to draft in my keeper league for the first time in years, owner finally gave up on him. I know you have low expectations and have him ranked down around 108 but if he reaches the Zips or Steamer projections he’d be worth a much higher ranking. Is this the year? Or has your love for Giancarlo been burned too manyh times for you to draft him?

    Steamer: .250 / 39 / 100 / 4
    Zips: .250 / 38 / 111 / 3

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I’d expect around 80 games, so maybe 25 HRs? Meh, if you want to gamble, go for it…I am not

    • Cram It says:
      (link)

      I don’t think Grey is saying don’t draft him. Grey has him at 108…his NFBC ADP is even higher than that. You can draft him…around 100.

  41. mcmi11ions says:
    (link)

    Guess who drafted Frambler the DAY HE TOOK THAT GROUNDER!?!? Stupid news doesn’t come out until the next day? Information Age 24 news cycle my ass.

    Time to comb through the rankings again and see who is available for me to replace him with.

    • mcmi11ions says:
      (link)

      Framber! I’m so worked up I can’t even type right.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        Is he out for the year?

        • Will says:
          (link)

          RW just said season ending surgery was recommended but he’s going for a 2nd opinion so I don’t think anyone knows just yet.

          • Grey

            Grey says:
            (link)

            Ah, not great

  42. ThE sHiT says:
    (link)

    Yo Grey, do you mind checking in with SteveNZ if you have direct contact info, lots of big earthquake activity down in that part of the world today…always think about him when i see news about that area…dont think i have seen him commenting lately…thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Sure, I pinged him

      • ThE sHiT says:
        (link)

        Thanks, being a reader/commenter going on 12 years i think, this community feels like almost family…hope SteveNZ is ok

        • SteveNZ says:
          (link)

          Hey! All good here. Couple of pretty big earthquakes of the coast of NZ in the last few hours. Tsunami alert has been cancelled for the first one, but as a result of the second people in some coastal areas are being told to evacuate.

          Hopefully it doen’t come to anything.

          I’m in the biggest city and away from the coast, so a lockdown is the only thing I have to contend with right now haha.

          • Grey

            Grey says:
            (link)

            SteveNZ is well!

          • ThE sHiT says:
            (link)

            Glad to hear youre good SteveNZ!

  43. Earl says:
    (link)

    what say the master to this start for 5×5 roto (just entering round 10 of 28):

    1b – Olson
    2b –
    ss – Bichette
    mi – Baez
    3b – Machado
    of – Trout and Lou Bob

    sp – Gioloto and Carrasco
    rp – Raisel Iglesias

    not too bad me think but need to decide where to go next. probably need some more speed and of course bit more pitching in next few rounds

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Looks exactly like a team I’d build…You look like you have decent speed for now…Prolly need a little speed here and there, but nothing crazy

  44. Licketty Splits says:
    (link)

    So I am in a 12 team best ball point league ….last year was pretty meh for me but I like drafting 40 guys then just see how it plays out.
    So I was bummed to get pick 8 then I see that 3 SP went 1-2-3 …one guy ahead me leaving me either Tatis or Mookie. So I get that this is like OBP with BB equal to one point like a hit & QS & W’s are both 3 points.
    Am I missing something here??
    Is a points format so different that I need to rethink what I think I know?
    So do I just change the hitter rankings to draft as OBP & & pitcher rankings to be QS? Best ranking system to use for this?
    Also K’s are 1.5 points & saves 6 …so I assume getting at least one quality closer would be a must.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      That seems like it would work…Problem with most Points Leagues, point structures are all different, so hard to say one set of rankings

      • Licketty Splits says:
        (link)

        Makes sense …thanks for the advice. Fantrax has their projection for each player based on this point system in the draft room …so I suppose I can draft more or less like usual but keep an eye on the projected walks & quality starts. They don’t seem way of wack as far as a players typical value.
        That being said I am pretty stoked to have Tatis with pick 8 to start it off.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Yeah, I’d take Tatis 8th in any draft

  45. Ryan741 says:
    (link)

    Grey, need a trade opinion in a H2H points league. I’d be trading Devers for Karinchak, Suarez and Lourdes Gurriel?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Nope

      • Ryan741 says:
        (link)

        Would you do it if it was Grisham instead of Karinchak?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Kiss my computer screen

  46. Jr says:
    (link)

    Made a lot of trades in my H2H dynasty league ahead of our draft and am left with his lineup. League has OBP in place of average and BB as an extra counting stat. Can I get your take on this team and how you think it looks/where to look in our draft? I’ll have about 8-9 picks to make to fill out my prospects and roster.

    C Perez
    1B Bohm
    2B Gurriel, Jr.
    3B Devers
    SS Baez
    CI Machado
    MI Altuve
    Of Arozarena
    Of Reyes
    Of Frazier
    Of
    Ut

    SP: Gray, Lamet, Burnes, Gausman, Marquez, Dunning, McKenzie, Taillon, EdRod, Mize, Howard

    • Jr says:
      (link)

      FYI it’s yahoo, so very conservative with position eligibility

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      How many teams

      • Jr says:
        (link)

        Sorry, 10 teams.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Lamet, Marquez, EdRod, Mize, Howard are an absolute headache — not sure what to do about it, but you need safer arms — like a Bassitt type or three — Your hitting looks great, looks like you could use some power from a Cron type

      • Jr says:
        (link)

        Yeah, I know. But it’s a really deep league pitching wise (it’s hoarded all year…) so they’re guys I gotta hang onto. Bassit, Eflin, Means, Manaea, Morton all available in draft, so I’ll try to get one or two of them and hope for the best!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Cool!

  47. John Donnell says:
    (link)

    Thanks for the updates Grey!

    Got a keeper question for you…. 5 keepers allowed, Already planning to keep Soto, Harper, Turner, and Jose Ramirez. Candidates for 5th keeper are Sunny Gray, Lamet, and Paddack as SPs, Muncy, Goldy, Moncada, Gallo, Laureano. I feel like some SPs like Ryu, Lynn, Maeda and Gallen might be available with my first pick.

    (Also get to have Kyle Tucker and Robles from the minor league part of our system)

    Who would be your pick for the 5th spot? Any other changes you’d make?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Gray or Moncada, think I’d keep one SP

    • packers2018 says:
      (link)

      Laureano is out for sure as you have plenty of outfielders.

      With those SP’s possibly available along with your guys thrown back in, it comes down to me either Moncado or if you want two SP’s by keeping one and drafting one.

      I would go Moncado then hit SP’s hard.

  48. Rick Brown says:
    (link)

    I’m drafting in a 15 team Fantrax Best ball on Sunday.It’s also a points league like Licketty Splits is in.
    I’ve never done a Best Ball draft so reading the above comments helps a little.
    I’m lookin’ forward to it!
    RICK

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Nice!

  49. Whatever says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey,

    in a 12 team mixed OBP keeper (350 cap) would you trade a 37 dollar Rizzo for a 1 dollar Swanson? I have a plethora of corners: Vlad Jr, Machado, Bregman, Vaughn and have no middles.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Sure

      • DonnieB says:
        (link)

        For this year and next,would you keep Wander or Ian Happ? Would be penalizing myself too much for 2021 keeping Wander? Can keep either for this year and next. When do you see Wander coming up? Thanks!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Wander — midseason maybe — would be mostly for 2022

  50. Regan says:
    (link)

    Stupid Yahoo gave Isiah Kiner-Falefa catcher eligibility. Doesn’t show up on your site though. Where would you rank him for catchers? Top 5 sounds about right to me, whatdya say Grey?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      5-8 prolly, draft around 200

  51. J-0Dawg says:
    (link)

    Grey! Thanks for answering my ? yesterday. Follow-up… so I can maybe trade Dom Smith ($1) and Soroka ($15) for Lamet ($3) and Civale ($5). In addition to Tellez and E. White, I forgot that I’ll be able to move Hiura over to 1B. Though now I gotta go find some second basement in the auction. Thanks brosef!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I don’t like Lamet, sounds fair tho

  52. ryantodd says:
    (link)

    Need a trade opinion in a points league. The offer is Devers/5th round pick/9th or Springer/3rd/4th?

Comments are closed.