Welcome back baseball, how I missed ye. FanDuel has us set up for a 13-game slate for our first full day back. Overall, the pitchers on this slate are hot garbage, or have brutal matchups. My favorite pitcher on today’s slate is Domingo German ($8,600). German had one start back since coming off the IL before the All-Star Break in which he went six innings, allowing one run and struck out six. He threw 80 pitches in that outing and looked at back to the top of his game. Today, he faces the Blue Jays, who have an 85 wRC+ against right-handed pitching, which ranks 24th in the league. Domingo German’s price combined with his upside makes him my must play arm on tonight’s slate. Let’s take a look at the rest of the FanDuel slate.
New to FanDuel? Scared of feeling like a small fish in a big pond? Well, be sure to read our content and subscribe to the DFSBot for your daily baseball plays. Just remember to sign up through us before jumping into the fray. It’s how we know you care!
Robbie Ray, SP: $9,400 – This one scares the poop out of me too, but Ray has legit K-upside. The Cardinals have big, righty power bats, which is where the damage could come from as they have the 10th best wRC+ against left-handed pitching.
Yonny Chirinos, SP: $6,800 – If I’m looking to pay down, this is most likely where I’m going. Over his last five starts (yes, I said starts), Chirinos has gone 39 innings pitched and has a 3.00 ERA. Over those five games, he’s gone no fewer than six innings in every start.
Joey Votto, C/1B: $3,600 – I believe this is the only Coors bat I’m recommending. Listen, if you wanna play them, go for it, we know what Coors does to even the best pitcher. However, both Sonny Gray and Jon Gray have been pretty good this year and their pCRA’s (for those who haven’t looked into this stat, here’s what gets factored in) have been better than their ERAs allowed (Jon: 3.66 vs 3.84, Sonny: 3.25 vs 3.59).
Brandon Belt, C/1B: $3,400 – We get Belt outside of Oracle Park and into Miller Park, one of the biggest park upgrades there are.
Gleyber Torres, 2B: $3,400 – The Yankees face Aaron Sanchez and it’s definitely a spot I want to take advantage of. The only problem is the Yankees are expensive. Torres is reasonable and lets me get a piece of the lineup with a 7 implied run total, highest on the slate.
Mike Moustakas, 3B: $3,900 – Sean Anderson is meh, allowing 40.6% hard contact and while he may be able to hide the poor results in Oracle Park, Miller Park is less forgiving.
Justin Turner, 3B: $2,800 – Eduardo Rodriguez is one of the most confusing pitchers in the game. Are you good or are you not good? He could turn in a gem, but the Dodgers are dangerous and Turner has hit lefties well this year.
Didi Gregorius, SS: $3,400 – Happy to fill a bad position with a upside Yankee.
Chris Taylor, SS: $3,000 – Shortstop stinks today, but Taylor leads off against lefties and has a .284 ISO and .392 wOBA. Crushes them.
Aaron Hicks, OF: $3,700 – Hicks was heating up heading into the break and should be the third Yankee bat I fit in to complete my mini-stack.
Khris Davis, OF: $3,200 – I expect Krush to come out hot in the second-half as the rest should’ve helped his body heal.
Nick Castellanos, OF: $3,200 – Castellanos against lefties is a crusher.
Hunter Renfroe, OF: $3,000 – Refroe is the king of crushing lefties. His .509 ISO against southpaws should have Keuchel shaking in his boots.
Franmil Reyes, OF: $2,900 – Can anyone say back-to-back jacks?
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
No precipitation in the forecast today, so all the games are safe. Overall, the temperatures are hot across the country, except on the West Coast, where the Padres/Braves and Athletics/White Sox will play in temperatures below 75; so bump down the bats just slightly in those games.
Doing Lines In Vegas
The Yankees lead the way as a massive -280 favorite, followed by the Astros (-198) and the Athletics (-198). In terms of run totals, Coors leads the way with a total of 12, followed by the Dodgers/Red Sox (11), Yankees/Blue Jays (10.5), and Angels/Mariners. I’m not sure I’m going to bet the under in the Rockies/Reds game, but I’m certainly leaning towards it. My favorite play so far is the Diamondbacks team total, which I just caught at 3.5 runs, so I’m hammering the over.