Well, here we are. The last weekend of the regular season, which means withdrawal kicks in approximately 5 days from now. <flash to me curled up in a ball rocking back and forth muttering things like wOBA and reverse splits> I want to thank everyone who took the time to read my work. This is actually my first foray into writing and it’s been a blast! FanDuel has us set up for a 13 game slate, and by now, you’ve heard it 600 times; play guys who still have a reason to play. For me, that encompasses 2 categories; playoff teams fighting and youngsters playing their hearts out, trying to make an impression for next year. Tyler Glasnow ($6,900) checks the latter box for me. Glasnow was a top prospect in the Pirates farm system, but always seemed to struggle with his control. In 56 IP with the Pirates this year, Glasnow sported a 14.0% BB% (league average is around 8%); however, since his trade to the Rays, he’s lowered that to 8.0% over 50 IP, all while keeping his K% at a healthy 27.5%. Let’s explore the rest of this slate and see if we can discover some more value.
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Gerrit Cole, SP: $11,400 – This is tough for me. Cole and the next guy are clearly the best pitchers on the slate, but I’m just not sure how long they will go. The Astros have a 4.5 game lead over the Athletics with 3 games to play, and are locked into the #2 seed in the American League. No reason to push him.
Mike Foltynewicz, SP: $9,600 – Did you see what the Rockies SPs did to the Phillies earlier this week?? Starting Monday, the Phillies scored 1, 3, 0, and 3 runs……in Colorado; and struck out 10, 8, 14!, and 14! times. The Braves are still jockeying for that #2 seed (and first round bye), so this is a series where they want to go out and put up a good showing.
Brewers Bats – This is the easiest spot to start when it comes to the bats tonight. The Brewers are fighting with the Cubs to win the NL Central, and the BrewCrew gets a tasty matchup with Jordan Zimmermann. Stack them up! Christian Yelich ($5,000) has been a man possessed, but I’m willing to go 1-6 here; Lorenzo Cain ($3,600), Jesus Aguilar($3,900), Travis Shaw($4,100), Mike Moustakas($4,100), and Ryan Braun($3,000) or Eric Thames($3,100).
Rockies Bats – Playoff race part deux. After ripping the Phillies new one, the Rockies hold a 1 game lead in the NL West over the Dodgers. The Rockies are in their friendly confines and face Joe Ross. For his career, Ross has struggled against LHBs, so I’m definitely prioritizing the lefties Charlie Blackmon ($4,400), David Dahl ($4,300), and Carlos Gonzalez ($3,700), but I don’t think I need to talk you into Nolan Arenado ($4,600) or Trevor Story ($4,500). Dear Rockies; please don’t start Gerardo Parra over CarGo.
CJ Cron, 1B: $3,000 – Cron’s mashed lefties all year (.306/.377/.542), so why stop now??
Jorge Polanco, SS: $3,400 – My boo. I see you baby. Seriously, I write about him every week. Little pop, little speed, .285 AVG.
Willy Adames, SS: $3,000 – Nice affordable SS with some speed. At this point, I’m just looking for some cheaper/younger guys with something to prove.
Johan Camargo, 3B: $3,100 – I almost don’t want to write about him just to keep him under the radar for next year. Hint, hint…..he’s sneaky good.
Tommy Pham, OF: $3,700 – Been so good for the Cardinals in their playoff push, Pham’s slashed .333/.432/.589 in the 2nd half………what’s that? The Cardinals gave up on him at the trade deadline?? Oh. Well this is awkward.
Michael Conforto, OF: $3,600 – Seems to finally be healthy. Has had a really nice 2nd half (.282/.364/.564).
Daniel Palka, OF: $2,700 – Quietly has 27 HRs in 433 plate appearances.
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
Overall, just some beautiful, fall baseball weather today!
Doing Lines In Vegas
Highest total on the slate tonight belongs to Coors (shocker!) with Rockies/Nationals at 10.5. With the season winding down, not a lot of really big favorites. Milwaukee is the exception at -230 vs Tigers. As of this writing, there’s no line out for the Atl/Phil game, but I’d imagine it’ll be pretty similar to that of the Brewers line. My personal play for the day is to parlay the Brewers and Braves moneylines. Good luck!