Another Cuban has washed ashore, dreaming of American capitalism and getting seriously laid in Miami.  The Cardinals signed shortstop, Aledmys Diaz.  Let’s give you a comparison that may or may not do it for you.  Diaz hit 12 homers and stole 11 bases with a.315 average in his last year in Cuban ball.  Recent raftee by the Dodgers, Alexander Guerrero hit 21 homers, stole 2 bases and hit .290.  Right now, Guerrero might be losing the starting job to Dee Gordon who can’t hit his weight, and he weighs 143 pounds.  It’s nice that another Cuban gets to realize his dreams like Yasiel Puig and Tony Montana, but I’m not even sure if Diaz will make an impact this year, or ever.  Despite his name resembling “All Days,” he’s being projected as a bench player.  Oh, and I just had a great idea.  I’m not sure who can make this happen, but we should get Fidel Castro on the podcast to talk about baseball.  Speaking of which, we’re recording the first podcast of the year today and it should be on-site tomorrow.  You can hardly wait.  No, you!  Anyway, here’s what else I’ve seen in Spring Training for 2014 fantasy baseball:

Kris Medlen – Forearm strain, which is often a precursor for more serious ailments.  Dr. James Andrews said, “I’ll be the judge of that,” then laughed evilly for six minutes.  I’ve moved Medlen in my top 400 to around that of Eliot Spitzer’s political career, and updated his projections there and in the top 100 starters.  My guess is he’ll try to return in a few weeks then things will get drastically worse.  Don’t draft him anywhere.  The good news is this will mean more Freddy Garcia in the Braves rotation.  Well, good news for opposing hitters.

Oscar Taveras – Got into his first spring training action.  Fantasy baseballers swoon!  But is now sidelined with hamstring tightness.  Fantasy baseballers opposite swoon!

Jaime Garcia – Said he’s very excited with how his arm feels right now.  He tore his ACL saying that.

Carlos Martinez – Just drafted him in my NFBC 15-team league and he’s now within spitting distance of a rotation spot, assuming Roberto Alomar were the one spitting.  I.e., Joe Kelly is failing.  Fail, Joe Kelly, fail!

Ervin Santana – I will be so happy when I don’t have to hear anymore signing rumors.  I haven’t heard this many Ervin rumors since 1991 when most of the rumors involved Isiah Thomas and Ervin and how they would kiss at half court.  Don’t pretend you didn’t hear them too.  Santana heard he was rumored to go to the Orioles, and he fired his agent.  In related news, the O’s pretend their Christmas presents are in the trunk of the car, park their car three blocks away from home and call in a fake stolen car report, then shop for Christmas presents on December 26th.

Cole Hamels – Tried to throw the other day, but just couldn’t.  Said that he threw about 35 pitches and “to my body it felt like a thousand.”  Don’t like what this is sounding like at all.  I have him around pick 125 overall right now, and I’d give serious pause before drafting him there.  You do not want a pitcher who is struggling with a shoulder issue in March.  He’ll probably only miss April, but he’s one more setback away from being out until June.

Dayan ViciedoWhite Sox have had discussions to get their 4th outfielder out of town.  Yay!  The Mariners are the ones they’re discussing it with.  No!  They already have like five outfielders.  Give Michael Saunders room to breath.

Archie Bradley – He’s putting together a terrific spring.  That’s nice.  I still don’t see him breaking camp with the club, so my Archie Bradley fantasy from October still stands.  Damn, October Grey doing work!

Mat Latos – Aiming to make his first start April 6th.  Seems like that’s a quick timetable but if you follow Latos’s wife on Twitter, you’d wanna get back on the road too.

Alex Rios – Mild oblique strain and will miss ten to fourteen days.  I had moon eyes for Rios before this news.  Was happy to take him in the 3rd round.  Now, I’d still take him in the 3rd round, but would be less happy about it.  You have hurt my enthusiasm!  Opposite swoon!  Rios should be fine for the start of the year.  Hopefully this thing doesn’t linger like The Cranberries.

Ivan Nova – Nothing happened to him thus far in the spring, but as I start drafting and seeing later options, I realize I should’ve ranked Nova.  He’s a hella a lot better than some starters in the mid-200’s.  So, to fix that, I did rank him.  Here’s what I said in the top 80 starters post, “A Yankee pitcher?  That’s good?  That’s not an overpriced free agent acquisition?  Okay, that’s just weird, but weird said like Travolta in Saturday Night Fever.  Nova’s K-rate dipped last year, which I didn’t love, but when looking deeper at him (or deeper in his eyes), I saw a guy that is pretty comparable to a guy like Patrick Corbin, who’s ranked way above this point.  The AL East and his short track record of success concerns me, but not enough to not at least take a flyer on.  2014 Projections:  13-7/3.88/1.28/170”  And that’s me mea culpa’ing me!

Bobby Parnell – Reports say he went an inning in a “B” game.  I cannot confirm or deny if everyone was dressed in bumblebee costumes.

Brad MillerMariners manager, McClendon said on Saturday that the competition between Nick Franklin and Brad Miller is wide open.  Well, ain’t that a tube of toothpaste in the bullocks?  I’m still confident that Miller wins the job and provides great sleeper value.  Only I’m slightly less confident now.  Maybe 92% confidence level.

Marcus Stroman – Could get the 5th slot in the Blue Jays rotation out of camp.  I’d probably put his chances at around 20%.  Prospect Scott likes Stroman a lot, saying, “The 22-year-old made 20 Double-A starts on the season, posting a 3.30 ERA, a 1.13 WHIP, and K/9 at 10.4.  Those of you who read my posts throughout the regular season know that I’m intrigued by Stroman — he brings a fastball/slider combo that’s as good as any in the minors, and that skill set makes for some exciting performances (he whiffed 11+ batters in four of his 20 starts).  Stroman was probably ready for a big league look this past September, but the Jays opted to send him to the Arizona Fall League instead.  Big time whiff potential will make him a coveted piece in the fantasy game as soon as he surfaces.  Unlike Grey and his ‘dur’ faces.”  Hey, what’s that mean?  Rookie pitchers are odd ducks — quack, quack.  You could get anywhere from a 2.75 ERA to a 4.75 ERA.  Stroman should provide solid K ability, think in the high 8 K/9 range.  For that alone, he’s worth gambling on in deep leagues.

Cameron Maybin – Could only miss 6 weeks.  That’s obviously until the next injury.

Marco Scutaro – Began hitting soft-toss.  I can’t wait for the matchup between him and a fifth grader.

Omar Infante – Scratched due to a sore shoulder.  Like clockwork he’ll still get his 10 homers, 5 steals this year.  Also, like clockwork, he’ll be boring like doing work on clocks.

Matt Harrison – Expected to begin the year on the DL.  Jeremy broke down the Rangers rotation in his AL West preview.  It’s one of the biggest clusterfudges (the rotation, not the post).  Yu, Perez, Ogando and…Nadir Bupkis?  I don’t know.  My guess is Colby Lewis and Joe Saunders, but Tommy Hanson is there too.  When Harrison returns, the least effective starter (prolly Saunders) will be bumped, then Derek Holland returns and another guy is bumped, which means out goes Colby Lewis?  Ogando?  Perez?  Harrison?  Outside of Yu, I’d be wary of drafting any of them.

Brad Penny – Released by the Royals.  Make way for Yordano Ventura!  (Probably not out of camp, but I can dream.  I mean dream about something else besides having sex with Kate Upton.)

Oliver Perez – Signed with the Diamondbacks.  Probably will be used as a LOOGY, which depending on his control, could leave the Diamondbacks front rows dressed like they’re at a Gallagher concert.

Chad Billingsley – Aiming to return to Dodgers in May as he makes his way back from Tommy John surgery.  Barring injuries, he’ll eventually share the fifth rotation spot with Josh Beckett and Paul Maholm as the Dodger’s Frankenpitcher, Paush Bilkett.

Taijuan Walker – Threw the other day and felt fine.  He had an inflamed bursa in his shoulder but he told his shoulder, “I hate to bursa your bubble, but I’m pitching!”

Ryan Cook – Threw his first bullpen session and should be ready for the start of the season.  Definitely a guy I’d look at in deep or Holds leagues.  Cook does with gas when he’s right.

Jhoulys Chacin – Played catch the other day.  No word if it was with his dad, Yorent, or his uncle, Yomortage, but it’s heartwarming either way.

Dane De La Rosa – Forearm strain.  De La thinks he’ll be ready for Opening Day as long as he avoids potholes in the lawn.

Doug Fister – Scratched due to inflammation in his pitching elbow.  MRI came back clean and the Nats are saying all the right things:  he’ll be fine for Opening Day, he just needs to rest, his burps smell of rosewater.  Whether Mr. Fister does have broken wings only time will tell.  As of right now, I’m not moving him in my top 400, but that could change at a moment’s notice.

Carlos Santana – Being reported he looks stiff and uncomfortable at 3B.  “Try Sweatpants!” says the Council of Outfitting Men For Our Relaxation and Temerity.  The President of COMFORT also didn’t draft Carlos Santana to be his third baseman, but rather his catcher, so there’s that.

Jose Iglesias – His shins are feeling better, but the Tigers aren’t sure if he can be ready for Opening Day.  Iglesias said, “When I ran without the padding, it was really uncomfortable, but as soon as I changed orthotics and put on the one the doctor made for me, there was a big difference.”  In related news, Iglesias signed an offseason sponsorship deal with Dr. Scholl’s.

Nate Jones – Made his debut on Saturday and pitched great.  Why do we care?  Because we love him and his SAGNOFy, strikeouty self.

Bronson Arroyo – Diagnosed with a bulging disk.  He said he should be ready to go for the start of the season, then proceeded to say, “Enough about bulging disks, let’s talk about my upcoming compact disc, ‘Slow Balls, Fast Tracks.'”

 
  1. Birdmann says:
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    After a few tweaks post draft I think my team is looking better: 14 team, 1500 innings, 6X6 (standard 5X5) plus XBH and QS. FA pool is nothing but flyers and split type players. I am hoping to trade one of my 3B for something, who would you recommend I move and what should I target in return.
    C Mike Zunino
    1B Prince Fielder
    2B Jedd Gyorko
    3B Nolan Arenado
    SS Jhonny Peralta
    OF Adam Jones
    OF Alex Rios
    OF Carlos Beltran
    Util Todd Frazier
    Util Kole Calhoun
    B Mike Moustakas
    B Peter Bourjos
    B Dee Gordon
    NA Javier Baez
    SP Felix Hernandez
    SP Adam Wainwright
    SP Francisco Liriano
    RP Kenley Jansen
    RP Rafael Soriano
    P Rick Porcello
    P Addison Reed
    P Hiroki Kuroda
    B Yordano Ventura
    B J.J. Putz

    • J-FOH says:
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      @Birdmann: Frazier, aim for a catcher upgrade or a brainfreeze

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Birdmann: Depends what you can get for Frazier, but I agree he’s the one to trade, but I doubt you can get anything for him… Maybe a better catcher…

      • Birdmann says:
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        @Grey: I can just hope for a hot start to increase value.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yup

  2. JP says:
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    The Chacin comment took me a minute, but it was worth the wait. Jhourock Grey!

    • natty lite says:
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      @JP: Ha ha. Nobody in that family to own yet.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @JP: Ha, thanks!

  3. bossmanjunior says:
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    Found out I’m picking 10th in my shallow standard h2h 10 team league. Been doing a few mocks at this position and this is the typical team I draft. Do you see any flaws with my draft pattern or any weaknesses? Thank you sir.

    League format: 1B/2B/3B/SS/3OF/UTL/2SP/2RP/4P/5BN

    1. Jones OF
    2. Encarnacion 3B
    3. Segura SS
    4. Pujols 1B
    5. Marte OF
    6. Myers OF
    7. Bailey SP
    8. Cobb SP
    9. Rizzo UTL
    10. Teheran SP
    11. Salazar SP
    12. Robertson RP
    13. Fister SP
    14. Gyorko 2B
    15. Gray SP
    16. Henderson RP
    17. Masterson SP
    18. Jones RP
    19. Miller 2B/SS
    20. Kluber SP
    21. Castro C
    22. K. Davis OF

      • bossmanjunior says:
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        @Grey:

        Yeah, forgot to mention that. Met all the marks on pitching, HR, and BA, 90% on RBI/R and 70% on SB.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          That’s pretty significant on SBs.. Surprised to hear that due to Segura and Marte…In a H2H team, I wouldn’t be concerned… It’s shallow, too… You would be fine with this team…

          • bossmanjunior says:
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            @Grey:

            Thanks! A bunch of these were minor reaches so there is a good chance I get this team or something close.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              No problem

            • Lava says:
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              @Grey: @bossmanjunior:

              I had the same pick for my first RCL draft, and ended up with similar picks. Some key players that didn’t end up falling to me were Bailey and Rizzo, and seeing your list it looks like I reached for Gyorko in the 7th, but thought it was fair based on Grey’s rankings and Rudy’s PS’s.

              I’m only at 80% for SBs too, though, and that’s with Jones, Segura, Marte, Aybar, and Rios. I’m thinking SBs might be a tad difficult this year, if Grey was surprised by that, and I’m only at 80% with my squad.

  4. Plasmaj says:
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    My keepers are due today and just want a last minute sanity check. We are a 12 team 5×5 roto league with 4 keepers (no max years or cost consideration). 6 choices for the 4 slots, what do you think?

    Cargo (definite)
    Puig (almost definite)
    Strasburg
    Jose Fernandez
    Wainwright
    Posey (catchers always seem to go late in this league)

    • Heatcheck3 says:
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      @Plasmaj: Cargo, Puig,Stras, Wain

  5. Nimrod says:
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    IMHO It looks lite on steals. Could package Moose or Frazier with Beltran to get a SS with speed and move Bourjos up to starting OF which gives you speed. Let’s see what Gray says.

    • Nimrod says:
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      @Nimrod: Meant for Birdman

      • Birdmann says:
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        @Nimrod: SS went really high in my draft, I will check it out see if anything works out, thanks. SAGNOF if Dee gets the starting 2B in LA was what I am hoping for.

    • J-FOH says:
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      @Nimrod: I actually like Peralta this year as a late round flyer. Speed is a little lite but in a 14 team league its going to, and being 6×6 you can be a little punty…is that a word?, anythehoo, with XBH, he needs more players who hit doubles to offset all the HR hitters on other teams. If he could get Alcides then that would be a better speed value in his format, instead of trading for a Reyes,

  6. Tigres says:
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    Took part in RCL draft last night – good clean fun. I took Alex Wood late – he should be set for the Braves rotation now, with Medlen’s injury? I saw GIFs from Medlen’s last two pitches yesterday, they did not look promising.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Tigres: Yeah, they look bad… Wood appears locked into the rotation, yeah…

  7. revchris says:
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    Took Rios in the 4th round of an RCL draft yesterday. Very happy with that!

    • Tigres says:
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      Nice. I passed on Rios and took Holliday instead; did not feel great about that move by end of the draft.

    • Birdmann says:
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      @revchris: I got Rios at the end of the 5th in a14 team draft earlier this month, very happy about that.

      • revchris says:
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        @Birdmann:
        Wow! What were the other guys in your league drinking? 70th overall is incredible value!

        • Birdmann says:
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          @revchris: @revchris: I was thinking about taking him in the forth but took Adam Wainwright, shocked he was still there a whole round later. We have draft pick trades in our league. I posted my team above still need more speed but feel good about the rest.

          • Birdmann says:
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            @Birdmann: Fourth sorry

  8. Ian says:
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    I don’t get it…isn’t “opposite of Swoon” just “noowS”?

    • Yescheese says:
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      @Ian: noooooooooooooooo

  9. Fungazi says:
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    Any thoughts on Pineda now that he seems healthy?

    • Birdmann says:
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      @Fungazi: I want to see two starts, only jump on him if you have a need and a spot.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Fungazi: Perfectly decent late round flyer, expect nothing, hope for best…

  10. Yescheese says:
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    Hi Grey, Did you end up blurbing/projecting the Cuban Catcher the braves signed? A mere mortal can barely keep up wih the volume of your awesomeness. Such fantasy master. Such wow!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Yescheese: Ha… Nah, he’s not very good for fantasy right now as the lede says…

  11. Justin says:
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    Good day sir. Tbank you for being awesome on a daily basis. I wouldlike your honest opinion on this team. Drafted last night. Right now its about a 6/10 for me as I llst out on some targets that were taken just picks before I was going to take them a la gyorko simmons machado. 12 team h2h 1b/2b\3b/ss/IF/3of/1util. 3Sp 2 rp 1 p 5 bench 1 NA. Qs and OPS are extra cats. We kept 7.

    Ramos/Rizzo/Kinsler/Hardy/Seager/myers/Jennings/Jackson/Abreu. Miller/Brantley/Taveras.

    Sanchez/Cobb/Cingrani/Salazar/Griffin/Robertson/Frieri Josh Johnson/ Beachy.

    I know I have barely and speed, A low end BA and some weakness in my sp. How bad is it???

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Justin: I agree with what you said… In a H2H league that shallow though, you should be able to overcome anything with in-season managing…

  12. 2 Cups 1 Braun says:
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    Grey : If you had to rake your flyer excitement, how would you rank these guys?

    Calhoun
    Khris Davis
    Brad Miller

  13. Matt says:
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    Okay, Grey-I’m all in on the Razzball pitching projections! I just drafted a team for a deep 12 team keeper (too many SP but I’ll probably trade 1 before the season). The staff is below, and all were underrated in an ESPN draft and came at bargains! My season is in you hands…

    Cobb
    Teheran
    Gio
    Iwamura
    Masterson
    Liriano
    Archer
    Porcello
    Josh Johnson

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Matt: Looks fine, except I wouldn’t mess with Iwakuma anymore…

  14. BitchesBeShoppach says:
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    Had our draft on the week. Whatcha think? My pitching worries me

    C – Castro
    1B – pujols
    2B – hill
    SS – Segura
    3B – Beltre
    OF – Trout
    OF – Cargo
    OF – Cuddyer
    UTL – Rizzo

    SP – Cobb
    SP – Teheran
    SP – Kluber
    SP – Smyly
    SP – Ventura
    SP – Skaggs
    CL – Robertson

    BN – Brad miller
    BN – Texiera

    • BitchesBeShoppach says:
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      *weekend. I’m so stupid

      • BitchesBeShoppach says:
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        Trout, cargo and beltre were my keepers

        • BitchesBeShoppach says:
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          12 team league

          • Birdmann says:
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            @BitchesBeShoppach: Skaggs is in my FA pool in a 14 team league there has to be someone better. Like Ventura if he can beat out Duffy.

            • J-FOH says:
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              @Birdmann: he has ventura

              • Birdmann says:
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                @J-FOH: I know, I like that he has Ventura. Self interest on that one.

                • J-FOH says:
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                  @Birdmann: it looked liked you were giving him an example, extra coffee needed for daylight savings time

                  • Birdmann says:
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                    @J-FOH:Love me some coffee

    • J-FOH says:
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      @BitchesBeShoppach: drop Skaggs. Is haren or Kazmir available?

      • BitchesBeShoppach says:
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        Nope. Both were drafted

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @BitchesBeShoppach: Team looks solid, would be hard not to with your keepers… Your pitching is a tad upside crazy, but league’s shallow you should be fine

      • BitchesBeShoppach says:
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        I was thinking the same with my pitching. I wouldn’t mind a guy that’s a bit more proven

          • BitchesBeShoppach says:
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            Would you guys drop Skaggs for ubaldo, Kennedy or Tillman?

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Tillman

              • BitchesBeShoppach says:
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                Perfect thanks. Would you drop smyly for ubaldo or Kennedy?

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Can hold for now

  15. Yager says:
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    Drafted 4 solid closers because in my RCL, everyone neglected them so much they actually came at bargains! Ha! So, I have some saves to deal, and another owner offered Jared Weaver for Neftali Feliz. Even with Weaver on the decline, I have to take this deal right?

    • J-FOH says:
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      @Yager: yes. Texas pen is not set. Its open

      • mauledbypandas says:
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        @J-FOH: I get the feeling they want Feliz to win the job but as JFOH said, it’s wide open right now.

        • J-FOH says:
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          @mauledbypandas: I hate that, Scheppers looked really good for 4 out of the 6 months last year which means he would definitely be the closer in Baltimore

          • Yager says:
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            You like Scheppers for the job in Texas? @J-FOH:

          • Yager says:
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            I thought he was competing for the rotation? @J-FOH:

          • mauledbypandas says:
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            @J-FOH: Yeah, Scheppers was money for most of last year. I doubt he will end up in the rotation. My money is on Feliz for closer but I could see Soria taking the job to start the year since he is a little more advanced in his TJ recovery.

  16. JD says:
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    Hey Grey. Questions about the yahoo 12 team $ values on the site. Are these your projections or are they steamer with Rudy’s playing time estimates? Also, can these be used for snake drafts using the higher $ amounts to determine who to draft? Thanks.

    • Based on steamer/razzball projections. yes, can be used for snake drafts – the 67/33 adjustment should match snake draft preferences towards hitting.

  17. de nachos says:
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    10 teamer or did you have 2 or three keepers? Obviously you love your hitting. I’m not sold on Cobb/Teheran as my number 1 but I have trust issues (even less so in H2H, and in a points no hoo-way), but hey you got your guys. it’s not like Bumgarner was going to fall to you in the 6th.

    • de nachos says:
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      @de nachos: that was for Shoppach.

      Kýrie, eléison, Mr. Fister.

      Now I’m shutting down the Internet for the day because stupid HBO crashed for the True Detective finale. *fingers in ears, la la la la la*

  18. E says:
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    H2H strategy question

    With the 5 pitching categories being W, SV, k/9, ERA, WHIP with only a 18 min innings pitched per week, should I target several closers and top end starters to try and win saves and the ratio cats? 30 move season limit makes streaming difficult for pitching.

    With that I could field an extra hitters and squeeze out a few more ABs to win the hitting counting stats (large benches, standard hitting categories).

    What do you think?

    • Fungazi says:
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      @E: That doesn’t sound good at all since you would need top closers to avoid burning all your moves on closer turnover that comes with the less reliable ones. That means you are using 5 – 7 of your top 10 picks on pitching, making an offense that wouldn’t compete even with the couple extra ABs.

      • E says:
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        @Fungazi: 5-7 seems excessive, I was thinking 2 sp 2 closers by rounds 10-12

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @E: Agree with Fungazi

  19. joeg414 says:
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    Who would you guys take first from each group or if you could please rank them from these two groups as the choices might come up again in a different round. And speaking about choices, Mike Choice really hitting this spring.
    OF: Trumbo,W.Myers,Beltran,Jennings, Marte Heyward?

    SP:Gio Gonz.,Weaver, J.Zimm.,Cobb,Wacha,Cingrani,Gray,Shields?
    13 Team mixed 6×6 roto.

    Thanks.

    • joeg414 says:
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      You could add Cespedes to the list of OF also.
      Thanks Again.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @joeg414: Not sure what you’re asking… Check out my rankings…

      • joeg414 says:
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        Which two would you pickup from each list(Four total)
        List 1-OF: Trumbo,W.Myers,Beltran,Jennings, Marte, Cespedes,Heyward?

        List 2-SP:Gio Gonz.,Weaver, J.Zimm.,Cobb,Wacha,Cingrani,Gray,Shields?
        13 Team mixed 6×6 roto.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Marte, W.Myers… Cobb, Zimm

  20. Jangles says:
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    12 team keeper, do you keep Zobrist, Kyle Seager or Homer Bailey? Have Miggy at 3rd, no other MIs worth mentioning and already keeping Cliff Lee and Scherzer for SP. Thanks Grey!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Jangles: Zobrist is fine, I guess

      • Jangles says:
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        @Grey: you sound as excited about Zobrist as I am. Thanks Grey!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yeah, not at all… No problem

  21. theearly90s says:
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    Iglesias be gellin’

  22. Corey says:
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    Grey, there’s a mad man on the loose in our league. And only you and I can stop him. #TrueDetectiveSeason2

    Last year the champ of our 6×6 H2H OPS/QS league punted saves and used all 5 bench spots on starters. That in addition to the 3 player adds/week, it all but ensured he’d take Wins, Ks, and QS every week.

    He’s at it again, his current roster carrying 12 starters. I have the league average 7, including the one spot I use for streaming in starters.

    Surely, this isn’t the first jerkass to come up with this strategy. Is it really unexploitable?