Welcome to the post where I copy and paste…er…uh…I mean rerank the Top 50 prospects for fantasy baseball. I know I shouldn’t have to say this, but this is a fantasy prospect list – not a real one. Therefore ergo such and such, you get the drift. I’ll say this about my rankings approach – I tend to chunk it and don’t get too caught up in ranks that are close to one another. So if you want to debate #35 versus #36 I’m going to have to put you in a timeout where you can debate yourself. I’m sure you are all master debaters. Anyhoo, I try not to let the first half of this season completely change the scouting reports we came in with at the beginning of the year. Then again, you do have to take this season into consideration, along with recent signings. Also, these are composite ranks averaged between myself and my five alternate personalities. My doctor says it’s healthy to include them in this process. It’s all an extremely complex algorithm that involves me, a bowl of cold spaghetti marinara, and a clean white wall. Oh, and one more thing…I don’t include players that I expect to exceed the rookie limits this year. That’s 130 at bats or 50 innings pitched for those keeping score. Not trying to waste your time on players that likely won’t be prospects in the fall. On to the list…

1. Wander Franco, SS | TBR
2. Kyle Tucker, OF | HOU
3. Jo Adell, OF | LAA
4. Bo Bichette, SS | TOR
5. Luis Robert, OF | CWS
6. Carter Kieboom, SS | WAS
7. Royce Lewis, SS | MIN
8. Alex Kirilloff, OF | MIN
9. MacKenzie Gore, LHP | SDP
10. Nolan Gorman, 3B | STL
11. Nick Madrigal, 2B | CWS
12. Jarred Kelenic, OF | SEA
13. Gavin Lux, OF | LAD
14. Cristian Pache, OF | ATL
15. Jesus Sanchez, OF | TBR
16. Casey Mize, RHP | DET
17. Vidal Brujan, 2B | TBR
18. Alec Bohm, 3B | PHI
19. Andrew Vaughn, 1B | CWS
20. Kristian Robinson, OF | ARI
21. Drew Waters, OF | ATL
22. Jonathan India, 3B | CIN
23. Julio Rodriguez, OF | SEA
24. Marco Luciano, SS | SF
25. Ryan Mountcastle, 1B | BAL
26. Trevor Larnach, OF | MIN
27. George Valera, OF |CLE
28. Heliot Ramos, OF | SF
29. Dylan Carlson, OF | STL
30. Joey Bart, C | SFG
31. Jesus Luzardo, LHP | OAK
32. A.J. Puk, LHP | OAK
33. Deivi Garcia, RHP | NYY
34. Forrest Whitley, RHP | HOU
35. Jordan Groshans, 3B | TOR
36. Taylor Trammell, OF | CIN
37. Leody Taveras, OF | TEX
38. Adley Rutschman, C | BAL
39. J.J. Bleday, OF | MIA
40. Jasson Dominguez, OF | NYY
41. Sixto Sanchez, RHP | MIA
42. Nate Pearson, RHP | TOR
43. Luis Patino, RHP | SDP
44. Jorge Mateo, SS | OAK
45. Ke’Bryan Hayes, 3B | PIT
46. Estevan Florial, SS |NYY
47. Matt Manning, RHP |DET
48. Ian Anderson, RHP | ATL
49. Dustin May, RHP | LAD
50. Ronny Mauricio, SS | NYM
51. Brayan Rocchio, SS | CLE

83 Comments
Newest
Oldest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
Captain James T Kirk
Captain James T Kirk
3 years ago

Hey Mike,

Hoping someone can help explain why the Astros refuse to let Yordan Alvarez play the field? The explanation given thus far has been that he is so big that after a few days out there, his legs get tired. That makes zero sense seeing that he was playing the field (36 games started) while in the minors.

Seems very odd to turn a kid that young into a full time DH. Not to mention it kills his fantasy value!

Mike
Reply to  Captain James T Kirk
3 years ago

The leg thing has to be bullshit. It could be that they just don’t trust his skills. He’s not the greatest defender, but I’m with you, at least keep the flexibility while he’s young.

Captain James T Kirk
Captain James T Kirk
Reply to  Mike
3 years ago

Thanks! I agree, give him a chance…at least 1 or 2 starts a week! Hopefully they work with him in the off-season and Spring Training….to the point where they feel comfortable with him out there. Gotta believe he splits time next year between left and DH.

Mike
Reply to  Captain James T Kirk
3 years ago

Yeah exactly. Hide him in left twice a week like my coach used to do with me. He’s only in it for the clubhouse buffet apparently!

Andrew
Andrew
3 years ago

Same for Isan Diaz or is he outside top 50? Thanks, love your articles.

Mike
Reply to  Andrew
3 years ago

Thanks! A little of both. He’s just outside for me but I also think he’ll graduate. Betting on Castro getting moved.

Andrew
Andrew
Reply to  Mike
3 years ago

Cool thanks!

mattmaison
3 years ago

You have two players at #33.

Swfcdan
Swfcdan
3 years ago

Reasons Larnach shows up so high? Been offered him for R Ray in my keeper where I’m looking to next year. I do like Ray’s price though so could be keepable at $13 next year. Is that worth moving for Larnach? Would have to cut A Kay or Balazovic too.

Mike
Reply to  Swfcdan
3 years ago

Bat/pop and could move pretty quickly. If you’re in it for next year, Ray will probably be more useful.

NoOneIsHome
NoOneIsHome
3 years ago

Hello Mike! Thank you for putting this list together. Can you provide us with some thoughts on Trent Grisham?

Micah
Micah
3 years ago

Great work! When would you stash Wander in a 10-team 5-keeper league? Looks like his current ETA is 2021, so best-case scenario has him in the big show late next summer.

Keep forever league and I currently have Trout, Betts, Ohtani, and Torres. Others on my roster are Benintendi, Albies, Meadows, and Buxton but wasn’t sure if Wander’s upside is worth letting one of them go. Thanks!

Mike
Reply to  Micah
3 years ago

Thanks! I think in that format you’d want to snag him midseason next year. Not deep enough to warrant jettisoning a proven player for.

Sh
Sh
3 years ago

Mike
I am in a 20 team dynasty head to head points league. I am in need of some SP. My OF is currently is with Benintendi Eloy , Acuna and Robles. But I also have Luis Roberts. Would you deal any of these guys for any young SP if so for whom.

Thanks

Sh
Sh
Reply to  Mike
3 years ago

I have an offer of Clevinger or Bieber would you do either guy for Benintendi.

Mike
Reply to  Sh
3 years ago

If you need the arm, I’d go Clevinger.

Dancin Homer
Dancin Homer
3 years ago

regarding stashing 1 prospect for the chance they get called up this season, who of the following do you like best? We get 1x “NA” spot in my redraft league:

K. Tucker
J. Adell
F. Whitley
C. Mize
MacKenzie Gore

Thanks in advance

Mike
Reply to  Dancin Homer
3 years ago

I’d go with Tucker there.

TualatinTwoStep
TualatinTwoStep
3 years ago

What’s up Mike?

Great stuff as always. We are in the midst of our post MLB draft minor league draft in my dynasty league, snagged Andrew Vaughn at 1.2 and decided to swing for the fences at 2.2 with Michael Toglia. He reminds me a lot of Bellinger, and he’s only 20. The thought of him crushing bombs at Coors was too enticing to pass up!

Thoughts on my current MiLB roster? Is Jhon Torres still worth holding on to with his struggles this year? Parker Meadows hasn’t done much either. Debating whether I should toss any of these guys to make my 3.2 pick in the aforementioned draft.

1. Jered Kelenic OF SEA
2. Luis Rodriguez OF LAD
3. Andrew Vaughn 1B CWS
4. Jhon Torres OF STL
5. Michael Toglio 1B COL
6. Tyler Ivey, P HOU
7. Andres Gimenez, SS NYM
8. Juan Pablo Martinez OF TEX
9. Jordyn Adams OF LAA
10. Parker Meadows, OF, DET
11 Bayoran Lora, OF TEX
12. Lazaro Armenteros, OF OAK
13. Florencio Serrano SP TEX
14. ONeil Cruz 3B PIT
15. Ryan Lewis, OF SEA

Thanks man!

TualatinTwoStep
TualatinTwoStep
Reply to  Mike
3 years ago

Right on man, thank you. I’m thinking if Kameron Misner or Keoni Cavaco falls to 3.2 I might just do that.

Noneishome
Noneishome
Reply to  Mike
3 years ago

Hello Mike! Thank you for putting this list together. Can you provide us with some thoughts on Trent Grisham?

Donk
Donk
3 years ago

Hey Mike,

Love the list! Some deeper dynasty questions: Where would you rank the following pitchers: GrayRod, Cole Winn, Shane Baz, and Matt Tabor?

Also what are your thoughts on these two youngins: Francisco Alvarez and Luisangel Acuna?

Noam
Noam
3 years ago

My favorite post! Thanks Mike!

Who would you say are the most likely prospects to make big jumps on the rankings over the next half year – year?

Jr
Jr
3 years ago

Great list! Was able to swing a deal for Franco in a dynasty league earlier this year and really excited about him.

My team is not good, so looking at some sell options. An owner has tucker, Adell, and mize and would probably move one of the OF and mize for Corbin. It’s an obp league with walks as an extra counting stat. Would that change your ranking of Adell and Tucker at all? Is corbin too much for that return? Only other guy I have on this list is Bohm.

Thanks!

Johnnie LeMaster
Johnnie LeMaster
3 years ago

What do you see peak years for Kieboom and Bichette looking like in avg/obp/slg and HRs?

Mike
Reply to  Johnnie LeMaster
3 years ago

Hmmmm, .280/.340/.550, 20ish homers, maybe 5ish steals for Kieboom, more for Bichette.

They’re pretty similar.

Llango3456
Llango3456
3 years ago

Who’s the best SS after wander? Bichette? Lewis? Or KieBOOM?

Harley Earl
Harley Earl
3 years ago

Nice list Mike, and that’s me not being sarcastic!

I’d say you’ve got Madrigal a little too high for fantasy value. I mean he’s got 2 HR in 303 minor league at-bats. I also think Luis Patino should be higher after his Futures Game outing and maybe the #50 spot to Seth Beer.

But, overall, I think it’s a solid list with pretty good placement of each player. Well done!

Harley Earl
Harley Earl
Reply to  Mike
3 years ago

Just curious, you think Brujan gets some Triple-A time this year? He’s only been at AA for a couple weeks so I doubt it. Sure wish they’d let him spend August in Triple-A.

Also, like how you have Groshans and Julio Rodriguez so high. You know your stuff! Most don’t even know about Groshans.

Matt
Matt
3 years ago

You have India much higher than most updated lists I’ve read. What are you expecting from him performance wise in the second half?

LagunaBobbyI
LagunaBobbyI
3 years ago

Hey Mike, I know you excluded guys who have exceeded limits, but since he’s out for remainder of year, I’m curious where would Brendan Rodgers would slot in the ranks?

Mike
Reply to  LagunaBobbyI
3 years ago

I had him 12th preseason and I don’t think much has changed to swing him too far either way. Probably in that 6-10 range with Kieboom and co.

Drew
Drew
3 years ago

Thanks for the rankings Mike!

I’ve got Hoerner stashed in my NA slot in a 16-team OPS keeper. Each team has up to 6 MiLB players that can be kept, but often those not drafted are picked up and stashed throughout the year. M. Luciano, J. Rodriguez, Larnach, Carlson, and Groshans are all available. Would you switch out Hoerner for any of these?

Also, curious where you might rank Luis Garcia (WSH), who had a good amount of preseason hype but the power had been nonexistent.

Drew
Drew
Reply to  Mike
3 years ago

Thanks. There are only 4 managers that follow prospects, so over the past couple years I’ve stashed some solid guys.

Branta
Branta
3 years ago

Is Isan Diaz outside the top 50 or you expect him to lose rookie status this summer?

Chucky
Chucky
3 years ago

Feasibility that either, or, or even both Luis Robert and McKenzie Gore get to the show sometime this 2019 season? The Eloy injury just might open up an opportunity for a stale White Sox franchise to showcase one of their future stars. Gore could be a late year addition if the Padres get close to sniffing a WC run. Thoughts?

OddBall Herrera
OddBall Herrera
3 years ago

Let’s just say Lux or Kieboom ends up on the ML roster in August (I know, more than a longshot, but still).

Would you rather have them then Franco?

I just hate the idea of sitting on Franco until 2021 in a league with limited keeper spots.

Giacomo
Giacomo
3 years ago

Hi Mike, in a dynasty points league, where Ks count, would you trade Kingery for Luis Robert?

bigbear
bigbear
3 years ago

Nice!!! Looking forward to seeing how ChiSox handle their stable of young players. Especially Vaughn.

I’m not sold on Gorman. I get he’s still only 19, so lots of room to go. A ton of K’s at a low level. I do like Alec Bohm a lot though IRL. Hopefully he fills out to hit for more power.

jose
jose
3 years ago

Received Forest Whitley as part of an early season trade where I received Carlos Correa and Whitley for Paul Goldscmidt in a 10 team, keep 25, h2h points league. I knew my team could hold Whitley as a bench player and still be competitive and more than likely make the playoffs. Luckily, even with Correa on IL it’s been just fine. I’m in line to make the playoffs and possibly get a 1st round bye from winning my division.

With it being a shallow leage and being in win now mode, are there any guys on this list you would drop Whitley for in the next 2-3 weeks? I know Whitley is reportedly throwing, but no real updates are out there and it’s starting to get late in the year. Our trade deadline is July 31. Mostly considering Luzardo or Dustin May? If nothing else, I’ll be dropping Whitly to use as a streaming spot if he isn’t up come playoff time.

Thanks Mike!

Skip Mcgillicuddy
Skip Mcgillicuddy
3 years ago

Thoughts on Evan White? Seems to be tapping into some power now. Was he far off the top 50?

Also, comparing the two, Adell and Robert seem to be athletic freaks. What aspect of Adell’s game seperates him from Robert? He seems to be ahead on most lists. Thanks.

Skip Mcgillicuddy
Skip Mcgillicuddy
Reply to  Mike
3 years ago

Thanks Mike! Adell and Trout in the same outfield. Good luck to the rest of the league.

LenFuego
LenFuego
3 years ago

Mike, Franco at number 1 suggests these are for dynasty leagues (since he will certainly not be up this year and likely not until at least mid to late 2020 and possibly not even until 2021). Is that right, or is there some shorter time period you optimize these for?

LenFuego
LenFuego
Reply to  Mike
3 years ago

Not sure that identifying it as an “overall list” really answers the question because a prospect’s fantasy value for dynasty leagues can be very different than for keeper leagues with retainability limits.

Some keeper leagues explicitly limit the number of years a player can be retained; others do so implicitly by each year progressing a player’s salary or the round number of draft pick forfeited. Very young but extremely talented prospects (e.g, Luciano and Franco) could be virtually unrosterable in a keeper league with a 3 year retainability limit while having extraordinarily high fantasy value for a true dynasty league; all prospects will have their fantasy value/ranking affected to some degree depending on the applicable retainability limits.

I am trying to understand what type of retainability limit you believe these particular rankings are optimized for, if any.

LenFuego
LenFuego
Reply to  Mike
3 years ago

Gotcha, thanks for the clarification. Kind of what I suspected based on my assessment of the rankings. There are some new names to me on here, so I appreciate the effort in putting this out.

Warren Shapiro
3 years ago

Im now sitting with 4 closers …..EOvaldi Robles Colome and sometimes a castillo. I should proofread….

Warren Shapiro
3 years ago

So he isn’t ap prospect and he isn’t a finished product but what are your thoughts on Clint Frazier.

AL only roto 5×5 obp…… I have a cheap frazier that I need to sign at the end of this year sitting on my bench and I have been offered Miley and Mancini. I started the year with Clevenger Cole Eovaldi Rodon and Alex Cobb and we all know how that tuned out. I was unfortunate enough to turn Clevenger into Sanchez and Jackie Bradley.

Im not sitting with 4 closers 2 arms in the pen and Cole Bassit and Bailey as my only starters. I do get Boruki back.

Would you dump Frazier for this bag of meh? I would add that I have Austin Hays for next year and a good contract on Pham and Mercado so its not essential that I keep him but I hate making a deal that doesn’t move the needle.

Cainer
Cainer
3 years ago

No Luis Urias?

toolshed
toolshed
3 years ago

What are your thoughts on valera? He seems like he is rising on a lot of lists. Do you see him going up more and finishing inside the top 20?

Trust the Process
Trust the Process
3 years ago

Mike! Great stuff .. You and Ralph are my 2 goto’s for all prospect/dynasty stuff… got a possible big move comin..
12 team roto… forever keep 10 + 10 farm … this is year 2 of completely remaking my squad .. are you on the “Sell Josh Bell” train? .. IF I did , I’m looking at offering for either a) Wander/Jasson or Keston/Jasson/+ more.. B) Adell + maybe Verdugo .. are any of these nearly enough? Too much? About right? …. between keepers/farm I also have — Robles, Alonso, Senzel, KMarte, Dansby, Kingery, Laureano, Haniger, Julio Urias, Taillon, B Lowe, Robert, Valera, India, Bichette, Gorman, Royce, Rocchio, Trammell… And also some very tradable help for guys going for it this year … sorry so long.. just wanted to paint the picture… Thank you as always! You’re one the very best

Greg Maddux
Greg Maddux
3 years ago

Give me Seth Beer or give me death!

Grey
Admin
Reply to  Greg Maddux
3 years ago

I drink up your Beer, I drink it up