This is one of the most difficult posts to write all year.  Maybe I shouldn’t try to write this post with my feet.  Eff it, you know what?  No guts, no glory.  No toes, no post either, naw mean?  There’s just so many different ways the top 20 for 2015 fantasy baseball could go.  Maybe next year I’ll write a top 10 for 2015 fantasy baseball with a ten way tie for the tenth ranked guy.  Last year, I had Jose Bautista higher than anyone and Jay Bruce.  You win some, you lose some.  I also had Pujols, Votto and Puig in the top twenty.  Again, win, lose and…DRAW!  It’s one word…A can of spinach with an X through it…A hamburger…Wimpy!  Looking into my crystal ball tells me this year is gonna be even harder.  Pitchers are dominating the sport.  Doesn’t mean I can go completely crackers and just put ten starters in the top twenty.  That shizz would be crumby!  I wouldn’t draft a starter in the top twenty so I won’t tell you to do it.  Finding twenty hitters isn’t going to be easy, but, while thinking of me as your weird uncle that you can only talk about baseball with, let’s find them together.  Remember, one pick does not a team make.  Here’s just twenty picks you should make.  All the positional rankings will live under the 2015 fantasy baseball rankings.  Anyway, here’s the top 20 for 2015 fantasy baseball:

11. Jose Bautista – This tier started in the top 10 for 2015 fantasy baseball.  This tier ends here.  I called this tier, “The ceiling can’t hold us.”  Up until this point, the tier name was referring to each player’s upside.  Bautista might have 50-homer upside, but I’d think of the tier name for Bautista more like there’s an actual ceiling above where he plays his home games and he hits the ball high.  No, it doesn’t work as well.  Just shoot me.  Member that show?  It sucked.  But beyond that would they even name a show that in today’s climate?  There would be about 15 network execs having a symposium about how if there’s a shooting, the name of the show will be in poor taste.  Honestly, if someone tried to name a show I Love Lucy now, there would be execs wondering if people would construe Lucy as Loosey and loose women and they’d change it to, “Hashtag Lucille Loves Latinos.”  Any the hoo!  Bautista is one of the few hitters with 50-homer ability.  Do I think he comes anywhere near that?  Aw, heck no, cuz!  But he can hit 35 homers in only 130 games and that’s a sight for sick-of-seeing-slap-hitter eyes.  2015 Projections:  95/33/101/.272/5

12. Clayton Kershaw – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until here.  I call this tier, “Draft Kershaw if your eleven other leaguemates are in a plane crash the day before your draft.”  Saying I’d draft Kershaw here is lip service.  Since there’s always a few slow on the uptake by the concept of lip service, I’ll explain.  Kershaw will be drafted in the first five picks of every draft.  There’s no way he’ll be available here.  If he is available here, then I’d draft him.  It’s a scenario that won’t happen in any league.  He seems safer than any of these hitters, but you can find so much pitching later, I refuse to rank him any higher.  Because we enjoy the concept of logic and how it’s twisted by ESPN.  In their early top 250, they say Posey should be drafted because catching is so shallow.  Then about 17 words later, they say starting pitching is the deepest position.  So, naturally, you’d think they have starters buried in their rankings since it’s deep, right?  Nope.  They have 4 SPs in the top 20 and Kershaw 4th overall.  Again, I’d draft Kershaw here, but there’s no way he’ll still be on the board by this point.  Don’t worry, I can get you a 3.25 ERA or lower drafting only pitchers after the top 50.  Or my name isn’t Grey Albright, Fantasy Master Lothario (please don’t abbreviate it).  2015 Projections: 18-6/2.22/0.95/232

13. Bryce Harper – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until Ramirez.  I call this tier, “There’s a pattern.” I’m not going to tell you the pattern.  I’m going to let you guess the pattern (okay, I do tell you the pattern; I just can’t resist your chubby cheeks!).  Let’s see if you can guess what the guys in this tier have in common (could someone tell Outside Parenthesis Grey that he just tells everyone the pattern?).  No, the pattern isn’t that all of these guys are ranked in my top 20 (ugh, just tell them!).  No, the pattern is not an upside thing (grr…).  Okay, I’ll just tell you (FINALLY).  The pattern is all of these guys have power and speed without killing you in any other categories.  Donaldson is the only one without 10+ steal speed possibility, and, even him, I could see a surprising 12-ish steals.  Offense is on a downswing yadda-cubed.  We know the sob story.  I’ll go on eBay and bid on the world’s smallest violin for MLB’s offense.  Due to the downswing in offense, it is imperative that you draft players that can give you a little bit of everything.  40-homer seasons from hitters is about as rare as seeing a male Bruce Jenner.  Now, it’s all about 25-homer, 8-15-steal hitters.  As for Harper, he’s had a season of 22 HRs/18 SBs and 20 HRs/11 SBs already and he’s only 22 years old.  I like the bounce back here as much as I hate his cockadoodie haircut.  2015 Projections:  87/25/101/.284/12

14. Justin Upton – Here’s what I said this offseason, “The CIA’s plan to work out of a Petco concession stand because the stadium is so quiet is looking far less like a good plan to stay covert.  “Did you just ask for two mustard packets with your hot pretzel because you have some information for us or because you simply want an extra mustard packet?  If it’s the latter, one per customer.”  Probably the worst call for a covert operation’s headquarters since the CIA opened an office in Vegas in the 1940’s.  “It’s just a desert, no one’s coming here.”  So, the Padres traded for Justin Upton because they are obviously intent on deflating outfielder stats everywhere.  At least this outfielder has two hips that don’t resemble Abe Vigoda’s.  (Still alive as of this writing, but may not be by the time you read this.)  Maybe the Padres can trade Kemp for Pujols to create the Up-My-Pujols outfield.  I came down hard on Matt Kemp in the non-sexual way when he went to San Diego, but that had as much to do with him being the first new bat the Padres acquired (no one around him in the lineup yet), his health and his flakiness.  As with the Myers trade, I’m less inclined to write off Upton simply due to Petco.  Upton’s a guy in his prime that has hit everywhere when healthy.  I don’t like to put too much weight on a player’s stats in their new stadium when they were still playing as a visiting player, but Upton has 10 HRs and a .291 average in 172 ABs in Petco in his career.  That’s a HR every 17.2 ABs, which is better than his career rate (1 HR every 23 at-bats).  Petco played like its usual “Are you sure the fences are out there?  I can’t see them” self last year, but in 2013 it wasn’t as bad after they moved in the fences prior to that season, so I think last year’s putrid offense was more the Padres hitters streaming into a confluence of crap.  (By the by, Confluence of Crap was my worst selling album, despite Rick Reuben producing it.  I should’ve paid the extra money for the non-imposter, Rick Rubin.)  Even in Petco, Upton feels like a 25-27 homer guy, which is what he was before.  His steals are leaving his game quicker than a rhinoceros with plantar fasciitis, and he’s not a huge average guy, but writing him off due to Petco feels a bit too easy.  He’ll be hitting in the middle of a lineup that is at least as good as the Braves last year and in a nearly neutral ballpark.”  And that’s me quoting me!  2015 Projections:  81/27/95/.266/8

15. Ian Desmond – Two years in a row now Desmond has been the top ranked shortstop in fantasy.  He also has three straight years of 20/20.  In two of those years, he hit .280 or higher.  For a shallow as shizz position, Desmond has been better than Robinson Cano.  Yet, Desmond has never appeared in a top ten on any site anywhere to my knowledge.  He needs a hindsight-sniffing dog to tell everyone how good he’s going to be!  Don’t love some of Desmond’s peripherals from last year.  His K-rate ballooned to almost striking out once in every three plate appearances.  Sloth from The Goonies in a fine dining restaurant has better plate appearances.  He did add onto his walk rate and…Well, gee, Vern, he gets 20/20 every year, that accounts for something.    2015 Projections:  75/21/87/.251/22

16. Josh Donaldson – When he went to the Blue Jays, I said this, “The A’s traded Josh Donaldson for Brett Lawrie, Kendall Graveman, Sean Nolin and Franklin Barreto.  I had this cheap friend who would go to the supermarket and buy things that were on sale.  Not because he wanted them, but because he was cheap and it was a good deal.  So, he’d come home with groceries of only things that were on sale and for dinner he’d end up having a box of couscous and a Tofutti Fudge Treat.  I’d say to him, “Do you even like this stuff you’re buying?”  He’d say, “No, but I do like the price.”  This is what happened to Billy Beane.  He doesn’t like Lawrie, but four players for one?  What a deal!  There’s one other explanation.  Everyone is constantly telling Beane he’s brilliant.  He’s so gee-dee brilliant (and handsome!), they cast Brad Pitt to play him.  His detractors are nil.  So, he thinks he can do no wrong and then does a trade like Donaldson’s, where no one can check him.  If anyone else did this trade besides Beane, people would be saying he got Cosby’d.  Since it’s Beane, I’ve heard people say the trade is a bit ‘underwhelming.’  Underwhelming?!  The A’s traded away their best hitter, that is only 28 years old, for the Blue Jays worst hitter.  If someone did this trade in your fantasy league, you’d quit your league, come into the comments here and say, “I’m done with stupid people.”  The A’s five and six-hole hitters now?  Ike Davis and Brett Lawrie.  Well, lucky they still have Andy Parrino.  Andy Parrino will be played by Joe Jonas in the Moneyball sequel.  “Coach, it’s Christmas, why are you at my house?  Okay, I’ll play for your A’s, but first let me sing a charity concert in Denver.”  From a fantasy prospective, nothing really ever was gonna hurt Donaldson.  The Blue Jays lineup looks stacked now, but to that I say the Rangers looked stacked going into last year too.  Edwin and Bautista aren’t the models of good health, Donaldson, though, has been.  The last two years he’s played 158 games, and has hit 24 homers and .301, then 29 homers and .255, while chipping in 5 and 8 steals, respectively.  He’s in the prime of his career, as previously mentioned, about to be in a better lineup and in a much better park for home runs, if not offense, in general.  Game, set, tennis term!  I don’t see him hitting for a great average again, like in 2013, but 27 homers and great counting stats without killing you in average seems not only doable, but likely.  The only question in my mind is where he’s batting.  My guess is fifth (Reyes, Martin, Bautista, Edwin, Donaldson), assuming everyone is healthy.”  And that’s me quoting me!  Since that, the Blue Jays also acquired Michael Saunders, who I am crazy about this year.  The addition of my latest Trapper Keeper crush has me pushing Donaldson’s projections up a tad and into the top 20.  Yes, I realize as crazy as I am for the Blue Jays this year is as crazy as I was for the Rangers last year when they all bombed.  This has me slightly concerned, but that’s superstitious shizz and I can’t let what my dog psychic cloud my judgement but butt-sniffing.  I will not step on any sidewalk cracks for the next six months though, just in case.  2015 Projections:  84/29/102/.262/8

17. Anthony Rendon – Before we all have a conniption at my Rendon ranking and throw our breakfast at our computer screen and say things like, “I hope you fall asleep at the barber and they accidentally buzz off your mustache.”  Last year, as a 23-year-old, Rendon ranked 15th on our Fantasy Baseball Player Rater.  15th overall.  Above Carlos Gomez, Andrew McCutchen, Adam Jones, Justin Upton and Albert Pujols, to name but a few guys who ranked nearby.  Our Fantasy Baseball Player Rater is the best in the business.  We’ve gone over many times why it’s better than ESPN’s.  I’m not gonna rehash that.  I do love to rehash potato latkes.  Going over what I’ve already gone over is a recipe for aggravation.  That recipe is:  1 tsp. of eye rolls; 1 tsp. of smugness; 1 tsp. of having no idea what you’re talking about; 1 tsp of EVOO.  Rendon has already been better than a few guys I ranked above him and he’s getting better.  His 21 homers last year weren’t a fluke.  He only had a 10.4% HR/FB, which is plenty repeatable.  Everywhere he played he hit for some power.  In fact, I wouldn’t be surprised to see him hit more homers in 2015.  Call me a believer.  Oh, and he hit for average too.  His .287 average last year seems like it could be on the low side.  My only big concern is his 17 steals last year came out of nowhere.  He frequently only stole one base in entire previous years and hadn’t stolen more than one bag in any one season outside of Rookie Ball.  It’s hard to say we can expect 17 steals again, but maybe Matt Williams thinks of Rendon as a base-stealing threat and keeps sending him.  It’s not like he was caught a lot (only 3 times).  I see a guy on the upswing with great eligibility, and I’m Rendon’d powerless to move him down in the rankings.  UPDATE:  Not Rendon’d that powerless, apparently, because his knee is giving me the heebie jeebies.  Kneebie jeebies?  Yeah, that’s it.  Had to move Rendon out of the top 20 and down in my top 400 due to his knee.  2015 Projections: 91/19/68/.286/9

17. Yasiel Puig – Have you figured out the pattern yet?  (Don’t start with the freakin’ pattern again!)  Oh, that’s right I told you (YES!!!).  Guys that can give you power and speed.  Puig has a few other things going for him.  He has a .305 career average after 1072 plate appearances.  He’s only 24 years old.  He’s a bit of an enigma.  Okay, that’s not going for him.  He might think it is though, hence the enigma thing.  From one at-bat to another, he can look like one of the best and worst hitters in baseball.  Some days he’s Puig, some days he looks like he’s trying to put lipstick on a pig.  Actually, that can drag on for months.  Off the top of my head, I’d say he had some of the worst months for a guy that had some of the best months.  In May, he hit 8 HRs and .398.  In June, 0 HRs and .248.  In July, .351 with 2 homers.  In August, zero homers and .216.  This is taking Saberhagenmetrics to a whole new level.  His righty/lefty splits aren’t as purdy as I’d like them; he hit .258 with 2 homers vs. lefties.  But if there’s one guy that can hit .400 for two months with 20 homers, then nothing for two months, it’s Puig.  Obviously, beware if you’re in a H2H league.  2015 Projections:  96/24/72/.298/15

18. Hanley Ramirez – When Hanley went to the Sawx, I said this, “Earlier this offseason, it was reported that the Red Sox coaches didn’t like Yoenis Cespedes.  Wait until they get a load of Hanley Ramirez!  If you were to put “Happiness That You Have Hanley” on the Y-axis and “Time Spent With Hanley” on the X-axis, you would find a line that starts at the top left and slopes right down to the bottom right.  For what it’s Wuertz, the enjoyment of Hanley matches directly with the chart of Pancake Eating.  After one bite, “Mmm, that is delicious.”  After two bites, “Not bad at all.”  After three bites, “I’m gonna try and douse these with some maple syrup.”  After ten bites, “You gonna share your bacon or should I order my own?”  That’s Hanley.  Try to douse him with maple syrup, but when it’s July and your team is in the pennant chase and he has a sore hamstring, enjoy!  From a real baseball standpoint, I hate the move for the Red Sox.  You had Xander Bogaerts for short, you nabbed Panda for 3rd (which I’ll get to shortly) and now you have Hanley playing left and Home Run Derby Champion Yoenis that you have to trade for the most you can get.  (By the by, I love that everyone refers to Yoenis as Home Run Derby Champion Yoenis, so I will now do the same.)  That’s not even mentioning Allen Craig, Will Middlebrooks, Mookie Betts, Jackie Bradley, Daniel Nava and Juan Francisco.  It’s kinda sad that all of those guys would be starting for the Astros (and Marlins and about ten other teams) and for the Red Sox they’re trade bait.  Maybe the Red Sox will also sign Han’s brother, Head.  From a fantasy perspective, this is about as good as it gets for Hanley.  Will this mean he’ll play 150 games?  No, I didn’t say that.  It’s hard to account for insouciance (Word of the Day!).  If he shows up at Fenway in April and wants to play, great.  If he shows up at Fenway in April and doesn’t want to play until August, it wouldn’t surprise me.  If we get 150 games from him (it will be nothing short of a miracle), I’d give him the projections of 86/24/91/.266/17.  I’d only count on a 130 games though.”  And that’s me quoting me!  2015 Projections:  72/20/84/.268/12

19. Nolan Arenado – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until here.  I call this tier, “Give me some sweet, hot love, Nolan Arenado.”  Yes, I considered Michael Brantley.  And Jose Altuve.  And CarGonzalez.  And Freeman.  And Beltre.  And F-Her.  And “F-This I’ll just take a spa day.”  And everyone.  I even considered Corey Dickerson.  Shame on you for thinking I didn’t consider all of those schmohawks before ranking Arenado here.  The most important thing you can do when you’re drafting is… Damn, where did I leave that most important thing?  Did I leave it in my car?  And now the car is in the shop, damn!  Let me call the mechanic.  “Hello, this Grey.  Yes, the guy with the handsome mustache.  Could you check the glove compartment for me?  I left in there the most important thing to tell people about drafting.  Yes, the note written in Sharpie on the belly of the live turtle.  It’s not live anymore?  Hmm…”  The most important thing for drafting is drafting for the upcoming year and not drafting for what players just did.  It sounds simple, and it is, but it still trips up people.  You want guys that are trending up.  As I go through the laundry list of great attributes Arenado possesses, keep in mind he’s only going to be 24 years old.  First, he was a great prospect.  Everyone loved him in the minors.  He hit .388 one year, .298 another year, .364 another… Pretty much he was the bee’s knees and toes, knees and toes, knees and toes.  Second, he doesn’t strike out.  For guys with at least 18 homers, there was only five guys with a better strikeout rate.  A who’s who of older players who know what the hell they are doing:  V-Mart, Brantley, Pujols, Posey, Beltre.  Third, there’s no third.  Fourth, as you’ll see when I go over the top 20 3rd basemen, the position is a joke.  Fifth, his batted ball profile added more fly balls and they went a further distance.  That sounds like a nice way to say, “He will hit more home runs this year,” and it is.  Sixth, he didn’t sacrifice batting average for power.  He only had a .298 BABIP (about neutral luck) and he hit .287.  Seventh, when at a conveyor belt sushi place, don’t sit next to fattest person in the place.  Eighth, he plays half his games in Coors!  Ninth, in 2013, he had some weird splits that showed he struggled vs. righties.  Last year, those were corrected.  Tenth, there should be different levels of NSFW.  How about NSFC (Not Safe For Church)?  NSFWIYWIACM (Not Safe For Work If You Work In A Coal Mine)?  NSFSSNTTA (Not Safe For Someone Standing Next To Tom Arnold)?  C’mon, Internet, let’s get specific!  Eleventh, there wasn’t even a tenth, why would there be an eleventh?  Yes, I have Arenado higher than anyone, and there’s one reason above all the other listed reasons:  because I want to own him on every team!   2015 Projections:  84/27/98/.292/5

 
  1. Wake Up says:
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    Foust!

  2. Kid A says:
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    Secundum – atrial septal defect!

    • Wake Up says:
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      @Kid A: HaHa Dix!

  3. SteveNZ says:
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    Jesus, I completely missed the Top 10.

    Stupid new job.

    I’m here now, though.

    I guess I won’t be drafting Trout and Stanton AND Abreu in the FCL this year.

    • Kid A says:
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      @SteveNZ: Yep. I’m interested to see what gets you not first place this year as well.

      • Kid A says:
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        @Kid A: *again

        • SteveNZ says:
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          @Kid A: Seems only right, then, that it was Stanton’s injury and Abreu’s August/September swoon that probably cost me the belt.

          • Kid A says:
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            @SteveNZ: I like to see that it’s still a tender wound all these months later. TICKLE TICKLE.

          • Wake Up says:
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            @SteveNZ: humblebrag alert…

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Ha Ha Dix!

      • mauledbypandas says:
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        @Kid A: Damn, shots fired already!

  4. Miles says:
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    great stuff Grey. I think you are correct about Donaldson. I thought Gomez could sneak into the top 10 though.
    looking at your projections, don’t know why you have HanRam ahead of Arenado.

    • AdamH says:
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      @Miles: I think this one is answered 500x every year. Each ranking has a certain amount of risk associated with it. Correct me if I’m wrong, but what I think Grey is saying is that Hanley is more likely to reach his stats than Arenado – Arenado’s projections are a little more out on a limb, thus, he is riskier.

      • PB & J says:
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        @AdamH: Yup, that’s what I think its saying. Agree with AdamH

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Miles: Gomez was in the same tier as guys in the top ten

  5. Greyismyhero says:
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    Just a small mention of MF Bruce..Hmm…Awaiting Jef with one F…..

    SMOKE
    THE
    GREEN!

    BTW: Good stuff Grey…:)

    • JeF With 1 F says:
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      @Greyismyhero: Ha Ha….you know MF Bruce is going to kill it this year because you dont own his sorry ass…..SMOKE IT!!….DO IT!!

  6. joet says:
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    Grey,

    You mentioned you’d be supplying projections down the road.

    Will they include AB’s and IP’s? Perhaps I’m mistaken, but I believe those two were not included last year.

    They’re vital in assessing the relative importance of BAVG, ERA and WHIP vs the counting categories. For me, it would make the info you develop significantly more useful for me.

    • K King Baez says:
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      @joet: possibly the winner of the “most needle-dick annoying post of the year” award, and the year just started. Eesh

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @joet: Projections are supplied in this post… IP and ABs were supplied last year as they will this year

    • goodfold2 says:
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      @joet: pretty sure they’re in the player rater.

  7. Raftman says:
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    Great post… love the Arenado ranking. Especially since I have him on my keeper and Dynasty team. I’ve got a trade question for my h2h pts. Dynasty league. I’m looking to win this year and are mulling over these two offers.

    My Gray, Urias, Clint Frazier for his Miggy
    My Gray, Urias, Clint Frazier, Salazar, Prado for his Miggy & Waino

    Thoughts? I’m concerned about the injuries and age with Miggy & Waino… but I could use a 1B upgrade. Also don’t like seeing Gray go.. feel like it may leave my SP a bit thin. I think I’m leaning towards the first offer…

    Thanks everyone!

    Team:
    c- Ramos, 1b- Belt, 2B- Kendrick, 3B – Machado, SS – Segura, OF – Harper, Heyward, Polanco
    UT – Arenado, B – Prado, Craig
    Minors – Correa, McGuire, Frazier
    SP – Gausman, Gray, Odorizzi, Darvish, Miller, Salazar, Cole, C. Martinez
    RP – Allen, Doolittle
    Minors – Ball, Glasnow, Harvey, Kingham, Urias, Wisler, Zimmer,

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Raftman: I’d take the first Miggy one

      • r aftman says:
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        @Grey: thanks dude! I guess I’ll try to swing something for another SP…or do you think I’m set?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          @r aftman: You have plenty of SP

          • Raftman says:
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            @Grey: Thanks man! You know how to make a man feel good.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              No problem

  8. Tigres says:
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    Thanks, Grey. To add to your pt in Kershaw blurb – it’s not just that SP is deep – it’s deep and less predictable – there will be late rd pitchers who put up top 10 seasons (ala Kluber) or undrafted pitchers who put up top 25 seasons (ala Carrasco, McHugh, DeGrom, Arrieta, etc.). I’d draft Donaldson or Puig or Hanley in 2nd rd over Kershaw, and take chances on finding SPs later on.

    • james says:
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      @Tigres:

      After having done one draft so far, after the top 60 SP off the board… you could still take hutchingson, Gausman, Tillman, Pineda, Mchugh, Liriano, and several other semi notable players…

      • Mordacious Levator says:
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        @james: it makes no sense to not have liriano/mchugh/pineda drafted in top 60 to me.

  9. Powerslave says:
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    Awesome Read…, only guy missing from this rankings is 2015 Fantasy MVP(Value Wise), with a Line of 95/25/74/.283/41…., all he has to do is double his HRs and grow some dreads(like his teamate and mentor….)…, Starling Tuesday, I mean Marte….., yup, another bet..4th ranked OF, end of the year….Have an awesome Day!!!!

  10. Chris says:
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    Hello Grey,

    Thanks for the article.

    My league is 12 teams, mix, and we have 3 keepers.

    They are: Stanton, Rizzo and debating like your post between Arenado and Freeman. We only play one 1B, so Freeman would be my UTL.

    I am also high on Arenado specially since there is not depth in 3B. So the million dollar question is, do you think Arenado would be available in the 4th round (which is the 1st round after keepers)? I would be picking 9th in that round.

    thanks,
    Chris

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Chris: Keep Arenado

  11. philthebluntman1 says:
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    Cano? Where is he.

      • Ra'zball Al Ghul says:
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        @Grey: LoL

      • Natty Boh says:
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        @Grey: Nailed it!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Bam!

          • philthebluntman1 says:
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            I dont think Id have the balls to let cano slip out of the second round. Bold rankings indeed.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Hopefully Cano looks better than last year for you

  12. The JoGarza says:
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    I have Arenado kept in the 12th round this season. Sexy!

    Also, glad to see im not the only one hesitant on CarGo-lite. I still feel like he could easily turn around and hit .240 this season. Of course, during the season when he had 3 HR and 4 SB against me in a week I’ll be asking myself why the hell I stayed away.

    It’s the circle of fantasy baseball life!

  13. MattTruss

    MattTruss223 says:
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    Man, I’m so in love with Arenado, he’s so fun to watch, loved owning him just about everywhere last year and hope to do so again this year. STUD.

    • JeF With 1 F says:
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      @MattTruss223: Amen to that

    • Jay says:
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      @MattTruss223: Me too. I was able to grab him in a deal lat season for an 11th rd pick. he fits nicely with my other keeprs of Stanton, Puig, Upton and Sale.

      • Aubrey Plaza's Pillow says:
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        @Jay: i was able to get arenado thrown in in a keeper when i flipped miggy and shark for goldy/arenado and wacha (whom i’m not even keeping, would’ve done the deal anyway)

  14. Ra'zball Al Ghul says:
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    As a Rockies homer I LURVE the Arenado ranking. Everything is looking up up up for him. The only only only only only only lil thing about his profile that makes me nervous is the power though. Of his 18 HR last year, 16 were at Coors… Just 2 dongs on the road. And his only bombastic milb year was in a very hitter friendly league. I have no doubt he becomes an annual .300+ hitter, but I have a feeling his power could be more Freddie Freemanish than Rizzoish, at least this year.

  15. Del Griffith says:
    (link)

    Good Morning Grey!

    I need some help with my 3B. Two of my three keepers are in good shape thanks to you but I took over a team early last season and my infield is a hot mess. I’ve got Schoop slotted at 3B right now but can move him to 2B. I have the first pick in our minors draft and I’ve been patiently waiting to draft Yasmany Tomas. That being said, I know I want to get Arenado but will probably cost me a bit to trade for him. Should I stay put and draft Tomas or do I risk my pick and/or prospects to get Arenado?

    • Del Griffith says:
      (link)

      @Del Griffith:
      I should add that I very much doubt this team has a shot at competing this season so this would be long term.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Del Griffith: Depends what you’re trading for Arenado

      • Del Griffith says:
        (link)

        @Grey:
        Asking price is probably going to be a combination of G. Polanco and Taijuan. Otherwise one of them plus my 1st rd pick

        I’m in decent shape on pitching if I give up Taijuan.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Just take Tomas

  16. Old Man Roto says:
    (link)

    Count me in on the Arenado love. Still being raked over the coals for trading a $100 Miggy hours after last years draft for a $2 Arenado and $2 Gausman. Can’t wait to see Arenado put up big numbers to shut them up.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Old Man Roto: That trade could work out very nicely

    • Aubrey Plaza's Pillow says:
      (link)

      @Old Man Roto: for $2 (compared to $100) i’m pretty sure you won that trade almost no matter what arenado does this year.

  17. Kutty says:
    (link)

    ARENADO! YES! Wait, I mean NO! Everybody don’t listen to what Grey just said about Arenado. You don’t want him.

  18. fish says:
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    Surprised to see a mention of Freeman in The #20 blurb after some comments you made near the end of last year.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @fish: I said I considered him, I didn’t rank him though

      • Fish says:
        (link)

        @Grey:

        I wasn’t even expecting him to get a mention, that’s all. He’s like the Razzball version of Peter O´Toole*.

        *Nominated for something like 8 oscars, but the poor bastard never won.

  19. JeF With 1 F says:
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    Hot Sex On A Platter

  20. Lville Jim says:
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    Hoping your Nolan loves comes to fruition. Also hope the guy in my dynasty league that thought he was a couple moves away from winning and sent him to me for Mauer early last year has agita over it for seasons to come.

    • Aubrey Plaza's Pillow says:
      (link)

      @Lville Jim: even if that was a redraft that dude got took.

  21. TobiasFunkeAnalRapist says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey, glad to see you’re back on the rankings already.
    Need some help choosing 5 of these guys as keepers. I’ve also got Springer in my minor leagues that I will bring up and use as Utility if I choose to keep 3 outfielders:
    Mesoraco
    Steve Pearce
    Goldy
    Josh Harrison
    Nolan Arenado
    Xander
    Cutch
    Trout
    Brantley
    Dickerson
    Yordano Ventura
    Teheran
    Sonny Gray
    Cashner
    Stroman, Paxton, Arrieta.
    I’m thinking go all hitters yes? Pretty much have Goldy, Trout, Cutch, the other two are what I can’t decide on. Any input would be appreciated, and keep up the good work.

    • CMUTIMMAH says:
      (link)

      @TobiasFunkeAnalRapist: Goldy, Trout, Cutch, Arenado for sure. Last part depends on your league.

      I assume that Posey and the other top catchers are kept. So that means Mesoraco is probably in the top tier of remaining catchers. If having a hitting catcher is a boost in your league, then he’s you’re guy. If not, I’d consider Brantly. But since you said you’re calling up Springer, I’d probably go Mesoraco and allow me to draft best player available to plug into the Util spot.

      Good luck!

      • TobiasFunkeAnalRapist says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Yeah good call, Brantley as a 3rd OF is pretty good. Especially if he can do what he did last year and Springer can be a masher this year. Thanks.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          No problem

  22. Ante GALIC says:
    (link)

    Grey!

    Grey stuff, man! A week ago, the temperature was in the low 60s, people here were wearing flip-flops and t-shirts smoking sheesha the hookah). Now, it’s in the low 30s and the wind is a-howlin’ from the North. Not good. It’s super cold in my apartment here, much colder inside than outside thanks to poor insulation and Lebanese laziness or lesbian ladiness (I know Sky it’s not a word!).

    I just love all the rankings. Cannot wait for the entire list. Loved the Kershaw blurb.

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Ante GALIC: Thanks, man! Try to stay warm!

  23. claw dog says:
    (link)

    Well seeing that arenado ranking brings a smile to my face. Could not be more happy about having him as my 8th keeper. You were spot on with him last year(barring the injury) and I see no reason you won’t be exactly right again this year. Now what to do with all these 3B. Have Donaldson, Arenado, and Bryant in my minors. I’m gonna have a very hard time parting ways with Donaldson as he his my favorite player in the MLB(no idea why), but I think I’m definitely going to have to try to improve other parts of my core 8 keepers(Freeman, Altuve, Donaldson, Stanton, Jones, Arenado, Scherzer, and Kluber). Maybe I’ll try to upgrade freeman even more even though hes a pretty safe player. That lineup he’s in now scares the hell out of me though.

    Anyways, great to see January Grey back! Gonna be a hell of a season

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @claw dog: Thanks! Those are sweet keepers…

  24. CMUTIMMAH says:
    (link)

    I’m sitting pretty in a 12 team keeper league where each team keeps 6. All players are on 5 year contracts when drafted, with an owner option for the 6th year at the expense of a keeper (I.E. if you keep a guy for a 6th year, you can only keep 5 players that year). We also have 3 “minor league slots” where you can stash players that are rookies at the time you draft them to be held in the minor league slot until called up (as to not burn their 5 year contract time.)

    I’m keeping Stanton, Tulo, Waino, Hamels, Sale, and Jordan Zimmermann
    I’m calling up Jose Abreu and Anthony Rendon.

    I’m wondering what my game plan should be in the draft. Considering how stacked my roster is going into the year, should I focus say a second and third round pick (I have 2 third rounders) on the likes of Kris Bryant and Yasmani Tomas? Or should I draft best player available and over commit to this season?

    My third minor leaguer is Jurrickson Profar, so the cupboard will be bare after the season (obviously I’m not certain Profar will pan out to be the stud prospect he once was).

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @CMUTIMMAH: Go for it this season and draft best player available

      • CMUTIMMAH says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Yeah, probably the right call, and it will shut everyone up since year in year out I finish top 5 and I’ve yet to secure a ring. I’m getting pretty sick of that being thrown in my face!

        I love your writing style, btw. It’s pure ADD but still gets to the point and is entertaining. Always been aware of this site, but your writing just made me add it to my favorites bar. (I’m not usually one to solicit advice, since I usually think fantasy columnists suck, but I agree with 90% of your analyses. You don’t have to be right all the time, but I hate the “gut feel” forecasts on other sights…) Cheers!

        • CMUTIMMAH says:
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          @CMUTIMMAH: sites* typing while in a work meeting is not a good idea.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Thanks, man!

  25. Sky

    Sky says:
    (link)

    AR-EN-AH-DOE *Clap Clap CLAPCLAPCLAP*

    AR-EN-AH-DOE *Clap Clap CLAPCLAPCLAP*

    I’d be raising the roof right now but then I couldn’t type after getting done clapping. Daps on slapping the top 20 tag on the young man, Grey.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Sky: Thanks! Sorry about last night, bad night for the hockey guys…

      • Sky

        Sky says:
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        Ha! So many missed opportunities. Situationally, there were some really bad coaching gaffes that put us there. But of course, you don’t even know what I’m talking about. Still, I appreciate the ‘there, there’.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Yeah, I didn’t watch it, but I know it sucks…

          • Sky

            Sky says:
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            Yeah, I figured you were watching the Bachelor or something.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Was the Bachelor on and I missed it?!

              • Sky

                Sky says:
                (link)

                Yeah, my sources confirm (my wife being said source) it was. I’d watch The Bachelor if it was on Cinemax and on after 10 pm if you know what I’m sayin’.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Skinemax? Oh yeah!

                  • Sky

                    Sky says:
                    (link)

                    Yeah, closing that door when the good part of the show is actually happening? Bollocks!

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Jm. J Bollocks?

                    • Sky

                      Sky says:
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                      Sandra Bollock

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      A.J. Bollock?

                    • Sky

                      Sky says:
                      (link)

                      Maybe Jackson Bollock?

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      How many Bollocks does it take to screw in a light bulb?

                    • Sky

                      Sky says:
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                      Two? Castor and Bollocks?

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Yes, that was easy… Nice bollmock draft… Arenado!

                    • Sky

                      Sky says:
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                      Agreed. People are gonna be saying ‘Arenad-OH!’ after 2015

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      It’s the Year of the Dragonado!

                    • Sky

                      Sky says:
                      (link)

                      That sounds like seriously the coolest karate team from the 80’s anyone could ever want to be a part of.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Seriously

        • Montezuma's Revenge... right now says:
          (link)

          @Sky: are you talking about the COL or TOR games?

  26. Nate says:
    (link)

    @ Grey (and any other who cares to comment):
    15 team 25 round keeper league, keep 10:

    Feeling good about:
    Abreu (round 25)
    Darvish (14)
    Brantley (11)
    Cobb (5)
    Desmond (4)
    A Jones (2)

    Questions:
    Tanaka (24)
    D Murphy (18)
    Stroman (12)
    Cashner (10)
    Ryu (8)
    Greinke (3)

    Also have Bryant and Syndergaard on a minor league squad if it affects your thoughts…
    Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Nate: Tanaka, Murphy, Stroman, Cashner

  27. Wipo says:
    (link)

    Great list! Love reading these this time of year. Draft question – ongoing h2h dynasty points league. Looking to draft my 4th SP. Who do you take (around pick 155)? Lee, Fiers, Anibal, Odorizzi, Rodon, Minor, Bundy, Kennedy?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Wipo: Fiers

      • CMUTIMMAH says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Good to see someone else is as K drunk on Fiers as I am… let’s hope my league isn’t aware of this… hoping to snake him in round 9 (round 15ish with our keepers in the mix)

        Although, the last time I was high on Fiers (which would be an awesome name for a street drug), it was 2012 and I luckily missed out on him by one pick, securing then top flight rookie Anthony Rendon with the pick after him to stash in my minor leagues. I’d say that worked out pretty well.

  28. Jim says:
    (link)

    I’m like the top 20 this year! I can already see this shaping up to be much different than what the chumps in my league will rank.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Jim: Thanks!

  29. dem ribbies says:
    (link)

    Hopefully this will be the year that Arenado’s bat travels with him on the road! In a H2H league it can make for some frustrating match-ups. That said, there isn’t another 3B I want over him in keeper/dynasty. Love the top 20 so far, gonna have to start working some offers toward that Desmond owner!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks!

  30. Shifty says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey!

    First of all I love the rankings as usual and second of all I have a pretty decent problem to have – I need to figure out which 3 of 5 guys in your top 20 I can keep.

    The league is a standard H2H 12 category league with OBP instead of AVG with a $260 draft budget. My keeper options are:

    Jose Abreu for $20 (first year as keeper)
    Anthony Rendon for $9 (first year as keeper)
    Nolan Arenado for $18 (first year as keeper)
    Carlos Gomez for $16 (LAST year I can keep him)
    Bryce Harper for $16 (LAST year I can keep him).

    I feel like Abreu/Rendon are the no-brainers and that last spot is a bit of a toss up. Do I keep Carlos for one more year as he’s been a stud and will most likely produce again? Or do I give Bryce on more chance (doubtful) or go all in on Arenado? Decisions, Decisions.

    Thanks if any of you respond, I appreciate it.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks! Abreu, Rendon, Arenado

  31. pickleball says:
    (link)

    hey grey, appreciate all the work you guys put in every year. I also appreciate the bold calls and not re-hashed same top 10/20 every year. People who disagree with rendon and rizzo might be right, might be wrong.. that’s how this shizzz works.. couple questions for you..

    my core of keepers are : cabrera/trout/rizzo/goldschmi/harper

    my leaguemates are souring on cabrera and hharper.. their prices are $39 and $34 to keep respectfully. would you throw any of these two back to the draft pool (i’d still targert both heavily, my league is down on them so i think i can get them back)

    I’d be trying to clear up a keeper spot for either a $10 pence/ harvey/kluber or lester…

    ALSO. intrigued by your rendon call! 2b/3b is extremely weak, he has elgibility for both. would you trade any of the above $10 players + a $14 Castillo for a $21 Rendon?

    thanks.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks! I’d hold Miggy and Harper, trade Harvey and Rusney for Rendon, sure…

  32. jal179 says:
    (link)

    Any thoughts yet on preferable draft hole? Looking like early pick preferable in redraft leagues. Difference between 12th and 25th overall looking like a total poo shoot!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I like the end of rounds

      • jal179 says:
        (link)

        @Grey:

        No clue what Yahoo is gonna do rankings wise (likely their annual bed sharting), but I recall someone posting yesterday about how to weigh your rankings versus theirs.

        I’m gettting all tingly about getting Arenado in the 3rd….

        I’m curious when most Razzers will start taking their first starter in 12 team redraft leagues? Looking like at least the 5th round for me but possibly later.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Yeah, not sure on Yahoo… 5th round usually works for 12 team leagues….

  33. Big Mike says:
    (link)

    You just made me feel really good about trading away Longoria last week so that I could keep Arenado! I’m going to go do the mirror dance from Silence of the Lambs in my SAGNOF t-shirt now.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Ha, nice!

  34. NCPhilly says:
    (link)

    Will Middlebrooks is a Padre; therefore, that invalidates everything you said about Hanley Ramirez.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      I like the cut of your jib but he was quoting off-season Grey, i.e. the Grey who hadn’t seen Middlebrooks traded yet.

  35. Big W says:
    (link)

    safe to assume we don’t believe Todd Fraser will be able to match or improve on his 2014 numbers?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I don’t think so

      • bterry says:
        (link)

        @Grey: come close tho? say a 25hr and 10sb year in the works with decent counting stats and a .275 avg?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Yeah, not too far off

  36. Teddy Heater says:
    (link)

    I feel ashamed that missed the first day of the top 10. SMH in disgust, I will never let you down again Grey! I was still waiting for the final RCL standings to post for football before I went all bat shiz crazee on Baseball, let the infection begin!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      So…where were you that was so important?

      • Teddy Heater says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Stupid work! I was actually getting some pretty important stuff done. During the off season I try to cram as much work as I can possibly get in. That way, my 6 months of part time productivity during baseball season evens out. I was also researching the best chocolate chip cookie recipe that New York Times wrote a 3 page article about. I like to give the wife recipes to cook or bake, keeps her on her toes. She knows I need my fuel for the long fantasy season!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Who’s the cookie recipe from? If your wife likes to bake, buy her the Milk Bar cookbook… Some great cookies in that…

  37. Big W says:
    (link)

    In a keeper for yahoo roto league… 12 teams. We keep 12 players and draft 13. It’s a salary based pool with a salary cap so money is always a factor when deciding on a player’s value…this year the cap goes up to 135 mil.

    Here’s what I’m considering keeping for 2015:

    1b Bautista (14 mil)
    2b J Harrison (0.5 mil)
    3b Arenado (0.5 mil)
    SS Hanley (19.750 mil)
    OF Rusney (11.271429 mil)
    OF Avisail (0.5 mil)
    OF A. Jones (13.333333 mil)
    Ut T. Frazier (arb elig… maybe 5 mil)
    SP Kershaw (32.571429 mil)
    SP Archer (1.166667 mil)
    SP Gray (0.5 mil)
    SP Ryu (4.833333 mil)

    The following are selected few of the ones on the outside looking in… do you think any of them could replace any of the above keepers?

    Alcantara, Pujols, Britton, Kenley Jansen, Yusmeiro Petit, Matt Shoemaker, Anibal.

    I’m tempted to try and flip todd frazier for a pick upgrade. thinking I can get good value for him because of his 20/20 season.

    Anyway, any thoughts or suggestions for Grey or anyone here would be appreciated.

    Thanks in advance!

    • Big W says:
      (link)

      @Big W: btw, the 12 penciled in keepers total 103.926191 Mil out of 135 mil cap… that leaves me with roughly 31 mil to draft 13 players…

      • Big W says:
        (link)

        @Big W: oh… and it’s a 6×6 league that counts OPS and K/BB

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Arimsendy over Harrison, Shoemaker over Ryu…Maybe I don’t know their prices…

      • Big W says:
        (link)

        @Grey: alcantara is 0.5 mil and so is shoemaker… I guess you don’t believe in The J-Hay!!! haha

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Harrison could fall into a platoon

          • goodfold2 says:
            (link)

            @Grey: but platooning is a full time job, or so this shirt says….

  38. Tom says:
    (link)

    Grey,

    Glad it is the time of year for rankings. Thanks for your excellent work.
    Keeper question:9 Teams, 5×5
    2 C, 1B, 2B, 3B, SS, 1 INF, 1 U, 5 OF, 9 P, 10 bench

    Committed to keeping Stanton for 3 years, Upton for 2 years and Myers for 2 years.

    Need 5 more keepers at prices listed.
    I can add a total of 7 additional years up to 3 per player at current prices.

    Batters
    Ramos, Wilson(C) WAS $1.00
    Rosario, Wilin(C) COL $11.00
    Rizzo, Anthony(1B) CHC $13.00
    Gordon, Dee(2B) MIA $6.00
    Longoria, Evan(3B) TB $24.00
    Reyes, Jose(SS) TOR $1.00
    Arcia, Oswaldo(OF) MIN $5.00
    Betts, Mookie(OF) BOS $1.00
    Garcia, Avisail(OF) CHW $1.00
    Myers, Wil(OF) SD $1.00
    Upton, Justin(OF) SD $16.00
    Arenado, Nolan(3B) COL $5.00
    Bryant, Kris(3B) CHC $1.00
    Wright, David(3B) NYM $4.00
    Hamilton, Billy(OF) CIN $1.00
    Heyward, Jason(OF) STL $ 1.00
    Stanton, Giancarlo(OF) MIA $7.00
    Gordon, Alex(OF) KC $15.00

    Pitchers
    Carrasco, Carlos(P) CLE $6.00
    Cobb, Alex(P) TB $8.00
    Feliz, Neftali(P) TEX $1.00
    Kennedy, Ian(P) SD $1.00
    Kluber, Corey(P) CLE $11.00
    Petit, Yusmeiro(P) SF $1.00
    Santana, Ervin(P) MIN $3.00
    Storen, Drew(P) WAS $1.00
    deGrom, Jacob(P) NYM $6.00
    Arrieta, Jake(P) CHC $6.00
    Burton, Jared(P) MIN $1.00
    Teheran, Julio(P) ATL $17.00

    Wishing you a great 2015!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      No problem…. Rizzo, Hamilton, Arenado, Myers, Carrasco

      Happy New Year!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Some great keepers, BTW

      • Tom says:
        (link)

        @Grey:

        Thanks. Already keeping Myers, so I need one more.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Ah, yes, Heyward

          • Tom says:
            (link)

            @Grey: Thanks again.

            Love your work. Hi to Rudy and Nick

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Thanks!

  39. Wake Up says:
    (link)

    Wow…nothing about plate appearances…I’ll mention it then…HaHa Dix!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      PAs are Michael Bay…HaHa Dix!

      • Wake Up says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Your Goonies line also reminded me of Baez…wow does he look awful sometimes…

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          He had the 2nd worst K-rate in the entire history of baseball last year

          • K Clown Baez says:
            (link)

            @Grey: yes I am magnificent

    • goodfold2 says:
      (link)

      @Wake Up: does anybody else suspect this guy’s mom might’ve been close to lewinsky?

  40. Jon Jacob jingle says:
    (link)

    Been a long offseason grey. Glad we’re back. Judging from your comments above, I’m guessing we will see Brantley in the next ~10 players. But I’m concerned. The speed and obp were there last year and wow was I glad I picked him up. However, his hr rate ballooned beyond career norms. How do you view this? The power was a huge boost in his value as I can find steals on waivers or free agency.

    Do you think the power is real? I have a choice to keep Adam Jones in the second round of Brantley in the fourth. And this is an obp league. Jones’ obp is always meh. Jones’ speed seems to be heading down while Brantley’s speed was impeccable. We also play in a net steals league. 12 team.

    Thoughts? Thanks

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I’m not as excited about Brantley for this year… Think he just had a career year…

  41. UL's Toothpick says:
    (link)

    11-20 = hash

    1-10 all the Thanksgiving pomp and circumstance and the bird
    11-20 = day-after is the turkey hash. hash is the best

    these are the auction target guys

    thanks Grey – great list

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Ha, no problem

  42. Nick says:
    (link)

    I started playing fantasy baseball last year and knew nothing about baseball beyond my home team and a basic grasp of the rules.

    I started getting interested and reading blogs about a week into the season. Needless to say, I didn’t draft all that well but worked on salvaging a bit towards the end of the season.

    Razzball has far and above become my favorite resource, mostly for the style and humor, but the info is always top notch too.

    My league is 3 keepers that count as your first, second and third round picks. You can choose to not keep as many as you like, regaining the latest available round as you choose not to keep.

    I’ve been reasoning back and forth everyday as to who and if I should keep, and this article has put another hitch in my thoughts.

    My potential keeper level players: Bryce Harper, Darvish, Altuve, Carlos Gonzales, Nolan Arenado.

    Players that will not be kept and I have a shot at by not keeping: EITHER Anthony Rizzo OR E5

    Other notable players that might get put back in the pool: Adam Jones (guy doesn’t seem high on him), Rendon, Upton, Donaldson, HanRam.

    12 team roto with hitting categories as follows: R, HR, RBI, SB, OBP, SLG, Ks

    Can I feel confident enough in keeping 3 of my players (Altuve, Harper, Nolan?) Or should I drop one or two into the pool and hope for Rizzo/E5 and maybe more?

    Thanks all.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks for the kind words! Keep Harper and Arenado and try to get a better player as your third

  43. Milarky says:
    (link)

    Great stuff Grey! I’m sure it’s a bit early for prospect questions, but whatevs! I get to keep 3 of the following for this year and next in addition to my ‘normal’ keepers, with the exception of Taillon who I would only get to keep for this year (I’m assuming his TJ surgery means he’s out). Who would you keep? FYI – we have to start both a rookie hitter and rookie pitcher in our league.

    Miguel Sano
    Carlos Correa
    Jamison Taillon
    Robert Stephenson
    Kyle Zimmer

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Sano, stephenson…You should be asking Prospect Mike these preguntas…

  44. Tom says:
    (link)

    Grey – Who do you think will be this years Brantly as well as Klueber?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Rankings have just started

      • Tom says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Fair enough

        • K Clown Baez says:
          (link)

          @Tom: hilarious, don’t ask me how I remember this but Tom you asked the same question last year (who’s this year’s so and so) on Grey’s top 10 for 2014 and he said the same exact thing…

  45. dem ribbies says:
    (link)

    10 team, 10 keeper, H2H 5×5 w/ OPS $200 budget

    The first 7 keepers feel kind of obvious:
    OF1 – Stanton $35
    1B – Goldy $29
    OF2 – Brantley $3
    3B – Frazier $3
    DH – Votto $3
    2B – Dozier $4
    OF3 – Soler $3

    but not so sure about these guys. Which 3 of them would you keep?
    1/3/DH – Chris Davis $6
    SS – Baez $13
    SP – Wood $3
    SP – Ross $3
    OF – Myers $4
    OF – Gardner $3
    OF – Rusney $18
    2B – Pedroia $6
    OF – Rios $4

    Also, would you deal Baez $13 + C.Davis $6 for Desmond $21?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Davis, Ross, Myers… I’d take Desmond

  46. Alan says:
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    Vargas or Lind? Using as a bench bat to platoon in daily leagues

    thanks

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Vargas

  47. Matt says:
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    Do I want tillman and stubbs or choo? 5×5 roto keep everyone

    Thanks

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Choo

      • Matt says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Thank you

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          No problem

  48. Nick says:
    (link)

    Great rankings. Lousy keeper choices this year. Can keep 3, H2H, 12 team league. Picking 6th with hopefully Encarnacion available (top 5 available are likely Trout, McCutchen, Goldy, Encarnacion, and King Felix). With Harper, Puig, Posey, Strasburg also likely available at #6 if I miss out on the top 5 above.

    Dickerson (2 yrs left)
    Kipnis (2 yrs left)
    Machado (2 yrs left)
    Myers (1 yr left)
    Fernandez (1 yr left)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks! Dickerson, Kipnis, Myers

      • Nick says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Was leaning towards Machado over Myers, with more options generally available in the OF and already keeping Dickerson, and Myers now playing 100 games in SD, SF and LA, but am worried about Machado’s latest knee injury. Still think Myers over Machado?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Yeah

  49. kingforaday151 says:
    (link)

    I got a semi last year when you wrote that Arenado would be a top 25 player within the next two seasons. When I saw his rank for this year, I made a mess on myself at work.

    I’ve got a tough decision to make this season. I have Arenado and Rendon, both 3B only in this league and rosters only use 1 UTIL spot. I also have Matt Carpenter and Bryant. I’m going to keep the first two, and likely throw Carpenter back. What do I do with Bryant…buy in to the hype and figure out where to play him later, or let him go too? Look to trade one of the three?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Ha… Gotta let him go…

  50. BraevArnie says:
    (link)

    Thanks for the great stuff Grey!

    16 team, OPS league, 260 auction $, which 6 should I keep?
    Wilson Ramos 3$
    Moustakas 1$
    Ryan Zim 6$
    Rizzo 13$
    Alcantara 3$
    Neil Walker 3$
    Harper 29$
    Marte 13$
    Goldschmidt 23$
    Cashner 13$
    Francisco Liriano 2$
    Stroman 3$
    Tanaka 18$

    Thanks a lot!!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      No problem… Rizzo, Marte, Goldy, Harper, Arismendy, Stroman

  51. Alex says:
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    Are you expecting Cliff Lee to be any contribution at all outside NL only?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Not likely

  52. Ghost says:
    (link)

    10 team Keeper leauge and I have to keep 3 players, i’m keeping Abreu, Springer but from there I have Gomez, Wong, Dickerson, Polanco, Betts, Yelich, Jansen, Holland and oh Arenado (who u love, yes I won my league). I am having a hard time cause I think Gomez will regress some but Wong could be a great inf selection for a wimpy position. Of course Arenado and Dickerson get me hard.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I’d go Abreu, Gomez and Arenado

  53. Ghost says:
    (link)

    No chance Springer becomes the yearly 30/30 guy for a longtime?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yeah, he could but no reason to keep him until he is already

      • Ghost says:
        (link)

        Oh we lose our draft pick according to the yahoo rankings. So by keeping Springer I’m hoping Arenado isn’t in the second round and I can redraft Gomez possibly.

  54. Patrick says:
    (link)

    Scary but you are advocating I keep Arenado over Longoria? Other keepers: Goldschmidt, Cutch, Rendon, Puig.

    • Ghost says:
      (link)

      I would keep Arenado over longoria anyday

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I don’t think it’s that scary

    • Montezuma's Revenge... right now says:
      (link)

      @Patrick: arenado was already better than longo last year.

  55. The Situation says:
    (link)

    @Grey: Happy New Year and thanks for the rankings and hard work, as always.

    Keeper league question for you. 12-team, H2H, 6×6 (w/BBs and Hs), 10-keeper, keep-forever league. I have a shot at trading Yelich for Arenado, but I’m not sure if I should given the added BB category.

    Yelich’s BB rate is an above average 10%, while Arenado’s is a below average 5%-6%. Is this enough of a reason to downgrade Arenado below Yelich (Yelich was ranked 38th on our player rater last year)? Yelich’s power numbers are sure to increase as he starts hitting less GBs and his counting numbers should be very good hitting in front of Stanton.

    How would BBs, as an added category, effect your rankings of Arenado and Yelich? Thanks so much.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Happy New Year, Mike! I’d want Arenado

      • The Situation says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Thanks Grey. I know we’ll get your OF rankings, but if I had to decide between jettisoning Springer or Yelich for Arenado, who would you TRADE in this format?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          I’d trade whoever got me more… I’d trade Springer, likely

  56. jal179 says:
    (link)

    I’m gonna kick myself, but I just can’t buy into Harper yet in redraft leagues. Hanley? Nevah.

    I’m a floor kinda guy so keep sending the Dreaded Pirate or Adam Jones and Cano types my way in the first 2 rds.

    Consistency is King in H2H

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Gotcha

  57. Me says:
    (link)

    Dee Gordon or DeGrom in a keeper?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Gordon

  58. JeF With 1 F says:
    (link)

    So here’s my dilemma….i have a wife….and i have a girlfriend… the girlfriend is a my best friend from high school ….do i just tell my wife about her and hope shes cool with it.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yeah, cause if your wife finds out on her own she’ll think something is up

      • JeF With 1 F says:
        (link)

        see we are always on the same page…thats what i was thinking

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Good luck! (Cause she still might get pissed)

          • Jef with 1 f says:
            (link)

            I took your advise and told her….I’m currently planning on sleeping in my truck tonight….good thing I have a crew cab

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              I hope you have internet in there! (And a stove, TV and couch)

              • Jef with 1 f says:
                (link)

                @Grey: I’m working on it

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  You better, gonna get cold put there

  59. Dr Heartwell says:
    (link)

    Ok, Hi Grey, and all the Razzball community, Been using your site for a couple years now for all the sports. I must say, best read, and best down to earth rankings and fantasy advise hands down! It’s helped me be very successful. Cant always win them all but I’m always competitive from everybody’s advise. Going to try to actually chime in and be a part of the fun this year. I’m in Fort Myers in S.FL…I have the Red Sox and Twins in my back yard for spring training and High A ball. Let me know if I can ever be any help with that perk.

    Cheers,
    Dr H

    • Dr Heartwell says:
      (link)

      @Dr Heartwell: Thoughts on Kris Bryant this year starting out of spring training or bc Of Scott Boras being held back for lucrative purposes?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Nice, will have to send you out there to see some prospects!

      • Dr Heartwell says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Yessir! Would love to contribute. Its a great stadium out here (“Mini Fenway”- Jet Blue) and they are renovating the Twins stadium too as a write still….as for Bryant, thx for the Link. I remember that one. I guess they could go either way depending on how developed he is and if they aren’t really worried about the money. Like everything else, depends on the situation which could change with a fastball….thanks for the reply Grey. Save me a spot in one of the leagues!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Yeah, depends on when Bryant gets called up… No problem

  60. King Friedman says:
    (link)

    Great write up Grey! LOVE the Nolan ranking. Luckily I followed your advice last year and have him dirt cheap for years now..

    16 team, OPS league, H2H, Keeper, which 6 should I keep?

    Arenado 1$
    Polanco 3$
    D Robertson 11$
    H Rondon 1$
    Trout 26$
    G Cole 8$
    Teix 11$
    Utley 6$
    C Davis 33$
    Arcia 3$
    JD Martinez 3$
    Puig 8$
    Papi 30$
    AJ Pollock 1$
    Pineda 1$
    Harvey 1$
    Cody Allen 1$
    Porcello 8$
    JZimm 23$
    Grienke 26$

    Thanks a lot!!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Nice! Arenado, Trout, Puig, Polanco, Harvey, Cole

      • King Friedman says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Thanks Grey!

        • Ghost says:
          (link)

          Keeping Pitchers or Rondon???

          • Carnac says:
            (link)

            I think you’re thinking of Rendon.

            • Ghost says:
              (link)

              Damn me your Right! just so high on him I misread the spelling.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          No problem

  61. Carnac says:
    (link)

    Any cool birthday plans this weekend?

    • J-FOH says:
      (link)

      @Carnac: you playing with us this year?

      • Carnac says:
        (link)

        Oh nice, there’s an opening? I’ll DM you later. Gotta go shuttle some kids.

      • nick the dick says:
        (link)

        @J-FOH: I had an incredible dream where I was invited to play in one of your guys leagues. Then I woke up in a cold sweat back into my feeble, unimportant, easily forgotten existence…

        • J-FOH says:
          (link)

          @nick the dick: I would have to talk it over with the Council of George Brett

          • nick the dick says:
            (link)

            @J-FOH: Let em know I look the other way on pine tar use

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          HA!

          • nick the dick says:
            (link)

            @Grey: Someday the planets will align, the sun will shine through destiny, the Ultimate Warrior will return, and I will get in the league. Nothing but time…

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              You’re in the league, in my mind

          • J-FOH says:
            (link)

            @Grey: caps HA! *high fives self, misses, smacks self in head, tries again, same result*

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Hehe

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Vegas!

      • J-FOH says:
        (link)

        @Grey: lucky…I haven’t been in so long. I live 4 hours from Vegas yet never go.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Yeah, I live four hours and 20 minutes…

          • J-FOH says:
            (link)

            @Grey: you don’t live no 20 minutes from me. I also always stop in Baker to take in the sights

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Eh, maybe 30 minutes, same diff

          • Carnac says:
            (link)

            4:20, huh?

            Tell me, when you go to Vegas do you have to cover your mustache in order to not attract other cougars? Like, a mustache hijab? Maybe a bedazzled surgical mask?

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              One of those faces on a stick… Of Charlotte Rae…

  62. GhostTownSteve says:
    (link)

    Rendon’s early NFBC ADP is 10.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      And then there’s that

      • J-FOH says:
        (link)

        @Grey: no injury history makes sense

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          I thought I was further out on a limb…cest la vie…

          • J-FOH says:
            (link)

            @Grey: I think in nfbc the players weight durability a little more than normal roto. It’s still a bold call.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Yeah

            • Big Magoo

              Big Magoo says:
              (link)

              @J-FOH: Not necessarily. Currently, Tulo is the 15th player off of the board, Ellsbury is the 21st, Hanley the 24th. All of these players have had injury issues in the past. Just a matter of risk/reward.

              • J-FOH says:
                (link)

                @Big Magoo: shut the fudge up and go make your pasta

                • Big Magoo

                  Big Magoo says:
                  (link)

                  @J-FOH: Make my own pasta? What’s the point of being married then?

                  • J-FOH says:
                    (link)

                    @Big Magoo: Grey’s married and makes his own

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
      (link)

      @GhostTownSteve: It’s good to see you back, brother.

      What ADP info are you looking at? I’m seeing Rendon as the 12th player off of the board, with a 12.35 ADP.

  63. Yankee my Wanky! says:
    (link)

    Hello again Grey. Great stuff as usual. An early Keeper question if I may. We must keep 2 players at the round we drafted them the previous season. Free Agents are a 12th Round Pick unless you keep 2, where they would be come the 11th and 12th Round Picks. Anyway, here’s what I got:

    Jose Bautista (2)
    Alex Gordon (6)
    Dee Gordon (FA)
    Corey Dickerson (FA)
    Kris Bryant (FA)
    Joc Pedersen (FA)
    Jorge Soler (FA)
    Sonny Gray (11)
    Colin McHugh (FA)

    Yahoo 12 Team 6X6 H2H with OPS and Holds.

    Thanks much Grey.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Dickerson, Dee Gordon

  64. Big Magoo

    Big Magoo says:
    (link)

    Did you want me to bite on Gonzalez or save it for the top 20 OF post?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yeah, save it for top 20 OF…

  65. Alex says:
    (link)

    Grey, you like Tillman or Petit in 5×5 with no innings limit?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Tillman

  66. Boomer19 says:
    (link)

    Evening Grey. Loving the rankings so far. I have to choose between Tulo and Frazier for my final keeper in my 5×5 roto league. I find my self going back and forth and i know it hinges on health closer to April but I wanted your thoughts. Is it close? Thanks.

  67. Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo says:
    (link)

    still any plans to have a razzball league (not RCL, i mean the backwards leagues where the worst players are best), like razz poker, inverse. I want to try one of those out.
    2. so has rendon moved ahead of puig for keeper status in NL only 10 team roto leagues with net steals and extra base hits as extra categories? when i asked this back in sep it was puig (and my comish might get pissed if i change picks, but i can’t imagine i’m the only one wanting to do that; the whole idea of picking keepers in aug-sep is asinine and there’s simply no good reason for it). my other keeper is rizzo so far, we start 4 OF/ 1 extra IF and 1 at each position besides.

  68. Blake says:
    (link)

    I am in a pts league with the following details:

    1B- 1pt
    2B- 2pts
    3B – 3pts
    BB- 1pt
    HR- 4pts
    R- 1pt
    RBI- 1pt
    SB- 1pt

    Given those parameters – do I rank based on your power/speed pattern? seems like power hitters will thrive in my format and speed guys wont get as many pts?

  69. Laser Show says:
    (link)

    trade Dee for Arenado?

    Right now keeping Rizzo, Donaldson, Seager and Dee

    Have 3B, IF and Util spots to play all three 3B.

  70. Adam McGill says:
    (link)

    Here is a little journalism tip for you. Numbers between one-nine are ALWAYS written out, while numbers 10 and higher are written out numerically. Your welcome!

    • Adam McGill says:
      (link)

      @Adam McGill: Damn auto correct! You’re Welcome!

Comments are closed.