It’s the end of the beginning today on the Razz pod, as we begin our ascent into the Top 100 Starters for 2019 fantasy baseball. We hit on the aces, we hit on the former aces you shouldn’t draft, we hit on the tiers Grey is targeting, and we talk about ourselves a lot. It’s beautiful, it’s madness, it’s a podcast about 50 pitchers, 29 of them are headed to the DL, the other 21 are coming off the DL. Oops!!! I said DL, pardon me, injury list! Anyway, we talk the top 50 pitchers and a ton of draft strategy. It’s the latest episode of the Razzball Podcast.
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Jose Martinez is a great hitter. He has batted over .300 the past two seasons, has some power, exhibits wonderful plate discipline, utilizes the whole field, and hits the ball hard. Yet, he’s being selected as the 225th overall player according to NFBC ADP since February 1, 2019. Screaming value or fool’s gold?
Please, blog, may I have some more?Knock knock. Who’s there? It’s your 2019 fantasy baseball points league draft. What are you waiting for? Open the damn door! With draft season just around the corner, I decided it was time to put together my points league spreadsheet. That and the avalanche of emails I got asking when it would be ready. Ok, perhaps avalanche was a bit of an exaggeration, but there was a small storm. Today’s post is the only post I author each year that most of you care about. Once I’ve put it out there I feel a little bit like a chick after a one night stand. However, by now I’ve come to terms with the fact that my popularity will peak early and taper off as the season progresses.
Please, blog, may I have some more?Thanks to everyone who have subscribed to the season-long Razzball tools so far! Returning subscribers and early birds have gotten free access to my Excel-based snake draft war room for 10, 12, 14, and 15 team mixed leagues. This is the one that Grey, myself, and most of our writers use for our drafts. You […]
Please, blog, may I have some more?[brid autoplay=”true” video=”373879″ player=”10951″ title=”2019 Razzball Draft Kit Shortstops”]
Some of the highlights of this post last year were Tim Anderson, Gleyber Torres, Amed Rosario and Marcus Semien. Then there were guys like Addison Russell and Chad Pinder — or simply Chaddison — and *raspberries lips* So they’re not all winners, but 2nd basemen to target and the shortstops are necessary evils like changing your underwear. Whether you want to or not, it is a good idea to take a flyer on a late middle infielder, and you should still expect to get crapped on. That metaphor was like the yodeling guy in The Price is Right. This is a (legal-in-all-countries-except-Lichtenstein) supplement to the top 20 shortstops for 2019 fantasy baseball. The players listed have a draft rank after 200 on other sites. Click on the player’s name where applicable to read more and see their 2019 projections. Anyway, here’s some shortstops to target for 2019 fantasy baseball:
Please, blog, may I have some more?In last week’s article, we went over bargain bin players, so we’re going to go a different route here. This is going to be a two-part piece where we focus on players that I won’t draft. These are guys that simply won’t end up on any of my fantasy teams for a number reasons, as they’re all being drafted too highly. We compared last week’s bargain bin players to tasty donuts but these players in this article are closer to rotten milk. While they may look normal on the surface, you get a whiff of them up close and nearly fall to your knees because of that sneaky smell.
In this first article, we’re going BIG! We’re going to give you three guys in the top-50 that I’m going to fade. In the next article, we’ll pick players that are going between 50-100 that we want to avoid. While none of these guys are necessarily busts, I just have a hard time seeing any of them live up to their draft price because of numerous outlier statistics. So, with that in mind, let’s get started with an MVP.
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Fantasy Master Lothario, Grey Albright, joins Donkey Teeth to discuss Jackson Hole, along with many other holes. They dig into their AL and NL-Only industry league auction results, breaking down how each team shaped up and the optimal draft strategy for these formats.
The guys talk about their shared Adalberto Mondesi love, how one might come to draft Bryce Harper in an AL-Only league, and $1 bargain buys in only-leagues, as Albright struggles to conquer his addiction to lists of letters. The show is rounded out by Grey requesting Donkey’s handyman services at his new California home and a discussion about 2019 expectations for Byron Buxton.
Buckle up and prepare to feast on this special episode of the one and only fantasy sausage pod!
Please, blog, may I have some more?A Loch Ness Monster waits nervously in a doctor’s office. He turns to his left to a unicorn. “What brought you in here?” “I was having a weird pang behind my horn for a few weeks while in Candyland, and I went for an MRI when they found a growth.” The unicorn chokes back its fears, finishing, “I’m having a biopsy. You?” The Loch Ness Monster hands the unicorn a tissue, then, through tears, “I’ve been pooping this tar-like substance, and they’re not sure…what…it…is.” As the the two of them sob uncontrollably, they look across the receptionist area to Vladimir Guerrero Jr. The unicorn fights through tears and asks, “Why are you at the National Institute of Made-Up Injuries and Diseases?” “The Jays said I had an oblique injury to delay my free agency.” So, Vlad Guerrero Jr. has an oblique injury, which, honestly, is likely a real injury, but doesn’t sound serious. Maybe it is just an aching venient injury. Who knows. I’ve been saying for a while that I’m not drafting Vlad, due to his ADP, and wrote a Vladimir Guerrero Jr. schmohawk, so this doesn’t affect me a ton. Nor his MLB ETA. He wasn’t starting the year with the Jays either way. I haven’t changed his projections or ranking in my top 20 3rd basemen, though there have been a bunch of changes in my rankings, so let’s get to it. Anyway, here’s what else I saw in spring training for 2019 fantasy baseball:
Please, blog, may I have some more?Welcome back for Part 6 of The Eighteenth Out. (Part 1, Part 2, Part 3, Part 4, Part 5) Every article has brought us a step closer to redefining a new, effective way to go about evaluating and drafting point pitchers. Thankless is the job of the Point League fantasy analyst, yet we trudge on. There are times in life we break away from the pack and wander out alone into the unknown, determined to achieve our destiny. Imagine something that epic, but relating to baseball statistics (and a full orchestra playing the GoT theme song in the background). Why so serious you ask? You’ll see (I hate being wrong).
Please, blog, may I have some more?Welcome back to baseball Cubs fan, or just fantasy readers who want to know about the Cubs. 2018 was a disappointment for many Cubs fans and fantasy owners of Cubs players alike, unless you happened to own Javier Baez. At least there is always the bleachers with a sausage and an Old Style.
While my outlook for 2019 may still be rosy (I expect the Cubbies to win the NL Central), there is an impending contract cliff that the North siders are going to have to maneuver, and the roster could look completely different in 2021 and 2022. Some of these guys the Cubs will try to re-sign, and other deals will be nice to get off the books, but the Cubs must make that decision on Jon Lester, Anthony Rizzo, Kris Bryant, Javier Baez, Kyle Schwarber, Addison Russell, Kyle Hendricks, Jose Quintana, and several other less impactful guys.
I’m a bit hesitant on the Cubs for the future, but you’re here to figure out what to do this season. While 2018 may be viewed as a down season, the Cubs still finished 9th in runs scored and the pitching finished with the 3rd best ERA in the league. PECOTA is projecting doom and gloom with a last place finish in the division, but that seems like an overreaction to a team that is getting a healthy Kris Bryant and hopefully, a healthy Yu Darvish back this season. I may even take the over on the THOME projection of 88.5 wins with a 2nd place finish in the division, but maybe I’m just optimistic, after all, it is spring training time
(To hear more about the THOME projection system, check out my podcast, Ditka, Sausage, and Fantasy Sports on Razzball when we interview the creator, Steve Paulo).
Please, blog, may I have some more?The Braves, like the Padres, are incredibly stacked in the minor leagues. This is scary, considering they’re also in the mix to repeat as NL East champions and sport young stars like Ozzie Albies and Ronald Acuna on their MLB roster. tl;dr – Good team that’s probably gonna be good for a while.
Please, blog, may I have some more?I was never particularly motivated to use VLOOKUP (or any other function in Excel) for “professional” working purposes. I learned it a few years ago strictly to become better at fantasy baseball. By taking all of the public information that is available at your disposal, and combining fantasy valuations and projections from various industry resources (using mostly VLOOKUPs – seriously, it’s the only thing that I know how to do), you can formulate composite projections which paint an accurate picture of the fantasy landscape, and eliminate limit your individual bias when you inevitably use those projections and re-rank players by position. One resource that I find particularly helpful, and which you might not already incorporate into your own process, are the player propositions and betting over/under totals provided by sportsbooks. The betting market sets extremely reasonable expectations with regards to player floors and league leaders in statistical categories and can provide guidance as to where your projections stand relative to public perception both on an individual player basis, and against the league as a whole. The fact that a player is listed in a category, in and of itself, can be extremely telling as to their raw skills and expectations for the upcoming season.
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