No Doubt

Player Team Opp. 1 Opp. 2
Gerrit Cole HOU @CHW @OAK
Clayton Kershaw LAD @MIA @ATL

It wasn’t worth the effort to paste Gerrit Cole’s head on the GIF, but you get it, Cole is about to dive straight into a pile of money as he enters free agency next season.

After getting off to a rough start, Cole keeps cruising with a 1.98 ERA, 0.90 WHIP, 36% K rate along with a 6.3% BB rate since his May 27th start. He may be getting a little lucky, but you have bigger concerns than whether he should be in your lineup.

Clayton Kershaw has been great this season as well, and performing even better since July started. 1.66 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, and a 32% K rate. As Mark Twain was famously quoted as saying, “Rumors of my death are greatly exaggerated.” The back has held up this season and we’re getting a (potentially last) look at vintage Kershaw down the stretch.

 

Pretty…Pretty Good

Player Team Opp. 1 Opp. 2
Zack Greinke HOU @CHW @OAK
Lance Lynn TEX @TOR MIN
Eduardo Rodriguez BOS @CLE BAL
Zack Wheeler NYM @ATL @KC
Mike Clevinger CLE BOS @NYY
Domingo German NYY BAL CLE

After a couple starts to get adjusted from his injury and rehab, Mike Clevinger has been fan-friggin-tastic. 1.83 ERA, 0.97 WHIP , and 58 strikeouts in 44.1 IP over 7 starts.

The Yankees and Red Sox have the most runs against righties along with being 1st and 3rd respectively in runs scored since the break. So, while I fully endorse Mike Clevinger and I’m starting him where I own him, this week is not without risk.

 

Serviceable

Player Team Opp. 1 Opp. 2
Max Fried ATL NYM LAD
James Paxton NYY BAL CLE
Brendan McKay TB @SD DET
Zach Plesac CLE BOS @NYY

Only a couple pitchers out of this bunch that has been performing well recently, and one is Plesac with the same terrible match-up as Clevinger.

Brendan McKay had one blow up against the White Sox of all teams, but has been a solid performer outside of that one. On the beach in San Diego and home vs Detroit, there was a part of me that wanted to move him up into the next group with that 27% K rate and only 3 walks in 29.2 IP.

 

Refrigerator Chinese Take Out

Player Team Opp. 1 Opp. 2
Zac Gallen ARI @COL SF
Ivan Nova CHW HOU @LAA
Jose Quintana CHC @PHI @PIT
Anthony DeSclafani CIN @WSH STL
Alex Wood CIN @WSH STL

Potential for some soy based goodness, but with a personal level of risk tolerance that is dependent on the other options on hand. Zac Gallen has been great, but going to Coors in the summer carries some potential to be hazardous to your health.

Ivan Nova is another guy that has been performing well post all-star break, but he gets the Astros at home in the stadium with the worst name in the majors, Guaranteed Rate Field. Bring back $1 beer night!

 

So, You’re Saying There’s a Chance

Brett Anderson OAK @SF HOU
Dillon Peters LAA PIT CHW
Jason Vargas PHI CHC SD
Michael Wacha STL @KC @CIN
Dylan Cease CHW HOU @LAA
Yusei Kikuchi SEA @DET @TOR

There is a chance. We’ve seen moments of decency from everyone on this list. Some surprising, some not so much, but each is enough of a roller coaster ride that you must be this tall, aka desperate, to jump in these carts.

Free Streamonator Pick of the Week: Streamonator comes at you with a new name this week in Dillon Peters. 3.18 ERA since being recalled.

Limited upside for strikeouts, but he did get 8 last time out vs the Red Sox. The curve is consistently getting 2900+ spin rates, and hitters are struggling to the tune of a 58% GB rate with a .188 batting average and slugging against.

 

I Immediately Regret This Decision

Player Team Opp. 1 Opp. 2
Trevor Williams PIT @LAA CHC
Wilmer Font TOR TEX SEA
Ariel Jurado TEX @TOR MIN
Jordan Yamamoto MIA LAD @COL
Peter Lambert COL ARI MIA
Martin Perez MIN @MIL @TEX
Jose Suarez LAA PIT CHW

 

Notes

  • 3 TBDs as a result of looking at Friday information.
    • Washington’s Monday starter is TBD with my best guesses being one of Anibal Sanchez or Erick Fedde. Either is a smell for freshness Chinese Carry Out’er if they draw the 2 starts.
    • Arizona’s Monday starter is also TBD between Mike Leake and Merrill Kelly. Leake is a fridge check and Kelly falls to the bottom group.
    • The Tigers have a TBD starter for Tuesday. Maybe it’s one of Drew VerHagen (Regret This Decision) or Tyler Alexander (There’s a Chance).
  • Padres 6 man rotation still in tact.
  • The Os and Yanks have a doubleheader on Monday that could throw a wrench into who actually makes the 2 starts for each team.
  • Possible that the Mariners run a 4 man rotation and Marco Gonzales gets 2 starts. If he does, I’m Saying There’s a Chance due to the lack of Ks and blow up potential.
  • With Tampa Bay having their bullpen days, it’s possible their Tuesday primary gets 2 this week.

 

Projected 2 Start Days and Opponents

Team Projected 2 Start Days Opp. 1 Opp. 1
AL EAST
BAL Monday (Doubleheader) @NYY @BOS
BOS Monday @CLE BAL
NYY Monday, Tuesday (Doubleheader) BAL CLE
TB Monday @SD DET
TOR Monday TEX SEA
AL CENTRAL
CWS Monday, Tuesday HOU @LAA
CLE Monday, Tuesday BOS @NYY
DET Tuesday SEA @TB
KC X STL NYM
MIN Tuesday @MIL @TEX
AL WEST
HOU Monday, Tuesday @CWS @OAK
LAA Monday, Tuesday PIT CWS
OAK Tuesday @SF HOU
SEA Tuesday @DET @TOR
TEX Monday, Tuesday @TOR MIN
NL EAST
ATL Tuesday NYM LAD
MIA Tuesday LAD @COL
NYM Tuesday @ATL @KC
PHI Tuesday CHC SD
WSH Monday CIN MIL
NL CENTRAL
CHC Tuesday @PHI @PIT
CIN Monday, Tuesday @WSH STL
MIL X MIN @WSH
PIT Monday @LAA CHC
STL Tuesday @KC @CIN
NL WEST
ARZ Monday, Tuesday @COL SF
COL Monday ARZ MIA
LAD Tuesday @MIA @ATL
SD X (6 man) TB @PHI
SF Tuesday OAK @ARZ
 
  1. Wallpaper Paterson says:
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    I may pick up Font next week for some laughs. It is a head to head league and my opponent will not reach the 50 innings threshold, so I can start some rough pitchers and still take all the pitching categories.

    But that starts on Monday. For today, do you like Vince Velasquez to do well at San Francisco?

    Thanks in advance.

    • B_Don

      B_Don says:
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      Yeah, I’d go ahead and start him. It’s a good park and a middle of the pack offense post ASB even with their little offensive run.

  2. Chucky says:
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    Starting Two start Gallen with a trip to Coors over two start Disco?

    • B_Don

      B_Don says:
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      They’re in the same tier, so, similar type of start option, but I am a bit worried with Disco getting hit a little in his last 2 outings and the velocity on his FB was down in those starts.

  3. Edgar Gonzalez says:
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    What type of pitcher does Aaron Civale figure to be? A 4.00 era or something more like a 3.30 with a 1.15 whip?

    • B_Don

      B_Don says:
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      I think he could sneak through this first time against the league, but I’d guess he’s closer to the 4 ERA pitcher long term. Cutter/slider carries the mix, but seems like he’s getting more confident w/ the change. It is the Indians and he is a more refined command pitcher, so, there’s always a chance he becomes more. Don’t expect the K rate to maintain that he’s shown in the first 2 starts, plus, it was Texas and Detroit at home.

      • Edgar Gonzalez says:
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        Thanks for the insight, appreciate it.

  4. JB says:
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    CBS has Bumgarner on two starts (v Oak, @ Ari), and McKay and Peters as one-start pitchers this week. Are you seeing the same? I ask because I haven’t been able to find information on these changes, and ESPN still lists Bumgarner as a single start with McKay and Peters as two-start pitchers.

    • B_Don

      B_Don says:
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      Looks like they moved Bumgarner up from Wednesday to Tuesday from when I did my research to now, so, he’ll get 2 starts. McKay has been moved back a day and won’t have 2 starts. I do still have Peters as a 2 starter. It’s possible that the Angels run a 6 man rotation, but I haven’t seen anything about that and still have him as a 2 start guy.

    • B_Don

      B_Don says:
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      Sounds like Griffin Canning is coming back on Tuesday and would bump Peters to a 1 start guy this week. Unsure if they would throw Canning twice or run a 6 man.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Look at B_Don with the internet!

  5. B_Don

    B_Don says:
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    There goes one of your 2 No Doubt starters. Kershaw has been pushed back a day and Dustin May will be getting the nod today.

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