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O. Henry typing up a player on his fantasy baseball website, “A player who has massive amounts of upside. Just absolutely loving this guy. He can be a cheap number one starter. I’d give my wife’s comb for this guy, and let her be all straggly and shizz. The only thing possibly going against this great, wonderful player is a small thing that likely won’t react negatively to his value and make this whole thing ironic. That thing is the player plays for the New York Mets.” So, Kodai Senga was diagnosed with a moderate posterior capsule strain in his shoulder, and will start the year on the IL. [sound of a balloon deflating] What the eff, my bros and five sisters? Can we not have anything nice? Did we wrong a religion’s God in a former life? I wonder aloud. Joe Musgrove had a similar injury last year. All players are different — we’re all freakin’ snowflakes! — but that knocked Musgrove out for half a season. The good news is, well…Hopefully you haven’t drafted yet! Updated Senga in the top 40 starters, the top 500 and the pitchers’ pairing tool. I will not be drafting him now. Speaking of rankings, you’re amongst greatness:

Anyway, here’s what else I saw in fantasy baseball in Spring Training:

Tylor Megill – My favorite to get the Mets’ vacant rotation spot, but, and hold onto your hats for these names, the Mets are looking at Joey Lucchesi, Jose Butto, and Max Kranick. They all sound Butt-o, except Megill. In camp, Megill revealed a new splitter he learned from Senga. Damn, sounds like an All About Eve situation. Black Swan for those under the age of 95.

Carlos Rodon – Sitting 95 MPH on his fastball, after supposedly sitting 88-91 MPH last spring. I got all excited, and maybe there is room for some enthusiasm here, but then I checked his velocity during the year. He was throwing 95 MPH last year in-season. In the season where he had a 6.85 ERA. Rodon feels like a trap. Granted, a cheaper trap this year than usually.

Liam Hendriks – Signed with the Red Sox. Liam Hendriks is slated to return around the trading deadline in July. No idea why the Red Sox would need that, they seem so happy with Kenley. So happy, in fact, they’ve offered every other team’s scouts a chance to see how great he is.

Gio Urshela – Signed with the Tigers. That is the new blech. If the Tigers plan to use him to platoon with Cool Colt Keith, that sucks. If they plan to play Urshela in front of Zach McKinstry, I don’t like that either. Don’t even like him taking at-bats from Vierling. I’m guessing Urshela (hit .373 vs. lefties last year) will platoon against southpaws, making him basically unrosterable for fantasy, outside of AL-Only. So, I removed Vierling from 3B rankings, but left others untouched.

Amed Rosario – Signed with the Rays. Welp, and he was lowered in the rankings. A righty who has no splits in Tampa? He’ll be lucky to face any righties. Was tempted to remove him altogether from the rankings, but maybe they let him steal. He’s a 12/25/.280 hitter, who is going to a place where he might see 300 ABs. *makes sign of the cross* Amed. Updated in the 2nd basemen rankings.

Matt McLain – Tweaked his oblique. Don’t spend much time on injuries in the preseason unless they’re going to effect rankings, because you don’t want to yell fire in the theater of Razzball when a guy has over a month to get ready for the season, but McLain missed the final five weeks of last year with the same oblique injury. McLain’s six-month-old oblique is going to be walking and saying “dada” soon.

Robert Suarez – Been under the assumption the Padres’ closer would be a committee of Matsui and Suarez, but Shildt seemed to indicate it was Suarez. So I updated the top 500. Don’t feel super confident on this, if being honest.

Anthony DeSclafani – Seems to be a bit of shine on Disco getting the ball as the 5th starter. Don’t you see the reflected lights? That could spell doom for Varland, or it could mean Varland gets 100 IP, just not from Opening Day to July, and instead from June to September. Haven’t changed my top 100 starters, because Varland will still be my pick over DeSclafani, but, in AL-Only leagues, I could see giving Disco a spin. Do the Hustle!

Tristan Beck – Favorite to get a spot in the Giants’ rotation. Tristan Beck is also the answer to the May trivia question, “Who was the Giants’ 5th starter to start the season?” And no one will be able to answer it. In related Giants’ rotation news you don’t care about, Keaton Winn has elbow soreness. That’s not good, said Mr. Exposition.

Justin Lawrence – Rockies seem to be leaning towards Lawrence or Tyler Kinley as their closer, and I’m leaning towards Lawrence, as my top 500 shows. I might be crazy but I think Lawrence can actually be a solid backend closer. Or maybe I’m like my mother, too bold.

Jeff McNeil – Saw the news reporting, “McNeil heard good news about his partially torn UCL,” and read, “It’s still torn.” That’s the good news.

Sal Frelick – Some reports saying Frelick might platoon, which would be effin’ stupid, but that’s what MLB managers do: Stupid. Speaking of stupid MLB managers, the Brewers’ new manager said to their former 1st round pick Frelick, “Were you drafted or traded for?” He was kidding, which is a great motivational tool. Brewers’ manager, Pat O’Brien’s Murphy, the King of Razz.

Tim Anderson – Signed with the Marlins. Jazz and Tim on the same team is going to be nonstop entertainment (in their own mind). If they deliver 20% of what they promise, we are so good! Let’s just hope the Marlins don’t face the Guards when Jose Ramirez is in a bad mood. Any hoo! For fantasy, Anderson is what he is at this point, and doesn’t have much upside. Unless you’re in a 6×6 league with KOs. He was updated in the shortstops rankings.

Dominic Fletcher – Leading a committee for the White Sox RF job. Hold up, let me tell 2022 Grey, he’s gonna be so excited. Wow, 2022 Grey told me and I quote, “Go eff yourself.” That guy’s got a real temper. So, Fletcher feels like a best case scenario 15/15/.270 hitter, and worst case is, well, go see the quote from 2022 Grey. Not adding him into the rankings, but could see the late flyer in AL-Only.

Chris Flexen – White Sox GM said he wants Flexen in the rotation to start the year. Weird Flexen, but okay.

John Brebbia – Has a calf strain, but hopeful to be ready for Opening Day. Why do we care? He’s supposedly the White Sox closer! For the first time I can remember (roughly a week back), there’s a MLB team where I’m not drafting their closer candidates in range of a 12-team mixed league (top 275). You can see who I have in my top 500 for the most White Sox saves (it’s not Brebbia), you can also see JKJ’s Bullpen chart.

Daniel Vogelbach – Signed with the Jays.

Sixto Sanchez – Speaking of big boys:

@razzballfantasy Sixto Sanchez? More like Eight or Nineto #fantasybaseball #mlb #marlins ? Shall We Have Breakfast Together – Official Sound Studio

Eduardo Escobar – Signed with the Jays. They went from Bellinger and Ohtani to Vogelbach and Escobar? The kids would say they’re down bad. I’d say they’re down horrendous. They’re also asking a lot of Customs agents to have an Escobar repeatedly cross the border.

Randal Grichuk – Signed with Arizona. He will platoon with Joc and shake his head disapprovingly when anyone bat flips. Thanks, Dad!

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Butter Rum
Butter Rum
1 month ago

In an NL only league, who would prefer to take a chance on in building depth in SP for valuable innings this season? Please rank T. Beck, A. Ashby, D. Thorpe ?

Atlas Dog
Atlas Dog
1 month ago

What percentage would you give to E. Salas getting meaningful playing time this season to have an impact later in the season in 2 catcher NL only league?

goodfold2
goodfold2
Reply to  Atlas Dog
1 month ago

you know he’s 17 years old right.

Butter Rum
Butter Rum
Reply to  goodfold2
1 month ago

Yup

Elmeg
Elmeg
1 month ago

Deep AL only league standard 5×5 roto.

Picking for depth at end of the draft, who do like for playing time and production among K. Isbel, D. Fletcher, J. Malloy, G. Arias?

Thanks

Let’s Play Two
Let’s Play Two
1 month ago

Standard roto redraft with 11 teams. Based on my hitter picks so far, would you take Choirio? Need some SB.

1B Freeman
2B Gleyber
3B Riley
SS Bo
CI Casas
OF, Adolis, Jones, J Duran, Teo

Schmohawks Bob
Schmohawks Bob
1 month ago

Varland or Reese Olson in an AL only?

Will (the other one)
Will (the other one)
1 month ago

Bellinger back on the Cubs for 3 years, $80 million with opt outs after the first two seasons. Way lower than what Boras was shooting for but at least one of the “Boras Four” finally signed with a team. Now do Snell, please…

Alex
Alex
1 month ago

Hey Grey, would you trade Adolis Garcia for George Kirby and Colt Keith? 12 team dynasty

Alex
Alex
Reply to  Alex
1 month ago

Or Garcia for Kirby and Riley Greene?

Foxman
Foxman
1 month ago

Yikes, Isiah The Falafel gets the Ralph Wiggum comp in that graphic. Did him fail English too?! “That’s unpossible”
I’d love to get Ralph’s opinion on these new uniforms. My guess is it would be, “I dress myself, and my eyes are still up here Grey!

Joed1414
Joed1414
1 month ago

Hey Grey, snuck myself into DFS anonymous. Was wondering what effect if any do on you think Netflix following Boston around all season will have

FinsterGrinster
FinsterGrinster
1 month ago

10-Tm, NL-Only, H2H, 5×5(OBP), $280 Auction, Keep 5

My keepers are Acuña (65), Carroll (31), C.Walker (17), Frelick (2), and Steele (10). 

I’m thinking of offering Carroll (31) for Bobby Miller (1) prior to the auction. Even if Carroll was only going to have 80% of the year he did last year, I’d be happy to have him at this price. However, I am a little nervous about his shoulder.

SP will come at a premium in the draft with Strider, Wheeler, Gallen, Snell (if NL), Fried, Peralta, Webb, Perez, Greene, and Keller being kept. 

Thoughts on doing a deal before the draft for Miller or to try and score a large haul for Carroll after the draft based on my needs?

Let’s Play Two
Let’s Play Two
1 month ago

Grey,

Do your run and SB projections for Duran take into account Cora will have him hit lead off? Just curious.

Smitty
1 month ago

Congrats on the accuracy results! You’re the best, not surprised

Ace of Spades
Ace of Spades
1 month ago

Grey

Sorry about my panic. Just got the e-mail from NFBC and I am in. Please disregard the last post. except for the trade question. Still would appreciate advice on that one.

Have a great weekend and looking forward to Tuesday.

Ace of Spades
Ace of Spades
1 month ago

Grey

I am not sure if I joined the draft on Tuesday. I attempted to and it sent me back a page that said it was an error. I just checked however and they did bill my credit card. If you can, can you send a link so I can get to the website that hosts the draft and confirm I am in. Sorry, but I am technically handicapped.

Also, just got a new offer. For my $15 Bellinger….$13 Altuve and $11 E Phillips …Hold the Belli ?

Thanks again bro.

Corey
Corey
1 month ago

10 team keep 5 league. My strategy was to keep 3 cheap Top 40 SPs so that I could spend elsewhere in our auction draft. That was going to be Grayson ($3), Eury ($1), and… Kodai ($2).

At $2, should I still keep Senga and hope to get half a season out of him (he’d be $7 next year)? Or do I keep Musgrove ($9) instead, even though he just got lit up?

djroolz
djroolz
1 month ago

If Kyle Harrison can be convinced to switch his first and last names around, the Giants can have an all mono syllabic rotation that goes 6 deep. Not bad

Ace of Spades
Ace of Spades
1 month ago

Grey

Forgive my ignorance, as I have not yet competed in this format yet, but when going to sign up for the auction on tuesday, if I just put in the $150 auction on Tuesday at 6:00 pm it will be the same one that other Razz commenters/writers are in? ( don’t want to join and find its not the same one )

Harris
Harris
1 month ago

Being a Mets fan is almost as bad as being a Jets fan. I’m lucky enough to be both. Who’d have thought year 4 of the Steve Cohen era our rotation would be Quintana, Sevy, Manea, Houser and choose your mess. Megill supposedly learned a splitter, so it’s very promising . Oh and the payroll is still 300M++

Ace of Spades
Ace of Spades
1 month ago

Grey

14 team auction $260 , standard cats, can keep up to 11

Was offered N Marte $10, T Scott $10 and Baty $4 for my Bellinger $15

Saw your 3b podcast and your enthusiasm for Marte so it made me consider this.
Also can possibly substitute Westburg $10 for one of these three instead.

Should I just hold on Bellinger? or do you like any from the side of the 3 players.

As always, thanks in advance and have a great weekend.

P.S. On the fence about the $150 auction league ( The fence being my wife’s opposition to the time my Fake baseball already takes from my life ) Anyways, was just wondering if their are still any openings?

P K
P K
1 month ago

Sixto Sanchez doing his best Michael Pineda impersonation.

William Hung
1 month ago

Mets just keep Metsing

Earl
Earl
1 month ago

I am assuming according to your pairings article, that in draft where I have the 12th and 13th picks that it is pretty paramount to come out of it with 1 speed guy and 1 power guy really.

So thinking around the spot that the speed guy choices might be either Jose Ramirez or Trea Turner (Unless Tatis falls which I doubt). And then perhaps power guy might be one of Harper, Olson, Yordan or maybe Othani (although only eligible at Util).

Guess one could go with combo of like Harper and Othani for lots of power and bit of speed (like maybe 30 sb’s combined).

Choices, choices as they say

Earl
Earl
Reply to  Grey
1 month ago

Would be tough to decide between Trea or Ramirez as believe u and others had concerns with both to some degree. But guess u have Trea ranked higher!

Harper and Olson also tough choice as love them both as do Ohtani and perhaps Yordan!

Alas!!

leon
leon
1 month ago

Nolan Schanuel or Kiriloff?

zombie
zombie
1 month ago

Given that they had to know that you would disparage the entire charade, them placing you first is particularly noteworthy. Congratulations Grey & Team Razz, you accurate sonofaguns.. Keeping us proud and ill-mannered.

Dirt McGirt
Dirt McGirt
1 month ago

Do you think Jeffrey Springs is worth keeping in a deeper QS, K/9 league ? I know he is out until mid summer but with the Rays you never know how he will be used.

Cram It
Cram It
1 month ago

Ah, my Metsies. So it begins (ends) again.

Lost in Translation
Lost in Translation
1 month ago

Is Senga still worth holding in a 12 team, keep 10 players league? I’ve seen possible June timeframe, but 1 setback and it could be July/August.

Jason Murray
Jason Murray
1 month ago

I won the draft lottery in a 16-team H2H dynasty league and have the 1st overall pick. In a league where hitting slightly outscores pitching (for example, Kyle Tucker is projected for 630 points and Spencer Strider is projected 512), who would you choose between Yamamoto and Langford? Thank you.

Philip
Philip
1 month ago

How bold was your mother, Grey?

And my second question is, do you see another step forward for Austin Riley? I’m feeling abnormally stoked for him this year and the next few. Any reasonable chance this guy goes 40/120 and stays there?

BigEasy
BigEasy
1 month ago

Who would you target in a dynasty league: Varland, Brash or Hall?

Thanks!

BigEasy
BigEasy
Reply to  Grey
1 month ago

14 team. I need an arm to replace Urias. Think Varland is going to be in the rotation this season? I know there were talks of bullpen

Fungazi 2.0
Fungazi 2.0
1 month ago

You might be surprised that Manoah is the first guy in that pic. He showed up to ST in the best shape of his life.

OaktownSteve
OaktownSteve
1 month ago

I dug in on the Frelick a bit and I think it’s possible he’ll platoon at second and then go back to the OF vs lhp. I think they’ll end up wanting his bat in the line up every day. Also, there are some very entertaining highlight reels of Sal playing HS football out there.

I want to feel good about the Suarez news but I have a careful what you wish for sense about it. First you get the job, but then you have to do the job. Got him for $3 though, so….

OaktownSteve
OaktownSteve
Reply to  Grey
1 month ago

6 coveted spots remaining!

Huffin Gas
Huffin Gas
1 month ago

Rob Thompson is considering hitting Bohm 4th behind Harper, according to the Philadelphia Inquirer (the other two candidates are Castellanos, who was dropped in the order late last season because of his ups and downs, and JT). Bohm’s ADP currently sits around 158.

Steve
Steve
1 month ago

Hi Grey, thanks as always for the insights and updates… I have the option to sign Senga for $12 in a 12 team $260 salary cap league. With this recent injury, should I now pass? As it stands I have Castillo $26, Luzardo $9, S. Gray $5 and Sewald $9 as the rest of my staff going into the auction… thanks for your guidance!

Let’s Play Two
Let’s Play Two
1 month ago

Do you think Teo ends up 4th on days Smith can’t catch since Ohtani is DH and 5th when Smith does catch? Doesn’t make sense to have the others hitting above Teo. Here’s MLB.com projected lineup.

Mookie Betts, 2B
Shohei Ohtani, DH
Freddie Freeman, 1B
Will Smith, C
Max Muncy, 3B
Jason Heyward, RF
Teoscar Hernández, LF
James Outman, CF
Gavin Lux, SS

Bat Flip
Bat Flip
1 month ago

5×5 11-team roto redraft. I had the 9th overall pick. My picks so far:

1B Freeman
SS Boba
3B Riley
OF Adolis
OF Nolan Jones

Top SP still available:

Skubal
Framber
Snell
Peralta
Webb
Fried
Nola

Next pick:

1. Grab a SP
2. Bellinger
3. Gleyber
4. C. Walker

The Great Knoche
Reply to  Bat Flip
1 month ago

Starting Pitcher. Maybe two in a row.

Let’s Play Two
Let’s Play Two
Reply to  The Great Knoche
1 month ago

Who do you like the most from the SP list for your first SP pick?

The Great Knoche
Reply to  Let’s Play Two
1 month ago

Peralta
Webb
Skubal

Let’s Play Two
Let’s Play Two
Reply to  Grey
1 month ago

You take Peralta for your first SP from those choices? We use W and have a minimum 800 IP.

Jeremy
Jeremy
1 month ago

Hey Grey, would you label Jordan Westburg a target for 2024; as in; could he be a top 100 or top 50 player?

RoarOf84
RoarOf84
1 month ago

Need some help on a keeper decision. Can keep 5 players with their “cost” increasing by two rounds per year.

Locks:
Vlad in round 13
Ohtani (U only – stupid Yahoo) in round 14
Eury in round 24

Need two more from this group:
Nola in round 11
Buehler in round 20
Lawlar in round 25

Jimmy
Jimmy
1 month ago

Hi Grey!

Excited for another year – this is the tenth year following your draft analysis! Best in the Biz. I wanted to ask should I be using your top 500 for the draft or would you combine the OPS/QS Auction Values to rank since my league is OPS/QS

Homers got the Runs
Homers got the Runs
1 month ago

Loving the Prince reference in the Lawrence blurb!!!

ClobberClan
ClobberClan
1 month ago

CONGRATS on being #1, Grey! ?

Ned Shneebly
Ned Shneebly
1 month ago

Aloha, Grey! Great to be back.

The better keeper for 12tm H2H 5×5:
Joe Ryan $5 final keep year
or
Cole Ragans $1 for 2 more years?

Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
1 month ago

Hey Grey! Happy Friday.

No luck consolidating my keepers but I have been offered the below (keep forever):

1. My $15 Adolis for his $23 Semien and $8 Eflin or $9 Doval. Seems ok in a vacuum but the net effect would be I keep Semien for $8 more than Adolis (Adolis feels like better value) and I have the option of keeping Eflin for $4 more than my minimum price $4 Sonny Gray (but Sonny feels like better value there too).

2. Adolis for his Semien + $9 Doval. I’ve never thought of keeping a closer before, but Doval would go for 20-25 at auction (so at least $11 savings) and I just realized he’s actually ranked way higher than the Eflin or Sonny types…

3. My $15 Adolis for his $7 McLain straight up.

Thanks!

Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Reply to  Grey
1 month ago

Nope, it’s weekly roto. Though I’ve got a different one that’s h2h obp (but fortunately have 5 v obvious keepers there and not much trading to do)

Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Reply to  Grey
1 month ago

Yea exactly my thinking. Looking back at last year when there were more safe closers, even a guy like Romano went for $23.

Sweatpants Nation
Sweatpants Nation
1 month ago

Sixto looks like he swallowed a Bartolo and it got stuck in his Colon.

Huffin Gas
Huffin Gas
Reply to  Sweatpants Nation
1 month ago

Sweatpants Nation, for the win.

galica1234
galica1234
1 month ago

Grey!!!!

Through 13 rounds in a bestball, rate the team

Casas (7, 78), C-ES (13, 150)
Hoerner (5, 54)
Noelvi (12, 139)
Lindor (2, 19), Abrams (4, 43)
Soto (1,6), Teoscar (9, 102)

Gausman (3, 30), SGray (8, 91), Bibee (10, 115)
EDiaz (6, 67), Duran (11, 126)

Here’s my queue, put them in order in terms of needs.

Garrett (I’m bummed by the shoulder news)

Estrada

Hayes

Paredes

Ed-Rod
Bryce Miller
Pepiot

Chris Rock quote of the day for February 23, 2024

Black people have been qualified to be president for hundreds of years. George Washington Carver could have been president. I could go on with a list of black men that were qualified to be the president of the United States. So the Obama victory is progress for white people.

Cheers,
Ante

Homers got the Runs
Homers got the Runs
Reply to  galica1234
1 month ago

Just wondering, what is it about Soto that made you pick him at 6?

Ante
Ante
Reply to  Homers got the Runs
1 month ago

His 147 BBs which are also counted in the points scheme.

Cheers,
Ante

The Great Knoche
Reply to  Homers got the Runs
1 month ago

I’ve got Soto 6th in my rankings. Tatis close behind him. I’m lower on Betts than most. I think the counting stat ceiling is huge for Soto,and that short porch in Yankeeville for a lefty is so sexy. Is Betts stealing 5 more bases really that big of a difference when Soto’s ceiling is so high?

Homers got the Runs
Homers got the Runs
Reply to  The Great Knoche
1 month ago

thanks all. makes sense

Homer's got the Runs
Homer's got the Runs
1 month ago

Loving the Prince reference!!!!