After serving a 50 game suspension because all he do is smoke mad izm, the Cardinals top prospect Alex Reyes returns this afternoon for AAA Memphis. If you’re not familiar with Reyes, then leave…seriously get the heck out of here. Okay, I’m kidding, but really you should be generally aware of the right handed flamethrower. If all goes well, I could easily see him in the big league rotation come late July, with a chance at being one of the most impactful rookies of the 2016 term. After all this is a player that averaged a 13.4 K/9 in 101 innings across three levels last year. He’s also starting his season just a step away from St. Louie in AAA Memphis. With “ironmen” like Jaime Garcia and Carlos Martinez in the Cardinals rotation, it’s easy to imagine a scenario where he’s in the bigs rather quickly. Going forward he needs to be considered amongst the top ten potential promotions, and a top 3-5 pitcher in the minors. In keepers or redrafts where you can stash minors, grab Reyes if he’s available.

 

  • Speaking of promotions, wait we weren’t actually, but anyway. The Phillies promoted top prospect JP Crawford to AAA Lehigh Valley. There he’ll team with Nick Williams and form a dynamic 1-2, while doing his dirt in a Bacon USA shirt. The shortstop wasn’t setting the world on fire at AA Reading, but he did get on base at a .400 clip. This is pretty indicative of what you can expect from Crawford once he finally matriculates to the majors. Great obp, solid power, average, and counting stats, little speed.
  • The closer and closer we get to the MLB draft the more and more I’m convinced either A.J. Puk, or Kyle Lewis go one to the Phillies. Too bad local kid Jason Groome, and possibly the best talent in the draft, seems to be off the Phill’s radar. Puk worries me, he’s never been a dominant college player, so his rep is mostly flash and projection. At some point results have to matter no? Long story short, Phillies go Lewis.
  • Of course I pledge my undying love for Andrew Benintendi upon his promotion to AA Portland and he proceeds to go 0-8 over the next two games. If he Danny Santana’s me I’m going to be really angry.
  • Hunter Dozier has continued to hit in AAA, his line is pretty tasty at .327/.353/.653 with 4 homers. Across AA and AAA he’s hitting .313/.385/.646 with 12 homers, 34 ribbies, and 4 steals. He’s firmly back on the prospect radar, and could find some time in the bigs this year if he’s traded.
  • Another common question I see on a semi-weekly basis is “Ralph, you’re smart and articulate, how are you also so damn sexy?” Short answer…. Genes. Really though, a question I see frequently is “Name the biggest riser hitter and pitcher” now with almost two months in the rear view it’s easier to answer that.  I’d go with Josh Hader and Harrison Bader. Both are a top the leaderboards for all of AA. With Bader leading the level in batting average with a .340 clip, while Hader leads in ERA with a minuscule .89. Hader and Bader brothers from a different consonant mother.
  • I might as well call this post common questions, because as Biggie would say, “and another one”. A couple of commenters on Wednesday asked that I do a list of the top ten prospects facing promotion. While I’m not sure it will be as formal as my predecessor’s, I will be updating it in posts like this monthly, or as I see fit. The list below focuses solely on proximity X magnitude. It’s the vector of prospect rankings I suppose. In other words, players a year away, or at best a September callup, like Yoan Moncada, Rodgers, etc will not be considered. So enough talk…..see below.

Top Ten Upcoming Promotions

1. Trea Turner, SS Nationals: He was the focus of Grey’s buy this week, as were many prospects, as Super 2 is right around the corner. Turner’s delay has nothing to do with Super 2, but rather his service time clock. He’ll be up on May 30th or 31st according to all reports. Expect a prototypical leadoff type. Average, speed, and counting stats. Probably has 10-15 homer pop over a full 162.

2. Julio Urias, LHP Dodgers: The teenage Mexican phenomenon should be up anytime now with the Dodgers. After throwing another 5 scoreless innings on Friday night, Urias is up to 27 consecutive scoreless frames. His promotion can only be a matter of time, he’s just been too good. At worst he’s a pen arm for a few months with some spot starts here and there, at best he’s Nutella, straight butter.

3. A.J. Reed, 1B Astros: I sort of reluctantly rank Reed here. I say that because number one, he’s on the DL. Number two, he’s hit for power, but hasn’t exactly been setting the world on fire in AAA. When it comes to players in front of Reed, I’m not too worried. Talent wins out, almost always; if he can return from the DL strong and get on a roll, I could see him in Houston by July 1st.

4. Jameson Taillon, RHP Pirates: I gave you my crackpot theory in my mid-week post. Still holds true, he’s up before Glasnow, but will have an innings limit. So his “window of impact” could be from June to September 1st. So far he’s been an ace with the control, his Bb/9 sits at .91.

5. Tyler Glasnow, RHP Pirates: Could be up around the same time as Taillon, or as I’ve speculated, potentially later in the year, as Taillon approaches his innings limit, and the Pirates wind down his usage. Glasnow has the higher ceiling of the two, as the K/9 potential is tremendous. The other side of the coin is he’s significantly more wild than Taillon, which is why Taillon is up first.

6. Orlando Arcia, SS Brewers: He’s been very solid in AAA, hitting .315 with 22 runs, 3 homers, 21 RBIs, and 6 steals. The problem with Arcia is, what incentive the Brewers have to call him up? I assume we see him this season, I suspect sometime in July.

7. Blake Snell, LHP Rays: We’ve seen him once, and at this point he’s just biding his time down on the farm till the Super Two date passes. He’s been very good at AAA, but a bit wild at times this season. The 12+ K rate has you salivating though. I wear a bib when I watch baseball, it’s a weird Pavlovian reflex.

8. J.P. Crawford, SS Phillies: Freddy Galvis has started 42 of 43 games for the Phillies at short. With Crawford promoted to AAA Lehigh Valley it’s easy to see he’s on the fast track. I wouldn’t be shocked if both he and teammate Nick Williams reach the majors in mid to late July.

9. Jose Berrios, RHP Twins: The first go round was pretty rough, with his control really failing him this season. Needs to refocus and build his confidence back up before he gets another crack. There’s no one in the Twins rotation justifiably in his way.

9.1 Alex Reyes, RHP Cardinals: See above….

10. Hunter Renfroe, OF Padres: This is the shocker of the list, every list needs one, right? Check his numbers, this year he’s been excellent; actually don’t check, I’ll give them to you. .316/.346/.581 with 8 homers and 28 RBI’s. If any of the Padres outfield goes down I could see Renfroe up quickly. Then again they are starting Jon Jay everyday.

Next Man Up (11): Dansby Swanson, SS Braves: Has continued to hit upon his promotion to AA Mississippi, I wonder if he skips AAA all together and ends up in the majors by mid-July? What do the Braves have to lose?

Others On The Cusp: Joey Gallo, 3B Rangers, Cody Reed, LHP Reds, Aaron Judge, OF Yankees, Willson Contreras, C Cubs, Tim Anderson, SS White Sox, Jesse Winker, OF Reds, Alex Bregman, SS/3B Astros, Josh Bell, 1B Pirates, Jose De Leon, RHP Dodgers, Dan Vogelbach, 1B Cubs, Peter O’brien, C/OF, Diamondbacks, Nick Williams, OF Phillies, Jeff Hoffman, RHP Rockies, Josh Hader, LHP Brewers.

 

Follow my azz on Twitter @ralphlifshitzbb

 
  1. AL KOHOLIC says:
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    great post,thanks ive been waiting on Reyes

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @AL KOHOLIC: Awesome thanks!

  2. goodfold2 says:
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    30 man dynasty with currently 30 minor league slots. all contracts till end of this year and at league min contract (.4 million)only unless mentioned. 100 million budgets. 6.575 mil for this year tied up in buyouts to werth (matched a bid last january 3 FULL DAYS before his apparent need for shoulder surgery and he’s been awful ever since), the .575 is for this year and next as well, for d.leone (who was completely awesome in 2014, only to be shit since then). holds and OPS added roto, but done with real life divisions, i’m NYY and play against 2 of the better teams in the league.
    C herrmann
    CI beltre 10.5 (2017, matched somebody else’s offer)
    CI smoak 1.347
    MI alcides 5.25 (franchise, real life money contract here)
    MI segura .534 (same as alcides, very cheap, won’t be next year)
    OF a-jax 6.4
    OF leonys 3.1
    OF drury .4 (2019, spent a LOT 1.5 years ago to acquire in now gone midseason bidding period)
    util r.howard 6.638
    BN e.carrera
    BN k.johnson 1.428
    BN e.rosario (min till 2018 end), can’t minor him
    DL d’arnaud (2017)
    DL altherr (2019)
    SP liriano 11.5
    sale 6.425
    quintana 6.4
    davies (2019)
    hellickson 5.103
    morrow 3.24 (looking like complete bust, could drop and eat half the money, but with no midseason bidding other than room for trading little reason)
    RP melancon 6.421
    d.hernandez 2.497
    n.jones 5.348
    petit 4.033 (due to skills i thought he’d have roark’s job by now, even with that i paid about twice too much to get him)
    salas 1.4201 (2017)
    urena (2018)
    DL l.hendriks 2.64 (this year’s version of d.leone, RP i knew i could get and if he was as good as last year could’ve been closing, but now terrible and hurt finally, probably hurt all year)

    prospects (all of these are free till called up, then .4 mil per year till end of 2019, and can be put back down with standard at bats/innings)
    C j.o’connor TB
    CI denton STL
    CI l.encarnacion PHI
    CI kubitza ATL
    CI lavalley CIN
    CI padlo TB (damn dickerson trade, taking him out of COL)
    MI rondon TB
    MI p.gonzalez COL
    MI salcedo ATL
    OF cozens PHI
    OF vj reyes ARI
    OF tocci PHI
    OF sierra STL
    OF d.alvarez BAL
    OF dj davis TOR
    OF whitley TB (1st round pick by me in january)
    SP
    kilome PHI
    r.lopez WAS
    heredia PIT
    b.martin TEX
    a.smith SD
    yarbrough SEA
    RP m.ynoa WSOX
    sherfy ARI
    r.alvarez OAK
    m.cabrera ATL
    staumont KC (could be starter, or closer)
    v.alcantara LAA (could be starter)

    every year i’ve owned this team (since dec 2013) it’s been anywhere from about 7th to 15th overall, each year ending at about 10th-12th overall. in 7th now. got 2 trade offers
    1. quintana for t.shaw CI (min till end of 2018)
    2. melancon for g.sanchez (min till end of 2019)

    what you think of those. we have 3 tags we can apply each year, 1 each of franchise or restricted (restrict you can either match somebody else’s bid or get picks commensurate with amount of money offered), franchise is paying the guy his real life amount. the 3rd tag is of either type. almost ALL of my contracts run out this year, and clearly Sale is biggest keeper for SURE.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @goodfold2: I wouldn’t do either. I’d try and figure out where you could upgrade for this year. In 30 teams there’s always more sellers than buyers.

  3. M says:
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    Dansby by July? Sounds like Christmas is coming early this year!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @M: It could happen he’s looked like the real deal so far. They moved Albies to AAA, I suspect at 19-20 they let him stay there for seasoning. While Swanson has the sort of advanced approach I don’t see him being overmatched.

      • M says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: True. He has definitely earned his promotion. If he comes up in July do you see him making a 2015 Correa-like impact?

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @M: Oh no, he’s more .300 10 homer 15 steal guy. More like Xander production than Correa.

  4. ryan says:
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    any news of Lucas Giolito?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @ryan: He’s struggling more than anticipated at AA, he’s started the right ship of late. Doesn’t help that the Nats rotation has been solid thus far.

  5. Tigres says:
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    Ralph, what chance Bregman gets called up shortly after super two passes? More I follow him, the more I like… thanks!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Tigres: He’s up after Reed, and I think they give Moran an extended look. They invested a great deal in Moran. I doubt Bregman is up any earlier than late July. He needs to work on playing third, because he’s got zero future at short with Correa.

  6. Scott says:
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    So why are the Nats waiting on Giolito?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Scott: 3.82 ERA in AA, and overall he hasn’t been that good. There’s been major struggles.

  7. Adam says:
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    Need a streamer today
    Keuchel vs Texas or
    Miley at Cin

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Adam: Miley hahaha! Wow, what a difference a year makes.

  8. David says:
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    Thanks for the work Ralph.

    In your opinion, who has the the better career, Devers or Bregman? Thanks.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @David: Hmmm probably Bregman, I’m drinking the Kool-aid right now. Devers is kind of fat, I discount for fat.

  9. Yescheese says:
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    Seeking new, active dynasty owner!

    Join Razzball’s own “Razznasty” Dynasty! 1 league opening due to retiring owner. Top 5 team.

    16 team, 40 man rosters (30 MLB, 10 MILB). This league has a few active & former razzball writers as well as frequent commentators.

    This team is competitive with guys like Nolan Arenado, Rougned Odor, Mookie Betts, Jacob Degrom, Cole Hamels.

    We are looking for an active owner. If you are looking for your first dynasty league ever, this league may not be for you. If you are looking for something until fantasy football season, this league may not be for you.

    I’ll email you for further details, reply here.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Yescheese: Yes and you get to play with me. It’s just as dreamy as it sounds.

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        Ralph Lifshitz says:
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        @MJC: Free.99

        • MJC says:
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          @Ralph Lifshitz: sounds good to me just waiting on that email.

          • Yescheese says:
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            @MJC: I have emailed you.

        • J-FOH says:
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          @Ralph Lifshitz: great we advertised. Now we have a 50/50 shot at landing someone who may or may not play. I hope cheese sent them the entrance exams.

          • Greg says:
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            @J-FOH: I’m interested. …

    • Bill says:
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      @Yescheese:
      I’m interested.
      I am active in other dynatsy leagues. Not interested in fantasy football at all…checkers to chess.
      [email protected]

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        Ralph Lifshitz says:
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        @Bill: Checkers to chess!!!

      • Yescheese says:
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        @Bill: I have emailed you.

    • Grab Some Pine says:
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      I’ve turned a few keeper teams around now and have been patiently keeping my eye out for a new and quality challenge. I comb the depths of these prospect articles on a near daily basis and this sounds like a great league to put my embarrassing amount of baseball knowledge to work. If you’re still looking, my email is [email protected] Forgive the bizzare (however, a deep reference) long created high school email address that has since become my fantasy sports email.

      • Malicious Phenoms says:
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        @Malicious Phenoms: I am the commish of a dynasty league. Been playing since 1993, BASEBALL ONLY…I am VERY active.

        • Yescheese says:
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          @Malicious Phenoms: I know who you are MP, you’ve been around Razzball for a few years now. I have emailed you.

          • Ralph Lifshitz

            Ralph Lifshitz says:
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            @Yescheese: Cheese doing work!

          • Malicious Phenoms says:
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            @Yescheese: I am familiar with your work Yescheese- hehe…I’ve been here a good few years now..I have replied to your email..

    • Shill Team 6 says:
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      @Yescheese:
      If you cry when someone yells at you. This league is not for you.
      If you won’t trade Arenado to me for VV and Reed, this league is not for you.
      Can we make that second one a requirement?

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        Ralph Lifshitz says:
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        @Shill Team 6: The last part is a hard no….very hard

    • Derrick McIntosh says:
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      @Yescheese:

      Please email me. I am in one 20 team dynasty league, have been looking for another or a few more all year.
      [email protected]

    • kenly0 says:
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      @Yescheese: If this team is still open. I’d be interested. I am the Fantasy Icon. AKA the best Eva

      [email protected]

  10. Brett says:
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    Is there a reason buxton isn’t on this list?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Brett: He’s past his limits and there for no longer a prospect. We’ve discussed him as nauseam too. If he was in the list he’s probably third now. I fully believe Turner and Urias have more right now impact. He’s hitting well at AAA, but the Twins would be smart to keep him there till August.

  11. Uno Mas Cerveza says:
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    I think Bregman is going to be playing 3rd base for the Astros by the 4th of July. They just lost there 5th straight game 2-1. They need some offense from their corner IF. AJ Reed will get his shot and may disappoint but Bregman looks like the real deal. 10 HRs already at AA Corpus Christi.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Uno Mas Cerveza: I’d be a little surprised if he’s up by July 4th. Not impossible, but keep in mind, they invested heavily in Moran. I suspect he gets a month or so to prove himself. Bregman’s also played primarily short. He needs some seasoning in the field.

      With that said he’s hitting everything.

      • Uno Mas Cerveza says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: I think the Moran move is part of a 2 step process…see what Moran has and showcase him a little bit and possibly move Bregman up to Fresno for a few weeks to play 3rd. Bregman , Altuve, Correa and Reed have the makings of one whale of a young infield.

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @Uno Mas Cerveza: Yeah I think he’s up, I just think 4th of July is very aggressive. I think Bregman spends a month at Fresno at least.

          I also doubt the Astros compete this year they’re kid of a mess and I doubt Bregman fixes that. He’ll be up my guess is a few weeks after your time line. In the big scheme of things we’re splitting hairs.

  12. Wild Thing says:
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    Hi Raph,

    Great update!

    Question about my bench. This is a 12 team $260 salary cap keeper league where the first two years of a contract are cheap, then must be signed to a deal at $5 per year plus current salary. So a $1 player signed 3 years would be $16 annually. Starting pitching is weighted moderately higher than the typical league. I’m right up against the salary cap for this year.

    I have stashed…

    AJ Reed $1 – signed March 2017
    Andrew Benintendi $1 – March 2018
    Lucas Giolito $6 – March 2018
    Alex Bregman $1 – March 2018
    Yoan Moncada $11 – March 2018
    Julio Urias $1 – March 2018

    The question is I thought my team would be okay but I’m off to a 5-2 start. My first baseman is Chris Carter. Should I move Carter and Reed for Belt and Snell? Or maybe trade Giolito for Snell to get a pitcher who will help me more this year. Or hold because my young guys will be up soon enough and I don’t NEED to make a move. Thanks!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Wild Thing: I kind of like the Belt and Snell move, feel like you’re getting good value for Carter. I think I’d do Reed for Snell straight up in a league that’s heavily pitching slanted. That means you’re doing Belt for Carter. That’s a no brainer.

  13. DK says:
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    I’ve been offered Swanson for Reyes in my 12tm keeper 6×6. I currently have Kershaw Scherzer Carrasco Darvish T Ross VV Kennedy Hendricks Karns. I don’t have a keeper SS, Segura is there right now. With Zobrist and Wong/Dietrich rounding out 2B and MI.

    I think it’s a pretty good baseball trade. I’m currently in 1st and would love to keep it that way.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @DK: Make the deal, unless you think they’d take Ross or V2 instead.

  14. Nature Boy says:
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    3 yr keeper leage with 1 n/a spot. Kept giolito this year so have 2 more years possibly. Would you drop him for taillon?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Nature Boy: No I’d hold on Giolito.

  15. Chud says:
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    Ralph,

    Great stuff as always! Top 10 list is what I needed.

    10 team full keeper trade offer: I get JBautista n give Eduardo Rodriguez?

    2nd offer: I get GStanton n give up Adam Jones & Buxton.

    Thanks!

    • Bye Felica says:
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      @Chud: take Stanton there and never think about it!!!!!

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        Ralph Lifshitz says:
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        @Bye Felica: Yeah I’d do either, but I like the Stanton deal more.

  16. EazyE says:
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    Great article! I currently have Berrios stashed in a 12 team h2h points keeper league . Should I hold onto him or drop for Reyes?

    Thanks!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @EazyE: Can’t have both? Do you have a crap pitcher you could drop to add Reyes. I do like Reyes more than Berrios, but it’s tough to tell you to drop Berrios. I would rather own Reyes though.

      • EazyE says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: yeah, I could drop Tomlin or Wisler. They are just streamers for me

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @EazyE: Go Tomlin, Wisler has been the tits!

  17. JWRAY says:
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    I’m thinking of dropped Dozier for Schoop. I do not believe Dozier is going to play much better then what we have seen so far. That line-up is nothing special and he is just plain not getting on base. What is the census opinion on who will be better ROS?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @JWRAY: I like Schoop better ROS. Can you trade Dozier for something? Maybe upgrade a closer or starter?

  18. D'arnaudoubt says:
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    Drop Fielder for Trea Turner? I don’t need either position particularly over the other one.

    Thanks!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @D’arnaudoubt: Yeah if you’re not playing Firlder ever, sure.

  19. Scott says:
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    Why no mention of trey Mancini ? The guy is tearing up AAA and I would expect him up by July 1

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Scott: Where’s he going to play?

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        Ralph Lifshitz says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: Also who do you drop.

        • Scott says:
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          @Ralph Lifshitz: heard mention of Davis to 3b and and Mancini to first since Alvarez stinks

          • Ralph Lifshitz

            Ralph Lifshitz says:
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            @Scott: I mean I suppose it’s possible but that makes them even worse defensively.

            He’s also takes at AA, he’s been okay at AAA.

  20. dude says:
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    Looking at stashing an SP, who’s the best bet for this year? And what about longer term for a keeper league?

    Hader, Musgrove, or Voth

    • Malicious Phenoms says:
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      @dude: Hader, Hader

      • dude says:
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        How many IP do you see Hader getting this year in the bigs? Seems like he will max out at 130-140 IP and curious how many of those will be in the bigs. How does Milwaukee usually handle their young pitchers?

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @dude: There’s not a ton of precedent with Milwaukee and young pitchers. They haven’t had a ton of good ones. I’d say he sees 30-40 innings in the bigs.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @dude: Hader for sure. I could see Musgrove coming up and making some starts but he’ll be only average in terms of impact.

  21. Brett says:
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    So if you could stash only one Urias or tailon?

    • Malicious Phenoms says:
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      @Brett: Urias

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Brett: Urias

  22. Scott says:
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    Would you start Nicasio vs Col today?

    • Malicious Phenoms says:
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      @Scott: yup, Rockies not as scary on the road as they are n Coors

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Scott: Yeah I would, I wouldn’t expect more than a QS type performance though.

  23. Scott says:
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    Would you rather have Soler or Duvall right now?

    • Malicious Phenoms says:
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      @Scott: I would say Duvall for now.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Scott: Duvall for sure.

  24. Chris says:
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    Thanks Ralph

    Just picked up Reyes and dropped May, was stashing him hoping he’d take over.
    14 team league 5×5 h2h

    Please pick 5 some might seem obvious but they have tough matchups. Gio and Liriano are my top two I also have Dyson and Krod in as RP’s.
    [email protected] Wash
    Miley vs Minnesota
    Ray vs SD
    [email protected]
    Wright vs Col and @ Tor
    Corbin at Pit
    [email protected] Chi
    [email protected] LAA

    This is the staff I’m facing:
    Gee
    Graverman
    Holland McCullers
    Roark
    Santiago
    Teheran
    Ventura
    He has Siegrist im guessing he might replace him with Anibal Sanchez @ Philly. I’m thinking I do Dyson and Krod regardless, he has no closers.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Chris: Matz, Wright, Miley, Ray, and Fiers. I say play the matchups.

      • Chris says:
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        Thanks!

      • Chris says:
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        I tend to agree but the week I don’t put in Rodon he’ll throw a no hitter with 10 k’s! LOL

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @Chris: Ugh, he’s so frustrating.

          • Chris says:
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            you ok with Wrights matchups of Tor and Col? After Rodon pitching well today you like him over anyone? Or stick with your original thoughts?

            • Ralph Lifshitz

              Ralph Lifshitz says:
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              @Chris: Colorado is at Fenway and the Rockies can’t hit out of Coors. Wright’s had QS’ against the Blue Jays already.

  25. Jeremy says:
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    Hi I’m in a 12 team H2H 10×9 cat DYNASTY ‘keep forever’ league with 40 man rosters
    (32 MLB and 8 MiLB). The hitting cats are:

    H R HR SB RBI BB K AVG OPS TB

    I’m currently in 1st and have won the league the last two years by selling off my
    youth for older vets. I have an offer where I trade Anderson Espinoza for Hanley
    Ramirez

    I’m considering this offer despite some warning signs in HanRam’s stats (contact,
    Ks and losing OF eligibility) and because Espinoza is likely 2-3 yrs away

    At OF I have – Bautista/Fowler/Maybin/Brantley/Pollock
    At 1B I have – Encarnacion/VMart

    Am I selling Espinoza too low? Which player would you want?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
      (link)

      @Jeremy: I’d want someone(s) with a better long term outlook. Hanley has been solid, and has that nice multi-position eligibility, but the power hasn’t really been huge. I wonder how much more you can get for Espinoza an obvious top 20 spec w/ huge upside.

  26. Chris says:
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    Also do I drop Deshields? Time to give up? Lind is available. It’s a deep league not much else there.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Chris: I’d hold on Delinio.

  27. Chris says:
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    Man I hope he comes back sooner rather than later! I like him too.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Chris: He’ll be up, I kind of hope he gets traded to a team in need of a CF.

  28. Matt says:
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    1. In my keeper league we’re allowed one minor league spot. Currently I have Giolito. Should I keep him or replace him with Glassnow, Reyes, Snell or Barrios?

    2. In what order will those 5 have an impact this season alone?

    Thanks!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
      (link)

      @Matt: Glasnow, Snell, Berrios, Reyes, and Gioliti this year.

      Career wise I’d go Giolito, Glasnow, Reyes, Snell, and Berrios

  29. crabman says:
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    Just missed Renfroe on the wire. Is margot a good call up candidate? If so worth a grab in a 12 team keeper?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @crabman: Absolutely, I just prefer Renfroe’s pop.

  30. Alcibiades Escobar says:
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    Thanks for your update, Ralphie!

    Do you think David Dahl comes up this year? I’d love to see him hit in Coors…

  31. Senor says:
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    Would you still hold Berrios or Hader for the rest of the season in redraft? Hearing a lot of good news on Hader.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Senor: For this year I’m still going Berrios.

  32. Raoul Duke says:
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    Sorry, not a prospect question but could you rank Giles, Harris and Benoit in order of who you like best to get saves? I am holding all three right now, but would like to dump one to pick up Soler. Someone in my league just dumped him and I’m thinking about kicking the tires to see if he can live up to his abilities.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Raoul Duke: Sounds like a Smokey question. I’d go Giles, Benoit, then Harris, but it sounds like Harris is getting a lot of love.

  33. Brett says:
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    There’s no way Tailon is coming up this week? He pitched Thursday but is not listed as a starter in any game through this Thursday on Indianapolis’ web site.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Brett: Who said he was up this week? He’s not going to be up from probably two-three weeks. Pirates don’t promote pre-super two, never have, and never will. He’s pitching Thursday @ Rochester or Friday at Pawtucket is my expectation.

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        Ralph Lifshitz says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: Friday at Pawtucket, Kuhl is penciled in for Thursday.

  34. Steeeeeeeve says:
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    Last minute/last ditch effort to come to a decision (8PM PST Deadline). Finished last in 2015 (12 Team Keeper League value inflation +3H, +2P based on draft/waiver price) so the rebuild started then.

    Sitting around 3rd-4th to date w/ rookies + prospects A.J. Reed, C. Rodon, L. Severino, J. Gray, T. Glasnow, and B. Snell already rostered at below $2 keeper prices.

    W/ D. Murphy ($5), A. Russell ($4), N. Castellanos ($2), and J. Villar ($0) I seemingly have zero room for a struggling B. Dozier ($20). W/ C. Davis, G. Stanton, and J. Bautista I don’t necessarily have a need for his HR’s should they come around and his SB potential isn’t enough of a factor at this point to displace any of my other potential options especially factoring in his low BA’s.

    Struggling w/ the ups and downs of C. Rodon ($3) + J. Gray ($0) but planning on riding out the storm for the foreseeable future since they are cheap and interchangeable back-end of my rotation starters.

    Absent a trade this seems like the core ill roll w/ for the rest of the season since the waiver wire doesn’t contain any players capable of having a present impact.

    W/ no identifiable players available to make an impact in the present, looking down the immediate but not to distant future, i.e., Summer 2016 (but still content to add a piece for 2017) who do you recommend I try and get a leg up on and stash before the rest of the league comes around (I can feel it heating up) and most 2016-2017 prospects have been locked up w/ A. Bregman, A. Reyes, O. Arcia, Y. Moncada, R. Stephenson, and A. Benintendi not withstanding.

    Drop – B. Dozier (non-keeper, weakest player + no desperate need aside from Y. Puig, but should he ever “find it” he would be more valuable based on “need”).

    Add – A. Bregman (lock down a solid bat w/ SS eligibility and maybe even 3B); or A. Reyes (and just add another potentially dominant SP prospect for 2017)?

    P.S. – J. Panik is also a drop-able asset but I don’t mind having his average but consistent stat line wasting away on my bench.

    • Steeeeeeeve says:
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      @Steeeeeeeve: I hope the correct answer was “go big or go home and take both” lol.

      In a last minute 360 kept Dozier merely reasoning that a player of his caliber doesn’t belong on the waiver wire. Hopefully he trends upward and I can get “something” out of him or for him down the road.

      Added/stashed A. Bregman and A. Reyes (to go along w/ A.J. Reed, C. Rodon, L. Severino (gulp), J. Gray (gulp again), T. Glasnow, and B. Snell).

      Dropped J. Panik (the more waiver wire appropriate of the 2B) and C. McHugh (C. Rodon + J. Gray are 2 unpredictable SP, no need for a third).

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        Ralph Lifshitz says:
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        @Steeeeeeeve: I think you made the right call.

        • Steeeeeeeve says:
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          @Ralph Lifshitz: Thanks for the confirmation. Officially walking the tightest of ropes w/ 1/2 MLB starters + 1/2 MLB prospects, but only one call up away.

          Totally unrelated and way too early, looking into you’re crystal ball/experience who would u classify as the better keeper at the end of the year (can only afford 1; keep $140 value): G. Stanton ($43) or S. Strasburg ($30). Leaning Strasburg since it seems FA SP are more rare at EOY FA drafts (only Greinke ($28), Strasburg ($28), Price ($35), Kershaw ($46) were available last year then dropped to Hamels, Samardzija, T. Ross). Or is a Stanton (when right) on a way more valuable level?

          Love the site. Don’t know what rock i’ve been under the past couple years.

  35. jal179 says:
    (link)

    Eugenio Suarez or Trea Turner ROS?

    Who’s up first (again in Snell’s case….) Snell or Urias?

    Thx RL.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @jal179: Turner, I’d say Urias is up first. He shoudl be any day now.

  36. TTRA1N says:
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    Better stash in N/A spot. Reyes or Snell?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @TTRA1N: This year is Snell

  37. jal179 says:
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    Crush Davis for Salazar? Thoughts?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @jal179: Seems like a fair trade. Depending upon need I could like either side.

  38. nick the dick says:
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    Ralph, I only have 1 spot left above my bed for a crisp, never been unrolled poster. It’s easily between you and Curt Hennig. Who gets a flawless dropkick to the curb?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
      (link)

      @nick the dick: Curt Henning, can get mangled like Kurt Angle rookie year….Let’s see if you catch the quote.

      • nick the dick says:
        (link)

        @Ralph Lifshitz: Hey you, got a light? Nah, a Bud Light

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
          (link)

          @nick the dick: Early in morning, face crud like from a mud fight

  39. Dave says:
    (link)

    I’m all about a rebuild, but is it too early or unnecessary to stash Benintendi right now? If he’s not going to be up until 2017 or 2018, should I make a deal for him? I have the following prospects:

    Judge, Reed, Moancada, Kepler, Sanchez, Glasnow, Snell, plus alot of youth. Was thinking of trading a guy like Jansen or Glasnow (hitting youth over pitching youth) for Benintendi or even Glas and Jansen for Ben and Bregman.

    That said, I could exercise patience as the owner who has them is in contention and may need roster spots.

    Could also acquire Gallo for either Jansen or Pommeranz or T. Walker.

    Thoughts and help, please.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
      (link)

      @Dave: I’d hold until it’s closer to the deadline. Jansen, Walker, and Glasnow. These are all great assets, and none are old.

      • Dave says:
        (link)

        @Ralph Lifshitz:

        Thanks…..patience is a virtue and something I’m working on:)

  40. Swfcdan says:
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    Ralph your prospect blogs are the shit(z).

    What are your thoughts on 2 younger guys, Barretto and Devers. Devers has come back to life last time I checked, but Barretto seems to be struggling this year, any concern there?

    Bit surprised not to see Buxton anywhere on the above list, as service time is not an issue for him. Think he’s more of a late season recall now, or could he be up any time once he’s looking good again so difficult to give an ETA?

    Thanks

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
      (link)

      @Swfcdan: Buxton is past his limits so I won’t include him in prospect lists going forward. My assumption is he’s down for a month or two. He needs time in AAA, so far he’s hit.

      I like both, each has struggled this year but both are immensely talented.

  41. Charles In Charge says:
    (link)

    Great article. I’m on the fence between grabbing Bregman or Swanson in a keeper league (up to 4 years). Who will have the better short term career? Leaning towards Bregman cuz he will likely be 3B and I have a SS, Correa, for 3 more years and Bregs is tearing it up at AA. Theyre stats are pretty similar besides Bregs having more HR and Swanson more steals.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
      (link)

      @Charles In Charge: I would go Bregman. He’s the better overall hitter. Swanson is going to be a great MI asset, Bregman will be just a great asset.

      Thanks for reading!

  42. Bryce Krispie Treats says:
    (link)

    So I picked up Bregman in my keeper league and dropped Giolito (its a 5 year keeper league and we really cant afford to stash more than one guy at a time).

    Thoughts on a call up? What does your crystal ball say??? Also, general thoughts on Bregman?

    Thanks a ton! Just looking for some reassurance :)

  43. ballin says:
    (link)

    Considering dropping Lucas Giolito for Alex Reyes. It is unlikely I would be able to keep Giolito, would Reyes be more productive this season? I could also drop Tyler Glasnow, but I feel like he will be up sooner.

  44. Commish Cauda says:
    (link)

    16-team, H2H-Points Modified Keeper League, (W=7, QS=5, L=-5, etc.; HR=4, 3B=3, etc., SB=3, CS=-1, K=-1, etc)

    Two minors spots. If they are still in the minors on Aug 31, they can be kept next year for free. If they come up, they can be kept for a 13th rounder next year.

    Currently have AJ Reed and Jose Berrios. When Reed gets the call soon, which prospect would you stash with the thought of making the biggest splash this year and be a contributor and/or be trade bait for a stud? (This league goes crazy for prospects who perform well out of the gate)

    Hader
    Musgrove
    Cody Reed
    Paxton

    Benintendl
    Nick Williams
    Ozzy Albies
    Renfroe
    Kepler
    Tim Anderson
    Bader
    Winker

  45. Quintero says:
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    Ralph,
    How serious do you think about Castellanos’ breakout?
    Would you trade him for Donaldson in a H2H dynasty 10-cat(R,H,HR,RBI,SB,BB,TB,AVG,OPS,XBH)?
    Thanks in advance for your time!

  46. Primetime says:
    (link)

    Anyone in the farm couple years away or few that is Clayton kershawish ? Keep my eye on? Also moncada when he’s projects time to show?

  47. Steve says:
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    Hey Ralph, when’s a good time to stash Contreras?

Comments are closed.