Fantasy Baseball Advice

RCL Roundup: April 16

April 16, 2012 By: VinWins Category: Our Leagues 29 Comments →

The first full week brought more reliever injuries, questionable manager decisions, and batting slumps, causing much consternation in the Razzball world. Colby Rasmus took a lot of the vitriol, and was dropped in 10 leagues. He was usually picked up again, though, and started to heat up, finishing with 5 RBI and a stolen base.

Adam LaRoche was a key add this week, and is now owned in all 48 leagues, as compared to 49.4 % of all ESPN leagues. Lance Lynn (44 leagues/18.5% ESPN), Zack Cozart (48/50.9%), Alejandro De Aza (48/22.5%), and Bryan LaHair (37/4.9%) were also RCL favorites. Bryce Harper is now owned in 31 leagues as many are hoping for an early call-up.

There were 6 trades, and as usual in fantasyland, some big names were dealt. In RCL 21,  Giancarlo‘s injury status scared Montgomery Biscuits into trading Stanton and Daniel Bard to Team Bass for Jose Reyes. In the same league, Smell The Glove dealt Andrew McCutchen and Tommy Milone to Man Lotion for Alex Rodriguez and Jay Bruce.  Lackey’s Chicken Shack was chasing saves in RCL 46, trading Brandon Phillips to Wood Street Wonders for Jason Motte and Matt Capps. Others traded this week include Nelson Cruz, Dan Haren, Edwin Encarnacion, Alex Gordon, and Madison Bumgarner. You can find all the trades in the fantasy baseball forums. The Commenter League threads can be found under “Everything Else.”

League Leaders

Premium Lumber (RCL 46), paced by Matt Kemp’s amazing line (.545/7 R/4 HR/8 RBI), were the top hitting team this week. They hit .331 with 18 home runs and 53 RBI, 53 runs, and 7 steals.

Average: .376 (This is Not A Name – Original Recipe)

Runs: 57 (Team Duda on Yu – RCL 38)

HR: 20 (Playin’ The Field – Beef SAGNOF!)

RBI: 59 (The Padre’s Pirates – Matthew Berry Is A Tool )

SB: 14 (Team Elijah’s Army – RCL 22)

Team Robbins (Fantasy Master Lotharios) put up the best pitching numbers this week, thanks to C.J. Wilson (2 wins/1.38 ERA), Jonathan Niese (1 Win/0.00/0.90), Brandon Beachy (1 Win/0.75/1.00), and Ricky Romero (1 Win/1.08/0.60). They finished with 70 Ks in 86 innings, 10 wins, 3 saves, 2.20 ERA, and a WHIP of 1.13.

Ks: 24 (The Man Bear Pigs – RCL 24)

Wins: 10 (Team Robbins – Fantasy Master Lotharios)

Saves: 10 (Ali’s Beard  – Myrtle’s Acres)

ERA: 1.51 (Highly Questionable – RCL 44)

WHIP: 0.73 (Yu R A Whirling Darvish  – RCL 29)

RCL Logo
TEAM OF THE WEEK – April 9 – 15
Bay City Bandits (RCL 46)
.332 (105/316)
52R/12 HR/45 RBI/7 SB
48.2 IP
51 K/4 W/2.03/0.97/7 S
The Bay City Bandits moved up 2 spots in the standings to take first place in RCL 46 away from Premium Lumber, with Michael Young (.414/3 R/1 HR/8 RBI), Derek Jeter (.429/5 R/2 HR/6 RBI), and J.D. Martinez (.391/4 R/2 HR/7 RBI) leading the way. Two more Rangers, Ian Kinsler and Josh Hamilton, added 6 home runs and 15 runs scored. Javy Guerra contributed a win and 3 saves, with an ERA of 0.00 and 0.75 WHIP. Matt Garza tossed 8.2 scoreless innings, recording 9 strikeouts and allowing just 5 baserunners. Shawn Marcum added 12 Ks in 13 innings with a 0.77 WHIP.

Blog Wars 2012: The One Grey and Rudy Let the Prospect Guy Run

April 08, 2012 By: Scott Evans Category: 2012 Fantasy Baseball Draft, Our Leagues 61 Comments →

Grey and Rudy are letting me run a team for Razzball, and I’m totally pumped about it.  See, this is my first venture into the realm of expert leagues or writer’s leagues or whatever the hell you wanna call them and the pressure on a rookie like me is enormous.  Grey told me I can only cover White Sox prospects if I don’t finish in the top eight.  I feel like Andrew Luck or something… probably bigger than that, actually.  Anyway.  The auction happened a couple Thursdays ago and my strategy was simple:  don’t look stupid.  I’m not quite sure if I’ve succeeded in that regard.  You tell me.  Click here to see the complete auction results.

Format:  14 teams, mixed, roto, 5×5 – C, C, 1B, 2B, 3B, SS, CI, MI, OF, OF, OF, OF, OF, Util, SP, RP, P, P, P, P, P, P, P, BN, BN, BN, DL, DL, DL, DL, DL

C – Joe Mauer $14

C – John Buck $1

1B – Ike Davis $12

2B – Ian Kinsler $34

3B – Mark Reynolds $10

SS – Asdrubal Cabrera $14

MI – Daniel Murphy $4

CI – Mike Carp $3

OF – Ryan Braun $43

OF – Michael Bourn $23

OF – Yoenis Cespedes $7

OF – Carlos Beltran $7

OF – Nick Markakis $8

U – Colby Rasmus $3

SP – Matt Cain $20

RP – Joe Nathan $8

P – Stephen Strasburg $20

P – Matt Thornton $7

P – Ted Lilly $4

P – Justin Masterson $3

P – Colby Lewis $3

P – Edinson Volquez $4

P – Gavin Floyd $2

Bench – Sergio Romo $1

Bench – Phil Hughes $3

Bench – Vance Worley $2

My goal was to stay on budget.  I targeted a $180/$80 split between hitting and pitching and I ended up at $183/$77.  Not bad.  I also wanted to make sure I had some dough left near the end in order to ensure I could buy a few of my favorite sleepers for $2 or $3.  This plan backfired.  Not that I didn’t have money near the end – I had plenty – but rather, there was literally no one left who I wanted for two bucks.  That’s the reason you see purchases like Phil Hughes for $3 and Vance Worley for $2.  Spend it if you got it, right?  Hell yeah I’ll bid you up on an injured Mike Carp – I still have twelve bucks left to spend on three negative-value players.  No point in leaving dollars out there. 

Favorite Buys

I was pleased to get Braun at $43, especially when six guys – Tulo ($49), Miggy ($49), Kemp ($46), Bautista ($46), Pujols ($45), Cano ($44) – went for more.  I thought I got great value across my entire outfield, actually.  Beltran is a health risk, sure, but I’ll take on that risk for $7 – upside is worth twice that, at least.  I also love the flexibility Daniel Murphy provides in a deep CI/MI league like this.  I’ll take him for four bucks any day.

Least Favorite Buys

Ted Lilly and Mike Carp are on the DL and I spent a combined $7 on the two.  The league has five DL slots, so this isn’t a killer, but I’m certainly not thrilled.  I knew Lilly was having issues when I bought him, but I was hopeful he wouldn’t end up on the DL.  I’m also growing increasingly skeptical on Volquez.  He was one of those I’ve-got-a-lot-of-money-left-so-I-might-as-well-pay-for-the-upside guys near the end of the auction.

Most Important Thing To Note

This is just the beginning.  Drafting is certainly the most exciting component of the fantasy baseball season, but it’s not the most important.  Any winning team I’ve had in the past has been based on in-season management.  I enjoy the grind of the baseball season and I’m sure that by mid-season my team will look quite different from how it appears at this moment.  Of course, I’ve never been up against such a knowledgeable group of competitors.  I’m looking forward to see how my skills stack up.  I’ll be sure to keep you posted.

The 2012 RCL Drafts: A Recap

April 02, 2012 By: VinWins Category: Our Leagues 61 Comments →

48 leagues made 14,400 selections at the draft table in March. 440 different players were chosen, with 218 being selected in all leagues. Another 15 were drafted in 47 of the 48 leagues. 33 were taken in just 1 league.

Last year Albert Pujols was the first choice in 37 of the 38 leagues, but this year there was a bit more variety. Miguel Cabrera led the way with 28 selections at #1, while Pujols trailed with 10. Ryan Braun (5), Matt Kemp (4), and Jose Bautista (1) also were honored with a first-overall pick.

Those 5 went in the first round in every draft, along with Joey Votto. A total of 20 different players were drafted in round 1, including Alcides Escobar, surely by someone thinking they were in a Fantasy Razzball draft. First basemen dominated round 1 with 207 selections, followed by outfielders (170), third basemen (87), shortstops (67), and second basemen (39). Pitchers were selected 6 times, with Roy Halladay (4) and Justin Verlander (2) taking those spots.

Miggy had the top ADP at 1.8, followed by Pujols at 2.1. The rest of the top 10 consisted of Kemp (4.1), Braun (4.2), Bautista (5.1), Votto (6.2), Troy Tulowitzki (6.5), Evan Longoria (9.6), Adrian Gonzalez (10.2), and Robinson Cano (10.4). Cabrera’s face injury may have worried a few drafters, as Pujols had the slightly better ADP (1.7 to 2.0) over the last 2 days (11 drafts). Roy Halladay (19.4) was the top pitcher, 18th overall, followed by Clayton Kershaw (22.6) and Verlander (22.9). Craig Kimbrel was the first relief pitcher chosen 45 times and finished with a 70.7 ADP.

Hanley Ramirez: Despite the horrible 2011 from the consensus 2nd-overall pick, drafters weren’t giving up on Hanley. He went in the first round 18 times, and the 2nd round in the other 30 drafts for a 13.6 ADP.

Carl Crawford: People were not as willing to trust Crawford would return to form, and he was generally chosen in the 6th or 7th rounds.

Eric Hosmer: Razzers are all in, driving his ADP to 41.4.

Ian Kinsler: Was taken in the 2nd round of every draft, improving on his 2011 ADP by 17 spots.

Giancarlo Stanton: Lots of love for the man they used to call… I want to say Mark, but that doesn’t sound right. Anyways, he usually went in round 2, but did fall to the early 3rd on 4 occasions.

The Defending Champion: Random ItalicizedVoice is back to defend our title (I was in his league, so I must have had something to do with it) and picking out of the 10th slot started his team with the Gonzalez Gang, Adrian and Carlos, followed by Ryan Zimmerman. Now, don’t embarrass us, RIV.

The ECFBL: The toughest 2011 league has returned and once again followed their own path, drafting fewer starting pitchers than any other league. With the average being 80 starters per league, the ECFBL took just 64. Pitchers they ignored who were drafted in the other 47 leagues include Jhoulys Chacin, Bud Norris, Wandy Rodriguez, Ted Lilly, Ryan Dempster, and Justin Masterson.

We Like You More Than Grey Does, Mr. Bourn: Ranked 125th by Grey in his top 300, RCL drafters still valued him highly. He was picked as early as 25th, with an average of 47.4. Also in this category would be David Ortiz (184th/ADP: 85.1), Ben Zobrist (96th/ADP: 53.1), Ichiro (148th/AD:97.3) and Dee Gordon (165th/ADP 108.6), along with pitchers James Shields, Matt Cain, and Matt Moore.

We Can’t Agree: David Freese was drafted as early as 109th , and as late as 283rd, a 174 slot difference. Jose Tabata was picked 124th and also 292nd. Jason Kubel’s ranged stretched from 98 to 264.

What Does Grey See That We Can’t, Roger? Grey has Roger Bernadina ranked 201st, in a tier called, “You may get a top 20 OF from any of these guys. Or a guy you want to drop by April 15th.” Every other OF in this tier was grabbed at least once, but not Mr. Bernadina.

>>You can find all the draft numbers here.

Looking forward to another great year of Razzball Commenter League action. I’ll be posting stuff in the fantasy baseball forums all season, so check it out. Good luck!

Under the Greydar: Mike Aviles

March 20, 2012 By: Oregon Nut Cups Category: 2012 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers 22 Comments →

Ok, this one feels like I’m cheating.  First off, I tell you I don’t like having to buy him as a backup for my 3Bs and now I’m telling you to pay attention to him.  Not to mention he is technically not going outside the top 300 ADP on mockdraftcentral as of right now.  Ok now that I’ve listed all the reasons I’m a downright hypocrite, this has to be the cheapest 3B,2B, soon to be SS in ESPN leagues player that should be a lock for .280 10/15 with 450 ABs with room for more power and speed in a very solid lineup.  There seems to be this strange belief that Nick Punto is somehow going to eat into his at-bats at SS this year.  Really?  If the Red Sox were that concerned with their defense, they could bring up their homegrown Rey Ordonez -  Jose Iglesias – and move on.  Nick was brought around to be a utility player on an older team.  He’ll most likely be used when someone gets hurt, as a late defensive replacement or just to be a little Punto (spanish puns!  ¡Muy bien!).  Mike Aviles is going around 278 ADP so you don’t have to be jumping out of the gates to get him in a standard league.  In deep league formats that play more than one at each infield position, Mike Aviles on your bench is a huge asset as he can fill in for days off and injuries to your main lineup.  Plus if you draft Zack Cozart and he’s a bust, you have a great consolation prize in Aviles to back him up.

Still not convinced?  Ok, let’s do a quick player A vs player B experiment.  In 614 at-bats, this shortstop is projected by Bill James to hit .279 with 16 homeruns and 15 stolen bases.  If we give Aviles the same amount of at-bats for his season projections, he hits 14.75 HRs and steals 20 bags while hitting .279.  I think the .75 HR is what happens when you try for an inside the park homerun and trip on grass, a la Braun last year.  But more to the point, who is he being compared to here you ask?  Asdrubal Cabrera, someone who will be gone before the 8th round is over in even a standard league.  Now due to his likely 9th spot in the Boston lineup, I do not see him getting 600 at-bats this year.  Despite that, it’s not like it’s a bad thing to bat in front of Jacoby Ellsbury, Dustin Pedroia and Adrian Gonzalez.  He’s going to see good pitches in that spot in the lineup and have a sneaky chance at scoring 60 to 70 runs.  Think of Aviles as someone who can plug your team’s holes when they need it…no wait, let me rephrase that.  He’s not going to win you your league, but he’s sure going to help you keep that lead up when someone in your infield goes all Ian Kinsler on you and gets a hangnail that sidelines them for a month.  There, that sounded like it could be watched on ABCDisnESPN.

Top 20 2nd Basemen for 2012 Fantasy Baseball

January 20, 2012 By: Grey Category: 2012 Fantasy Baseball Draft, 2012 Fantasy Baseball Rankings 71 Comments →

We continue our 2012 fantasy baseball rankings with the top 20 2nd basemen for 2012 fantasy baseball.  There’s no 2nd baseman in the top 10 for 2012 fantasy baseball.  At least by my calculation.  Some ‘perts are putting Cano in the top 10, but I see him just outside of the top 10, but then again 2nd base is packed to the rafters with production.  It looks deeper than the 1st basemen pool and I’m only being half-facetious.  It’s like all 2nd basemen slept at a Holiday Inn last night.  There’s 15 guys I would take and if I had a middle infield spot on my roster, I’d definitely look to put a 2nd baseman in there.  As with the previous ranking lists, tiers and my projections are noted.  Anyway, here’s the top 20 2nd basemen for 2012 fantasy baseball:

1. Robinson Cano – See the top 20 for 2012 fantasy baseball for Robinson Cano’s projections.

2. Ian Kinsler – See the top 20 for 2012 fantasy baseball for Ian Kinsler’s projections.

3. Dustin Pedroia – See the top 20 for 2012 fantasy baseball for Dustin Pedroia’s projections.

4. Dan Uggla – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until Utley (or Cuddyer, if he has eligibility).  I call this tier, “I see good value.  Draft one.”  This tier name sounds like I’m a handicapper for horse races.  Gambler’s Ruin is great on mud, put all your money on him!   Member when Dan Uggla was hitting, like, .180 and it was July and you were like, “Screw this, homie!  I’m going gangster on my team and trading Uggla for an Obama Chia.”  Then your neighbor saw that getting dropped off at your doorstep, stole it and Uggla went on to hit in like 40 games straight.  Nothing ever works out for you, huh?  Now I’m Worried you left on the oven after drying your pantyhose.  (That Twitter feed is a friend’s.  You follow now, thank you.)  Uggla wasn’t quite the hitter we saw during his hitting streak (no kidding!) but he isn’t a sub-.200 hitter either.  Or is it eyether?  Let’s call this whole thing off!  Wait, he is a 35 homer hitter.  I’ll take that and a box of Ding Dongs!  And, no, box of Ding Dongs isn’t a new Timberlake/Samberg song.  (Yes, that’s two days and two ding dong jokes.  My cup runneth over with ding dong jokes.  I am the ding dongiest!)  2012 Projections:  90/35/105/.250/3

5. Howie Kendrick – Sometimes when you go out on a limb, the limb breaks and you fall on your ass.  That might happen with Kendrick in 2012, but I’m going all in.  From 2010 to 2011 in 18 less games, he went from 10 homers to 18 homers and struck out more.  His HR/FB rate was high and he’s injury-prone.  It points to flukey.  I see a guy with 15 homer power, 15 steal speed, 100 runs and 75 RBIs potential that should hit around .290.  It’s okay, but what puts me over on him is he’s in the prime of his career so he should max out his power and look like Pedroia at a cheaper cost.  Oh, and one thing that’s been criminally under-reported, the Angels added Pujols.  You think someone would’ve talked about that.  2012 Projections:  100/18/70/.290/15

6. Brandon Phillips – Joey Votto’s gonna win the MVP and Brandon Phillips is going to be hoisted onto Jay Bruce’s shoulders next October with the team dedicating their World Series victory to their former pitching coach, Dick Pole.  Just so they can see people on Twitter snicker at his mention.  That’s how I see things playing out.  Phillips won’t be their regular season hero; he’ll be a piece.  The wily vet that plays 150 games a year and gets all those counting stats and has some power and speed that people credit more for their clubhouse leadership.  Whatever, B.P. is still greasing up some decent stats for his position.  2012 Projections:  90/20/85/.275/17

7. Chase Utley – Nah, he’s not winning the MVP again.  Well, I guess anything’s possible if he’s wearing one of Ryan Braun’s Ed Hardy t-shirts, but it seems like the best is behind him like J. Lo.  Then throw in you have no idea how long Ryan Howard is going to be out, then throw in Utley’s inability to stay healthy, then throw in his pomade, then throw in a leprechaun’s toenail and the steam that rises from the brew you threw all that in reads, “Utley should be avoided.”  Now what if I said I didn’t agree?  He’s never had a season of 120+ games where he’s been useless.  Granted, getting to 120 games has been an issue, but we knew going into last year he wasn’t going to be right.  When he did come back, his speed was fine.  Like he was never hurt.  His power was off, but so was his homers per fly ball.  His average was off, but so was his luck.  He’s going to get you 2nd to 3rd round numbers at a much cheaper price than he usually is.  BTW, if he’s bad this year, his career’s in trouble.  I think he knows that too.  2012 Projections:  80/20/85/.280/15

7 1/4. Michael Young – Only has 14 games at 2nd so he may not have eligibility in all leagues.  To see Young’s projections go to the top 20 1st basemen for 2012 fantasy baseball.

7 1/2. Michael Cuddyer – Only has 17 games at 2nd base, so he gets a half ranking.  To see Cuddyer’s projections go to the top 20 1st basemen for 2012 fantasy baseball.

8. Ben Zobrist – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until Weeks.  I call this tier, “Others are taking these guys before me.”  I really don’t like Zobrist.  His stats are just too flaky for my tastes.  One year he hits .297 then .238 then .269.  Then he hits 27 homers then 10 then 20.  “Hey, fella, how about you just hit 17 homers and stop confusing Grey?!”  That’s you in the first row behind the Rays’ dugout because you’re protecting my honor.  Thx, btw!  (Don’t you love when someone abbreviates thanks as thx?  Gee, thanks so much for showing me your appreciation by almost writing a WHOLE SIX LETTER WORD!)  I’m ranking Zobrist later than most ‘perts because I don’t want him, but if he fell to me I would take him because he seems like he’s capable of a 15/15 season.  Plus or minus 15 homers and steals.  Yeah, he’s all over the map.  2012 Projections:  75/17/90/.255/17

9. Rickie Weeks – Stop me if you’ve heard this before– Stop!  I haven’t said anything yet, Random Italicized Voice.  I’ve heard, “Stop me if you’ve heard this before” before.  Here’s the games played for Weeks over his career — 96, 95, 118, 129, 37, 160, 118.  Throw out 37 and 160 and on average he plays in 118 games.  Or maybe that’s the median.  Or the mean.  I don’t know.  What I do know is he can’t stay healthy.  He can repeat his power output from last year and chuck in about 10 steals if he’s healthy, but that “if” is the size of Gilbert Grape’s mom.  2012 Projections:  65/18/50/.260/10

10. Danny Espinosa – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until Kelly Johnson.  I call this tier, “Shine’s off these guys, but I like them.  Even if they might hit .240 collectively.”  At 24 years old, Espinosa hit 21 homers and stole 17 bases.  That’s the good news.  The very good news is he can hit more homers and steal more bases.  The so-so news is it might not be much more of either.  The bad news is he hit .236.  The not good or not bad news is his luck was neutral.  The “Is this really even news anymore?” news is Espinosa won’t ever hit for much of an average without luck.  The last bit of news is I’m not wearing pants.  2012 Projections:  80/24/90/.240/19

11. Aaron Hill – Here’s what I said towards the end of last year, “Hill looked to be an average issue hitter that could at least give you power.  Not this year.  His power completely evaporated.  Oddly enough, he doubled his line drive rate from 2010 and lowered his K-rate.  In short (which I only say after going long), Hill’s season made no sense.  Seriously, I can’t make heads or tails of it.  Yes, even in hindsight it’s not 20/20.  It will take some brass ones to go all in on Hill again next year, but I’m leaning that way right now.”  And that’s me quoting me!  Now, looking at Hill, I’m still no cyclops with a monocle.  What we do know is he hit .315 in Arizona in the 33 games after he was traded.  It’s something!  I don’t get where those 21 steals came from last year, but if it was some kind of deal with the devil, he forgot to specify to leave his power alone and the devil duped him.  You duping devil!  2012 Projections:  70/18/80/.265/15

12. Kelly Johnson – After a trade that sent Hill to the D-Backs and Johnson to the Jays, these two will be forever linked.  Or just for right now in the rankings.  Either way, let’s pretend we’re in the first semester of our junior year of high school and we’re taking the SATs.  The final question will send you to either Brown or nowhere because you refuse to have a safety school.  Question:  In 2008, Kelly Johnson hit .287.  In 2009, he hit .224.  In 2010, he hit .284.  In 2011, he hit .222.  What will he hit in 2012?  You know the answer; Brown’s within reach!  You say he’ll hit around .280 and… You’re wrong.  You then go on a 15-month bender that finds you waiting tables on an over-60 cruise ship and making out with grandmothers.  His good/bad alternating averages don’t mean anything, except it does tell us it’s not out of the realm of possibility for Johnson to hit something respectable.  2012 Projections:  80/20/70/.265/14

13. Jason Kipnis – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until Ackley.  I call this tier, “Sleepers or guys that are overdrafted depending on how smart your leaguemates think they are.”  What I mean by the tier name is in leagues with people who prep the day before and just fly by the seat of their pants, this tier probably won’t be that known unless you’re in Cleveland, Seattle or Oakland.  In leagues where owners started prepping last November, there’s giant flashing lights on this tier’s players to the point where people will probably reach for them way too early.  As for Jason Kipnis, I already went over my Kipnis 2012 fantasy.  I wrote it enclosed with a giant heart on a bathroom stall.  2012 Projections:  80/14/60/.255/12

14. Jemile Weeks – Member when 2nd base was a speed position?  Was before Bret Boone started frosting his hair.  All of these 2nd basemen that are on the scene today probably idolized Boone and his frosted tips.  They probably even went as far to emulate him and frosted their hair too.  When Jemile frosted his hair, his classmates probably called him Sisqo, which is downright embarrassing, so he decided to rebel against the power 2nd baseman and work on his speed.  Or not.  Simply a theory.  Weeks reminds me a bit of Luis Castillo.  That takes some air out of your Jemile Weeks balloon, huh?  Hey, Castillo had some good years.  2012 Projections:  90/3/50/.265/30

15. Dustin Ackley – I’m having a real hard time understanding the hype on Ackley.  To the point where I’m not drafting him unless he falls pretty far.  He’s never hit more than 9 homers at any level of professional ball or stole more than 8 bases.  Granted, these were abbreviated seasons, but he’s also going to be playing his home games in a terrible hitting park.  I’m gonna let someone else take the chance that he shows his ceiling of 15 homers and 15 steals while expecting he shows something closer to… 2012 Projections:  80/12/55/.265/12

16. Ryan Roberts – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until Beckham.  I call this tier, “Post-hype and no hype guys.  I guess I’ll draft them, but they’d have to be super cheap.”  Ryan Roberts reads to me like a Ryan Ludwick/Casey McGehee-type.  Never considered much of anything, then they explode on the scene at a late age, then they return to Back To Wherever You Came From-ville (which has higher real estate prices than I’m So Outta Here-ville cause of the influx of has-beens).  There should be a glossary term for these type of no hype players that only have one good year.  Suggest in the comments.  2012 Projections:  55/13/65/.245/15

17. Neil Walker – This guy isn’t far off from Ryan Roberts.  They’re pretty much flip-floppable (Made Up Word of the Day!).  But since Roberts just came off a better season, I put them in this order.  Could see Walker outperforming him in 2012, but not by much since Walker doesn’t have huge power or speed.  Not that Roberts does either… Whatever, I don’t like either, stop arguing with me!  2012 Projections:  70/12/80/.270/7

18. Gordon Beckham – Something that hasn’t been reported (or at least by me) is:  Could Ozzie leaving town have a positive impact on some White Sox players?  You know, the guys that he used to ball-bust.  I wouldn’t be shocked if Beckham comes around as a post-hype sleeper just to prove Ozzie wrong.  Am I betting a whole lot that that (stutterer!) is gonna happen?  Oh, hells no!  Beckham just came off a season where 21% of all of his fly balls were infield pop-ups.  That’s terrible.  In my opinion (and, really, if you don’t want my opinion, you’re probably reading the wrong site), a hitter can’t make worst contact than an infield pop.  By drafting Beckham, you’re basically saying that his last two years were a fluke and he’s going to fix everything.  Put the chances of that happening in one hand and the chances of it not happening in the other hand and you have two empty hands.  Can’t really weigh chances.  Maybe you shouldn’t have quit college to become a scale.  2012 Projections:  55/14/70/.260/5

19. Ryan Raburn – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until Roberts.  I call this tier, “Fool me once, shame on you.  Fool me twice and shame on you again.  I’m good at displacing blame.”  Bill James still believes.  He has Raburn’s 2012 projections down for 18/4.  Last year was the chance for Raburn to become relevant.  He’s going to be 31 years old for the majority of the 2012 season.  I got better things to do than draft a 31-year-old player who has never shown much of anything.  Not to mention, there’s been talk of him blahtooning with Ramon Santiago.  That’s nice, have fun!  2012 Projections:  40/12/50/.275/3

20. Brian Roberts – I’m sure Brian Roberts never thought he’d be passed on the rankings by a name that people used to mistakenly call him.  Here’s the world’s smallest violin.  Here’s me putting the world’s smallest violin on eBay.  Here’s someone Buying It Now for one cent and playing it just for Brian Roberts.  2012 Projections:  65/5/35/.260/12

After the top 20 2nd basemen for 2012 fantasy baseball, there’s a lot of names but these stand out, for better or worse:

Daniel Murphy – I left him off the top 20 1st basemen for 2012 fantasy baseball and that top 20 went to, like, 30.  Honestly, seriously, Cliff Lee, I can’t imagine drafting Murphy anywhere.  If he hits in the beginning of the year, you can pick him off waivers in most leagues as a hot schmotato.  2012 Projections:  75/12/60/.275/5

Sean Rodriguez – I almost feel the same way about Sean-Rod as I do with Raburn.  Go reread Raburn’s blurb in the passive voice.  The one positive on Sean-Rod that Raburn lacks is age.  Sean-Rod will only be 27 this April.  If there’s no one left on the board, I’d take the flyer and hope Sean-Rod does something.  His K-rate tells me he probably won’t.  2012 Projections:  55/14/65/.230/10

Jose Altuve – I haven’t written a Jose Altuve sleeper post yet, but my Magic Eight Ball says, “There’s a chance you write a sleeper post on Jose Altuve.”  When I bought this Magic Eight Ball in 1989, I never understood why it kept saying that.  In the minors, Altuve showed he could get to double digit power and low 20′s steal-speed.  I’ve seen worse.  You feel me?!  If you do, could you stop?  I hate looking at Astros hitters for anything other than which pitchers to stream against them, but Altuve looks like he could have some sneaky value.  Now to figure out why my Magic Eight Ball keeps telling me to write a sleeper post for Ken Griffey Jr. Jr. Jr.  2012 Projections:  80/12/40/.265/24 (<–crazy optimistic, but whatevs)