Ohhhhh, an MLB debut on Sunday!  Perfect for the Pitcher Profile!  Starting the second half with a bang!

Even though he was likely not throwing too many pitches, I decided to take a flier on Dylan Bundy in most of my redraft leagues.  He was the talk of the prospect community way back in 2012 where he terrorized the Minors and actually picked up 1.2 innings in the Majors that season, progressing all the way from A ball.  Unfortunately, as is the case with a ton of pitcher prospects, injuries reared their ugly head with a TJ surgery and shoulder issues, and he hasn’t pitched 100 professional innings since.  I remember going coocoo for Cocoa Puffs for him back in the day, so I was all decked out in my proverbial Bundy gear to prepare for his first Major League start.  Here’s how he looked yesterday afternoon at the Rays:

First Inning: The O’s pickup an early run of support for the rook, and Bundy’s first pitch is a 96 MPH fastball right on the black up-and-in for a strike to Logan Forsythe, 0-1.  97 MPH fastball is high, 96 is on the outside corner, the 97 on the outer third is swung through and missed for a K to start it off on 4 straight fastballs!

Bundy-Fastball-1Hell yeah!  97 is outside to Brad Miller, then a low 96 MPH fastball is chopped to first, with Bundy covering well to get the out.  Then yikes, this is Bundy’s first curveball as the first pitch to Evan Longoria.

Bundy-Curveball-1Then there’s my jynx, Longoria sits dead-red fastball and gets 97 MPH right where he wants it for a murder of a home run.  Caleb Joseph sat low and away and Bundy missed up and towards the hands, but in the zone.  So fastball location is looking like it may be an issue.  96 misses outside to Logan Morrison, then Bundy’s first change-up is an 87 MPH high one that LoMo pops out to foul territory past third base and gets Bundy out of his first inning with only giving up one base runner.  Gotta be a positive!

Second Inning: Still a 1-1 game and Steven Souza fouls off an inside fastball, 0-1.  Then fastball again inside is hit hard to center, with Adam Jones pulling up on it for a single.  Hard hit single for sure, didn’t jam him enough.  High 95 MPH fastball gets a whiff from Corey Dickerson, Bundy absolutely paints the outside corner at 97 0-2, then high fastball again at 96 gets a lazy pop to center, one down.  96 blows Kevin Kiermaier away with yet another swinging strike, 97 sails high, 96 high and Kiermaier can’t hold his swing for another whiff, then 97 high blows him again for ANOTHER whiff and Bundy’s second K.

Bundy-Fastball-296 on the hands gets Oswaldo Arcia to – you guess it – swing and miss, 97 too far inside, 95 looked perfect on the outside corner but called a ball 2-1, 94 misses just outside but definitely a ball, then wow, change-up 3-1 at 86 MPH gets a called strike 2, love the confidence there, then unbelievable, a 96 MPH HR on the outside corner gets Arcia basically just flipping his bat at it, and it carries out for a homer by about an inch.  Sure, it’s the Trop and a pitcher’s park, but that homer was crazy.  Credit Arcia for that strength, but that didn’t look like a homer at all off the bat.  Alright, I’m mad, I’m sure Bundy is mad, and he starts Curt Casali with a curveball that stays high, curve again stays high, now fastball at 96 is high, 3-0 and a little unhinged.  Then 94 is just barely off the outside black for a 4-pitch walk.  Ouch.  Fastball in the zone fouled off my Forsythe going back to the top, then a nice tight 76 MPH curveball in is in there for strike 2.  If Bundy can get those for strikes, he can be pretty awesome.  Another curve at 79 is well in the dirt but Forsythe started a swing and held, 94 on the hands is inside, change-up hung in the air a tad too much and gets a rope foul, then change-up again at 86 tails back into the zone for Bundy’s 3rd K.

Bundy-ChangeupThird Inning: Ohhhh nasty.  Starts the third with this curveball to Brad Miller.

Bundy-Curveball-2Then another swinging strike on a change-up.  I want to GIF every friggin’ pitch!  Then are you mother F kidding me?!  95 on the outside corner is his 0-2 pitch and it’s hit oppo field for a homer.  Hit harder than that Arcia one…  So weird!  Change-up taken gets strike one to Longoria, then change again is hit hard to deep center, but Jones has it in front of the track for a loud first out.  96 gets another swinging strike from LoMo, 95 a little high, nasty curveball at 77 goes a little too low and inside, 94 is fouled off, 95 sails well high, then 87 MPH change-up gets LoMo to flip his bat at it and dump a flare single into right.  Curveball bends in there for strike one to Souza, curve again sweeps outside, 92 paints the low outside black perfectly, although the velo is a little scary low there, 1-2.  94 jams the hell out of him for a weak foul back, 95 was called for high and Bundy gets it way high 2-2, then a nice curve at 77 that was likely a strike forces Souza to swing and pop it in the infield for the second out.  Change-up flutters outside to Dickerson, then change-up again gets a whiff 1-1, change a third time stays outside, high fastball at only 92 again is fouled back, then 94 blows him away upstairs for his 4th K.

Fourth Inning: So Bundy is back out there at 57 pitches, and I definitely want to see the velo come back up.  However 92 is the velo on the first-pitch fastball to Kiermaier, but it’s in there for strike one, then a curveball is flied out routinely to left, one quick out.  94 high and outside to Arcia, 84 MPH change-up skips in the dirt, 92 is a mile high, then 91 is high for a 4-pitch walk, and the velo has dropped dramatically since the middle of that third inning.  92 barely nips the inside of the zone to Casali 0-1, change-up on the outside black perfectly placed at 85 MPH gets a swing and miss, 93 high and tight, curveball lined foul, fastball stays high at 93, change skips in low, then change again drops too low, and Bundy gets yanked after back-to-back walks.  Man, what a Jekyll and Hyde outing for me to decide what to do…

Final Line:  L  3.1 IP  70 Pitches (41 Strikes)  4 ER  5 Hits  3 Walks  4 K  Gamescore: 35   Gamescore+: 39.2

Final Analysis: Jesus, this JB fellah is a moron!  Way to stream an absolutely horrid start!  Wait, why am I reading this again?!?!?!

Despite all the pros and cons I’m about to run through here, I think I’m actually more optimistic than pessimistic.  Unsurprisingly the Gamescore+ came out higher than the Gamescore due to more Ks than IP in a shorter outing, which almost always spits out a positive difference.

Bundy’s got some pretty unreal pure stuff.  It starts with the fastball that was routinely 96-97 until the third inning, then he really started tailing off into the 92-93 range.  That was pretty unfortunate.  Also, his command is a little off, but two of the homers he gave up were nice outside fastballs that got cranked oppo.  His main off-speed is probably the curveball, which had big loopy bend in one variant like that Longo first-pitch GIF, then tighter break to get called strikes in the zone like the final GIF.  And for the final wow-factor, the change-up looked like a plus-pitch as well, hitting 85-87 on the gun with consistent break and he could get them over for strikes as well.

I’m actually pretty giddy after this start, despite the horrid line.  Any time I GIF more than my normal quota of 4, you know I really enjoyed breaking it down.  And I counted 12 swinging strikes.  12!  Out of 70 pitches!  Double-digits for any starter is above average, much less in a building-arm-strength/stretching-him-out start.  Bundy is surprisingly out of options, so the plan appears to piggyback him through the rest of the season.  It’s pretty encouraging that they’re not having him wallow away in long relief (they were trying to have him on a starter’s schedule in relief though, only going every 5 games or so) and have moved him to this role.  Unfortunately, my giddiness isn’t going to be worth much in redraft leagues, and I didn’t even rank him top-100 yet.  They’re going to be EXTREMELY cautious with the pitch count given his injury history, and have a spot starter/long relief guy ready in the bullpen to piggyback at any give time.  But I am pumped I snagged him in one of my shallow dynasties as he was kinda a forgotten commodity.  I’m likely not playing him most starts – I foolishly did this one, but thought the Trop might work out – but the upside is certainly there with 3 plus-MLB pitches ready to go.  It’ll be hard not to rank him fairly aggressively in 2017, even if we have another innings limit concern.

Razzball Baseball

Updated Top 100 SP

(rankings for ROS based on 12-team Roto, green for risers, red for fallers)

RANK SP, TEAM
1 Clayton Kershaw, LAD
2 Madison Bumgarner, SF
3 Max Scherzer, WAS
4 Jake Arrieta, CHC
5 Chris Sale, CWS
6 Jose Fernandez, MIA
7 Stephen Strasburg, WAS
8 Jacob deGrom, NYM
9 Johnny Cueto, SF
10 Corey Kluber, CLE
11 Jon Lester, CHC
12 Noah Syndergaard, NYM
13 Carlos Martinez, STL
14 David Price, BOS
15 Danny Salazar, CLE
16 Carlos Carrasco, CLE
17 Cole Hamels, TEX
18 Drew Pomeranz, BOS
19 Adam Wainwright, STL
20 Felix Hernandez, SEA
21 Justin Verlander, DET
22 Gerrit Cole, PIT
23 Yu Darvish, TEX
24 Kenta Maeda, LAD
25 Zack Greinke, ARI
26 Jose Quintana, CWS
27 Masahiro Tanaka, NYY
28 John Lackey, CHC
29 Jeff Samardzija, SF
30 Julio Teheran, ATL
31 Aaron Sanchez, TOR
32 Danny Duffy, KC
33 Matt Shoemaker, LAA
34 Rich Hill, OAK
35 Chris Archer, TB
36 Jason Hammel, CHC
37 Kyle Hendricks, CHC
38 Dallas Keuchel, HOU
39 Steven Matz, NYM
40 Michael Fulmer, DET
41 Tanner Roark, WAS
42 Anthony DeSclafani, CIN
43 Aaron Nola, PHI
44 Trevor Bauer, CLE
45 Michael Wacha, STL
46 Lance McCullers, HOU
47 Kevin Gausman, BAL
48 Taijuan Walker, SEA
49 Chris Tillman, BAL
50 Michael Pineda, NYY
51 Vincent Velasquez, PHI
52 Adam Conley, MIA
53 Junior Guerra, MIL
54 Sonny Gray, OAK
55 Jerad Eickhoff, PHI
56 Ian Kennedy, KC
57 Archie Bradley, ARI
58 Joe Ross, WAS
59 Marco Estrada, TOR
60 Zachary Davies, MIL
61 Blake Snell, TB
62 Marcus Stroman, TOR
63 Hisashi Iwakuma, SEA
64 Jake Odorizzi, TB
65 Jimmy Nelson, MIL
66 Jeremy Hellickson, PHI
67 Steven Wright, BOS
68 Drew Smyly, TB
69 Brandon McCarthy, LAD
70 Rick Porcello, BOS
71 J.A. Happ, TOR
72 Jon Gray, COL
73 Sean Manaea, OAK
74 James Paxton, SEA
75 Jordan Zimmermann, DET
76 Gio Gonzalez, WAS
77 Scott Kazmir, LAD
78 Carlos Rodon, CWS
79 Tyler Glasnow, PIT
80 Mike Leake, STL
81 Bud Norris, LAD
82 Robbie Ray, ARI
83 Jaime Garcia, STL
84 Josh Tomlin, CLE
85 Jameson Taillon, PIT
86 James Shields, CWS
87 Mike Foltynewicz, ATL
88 Bartolo Colon, NYM
89 Francisco Liriano, PIT
90 Matt Moore, TB
91 Tyler Duffey, MIN
92 Mike Fiers, HOU
93 Collin McHugh, HOU
94 Kendall Graveman, OAK
95 Wei-Yin Chen, MIA
96 A.J. Griffin, TEX
97 CC Sabathia, NYY
98 Ervin Santana, MIN
99 Lucas Giolito, WAS
100 Daniel Mengden, OAK

Dropped Out: n/a

  • Woooo, unlike last week, only 3 games of action to worry about in the re-ranks vs. two weeks since I missed the 4th…  Yikes last week looked like a Christmas Tree!  Arguably the biggest, well not change, but difference – is what the move to Boston means for Drew Pomeranz.  And it’s not too much for me.  Petco has actually played pretty neutral and his ERA and WHIP are better on the road than at home anyway.  With his 10+ K rate, it will minimize some park factors and what little impact that will have on the ratios I think he makes up for in run support.
  • While I don’t like to over weigh rehab starts – starters are just trying to get comfortable again and may work on certain pitches to get their feel back – seeing Felix Hernandez just absolutely dominate AAA with reportedly crisp stuff and his fastball back in the low 90s like we’re accustomed to has me excited again.  7 Ks in 5.2 innings with 52 of 75 pitches for strikes.  Daddy like.
  • Stupid old people and their skin issues!  Ugh, Rich Hill.  Ugh.
  • James Paxton might be the most annoying pitcher to ever have a 100 MPH fastball.
  • I might take a flier on Mike Foltynewicz if he’s out there, but he’s been such a hot and cold pitcher through his short career that I couldn’t bump his ROS rank up all that confidentially.

Thoughts on Mr. Bundy and the terror he reigned down on my ratios?  And anything in my ranks get your Linuses in a bunch?  Shoot your thoughts below, and happy second half Razzball Nation!

  1. Rice says:
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    Skaggs back soon. About where does he fall on this list upon his return?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Rice: We’re gonna talk him on the Pod, 14 K in AAA is crazy! Hmmmm, still probably only 90ish, as they’ll be cautious with how deep he’ll pitch game to game. Plan I think is to leave him in the Minors a few more starts too

  2. JVanSlyke says:
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    I wish draftkings awarded points for swinging strikes and impressive GIFs!

    Great write up and I agree, he looked much better than the box score would lead you to believe. The bad news for the Os… Hunter Harvey pulled with a shoulder issue….

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @JVanSlyke: Hahaha thanks man! I would make a killing with DFS points for impressive GIFs!

      Uggghhhh yeah O’s have had some huge pitching prospects and all aren’t working out. Gausman has been OK… Hopefully Bundy will turn into an anchor for them

  3. B the Esq. says:
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    Any concern on Roark with an innings limit? He pitched around 110 last year for the Nats….

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @B the Esq.: Nah, not at all, he made it to 198.2 in 2014. Long relief was the only reason he fell off so much

  4. henncoop says:
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    JB,
    How do you rate the following starts …pick one SP from each please for weekly lineups:
    1) Stroman @ Ari; Pineda vs Balt; or Shoe @ Hou
    2) Hellicksson vs Mia; Shoe @ Hou: or Pineda vs Balt
    Thanks

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @henncoop: Yo! 1) definitely Shoemaker, that last start was nuts. 2) Shoemaker here too. Any time!

  5. Scott says:
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    What improvement did you see with Mananea to move him up?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Scott: 10 Ks past 2 starts, no walks, both were really solid even though he didn’t go deep last time out, and his change-up. Damn I shoulda put this in my notes. But last 2 starts he threw his change-up more than in any of his previous outings. It’s his 2nd pitch now with the slider the 3rd when it was the other way around when he got called up.

  6. My Thread Count Is High says:
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    Ok so before hearing back from last weeks column, and Pineda and Paxton getting rocked, I dropped Bregman and added Snell. No one claimed Bregman, so would you re-acquire him and if so, for who? Clippard crapped the bed last night, but Uehara and Melancon are my only other closers. Paxton and Pineda performed poorly Friday, so Im not sure how to proceed. Bradley is on the wire, I already added Snell, would you drop Paxton to get Bregman? Clippard for Bradley? Or hold what Ive got, it doesnt help that Choo, Polanco, and Murphy have been DTD and Im running shorthanded on bats either. Roster is below, and thanks as always:

    ESPN 12 team HTH 5×5 with OBP and QS daily moves and 4 keepers per season

    C Posey
    1B Cabrera
    2B Daniel Murphy
    3B Seager
    SS A. Russell
    OF Stanton
    OF Springer
    OF Polanco
    UTIL OF Choo
    UTIL OF Sano
    Bench 2B/SS/3B Baez

    SP Salazar
    SP Shoemaker
    RP Uehara
    RP Melancon
    P Nola
    P Pineda
    P DeSclafani
    P Pomeranz
    Bench SP Paxton
    Bench SP Gausman
    Bench RP Clippard
    Bench SP Snell
    DL SP Rodon
    DL Kimbrel

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @My Thread Count Is High: pitching has been so flipping annoying this year! Paxton is gone. Off all my teams. This has become a hard, throwing stuff at each other, making fun of dick size and girth, sleeping with their best friend kinda break up.

      I think you need an active bat. Polanco just HAS to go on the DL at some point. I’d give Clippard another save opp. Prob holding Pineda. I’d want to be able to hold Bregman, prob would keep him over Snell, but might see what Snell does tonight. I don’t think you should start Snell tho @COL. So yeah, Pax is gone for a bench bat/streaming

      • We're Out Of Room says:
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        @JB Gilpin: Snell doesn’t go until tomorrow night in Colorado. So drop Pax now for Bregman or hold incase Snell looks horrible? I still want to foolishly believe Pax will get it together, so I’ve been hesitant to drop him…but I understand your pain lol.

        So of the bats on the wire it’s literally Grichuk, Kiermaier, Inciarte, Fielder, L.Martin, Gomez, Pillar or Peralta (DL). Any of those even worth dropping an arm for?

        • My Thread Count Is High says:
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          @We’re Out Of Room: Well looks like Choo, Murphy and Polanco are all expected back Tuesday, so would you still pursue a bat? As you can see pickings are slim.. So would you lose Pax or Snell for Bregman?

          • JB Gilpin

            JB Gilpin says:
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            @My Thread Count Is High: Oh my bad I meant tomo. I was saying Pax for a stream at least for today to start the week but prob too late now. I think you can wait til lineups are coming out tomorrow, I’d go Bregman as the add for now, then if your lineups isnt full tomo, lose Bregman for a game of someone starting. It’s crunch time, every Ab matters!

            • My Thread Count Is High says:
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              @JB Gilpin: My bad, just misunderstood ya. I dropped Pax for Bregman, I’ll see how Snell does tomorrow and then I’ll follow up for your thoughts moving forward. On a plus note Nola and Gausman both looked pretty decent tonight and got me QS’s..

              • JB Gilpin

                JB Gilpin says:
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                @My Thread Count Is High: No worries! Yeah on the Pod we just did, Grey found some encouraging info on Bregman being up sooner than later. And yeah, Nola and Gausman looked good!

                • My Thread Count Is High says:
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                  @JB Gilpin: Cool I’ll give it a listen this evening.

                  • My Thread Count Is High says:
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                    @My Thread Count Is High: So I accidentally left Snell in my starting lineup(meaning I didn’t set my lineup yesterday) and got lucky, he looked awesome….glad I dropped Pom and added him before someone else could.

                    I do have an awful dilema though, my closers were Melancon, Uehara, and Clippard. Well Uehara just got DL’ed, Clippard hasnt had a save situation since imploding a few days ago and Melancon has had a couple of hiccups. I’m in 3rd but I won’t stand much of a chance without being able to get some saves. But the problem is no ones on the wire, Ziegler is owned and there’s only speculation guys out there like the Braves Cabrera, Rockies Ottavino, Bostons Tazawa(returns from DL Friday), etc..

                    So essentially what would you do with the roster spot, Kimbrel and Rodon are on my DL. Would you drop Rodon and put Uehara there, or just dump Uehara? And then who do you like as the add on this roster below: Skaggs, Tazawa, Paxton, Bradley, Giolito, Berrios, one of the closer in waiting guys above or a bat like Grichuk, Kiermaier, Suarez, or Jankowski?

                    Sorry post was so long but you know me, infact Im sure this will prompt another thread, appreciate the wisdom and your patience lol. Here’s current roster:

                    ESPN 12 team HTH 5×5 with OBP and QS daily moves and 4 keepers per season

                    C Posey
                    1B Cabrera
                    2B Daniel Murphy
                    3B Seager
                    SS A. Russell
                    OF Stanton
                    OF Springer
                    OF Polanco
                    UTIL OF Choo
                    UTIL OF Sano
                    Bench 2B/SS/3B Baez
                    Bench SS Bregman

                    SP Salazar
                    SP Shoemaker
                    RP Uehara(DL)
                    RP Melancon
                    P Nola
                    P Pineda
                    P DeSclafani
                    P Pomeranz
                    Bench SP Gausman
                    Bench RP Clippard
                    Bench SP Snell
                    DL SP Rodon
                    DL Kimbrel

                    • My Thread Count Is High says:
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                      @My Thread Count Is High: Forgot to mention Manaea and Gurriel are also out there.

                    • JB Gilpin

                      JB Gilpin says:
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                      Too many threads! Nice on starting Snell!!! Looked good. I think Rodon can go, might as well stash uehara with saves tough to find. Skaggs is mad interesting with the AAA Ks he’s getting, but I dunno if I’m investing in shallower leagues yet. I think I like a pitcher, either Bradley or speculate on Braves Cabrera. Ohhhh yeah Manaea over Bradley for me. So yeah I’d nab him if you need some SP help this week or spec add Cabrera

  7. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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    What do you think about Tyler Anderson (not on the top 100)? His minors stats were nothing to write home about, but he’s got an 8+ K/9, sub 2 BB/9, and pretty neutral luck overall, with a low 3 FIP despite pitching many games in Coors, including one against the BJs.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Duda Want to Build a Snowman?: I owned him earlier this year in the REL, but due to trades and the format of the league lost him. So I have been following him, it’s just pretty underwhelming pure stuff in Coors. I just can’t see him not getting hurt there

  8. Jerry says:
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    Hey, JB. Who has the most value ros out of these pitchers: Bauer, Duffy, Pom and Shark? Thanks!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Jerry: Ranks above are for ROS :) I def still like Pom ROS, I probably shouldve moved Shark down a little more. We’ll see how he does this week

  9. ferris says:
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    Where would you rank

    Glasnow
    Giolito
    Taillon

    for the ROS if they were full-on rotation members with no innings limits?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @ferris: Whewww that’s a tough question haha. What about pitch limits in games, is that thrown out too? I’d probably go Giolito, Glasnow, Taillon, Giolito might push top-25 right now, Glasnow 50ish, Taillon 60ish

  10. Greg says:
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    Hey JB. I took flyer on formerly highly touted Montgomery. ..hmmmm. ..Pax is annoying me. Someone dropped Nola after I had previously. ..got him. Joe Ross. Can I still believe? Eating up my DL spot. ..for a lot longer than “14 days” it seems. Archer was dropped. Any reason for hope? Out there: Tyler Anderson, Ventura, Elfin, Taillon, Snell, Cashmere (looked brilliant other day), I need a flyer. Or stash Reyes? Sp, Madbum, Fulmer, Darvish, Matz, Pax, Montgomery, Nola….

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Greg: Mehhhh, I dunno if Montgomery sticks in the rotation once Felix and Taijuan are back. Why “a lot longer” for Ross? He’s throwing already… And if you don’t have anyone else DL eligible I don’t see why you wouldn’t stash him. Oh you’re definitely taking the flier on Archer. K rate is still nuts. Lose Montgomery, and I would probably lose Pax for Snell

  11. Grizza3569 says:
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    Through many trades, this is how my current 12 team, yahoo h2h redraft roster looks…
    C: Contreras
    1st: Rizzo
    2nd: Russell (Carpenter dl)
    3rd: Castellanos
    SS: Seager
    OF: Harper
    OF: Cespedes
    OF: Puig
    Utl: Miggy
    BN: Morales, Grichuk, and Gordon

    SPs: Scherzer,Sale, Stras, Nelson, Chatwood and wood (dl).

    My pitching is extremely top heavy, would like some depth. Limited moves for streaming. Was offered Maeda and C-Mart for Rizzo. Tried countering with Miggy, he said no. Thoughts? Thanks for the hard work on the site…blows the others out of the water!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Grizza3569: Nahhh, agree your pitching needs some depth, but definitely not at the cost of a first-round bat for mid-tier guys. Have you tried Miggy plus something? Thanks so much man, we try our dandiest! Haha

  12. Hoog says:
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    This is very helpful! That’s for doing it! I’m curious what you think about Matt Harvey in a keeper league. Too 25 next year or worse? Is he worth going after?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Hoog: Awesome, thanks for reading! Ummm… 25 seems like a good number. His Spring will determine a lot of buzz (if healthy, throwing hard, etc). I def think he’s worth a buy low at a deflated price, but it would need to be low.

  13. RobMac says:
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    Hey JB, fellow Durhamite here. Great stuff as usual.

    Assuming Polanco is going to hit the DL, I need to drop a SP to free up an OF spot. Also, Shoemaker is available in my league. Two questions:

    Who would you drop to make an OF spot – Bauer or Stroman (picked him up as FA after the two most recent promising starts then he sucked again against the As)?

    Would you drop the other (Bauer or Stroman) for Shoemaker?

    Thanks!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @RobMac: Oh awesome! Love the area. We live in Raleigh, but I work there in ATC. Commute kinda blows haha. Wow, def need to find a way to get Shoe! Yeah I would lose both those guys for an OF spot and Shoemaker. Any time!

  14. Sport says:
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    Thanks for all you do, this is really great stuff!

    Looking a head a little bit. I am in a 15 team yahoo roto keeper. We keep 2 hitters and 2 pitchers. My obvious keeper is Arrieta, but then I don’t know. I have Pomeranz and Fulmer. Do you feel they are top 30 pitchers going into next year? Thanks for your input.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Sport: Thanks for dropping by! Hmmmm, that’s a really good cutoff. I have Pomeranz there now, but time will tell how he can handle Fenway/AL East. Fulmer will be close to. I’d lean Pomeranz of the two, but maybe you could try to consolidate into a better #2 keeper pitcher?

  15. piscotty don’t know Piscotty well ya know Grey’s Piscotty / I don’t k now how in the hell he hit that Pujols esque bomb over big mack land in deep in the toilet in the Lou

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Dnut Eastwood: Hah Piscotty just doesn’t know!

  16. highmindedness says:
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    Thanks for breaking down Bundy’s performance. This reminds me as a dynasty owner to continue to be patient. Trying to acquire him in the one league I don’t have him (16 team), where his owner is looking for 2nd base help. I have Schoop and Odor. Would you offer one of these in an effort to get Bundy? Thanks man!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @highmindedness: Yup for sure. Hmmmm, definitely not Odor. Schoop I’d think about, but a young bat with power vs. injury prone pitcher… I dunno I would think Bundy should come with something for Schoop

  17. What happens in Vegas... says:
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    Hi JB,

    Love your Weekly Pitcher Rankings, sort of my Bible when evaluating trade value.

    1) What’s your take on Aaron Sanchez ROS? How many innings do you think he goes. I know a lot is dependant on the Jays being in the Playoff hunt.

    2) I just traded Krod and Gio Gonzalez for Sanchez. Your thoughts? I had 5 Closers with Krod clearly the best. Also, I’ll have to drop 2 SP’S soon as players come off the DL. Chen, Talillon, Rodon and Paxton are my bottom 4 but I couldn’t get him to take one of those instead of Gio. Not too big a difference in those right? When you’re in the 70’s ranking wise, not much difference in 74 vs 94?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @What happens in Vegas…: Thanks so much man! Hopefully I’ve steered you to a few good trade wins! 1) Great qeustion, I think given health he tops 180. That might have him skip a few and get shut down, but still a good, near-full season. 2) Whoa, awesome! Love that deal. A steal for sure! And yes definitely, 74-94 are pretty similar, could easily see liking 94 over 74 just for the next few starts on the schedule alone. Redraft of keeper league? Probably losing Chen and Paxton, but would depend on when rodon’s timeline is

      • What happens in Vegas... says:
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        @JB Gilpin:
        Thanks for the quick reply and input. It’s a redraft h2h league. I was hesitant to pull the trigger but figured I’m going to have to drop an SP anyway in a week or two so what’s the big deal if it’s Gio or Chen. Might as well get some kind of return. If he wants Gio he can have Gio. Losing Krod was lessened by him picking up and sending Estevez in the 2 for 2 trade.

        Yep, I pretty much used a combo of yours and Grey’s SP rankings during the draft and when making waiver moves. Thats why I have J Ross and T Walker in 2 leagues. I just unloaded Archer and Jen Gomez for Springer. Which is why I felt the need to replace Archer with Sanchez.

        One last question. My rotation is
        Salazar, Cole, Sanchez, Matz, Roark, JRoss, Desclafani, Zimmerman, Rodon, Paxton,Taillon, Chen. Closers are Colome, Mauer, Estevez, Clippard.

        I have 2 DL guys coming back soon, JD and Ross. Zimm is on my active Roster with only 2 DL spots. Thinking my 2 drops are Chen and Taillon based on your rankings? Or is it more wait and see at that given moment? Maybe Rodon continues to slide and Chen pics it up? Also worried about innings cap later for the playoffs. Gray, Snell, Erod, Norris available.

        Do you have a quick tuneup for my staff? Limited moves left as well.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @What happens in Vegas…: Whoaaaaaa, awesome move to get Springer! So basically it was Archer/J Gomez/G Gonzalez for Springer/ A Sanchez. Hah that’s quite a turnaround. Def more wait and see, Taillon tonight will be interesting, then we’ll see when Ross is ready. Gray – Jon or Sonny? Both are kinda intriguing, I think Chen is an easy first cut though. If Snell looks decent in Coors with nice Ks, might make that swap then readdress as guys come off the DL

          • What happens in Vegas... says:
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            @JB Gilpin:
            Sorry to be so long winded. Really do appreciate the help. $500 12 team money league.

            Jon is the Gray. Basically 2 trades combined were.
            My Archer/Gomez/Krod/Gio for Springer/Sanchez/Estevez/and I can pick up a free agent SP as I have an open slot. Leaning J Gray or Snelll. Gray because he gets the Braves Friday. But need to think long term with only 12 moves left.

            • JB Gilpin

              JB Gilpin says:
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              @What happens in Vegas…: Hah no worries at all! Ohhhhh I got ya. Snell looked awesome yesterday. I love that Gray matchup, but it might be risky to leave Snell on the wire until after that start. I like Snell more ROS, and with limited moves, I’d snag him

  18. B the Esq. says:
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    Thoughts on Reynaldo Lopez getting the start for the Nats tonight…..is he up for good? A spot start? Is he very dependent on when Joe Ross comes back?

    What do you think his outlook is for the rest of this year and moving forward as a potential keeper?

    Thanks!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @B the Esq.: Definitely leaning spot start. Ross back soon and I still think they want Giolito up a few more turns as well. So maybe only a handful more starts and he doesn’t go too deep. I do like him as a keeper possibility, but you would need to keep a ton of people year to year. Great velocity, seems to get hit a little too much in the Minors. His WHIPs are kinda high without terrible BB rates. Maybe he was working on some pitches, but I dunno

  19. N says:
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    Davies at 60…. sigh. He’s 233 and take a peak at his monthly splits. This kid is a top 25 arm. Fantasy world will continue to sleep on him because of low velocity, but he knows how to pitch /end rant

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @N: Hah you think a die-hard Brewers fan isn’t familiar with him? Although at 233, he is a pretty old pitcher :) I brought it up here and on the Podcast that his continual use of the cutter which he’s used much more heavily since his breakout awesome game against the Cardinals is a big reason for his success (as with less 4-seamer % since then). My issue is kinda the Fiers/Marcum effect. Throw slow in such a hitters park, that any slight issues with command and you become mad homer prone. Estrada is a good one too. Lastly, there’s no way he can be top 25 in ROS terms. Brewers will shut him down. Going nowhere, there’s no reason to pitch him much in Sept.

      • N says:
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        @JB Gilpin:
        Ha! just caught the 233, need more coffee. Did not know he was getting shut down, but maybe that’s why you’re writing the articles… thanks!

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @N: Haha, don’t we all need more coffee :) I drink a pot a day. I don’t disagree with the sentiment at all though that Davies is underrated, we argued him a few times on the Pod. But yeah, Brewers have little incentive to push him, with him at 233 years old :) and team control through 2021 I think.

            • JB Gilpin

              JB Gilpin says:
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              @N: He’s awesome, never argued that! Moved him up a few in my last ranks. Shutdown is still a big concern in ROS terms

  20. Chris says:
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    Got lucky this year. Pretty good staff.
    Max
    Cueto
    Lester
    Quintana
    Hammell
    Roark
    Ross
    Estrada
    Desclafani
    Gio
    Graveman

    Planning to drop graveman after two start week. Should I pick up odorizzi bartolo berrios snell? Jeez should I move on from gio as well. I am nats heavy. Thanks

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Chris: Damn, yeah looks good! Probably would move on from Gio too, but Snell is a lock to add. I don’t love the other guys… Maybe Bartolo if the matchup looks good when you’d play him next

  21. JJ says:
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    Hey JB,
    If you could take one pitcher out of Gausman or Snell which would you grab? I know you have Gausman higher but that was before Snells gem in Colorado.

    • JJ says:
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      @JJ:
      Or would you prefer Skaggs?

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
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        @JJ: Yeahhhhh, Snell is really intriguing me. Gimme Snell. Skaggs is still 3rd for now, I know the AAA Ks are really exciting but I want him in the Majors and want to evaluate a start at the big league level.

  22. Jayhay15 says:
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    Power scanned for your takes on Bauer. What are your thoughts? Looking to trade future (Taillon, Benintendi) to get Bauer, Rondon and Ramos. Looks good, but do you see Bauer pitching to what he’s done so far or regressing? Trying to upgrade for playoffs, don’t see guys like Taillon and Velasquez helping my team in Sept (thoughts on that too)

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Jayhay15: Meh, yeah the K:BB for Bauer hasn’t been as pretty lately, and he’s usually had trouble against lefties, which has been minimized for the most part this year, but is starting to trend the wrong way. Maybe some slight regression, but not too hard. If you’re in a shallower league that looks about right, I do really like Benintendi though. Taillon I def see getting skipped a lot since he has a shoulder DL stint now and he hadn’t pitched for so long, and definitely for Velasquez too with the Phils awful. If you could swap Benintendi out and put in Velasquez in that deal I would be all for it!

      • Jayhay15 says:
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        Taillon and one of my hitting prospects (I’m also sitting on Bregman) for Bauer and 2 of his closers was his counter offer to me. My 1st offer was Taillon and Velasquez for Bauer and Ramos. I’d rather give up Benintendi than Bregman.
        Not a lot of trading activity in this league, 5 keeper league, my keepers are already: Goldy, Arenado, Machado and Springer. Not keeping the pitchers, probably Bregman going into next year. 12tm, 10×10 Y! categories. Thanks for any feedback.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @Jayhay15: Ohhhh, yeah in a 5 team keeper you don’t need Benintendi. Even Bregman might be right on the cusp next to your ace pitcher. Agree I’d give up Tendi first. I like the deal, now that I know the format, I’d take it!

  23. My Thread Count Is High says:
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    New Thread: Thanks for the advice, Uehara is out a month so should have Kimbrel back from DL by then so I dumped him.Then Choo went back on the DL, so now the question is do I stash Choo in Rodons place or is he even worth it, when healthy he is a nice contributor in an OBP league, problem is hes not always healthy.

    I’m looking at Cabrera and Ottavino as speculative save adds, depending on what I do with Choo I could potentially have two spots, but with Bregman still at AAA I’m without a bench bat currently. But theres no real great guys on the wire imo….Grichuk, Kiermaier, etc. So I may indeed try to add Manaea for his start tomorrow. Do you like Cabrera or Ottavino better as a speculative add for closer?

    And finally, I have Springer and Stanton that I cant keep after this season 4 keeper max of 3 seasons. Would you try to package them for say Trout or maybe Trout and Odor(not sure I can actually talk him into throwing in Odor) now or just resign myself to the fact that I cant keep them and move on. I still will be able to choose from Bregman, Sano, Baez, Posey, Murphy, Polanco, or any of my SP’s to fill my 4 keeper spots.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @My Thread Count Is High: Wow, yeah brutal time table for Uehara. Agree. I would stash Choo over Rodon.

      Ummmm, nah I would try out Manaea. If he’s either bad or just OK, then nab Cabrera. If awesome then you can reasses.

      You have a trade deadline? I’m def good making that move for Trout if he is in year-1 of the contract. year-2 I might not

      • My Thread Count Is High says:
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        @JB Gilpin: The keeper time would reset for me and I would be able to keep him the rest of this year and 2 consecutive seasons. Is expecting Odor back with Trout too much? He also has Kenley Jansen and Familia and obviously I need closers but I thought Springer and Stanton for Trout alone was pricey and would subtract from my O fairly substantially. Other bats he owns are Bruce, Adam Jones and Puig. So If I offered Stanton and Springer whats a realistic return iyo? Current roster(after dropping Rodon and stashing Choo is as follows)

        • My Thread Count Is High says:
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          @My Thread Count Is High: Shit forgot the roster:

          ESPN 12 team HTH 5×5 with OBP and QS daily moves and 4 keepers per season

          C Posey
          1B Cabrera
          2B Daniel Murphy
          3B Seager
          SS A. Russell
          OF Stanton
          OF Springer
          OF Polanco
          UTIL OF Choo
          UTIL 2B/SS/3B Baez
          Bench 2B/SS/3B Baez
          Bench (open spot)
          DL OF Choo

          SP Salazar
          SP Shoemaker
          RP Clippard
          RP Melancon
          P Nola
          P Pineda
          P DeSclafani
          P Pomeranz
          Bench SP Paxton
          Bench SP Gausman
          Bench SP Snell
          Bench(open spot)
          DL Kimbrel

          • JB Gilpin

            JB Gilpin says:
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            @My Thread Count Is High: Whewww, thats a lot of Trout! You def need an OF, and Odor not as much. Maybe try Trout/Bruce/Jansen as the return and see what happens. You fill your OF spots plus add a closer

            • My Thread Count Is High says:
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              @JB Gilpin: @JB Gilpin: I’ll give it a try, he seems joined to Trout at the hip…but I can hardly blame him. IF I can’tget a deal done, who would you try to keep as your 4 keeps from roster above? Obviously excluding Springer and Stanton?

              • My Thread Count Is High says:
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                @My Thread Count Is High: I gave Stanton, Springer, Kiermaier for Trout, Bruce and Jansen…factoring in that I couldn’t keep Stanton and Springer(or even without that disclaimer) how did I do?

                • My Thread Count Is High says:
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                  @My Thread Count Is High: So…what about ole K-Pax, 9k’s at Toronto? Should I make a drop for him? If so who Clippard? I am receiving Jansen(in trade above) but that would leave me with just him and Melancon until Kimbrel returns
                  and no bench bat until Bregman gets the call.. Also kudos on advising to add Manaea!

                  • My Thread Count Is High says:
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                    @My Thread Count Is High: So 1) Thoughts on trade? 2) Since posting this Clippard has shit the bed, think it might be best to just roll out Melancon and Jansen until Kimbrel gets back?3) Who you adding Sonny Gray(has looked bad was recently dropped), A. Bradley, Rodon, Paxton or a bat like the Yankees Gardner, Cards Grichuk or Souza or Inciarte?0 You think Nola will improve he looked good then right back to bad lol…

                    • JB Gilpin

                      JB Gilpin says:
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                      @My Thread Count Is High: Love the deal! Wow, you get the best keeper, a OF fill-in that is above average for sure, and an elite closer. Nice!

                      Glad Manaea worked! I added him in a ton of leagues the past week or two.

                      Paxton – mehhhhh, we’ve seen this tease before, although he did say he changed the grip on his curveball and it worked. Need to see one more start.

                      Bregman coming up today woooo!

                      I’m done with Nola. He can go. You tweeted me Skaggs avail, I might roll dice there. Then lose Clip for a bat indeed, probably Grichuk

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