Happy Friday DFSers! We’ve got the full 15 game slate tonight on FanDuel, so let’s take this journey together. Blind resume time! Including his start on 7/1, the following pitcher has gone 53.1 IP with a 5.74 ERA and 1.52 WHIP over 10 starts. Guesses, guesses?? Nick Pivetta?? Drew Hutchison?? Jordan Zimmermann? Try, Zimmermann’s opposing SP, Luis Severino ($10,600). Of the 131 pitchers that have thrown >35 IP over that time period, his 5.74 ERA ranks 16th worst. Over those 10 starts, Severino’s only gone 6 or more innings twice, most recently on August 8th. One of the few bright spots on this resume is that the Ks have still been there. In fact, he’s sported a 29.6% K-rate over his last 4 starts. Soooooooo, what do we do with Severino? I think I’ll be fading him in cash, but his strikeout upside always makes him a GPP play. Let’s take a look at the rest of today’s slate.
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Corey Kluber, SP: $11,500 – No real words are needed here. Kluber’s a stud.
Zack Wheeler, SP: $10,000 – Wheeler gets the Giants in SF and no more McCutchen, as he was traded to the Yankees last night. Wheeler does a great job limiting hard contact (25% vs league average 35%) on his own and gets a park upgrade.
Andrew Suarez, SP: $7,200 – Suarez is just in a great spot tonight. He has extreme home/road splits, sporting a 3.39 ERA at home vs 5.55 ERA on the road. Combine the friendly confines with the Mets, who have been awful vs LHP all season, and you get a pretty safe cash option.
Cardinals Bats – Homer Bailey Alert! I know BVP is somewhat frowned upon, but what about a 149 plate appearance sample size?? Ready? In 149 PAs, the Cardinal’s active roster holds a .444/.490/.704 triple slash. Roll as many of them as you can in your lineup; Matt Carpenter, 1B ($4,600), Yadier Molina, C ($3,300), Jose Martinez, OF ($3,800), Paul DeJong, SS ($3,600), Harrison Bader, OF ($2,800), and if he’s in the lineup, Matt Adams, 1B ($3,100).
Ketel Marte, 2B: $2,800 – Part of my D-Backs stack, I love his price and Marte’s hit LHPs well all year….Oh and 3/7 with 2 triples vs Ryu in a small sample.
Luis Urias, 2B: $2,400 – Sporting elite plate skills, Urias provides some salary relief while still managing to be relatively safe.
Jurickson Profar, 3B: $3,400 – The Rangers have an implied run total approaching 6, so lets take advantage of that. Profar has been really good vs LHP, and Stephen Gonsalves’ 6.45 SIERA strikes fear into the heart of no one.
Gleyber Torres, SS: $3,900 – He’s in a great spot. My only wish would be if he hit higher in the lineup.
Steven Souza, Jr, OF: $2,800 – Cheap D-Back to round out my stack. Souza lacks the BVP vs Ryu, but has hit LHP well (.220 ISO, .359 wOBA).
Jake Cave, OF: $2,700 – Trying to take advantage of the heat in Texas, Cave is a cheap bat with pop (.200 ISO, .341 wOBA vs RHP).
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
The heat wave finally breaks today, but with that comes some chances of rain along the East Coast. Phillies/Reds, Nats/Brewers, and Yankees/Tigers all have a chance of storms come game time. The hot hot heat is sticking around deep in the heart of Texas though, as it’s expected to be a balmy 95 at first pitch in the Rangers/Twins game.
Doing Lines In Vegas
Severino and the Yankees come in at a whopping -360 favorite, while the Indians (-220) and Cardinals (-210) are both big favorites themselves. The only double digit total is in that heat of the Rangers game, which opened at 11 runs.