Coors days are funny days. Note I didn’t say ‘fun’, I said ‘funny’. I find them downright exasperating simply because you feel compelled to have a Colorado stack out there, even if and when it’s not really the best situation. Look, I’m not gonna sit here – and yes I am sitting – and tell you that Coors is an outright fade today but I will tell you the arms going in that one ain’t slouches. Yes, we know that any arm that lands in the Rockies can get touched up. It’s, like, science and stuff. Overall, though, I am here to tell you quite simply: there are a lot of good plays for bats out there tonight and I, for one, won’t be forcing a Rocky mountain high into my life. In fact, I’d rather just tell you about the glory that is stacking against Sean O’Sullivan. There are some big time prices on bats today across the board, but somehow DK missed that Sean has some straight scary career numbers. Over 318.2 IP, Big Sean has a 4.35 K/9, a 3.22 BB/9 and a 5.22 xFIP while his career HR/9 sits at 1.64. A journeyman in every sense of the word, look to the Rays bats to come alive tonight and you don’t have to pay top dollar to push this stack in. Their most expensive bat is Brad Miller at $4,500 and you don’t need to go that route. For me, gimme some Evan Longoria, Logan Forsythe, Oswaldo Arcia, and other bits and parts that I can find that are in that starting lineup and let it ride, using the savings to pay up for pitching on the night. Rays the roof fellas. But enough about that, let’s move on to this. Here’s my Coors swerve taeks for this Friday DK slate…
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Jose Fernandez, SP: $13.400 – The guy that just got tickled to death by the Braves for six runs is the best pitcher on the night, don’t @ me. I love Chris Sale for cash, but I love an ace at home coming off a bad start against a struggling Reds team even more. Cincy bats must be missing that Skyline Chili when on the road because they’re in the bottom five of wRC+ when away from GABP and they’re sitting dead last in the league in that category over the last 14. On a day with so many expensive bats, paying up for pitching is the route I intend to take and Jo-Fer has my heart.
Corey Kluber, SP: $11,000 – The Klubot just got invited to his first All-Star game which is weird to type about a guy who won the Cy Young in 2014. Am I suggesting #NarrativeStreet? Hell no. Yankees are pure crap, Corey throwing a CGSO is in the cards.
Noah Syndergaard, SP: $10,800 – Aces at home make me happy, what can I say? Thor don’t need no stinkin’ elbow! Probably more a tourney get here, but the K upside even against the Nats is silly good.
Matt Wisler, SP: $7,400 – This is one of those ‘don’t look now’ kinds of things, but maybe Wisler is putting things together. White Sox rarely trot a lefty heavy lineup out there and when they do, Alex Avila is their DH. Brutal…if you wanna swerve the Sale crowd while also getting in cheap on a solid arm, Wisler is a go.
Chris Archer, SP: $6,800 – I know, I know…this isn’t the Archer you’re looking for. I’m mildly encouraged by his last outing and if the Rays can go crazy early, maybe Archer just slings. Totally tourney only, totally stupid probably.
James McCann, C: $2,700 – McCann can! *When there’s a lefty on the mound*. Nothing to see here other than the fourth best hitters park for right handed HRs and a cheap catcher.
Pedro Alvarez, 1B: $4,000 – The maker of shoes has hit a bit of a bump in the road and usually when he loses his footing, it’s because he’s got two left feet. Too much? Not enough? Just trying to get a pun gauge here. Alvarez should be back in a prime RBI spot in a prime lefty HR park. He’s optimally primed, folks. Look, you’ve got plenty of expensive 1Bs today in great spots, I won’t dissuade you on any of them but if you’re looking to pay down on 1B, I give you El Toro.
Brian Dozier, 2B: $4,400 – If I’m thinking about paying up at 2B, I’ll take the bull dozier who’s hitting .318 against lefties on the year and who just finished a June hitting .369 with 8 HRs. Yeah, that Dozier.
Kolten Wong, 2B/OF: $3,200 – If he moves up the lineup, even better, but Jimmy Nelson is…an MLB pitcher. What, you thought I’d say bad? Terrible? An embarrassment to his mother? He’s just alright, a’ight? Overall, I’ll play a few guys with the splits against him and enjoy the ride. Gimme some Matt Adams while we’re at it.
Luis Valbuena, 3B: $3,900 – Valbuena has been Valbueno of late with three HRs in his last 10. Don’t let the price on Daniel Mengden fool you: the Astros K a lot and he started off pretty hot out of the gate. I ain’t a fan…well I guess I am; I am a fan of him on the mound when I get to take bats against him.
Carlos Correa, SS: $3,900 – *Looks three inches above, wonders why you’re surprised by this pick*
Jose Iglesias, SS: $2,700 – Not the sexiest pick but Iglesias has been known to sneak up the lineup a little against a lefty and even if not, he’s a great cash relief in what should be a high scoring game.
Giancarlo Stanton, OF: $4,900 – My ears are still bleeding from the last whistler he sent over the wall in New York. Remember how much you hated him just a couple of weeks ago? Well, discount gone but as we discussed, Coors is on the docket and ain’t nobody paying up for Stanton in this scenario unless they’re weird like me. Well, are ya?
Cody Asche, OF: $3,900 – I said don’t dive head first into Coors, I didn’t say to put your head in the sand. Sheesh.
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
This is a day where weather could be a thing. Keep your eyes to the sky – and twitter – for new on CLEvsNYY, BALvsLAA, PITvsCHC and NYMvsWAS as they all have a bit wetness in the forecast.
Doing Lines In Vegas
It should come as no surprise that the top two priced pitchers today are the top winning lines. Jo-Fer sits at -270 and Sale sits at a comfy -300. Meanwhile, Cole Hamels enjoys a comfy -220. Wondering where Jake Arrieta is? Yeah, he’s been on the milk carton for a bit and is only a -175 favorite against a struggling Liriano. At his price and with this info, he’s a relatively easy fade until he shows some more. As we previously talked about, you want runs, we got runs. Three games sit at 10 or above with COLvsPHI the obvious choice at 11 and also BOSvsTB and TORvsDET sitting at 10. Want some more runs? How about TEXvsMIN sitting at 9.5. Like I said, I’m not running from Hamels with Dozier.
