With only eight games on the scheduled today we’re going to have to dig a little deeper and grind a little harder in order to get that DK cash. At first glance, Stephen Strasburg $12,900 at Arizona, Danny Duffy, $10,900 at Tampa Bay and the resurgent Chris Archer, $10,100 are seemingly attractive rosters, but to be successful in DK sometimes you have to zig while others zag. That’s why I’m rolling with Jimmy Nelson, $7,800 at San Diego today. Yeah, I’m picking on San Diego again, that’s obvious, so where’s the zig? The zig is that I think he’ll be under owned due to his 8 run loss last time out…oh but wait, only 2 of those were earned. In fact, over his last 7 games Jimmy crack corn is sporting a nice 2.35 ERA. His strikeouts have been lagging a bit with only 26 over his last 38.2 innings, but he has picked it up over the last three games with 17 K’s over the last 16.2 innings. San Diego lost Melvin Upton last week and Alex Dickerson one of the hottest schmotatos in the land is out of the line up with a hip issue. The Padres are still leading the league in Ks vs RHP with a whopping 735 or 1 per 3.65 AB. With the comfy confines of Petco to go along with the extremely depleted line up I expect Jimmy Boy to get at least 8 Ks and hopefully he can creep into double digits if he can get into the 7th and 8th innings. Now that we zigged while others zagged, who else is going to contribute?
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Danny Salazar, SP $10,400 – If he can get around Brian Dozier 10/21 with 2 HRs he’ll be just fine, as the rest of the Twinkees are hit just .230 against him. Minnesota might not be as bad as San Diego vs RHP but they’re still in the top 10 with 650 or a K per 4.08 AB’s. I really like this matchup as I think Salazar will have some extra juice now that he’s got a lights out closer in the newly acquired Andrew Miller.
Willson Contreras, C $3,600 – Willson with two Ls has cooled off quite a bit since his debut, but I like the matchup at home vs Adam Conley. Kyle Hendricks is on the bump for the Cubs, so Willson should be starting the game, but be sure to check as Maddon does some weird shizz. Did you see him keep Travis Wood in LF last night so he could pitch to lefty Shawn O’Malley later in the inning?
Curt Casali, C $2.600 – Catcher punt in full effect, but Casali is a lefty masher and the Duffman is toeing it up for the Royals.
Edwin Encarnacion, 1B $4.600 – I’m not in love with any particular 1B matchup today, but each time I’ve called on E5 he’s delivered. He’s facing Doug Fister in the juice box today, so let’s hope his hits get some wings of their own.
Paul Goldschmidt, 1B $4,500 – Goldie is as at discount tonight because he’s facing Strasburg, but he’s 5/13 lifetime, so he might get a few knocks before he can dig in against the bullpen.
Brian Dozier, 2B $3,800 – He’s also discounted due to to the matchup vs Salazar. He hit 2 bombs yesterday and I already mentioned the BVP 10/21 with 2 bombs.
Anthony Rendon, 3B $4,000 – Love the ballpark and the matchup vs Archie Bradley. He’s collected hits in 6 of his last 8 games to go along with 2 bombs and 3 SBs.
Alcides Escobar, SS $2,700 – I’m punting SS today so I can beef up in other places. It’s not an all out punt as he’s rocking a solid BVP vs Archer; 8/12 to go along with a couple of bags.
Trea Turner, 2B/OF $3,600 – I’m going with an all position player outfield today. I can’t wait for Turner to get OF eligibility in Yahoo and ESPN come on Dusty keep sticking him out there.
Hernan Perez, 3B/OF $3,900 – This little rabbit has picked up 4 bags in the last four games to go along with 2 HRs and he’s facing the newly acquired Jarred Cosart.
Kris Bryant, 3B/OF $4,900 – I think Adam Conley is going to have trouble in Chicago tonight and Bryant is due for another monster game.
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
I’m not going to jinx it, but the Yankees and Mets game is the only game you need to keep an eye on as there’s a 40% chance of thunderstorms.
Doing Lines In Vegas
Salazar and the Indians lead the pack at -225 followed by Starsburg and the Nats at -190. The Toronto vs Houston game is supposed to be the highest scoring affair of the night at 9 O/U.
