It’s been a rough week to be Dallas! Last Sunday the Cowboys lost Bryant for 2-3 months and yesterday Romo went down with a broken collarbone. Tough break for the Cowboys but you’re not here for Da Boys, so let’s talk about the other Dallas. Last Wednesday night, Dallas Keuchel got shelled for 9er against a Texas lineup that’s leads all of baseball in K’s vs LHP. I for one paid up for Keuchel last week as it seemed like a no brainer. Granted his home/road splits lean towards that Houston home cooking, but I definitely didn’t see a season worst performance coming. I mean this is a guy who’s supposed to be tops on a short list of AL Cy Young candidates. The same guy that has put up 24 quality starts this year and has gone at least 6 innings in 29 of his 30 starts. In fact you’d have to go all the way back to last July to find an outing that he lasted 5 or less innings prior to last Wednesday’s Cleveland Steamer. In DFS you have to have a short memory and tonight is a perfect example as I’m doubling down and buying in big on Keuchel for $11,400. He’s third on the board tonight, but I think he’ll be a top the leaderboard with an excellent HOME matchup against the not so Angelic Anaheim club. Anaheim is limping into Houston after a 4 game set with Min, which had them play a double header on Saturday and yesterday they only put up 1 run . In fact LAA is hitting just .232 against LHP and Keuchel has owned them this year putting up 2 W’s, 21 K’s and just 4er in 18.1 innings. Luckily for this Dallas he can bounce back a lot quicker than the other Dallas team that will be licking their wounds for the next couple months.
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David Price, SP: $12,400 – If Keuchel cut you too deep and you can’t go get on board with him tonight, then Price is your guy. He’s been great at home since the trade, sporting a 1.93 ERA giving up just 7er in 29.1ings while K’ing 34. The Yanks got him earlier this year for 8er in 2.1ings, but that was in the snow, late April in Detroit. Throw out the snow game and he’s dominating a NYY lefty heavy lineup with 20 K’s, 5er in 19.1ings of work (all with Toronto)
Chris Archer, SP: $11,700 – I’m not going near this matchup. Boston is batting a MLB high with a .294 clip home this year. They’ve cooled off a bit as of late, but Archer has coughed up 8er in 16.1ings vs Bos this year.
Gio Gonzalez, SP: $9,600 – I think Gio got his groove back. Dude was hot garbage most of the year. Yeah he’d throw up a decent game here and there, but he was too inconsistent for any DFS consideration. Fast forward to now and over his last 3 games he’s fanned 26! Yeah, 26 from La Basura and in two of those games he had double digit strikeouts. If you’ve been listening to Uncle Sky over the last 2 weeks you’d know he’s facing a Baltimore team who is in the bottom three vs LHP, batting just .237 way from Camden Yards, and racking up lots of K’s. Get your Gio on with some Dallas Kyer’s Club and you can still build a solid offense for both Cash and GPP.
Jason Hammel, SP: $7,800 – He’s a bit expensive for the numbers he’s been putting up lately. Over his last 4 games he’s only pitched 19.2ings while giving up 14er with 20 K’s. He has dominated Mil this year only giving up 7er in 24.1ings, with 21k’s. Mil is batting .233 vs Hammel this year and he is at home, but I’m not feeling the love.
Jhoulys Chacin, SP: $6,000- This is definitely a GPP call and for the money it’s worth the risk. He’s been pretty good for AZ only letting up 2er in all three of his starts. If he can give you a QS with 5 or 6K’s he’s worth pairing with Keuchel or Price as I don’t see very many mid-level West Coast pitchers in GPP.
Erik Johnson, SP: $4,500 – He’s been decent in the 3 games that he’s started averaging 14.2 pts. Puke Soup is featured in the early game for the Sox so at the back end of a doubleheader, I’m sure Detroit will be worn out after running around the bases. Hopefully EJ gets a soft line up and he can be a decent GPP.
Dustin Garneau, C: $2,200 – Cheap Coors exposure as he’s hit in 5 of the last 6 games he’s started in so not your typical punt play. Just make sure he’s in the line up.
Brian McCann, C: $3,600 – If you’re not rostering Price then take a look at McCann. He’s batting .375 with 3 bombs and 7 RBI over the last 2 seasons vs Price. I know Sky and I won’t be rostering him because he lays goose eggs anytime we roster him. That’s good news for you though.
Anthony Rizzo, 1B: $5,000 – H to the Rizzo! He went cold there for a bit, but he’s been hot as of late. He’s got multiple hits in 3 of his last 5 games and he’s facing Perez who he owns batting .462 with 5 bombs and 11 RBI.
Paul Goldschmidt, 1B: $5,100 – Goldy has Anderson, a soft throwing lefty at Dodger Stadium. Goldie is batting .374 vs LHP, he’s been pretty quiet over the last 10 games with only 1 HR. I’m expecting Goldie to bust out the bling-bling in LA where he’s hitting .458 with 2 bombs in 2015.
David Ortiz, 1B: $4,700 – Remember above when I said that Boston has been raking at home? Papi definitely has the advantage over the Golden Archer, as he’s batting .368 with 2 bombs and 8 RBI over the last 2 seasons.
Justin Smoak, 1B: $2,600 – The Smoak Monster has been great this year, he’s just not getting consistent starts. Check to see if he’s in and you can sneak in a solid match up vs Warren at home.
Logan Forsythe, 1B/2B: $3,900 – The Rays are facing a lefty and that means a TB mini-stack in the middle as I like Evan Longoria at $3,900 and Tim Beckham at $2,900.
Anthony Rendon, 2B/3B: $3,900 – If you’re tired of the Rays vs LHP and you’re not feeling the matchups in Coors then Rendon and Yunel Escobar $4,000 have what you need. They’re facing a sputtering Ubaldo who has let up 18er in his last 5 starts.
Starlin Castro, 2B/SS: $3,400 – Castro has been smashing over his last 10 games. He’s batting .447 with 4 bombs and 13 RBI. Madden has sat him here and there so I’m hoping he’s in the line up as he’s 12/27 with 2 bombs vs Perez.
Jordy Mercer, SS: $2,700 – Bargain Coors exposure and with Kang done for the year he’ll be starting. Gray is stingy with the HR’s, but LHB are hitting .300 and RHB are hitting .314.
Mikie Mahtook, OF: $3,300 – He’s not the bargain $2,500 he was last week, but he’s facing a lefty and he’s had 11 hits in his last 10 games.
Trayce Thompson, OF: $3,500 – Another solid match up as he’s hitting .382 vs LHP. Check the lineups, but he’s started against every lefty as of late and this is the second game of a double dip, so I’m sure he’ll be in.
Corey Dickerson, OF: $3,700 – Coors is in play and at that price you’ve got to get him in. Burnett got pushed up a day, so I’m hoping that might cause an extra mistake or two.
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
Overall, not much to report other than a 30% chance of rain in Washington and possible thunderstorms in LA. I’m in LA and there is zero chance of thunderstorms, it’s 90 degrees and it’s not going to rain.
Doing Lines In Vegas
Price and company are -250 vs NYY tonight followed by St Louis -194, Cincy is awful on the road and look for Garcia to bounce back from his terrible outing in Cincy. Coors leads the over as usual with 10.5, but surprisingly the second Det/CHW game is right behind at 9.
