You know what’s a very considerate thing to do?  To tell you about some concerns I have for the upcoming season after you’ve already drafted.  Due to posting my rankings in January and not tweaking things outside of injuries and playing time updates, there’s some things that I look at now and I wonder what the hell I was thinking.  I could update some rankings due to spring training performances, but then I’m throwing out the countless hours (1 1/2 hours) of research I put in to do my rankings.  I don’t believe in doing that.  There was a reason I ranked how I ranked originally and to move a guy now because he hit a few homers in March doesn’t make any sense.  I’m also not completely immune to what was going on for the last month performance-wise with players, so I’m giving you some players that I might’ve ranked slightly different if I let spring training performances come into play.  If you want to bump up or down some of these guys, I could understand it.  Anyway, here’s some players that have me second-guessing myself for 2015 fantasy baseball:

THE GOOD

Trevor Bauer – Has an 18:1 K:BB ratio this spring.  From a guy who couldn’t hit the broad side of the barn with a fastball from the back of a wagon that was facing the barn.  Wagon throwing is an art, though.

Taijuan Walker – He’s winning the spring training Cy Young, which is good for a soup or salad side order at Panera Bread, so, ya know, it means something.  But fo’reallies, I loved him last year, drafted him on multiple teams and now I don’t have him and he’s about to breakout.  Eff me in the coolie.

Matt Harvey – Tommy John surgery looks much closer in the rear view mirror than it actually is.  If I were ranking today, I’d prolly put him in my top 15.  I will not move him because it’s just the spring and he’ll be limited during the last ten days of the season.  God, that’s an awful reason.

Alex Rodriguez – Actually looks like he could return some value and not just unintentional comedic value when seeing him date overly muscular women.

Joc Pederson – How do I not have this guy on a team yet?  This spring, he has 6 homers, hitting .368 and a 1.154 OPS.  I didn’t even know OPS went that high (I did, stop your yapping; I’m not an idiot (I am an idiot; crap, how many parentheticals to get out of this sentence?  A little help, please.)).

C.J. Cron – I loved Cron this year with my Cron sleeper thingie-ma-clickie.  He’s pounding the ball this spring.  Hamilton’s gonna be out a while so Cron will have a place to play.  Yet, I only own Cron on one team.  He’s been going for Fifty Cent on the dollar, and I need more Curtis Jackson Cron!

Billy Burns – Hitting over .400 this spring, Crisp can’t stay on the field and I don’t own Burns on one team.  Sky dropped a Billy Burns sleeper on you, and I haven’t even ranked him.  That Burns me up!

Mike Zunino – I kinda want to move Zunino up in my catcher rankings because he’s 2nd in the spring in homers and he’s hitting .354.  Yes, it’s the spring, but Zunino was always a well regarded prospect, and catchers tend to take a little longer to ma-toor.  I’m thinking we’re about to see a breakout, then again I’ve drafted him on multiple teams so I’m bias as all get-out.

THE BAD

Greg Holland – Top pitchers with decreased fastball velocity this spring:  Jim Henderson (-4.4 MPH), Justin Miller (-3.8 MPH) and Greg Holland (3.7 MPH).  Um, yikes?  Last time, Holland saw that kind of decrease in speed, the Dutch legalized marijuana.  “Doode, what gives with all the tulips?”  “I don’t know, let’s sell them!”  That’s two Dutch stoners.  Velocity being down is bad, velocity being down from a closer that relies on velocity?  Well, there could be an injury or just good old fashioned trouble ahead.  I’m not moving Holland in my rankings, but I’m also not drafting him either.

Dellin Betances – See what I said about Holland but replace actual velocity loss with “unknown velocity loss.”  In other words, I couldn’t find the actual miles per hour that Betances has lost, but I’ve seen it written multiple times that Betances is struggling.  On one hand, Andrew Miller drafted as a handcuff is mandatory.  On the other hand, Betances says he had velocity problems last spring too.  On a third hand that is actually twelve rabbits’ feet shoved into a mitten, I haven’t drafted Betances and won’t.

Mat Latos – I haven’t drafted him after Rudy’s article about what pitchers to avoid.  (Actually, I haven’t drafted any of them.)  I would’ve moved them down in my rankings after Rudy’s article, but I think they’re going to be all right.  They pitch in good parks, they’re young and they face some weak offenses.  They’re going to be totally all right (do I sound at all convincing?).  Rudy’s article did give me enough pause that every time I saw one of those pitchers, I simply drafted another pitcher from their same tier.  Out of the three starters from his article, Latos has me the most nervous due to his velocity drop, declining K-rate and downright icky spring ERA.  Hopefully his last spring start where he only gave one solo homer (to Hank Conger!) in 5 1/3 IP is a step in the right direction.  I mean, how bad could he be in Crayola Canyon?  Not to answer, but to ruminate.

Steven Souza – He’s currently last for qualified hitters in batting average this spring at .122, striking out 14 times in 15 games.  The good news is he thinks he knows what’s wrong.  The bad news is I’ve drafted him on every team.  Please don’t let the sound of a Souza be a raspberry with extra spittle.  I’m not moving him in my rankings, but I’m not drafting him again either.

Paul Goldschmidt – Has one homer and a .217 average as he returns from a broken wrist.  That sounds like Goldshit.

Anthony Rendon – I’m concerned it’s going to be mid-July and Rendon’s going to be headed for his 112th opinion on his knee.

Kolten Wong – I want Wong to breakout so bad I can taste it.  Does that mean I’m really thinking about Marcus Semien?  Hmm, good question, Left Side of the Brain!  As of yesterday, Wong’s hitting .139 and looks destined to hit 8th until at least May.  But me love you Wong time!

Kris Bryant – I’m concerned because I didn’t rank Bryant in the top 10 overall and project him for 80 homers.

THE UGLY

Devin Mesoraco – Have you seen his picture?

 
  1. Michael Robinson says:
    (link)

    Glad to be the first “fool” to comment on today’s column. Not really a fool, just honoring the day and looking for some education.

    Have decided to draft an ordinary catcher (as my first and last) in the final round of a 12-teamer. Any “meh” thoughts about Castro, Norris, Flowers, Hundley, Grandal, Montero or Chirinos. I have a feeling most will be available at the end.

  2. Giant Gigantes says:
    (link)

    Lmao…poor Mesoraco!

  3. The Theory says:
    (link)

    I HAVE SEEN DEVIN’S PICTURE AND MY NIGHTMARES WILL NEVER CEASE.

    I never pay attention to spring stats (other than my annual “get my hopes up for Moustakas” thing, because who doesn’t want to draft their starting first baseman in the last round?), but players coming off an injury and looking good (regardless of stats) does give me that boost to draft with (more) confidence.

    (Strokes Matt Harvey, whispering “My precious, my precious” into his ear.)

    • The Theory says:
      (link)

      @The Theory: This site needs an edit button. Pretend that the above says “third baseman” not “first baseman”.

  4. jayrock says:
    (link)

    Yo Grey!

    Thanks for another dope write up. I too am worried Rendon is going to have a bum knee all season. Should I trade him?

    I’ve been offered Bryce for Rendon, thas about it.
    I have Dee Gordon as my insurance plan at 2B.

    Thoughts?

    • the swinging says:
      (link)

      @jayrock: dee as insurance? 8 team league?

      Def make that deal.

      • jayrock says:
        (link)

        @the swinging: Na, 12 teamer. But my OF blows. Heyward, Marcel, Myers And Dom Brown are my starters…

        I’m pulling the trigger on the deal right meow.

        • SallyCips says:
          (link)

          @jayrock: Good, man.

    • JeF With 1 F says:
      (link)

      @jayrock: Id Take it

    • AdamH says:
      (link)

      @jayrock: Do it now

    • Malicious Phenom says:
      (link)

      @jayrock: DO IT!

  5. Robert says:
    (link)

    Hello, 5×5 league 10 teams
    C. DAnaurd 1b: Bautista, 2b; Kendrick, 3b Longoria, SS. H. Ramirez, MI, Utely CI: Chris Davis, Out: Gomez, Puig, Ellsbury, Calhoun,Moss. Ult:Morneau
    P: Hamels, Cole, Wood, Shields, Shoemaker, Bailey, C. Allen, J. Benoit, T. Clipboard. Bench: Drew Hutchison, Shane Greene, J. Peralta. Feel need one more speed guy pick up Evereth Cabrera, or Jose Ramirez or hold for now.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Robert: You look light on speed if Ellsbury doesn’t steal 50+…. Pitching looks decent, don’t love Bailey…Ramirez

    • J-FOH says:
      (link)

      @Robert: E Cab!

  6. Robert says:
    (link)

    I would trade Anthony Rendon, for Bryce Harper in a second. Rendon could be fine but 3 doctors looking at a guy’s knee and no baseball activity in 3 weeks. The longer you wait might get nothing. I think his value starts tumbling, fast. Me personally if they are both 100 percent I would rather have Rendon but he’s not. I don’t want my season ruined by a first/ second round pick and the season hasn’t even started. Do it now!

  7. piranhaman says:
    (link)

    Hi Grey, i have 2 questions.

    1) I’m worrying about Yasmani Tomas to be a bust or demoted. Should I pick up Alex Guerrero for insurance? (with holding Tomas)

    2) I have d’Anaud as my C. Would you drop him and pick up Zunino at this point?

    Thanks Grey :)

    • JeF With 1 F says:
      (link)

      @piranhaman: 1. Hold………..2. Hold

    • Fungazi says:
      (link)

      @piranhaman: I just made that exact move – dropped D’Arnaud for Zunino. Figured I would just switch back if needed, they aren’t high % owned players.

    • J-FOH says:
      (link)

      @piranhaman: 1) no
      2) are you light on home runs? TdA will be more solid/ well rounded and probably less slumpy but you get more pop out of Zunino. It’s roster construcon here. If you don’t need the pop then stuck with what you have.

  8. Robert says:
    (link)

    Sorry just a follow up saw that Adam Eaton and even Wil Myers on waivers.

    • JeF With 1 F says:
      (link)

      @Robert: Id grab Myers over Morneau

    • Malicious Phenom says:
      (link)

      @Robert: Myers, he will break out this year in that Friars lineup!

    • J-FOH says:
      (link)

      @Robert: depends on need. Do you need speed and a higher batting average or more pop? Can you grab both? Are you carrying a lot of starting pitching? How deep is the league? Any other bench bats?

    • J-FOH says:
      (link)

      @Robert: I see this is from above. Looks pretty shallow. Greene can go for one of them. I like Eaton for speed over ramirez and ecab. You can platoon with moss and Morneau when they face lefties.

  9. RJ says:
    (link)

    Great article as usual, Grey! Hey, I just drafted my team for my 12-team, 6×6 (OPS, QS) league which I won last season thanks to Razzball!! :) I would like to know what you think of this year’s team:

    C. Zunino
    1B. C. Davis
    2B. Gyorko
    SS. D. Santana
    3B. Arenado
    CI. C. Santana
    MI. J. Ramirez
    OF. Harper
    OF. J. Upton
    OF. Soler
    OF. K. Davis
    OF. Souza
    UTIL. D. Brown
    BN. Saunders
    BN. Micah Johnson
    P. Iwakuma
    P. Cole
    SP. Arrieta
    SP. Carrasco
    SP. Hutchison
    SP. Paxton
    SP. Daniel Norris
    SP. Bauer
    SP. Shoemaker
    RP. Cecil

    Thanks! Looking forward to your input :)

    • JeF With 1 F says:
      (link)

      @RJ: I like it…can lose Micah for a pitcher though

    • Fastpitch says:
      (link)

      @RJ: I’d probably lose both bench bats for pitchers. You’ll have there production in the FA pool all year. With only one closer you need to get a couple more. With one it’s like punting saves, not recommended, or wasting a roster spot. it’s no fun chasing saves all year.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @RJ: Thanks! You look a little weak on AVG, but solid overall on hitting…Pitching’s solid too, nice team

    • J-FOH says:
      (link)

      @RJ: once you DL brown and Saunders you can make your moves. Hold for now. You need some saves/ handcuffs And a utility bat to start the year. Your pitching is nice.

  10. simon says:
    (link)

    Hi guys

    16 teams redraft yahoo h2h league with 6 keepers

    I ben offered David Price + 2 scrubs for Mookie Betts, Ian Kennedy and Danny Duffy.

    My keepers for now are:

    G. Stanton
    Miggy Cabrera
    Mookie Betts
    Xavier Boogarts
    Manny Machado
    Billy Hamilton

    Is it tome to sell high on Mookie Betts?
    Should i pull the trigger on that?

  11. sethmojo says:
    (link)

    Grey=

    I’m in a NFBC main event league with 2 catchers and mine are Chirinos and Hanigan.

    Would you say it’s time to start cracking open each others heads and feasting on the goo inside?

    No catcher question, just wanted to start the catcher panic.

    Three years strong of loving your musings, keep up the good work, you’ve taken me from ashy to classy!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @sethmojo: Thanks for the kind words! Have at the goo!

  12. Chuzwozza says:
    (link)

    As an absolute novice I relied fairly heavily on your rankings so to now learn you are fallible is a little worrying! ;)
    Moreover, I am concerned for you Mr Grey should Wong not make the grade – will you be able to handle it?
    As a football (soccer) fan, I going to fall back on the fact that pre-season friendlies (which I am sort of equating to Spring Training?) usually have little to no influence on the full season … (A vain hope?)
    Anyway, keep up the good work. It’s certainly been entertaining thus far!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Chuzwozza: Thanks! Hopefully our Wongs are strong!

      • Chuzwozza says:
        (link)

        @Grey: It worked! Here comes the Wong!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Nice!

  13. BitchesBeShoppach says:
    (link)

    Do you like Bauer over wily peralta?

    • apoxonbothyourhouses says:
      (link)

      @BitchesBeShoppach: Obviously not Grey, but I like Bauer a bit more than Peralta because of the K potential. With that comes the monthly Trevor Bauer explosion.

    • Baezaworldseries says:
      (link)

      @BitchesBeShoppach: Top that!!! That avatar cracks me up. Today it even inspired a Robyn Lively google. I’m still in love with her, cougar style. Every time I see it, that stuff is stuck in my head all day. The second best movie rap(if you can call it that) scene ever.

      • BitchesBeShoppach says:
        (link)

        What’s number 1? Vanilla Ice in ninja turtles?

        Sorry grey I know your rankings but was wondering since you were pumping bauer’s tires.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Ha

  14. JeF With 1 F says:
    (link)

    Moved back into the house and saved my marriage

    • Fastpitch says:
      (link)

      @JeF With 1 F: I’m happy for you and your family. Hope this is not an April fool’s joke. If you do the big “D” like 50% of the people do you will have tough situations the rest of your life.

    • Malicious Phenom says:
      (link)

      @JeF With 1 F: Awesome, very happy for you dude! Hope it works out for you!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @JeF With 1 F: Seriously? Glad you were able to work it out, if so

      • JeF With 1 F says:
        (link)

        @Grey: No im still in the apt. Ha…