Since there were no games this week and players haven’t been able to get hot or cold or humid, this Buy/Sell is going to be slightly different.  This Buy/Sell includes some players that are owned in more than 50% of leagues.  Okay, that’s not different for the Sells, but it does change the Buys.  The other day on our podcast I was asked by JB, “What is the USA Today?”  Because JB was born in the 2000s.  But I was also asked by him who is my biggest buy of the 2nd half.  For that I said, “Um, well, I have to say, actually, actually, actually, my biggest buy is, uh, um, hmm.”  Spit it out, Grey!  You know how your own voice sounds weird?  I wonder if that holds up for the Movie Trailer Guy.  Any the hoo!  My biggest buy was Adrian Beltre.  For s’s and g’s, I looked at Beltre’s 2nd half from last year, it wasn’t great — six homers, zero steals, .308.  Last year, he had 19 homers for the full season and he has 7 homers right now.  So, I don’t think the power is going to come roaring back like he’s Mickey Maris in 1927 with Barry Bonds’s personal trainer.  In my top 100 for the 2nd half of 2015 fantasy baseball (say that fast 117 times!), I gave Beltre 11 homers.  That feels optimistic, but doable.  His fly balls are more or less fine from last year, but he’s getting unlucky with his HRs per fly balls even though his home run distance isn’t terrible.  He’s also been crazy unlucky with his BABIP.  It’s sitting at .263, which would be his lowest since 2003.  Basically, he’s hitting a line drive to the gap and a squirrel is grabbing it, flipping it to an outfielder and Beltre’s being called out because the ball never touched the ground.  If I were struggling at corner and need to take a gamble, I’d trade for Beltre and watch the good times Esther Rolle!  Anyway, here’s some more players to Buy or Sell this week in fantasy baseball:

BUY

Carlos Santana – I’m harping like your dead guinea pig on a harp in heaven about Santana having a better 2nd half, but I was doing the same thing last year too, and he did bounce back to have a nice 2nd half.  By the by, your dead guinea pig is doing well and says hello.  I must end this seance now.

Carlos Gomez – As I said in the top 100 for the 2nd half, I’m likely just saying Gomez can be better because of what he’s done in past years vs. what he’s done this year.  If there’s one guy I could see getting traded and being huge for six weeks on a new team, it’s Gomez.  I mean in real baseball.  If he’s traded to your fantasy team, I hope he goes on a six-week tear, but Gomez likely won’t know about the trade.  Unless you’re standing outside his house with a fantasy team jersey.

Jose Abreu – This is strictly a Rest of the Season Player Rater buy.  The ROS PR is produced by using Steamer’s projections which are routinely considered the best in the business, so it likely knows more than us, but I honestly don’t trust Abreu for a bounce back.  So it’s your call:  human with a glorious mustache or a machine?

Billy Hamilton – More on Hamilton below.  I promise.

Ken Giles – Last year around this time, I said Papelbon is rumored to be traded at any moment, so grab Giles, and here we are a year later talking the same jizzazz (hmm, that word looks weird).

Jeremy Jeffress – I almost called him Jeffrey Jermess.  I am silly!  (And dopey.)  Do you know what they call a Jewish American Princess who is a germaphobe?  A Jermess.

Jim Johnson – Welcome to the big time, Johnson!  Which is something I’ve never heard before.

Arodys Vizcaino – There’s rumors that Johnson might be traded, so Vizcaino is likely the handcuff.  The Braves trading their closer makes sense, but David Aardsma could also sneak into the closer role, so it’s far from a clear picture and likely shouldn’t be posted on Instagram.

Jason Motte – Oh, man, you guys have the reaction time of Brad Pitt in True Romance.  Motte’s getting saves, people!

Ervin Santana – This is more of a Stream-o-Nator pick for his next start.  You know the Stream-o-Nator, it’s the designated driver for the Hitter-Tron, when Tron overdoes it on motor oil and starts running around naked in a junkyard.

Andrew Heaney – I keep talking about how much I like Heaney, but how he could get bumped from the rotation when Weaver returns.  Well, checkmate (not using that right)!  Reports are saying Shoemaker could be bumped instead, so I’d grab Heaney.

Aaron Nola – I already stashed Nola in one deep league (though, honestly, I drafted him in March and have had him all year).  Not totally sure why the Phils haven’t called him up yet, but, knowing the Phils, they prolly think they traded Nola away years ago.  What makes Nola attractive is his high cheekbones, and his great control.  He looks capable of a very low 2 BB/9, which means if he gets hit in the majors, the damage will likely be contained.  The excellent news is he can touch 96 MPH on his fastball.  Since he pitches in the NL East, he’ll be an add in every league once he’s called up, so if you want to get a jump on your leaguemates, grab him now.

Kyle SchwarberMiguel Montero jammed his thumb and is out six weeks.  Reminds me of the time Marion Barry jammed his thumb on a crack pipe and screamed bloody murder.  Or maybe I’m thinking of my maw-maw’s marionberry jam.  Tomato-tah-moo-toe!  Schwarber was called up and is ready to do damage like every Schwarber in the world that isn’t a pharmacist (none).  If you need me to explain who Schwarber is, then I have a question for you, how much do you spend on electricity to light under that rock where you live?  Prospect Mike just ranked Schwarber on his top 50 prospects list-a-ma-whosie and Schwarber has a chance to be the biggest call-up left this year for redrafts and I would grab him in every league and this is the world’s longest sentence, congratulate me.

C.J. Cron – I drafted Cron on multiple teams and he was my last round pick that I thought could’ve hit 30 homers.  Think a very cheap Brandon Moss.  Call him Cheap Moss.  Unfortch, things happened to Cron, namely The Sciosciapath, but he’s back and hitting (and playing for now).

Rob Refsnyder – Just went over my Rob Refsnyder fantasy.  Are you my brother Rob or Disco Bob?!  (Five over-the-internet dollars if you get that reference.)

Rougned Odor – I can’t tell yet if I love, hate or am indifferent on Odor, making him baking soda.  He has great speed (27 steals in the minors one year), but hasn’t shown an ounce of that.  He’s had good power in the minors (10 homers one year), but not a ton of that either.  I’m willing to grab him, but I’m still on the fence.

Brad Miller – He’s on pace for a 15/15 season and a sleeper post from me next year and you throwing tomatoes at your computer screen.

Jarrod DysonSAGNOF!  That link there, click it.  It’s not a link to the glossary term.  It’s to a picture of frequent commenter, Jacques Jones’s hand.  Why link to a picture of a reader’s hand?  Well, because he got a SAGNOF tattoo!  What?!  Seriously, if you think you’re a hardcore Razzball reader, you’re not because Jacques just turned hardcore up to eleven.  To top Jacques, you need to now get a SAGNOF tramp stamp or face tattoo.  Nothing else will be accepted.

Khris Davis – I just went over my Khris Davis fantasy.  I wrote it in 8-point font, then put it under water to expand the letters.

Marlon Byrd – Just look at his stats vs. Trumbo.  Byrd vs. Yelich.  Byrd vs. Magic.

SELL

Billy Hamilton – Okay, Imma let you finish, but you have Billy H.A.M.-a-steal as a Buy and Sell.  Good joke, Grey, but I’m not laughing very much.  Yeah, I know I put Hamilton as both a Buy and a Sell.  I did that to show that a lot of trades are needs-based at this point.  Do you needs yourself some steals?  Then buy him!  Do you not needs no steals or grammar books?  Then sell him!  If I could gain three or more points in steals without losing points in power, I’d make some pretty ridiculous trades to acquire Hamilton.

Michael Brantley – This sell depends on needs too, but if you need something besides batting average, runs and RBIs, and something hardcore like HRs and SBs, then I would sell Brantley.  I wouldn’t sell low.  I don’t think he’s bad, I just don’t think he’s that good either.  Fine looking landscaping, Grey, I love those hedges!

Evan Longoria – I should preface this by saying I would sell Longoria if I could find someone to actually pay a decent price for him.  Doode’s career power trajectory looks like David Wright, but at least he provided 15 steals.

Kyle Seager – I was trying to squeeze Seager into my top 100 for the 2nd half, then I was like, “Grey, you’re handsome, smart and other words for those two traits.  You’ll find a way to squeeze in Seager if you really think he belongs.  Also, what are we having for lunch?”  At the end of the day, that day specifically, I decided Seager didn’t offer that much upside to warrant inclusion in the top 100, and his batted ball profile suggests he might not be more than a 8-homer, .260 2nd half hitter, which could be more or less Plouffe.  That’s right, a Plouffe comparison.  Ouch.

Zack Greinke – Sure, sure, sure, sure, sure, sure, he won’t have a 1.39 ERA all year as he does right now.  Don’t need a bachelor’s from the Fantasy Baseball College of Charleston to know that, though it doesn’t hurt for the ol’ resume.  You can be Daniel Holden, fresh out of jail, and know that.  (By the way, Rectify might be the best TV show on right now.)  I’m not just talking about Greinke’s ERA.  His K/9 is 7.7.  That’s decent…for a number three fantasy starter.  A.J. Burnett or Greinke?  Well, Greinke, but they’re really not very far apart.  Right now, Greinke has the 40th best K-rate around that of C.J. Wilson and Hellickson.  Gio Gonzalez or Greinke?  Again, Greinke, but they could be relatively the same difference in the 2nd half.  I’m not saying sell Greinke for a t-shirt that says, “I’m a Glambert,” with Adam Lambert’s face on it, but I’d explore options.

2020 Draft Kit
 
  1. Fred Garvin MP says:
    (link)

    So if I have this correct: We’re still holding Santana, but not each other?

    *whispers to self* “Steady Fred. Remember what Dr. Goldblatt said about boundaries.”

    • Malicious Phenom says:
      (link)

      @Fred Garvin MP: Hey other MP, Goldblatt is quack..lol..

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Fred Garvin MP: Ha, I would be holding him, yeah, not each other

    • J-FOH says:
      (link)

      @Fred Garvin MP: HA! 12 inches apart at all times

  2. morningwood says:
    (link)

    Who would you rather have for 2nd half, C.J. Cron or Khris Davis.

    Thanks!

  3. Pick up kyle Schwarber don’t need sb’s but need hr’s and averages who do I drop Mauer, burns, or belt

  4. assy says:
    (link)

    fantasy prayer for the 2nd half – May your pitchers stay healthy and filthy and flexed, you batters all eyes on the ball. May the fantasy gods find mercy on me, bless the hamstrings and obliques of us all.

    gerrit cole 3:16

    • Greys #1 Fan says:
      (link)

      @assy:

      *extends hands for prayer pentagon*

      “Amen”

    • Malicious Phenom says:
      (link)

      @assy: May the fantasy gods be with us all for the second half..

    • SallyCips says:
      (link)

      @assy: May the second half be Stanton…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @assy: That was a beautiful prayer

  5. Malicious Phenom says:
    (link)

    OK, Here it comes, the dreaded, not like the former dread Pirates locks, but the dreaded catcher question of the day dreaded..

    3 leagues, 3 C’s, drop any of them for Schwarber:

    Grandal, Yadiar, Lucroy.

    thanks and have a great weekend..

    • bigbear says:
      (link)

      @Malicious Phenom:

      Yadier – his K/BB ratio has been trending the wrong way the past few years, plus his HR/flyball ratio tanked this year. His babip is in line with his career. Me thinks age is catching up a bit, but he could still put it together. Schwarber (assuming playing time) would have more power numbers and I think a similar BA. Pretty risky knowing Yadier would be grabbed. I’d probably look to drop a bench spot (OF, Util, streamer spot) if possible and shop Yadier instead.

      Grandal – not much of a history to look at in the bigs. Much, much better this year K/BB ratio. Which seems to match his trend from the minors. I’ve never really looked at him this year. Looks pretty solid. I wouldn’t drop Grandal. (Actually now that I’m looking at him a bit more, I hope he’s a hidden gem for next years draft!)

      Lucroy – Full disclosure, I’ve never really got on that wagon for better or for worse. His babip is .270, so there’s some upside. His power numbers are pretty bad this year (ISO, AB/HR…). I wouldn’t be shocked if he doesn’t get to 10 HR on the year (i.e. he hits less than 8 HR in the second half). I think Lucroy is droppable for Schwarber.

      • Malicious Phenom says:
        (link)

        @bigbear: thanks for the info bigbear..Much appreciated..

    • Paul C. says:
      (link)

      @Malicious Phenom: Drop Yadier and pick up Schwarber, who might qualify in the OF too. Then trade Lucroy or Grandal (or even Schwarber) depending on your needs and who your league likes more. Trade Lucroy if you need HRs more than BA, trade Grandal if you need BA more, or Schwarber if he gets off to a hot start and you have Cubs fans in your league or guys who like the hot new prospect call-up. You don’t need 3 catchers, but those guys should all be rostered, so you need to hold and trade.

      • Paul C. says:
        (link)

        @Paul C.: My bad, just saw the 3 leagues part. In the Yadier league, pick him up if you have someone who’s pretty droppable, otherwise hold. Schwarber may only play part time and is at pretty high risk of getting sent back down later in the season (would be up in September though, I would imagine).

  6. Malicious Phenom says:
    (link)

    On this day in baseball history:

    July 17, 1961 Yankee sluggers Roger Maris (35) and Mickey Mantle (32), both ahead of the Bambino’s record 1927 pace, each lose a homer when the nightcap of a twin bill is rained out in the top of the fifth inning against the Orioles in Baltimore. The Memorial Stadium washout occurs on same day Commissioner Ford Frick decrees that Babe Ruth’s record of 60 home runs will not be broken unless a player hits 61 or more within the first 154 games of the newly expanded 162-game schedule.

  7. Wild Thing says:
    (link)

    Awesome write up!

    Salary cap league, which side?

    Sano $25 for 2016-2018, McCullers $1 in 2016 then $16 for 2017-2019 (or Syndergaard for same $)

    Or

    Schwarber $1 in 2016 then $16 in 2017-2019 and Walker $21 in 2016-2018

    Team with Schwarber also has Grandal locked up to cheap money – even for a catcher – for two more years. Thanks!

    • Malicious Phenom says:
      (link)

      @Wild Thing: I’d go Sano/Noah

      • Wild Thing says:
        (link)

        @Malicious Phenom:

        Thanks MP… What if it had to be McCullers?

        • Malicious Phenom says:
          (link)

          @Wild Thing: Not a big fan of McCullers..

          • Moscowitz says:
            (link)

            @Malicious Phenom:
            why? Because you missed out on him?
            the guy has nasty stuff and is among the top 3 young pitchers who got called up.

    • Peter Nincompoop says:
      (link)

      @Wild Thing: Sano and McCullers/Syndergaard

      • CMUTimmah says:
        (link)

        @Malicious Phenom: I’m leaning towards Belt… he’s not an average guy, and if you’re already starting Mauer at 1B, he’s going to give you the flexibility to use the C or Util on Schwarber… @Malicious Phenom: Loved Grandal coming into the year just worried about his playing time, so I drafted Gomes instead (very very late surprisingly)… picked him up and Vogt up when Yan Gomes went on the DL the morning of the day he had that monster 4/4 2 HR 8 RBI game… then made the terrible call to drop him when Gomes came back… still kicking myself. Now, I just have Vogt as a C, which is nice, but I’m in a head to head league, and Catchers sit more often than any other position, so having a backup catcher isn’t as big of a sin as in a roto league…@Peter Nincompoop: That Walker contract makes this easy… Sano side

  8. Manley Ramirez says:
    (link)

    Moss, K.Davis, D. Peralta, Paulsen, Grichuk. Pick 3 for second half OPS and run production.

  9. jacque jones says:
    (link)

    In a h2h standard 5×5
    1. odor or refsNY need sb/avg most and everything else too. (Duffy/Aybar are other mi)

    2. Drop burns or inciarte for Cron @util(OF would be moss,soler,joc, Dyson and burns or inciarte)

    3. Cron/Dyson would be a solid platoony sitch.

    4. Fowler or deshields ROS.

    5. Thank you for the SAGNOF shirt offer but I wear it proudly on my hand give it to a more deserving commenter. You answer enough questions for me. ..buuut ahem ..if you wanna let me use dfsbot rest of the yr or beyond, free of charge im not gonna fight you on it… yes im being a BEGGAR and a CHOOSER…where do I send info if this is a possibility?….will buy premium with first payoff from dfks..or tell me to piss off and enjoy explaining sagnof to everyone I meet for the rest of my existence, either works.
    Thanks you sir.

    • jacque jones says:
      (link)

      @jacque jones: FOLLOW UP.
      Kendrick Lamar hip hop buy or sell?
      Im digging his latest record.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        @jacque jones: Buy all day, one of the best albums of the year

        • nick the dick says:
          (link)

          @Grey: wait wait wait….weren’t you lukewarm on that album and said it wasn’t great? I’d sell Kendrick for MTV Party to Go Volume 4.

          • Grey

            Grey says:
            (link)

            Is that with Jock Jams?

            • nick the dick says:
              (link)

              @Grey: It’s Jock Jams but way better