After drudging through an Andy Dufresne-type tunnel for the top 20 catchers for 2018 fantasy baseball, I find myself with a group that actually really hurt or helped your team depending on how you drafted.  If you went wrong with your 1st baseman, it could kill your season.  Hey, Wil Myers, no hard feelings from me, because I didn’t own you.  You prolly got some splainin’ to do to your owners though.  If you went right, you might’ve won your league.  However (uh-oh), 1st base, well, I guess that’s why we’re here.  To recap, this final ranking is from our Fantasy Baseball Player Rater with my comments.  Anyway, here’s the top 20 1st basemen for 2018 fantasy baseball and how they compared to where I originally ranked them:

1. Freddie Freeman – 1st base was not good.  Some were obviously better than others, but compared to outfield or even middle infield, the top 1st basemen were bottoms for other positions.  There was only one 1st baseman in the top 20 overall.  There were ten outfielders, three 2nd basemen, six shortstops and four 3rd basemen.  After catchers, 1st basemen were the worst.  Lots of guys underperformed:  Rizzo, Bellinger, Trey Mancini, Josh Bell, Wil Myers, Eric Hosmer and Jose Abreu.  Some guys’ botox began to melt:  Albert Pujols, Ryan Zimmerman, Joey Votto, Hanley Ramirez (member him?) and Adrian Gonzalez.  And some guys just suck and we didn’t want to believe it:  Miguel Sano and Greg Bird.  Therefore, Freeman was the cream of the crap.  Preseason Rank #2, 2018 Projections: 93/35/103/.308/8 in 577 ABs, Final Numbers: 94/23/98/.309/10 in 618 ABs

2. Paul Goldschmidt – Continuing with my thoughts from Freeman’s blurb, imagine if Au Shizz and Carpenter never turned it on.  After their poor Septembers, I’m not sure they can be trusted again next year either.  I want to make this about the past year, but I’m not sure next year’s getting better for 1st basemen.  Hoskins, Rizzo and Bellinger jump out as able to be better, and Freeman is solid, but then who?  The 57-year-old Encarnacion?  Good Eflin luck.  Preseason Rank #1, 2018 Projections: 108/30/111/.303/15 in 551 ABs, Final Numbers: 95/33/83/.290/7 in 593 ABs

3. Matt Carpenter – If you traded for Carpenter on May 1st, that picture in the Sistine Chapel of God touching Adam?  He touched you instead.  Also, put on some pants.  Actually, God shouldn’t be touching Adam, he should be handing him boxers.  Preseason Rank #23, 2018 Projections: 84/22/59/.252/2 in 464 ABs, Final Numbers:  111/36/81/.257/4 in 564 ABs

4. J.T. Realmuto – Went over him in the top 20 catchers.

5. Jesus Aguilar – I’ll go over starters soon, but you know how I always say punt top starters because they’re available later?  Even with how bad 1st basemen were, there was only two real surprises (Aguilar and Muncy).  You’ll have to take my word for it for now, but there was about 10 surprise starters.  Preseason Unranked, Final Numbers:  80/35/108/.274 in 492 ABs

6. Rhys Hoskins – First Jesus, now Rhysus, further along we have Allahson.  The 1st baseman are like an old joke.  Jesus, Rhysus and Allahson are in a boat.  Jesus says to Rhysus, “Did you bring the beverages?”  Rhysus says, “I thought we were drinking your blood.”  Allahson, “None for me, thanks.”  Hoskins didn’t have a memorable 2nd season, but he was more on par with what we should’ve expected vs. a true disappointment.  Sadly, his peripherals aren’t saying there was a lot of bad luck or reason for optimism going forward.  90/35/100/.250 might be who he is.  Preseason Rank #9, 2018 Projections: 76/33/98/.271/3 in 544 ABs, Final Numbers:  89/34/96/.246/5 in 558 ABs

7. Anthony Rizzo – Not that great to the Izzo!  That has quite the ring to it.  Rizzo, “Speaking of rings…”  The Cubs seem like a team that has put team in front of personal accomplishment, which is good for real baseball (not that good though, apparently), but that gives me lots of WTFs for fantasy, if it’s true.  Preseason Rank #3, 2018 Projections: 101/34/112/.283/9 in 581 ABs, Final Numbers: 74/25/101/.283/6 in 566 ABs

8. Edwin Encarnacion – Again, I want this to be about this year, but Edwin has raised every red flag imaginable for avoiding next year.  Walks went south, Ks went north, homers followed walks, batting average caught an Uber and said, “Follow those walks and homers!”  Preseason Rank #7, 2018 Projections: 92/36/109/.253/1 in 561 ABs, Final Numbers:  74/32/107/.246/3 in 500 ABs

9. Ian Desmond – As good as his season was, which was okay as a whole but far from perfect, he joins about three other players who hit below .240 playing home games in Coors who weren’t catchers.  I say ‘about’ because I didn’t research it, but I wanna say Walt Weiss, Clint Barmes and a wild card name I’m forgetting.  If someone wants to research it for me, merci bootcamp.  Preseason Rank #22, 2018 Projections: 55/17/51/.261/13 in 461 ABs, Final Numbers: 82/22/88/.236/20 in 555 ABs

10. Cody Bellinger – When you look up sophomore season in the dictionary, it says, “There’s no such thing, but, if there was, Bellinger’s year represents exactly that.”  Could’ve just went with an illustration.  Preseason Rank #4, 2018 Projections: 101/35/109/.265/12 in 561 ABs, Final Numbers:  84/25/76/.260/14 in 557 ABs

11. Max Muncy – I’m one to talk, because I dropped Aguilar after one long weekend, but if Dave Roberts were managing a fantasy team, he benched, at the time, a top 7 1st baseman in the majors, for a barely top 250 overall bat.  As for Muncy, I went to look at his minor league stats to see if any of this year could’ve been predicted and A) No.  B) I ended up finding his wedding registry.  So, listen, Dodgers fans, if you want Muncy to keep setting the table, him and his fiancée could use some silverware.  C) There’s no C.  D) Muncy hit only 12 homers in the PCL the year before.  So, he went homer-friendly to pitcher-friendly and his homers skyrocketed.  To blow dust off an old school name, he looks like Dan Uggla.  Call him Dan UggL.A.  Preseason Unranked, Final Numbers:  75/35/79/.263/3 in 395 ABs

12. Joey Gallo – In 2017, he hit .209.  This year, he hit .206.  By my calculations, in 2086, he’s going to hit .002!  Preseason Rank #12, 2018 Projections: 81/40/93/.221/5 in 506 ABs, Final Numbers:  82/40/92/.206/3 in 500 ABs

13. Matt Olson – I didn’t foresee the A’s becoming one of the best offensive teams in baseball, but if I had, my Allahson projections would’ve close.  Fun fact!  Allahson operates a website MeccaUpload.  Preseason Rank #21, 2018 Projections: 64/34/70/.231/1 in 487 ABs, Final Numbers:  85/29/84/.247/2 in 580 ABs

14. Yuli Gurriel – His stats are the new bleh.  Don’t care where he ended up ranked here, he had a Josh Reddick in 2017-type year — completely driven by counting stats.  Keep driving your numbers with runs and RBIs and I’ll take an Uber with someone else.  Not Carl Pavano though.  Preseason Rank #29, 2018 Projections: 62/17/71/.284/3 in 441 ABs, Final Numbers:  70/13/85/.291/5 in 537 ABs

15. Jose Martinez – The good news, he was better than expected.  The bad news, he wasn’t way better than expected.  Preseason Rank #42, 2018 Projections: 51/15/54/.269/3 in 402 ABs, Final Numbers:  64/17/83/.305 in 534 ABs

16. C.J. Cron – There’s 1670 planets in the Milky Way that are exactly like Earth, and, on one of them called Earf, they play a game that resembles baseball called hitty-pitchyball and, in the hitty-pitchyball leagues, there’s a player called, C.J. Croon.  Croon has had 600 ABs the last five years and has hit 35-40 homers every year.  I play in one fantasy league on Earf and owned Croon.  He’s always very underrayted.  Their spelling, not mine.  Preseason Rank #33, 2018 Projections: 64/25/71/.241/3 in 533 ABs, Final Numbers: 68/30/74/.253/1 in 501 ABs

17. Carlos Santana – Oye como bleh.  Preseason Rank #17, 2018 Projections: 74/24/81/.257/4 in 552 ABs, Final Numbers:  82/24/86/.229/2 in 560 ABs

18. Jose Abreu – Until he was sidelined with an ingrown hair on his thigh, he was maddeningly mediocre.  His ingrown hair might’ve been the only thing that wasn’t mediocre this year.  To sideline a guy from a bad bikini wax, that ingrown hair must’ve been something else.  Did it snake into his ACL?  Jose Abreu, doing a Trump impersonation, “This is the biggest ingrown hair, the likes of which have never been seen before.”  Preseason Rank #6, 2018 Projections: 92/32/104/.296/2 in 625 ABs, Final Numbers:  68/22/78/.265/2 in 499 ABs

19. Yonder Alonso – In case you were wondering, there’s a bunch of guys you owned below Yonder — Smoak, Marwin, Moreland, Kendrys, Pujols, Mancini, Belt, Myers, Zimmerman and Sano.  Of course, there’s also players over Yonder — yoooooodaaaaaaaalaaaaaaayeeeeeeeewho!   Preseason Rank #36, 2018 Projections: 60/20/66/.263/2 in 428 ABs, Final Numbers:  64/23/83/.250 in 516 ABs

20. Eric Hosmer – It’s not too hard to envision Hosmer signing with the Brewers last preseason and being an MVP candidate.  San Diego:  Where Fun Goes To Die.  Preseason Rank #8, 2018 Projections: 83/24/95/.288/5 in 593 ABs, Final Numbers:  72/18/.253/69/7 in 613 ABs

  1. galica says:
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    Grey!!!

    Fantastic 1B write-up.

    a. Couldn’t stop laughing about the SD killing fun reference. My aunt (it’s my mom’s first cousin) and her family went there from Croatia in 1993 and have never looked back. they love it there. Her husband was basically a lowlife scumbag who lived off her wealth and innovation when they were in Croatia and just copied and pasted that into their new life in SD. Copy and paste used in the last sentence takes offense to the reference.

    b. So that’s why I won my RCL!! I kept Freeman cemented to his 1B post! You can call me a genius now. Grey? Anyone out there? Must be week 5 of the NFL.

    c. So true though what you say about this position. If you waited around for your 1B only to do stuff for your team then you prolly ultimately failed at progressing.

    d. Mark Twain quote of the day for October 5

    The difference between the right word and the almost right word is the difference between lightning and the lightning bug.

    e. Have a nice weekend

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @galica: Thanks! Commenter formerly known as Ante… A. Haha, he slid right in there B. Genius! I had Freeman too, and lost my league to RL C. Totes D. That’s great! E. You too!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @galica: E. Think that might be my favorite one

      • galica says:
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        @Grey: Grey!!!

        Thank you much (a la Ray Charles). I will try to outdo that one before the end of the playoffs.

        My uncle! He lived off the daily stipend my aunt gave him – more or less chump change. He is living large!

        Cheers,
        Ante

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Chump change, literally, it sounds

  2. Cram It says:
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    I think there’s optimism with Hoskins. His BABIP was only .272. He’s a strong OBP guy, doesn’t strike out a ton, takes a lot of pitches, particularly in the zone, but has a significantly higher Z-contact rate than Freeman and Goldy. So maybe he just needs to swing at more pitches in the zone.

    • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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      @Cram It: My thoughts [email protected]Cram It: My thoughts exactly. This year’s “disappointment” was really solid, and he’s already locked the K/BB approach that players have trouble developing–particularly 35 homer guys. Seems like someone who could benefit from just being slightly more aggressive earlier in counts.

        • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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          @Grey: I agree- I think .265/.270 is his max, but I think he can catch some more early-count meatballs + start flirting with 40 dongs. The new dread pirate encarnacion if you will.

          Rhys sort of looks like the HEY YOU GUYS dude from the Goonies, so there’s your pirate connection.

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            Haha, Sloth? Brutal… Yeah, maybe .265-270… I kinda thought he was a .285 potentially entering this season… Who knows, maybe he makes positive adjustments

            • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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              @Grey: Sloth’s less extreme looking brother.

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                Haha, oh! In that case, very handsome!

            • Dave D says:
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              @Grey:

              Seems like a more expensive version of Matt Olson to me.

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                That’s a solid analogy

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Cram It: Yeah, could be, his weakish contact, infield fly balls, low hard contact, massive fly balls, made me think BABIP wasn’t too far off, and more of a .250 guy, but will dig in further

      • Cram It says:
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        @Grey: Is his hard contact low? I see his exit velo is the same as Freeman’s and his barrel % seems to be on the higher end. I don’t know. I’m not an advanced stat-head. But his girlfriend is like a 6.5 so maybe he has low self-esteem.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          That’s what killed Billy Butler — not the advanced stats, but his girlfriend… Dude, you’re in the majors, cmon, do better (so bad)

          • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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            @Grey: And you’re giving me crap for Sloth?! hahahaha

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              HAHA, my bad!

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            Yup! Haha

    • Fungazi 2.0 says:
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      @Cram It: He can’t hit south paws

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        This could be an issue

  3. Dave D says:
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    I will keep reminding myself all off-season that ” the guy who won the NFBC drafted Joey Votto”. Plainly, we all make more mediocre than great picks. I drafted the ingrown hair farmer at 57, Olson at 120ish as my CI. Nothing pretty but it worked. I think I’m going 27 2into next year trying to make 27 mediocre picks in the first 30 rounds with three real good ones sprinkled in. That seems to take home the bacon. It might be my first time ever not taking a 1B in the first 5 rounds. Weird times fo-sho.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Dave D: Totally! Great point… You can draft anyone in the 1st two rounds and nail later picks to make up for them… Makes it tougher tho… Imagine he had Freeman instead (though not sure Freeman was on the board or would’ve changed his other picks)…

      • Dave D says:
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        @Grey:

        OF/MI looks like the positions to load up on in first 4 rounds me thinks.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Totally! Now you’re talking! Go opposite of position scarcity

  4. Slappy Jack says:
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    Can’t believe Jerry Tomato was the 4th best 1b
    oof

  5. Gonzo_The_Great says:
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    Merp. I had Ryon Healy after Sano flamed out. :(

    Grey – is it more interesting for you at this point when (like with 1B) your projections and rankings line up with reality or (like with Catcher) reality goes haywire?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Gonzo_The_Great: 1st basemen are more important than catchers to get right… You can punt catcher and I do, and be fine… I finished in the top 20 overall out of 3,000 teams in NFBC, my catcher was Christian Vazquez and Iannetta… Neither were good…My 1st basemen were Bellinger and Cron

  6. Malicious Phenoms says:
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    I lucked out getting Jesus off of waivers.

    Jesus saved my season. Amen.

  7. bigbear says:
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    The once mighty 1B position is a shell of itself. Between Father Time, Featherweights, Rob Deers, The Confused, and the Platoony-toons we have nada! So glad guys like Whit Merrifield had 1B eligibility on Yahoo.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @bigbear: I know, it’s a little scary… Not sure reinforcements are on the way either

  8. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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    You know it’s bleak for 1B when the #4 guy is a catcher.

      • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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        @Grey: here’s hoping that at least Rhys can stick to the 1B fantasy elig. to help out the class. There’s a good deal of rumbling that he’ll be going back to first next year.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          He should be at 1st

  9. knucks says:
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    Sounds like the NFBC payouts aren’t done through LeagueSafe? That seems silly, since the two sites are clearly connected. Was waiting to cash out winnings from other leagues all at the same time, so that I only get charged the $5 once. Saw a post just now on the NFBC boards about a check via snail mail…? WTF year is it?

    • Cram It says:
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      @knucks: Seriously, I was reading the msg board to. Discussion about “how” to get the money to us and then an email discussing how the options of how we can claim it? Just put it my account and let me withdraw it!

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        @Cram It: Totally… Wonder if whatever mutual fund they put it in in the summer when they’re collecting interest makes it easier for them to write checks

        • Cram It says:
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          @Grey: RIght? They seem to push the “carry it over to next year’s entry fee” idea. I bet because they want to use that money to invest against.

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            Yeah… Imagine the market crashed and they lost everyone’s money… HA, woof!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @knucks: Snail mail is bad, not to mention, if the $ is in people’s accounts I have to think they’ll spend it on more leagues quicker than if they get a check

  10. Andy says:
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    Grey – what are your thoughts on Votto? I put most of the blame of my 5th place NL only finish on me spending a good auction amount of him. Could he have been playing hurt? Would he be someone to target at a discount in the auction next year?

    2013 – 24 HR, 101 R, 73 RBI
    2014 – 6 HR, 32 R, 23 RBI (hurt most of year)
    2015 – 29 HR, 95 R, 80 RBI
    2016 – 29 HR, 101 R, 97 RBI
    2017 – 36 HR, 106 R, 100 RBI
    2018 – 12 HR, 67 R, 67RBI

    2018 looks a lot like 2014.

    Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Andy: Honestly, I think he’s done… Great hitter, but age catches up to everyone

  11. Raiders of the Lost Roark says:
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    I have Freddie Freeman in a keep-forever league and I’ve been telling myself that his liner-heavy approach is going to age gracefully and keep his floor steady well into his 30s.

    Then I look over at 35 year-old Joey Votto who just hit a career-high 31% LD and had garbage counting stats, while also remembering that Freeman seems to get HBP on his wrist, hand or elbow at least three times every season, and then I just start crying. First base got shaky in a hurry!

    Keeper question, same league (w/ OPS): keep Corey Seager for a 6th round pick or Matt Chapman for a 15th?

    Thanks Grey!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Raiders of the Lost Roark: Haha, completely…. I think you’re fine Freeman for another few years tho as long as he avoids wrist injuries… Chapman, can just redraft Seager if you want him

  12. Johnnyhobbes says:
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    I think my plan is to aim for tyler white next year as late as I think I can. 12 man league what round you think?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Around 200th overall

      • Dave D says:
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        @Grey:

        If he gets full time at bats for sure, but what is going on with Gurriel. He seems like the second coming of James Loney. Hits .289 with 9 HR. Purgatory CI.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yup, agreed… No excitement for him at all

      • Johnnyhobbes says:
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        @Grey: ha okay .. mmaybe I can do better

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yup

  13. Harley Earl says:
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    Because of the lack of depth at 1B now, do you think this increases the value of Bellinger or Muncy next season? Where would you say either of those two player belongs on a ranking list?

    • knucks says:
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      @Harley Earl: In March, I’ll need to pick between Bellinger and Rendon in a Keep 5 forever (OBP instead of AVG).

      At first I thought I might struggle with the pick, but was pleasantly surprised to see Rendon at $19.7 and Bellinger at $19 on the Player Rater. It certainly didn’t feel that close by the time the year was winding down and Bellinger was often benched.

      I was hoping that the Dudgers missed the playoffs, so that maybe Roberts would get cut loose. But I think that I’ll be leaning Bellinger pretty easily when it comes time to really make this call. As you say, the lack of 1B depth also helps me lean his way.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Are you saying positional scarcity argument? I don’t buy into that

      • Harley Earl says:
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        @Grey: This is why I ask you about it Grey. I know what most people think about positional scarcity, that there is no such thing really. So if that’s the case, then their value doesn’t go up at all.

        Where would you see these two, Muncy and Bellinger, being ranked next year?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Bellinger top 60…Muncy depends on playing time

          • Harley Earl says:
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            @Grey: Poor Muncy. He just doesn’t get any respect.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              He’s even coming off the bench in the playoffs!

  14. Arch says:
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    Hey Grey and all of the razzball, long time reader with a huge issue

    Roto dynasty-ish, was 12 teams, now 10, maybe 12 again, 6×6 (ops), CI, MI, 4 OF, 1 Util, 1400 IP cap, SV + HLD, keep 3 arms, 3 bats forever (first 6 rounds).

    Came in with great bats, mediocre arms who failed. Managed to trade for Sale (Baez and R Ray). Tried to trade Yelich alone or in a package with Didi, Marte for Max, Nola, anything – no takers. The problem? What 3 bats to keep.

    Ozzie, Soto, Judge were my targets. Can I ever NOT keep Yelich? So torn
    Sale and then I’m thinking Mikolas? Rodon, Archer, Touki, German Marquez, Freddy Perlta are rest

    Any help greatly appreciated. Best of wishes for all

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Why wouldn’t you keep Yelich? You lose Soto there — Sale, Mikolas and Touki or German

  15. JY says:
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    I know he’s old but I can’t totally quit Votto. This season was so much worse then any others but do you think it’s more to the norm of what he’s gonna be or just a really horrible season?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Depends on his price next year, like with anyone, but I can’t imagine I’m going back in on Votto at his age after this season

  16. Another Dan says:
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    Great stuff Ralph,

    I love the position reviews.

    In my 13 team 5×5 roto I keep 5 forever. Absolutely ran away with it this year thanks the your advice. Now you have created first placed problems with who I should keep.

    Keep 5 from – Machado, Acuna, Benintendi, Soto, Hoskins, Bellinger, Rosario, Peraza. That’s assuming none of Bauer, Severino, Diaz are worth keeping over those bats.

    Thoughts?

    Best wishes,

    Another Dan

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Ralph?

      • Another Dan says:
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        @Grey: @Grey:

        Sorry Grey, brain freeze.

        Been a long week. Plus with play-off baseball and my time zone I have had some very late nights.

        And I miss him ….. he’s been gone nearly a week now ….. I only have his voice, no longer will I be able to read his written word. It’s a left a void the size of Bartolo Colon in my life.

        Best wishes,

        Another Dan

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Ha

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Machado, Acuna, Benintendi, Hoskins, Bellinger

      • Another Dan says:
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        @Grey:

        Merci bootcamp.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          No problem

  17. Stumanji! says:
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    This list: What the effing eff? Even Freeman, who is an amazing real life baseball player, has kind of meh overall numbers.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I know! It’s not great… 1st base got shallow real fast… Think how few new young, exciting 1st basemen have come into the league…

  18. Wally Pipp says:
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    your boy stanton is literally a pile of shit. its absurd how much better aaron judge is than giancarlo stanton at baseball. can’t wait to see 2019s rankings.

    cheers.

    • Gotime says:
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      @Wally Pipp: You still playing fantasy baseball? Or playing by yourself… just asking

    • Wormer says:
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      @Wally Pipp: Angry, drunk and stupid is no way to go through life bro.

  19. Packers says:
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    Grey,

    I have an open reserve spot on a dynasty keep all, 12 team with 2 players at each position and 5 outfielders. it’s a combination 6 reserves and DL guys.
    Best available are S. Alcantara, K. Gibson, T. Williams or D. Palka.
    I don’t mind having an outfilder on reserves because of the 5 starters.
    Would you grab one of those guys or just keep it open for a while?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Meh, these guys don’t really jump out

      • Packers says:
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        @Grey: Ok, Thanks.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          No problem

  20. SwaggerJackers says:
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    Edit to blurb #16: There’s 1670 planets in the [Melky] Way that are exactly like Earth…

    Thanks for all the advice this season. I finished 2nd and 4th in my two leagues. That’s $$$ in both!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Haha, nice! Congrats!

  21. iifish Horton Heat says:
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    Profar is my 1b for 2019. Who’d thought he might be keeper at the beginning of this 2018? Fun stuff.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Not bad if he’s cheap enough

Comments are closed.