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I sure wish Grey would do his 2016 fantasy baseball rankings.  Wait, I am Grey and this is those rankings.  Holy crapballs, this is the greatest day ever!  Now, only 400,000 words more until I finish my top 400 and I’ll be done.  Worst day ever!  Damn, that excitement was fleeting.  Well, not for you because you don’t have to write all the rankings.  You lucky son of a gun!  I wish I were you… *wavy lines*  Hey, why am I balding and wearing sweatpants?  *wavy lines*  Hmm, maybe we’re okay with who we are.  Now before we get into the top 10 for 2016 fantasy baseball (though I imagine every single one of you has skipped this intro paragraph), I’m gonna lay some ground rules.  First, keep your hands and legs inside the trolley.  Second, send me all your money.  Damn, tried to trick you!  Okay, here’s where you follow us on Twitter.  Here’s where you follow us on Facebook.  Here’s our fantasy baseball player rater.  Here’s our fantasy baseball team name generator.  Here is all of our 2016 fantasy baseball rankings.  Here’s the position eligibility chart for 2016 fantasy baseball.  And here is a picture of my son.  What a punim!  You may not get all of those links in such a handy, easy-to-use format ever again this year, so make proper note.  (Unless you just go to the top menu on this page that says “Rankings” and click it, but semantics, my over-the-internet friend, semantics.)  Now my expositional half insists I breakdown some generalizations about these 2016 fantasy baseball rankings.  The 2016 fantasy baseball rankings will be an ever-evolving mass like the blob.  This fantasy baseball top 10 for 2016 list is as of right now and could potentially change with a big injury or Mike Trout quitting baseball because he’s bored with being the best and wants to play competitive Mahjong.  So while it is the 2016 fantasy baseball gospel, take it with a tablet of salt.  Tomorrow we will cover the rest of the top twenty for 2016 fantasy baseball, then we will go around the horn with a top 20 list for every position.  Then for pitchers and outfielders, I’ll turn the dial to 100.  Listed with each player are my 2016 projections.  Did I consult with anyone else who does projections?  It would be ignorant not to, but, in the end, these are my projections.  Players need 10 games at a position to get included in the positional rankings.  Finally, as with each list in the 2016 fantasy baseball rankings, I will be mentioning where I see tiers start and stop.  I look at tiers like this, if Bryce Harper and Paul Goldschmidt are in the same tier, it doesn’t matter if one guy is ranked 2nd and one guy is ranked 3rd, they’re both very close.  It comes down to personal preference.  I would prefer the guy at number two better than the guy at three, but you do you, I’ll do me and let’s hope we don’t go blind.  Anyway, here’s the top 10 for 2016 fantasy baseball:

1. Mike Trout – This is the first tier.  This tier goes from here until Goldschmidt.  I call this tier, “Al Gore warned us.”  The tier name refers to the climate change– “I told you!”  “Leave us alone, Al Gore!”  The climate change in regards to people’s perceptions of Trout, Harper and Goldy.  People are out on Trout, and not just poets and/or Rhymin’ Simons.  There’s the lack of steals, they say.  There’s the K-rate, they say.  There’s the plateau vs. the rise of Harper, they say.  They say a lot, but I don’t see them doing much but yammering.  Trout just hit 41 homers, a career high.  He hit .299 with a low-for-him BABIP.  His line drives were at a career high.  He has the speed to steal 10 bases in his sleep.  He stole six bases in April alone last year.  Trout has four years of stud numbers.  Harper has one.  Goldy is a sexpot, but he just had a career year.  Trout’s had multiple career years, but 2016 could be even better.  Yes, a career yearer!  The careeriest year?  A careerer yearer?  The career year’s career year?  You know what I mean!  2016 Projections:  108/40/101/.303/16

2. Bryce Harper – I wanna put you inside my brain for a second.  Why are you poking your finger into my medulla oblongata?  I was speaking metaphorically!  I think Harper is here to stay.  And, no, I’m not writing this from a Best Western.  I mean, he’s a top ten talent.  Last year, I ranked him in the top 15 and that was coming off a less-than-stellar year, so I foresaw big things.  47 homers big?  Um, no.  .460 OBP?  That seems a bit bigger too.  A .330 average?  Okay, also on the high side.  A 27.3 HR/FB%?  So, there’s some reasons to be concerned.   The point has been made.  Last year, he only stole six bags and that actually seems low.  For our porpoises — hey, dolphins! — Harper may lose some average and power and still be about as valuable as last year with ten extra steals, which doesn’t seem completely out of the realm of possibilities.  Could Harper go on some next level shizz and be a 50-HR, 20-SB guy?  I’d put it at about a 10% chance.  In all of baseball, I’d also give Trout a 10% chance, Goldy has about a 7% chance, and every other player has around a combined .0005% chance.  Okay, Daniel Descalso has about a .000000000000000000000000005% chance, which is bringing down the average a little.  2016 Projections:  104/36/107/.297/12

3. Paul Goldschmidt – In 2013, I wrote a poem for Au Shizz in the rankings and he had his worst year.  Last year, I wrote a poem in the rankings for Giancarlo and he missed half the season with an injury.  This year no freakin’ poems!  Though, I did rhyme briefly in the Trout blurb.  I have worse success after my rhymes than Vanilla Ice near an open window.  Too cold, too cold!  Ever wonder what Vanilla said to Suge right after he brought him back from dangling out of that window?  I imagine a lot of, “No worries, man, I was feeling a bit clammy in these baggy pants and that fresh air did me wonders.”  Any hoo!  Au Shizz is a total beast like Bella in the final Twilight (What?  It was in reruns.).  I do think 21 steals, like last year, is ridiculous to expect again and his .321 average with a .382 BABIP feels high, even if he does nothing but make hard contact.  I think he’s even safer than Harper, but I can’t lie and say I’m not excited about Harper’s age and upside.  Well, I could lie, but you’d see through it, you perceptive person you!  2016 Projections:  101/30/115/.297/14

4. Anthony Rizzo – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until Giancarlo.  I call this tier, “I love these guys like a Kardashian loves the green room at the BET Awards.”  I’m straight caca-cuckoo for the guys in this tier.  Why the love?  Let me give you the 411!  *all millennials close browser window at mention of 411*  Okay, let’s just look at last year super quick.  Rizzo went 94/31/101/.278/17.  That alone is first round worthy.  Yes, it is.  No, it’s not.  Yes, it is, no repeatskis!  Now a brief word about that super quick look.  It was a down year!  Rizzo should be much better!  He’s only 26.  His BABIP was only .289, could be near-.315 easily.  His HR/FB% was only 14.6%, could be near 18% easily.  94 runs and 101 RBIs in that stacked lineup with Wrigley assisting dinkers in July and August’s humidity?  Doode’s about to break out like Cameron Diaz’s face.  2016 Projections:  103/36/114/.291/12

5. Manny Machado – I juggled Machado between this tier and the next tier (Last year’s darlings) more times than I want to count (37 times, including once while laughing at someone who was Redbox’ing The Tourist).  I finally decided Machado had age on his side to warrant this ranking.  He just went 35/20 in a year where he was only 22 years old for half the year.  40 homers seems impossible from Machado, but 35/20 at 22 years old says, “Shove your impossible up your arsehole, you non-believer.”  Machado doesn’t hit a ton of balls hard (he’s a pro at medium contact), but he walks, he’s got speed, he’s in a nice park, his HR/FB% feels repeatable and, honestly, I could list everything about him, i.e., there’s little to not like.  He really is The Manny.  2016 Projections:  94/30/109/.298/18

6. Giancarlo Stanton – *knocks on Giancarlo’s door*  “Hey, Giancarlo, I’m just bringing your mail up.  What?  Why do I need to wear pants to do this?”  Okay, so I love him.  My blindspot is about yay big.  When I’m saying yay big there, I’m holding one arm out, then running 3,000 miles and holding my other arm out.  It’s big, okay.  That’s what she never said!  There’s a reason.  One of these years, he’s going to hit 50+ homers and it’s going to be this year or next.  No, that’s not what my Magic Eight Ball says.  It’s the truth, Ruth.  He was headed that way last year, then he had an unfortunate injury.  Yeah, I know, every year he has an unfortunate accident.  Well, here’s a non-related name for you…Ian Kinsler!  That’s right, Kinsler spent his early 20’s looking about as injury-prone as anyone.  Four of his first five years he had fluky injuries sidelining him.  Now he has 600+ ABs in five of his last six years.  And this will be the only time Kinsler is ever compared to Giancarlo!  Seriously, Giancarlo’s fluky injuries sucked the last few years for those that owned him, but don’t let that stop you from loving him.  At least that’s what I keep telling myself every time I see my Giancarlo tramp stamp in the mirror.  2016 Projections:  94/46/115/.272/7

7. Nolan Arenado – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until Donaldson.  I call this tier, “Last year’s darlings come with no discount.”  That tier name also sounds like a proverb.  Or poverb as Ben Carson would spell it.   This tier is straight up depressing with a beer chaser.  Last year was the year to own these guys.  This year, they scream slight regression, but here’s the thing.  Do you take Arenado and his regression to 36 HRs and .275 or do you you reach for Correa here because you think he’s going to be a top five fantasy player this year?  I think you take the safer bet in Arenado.  Now, enough of that boohoo I’m crying like a little baby and getting a guy in Coors in the prime of his career!  Arenado is still a stud, but he has 40-homer power, not 50 like Giancarlo, and Arenado has absolutely no speed.  I like Arenado a ton, my goofy friend that I pretend to not know in public, but expecting a repeat of last year feels foolish.  2016 Projections:  91/38/110/.299/2

8. Josh Donaldson – “…and the moral of the story is draft a bunch of Blue Jay and Rockies hitters.  Goodnight, little baby Jesus.”  Oh, sorry, I didn’t hear you come in.  I was just reading my rankings to a nativity scene in my mom’s basement.  Like you never run things by baby Jesus.  Pfft!  Donaldson likely deserves to be above Giancarlo in the rankings, but his last year screams career year so obscenely that I’m having a hard time hearing anything else.  Or maybe it’s baby Jesus whispering in my ear.  “What’s that baby Jesus?  His HR/FB% is too high?  I know!”  I get that Fred Rogers Centre helps with the big fly, but 41 homers last year was Donaldson ripping through his ceiling, grabbing a flying past Pablo Sandoval, who is staying afloat by passing gas, and both of them zooming thousands of feet into the sky.  2016 Projections:  104/32/97/.269/4

9. Kris Bryant – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here into the top 20 for 2016 fantasy baseball.  I call this tier, “These names could surprise you.  Boo!  That boo was also meant to surprise.”  There’s a delicate balance in the early rounds of drafting skills vs. track record.  Donaldson has track record, Kris Bryant has skills.  Track record has those guys above him, but skills has Bryant here.  If this were the 90s, he’d have the skills to pay the bills.  He’d also have a retirement portfolio that was relying heavily on AOL stock.  Bryant is a 30/15 guy, those are his skills.  30/15 from 3rd base is a top 15 pick.  30/15 from 3rd base does not get The Gas Face.  The problem is his track record — there isn’t much of one in the majors — and his strikeouts.  He had a 30% strikeout percentage.  That’s not good.  Hard to not hit .240 when you’re K’ing that much.  (I just had to pay Jerry Lawler a nickel for using any variation of the word King.)  Here’s the thing — uh-oh, Grey’s bringing out The Thing starring Michael Chiklis! — Anthony Rizzo in his rookie year struck out 30% of the time when he was 23 (Bryant’s age last year).  Rizzo’s now down to 15%.  Giancarlo struck out 30% of the time this past year, but since he hits everything so hard it doesn’t matter.  Bryant was top 15 for all of baseball for Hard Contact.  Bryant had a great rookie year, but I can point to multiple things that should get better — strikeout percentage, HR/FB%, steals, walk rate, homers, runs, RBIs, etc. etc. etc.  This year Bryant will be better than great.  What’s better than great?  Greater, I Googled it.   2016 Projections:  95/31/108/.268/15

10. Carlos Correa – I told ya there would be some surprises!  Or maybe I didn’t tell you that.  Did I just watch the movie Still Alice?  Oh no, I’ve forgotten!  AHHHH!!!  Correa in the top ten feels ballsy like my hand down my pants, only, sorta, kinda, it doesn’t.  He’s a 20/20 guy without injuries.  You can’t dock him for potential injuries.  Well, you can, but that would be foolhardy.  No relation to Tom Hardy, who is my newest mancrush.  I didn’t love Legend, and I really wanted to, but he was still worth the price of admission.  I’m assuming, at least, since I went to a free screening.  Since you asked, the best movie of the year:  Room.   As for Correa, I love him.  By the by, I wonder if he tells girls that his waist is “Correa’s demarcation line” and to stay south.  Last year in 99 games in the majors, he had 22 homers and 14 steals and a .279 average.  Steamer has him down for 22 homers and 21 steals in 146 games.  Is there any way he hits the same number of homers in 2016 as he did in under 100 games last year?  The short answer is yes.  The long answer is yesssssssssssssssss.  He had 7 Just Enough homers and an average distance on his homers of 398.7 feet.  For guys with at least 18 homers, that’s in the bottom third for distance.  His HR/FB% was high at 24.2% with only a 29.1 FB%.  That is a low fly ball rate, and, as common sense tells us, if you don’t hit fly balls, you can’t hit homers.  Yet…Again, with some stank, YET!  He’s 21 years old and is a lock for 20/20 and .280.  Jesus and Mary Chain, that’s good.  His power is easy 20 homers.  Whether he hits fly balls or not, he should get to 20 homers.  If he hits lots of fly balls, he could hit 35 homers.  His speed is even easier if you’ve seen him play.  30 steals seems doable.  What about his batting average, asked Expositional Voice.  His BABIP last year was .296, that seems low for him.  He had some years in the minors of a .375 BABIP and a .320 average.  I wouldn’t project him for that, but that feels possible.  You were wondering who was going to bump Trout out of the number one slot next year?  Look no further!  Literally, this is the end of this post.  2016 Projections:  103/24/95/.292/26

   
  1. Simply Fred

    Fred Barker says:
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    Happy, Happy Birthday!

  2. SteveNZ says:
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    Many happy returns, sir.

  3. Brian says:
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    Thank god and grey it’s baseball season!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Brian: Halleberryluiah!

  4. Otto Von Bismark says:
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    Hell yeah these are some dank ranks bruh. Did you see the MLB Network put Lindor and Tulo (respectively) above Correa at short? Madness. I’m interested to see how the rest of the top 20 shakes out. Is Marte there?

  5. Ante GALIC says:
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    Grey!

    a. So today’s your birthday! Happy birthday to ya! Many happy returns.

    b. Much awaited, I was up all night thinking of who would be your top 3. Can’t wait for the top 400 to complete, but I guess I kind of have to, huh? Like I wouldn’t mind going through the 400,000 words required to read it all because it’s really easy to remember what’s nurturing. Like we remember a phone number when we were 12 years old, our address from the same time, the name and surname of a manager who was good to you and the name of a high school teacher you liked. Go ahead and try to remember the phone number of someone who didn’t like you or a girl who chased you or someone that you knew who wronged you. I’m still waiting. The body tries to nourish you with the good and tries to protect you from what is harmful. So what I’m saying is this top 400 is nourishment and would be committed to memory.

    c. Am downloading Room (2015) as I write. Will get back to you. I like http://www.imdb.com/title/tt3312830/ and http://www.imdb.com/title/tt3674140/ a lot but they’re European so may not be to everyone’s taste.

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Ante GALIC: A. Thanks! B. Ha, yup C. Yeah, make sure it’s Room (2015), the other Room is awful

  6. Best Movie says:
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    The Big Short

    • Best Movie says:
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      @Best Movie: Also Happy Birthday iiii (cake emoji)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Best Movie: Yeah, that was solid too…and The Revenant

      • Ante GALIC says:
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        @Grey: Fab movie The Revenant. Did you see Joy? Pretty good shizz too.

        Cheers,
        Ante

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I didn’t like Joy… Revenant was good, agreed

      • Vegans says:
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        @Grey: Book was great too. Happy birthday, Grey!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Thanks! Book was good, agreed

  7. Ra'zbahl Al Ghul says:
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    It’s a national holiday – MLGrey Day! *It’s a day of service, not a day off*
    Thank you for your service Grey, HB!

  8. I'mgettingsomeHeadley says:
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    Happy birthday, Grey. Like others have said, your blog is the first thing I read each morning. Thanks for what you do.

  9. Malicious Phenom says:
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    HAPPY BIRTHDAY to the #1 fantasy baseball pert on the world wide web!

  10. jack florida says:
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    happy birthday and thanks for all the great info all season long

  11. Dodger Rabbit says:
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    Happy birthday to you and happy rankings day to us!

    We enjoy your work. Here’s hoping you do too.

  12. Robert says:
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    You know, I love Rizzo also I kept ranking him no worse than 5. Everytime I looked up his stats, lineup, intangles, it seemed a fair ranking. I know you don’t ever think a pitcher should go first round but Kershaw is pretty amazing. Pitching is very deep but Kershaw can help out tremendously, huge K numbers, ridiculous era and whip, could carry a pitching staff. He seems less risky to me than Kris Bryant, Carlos Correa to name a couple. I’m also big fan of Mookie Betts curious where you rank him. Great job should be fun reading these upcoming rankings.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Robert: Thanks! Yeah, I’m liking and likely drafting Rizzo a lot of places this year… You don’t need Kershaw

  13. M says:
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    Happy birthday Grey! Thanks for all the good work!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @M: Thanks!

  14. jvanslyke says:
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    Like an idiot I forgot top overall rankings came before position rankings and had psyched myself up for catchers analysis. I was up all night wondering where Swihart would fall, if you thought Vogt would improve and if Mike Lavaillere would make his way into a reference.

    Happy birthday to you and Ted Dibiase. Hope you guys have something fun planned for tonight!

    • jvanslyke says:
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      @jvanslyke:

      Kanye dropped No More Parties in LA for your birthday!

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        @jvanslyke: Ooh… No More Parties, huh? Will have to check it out, any good?

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @Grey: Madlib on the beat and Kendrick. Actual real hip-hop from Kanye, not that 808, auto-tune, fruit-loops garbage.

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            Agreed, but it could be tighter

            • Ralph Lifshitz

              Ralph Lifshitz says:
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              @Grey: I thought the beat was dope and the rhymes were fine. If his new album is along this wavelength I’m going to be into it. I liked the first three albums.

              The Ghostface sample was dope, and my first thoughts after hearing this song is that Kendrick and Madlib should do an album together. It would be a classic.

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                Oh, I’m a big Kanye fan… I just want more ‘Otis’ and less 7-minute Heartbreak 808s

                • Ralph Lifshitz

                  Ralph Lifshitz says:
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                  @Grey: Yeah it was the 60+ bar Kanye verse at the end.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        @jvanslyke: He needs to get back to doing 4 minute songs, his shizz is overstuffed

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @jvanslyke: Thanks! Ted, Costner and I are gonna hit the town

      • jvanslyke says:
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        @Grey:

        Have fun! Watch out for Costner. He’ll get all hammered and try pushing a spontaneous trip to a random baseball stadium.

        New Kanye – gets monontnous but I think it’s more enjoyable than any of his Yeezus verses. 2/2 on calling out his cousin for stealing his laptop

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          You called it, Costner wants to go to where Ebbets Field once was, it’s now a hipster donut shop…I like Kendrick a lot, like a lot a lot, but this song is way too long… Could’ve been a tight 3:30

  15. Copperhead Road says:
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    Hey! It’s YOUR birthday and you gave US a present. What a guy! Thanks for the rankings and enjoy your day.

  16. First Lady of the Nation says:
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    Birthday buddy, I’m so very semi sexually ready for these rankings. Late Jan never looked so good.

  17. The discarded head of Ted Williams says:
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    Omgomgomgomg

    Omgomg

    Omg

  18. SheriffMcRawDawg says:
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    HALLELUJAH! Happy Bday man!

  19. Boomer19 says:
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    Happy Birthday Grey! And thanks!

  20. Sam says:
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    Grey,

    Keeper auction with excalating tags… which side:
    Rizzo ($41 this year) v. Hosmer ($13) + some combo of: Severino ($6), Piscotty ($6), Price ($27)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Sam: Rizzo

  21. Old School Brother says:
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    Wow Grey, what a low blow shot to Mrs Diaz!

    Good stuff, looking forward to the rest of the rankings. Also, you’re not the only one who reads to his nativity scene. Hambone gets sobriety advice from baby jesus and stock tips from those ballin’ 3 kings of orient

  22. Gray's Sports Almanac says:
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    Good morning Grey! While I am not playing fantasy baseball this year (Baby due in May; getting a business going; getting some serious continuing education this year), i’m still excited to read the rankings and follow RB all season long! This daiquiri’s for you!

  23. Felix dies natalis

  24. whampwhamp says:
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    Grey, if you could pick 3 to keep ( has to be 2 pitchers and 1 hitter or 2 hitters and 1 pitcher) who would you take? I’ve been assuming Sale, Keuchel & Arenado but wanted the GOATS opinion:

    Chris Sale 13th
    Dallas Keuchel 12th
    Corey Kluber 9th
    Nolan Arenado 6th
    Carlos Correra 3rd/4th

  25. Booya says:
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    I’m in a 12 team 5×5 roto league. It’ds a draft and hold league with no moves, trades, or lineup setting. We draft 20 guys (9 pitchers & 11 bats) and they’re all locked into the starting lineup. I have pick 12 & 13. How would you adjust your draft strategy other than trying to avoid injury prone guys?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Booya: Minimize risk all over… Not just injury guys but guys that have a limited track record…

  26. IV says:
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    Correa seems to be going earlier than where you have him ( I think about 6th) in some of the “expert” mock drafts I have seen this off season. I kept thinking that seemed too early for me, but after your ranking here, I definitely need to reconsider him as an option in the 1st round. Looks like if we really want Correa, as of now, 10th may not cut it.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @IV: Don’t think I can make a case for him higher

  27. Ralph Lifshitz

    Ralph Lifshitz says:
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    I really want to pick at the back end of the first round this year.

    • J-FOH says:
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      @Ralph Lifshitz: it’s a good year to be a bookend. Wait it’s always a good year to be there

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        Ralph Lifshitz says:
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        @J-FOH: I tend to feel the same way, but the back end looks real sexy this year. Lots of yummy corner bats available, I paired Bryant with Pollock at lot in early drafts.

        • J-FOH says:
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          @Ralph Lifshitz: Id take Betts over Pollock assuming betts was there.

          • Ralph Lifshitz

            Ralph Lifshitz says:
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            @J-FOH: Yeah I took Pollock over Betts

            • J-FOH says:
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              @Ralph Lifshitz: and you call yourself a Red Sox fan…for shame Ralph….for shame

              • Ralph Lifshitz

                Ralph Lifshitz says:
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                @J-FOH: Hahaha it has the opposite affect on me, I think “nah, I over value him due to the Red Sox thing” and then pick the other guy.

                We’re splitting hairs though, those two are pretty close. In dynasty it’s Betts all day, but in re-draft I like Pollock better by a tick.

                • J-FOH says:
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                  @Ralph Lifshitz: I think Betts has more power and the speed can be a close. I think this is the one time to get your boner on for a sox

  28. Happy Birthday Albright. Shared with Ted DiBiase. You should celebrate together. Health & happiness to you in the coming year! Glad that you were born.

  29. Lville Jim says:
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    Nolan and Carlos, both on my dynasty all keeper team. I already have a preseason chubby.

  30. Jiggy Nits says:
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    yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes

  31. Wilson says:
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    I have four of them in my team (all keeper league).
    Congratulations to me, haha. Thanks Grey.

  32. Tigres says:
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    Thanks Grey. Looking fwd to the next 390!

  33. Ryan says:
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    Yay! Rankings are coming outta the closet like John Travolta never did! I love you guys!

  34. Turd Ferguson says:
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    Happy Birthday Grey!

  35. Martin Harris says:
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    Holy shot I wrote down what I thought your top 10 would be and for the first time I nailed it.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      What’s the rest of the top 20?

      • Jake says:
        (link)

        @Grey:

        Been looking forward to this day for a long time! Going to be another great season.

        My Guess for 10-20 no particular order:
        Mookie Betts
        Jose Altuve
        Miguel Cabrera
        Andrew McCutchen
        Starling Marte
        A.J. Pollock
        George Springer
        Chris Davis
        Clayton Kershaw
        Max Scherzer

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Pretty close, little pitcher heavy

        • M says:
          (link)

          @Jake: I agree with 10-20, interesting how McCutchen and Miggy have fallen a bit. Maybe we see Blackmon somewhere in the 18-25 range provided he stays in COL, could be one of the few 20/40 guys if things break right

          • Jake says:
            (link)

            @M:

            I’ve been trying to replicate what Rudy does (until his stuff becomes available). Steamer has pretty modest HR projections for Bautista and Edwin. I’m assuming Gray’s more bullish and they take the Scherzer spot. But that’s why i left them out anyway.

            Steamer also down on Blackmon, assuming the parra takes some of his PA. But I agree, assuming they sort that out, he could be round 2 value.

  36. G says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey,

    Happy Birthday and good to see the rankings starting to come out. Asked you the same question a few months ago but want to see if your thoughts have changed about my final keeper option as we get closer to the seaskn. We have 4 keepers per team and I have a solid start with arenado, correa, and machado. My last option is taking Chris Davis in the 5th round, Price in the 2nd round, or carrasco in the 4th. I think Davis is best value but wondering of it’s a good strategy to have at least one solid starter locked in. Thanks as always.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks! Davis, yeah

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I wish it was my birthday every day so I can watch that video

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          No! This ruins my favorite 4 Non-Blondes song!

          • Mrs.Featherbottom says:
            (link)

            @Grey: Blame it on Beastman.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              It’s always that guy’s fault!

  37. PK says:
    (link)

    It’s three degrees outside, but Grey continues to make me feel warm and fuzzy!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Are we cuddling?

  38. Natty Boh says:
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    BEST DAY EVER!!!!!!!!! Rizzo at #4 Wow! Thanks Grey!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      No problem

  39. Dr. Kenneth Noisewater says:
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    Feliz cumpleanos!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks, Noisewater!

  40. SwaggerJackers says:
    (link)

    Okay, I wasn’t too far off on my top 10 guesses. You are down on Miggy and higher on Correa and Bryant.

    11-20 is where things start getting crazy. Here is goes:

    Pollock
    E5
    Kershaw
    Abreu
    Miggy
    Altuve
    McCutchen
    Betts
    Chris Davis
    Bautista

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I can say your top ten was closer

  41. Boomer19 says:
    (link)

    Ok. Here’s my pick on what the top 20 post looks like. I know there are reaches but what the heck. Any other guesses?
    Betts
    Springer
    Kershaw
    Miggy
    Edwin
    Abreu
    Davis
    Bautista
    Mccutcheon
    Marte

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      That’s pretty close

    • SwaggerJackers says:
      (link)

      @Boomer19: Yeah, I had Springer in at one point too but went with Pollock instead.

      Marte isn’t a bad call either.

      • Boomer19 says:
        (link)

        I originally had Altuve instead of McCutcheon because I think McCutcheon might be a bit of a schmohawk this year.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Yeah, he could be

  42. Cram It says:
    (link)

    *Awakes from hibernation, scratches ass* Ooh, Grey’s rankings? Hooray baseball!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Cram!

      • Cram It says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Grey! Everything good? No tragic life events?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          All good here, how about you?

          • Cram It says:
            (link)

            @Grey: Good to hear. No complaints. Let’s fantasy baseball…

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Let’s do this like Brutus the Barber

              • J-FOH says:
                (link)

                @Grey: doesnt the avi look like he’s wearing his championship belt and nothing else

                • Cram It says:
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                  @J-FOH: Then it looks like what it is.

                  • Grey

                    Grey says:
                    (link)

                    Haha

                  • J-FOH says:
                    (link)

                    @Cram It: Now that belt has crabs….Crabs It!

                    • Cram It says:
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                      @J-FOH: Ha. Probably got something. I’ll let you know after I get tested.

                    • J-FOH says:
                      (link)

                      STD projections for Cram…who wants in the pool?

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  Yeah

  43. ERad says:
    (link)

    Happy Birthday my over-the-Internet friend!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks!

  44. RY says:
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    Happy birthday Grey. Great work as usual. Curious to see where Cutch is going to spot.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks!

  45. BreakOut says:
    (link)

    Happy Birthday, Grey!

    As Ray Liotta said, you’re a funny guy.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks!

  46. Malicious Phenom says:
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    Shane Victorino, anything left in the tank for 2016?

      • Malicious Phenom says:
        (link)

        @J-FOH: Has Bubba Starling’s ship sailed or does he keep building on the stride he made last year?

        • J-FOH says:
          (link)

          @Malicious Phenom: not a big fan, better to ask mike

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Nah

      • Malicious Phenom says:
        (link)

        @J-FOH: @Grey:

        lol, no & nah..thanks guys for ur input..

  47. millenball says:
    (link)

    Tis a fine day. Looking forward to reading all 400,000 words.

    Keep up the great work and enjoy your birthday man.

    Cheers!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks!

  48. Cohen says:
    (link)

    Happy Birthday Grey, thanks for all your work and knowledge

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks!

  49. SheriffMcRawDawg says:
    (link)

    so here are my 10 keepers – trying to make an offseason move for Correa. trading is allowed and I don’t have to declare my keepers yet.

    this is a 10-team keep forever. is it too crazy to offer Edwin and Tulo for Correa?

    I’m currently running with these 10:
    Edwin
    Tulo
    Machado
    Arenado
    Bogaerts
    Marte
    Crush Davis
    Adam Jones
    Scherzer
    Arrieta

    rest of team/tradeable guys:
    Inciarte
    Conforto
    Souza
    Piscotty
    Hamels
    Salazar
    Carrasco

    thoughts on whom to keep if he bites for that 2 for 1?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Not crazy

      • SheriffMcRawDawg says:
        (link)

        @Grey: cool. I’ll see if he goes for it. who do you like of that remaining group to keep?

        Inciarte
        Conforto
        Souza
        Piscotty
        Hamels
        Salazar
        Carrasco

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Carrasco, Salazar, Conforto, Piscotty

  50. Hawk says:
    (link)

    “I wish I were you… *wavy lines* Hey, why am I balding and wearing sweatpants? ”

    Are you psychic? How did you know??? It’s the mustache right? Like Samson’s hair?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haha

  51. The Lurve Guru says:
    (link)

    Non-humblebrag, I have Harper, Rizzo, Arenado and Correa in a keeper league. I’ll find a way to lose, don’t worry. Weeeeeee baseball!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Nice!

  52. For an Armenianless vacation come to Akron says:
    (link)

    not everybody skips the opening paragraphs round here.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks!

  53. Ken levine says:
    (link)

    Love the rankings. Looking forward to all 400. So I own InSANOty at 10. Offered Dee (16). Thoughts? Thx.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks! I’d hold

  54. JB says:
    (link)

    Happy Birthday to the only pert I know who could work a mahjong reference into his his blog – aces!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Ha, thanks!

  55. Ashtray says:
    (link)

    Looks like round 2 will be featuring a handful of aging sluggers, eh?

  56. henncoop says:
    (link)

    Happy Birthday Grey
    Another year older true but wiser as well ….looking forward to the rest of the rankings & another great year of the best expertise for us fantasy baseballers. Love your fresh look mixed with heapings of humor. Hope you have a great birthday …Enjoy!!!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks!

  57. Jeff P says:
    (link)

    I’d take McCutchen 7th, and it’s not crazy to have him ahead of Stanton due to Stanton injury history. He is only 29, and has a track record to die for. You can pencil him in for 95/22/95/.290/12. What you are giving up in power vs Bryant or Donaldson you are getting back in steals and average. And did I mention the track record?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      22/12 sounds like a poor man’s Blackmon

    • Jeff P says:
      (link)

      @Jeff P: That’s baseline, with upside from there.
      As far as Blackmon comp (who I own in a keeper, so I know what he’s capable of), Blackmon is actually older than McCutchen, and with 2 years of elite production. McCutchen has 6+.

      For people clamorning for Bryant/Correa, do you remember your BFF Rizzo’s sophomore campaign? .233/23/6? I’ll take the sure thing in McCutchen.

  58. Theo for President says:
    (link)

    I’ve been bantering with a guy in my league for a while about Rizzo’s true value. We are a keeper league with obp & slg replacing avg & hr. I say Rizzo is pretty firmly established at 4. He says Rizzo is definitely outside the top 6. What say you?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      You know what I say

      • Theo for President says:
        (link)

        @Grey: I wouldn’t waste your time with a question I already knew the answer to ….

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Rizzo

          • Theo for President says:
            (link)

            @Grey: as top 4 or outside 6?

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              4

        • Good Will Hunting 2: Hunting Season says:
          (link)

          @Theo for President: you might be scott’s cousin, he would do that.

  59. FrankGrimes says:
    (link)

    Happy Bday Bro.
    Can’t wait for season to start.
    What flavors you vaping lately?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks! I got great flavirs this weekend… Vape Kitchen has new flavors… Blueberry Donut and Lucky Charms… Like a baller!

      • FrankGrimes says:
        (link)

        @Grey:
        Mmm donuts
        Vape kitchen has great juices.
        try pink starfish if you haven’t yet.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Pink Starfish from Vape Kitchen?

          • FrankGrimes says:
            (link)

            @Grey:
            yes sir! I’m almost due for another order.
            I’m finishing my strawb Gwab from vcv.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Y0u got the pear from Vape Kitchen, right?

  60. Rusty Trombone says:
    (link)

    Last two keeper spots between these 4 players:

    Rendon
    Cain or Adam Jones
    Carrasco

    Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Cain, Carrasco

      • Rusty Trombone says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Thanks again, Grey, and Happy Birthday!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Thanks!

  61. Tom says:
    (link)

    When do Yahoo and ESPN allow drafting for the 2016 season? February 1st? 15th? March 1st?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Mid-Feb usually

  62. Joe Shmoe says:
    (link)

    Happy birthday… the young guys are up this high so soon? Don’t they have to do this a couple of years in a row before they can be trusted? Just a doubting shmoe…

    • SwaggerJackers says:
      (link)

      @Joe Shmoe: I’m also skeptical of drafting Correa in the first round. With less than a full season under his belt, you’re paying full price to gamble that pitchers don’t figure him out. I would much rather have a sure fire power bat with my first pick.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks! Don’t doubt, Shmoe…

  63. Big Magoo

    Big Magoo says:
    (link)

    Happy B-Day, GA!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks, BM!

  64. Wild Thing says:
    (link)

    Happy birthday!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks!

  65. nick the dick says:
    (link)

    Heppy G Day, my man. Diggin the rankings

  66. BRS says:
    (link)

    Happiest of Birthdays to you Mr. Grey!
    Quick question if I may!?

    12 team h2h (obp)
    Keep 5, at least 1 arm and 1 bat.
    Have no picks in 1, 3 or 5 round.
    C,1b,2b,ss,3b,if,3of,utility
    3 year max term

    Harper 2
    Grienke 3
    Harvey 3
    Donaldson 4
    Machado 6
    Altuve 6
    Carrasco 6
    Blackmon 7
    Abreu 8
    Kluber 20

    I’m leaning toward harper, Donaldson, machado, Altuve and Kluber.
    I’ve also considered keeping Abreu and trading others for picks or other keepers.
    I fear I’ll be left without a good option at first base if I wait until round 7 to pick one.
    I have also considered attempting to trade a corner infield for Correa.
    Thoughts?

    Cheers

  67. ThE sHiT says:
    (link)

    Happy Birthday Grey!

    As always, thank you for all you do. I think this is year 6 since i found your site, keep up the excellent work!!!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks, man!

  68. Awesome Auger says:
    (link)

    YES! YES! YES! YES! YES! YES! – /Daniel Bryan

    Fantasy Baseball is officially back! Thanks in advance for all you do Grey, seeing a new Razzball post makes my morning every day.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      No problem

  69. Dan says:
    (link)

    Your rankings are my absolute favorite, thanks!! Two quick things…1) 31 homers seems light for Bryant based on his power across all levels, what do you think is his ceiling? 2) in a keeper league (you can keep 7 guys) where you sign guys to 1,2, or 3 year deals and you get discount for three years but if you drop them you’re stuck with the salary…have to make decisions on Carrasco and Salazar, how sold are you on both? Thank you sir!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      1) 40 2) I’m sold on both, completely

      • Dan says:
        (link)

        @Grey: thanks!

      • Dan says:
        (link)

        @Grey: I have one quick follow-up…who would you rather have going into the season – Kershaw and Brantley or Chris Davis and Salazar?I would also have Brantley at a cheap price in 2017 while the other three guys contracts would be up at end of 2016

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Kershaw

  70. Ron says:
    (link)

    I owned Trout, Correa, Bryant, Brantley, J-Up, Donaldson, E5 and Bautista last year.

    Thanks to your help my pitching staff was headlined by Arrieta, Carrasco, Keuchel (drafted in round 20!!), Gray and Syndergaard

    Yet somehow I lost in the championship round.

  71. Hal Incandenza says:
    (link)

    Happy birthday, Grey!

    Looking forward to the next 397,325!

  72. Good Will Hunting 2: Hunting Season says:
    (link)

    hehehe, facebook has yr age at 98, doing well for somebody that old. nice to see upton’s gonna sign with at least a decent offense, didn’t like those TB rumors from earlier today. shame i don’t have jew don and upside on the same team anywhere, since that would be cool now.

  73. Greys Bum Hair says:
    (link)

    With these rankings in mind would you trade
    Round 1 keeper M Trout (keep for 2 more seasons) to get
    Round 6 keeper ARizzo. (Keep for 3 more seasons)

    Other keepers are Correa and Springer

    oBP league for a 6×6

    • Greys Bum Hair says:
      (link)

      @Greys Bum Hair:

      Rizzo would go up 5 rounds to the first round for years 2 and 3 also

  74. Church of Baseball says:
    (link)

    Ahhh… the beauty of long term dynasty leagues is that I’m sitting on a team with Bryce, Rizzo, Stanton, and Correa…. the ugly of long term dynasty league is that the guy that’s won our league several years in a row has a team with Trout, Au Shizz, Bryant, and Donaldson. It’s gonna be a damn war…

    Also, Happy Birthday Grey! I always loved birthday parties with sweet goodie bags. And the start of your rankings is one helluva goodie bag. You’re pretty much amazing.

  75. Mike2k says:
    (link)

    Grey, I don’t get it… you have Donaldson pegged for a regression like that and still have him in the top 10? I get that he has to be there, but, if so, his projections should match the ranking. The numbers you have for him look like Abreu, except worse.

    What gives?

  76. Bob says:
    (link)

    I am in a 7×7 H2H 8 man league. We get 5 keeps with no attached penalties. I am keeping Altuve, Pollack, Arrieta, and Bumgarner. I know your thoughts on taking pitchers early but my league takes and keeps a lot of SPs so I am locking up 2 and drafting offense for the first few rounds. Having said that, I am struggling between Edwin and Sano for my final keeper. You mentioned that there are hints of Edwin regressing or about to regress while Sano is just starting. Is Sano a better keeper based on future potential? I believe Sano will be in UTIL in ESPN but should gain OF in April if they intend to move Mauer to DH.

  77. Elliot

    Elliot says:
    (link)

    Why Bryant over Correa? It sounds like you like Correa more based on the write-ups.

  78. John says:
    (link)

    Can I have my team from last year then!!! No I know i can get 2 these guys cause 1 agree with you quite a bit and 2 you are not a drone typing the same top 10s as everyone else. I have been hearing ton Arenado bashing lately LOL.

  79. Brandon says:
    (link)

    10 team, 10 x 10. We get to keep 5 in our dynasty league with no penalties. I’ve got Trout, Votto, Machado, Correa, and Kershaw.

    I have the option to keep a 6th keeper, but I would have to pay an extra $25 AND give up my 1st rd pick (10 overall).

    Would you keep either Miguel Sano or Jason Heyward for that price?

    Offensive categories are: R, 1B, 2B, 3B, HR, RBI, SB, BB, Avg., OBP.

    Thanks, Grey!!! Your commentary is by far my favorite in the fantasy sports world!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks! Heyward

  80. Grey – love the rankings, as I do every year, my go to source for info, Much thanks for your work.

    Keeper question based on these top 10 guys — in a league where you could keep a guy for the next four seasons, would you rather have Harper at the cost of your annual 1st rounder, or Arenado as your annual 2nd rounder? I have to pick one of the two (already keeping Rizzo and Pollock as other hitter choices). Thanks for any insight!

  81. James says:
    (link)

    Keep arrenado as a 2nd round pick drafted at 16th or keep nola at 20th round value you with a 2 round handicap for each following year (next year hed be 18th, following 16th etc etc)

  82. Martin says:
    (link)

    Dear Grey, huge fan of your ranks.

    I have the 12th pick (and 13 since is snake deaft) in a standart H2H (non keeper) league, and the following players might be available. Which two would you take?
    Machado, Kris Bryant, Miguel Cabrera, McCutchen, Altuve, Stanton.

    Many thanks and all the best!

  83. Trenchtown says:
    (link)

    LOVE that Razzball is back, but then again you never left right?

    Wondering what ‘pert Grey and others think about this option…

    2 keeper league (kept in round you drafted them)

    Rizzo (rd 5 again), Jose Fernandez (rd9), and Macho Macho Machado Man (rd 10)

    love having the bats, but feel like this will also be the lowest i’ll get an ace like jose …till the marlins hurt his arm again. Thoughts? I’ll hang up and wait for your answer. Thanks!

Comments are closed.