Was Yordan Alvarez indeed called up? Allow me to clear things up. He’s not. At least not yet. Despite leading AAA in home runs (14) and runs batted in (44) and boasting a .398 batting average, Yordan Alvarez appears no closer to Houston than the next Astros prospect. Speaking of Astros’ prospects, there’s also the problem of Kyle Tucker, who is a more heralded prospect. Unlike Alvarez, however, Tucker is having a rather mediocre start to 2019. He has hit a fair share of homers, but that’s about it. Considering Tucker already struck out in his first taste of the Majors, I’d say Yordan has the edge should a need arise on the Astros roster. And that brings us to the real problem. The Astros roster. In order to get Alvarez on it with regular playing time they’d have to expose either Tyler White, Max Stassi or Tony Kemp to waivers and I don’t believe they are ready to do so. Couple that with the fact that the Astros offense is near the top of many categories, there just isn’t a place for Yordan Alvarez. Sadly, many (myself included) see mid to late June as a more realistic timeline for a call up. For what it’s worth, I stashed him two weeks ago. Hopefully we are all wrong and he’s up sooner.

Today feels like a good day to make some bold predictions. I never did so in the preseason, but right now might allow them to be a bit less bold than had I done so then given that I have about six and a half weeks of stats/data on which to base my predictions.

Joey Gallo will lead the Majors in home runs with 48 home runs. Not all that bold. Perhaps I should have just said predictions. And perhaps I should stick to points related predictions (PRPs).

Josh Bell will score as many fantasy points as Paul Goldschmidt. Goldschmidt’s ADP was 16, Bell’s was 210. I had Goldy ranked 36th and Bell ranked 150th.

Jorge Polanco will score as many fantasy points as Manny Machado. Polanco’s ADP was 192, Machado’s was 25.

Eddie Rosario will score more fantasy points than Ronald Acuña Jr. Rosario’s ADP was 93, Acuña’s was 14.

Christian Yelich will edge out Mike Trout for the most points and continue Trout’s streak of never having the most points for a hitter.

Once again Nick Markakis will finish a solid contributor in points leagues. I feel like I write about him every year and every year he gets little to no respect.

Travis Shaw and Joey Votto will finish as the biggest disappointments in points leagues.

Carlos Correa is not a top five shortstop. That’s not a 2019 prediction, that’s a general comment. In fact, he’s barely a top ten shortstop. Sure, he had a very good rookie season in 2015 where he scored 284 points in 99 games (0.66 PPPA), but since then it’s been a combination of disappointment and injury. In 2016 he scored 377 points in 660 plate appearances (0.57 PPPA). Then in 2017 he bounced back, totaling 362 points in 481 (0.75). But in 2018 he dropped to 243 in 468 (0.52). Now many will say injuries have plagued him the last two years and that he’s still only 24 years young. While this all might be true, there are just too many other better/more viable options at shortstop. Year-to-date Correa has 90 points in 145 plate appearances (0.62 PPPA).

Three players have a points per plate appearance greater than 1. Two are obvious. Yelich and Bellinger. The third surprises even me. In 77 plate appearances Hunter Pence has 86 points. Hunter who? He hasn’t been fantasy relevant in over five years. He also hasn’t been healthy in about that long as well. The dude is 36 years old and an IL frequent flyer, but I thought I’d give him a shout out.

It seems that as long as Derek Dietrich is active then he should be in your lineup. He has only started 20 of his team’s 36 games, but so far this season he has 88 points in 92 chances (0.95 PPPA).

Tommy La Stella falls into a similar boats as Dietrich.

David Fletcher has more points than Andrew Benintendi, Paul Goldschmidt (he’s really taking a hit today), Manny Machado, J.T. Realmuto and Gleyber Torres. The list could go on, but you get the point. I mean Fletcher gets the point. His 0.71 PPPA puts him somewhere between Javier Baez (0.72) and Jose Abreu (0.69).

Alex Gordon is going to be on the roster of a lot of championship teams. I just heard him credit a lot of his recent success to a new, smaller bat. I guess size does matter!

For those ready to sound the alarms with respect to Vladimir Guerrero Jr, you all need to pump the brakes. I realize his performance thus far has been lackluster (to say the least), but we are talking about one of (if not the) best prospects in many many years. Not every prospect (even the best) are going to hit the ground running immediately after being called up. Cut him some slack. A lot of slack. Let him ride the pine. Trade him in redraft leagues. But for the love of dogs, remember who he is before doing anything drastic.

I am currently working on a customizable rest of season projections/rankings spreadsheet. Hope to have that available sooner than later. In the meantime, enjoy Game of Thrones. Are there more dragons? What was Drogon doing during season five? Is Tyrion a Targaryen? How is it that my spell checker knows how to spell Targaryen? Who kills Cersei? So many questions. So little time to answer them all.

Follow malamoney on Twitter at @malamoney

 

  1. RicoSuave says:
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    Great work Malamoney!

    I am looking forward for the rest of season projections/rankings…

    Thanks

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
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      Thanks…

  2. RicoSuave says:
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    16 team H2H weekly points league… redraft

    I got offered Bryant for my Stanton.

    My current 3B is Hunter Dozier and my OFs are Dahl, Buxton, Franmil Reyes … bench bats, Verdugo, and Clint Frazier.

    What do you think?

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
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      Can you play Bryant in the OF?

      • RicoSuave says:
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        Yes

  3. wheezy says:
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    Malamoney,

    I’m new to a points league this year. I have a trade question.

    12 Teams. Points are as follows…

    1b: 2, 2b: 3, 3b: 4, hr: 5, R: 1, RBI: 1, SB: 2, BB: 1, K: -1, CS: -1

    IP: 1.5, K: 1, ER: -1, BB: -1, QS: 5, W: 5, L: -5, CG: 10, Shut Out: 10, HD: 2, SV: 6, BS: -2

    Only 50 moves allowed per yer. I have used 18. Here is my roster. (Not many pitchers available on waivers)

    C Grandal
    1B Abreu
    2B Moncada
    3B Yandy D
    SS Polanco
    OF Betts
    OF F Reyes
    OF Puig
    UTIL J Bell
    UTIL Kepler

    BN Mazara
    BN Chavis
    BN R McMahon
    BN D Fletcher

    IL Soto

    SP Carrasco
    SP Syndergaard
    SP L Castillo
    SP Berrios
    SP Z Wheeler
    RP Hader
    RP Diego Castillo

    SP Pablo Lopez
    SP Musgrove
    SP Soroka
    SP Reynaldo Lopez

    IL J Nelson
    IL Matz

    Have Soto on IL will need to drop someone to accommodate him. Thinking of dropping McMahon or Mazara (thoughts?)

    Also, 250 max starts (10-11 per week) H2H Points.

    Trade my Syndergaard for Vlad Jr?

    Thanks! You’ve been a great source for my first year in points – currently in 1st

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
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      I’d drop McMahon over Mazara.

      Is this a keeper league?

      • wheezy says:
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        This is a redraft league.

        • malamoney

          malamoney says:
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          I think this year you stick with Syndergaard. I’d rather have Vlad, but if you move Syndergaard then you have to regularly start one of Soroka, Lopez, Musgrove or Lopez. Soroka looks good, but Syndergaard’s the better pitcher.

          Vlad is off to a slow start, but he will come around. So will Syndergaard.

          If this were a keeper league the I’d take Vlad hands down…

  4. Chucky says:
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    Thoughts on Ronny Rod?

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
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      Meh. I’d ride him while he’s hot if you can, otherwise I’m not very interested…

  5. themendozaline says:
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    Would you flip tim Anderson for Cano? Standard ESPN points scoring, i have a pile of SS eligible players in Bregman Anderson Seager Polanco and Villar, but Villar is my only 2 bag

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
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      Sure…

  6. RicoSuave says:
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    16 team H2H weekly points league… redraft

    Gallo and Nola for my Stanton and Eduardo Rodriguez

    Which side?

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
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      Gallo and Nola…

  7. johnnyhobbes says:
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    Yo malamoney, I’m in a pinch with some injuries. Glasnow to IL… Dear lord do me a solid and let that one just be temporary….

    I basically swapped Glasnow and Meadows. On the IL and roster.

    Looking to pick up a an rp eligible to fill in… Need to drop
    One or two….
    Lucchessi
    Yandy Diaz
    Brandon Lowe
    Michael Chavis

    • johnnyhobbes says:
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      Looking to pick up Zac gallen or luzardo now….. Also need an rp to hold.down Glasnow spot… (Points leagues) Diego Castillo trustworthy?

      • malamoney

        malamoney says:
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        Think you gotta go Luzardo.

        Castillo is ok. He’ll get you a strikeout an inning and the occasional save. But you already knew that. I watched him pitch two clean innings against the Yankees last night. He looked reliable, but not a true source of saves…

        • johnnyhobbes says:
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          Holds get me three points….

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
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      Which of Diaz, Lowe and Chavis actually get into your lineup?

      • johnnyhobbes says:
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        It’s fluid…. Yandy might end up best out of the three. Add Christian Walker to that equation. Brandon Lowe seems like the strikeouts are rising? And no idea on Chavis came out on fire but I guess the book on him is out.

  8. Philomath says:
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    Malamoney, thanks for keeping the flame lit for those of us in points leagues. The work is appreciated.

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
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      You are welcome…

  9. Hebrew Hammer says:
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    Luchessi would kill it in Colorado.

    Be nice if he can do it when he faces bad hitting teams :(

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
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      Is that you Ryan Braun?

  10. aardvark says:
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    If you had to pick between Dietrich, la Stella and fletcher who would you go with?

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
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      Probably Fletcher…

  11. T Cole Anderson says:
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    12 team H2H. -1 SO everything else pretty standard scoring for hitters. Wins 10 Loses -5 1 IP 1 SO -1 ER 1 QS
    hitters
    Molina
    Bellinger
    Mondesi
    Moose tacos
    bregman
    Benitendi
    kepler
    poloanco
    yelich
    senzel
    Bench
    Yandy Diaz
    Verdugo

    Pitchers
    Marco gonzalas
    John GRay
    Marquez
    Robbie Ray
    Caleb Smith
    loaisiga
    F VAsquez
    bench
    Descalifni
    Maeda
    chirinos
    giolito

    Question, Soto and Meadows just came off of IL. Need to drop 2 (6 man BEnch)

    Hitting has been great, pitching not great but serviceable.

    • T Cole Anderson says:
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      gregory polanco not jorge

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
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      Some combination of Chirinos, Maeda and Verdugo.

      The question to ask yourself is who is least likely to crack your starting lineup.

  12. Luvdarooks says:
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    Got a good report on Carlos Martinez a few days ago do you think he will be starting soon in St. Louis

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
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      Nope…

  13. Cable says:
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    H/H Points. no minus for K’s..Need two drop two from this list

    Ohtani
    Senzel
    Puig
    Do Santana (Sea)
    Robles
    Meadows

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
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      Puigs and …… I really want to say Ohtani, but that’s a hard trigger to pull. Domingo has been pretty good. Is this a redraft league?

      • Cable says:
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        yes…..if You mind can I give you full team and you can see what Im dealing with….I did try to make trades but theres just to much hitters around I can’t get equal value but I know if I drop they will get picked up

        • malamoney

          malamoney says:
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          Sure…

  14. Cable says:
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    H/H points….stash add

    Jimmy Nelson or A Heaney

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
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      I’m leaning Nelson. Both come with big injury risks, but I think Heaney’s the bigger risk.

    • Matt says:
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      Dropped Joey Votto for Alvarez, is this a mistake, already riding the Trey Mancini wave at first base.

      • malamoney

        malamoney says:
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        I don’t like the move. Votto is down, but he’s still a proven commodity. Not sure when Alvarez will be up. I would have tried to make a trade.

        Pretty sure someone will pick up Votto…

  15. Cable says:
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    12 H/H Points..no minus for hitters K’s …..starting team with DH and 5 SPers per week with 2 RPers…

    my starting lineup as of now but can play with it because of players multi positions eligible…..like I said need to drop two have to pickup a couple of SPers……..kind of looking for advice on team & what I can do to improve it…thanks

    C..Vasquez
    1B..H Dozier
    2B..Merrrifield
    3B..Suarez
    SS..Andrus…IL T Turner & Tatis
    OF..Hoskins
    OF..Meadows
    OF..Robles
    DH..Do Santana (Sea)

    Bench..Puig..Senzel..Ohtani

    SPers

    Scherzer
    Bauer
    Wheeler
    Tanaka
    German
    Fried
    Lucchesi
    Sabathia

    RPers..

    Yates
    Giles

  16. Jason Jacobson says:
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    I just lost Glasnow. Thinking of trading Blackmon for Nola straight up. 12tm keep 8 where wins are worth 10. I have yelich, acuna, Robles, Reyes as my other OFers (and have bellinger who I use mostly as IF) and senzel too. My staff is Scherzer, Snell then a bunch of question marks (ray, J. Gray, Hill, Fried, Skaggs, Peacock , Maeda and Glasnow. I’m currently in first but it’s tight and I feel weak on pitching. Would you do it?

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
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      Sure…

  17. johnnyhobbes says:
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    Anybody picking up Lucas giolito or Kyle Gibson?

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
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      Yes and small maybe…

  18. Alex says:
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    Just lost Shaw and Andujar in the same day. Drop both?

    Pickup Fletcher, Dietrich, or Nicky Lopez?

    Single, run, walk, rbi, steal, HBP: 1 point
    Double: 2
    Triple: 3
    HR: 5

    No negative points.

    Luckily have Javy and Chavis at 2nd and 3rd right now.

    • alex says:
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      Redraft league

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
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      Fletcher

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