I’ve used a similar open before, so rounding to the point – there’s a ton of players in baseball…  It’s why fantasy baseball rules the land – there’s no end to how deep it goes (that’s what she said!).  You can play 10 team, 12 team RCL, AL and NL only, and I’m hoping to start up a 30 teamer next year.  The possibilities are endless!

And even within the abyss of players that will contribute to an MLB season, I’m only looking at starting pitchers and even then I miss tons of things!  It’s not like I scan every starter’s game log and peripherals every single week, so guys will occasionally fall through the cracks.  One such example is Trevor May, who I thought was still having egregious control problems.  I looked at his ERA and WHIP in passing on the wire, and gave it an ol’ shrug-a-roosky.  But then I started digging into the numbers after his huge 7-inning two-hitter, and realized he was much more than a butterface.  Kinda like realizing you could hop on board of that!  “It’s not the sweater, but what’s underneath that counts!”  I was then on the verge of picking up May after seeing his 50:9 K:BB in 56.1 innings this year, remembering he was a pretty hot prospect despite walking everyone in his limited time last season.  I watched an early 2014 start and it was something like that uber-fail Tyler Matzek debacle (58 pitches, 20 strikes?!).  So I decided that May would be a perfect pitcher to Profile (and Peter Piper picked peppers!) to see just how dominant his start was last Wednesday at the Red Sox.  I know I usually pick a pitcher who started over the weekend, but I’m selfish and I’m using this week’s post for my own add/drop evaluation needs!  Here’s how May looked:

First Inning: Opening up the second game of the double-header, and May starts Dustin Pedroia with a high and tight fastball fouled back, 0-1.  Fastball in the same spot is taken for a ball, fastball right over is in there, 1-2.  No radar gun yet on the broadcast…  Annoying…  Next pitch is what looked like a slider or cutter and gets grounded weakly to short, one down.  Fastball right over the plate is lined hard by Brock Holt first-pitch hacking, but it’s right to left for a lineout.  Relatively hard hit, but right to Eduardo Escobar.  David Ortiz takes low, fastball right over is slashed foul, fastball sails way high and outside, fastball on the outer edge is cut on late and foul, 2-2.  Then another liner is hit to left, but Escobar is there on the track to nab the out.  Two straight hit fairly hard, a little discouraging for my hopeful May-fandom.

Second Inning: May picks up two runs of support and I pick up the Red Sox broadcast to get radar gun readings, and May starts Mike Napoli with a 91 MPH fastball barely low, 1-0.  Fastball is then high – only one non-fastball so far – 2-0 91 MPH fastball is in there, big slider at 85 sweeps across the zone but too far outside 3-1, fastball is fouled back, then a 93 MPH fastball perfectly placed on the outside edge is hacked through and missed for May’s first K.  Pablo Sandoval takes a 76 MPH curveball into the zone, and man if May can locate those on the first pitch, it’ll be a weapon:

May-curveball

Perfect fastball on the low outside corner is hit back foul, 77 MPH curve is in the dirt, fastball almost takes off Panda’s buttons inside 2-2, then Sandoval is made a fool with a high 85 MPH change-up that he swings though for back-to-back Ks.  Not where he wanted the change at all, but it works.  Then May again starts with a fantastic slider that dips low and gets Xander Bogaerts swinging over it at 84 MPH, strike one:

May-slider-1

Pretty combo of first-pitch sliders to the last two hitters!  92 MPH fastball is just outside, nice two-seamer runs too far inside but got a flinch 2-1, blew him away with a 92 MPH fastball on the outside edge swung through and missed, 93 right down the middle is fouled back, 76 MPH curve that would’ve been a nasty pitch in the zone if taken is tipped foul, then 2-2 again is a fastball painting the outside corner and gets the call for strike 3 looking.  I dunno, it looked a little off the plate and the pitch tracker had it off – but officially May strikes out the side…  But I’m still not jaw droppin’ it…

Third Inning: Zeroes on the board for May who gets a fastball in there to Mookie Betts 0-1, another fastball on the outside edge is taken 0-2, then May brings it inside at 91 MPH in a perfect spot on the low black for a strikeout swinging and 4 in a row.  All about command there, and it’s working!  May is right back in the zone with a curveball for strike one on Blake Swihart, again sweeps the curve in the backdoor 0-2, then comes right back inside at 93 MPH on the hands to get Swihart to foul-tip it into the mitt for 5 straight Ks:

May-fastball

Sheesh, while I’m not blown away with the pure stuff, he’s got complete control on both sides of the plate to lefties and righties.  Impressive.  Hard to believe he had control issues last year.  Carlos Peguero fouls back a first-pitch fastball, then May goes right back to the same spot and Peguero is able to make the adjustment and pound it into center for a single.  Looked like a two-seamer following a four-seamer and it didn’t get the run he hoped for.  So back to the top and Pedroia takes a fastball painting the outside black 0-1, then a fastball on the low inside black is turned around down the third base line for a double.  As opposed to the Peguero single, that one was really well located on the other side of the zone, just tip your hat to Pedroia there.  May remains fearless with runners at second and third with a fastball taken by Holt, fastball high in the zone at 92 is taken for strike two, big sweeping curveball is in the dirt inside – great block by Chris Hermann to save a run – fastball is high and tight, then the 2-2 fastball is high and on the hands – Holt tries to turn it around but it breaks his bat for a soft grounder to short and they get him by a half step, inning over.

Fourth Inning: Still up 2-0 on the scoreboard and May gets Ortiz to foul back a fastball, fastball on the hands gets Ortiz to hit it a mile high but just foul into right, May tops out the velo at 95 on the hands and Ortiz barely catches his bat up to it to foul it off, 0-2 again is a curve in the dirt – great shot by the Red Sox broadcast showing his back knuckle coming off it making it technically a knuckle-curve – 94 up in the zone is fouled back, change-up at 85 stays a tad outside, now 2-2.  Slider is slung a bit too hard at 87 inside – looks like he overthrew it a tad – payoff pitch is a fastball Ortiz fouls off his foot, fastball again in the zone is fouled off to left, and finally the 10th pitch of the AB is a 94 MPH fastball an inch or two higher than right down the middle and it gets Ortiz to swing just enough underneath it to fly out to center.  Slider at 85 breaks off the plate from Napoli, 1-0 fastball is taken and gets a called strike high in the zone (I thought it was too far up, but got the call), 92 MPH fastball is right down the middle but Napoli fouls it off, 95 MPH fastball is a heater overthrown as it’s in the dirt, then the 2-2 heater at 94 paints the outside corner to get Napoli looking.  Perfect pitch there – hit the black majestically, nice stuff.  Slider breaks inside to Sandoval, 91 MPH two-seamer tails outside, fastball low is tipped back foul and catches Hermann right in the lovehandle where there’s no padding, 2-1 as trainers come out to check on him.  Luckily he’s OK and the 2-1 hanging curveball is fouled off – easily a ball but Sandoval hacks at anything – high fastball at 93 is fouled back, then 2-2 again is a 93 MPH heater on the hands that eats Panda up for an easy flare popup to short, 3 up 3 down.

Fifth Inning: At pitches 64 through four, May starts Bogaerts with a fastball in there for a strike, then heater again in the lower inside half gets an easy routine grounder to short, one down.  Fastball is in there to Betts who pulls back a halfhearted bunt show, takes a curve in the dirt, high 92 MPH fastball is fouled back, climbs the ladder even higher with a fastball way out of the zone, then the 2-2 fastball perfectly paints the low black at 92 for a K looking.  Command is insane right now!  Outside fastball is laced foul by Swihart, 93 is just inside, May throws an elevated change-up that Swihart is just in front of hitting it deep foul (another change that wasn’t low like you want it), pounds the zone at 94 on the hands gets another foul back, then a 1-2 curveball at 77 skips into the dirt, Swihart tries to hold up but barely breaks the plane for May’s 8th K.

Sixth Inning: Still a 2-0 game and May starts Peguero with a backdoor curveball breaking into the zone 0-1, then a fastball on the hands eats him up just enough for a routine fly to right, quick out.  Peguero had a nice swing, but May is locating so good I’ve now got my O face.  Fastball in there to Pedroia, fastball outside, fastball just low, 92 right down the middle is laced foul, 2-2.  I mean, 92 MPH fastball right down the middle had Pedroia very late – hitters very off-balance.  Fastball at 93 barely misses the outside black, then the payoff pitch is another 93 MPH fastball low that is hit pretty hard to second, but the play is made for the second out.  High fastball gets the call at 92 on Holt (it was in the zone, but high pitches don’t always get the call), curveball skips in low, change-up at 84 is low, then 92 on the hands is popped up in the infield and caught for an easy third out.

Seventh Inning: Now at 88 pitches, May gets Ortiz swinging on the first-pitch fastball and it’s topped to first for an easy groundout, one down.  May paints the outside black to Napoli at 90 MPH for strike one, and Napoli starts jawing with the ump.  And here’s an underrated aspect to being so spot-on with your command – if you miss by maybe half an inch after pounding the zone all night, human nature will give you the call even if you’re a rook.  Fastball again is fouled back, high heat at 93 is fouled back again, then the 0-2 is the first off-speed of the AB with an 82 MPH slider dipping low and with Napoli trying to keep his bat speed up for the fastball can’t hold it up for May’s 9th K:

May-slider-2

Panda fouls off the first-pitch fastball, again May stays out there but perfectly on the black and gets a late swing foul, high heat 93 is fouled back, curveball dips low, then another high fastball is skied to shallow right with Brian Dozier ranging over for it, and another quick inning will do it for May at 98 pitches, ending a fantastic outing.

Final Line:  W  7.0 IP  98 Pitches (70 Strikes)  0 ER  2 Hits  0 Walks  9 K  Gamescore: 82  Gamescore+: 81.6

Final Analysis: Location, location, location!  One of the best commanded games I’ve broken down since doing the Pitcher Profiles in 2013.  May was in and out of the zone, hitting inside and outside corners, putting the ball high and low.  As I mentioned above, it’s hard to believe I had the perception he had no control after struggling so bad with the walks last year.  Then again, his walk numbers weren’t great in the Minors…  Maybe (May-B!) he’s just found something this year…  His Gamescore+ came out about even with the Gamescore with those first few outs a little hard hit and both hits well struck.  After those first two innings though, nothing was lucky.

May’s fastball isn’t overpowering as a raw pitch, but sitting at 92-94 and topping at 95 with great location, it’s a strong offering.  It’s a tick faster than last year, but I guess increased confidence with the command has him pitching better.  In fact, his spread across all 4 pitches hasn’t changed all that much.  His slider is probably the primary off-speed with good downward sink at 82-85, then the knuckle-curve is almost as utilized in the 77-78 MPH range with more a 10-8 break.  It’s good the curveball has a little bit more of a sweeping motion to differentiate from the slider.  He didn’t throw many change-ups in this start, as they were mostly elevated and he didn’t have a great feel for that pitch.  Luckily the other 3 were working more than well enough to get him through.  And as mentioned in the 7th inning, an underrated aspect of pinpoint control on the corners is you might get a strike or two called just a fraction of an inch out of the zone.

While a pitcher with great location is tough for any team to hit, there is a little cold water from me to throw on here.  Mid-week last week the Red Sox were still in an offensive funk (plus no Hanley Ramirez this game) and it was the second game of a double-header.  I don’t know if there’s any pure evidence that suggests a second game of a double-header has less offense with hitters a tad more fatigued, but wanted to mention it.

So back to the whole point of picking May for this Profile – am I picking him up yet?  Looking at his seasonal numbers, May is sporting a bit of an unlucky .329 BABIP, but the biggie is a 2.80 FIP compared to the 4.45 ERA on top of that fantastic 50:9 K:BB.  However, looking at his next start, it’s a doozy going against the Royals.  I think I’ll be watching this one from afar and keep him on the wire.  With that 4.45 ERA and 1.24 WHIP, I don’t think owners are clamoring to scoop him up for that start.  I want to see how he does against a team that never strikes out with great vision of the zone.  If he comes through with minimal damage and looks good again at the eye level, I’ll be adding him in several leagues.

Razzball Baseball

JB’s Updated Top 100 SP

(rankings for ROS based on 12-team Roto, green for risers, red for fallers)

RANK SP, Team
1 Clayton Kershaw, LAD
2 Felix Hernandez, SEA
3 Max Scherzer, WAS
4 Corey Kluber, CLE
5 Chris Sale, CWS
6 Madison Bumgarner, SF
7 David Price, DET
8 Johnny Cueto, CIN
9 Gerrit Cole, PIT
10 Zack Greinke, LAD
11 Cole Hamels, PHI
12 Matt Harvey, NYM
13 Chris Archer, TB
14 Jake Arrieta, CHC
15 Sonny Gray, OAK
16 Jacob deGrom, NYM
17 Carlos Carrasco, CLE
18 Jon Lester, CHC
19 James Shields, SD
20 Michael Pineda, NYY
21 Garrett Richards, LAA
22 Danny Salazar, CLE
23 Dallas Keuchel, HOU
24 Jordan Zimmermann, WAS
25 Francisco Liriano, PIT
26 Michael Wacha, STL
27 Jeff Samardzija, CWS
28 Stephen Strasburg, WAS
29 Masahiro Tanaka, NYY
30 Jose Fernandez, MIA
31 Tyson Ross, SD
32 Trevor Bauer, CLE
33 Jason Hammel, CHC
34 Andrew Cashner, SD
35 Lance Lynn, STL
36 Carlos Martinez, STL
37 Alex Wood, ATL
38 Collin McHugh, HOU
39 Gio Gonzalez, WAS
40 A.J. Burnett, PIT
41 Clay Buchholz, BOS
42 Yordano Ventura, KC
43 Jesse Chavez, OAK
44 Jose Quintana, CWS
45 Shelby Miller, ATL
46 Noah Syndergaard, NYM
47 Mike Foltynewicz, ATL
48 Mike Fiers, MIL
49 John Lackey, STL
50 Taijuan Walker, SEA
51 Lance McCullers, HOU
52 Eduardo Rodriguez, BOS
53 Jimmy Nelson, MIL
54 Aaron Harang, PHI
55 Carlos Rodon, CWS
56 Scott Kazmir, OAK
57 Julio Teheran, ATL
58 Jake Odorizzi, TB
59 Drew Hutchison, TOR
60 Kyle Hendricks, CHC
61 Chase Anderson, ARI
62 Jesse Hahn, OAK
63 Trevor May, MIN
64 Justin Verlander, DET
65 Rubby De La Rosa, ARI
66 Jered Weaver, LAA
67 Rick Porcello, BOS
68 Edinson Volquez, KC
69 Phil Hughes, MIN
70 J.A. Happ, SEA
71 Patrick Corbin, ARI
72 Ian Kennedy, SD
73 Wei-Yin Chen, BAL
74 Alfredo Simon, DET
75 Ubaldo Jimenez, BAL
76 Matt Shoemaker, LAA
77 Bartolo Colon, NYM
78 Nate Karns, TB
79 Mat Latos, MIA
80 James Paxton, SEA
81 Miguel Gonzalez, BAL
82 Anibal Sanchez, DET
83 Nathan Eovaldi, NYY
84 Aaron Sanchez, TOR
85 Tim Lincecum, SF
86 Chris Heston, SF
87 Hector Santiago, LAA
88 Mike Leake, CIN
89 Jake Peavy, SF
90 Kevin Gausman, BAL
91 Hisashi Iwakuma, SEA
92 Tim Hudson, SF
93 C.J. Wilson, LAA
94 Matt Moore, TB
95 Danny Duffy, KC
96 Mike Bolsinger, LAD
97 Kyle Gibson, MIN
98 Dan Haren, MIA
99 Chi Chi Gonzalez, TEX
100 CC Sabathia, NYY

Dropped Out: Jon Niese, NYM (struggling mightily even though he’s off an OK start), Nick Martinez, TEX (I knew regression was coming and he was barely in anyway), Archie Bradley, ARI (DL shoulder, but needs a mental break anyway – you have to wonder if getting hit in the face by the liner is causing some mental issues), Shane Greene, DET (ummmm, yeahhhhh…)

  • Chris Archer…  Wow…  First pitcher in baseball history with 3 straight 10+ Ks and no walks.  He might end up being the answer to the question coming into the year of “who is 2015’s Kluber?”
  • I’ve been big on Gerrit Cole all the way (18th coming into the year), but this is the first week I’ve really had to boost him even further.  Dude dirty!
  • As I mentioned on the Podcast, it was within a week of last year when Garrett Richards couldn’t get out of the first inning (May 30, 2014), then he went on a 9-2 run with a sub-2.00 ERA and 100 K in 102 innings.  Maybe a short outing is the motivator we need!  After that start on Saturday, probably the best buy-low pitcher in the land.
  • Well, some slightly positive news for Stephen Strasburg, but I’ve suffered a trap strain before, and while it wasn’t detrimental – lingering soreness lasted for like 6 months.  Then again, I’m no athlete haha.  Unless you count which Razzball writer has the longest articles!  I shouldn’t compare sizes, huh (cough – Sky – cough)…
  • I found it odd that Collin McHugh is throwing his fastball under 30% of the time this year…  It’s also lost 1.2 MPH…  He’s still attacking the zone, but is just so hittable thus far, I’m hopping pretty far off.
  • I guess the masses were correct on Clay Buchholz, who had taken the peripheral indicators and ran with them on a great 4-game run before struggling yesterday.  I’m starting to think the good is more the usual though, and would use this last one as a buy low in deepers.
  • So my call of Rubby De La Rosa going on a run, has, well, failed…  Classic case of control vs. command.  The K:BB was looking so so sexy (and well, still does), but man he misses his spots in the zone.  Freddie Freeman just mashed a two-seamer that tailed into the sweet spot, and Rubby missed within the zone time and time again against the Braves.  His stuff is electric, but will need to step up the refinement.
  • Well, as you all know I like to pound my chest when I’m right on something (or feel right), and I imagine there will be a lot less of a push for Tsuyoshi Wada this week.  Here’s what I said in the comments last week: “For Wada, I really don’t buy the Ks and the peripherals (small sample now used against him) are outta whack with BABIP and LOB. He’s just passed 80 Major League innings and I’m not impressed with the stuff – I think teams figure him out with decent offenses in the division. Short-term I’d be fine riding him out, but long term I think he gets figured out and we’re seeing that play out a bit already – still hasn’t gotten to 6 innings yet while not having a ton of baserunners on, i.e. a lot of foul balls hitters can see and spoil”.  That’s me quoting me!  Saw the Nationals a second time within 3 starts and they clobbered him.  Maybe I shouldn’t have said he’s fine short-term either!

Are you ready to call him May-B?  And what ranks have a craw in your britches?  As always, shoot your thoughts below and happy pitching, Razzball Nation!

 
  1. JVanSlyke says:
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    JB, the Podcast and pitchers column get me through Monday’s. Thanks so much for the work you put in.

    Not sure what made me more sick to my stomach this weekend, GOT’s or starting Richard, Ventura, Fiers and Carrasco… For someone whose Era and whip took a pounding, do you recommend a Folty or Karns stream tomorrow??

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @JVanSlyke: Thanks man! Yeah Sunday is surely a busy day for me :)

      Hah haven’t gotten to this week’s GOT… But yea, I have Richards and Carrasco on a few teams – ugh! I think I’m gonna take Folty there, Angels hit Karns pretty well as his last start and gets him again back to back

  2. LOOGY & Messina says:
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    In a 14 team h2h weekly points league where pitching rules (especially Ks, W, IP,, QS) my current 5 SP are Scherz, Kluber, Hammel, Buchholz, Fiers with Hahn and Shoemaker in reserve.

    Quintana just got dropped and his recent outings don’t inspire me. What move if any would you make here? I own a plum waiver spot ( 3 of 14) and may not need to use it since Quintana does not rank among top pts producers among FA.

    Thanks much!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @LOOGY & Messina: Nice starters up top! I think I would take Quintana over Shoe, but if it’s a pretty competitive league and owners make a lot of moves and use their waiver a lot, I would probably hold onto that waiver spot as I don’t see a huge difference between the two. Quintana maybe a tad safer… Any time!

      • LOOGY & Messina says:
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        @JB Gilpin:

        Quintana comes off waivers Wednesday. Corbin is still a free agent. How do you assess those two compared to holding Shoemaker?

        Thanks!

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @LOOGY & Messina: All in kinda the same milieu, still taking Quintana, but a big start or two for Corbin and he’s unscathed health wise I could see him hopping over, but that’s a month away

  3. Natty Boh says:
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    Is Vincent Velasquez an immediate add?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Natty Boh: Yeah just saw the news. Maybe not “immediate” but he would certainly crack my ranks. Probably 70-80s with obviously upside to get a little higher if he starts strong

      • Natty Boh says:
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        @JB Gilpin: thanks

  4. onesock says:
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    Thoughts on Jaime Garcia? Too many injury concerns?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @onesock: Yeahhhh, I think he’s a decent enough short-term play, but with these ROS I think any betting man would see him on the DL at some point the rest of the way

  5. TJ says:
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    Are we bullish on Strasburg coming back after the DL stint and maybe regaining some of his pre-2015 mojo?
    Have a standing offer to acquire him for Correa, but not sure if I should make the move, or see if Correa can get me an arm who is active right now.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @TJ: I think so, maybe not “bullish” but “cautiously optimistic” in that velo was still there, unlucky BABIP, and apparently he’s already feeling better. Whewwwww, non-keeper? If you have a good SS already I would do it

      • TJ says:
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        @JB Gilpin: Nah, it’s a keeper league, with leveled-keepers.
        So Correa falls into the same level for me as Kris Bryant, which means I can only keep one at the end of the year.
        And I already own Hanley, who is SS-eligible in Yahoo.

        Thinking I might see if I can pry away Salazar from another owner, but I might have to jump on Strasburg too.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @TJ: Ah yeah if Correa is likely not a keeper and Strasburg or Salazar could be, I def would hop on that

  6. Eric B says:
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    Hey JB, thanks for the update. Quick question for ya(Ive included my roster below)…I’m not sure if Odorrizi hits the DL today or not but I’ve already lost Paxton and I’m wondering if I should try to sneak Gausman or Corbin onto my roster. If I did so I could just leave them active and lose say Carson Smith, I already have 4 closers, but believe me they are needed in this league.

    Do you think I should add one of those guys, hold tight or kick Daniel Murphy off my DL to stash one? Id still have to drop Carson to add Gausman or Corbin to the DL but if you think either’s upside is worth it I can find a body for my last spot. Gausman seems to be talked bout as an ace-like SP more so than Corbin but I see you have Corbin ranked much higher. Thoughts?

    Also any info on the arm Houston just called up Velasquez?

    5×5 HTH OBP
    Bats
    C McCann
    1B Freeman
    2B Kipnis
    3B Santana
    SS A.Ramirez
    OF Stanton
    OF Calhoun
    OF Springer
    OF Betts
    Util Pollock
    Util Semien
    Util Avisail Garcia
    Bench P.Alvarez
    DL Soler
    DL Daniel Murphy

    Staff
    P Kluber
    P Odorizzi(DTD)
    P Cole
    P Salazar
    P T. Walker
    SP Ventura
    SP Bauer
    RP Chapman
    RP Britton
    Bench RP Perkins
    Bench RP Melancon
    Bench SP Chavez
    Bench RP C. Smith
    DL Paxton

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Eric B: Yo good to see ya man! Yeah I would guess Odorizzi goes to the DL, but we’ll see. I def took him down a bit.

      Well for Gausman he’s still working back from shoulder issues which can be a little elusive, Corbin is at least on a tried and true TJ progression. I’d def wanna hold C. Smith so it’s down to losing Murphy off the DL for one. And most leagues to do that you have to lose an active roster spot to get him on your DL (can’t add a DL guy straight to DL) If that’s the case I stand pat, if not I think Murphy can go for Corbin.

      • Eric B says:
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        @JB Gilpin: Thanks man, yeah I’d have to lose an active player to add a DL stash. So sounds like I should hold tight, would you dump Murphy if Odorrizi hits the DL? Or hold onto him and just eat that active roster spot until Soler or Murphy returns?

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @Eric B: Gotcha, yeah I’d stand pat – Ummm yeah I think unless Odorizzi has like an 8 weeks out prognosis I’d lose Murphy and put Odorizzi there

          • Eric B says:
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            @JB Gilpin: Sweet, appreciate the back and forth as always. I’m sure we’ll probably run out of room before this exchange is over(as usual lol). I’m toying with putting Odorrizi on the DL and activating Soler since he should be back in 10 days and just eating that roster spot. However I could DL Odorrizzi, drop Murphy, add Corbin to the DL and still leave Soler active…two birds one stone. Based on my rostrer construction you think Murphy would be a big loss for me? My only concern is Semien has dropped off of lateas my primary utility plug in.

            • JB Gilpin

              JB Gilpin says:
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              @Eric B: Haha new chain forthcoming, as always!

              Aight cool yeah that line of thinking as long as you don’t have to drop anyone else sounds good to me! I still think the Mets could shop Murphy and he not play as much somewhere else – kinda be a utility guy

            • Eric B says:
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              @Eric B: Meant to ask is whats up with Velasquez? No ones grabbed him yet, who would help my roster more Velasquez or Corbin iyo?

              • JB Gilpin

                JB Gilpin says:
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                @Eric B: ohhhh, I think at this point I would take the upside of Vinny V, who was called up right after my ranks came out, of course!

                • Eric B says:
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                  @JB Gilpin: Yeah I’d just have to wait for Odorrizzi to get DLed and dump Murphy to pull it off…and by then Vinny will likely be gone lol. Unless adding Vinny is worth losing Carson.

                  • JB Gilpin

                    JB Gilpin says:
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                    @Eric B: Nahhhh i don’t think I’d go that far for Vinny, let’s hurry this up TB medical staff!

                    • Eric B says:
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                      @JB Gilpin: Agreed!

  7. Bryce Krispie Treats says:
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    JB, I need to figure out what Im going to do here with this trade offer…

    Our league’s (12 T, 5×5) keeper rules are as follows – Keep 5 players every year for the draft price plus add $2 for 2nd year, $3 for 3rd year, etc.

    Example – Bryce Harper, Year 4 price – Drafted for $3 +2 +3+4 = $12

    My current keepers – Harper (12), Goldy (29), Marte (5), Polanco (3), G Cole (5)

    I have CARLOS CORREA(!), franco, and Rodon, all of whom I picked up this year. I am in 2nd place with a very solid offense (arenado, goldy, harper, pujols). I was offered Grienke and Braun for all three of these guys. Do I pull the trigger? or do I wait on Correa? Id love to see what correa’s got in store…

    Thanks JB!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Bryce Krispie Treats: Whoa, that’s a monster offer. Is either Greinke or Braun affordable as well? If one of those guys becomes a keeper, I’m def doing that, helps you so so so much for this year. If both are non-keepers, if you’re gung ho for this year I am still doing it, but agree, Correa should be fun. Any time!

      • Bryce Krispie Treats says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin:

        Yea, its a tough decision. If I could trust braun’s health, id do it in a heartbeat. I love the potential Correa has at a premium position. Grienke and Braun went for regular prices respective to their draft positions, so pretty poor keeper choices.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @Bryce Krispie Treats: Hmmmm I mean it’s such an upgrade for now. And selling Correa now might be his highest value for 2 years. I think I might do it thinking of it that way

  8. Cuban Missile says:
    (link)

    What are your thoughts on Tanner Roark? Do you have him outside the top 100, or just don’t think he will stick in the rotation for long?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Cuban Missile: I’ve just never been a Roark guy, the Ks this year were a catastrophe until the last time out, and then he was hit hard. I think there’s several situations where he indeed goes back to long relief so yeah, it would need another big Nats injury and/or a prolonged run to get him in for me

  9. chucky says:
    (link)

    Lots of mediocrity in a 14 team H2H: Need 4 SPs for Week 10:
    2 start guys, Folty SD @NYM, Heston Az @NYM, ERod Tor @ Balt, also Salazar @ Det, Gio @ NYY, Hahn v Tex, Roark @ Mil, Wada v Cin. Do I go with volume guys or the better pitchers? Cueto is my only must start. Thanks.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @chucky: Hmmm, well I am still a big Folty guy, he goes for me. I think Salazar is tough to sit, same with Erod going against teams the first time. 4th is toughhhh, I think I’d go Gio. Any time!

    • chucky says:
      (link)

      Second part question: Would u pick up Velasquez at the expense of either Folty? Ventura? or Ruby? ROS

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
        (link)

        @chucky: Only one is Rubby that I’m considering, and he has arguably the same upside if he can command. Ya know, you never wanna be behind and Rubby is gonna be passed over by other owners, I’d get Velasquez for him

  10. The Great Knoche says:
    (link)

    Say it aint so? Shane Greene isn’t in your top 50 anymore? Oh that was a month ago.

    Top 100 no longer you say…..hmmmm…….

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @The Great Knoche: The splits against lefties are so abhorrent, that you can only stream him in a good park vs. righty heavy teams. Even then… Eesh tough to trust, I was wrong there

  11. Bob says:
    (link)

    DL Stash. Corbin or Gausman?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Bob: I’m still going Corbin, velo is apparently better after a semi-setback, and Gausman is still with shoulder issues working back and needs to get a for sure spot. As soon as Corbin is ready he’s in

  12. chucky says:
    (link)

    Second part question: Would u pick up Vinny V at the expense of either Folty? Ventura? or Ruby? ROS

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @chucky: Got ya above, gimme Vinny V which is how I’ll write his name every time here on out!

      • chucky says:
        (link)

        Its catchy, wtf….

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @chucky: No I love it!

  13. Josh says:
    (link)

    Great write up as always… Where do you like Vince Velasquez? Would you take him over Kyle Hendricks?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Josh: Thanks man! yeah I’m thinking 70-80 range, I like Hendricks more ROS though. He’s not too flashy, so you might be able to make the move and get hendricks back as an alternative though…

  14. Scott says:
    (link)

    Hi May B. No move up for Hammel?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Scott: Yo! Haha. Man I want to, but he’s right at the end of the start every time class and it’s so hard to get into the 20s for a guy that has a few tiny regression signs like the .255 BABIP. Love him and I’ve had him ranked pretty well all year – I imagine some other places will have him ranked even further down too.

  15. The Wongest Yard says:
    (link)

    Wil Myers for Garrett Richards sound about right to you?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @The Wongest Yard: Oh definitely, I’d much rather have Richards unless it’s a super deep league and I had a bad OF

  16. knighttown says:
    (link)

    Need an arm and I’m carrying 5 closers in my 12 team daily league. Would a return of anyone in your top 21 (looking at you Richards) in return for me giving up R-Zimm and Street be a good return? Or asked another way, if that’s the package I’m offering, how low an SP would you accept back?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @knighttown: Yeah I think Richards is a great target for that combo. I think down to 26 is a good line, the few after Wacha all have some major risk but could be great returns, I dunno if I’d make those risks or deeper at that point

  17. OldMilwaukeePounders says:
    (link)

    JB, sweet write up, I will be keeping my eye on May!

    Would you flip an elite closer for Richards? Similar situation to knighttown. I have Holland, Miller, Chapman, Ramos, Tolleson, Wade Davis. I can only play 4 at a time and I need to add pitching…

    There are a lot of good to decent SPs out there, but none Richards quality. Plus I can’t flat out drop a closer or davis.

    Thanks, bro!

    • OldMilwaukeePounders says:
      (link)

      @OldMilwaukeePounders: For what its worth, my thought was try to flip Holland for him. That way I have Davis to cover my ass if Holland gets hurt or loses the gig somehow.

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
        (link)

        @OldMilwaukeePounders: Thanks man! Whoa yeah you’re stacked at RP. I’d be fine giving Holland for him, who had some slight injury issues and velo is a tad down. Hah I said that before I read your follow up! Great minds my man haha

  18. rainking99 says:
    (link)

    I’m trying to solidify back end of my rotation…..can bench for upside later in season. I have a start limit, so looking for quality starts, not quantity.

    I can pick 2 of these:

    Rodon
    T. Walker
    McCullers
    Folty
    Vinnie V

    Thanks so much!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @rainking99: Gotcha, I am all in on Folty. I have Walker and McCullers back to back in the ranks above, and my gut rethinking it is till Walker so I think he and Folty are your two. Any time!

  19. e says:
    (link)

    flip huston street for Danny Salazar? Chapman and Ramos are my other closers, can only start 2 relievers a week. We start 4 SPs a week and I have Hamels, Sale, Richards, and Mchugh.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @e: Yeah for sure! Fits your roster comp I like it

  20. Ritchie Goldstein says:
    (link)

    Please someone tell me what to do with Gausman ?
    To valuable to drop but not enough value to trade.

    Ugh !!!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Ritchie Goldstein: Hah rehabbing from the shoulder, seems like he’s getting closer, but then a hurdle will be when he gets a full time rotation spot… Million dollar question there, shallower league I don’t think I could stash

  21. Bro Jackson says:
    (link)

    Stash Matz or Vinnie V or BOTH? My pitching SUCKS.

    I am rocking Shark, T. Ross, McHugh, Folty, Hahn, Hammel and Hendricks.

    • Bro Jackson says:
      (link)

      @Bro Jackson: Also, you are the man. I should have listened to you and not Grey. Grey for hitting and JB for arms. 2016 will be DOMINATION!

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
        (link)

        @Bro Jackson: I’m gonna go bird in the hand route with Vinny V up and would take him. So you’d have to drop one of those guys? Eesh, ya know to get some new blood and upside I think I’m good with Hendricks getting the ax.

        Hah thanks so much man! Really appreciate it, I think that combo of advice will be domination worthy indeed!

  22. Davies says:
    (link)

    Drop Bryan Shaw for pedro strop net saves/saves

    Who is the drop out of these guys
    Rubby, folty, McHugh, Hendricks add trevor may, nelson, happ for one of those guys

    12 team h2h which ones do I drop/stream teams not doing well.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Davies: Sure yeah I think Strop is a solid add there.

      I think Folty and McHugh are the only real holds. Everyone else are in the streamer range more or less for me. So I think I like your 4 the best, but if May pitches pretty well vs. the Royals I am def gonna add him, prob for Rubby

  23. Ciwa says:
    (link)

    My Bruce for his Samardzija,what do you think?
    It’s a 14 teamkeeper league,and I have Guerrero,Pederson,Fowler,Braun in OF
    Thanks

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Ciwa: Oh definitely! Bruce has a lot more question marks than Shark. Any time!

      • Ciwa says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin:
        Did it ;)

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @Ciwa: Schweet!

  24. D says:
    (link)

    Have to get rid of three of these guys which two do you want ROS Quintana,Shark,Mchugh,Fiers, Carlos Martinez,

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @D: ROS I think it’s a clear two for me – Shark and C Mart

  25. Bee says:
    (link)

    Drop Rubby for Walker, Hendricks, Chase, May,Hahn

    • Bee says:
      (link)

      @Bee: You starting Rubby @dodgers tonight?

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
        (link)

        @Bee: Yeah I’d get Walker. Way too scared to start Rubby with all those good lefties there in LAD

  26. wjessereid says:
    (link)

    Garret Richards owner is offering him to me for Jhonny P. Do I do it?

    Also. I know from a name recognition standpoint it’s a no brainer, but Miguel Gonzales has a 2.00 era and sub 1 WHIP at home and gets two against Boston and NYY. Do I start him over Lester who has a road game v Detroit and is home vs Cincy?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @wjessereid: Hmmm J-Honey has been good. Do you have another SS option on your bench or on the wire? Likely doing it though.

      Yeah Gonzalez has an interesting split there, but I gotta roll Lester myself

      • wjessereid says:
        (link)

        Wilmer on my bench.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @wjessereid: Ehhhh… It’s a downgrade but I think getting Richards is worth it

          • wjessereid says:
            (link)

            You think Richards gets it together then?

            • JB Gilpin

              JB Gilpin says:
              (link)

              @wjessereid: For sure, velo still there, had the walks under control after an up and down start until a start or two ago, I think he’ll be fine

  27. Yo says:
    (link)

    Neil walker or joe panik ROS? Avg and OBP h2h league.

    • Yo says:
      (link)

      @Yo: or Logan forsythe

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
        (link)

        @Yo: Hmmmm… I think I’m going Panik

  28. A Hill O' Beans says:
    (link)

    If you put together an REL style baseball league next year JB you better send me an invite cause I’m down!

    I’m feeling better every week about dealing Robertson for deGrom in my RCL. I knew I liked him, but he’s outperforming my expectations so far. Good to see him moving up your ranks. My second choice for that deal was McHugh so I’m glad I got deGrom. What’s going on with McHugh? Was he just over performing before, or just in a slump now?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @A Hill O’ Beans: Hah will do man! It’s gonna be team based – so 30 teams and you have to have 15 players from your real-life team. You have a team you like in real life?

      Whoa yeah I def woulda gone deGrom too, nice it’;s going well! As I mention in the notes above on McHugh, odd he never throws fastballs and it’s slower. Just more hittable, but control is still there. I think it gets a tad better, but not as good as last year

      • A Hill O' Beans says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin: If its team based I gotta go Jays for sure. I’ve only been waiting to see the them get back to the playoffs for 20+ years. I’m starting to think my other favourite team might get back to the playoffs first though……that would be the Expos, and I’m only half joking there.

        Weird about McHugh because he looked sooo good before, but just doesn’t seem like the same guy right now.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @A Hill O’ Beans: Hah sweet! I’ve got a spreadsheet that Slim and I are using to create all the rules and have some commits before we go full public next year. You’re down for the Jays!

          Yeah I think he’s not as confident with losing that 1.2 MPH with his fastball, and just too hittable with the offspeed stuff in the zone… Annoying for sure

  29. Cheese says:
    (link)

    Where would you slot iwakuma assuming healthy?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Cheese: Ummmm, wouldn’t go too much higher with risk of another injury after and had gotten worse. I doubt he’ll get into my top 50 again this year

  30. Dez says:
    (link)

    Machado for Carrasco a good deal? Or could I get more for Machado? Currently have Donaldson as my 3B, and need pitching. Top 3 starters are Greinke, Hamels and Gerrit Cole, but it gets ugly after that. Thanks.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Dez: Well that’s a good start! ummm, yeah you know I think given the needs I like that deal for ya. Any time!

      • Dez says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin:

        Looking to get Hunter Pence in the deal as well. Which OF should I include in the deal with Machado to make it fair for both sides: Trumbo, Ozuna, DeShields or Maybin? Would love to include Trumbo, but not sure if that’s enough for Carrasco and Pence.

        Or should I just leave it a 1 for 1 to not scare away a potential trade partner?

        Appreciate it.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @Dez: Ummmm, yeah i mean Trumbo is probably the best value and I’d rather have Pence, I think I would do the 1-for-1, hope he’s happy, and make a possible Pence deal after this one is accepted

  31. Brian says:
    (link)

    Hey JB, I’m in a 12 team roto keeper (Forever) league that keeps 4 bats and 3 arms. I was just offered Altuve for Wacha, Miller, and Heyward. I’m not gonna win anything this year so I think this might be a good move for my team going forward. What are your thoughts on this trade? Here is my team. Thanks!
    C D. Norris SD
    1B. J. Abreu. CWS
    2B. H. Kendrick. LAD
    3B. C. Davis. BAL
    SS. T. Tulowitzki COL
    MI. A. Escobar. KC
    CI. E. Hosmer. KC
    OF. S. Marte. PIT
    OF. J. Heyward. STL
    OF. C. Yelich. MIA
    OF. K. Calhoun. LAA
    OF. N. Aoki. SF
    UTL. W. Myers. SD
    BENCH. A. Guerrero. LAD

    SP. G. Cole. PIT
    SP. M. Wacha. STL
    SP. C. Carrasco. Cle
    SP. S. Miller. ATL
    SP. T. Walker. Sea
    Sp. J. Paxton. Sea
    Sp. D. Haren Mia
    Sp. M. Foltynewicz. ATL

    RP. K. Jansen. LAD
    RP. C. Allen. Cle
    RP. K ROD. MIL
    RP. C. Smith. SEA

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Brian: Love the deal! Sure it means your 3rd pitcher keeper isn’t as good, but could end up being Jansen and not be too big a hurt. I like it!

  32. Brian says:
    (link)

    Thanks a bunch JB!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Brian: Any time man!

  33. gg says:
    (link)

    Start Locke vs Philly $16 and Walker vs Indians $-7.7

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @gg: Yup I would feel good starting both! SON I bet hates Walker bc bad start and CLE has good lefties, but I think he’ll be OK

  34. Jaymz says:
    (link)

    Great stuff JB!

    Is Folty ownable in 10-teamers just yet?

    Also, assuming May does solid vs KC, would he be ownable in 10-teamers?

    Thanks dude!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Jaymz: Thanks man! For sure to both – I think Folty is pretty close to a must own with teams not too far over starts/innings limits. May is close, if he is solid vs KC I think he gets real close to Folty as well. Any time!

  35. Peter Nincompoop says:
    (link)

    Thanks for the good stuff you continually put out on both, the basketball and starting pitcher profile, articles you do. Unbelievable stuff. Thanks bro.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Peter Nincompoop: Thanks so much man! Really appreciate ya stoppin by as always! Pumped for hoops this year, draft around the corner

  36. Nightpandas says:
    (link)

    Hey JB

    Would you drop anyone of this group for :

    May, Vinny V, or Nelson (looked good tonight)

    Jepsen (4th closer)
    Aniballs

    15team league, 8×8 cats with K, K/9, QS

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Nightpandas: Aniballs (haha) can def go. Even in a 15 teamer, I’m all out. I think I’d hold Jepsen even with a lean towards starting pitchers with QS a stat. I think I’d grab May for Anibal, with a very close eye on Vinny V’s debut

  37. Yoyo says:
    (link)

    I keep waiting for a huge Bolsinger blow up that hasn’t come. The results are there…after tonight’s performance is he a must own?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Yoyo: Yeah he was good today, but no I don’t think he’s in the must own class. Although I will likely stream him if avail a day or two before at SD. Only team that has seen him twice is COL, and it was by far his worst start, so even the SD one I’m a little hesitant (given the 2nd COL game as at Coors). Still has a lot of lucky peripherals and 2nd or 3rd time teams see him I think he regresses

      • Kevin Khederian says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin: Hey man love the article. Would you drop Alex Guerrero for Mesoraco right now? or wait and see how his stint goes in the minors?

  38. Smitty says:
    (link)

    Trade offer in a 12-team 6×6 (OPS, HLDS) with 28-man roster (incl. CI, MI, 2 Utils): I would get Fielder and Lucroy for Duda Pineda Wacha and still be left with pretty strong pitching (Harvey Arrieta Richards Salazar Rodon Chavez). Fielder replaces Duda at CI and Lucroy would be replacing Hundley at C.

    My lineup is already deep but I wanted to put it into another dimension. Current lineup is:

    C Hundley
    1B Goldy
    2B Altuve
    3B Arenado
    SS Rollins
    MI Wong
    CI Duda
    OF Harper
    OF Puig
    OF JD Martinez
    Util Souza
    Util Ethier/Span

    Nabbing Fielder and Lucroy would make it downright filthy and I feel like my pitching would still be pretty strong with 4 top-25 SPs and upside from the #1 SP prospect. Thoughts?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Smitty: Whoa I’m def taking that! Huge upgrade and you deal two pitchers with 1 – Wacha having that broken shoulder thing that could be scary at some point and 2 – Pineda who is always an injury concern. Nice negotiations if you can swing it!

  39. No craw in my britches. Just a big messy Shart. How is Samardzija hanging in there that high? K’s alone? And Ross right below him. His WHIP has been horrendous. I’m just bitter because I drafted both of them. I’m a new subscriber to the Streamonator 100% because of the Shart. Both so I can track when it MIGHT be safe to start him and to possibly designate his spot on my roster to streaming. I gave up on Ross. He’s still available to stream in my league because his numbers suck so bad nobody is touching him.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Hugman: Hahaha, well Shark is still showing good control, LOB% is high and BABIP is high. That said, Ks down and giving up more flyballs than ever… I dunno I think there’s still some bounceback potential. With Ross, if he just slightly tightens up his control he’s gonna go on a run. BABIP is a huge .353, yet he’s got an elite Keuchel-esque groundball rate. Lots of groundballs+bad BABIP = mad unlucky. If his walk rate wasn’t over 4 I’d have a good bit higher looking at the other indicators

  40. chadaristic says:
    (link)

    How would you rank these Closers for ROS?

    Craig Kimbrel
    Andrew Miller
    David Robertson
    Drew Storen

    Also, should I drop one of the following for Vinny V in a dynasty league? I won my league last year and I am currently a half a game out of first right now, so I don’t want jeopardize my shot at going back to back, but I also want to keep an eye on the future. So, I guess what I am asking is, which pitcher has the best value ROS and in the future as well, if that makes sense.

    AJ Burnett
    Jesse Chavez
    Collin McHugh
    Ubaldo Jimenez
    Alex Wood

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @chadaristic: Ya know, I think you ranked them how I would have them. Still think Kimbrel is elite and he’s turning it around. Whewwww, only guy that is droppable to me is Ubaldo, who has been oddly good. And off 6 walks… I think he can go for VV

  41. Swfcdan says:
    (link)

    My love for Archer is showing no bounds, surely he’s got to be moved above Hamels now. That 3 game run was historic. Hammell (no S!) is the guy no one talks about, probably because they think he must be much worse than Hamels, think he definately needs a boost too. That K/BB is the epitome of sexy, and thats probably the first time Ive ever used the word epitome.

    Anyway enough about rankings, what to do with Yordano right now, looked about to go on a tear, then this clunker? Fantasy baseball can never go perfectly can it! How much more rope you giving in a 10 teamer?

    Oh and May been added in that league before I had a chance, seems some people dont just look at ERA/WHIP after all.

    • Swfcdan says:
      (link)

      @Swfcdan: And dont call me Shirley.

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
        (link)

        @Swfcdan: Hah, thanks for stopping by Shirley! I mean, ummmm…

        Hah, well Archer’s two pitches still worries me just enough not to have him top 10, but of course he’s right there. Hamels has still been really good with upside to get traded for more wins, but they’re indeed neck and neck.

        Hammel I’ve liked all year! Just worried he has a few minor regression signs, and couldn’t bring him higher yet.

        Yordano is so annoying… Traded him away in my dynasty for Brett Gardner and very happy with the move. I think ups and downs might be his career. Only a start or two more where I’d need to see good Ks and command (not too many hard hits/walks)

        Damn these people who look at advanced stats! haha

  42. Kevin Khederian says:
    (link)

    @JB Gilpin: Hey man love the article. Would you drop Alex Guerrero for Mesoraco right now? or wait and see how his stint goes in the minors?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Kevin Khederian: Thanks for stopping by! Hmmmm, if I didn’t have a good catcher, I’d go to Mesoraco. I worry if you’re depending on an outfielder that Meso might sit some here and there just like Guerrero does.

  43. Ryan says:
    (link)

    Thanks as always JB.

    I have a Keeper league trade conundrum:

    My Goldy for Stanton/Salazar (last rd keeper)

    Or

    Goldy for Stanton/degrom (6th rd keeper)

    Or

    Hold

    Thanks!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Ryan: Whewwwwwwwwwwwww. Man that’s tough. Of the two I like Salazar one better. Goldy is just soooooo good, and stanton is just right there… I’m leaning hold, but that’s so hard… haha

      • Ryan says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin: Thanks man… I’m struggling on this one too.

        What if it was Cueto as a 7th round keeper? Any change in tune?

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @Ryan: Hmmmm. Nah, you know he’s winding down with his age I think I like last round for Salazar a little better still, so I don’t think it changes enough for me to take it

  44. Five-On-One says:
    (link)

    My pitching staff is awful. Below are my choices for this week. Please pick three.

    Karns (vCHWS)
    McHugh (vSEA)
    Fiers (vWAS)
    Hutchison (@BOS)
    Kennedy (vLAD)
    2-start Roark (@MIL, @TB)
    2-start A.Sanchez (vMIA, @NYM)
    2-start Tilman (vBOS, vPHI)

    Thanks.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Five-On-One: So you’re locked in rest of week? If so I like 2 start Sanchez, off a no walk game for once. Ya know, I don’t love the 1 start guys, I think I’m actually going all the 2 start guys. Any time!

  45. Amolnar says:
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    JB, solid find. Might need to take a deeper look into Trevor May myself now. The next Arrieta I hope.

    Question for you though. I got offered Strasburg for Andrew Miller. It’s a standard 10 team ROTO auction keeper league. Auction values are average of last 2 years so Miller will be cheap and Stras kinda expensive next year. I am looking to win this year though as I am in 2nd. Anywho, it’s still Stas for a closer in my book and I think I should pull the trigger. Any thoughts on that? Health obviously is a concern for Stras. What do you think about him now?

    My rotation is solid but there are no pitchers on waivers as we have like 20 bench spots and no innings limit so everyone has 13-15 pitchers. I also have Cecil, Tolleson, and Gregerson for closers (possible to start 4 closers per night).

    Any thoughts on that whole mess I just wrote-up?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Amolnar: Thanks man! I dunno if May has Arrieta upside since he doesn’t quite have the p[ower fastball/cutter combo like Arrieta does, but I’m thinking his upside could be like what McHugh did last year.

      Hah, not a mess you wrote up at all! Man that’s close… I think I would try to get more out of the offer. Maybe he has a really low end closer you could sneak back, I just worry Gregerson could be another blowup or two and be out and TOR signs someone and suddenly you have no closers.

      • AMolnar says:
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        @JB Gilpin:

        Damn, not really what I wanted to hear haha. I kinda like Stras but you are right, I might be putting myself in a tight spot as Cecil and Gregerson are quite volatile closers. I could always pick up Ken Giles though as I suspect Papelbon will be dealt soon.

        What are your thoughts on Stras the rest of the year assuming he comes back healthy?

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @AMolnar: Yeah Giles would be a great add if you do it. Ummm, I think he can be close to the near-ace we’ve seen before – peripherals indicate he shoulda been better, so I could see him being maybe 85-90% of last year

  46. hankg says:
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    My current rotation is Cole, Carrasco, Samardzija, Hammel, Wood and E. Rodriguez? I am loaded at closer (Miller, Storen, Holland, Perkins and Papelbon). I would like to move a closer to upgrade my starting rotation. I have tried packaging Samardzija or Hammel with Miller for a top guy like Bumgarner or Price with no luck. I am now setting my sights a bit lower. Would you try dealing Miller for any of the following (all of whom might be available): Lester, Salazar, Zimmermann or Strasburg? Or am I better off staying put for now (all of the closers are generally helping with ratios in addition to building large lead in saves).

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @hankg: Uggghhhhh on Miller news today. I think with that news I might hold, since Papelbon could be moved and cut you down to 3. I like your rotation too! So that helps

  47. Josh says:
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    Remember I was the guy that asked about Chris hestons peripherals compared to Hendricks ? He just pitched a no hitter !

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Ha

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Josh: Hah well I still think he and Hendricks aren’t much different, sure I should move Heston up maybe a tad but yeah…

  48. Josh (Greys #1 Fan) says:
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    Grey.. I’m actually your number one fan too .. Mind blown ?

    -Josh

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Ha, nice!

  49. fork says:
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    Would you trade Trevor Bauer for A.J. Pollock?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @fork: Oh definitely!

  50. DB says:
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    Drop Folty,Aaron sanchez,hendricks, syndegaard

    for Shoemaker, Vincent valasquez,Jimmy nelson,may,morton,peavy

    Or stream one of the top guys?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @DB: Def all in the same class, I think Syndergaard and Folty are holds, long term I’d add Nelson and May over them but all can stream

      • DB says:
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        @JB Gilpin: Like Valsquez over any of those guys?

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @DB: Ehhh not over the 4 I gave ya, nice start and I like him over Morton/Peavy, prob over Shoe too

  51. Helldiver says:
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    It’s a 10 team Al only keeper league but none of those can be kept next year. I have Donaldson at 3b, Reyes at SS, and now Correa up and need to free up the Util spot for him. Those can all be kept so want to trade Machado( who can’t be kept) for a good SP.

    Which would you rather trade Machado for: Tanaka or Carrasco?

    • Helldiver says:
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      @Helldiver: I mistyped the first sentence.
      10 team AL only keeper league. Donaldson, Reyes, and Correa can be kept. Machado, Tanaka, and Carrasco cannot be kept as they are final year keepers.

      So Machado for which one? Tanaka or Carrasco? I like Tanaka’s ratios better, but that injury possibility hanging over his head scares me. Carrasco hasn’t pitched very consistently, but def has a chance to take off like he did in the second half of last season.

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
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        @Helldiver: Gotcha, yeah I think I’d do that deal for Carrasco. Agree the injury issue is just too much to overlook, especially in AL only when your replacement level pitchers are gonna be so bad

  52. Brad K says:
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    After his solid start last night, would you drop Eovaldi for Trevor May?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Brad K: Yup!

  53. Mike says:
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    Are any of these guys upgrades over my current pitchers… Hahn, walker, aaron sanchez, mchugh

    Jesse Chavez, vincent Velasquez, Heston, nelson, hutch, may, shoemaker, hendricks

    Which ones, if walker has a bad outing do I drop him for one of these guys too

  54. Mike says:
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    @Mike: add chi chi to potential upgrades

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Mike: Yeah Chavez would be an add for me, over Sanchez. Nelson or Heston vs. Hahn and Walker are so so close, I think I’d hold your guys for [email protected]Mike: Nah Chi Chi is fairly far down due to low K potential

  55. Riley says:
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    Add Nelson, Heston , or valsquez?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Riley: Hmmm, I’m leaning still Nelson, but all 3 are neck and neck (and neck)

  56. Eric B says:
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    Continued from above lol. So…I picked up Vinny, little wild but not a horrible debut, hopefully he improves and is worth keeping. Odorrizzi ended up on my DL and I let D.Murphy go. Do I hold Carson Smith or add Anibal(looked much better), Drew Hutchinson, or Gausman (who looks to be activated ahead of Moore or Corbin; maybe next week)? I could also add Lindor, Buxton or Olivera to try and boost my O in the 2nd half. Thoughts?

    5×5 HTH OBP
    Bats
    C McCann
    1B Freeman
    2B Kipnis
    3B Santana
    SS A.Ramirez
    OF Stanton
    OF Calhoun
    OF Springer
    OF Betts
    Util Pollock
    Util Semien
    Util Avisail Garcia
    Bench P.Alvarez
    DL Soler

    Staff
    P Kluber
    P Chavez
    P Cole
    P Salazar
    P T. Walker
    SP Ventura
    SP Bauer
    RP Chapman
    RP Britton
    Bench RP Perkins
    Bench RP Melancon
    Bench SP Velasquez
    Bench RP C. Smith
    DL Paxton
    DL Odorizzi

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Eric B: Nice on the moves so far! Starting with the prospects, nah I don’t think any of them do enough this year in a redraft to matter.

      Gausman is going to go pretty far up next week with Miguel Gonzalez getting hurt. I dunno if it’s worth a current closer though. I think I’d hold vs. guys on the wire, but your squad is looking like a 2 RP for someone kinda team, I’d try to turn like Britton+Smith or Perkins+Melancon, something like that, for an upgrade

      • Eric B says:
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        @JB Gilpin: Thanks as always JB. Who do you think has the better stats rest of the season Gausman, Corbin or Moore?

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @Eric B: Ya know, I think I’ll take Gausman. A tad riskier, but he’s my guy. Any time man!

          • Eric B says:
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            @JB Gilpin: Well Corbin and Moore have been snatched up, Gausman is still out there but I read that he may be going to the pen instead…any insight on that? Might just have to hold tight. Although if Ventura’s injury is more serious I’m going to be down another arm.

            • JB Gilpin

              JB Gilpin says:
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              @Eric B: His last rehab start was no beuno… Sounds like Ventura is OK, but yeah maybe I was a tad bullish on Gausman. I’m going to really struggle with him vs. Corbin, but with them close I could see him an add for ya

              • Eric B says:
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                @JB Gilpin: Yeah I missed Corbin and Moore so Gausman would be my only play anyway. But assuming Ventura is ok, I dont have room for Gausman right now without dropping someone so I’ll likely hold tight and wait for Pax and Odorrizzi to return.

                I missed out on adding Buxton, but snagged Lindor in hopes that he might get hot and out perform Alexi and/or Semien at SS. And hopefully Soler comes back and starts to fullfill his pre-season expectations. This is what my team looks like now :
                5×5 HTH OBP
                Bats
                C McCann
                1B Freeman
                2B Kipnis
                3B Santana
                SS A.Ramirez
                OF Stanton
                OF Calhoun
                OF Springer
                OF Betts
                Util Pollock
                Util Semien
                Util Avisail Garcia
                Bench P.Alvarez
                Bench Lindor
                DL Soler

                Staff
                P Kluber
                P Chavez
                P Cole
                P Salazar
                P T. Walker
                SP Ventura
                SP Bauer
                RP Chapman
                RP Britton
                Bench RP Perkins
                Bench RP Melancon
                Bench SP Velasquez
                DL Paxton
                DL Odorizzi

                I struggled with adding Lindoor but my SS production is sporadic. Jace Peterson and Aldreton Simmons were there too, think Lindor was the right add or would you have gone with one of the others?

                • JB Gilpin

                  JB Gilpin says:
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                  @Eric B: Nah I like Lindor for ya, taking the shot on the upside. I really like his swing for singles and he has pretty good discipline, so should be on base enough to get some swipes

  57. AJ says:
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    Hey JB would you trade Buster/Kemp for Jose Reyes/Gattis, already have Lucroy and surplus of OF thanks

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @AJ: Hmmmm… How is your SS situation? I’m leaning I’d do it, but is pretty close, Lucroy def makes me wanna do it more

      • AJ says:
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        @JB Gilpin: I only have Segura/Hanley (have HanRam in OF) but my full MI also includes Kendrick/Dee Gordon – OF i have Stanton/Puig/Hanley/Fowler/Joc and Kemp and Harrison on Bench

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @AJ: Damn loaded team! Yeah Buster is overrated and especially a glut with Lucroy, I would take the deal

          • AJ says:
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            @JB Gilpin: Sweet thanks !!

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