I know I am only talking to the most hardcore of hardcore MLB DFS players today. Why? The NFL kicks things off with their first DFS day of the year and the degens will be hitting the NFL en force. That means that only the strongest and most dedicated MLB DFS players will be playing today. Expect sites to have slightly reduced MLB slates today as everyone turns their eyes to football. So, let’s up our game today and make sure we can take down those sharks. We’re going to need to roll the dice a bit in GPPs and that’s why I’m looking at Frankie Montas ($6,800). Montas has been all over the map lately, but in his defense, three of his last five contests have been against the Astros. I wouldn’t like anyone’s chances with those odds. Today, he gets to face the Texas Rangers and their second to last team OPS. The Rangers and Pirates are in a fight for the bottom and it’s not really close. I love Montas for a bounce back here and I think a lot of people will be avoiding him due to his recent hiccups. Reap those rewards my friends.
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Max Scherzer, SP: $11,000 – Hard pass. Montas is almost half this price. I can see using Scherzer in cash games, but I’m not confident in him lately and the Braves are simply smashing at the moment.
Brad Keller, SP: $8,100 – Remember that race for the bottom I mentioned in the lede? The pirates are winning said race. Keller is at home and has looked pretty decent so far. I’m in.
Charlie Morton, SP: $7,500 – I think Morton could be another nice long shot to fire a GPP bullet with, as he’ll be low-rostered facing the Sawx. Morton is at home and the Rays should hammer Martin Perez, leaving Morton to cruise to a victory.
Renato Nunez, C/1B: $2,900 – Maybe my favorite play of the day, I think Nunez will go overlooked and he’s my BvP play of the day. In 23 plate appearances against J.A. Happ, Nunez has knocked four dingers and is hitting .524. Lock it in and count on many people overlooking him.
Jared Walsh, C/1B: $2,700 – I love Walsh too though, so maybe stick him at UTIL because anyone can hit in Coors. Walsh has been batting among the top of the lineup and having Trout right behind you in the lineup leads to good things.
Jonathan Schoop, 2B: $3,000 – Gio Gonzalez scares no man (or woman) at this point in his career and Schoop has been bopping this year.
Ozzie Albies, 2B: $3,000 – I know, he’s facing Scherzer, but how often are you going to get Albies at this price? I’d say he’s worth a shot if you’re fading Max.
Kris Bryant, 3B: $3,000 – How the mighty have fallen huh? Fortunately, Adrian Houser has fallen as well and been getting knocked around like crazy. I like Bryant to capitalize there.
Matt Thaiss, 3B: $3,000 – We are looking for cheap Coors exposure always, so keep an eyeball on the lineup card for Thaiss. Maddon has been sneaking him in, even at second base sometimes. Rendon is the clear stud at third today, but Thaiss could be a nice, cheaper option.
Francisco Lindor, SS: $3,400 – FanDuel has Pineda priced up and Lindor priced down for some reason. Apparently they are putting a lot of stock in his first two starts. I say, he’s due for a blow up and Lindor should make good on this price.
Adalberto Mondesi, SS: $2,800 – Guys!! It’s working!! We called for Devers to get hot and he did (priced at $3,800 now), we called for Keston Hiura to get hot and he did (now priced at $3,600) and now we’ve been calling for Adalberto and he’s been scorching of late. Get in before he hits the mid three thousands!
Shohei Ohtani, OF: $3,600 – I’ve written up Ohtani in just about every article, you think I’m stopping now that he’s in Coors? Nope.
Matt Kemp, OF: $3,300 – The old man just keeps on hitting.
Kyle Schwarber, OF: $2,900 – I love fitting Schwarber in (and that’s no easy feat!) when he’s got the platoon advantage and, like I mentioned in Bryant’s blurb, Houser has been horrific.
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
We have either clear skies or a roof over our head.
Doing Lines In Vegas
There’s something weird going on with the BOS @ TB line right now because I’m seeing BOS as -185 favorites, the highest of the day. That makes no sense, and I would hammer TB there. That 12.5 over/under in COL is so juicy. Vegas likes OAK @ TEX and CLE @ MIN to be low scoring, meaning good things for Montas (OAK is a -125 favorite right now) and Pineda/McKenzie.
