If you paid attention to Major League Baseball on Monday night, you know that the Tigers beat the Twins 1-0. BORING. The over/under for Monday’s game was set at 10 1/2. I hope at least one reader put a couple of bucks on the under. Tonight will be different. I will put my guarantee down that more than one run will be scored by the Twins and Tigers on Tuesday night. In fact, it will be a completely different game. So, who is going to set the table for a high-scoring affair? Easy. Ian Kinsler! He will set the table for Detroit’s offense, which works out well considering he’s 5-for-10 lifetime against Tommy Milone. Monday night may not have worked out as planned, but I am doubling down and putting all of my money on Kinsler and the Tigers. You should do the same!
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Noah Syndergaard, SP: $11,700 – Syndergaard faces off against Jake Arrieta is what will likely be a low scoring affair. Both of these pitchers have had issues lately; Arrieta with walks and Thor with arm fatigue. It’s worth noting that Syndergaard says he’s past the fatigue and feels like he has a “new arm.” The Cubs strike out a ton and because of that, I prefer Syndergaard’s upside. If you’re worried about injury, use him in GPPs.
Carlos Martinez, SP: $10,200 – Martinez doesn’t have much upside, but he’s a safe play at home against the Padres and his ownership will likely be north of 40 percent in cash games.
Vince Velasquez, SP: $9,700 – There is a lot to like about Velasquez, but I’ll admit, he makes me nervous. He rarely makes it past the sixth inning, but with a 10.6 K/9, his strikeout potential is immense. He’ll face the Marlins at home, a place where he sports a 1.54 ERA over seven starts. Velasquez can be used in cash games and GPP.
Kurt Suzuki, C: $3,000 – Anibal Sanchez is a great pitcher to attack and Suzuki has had some success against him in the past. Suzuki has had a very solid month of July as is worth a shot on Tuesday, especially if you’re looking for salary relief.
Travis d’Arnaud, C: $2,900 – This is a risky play as d’Arnaud will face Jake Arrieta for at least a couple of at-bats, but he is 3-for-5 lifetime against the Cubs’ ace. Yes, BvP in such a small sample size doesn’t matter at all; at the same time, I’m not really digging paying up for a catcher tonight.
Edwin Encarnacion, 1B: $5,000 – I love everything about this matchup and will go as far as to say that E5 is my home run lock on Tuesday night. This guy could finish the season with 130-plus RBIs. He does so much damage at the plate you can call him Guy Fieri.
Victor Martinez, 1B: $3,400 – This is a lot of value for the price. VMart is 5-for-10 lifetime against Twins starter Tommy Milone and I suspect there will be plenty of offense after Monday’s 1-0 affair.
Jonathan Schoop, 2B: $4,400 – Schoop is a favorite of mine and gets a great matchup against a pitcher (Nathan Eovaldi) that has struggled recently. The Orioles second baseman is batting .317 with 12 homers against RHP this year.
Danny Valencia, 3B: $3,800 – This play is almost too good to be true. Valencia pounds lefties and is 7-for-13 (.538) with two home runs lifetime against Dallas Keuchel.
Adrian Beltre, 3B: $2,700 – Beltre’s price has never been lower and he gets an above average matchup against Tim Lincecum. He hit a home run on Monday night, so it’s possible that the tide is turning.
Eduardo Nunez, SS/3B: $4,500 – It would be wise to have some exposure to the Twins on Tuesday considering that Anibal Sanchez can be a forest fire at times. Nunez will lead off for Minnesota and should receive at least five at-bats.
Marcus Semien, SS: $4,100 – It’s home run or bust for Semien, but he’s in a great spot against a mediocre lefty. Half of his 20 home runs are against southpaws this year.
Mike Trout, OF: $5,400 – It’s been nine games since Trout has gone deep–his longest stretch of the season. He gets a superior matchup against Kyle Lohse on Tuesday night. He’s going deep baby!
Randal Grichuk, OF: $4,900 – Grichuk will be low owned due to his price, but he’s been on fire lately and gets a solid matchup at home against RHP Colin Rea.
Khris Davis, OF: $4,000 – I love using Davis in GPPs due to his multi-home run ability. In his career, Davis has been better against lefties and gets an average one in Dallas Keuchel on Tuesday night.
Corey Dickerson, OF: $3,900 – This is an inexpensive way to get some exposure to Coors Field. Dickerson is returning to Colorado for the first time since being traded to Tampa Bay and should feel at home in the thin air.
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
There is a possibility of rain in D.C., but otherwise things are looking clear across the fruited plain.
Doing Lines In Vegas
Vegas expects plenty of runs to be scored on Tuesday night. If you’re looking to stack, take a look at Cincinnati, Toronto, Boston, Detroit, Colorado, and the Angels. If you want something contrarian, try St. Louis or Baltimore.
