My prior, uber, hard-line stance has been that you with that one hair wrapped around your head acting as a hairstyle don’t want to draft a sleeper 1st baseman.  By the by, I tried to replace Uber with Lyft in the previous sentence, but it didn’t make sense.  Previously, I’d tell you to go to my top 20 1st basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball (not clickbait at all) and draft some top guys and stop fooling around with sleepers at this position.  Of course, I’m malleable like Gumby and this year and there are no top 1st basemen *ducks head*  Whoa, someone threw a wrench into this!  As with other positions like the catchers to target (again, not clickbait), these are 1st basemen that are being drafted late.  For the 1st basemen, I’m going with an ADP of 150 or later, so you should have a 1st baseman already, and these are more corner infidels or utility guys, i.e., I love Rhys Hoskins, but he’s not going to appear here.  Dear, steer clear–*short circuiting internal rhyming dictionary*  Anyway, here’s some 1st basemen to target for 2019 fantasy baseball:

Travis Shaw (150 Yahoo ADP)  *looking at Yahoo’s ranking of Shaw, insert GIF of Ron Burgundy saying, “I don’t believe you.”*  I mean, I love Shaw, but, c’mon, he’s not going to be around for pick 150.  I suck my teeth and p-Shaw that.

Max Muncy (164 ESPN) All three of these first, um, 1st basemen are just poorly ranked by ESPN and Yahoo, and I’m not going to spend too much time pecking with my hand gams on them.  To read more:  my Max Muncy sleeper.

Jurickson Profar (172 Yahoo) It’s silly to think he’s around by pick 172.  Draft him.  Dot dot dot.  Way before that.

Luke Voit (182 NFBC, 224 ESPN, 191 Yahoo)  The other day Luke Voit homered in his first Spring Training at-bat.  Then Greg Bird homered.  Then Voit.  Then Bird.  Then 1,200+ other professional baseball players quit baseball to raise cattle and start a family, because Voit and Bird are just too darn good.  Spring Training is stupid.  Every year Greg Bird is Mr. Grapefruit with a huge spring, and has a career 31 homers across three seasons.  With that said (Grey’s going to reverse everything he just said!), there is a battle to be the starting 1st baseman for the Yanks, so it’s worth paying attention.  I like Voit to win the job, hearts, minds and confirm 1,200 baseball players weren’t wrong to quit the sport.  Also, I gave you a Luke Voit sleeper.

Jake Bauers (234 NFBC, 218 ESPN, 185 Yahoo) I look at Bauers’s projected stats (20/15/.250), then I look at Tommy Pham’s projected stats (20/15/.275), and it’s like I’m looking at Millie Bobby Brown and Natalie Portman.  “Okay, one of these would get me arrested for looking at and one of these I’ve replaced my wife’s name with on my iPhone so when she calls it says ‘Natalie Portman,’ but I’ll be damned if I can tell the difference between them real quick.”

Pete Alonso (262 NFBC, 287 ESPN, 278 Yahoo) This is not Peter Alonso!  Don’t you dare confuse the two!  Seriously, Peter Alonso announced in Spring Training that he would go by Pete instead of Peter.  That’s the white man’s version of Kendry going to Kendrys or Mike to Giancarlo.  One day, Peter woke, and said to himself, “I really enjoy Casual Fridays.  Ya know what?  I’m going to make every day Casual Fridays!  For Pete’s sake!”  Then his girlfriend rolled her eyes and thanked God that he was going to be away for the next eight months, playing baseball.  I still don’t know if the Mets are going to make the right choice and go with Alonso as their starting 1st baseman, but it’s feeling 60/40 right now vs. 40/60 when I did my rankings, so I’ve actually moved him up in my top 20 1st basemen rankings.  (By the by, I also changed my top 500, top 100, top 20 catchers and top 20 starters for, in no particular order:  Luis Severino, Miguel Sano, Salvador Perez, and Alonso.

Tyler White (263 NFBC, ESPN 265, 215 Yahoo)  He should change his name too like Alonso.  *taps on microphone*  “Thank you all for gathering today for this press conference.  It means a lot to me.  From this day forward, I will be known as Tyler Honkey.”  *news reporters get up to leave*  “I’m kidding!  Call me Tyler Eggshell White, though.  I’m serious about that.”  Right now, Eggshell has the inside track to 550 at-bats and having huge value.  However, in Houston, that can change abruptly to ‘platooning with three other guys,’ but it’s a solid gamble.  Also, Anime Grey goes over Tyler White in the video:

Niko Goodrum (298 NFBC, 281 ESPN, unranked Yahoo)  This guy would never change his name, Goodrum is already top shelf!  All jokes aside (were they jokes?), I’m shockingly the only one interested in Goodrum this year.  You’d think at least some of you boozehounds would inadvertently get excited.  He has 20-homer power and 20-steal speed.  That help?  He should hit .255 or better?  Nothing still?  How about the fact that the Tigers are terrible and he should get 500+ at-bats?  Still nothing?  How about the fact that I just drafted him?  That makes you dislike him more?  Not cool, man.

  1. The Talent Show says:
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    Grey u crack me up. Thx. First!!

  2. Bas Larsen says:
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    I thought Peter to Pete was the gentile version of Zack to Zach. But what do I know.

    • Fanciful Basesball says:
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      @Bas Larsen: Both Peter to Pete and Zack to Zach sounds like people that “Don’t take kindly to people changing their name to Adalberto around here.”

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      A gentler one too, no hard K

      • CMUTIMMAH says:
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        @Grey:
        Oh crap, I didn’t know you let people use the hard K on this site… yikes.

  3. Ante Galic says:
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    Grey!!!

    Very nice 1st baseman report. Thoroughly enjoyed!

    a. Love all of these guys. Will be looking to land a few, and will look closely at the 1B battle in NYY.

    b. Subdued Norm MacDonald quote of the day for March 6

    1. A tractor-trailer flipped over releasing a million bees, stinging the driver 100 times. Speaking from the heart, the driver said…What? no flowers? [Has to be said with a Jewish accent]

    2. I realized in therapy that I’m not afraid of dying but that I’m afraid of living…just kidding I’m afraid of dying.

    3. Felons would be less inclined to commit crimes if our prison food was worse.

    4. Some people don’t get it but want it while some people don’t want it but get it.

    5. Police in Tennessee arrested a teenaged girl when they found a loaded handgun in her vagina. When questioned her boyfriend said ‘I guess that explains why my cock kept getting blown off.’

    6. A 28 year old med student is auctioning off her virginity online. For 300000$ you can have the worst sex of your life.

    7. I’m not one for geopolitics but how cool is the name Chad as a country! [That one was dedicated to Prospector Mike and his affinity for all trivia Chad.]

    8. If I had a gun to my head and had to pick a Vice-Presidential candidate to have sex with I would choose Sarah Palin…and Spiro Angew.

    9. Ode to the Buttocks Bountiful – Carl Reiner

    In any anthology of poetry carefully bound,
    Poems of love and hate undoubtedly could be found.
    And whenever and wherever one deemed to look or to gaze,
    upward pops Keats with Nightingale and vase.

    But ne’er has there been in verse or rhyme,
    An ode or sonnet to a curvaceous behind.
    To the laws of poets I will not abide,
    But write as I will of the broad backside.

    To me this subject is as quite as dear,
    As love and intrigue was to Will Shakespeare.
    So to hell with convention and the great bard,
    I’ll write as I will of the hienie firm and hard.

    I do not extol of course any blase ass
    But one that belongs to a lovely sweet lass
    A tush that is soft, rigid and white,
    Not one flesh, flabby or slight.

    So to you dear Lois I deed this ordain,
    You are the queen of aforesaid terrain.

    [Dedicated to Lois (unknown surname) from Laramie Wyoming]

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • LennyDykstraIsJustMisunderstood says:
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      @Ante Galic:

      Bryce Harper being used to endorse everything around here now…..

      The in honor of #3 the local tug and pull is offer the offer the special “Country Menage Toi” one girl with three teeth $3. Robert Kraft check it out.

      The are selling toilet paper with harpers image for those that like it high and inside.

      have to give Joe conklin credit for those he just rattled off about 50 of them on the radio they are the only two i can remember..

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Hey, how’d the prom go? Maybe less you know, the better… B. 6. Haha

      • Ante Galic says:
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        @Grey: Grey!!

        a. Thanks for asking! Prom itself, boring and mostly uneventful. The after party and the two nights they spent in my mother-in-law’s apartment one floor below us (Thank God, not directly below us) were two nights of drink, debauchery, smoking and generally doing stuff they aren’t supposed to do. As you say, the less I know the better.

        b. One last funny, my wife and I spent like 4 hours cleaning up after the last night of their stay. After it was done there was still some kind of funky smell so we lit up a incense stick (whatever they’re called) to kill the funk. After it finished, the smell remained. I went searching all over the place we didn’t normally search and found like a big bag of cigarette butts that smelled to high heaven. Once it was removed, everything was restored to normalcy.

        c. By the way, landed EdRod in that move I asked you about from Monday. Dropped Ryu over EdRod. How ’bout them apples?

        d. Have you been to any dog shows of late, like the one you went to last year that you had mentioned in one of the pods?

        Cheers,
        Ante

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          A. Hope you didn’t pass them in the hallway — awkward!

          B. They should vape!

          C. Delicious!

          D. Nah, I only went to that one bc my mom’s dog — my dogbro — was in Westminster

          • Ante Galic says:
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            @Grey: Grey!!

            a. Awkward indeed. They came up to our apartment like once every 10 minutes, of course individually. And of course, who’s the door man? Me. Got a workout in, so there was one benefit.

            b. Vape! Don’t get me started. She took a summer job last summer. She spent every penny she earned in like a record short period of time. They have no sense of what money is or its real value. I guess some or most of us didn’t either at that age. It’s really a disease of her generation.

            c. yummy

            d. Ah, ok. So it’s not something you do like quarterly or even annually? How’s the bromance you refer to? Woof, right? My parent’s dog was my dogbro (well, dogsis to be exact). I knew that she knew that I knew when she wanted to go for a walk or do a number. She appreciated my company.

            Cheers,
            Ante

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              A. Do you like him? B. Hahahaha D. It’s annual, but my dogbro is too old to qualify anymore

  4. Tom says:
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    Going by NFBC ADP’s for my money I’ll take CJ Cron 125 picks after Muncy.

    • Tom says:
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      I’m just not sold on the idea that Muncy is a shoe in as a 30 plus homer guy considering he hit all of 24 homers in 780 PCL at bats.

      • The Great Knoche says:
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        @Tom: I think he is. Im more concerned about playing time.

        • Tom says:
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          Well he’s clearly done it once but given his minor league numbers I think there should be some suspicion whether he can do it again. So I’d rather take a Cron 8 rounds later and see if he can repeat his success.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Okay, on Muncy, but Cron is no shoe-in either

        • Tom says:
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          Agreed

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Cron is going to lose PT to Marwin if Sano ever returns or Tyler Austin needs ABs

  5. Fanciful Basesball says:
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    Dear Grey,

    I do my best not to pay attention to Spring Training results, other than to find out which players get sent packing to the Quad Cities River Bandits in the team’s official Honda Odyssey. The numbers are too ridiculous and end up sinking into my brain for draft day. But, every once-in-erstwhile I accidentally read a snippet.

    (Snell couldn’t make it out of the first inning in an exhibition against the University of South Florida on Tuesday, throwing just 15 of 29 pitches for strikes, Eduardo A. Encina and Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times report. “Blake couldn’t quite find consistency with his delivery for whatever reason,” manager Kevin Cash said. “Looked like he was trying to adjust on the fly and it just wasn’t working. But no concern whatsoever.”)

    This didn’t worry me, at all, until Kevin “The Man in Navy Blue” Cash whispered his devil-ray words into the whole thing.

    Is it time to freak out? It’s time to freak out. I’M FREAKING OUT!

    • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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      @Fanciful Basesball: also, JDM batting 0.000 (7 abs)… abandon ship and trade for brinson!!!!!

      That snell news isn’t great, but I wouldn’t be surprised if he used that start to play around with new pitches / things he struggles with etc.

    • Cram It says:
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      @Fanciful Basesball: It sounds like you are NOT doing your best to ignore ST results.

      • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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        @Cram It: haha I still read rotoworld updates + lol at the non-injury performance based ones.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Haha, it’s nothing… You gots to chillax

  6. peacecoast says:
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    With Sano out does Willians make the team?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I think so, I just drafted him

  7. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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    Great piece! Would you rather keep a $4 Muncy or $21 Rhys in keep forever weekly roto? Is it close?

    Thanks!

  8. Wally Pipp says:
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    Todd frazier is 33 going on 60. Hes going to be a cheerleader or a team mascot more than he will be a player this year. Plus lowrie hurt also. Id expect Petey to be in the lineup most often.

  9. Charlie says:
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    Grey,

    Thank you so much for all that you do!!! Fantasy baseball wouldn’t be the same without you.

    I’m in a 6×5, h2h, 10 team, ops league. Our keepers are tied to our draft picks. I had all my picks ready to go and just waiting for the draft until someone offered me their Xander for a swap of late round draft picks. The draft picks don’t matter since it’s at the end of the draft, but would you accept and keep Xander at round 4 value and throw back one of my other keepers below? Or would you stand pat and just roll with these 7?

    Trout (round 1)
    Yelich (round 2)
    Goldschmidt (round 5)
    Scherzer (round 6)
    Ozzie Albies (round 12)
    Arenado (round 13)
    Acuna (round 24)

    If I stand pat options for me to draft at SS who I’m targeting are Mondesi and Peraza.

    • Donkey Teeth

      Donkey Teeth says:
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      @Charlie: Stand pat, you’re loaded…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Thanks! Stand pat

  10. Cliffyw says:
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    Need to choose keepers today. 12 team mixed. Can keep 4 players forever with no cost associated with them.

    Choices are:
    Altuve
    Correa
    Rendon
    Verlander
    Eugenio Suarez
    Carlos Carrasco

    Am leaning to the first four but not sure if using a spot on a 36 year old pitcher is the best idea.

    • Donkey Teeth

      Donkey Teeth says:
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      @Cliffyw: I’m with you, first four.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Altuve
      Correa
      Rendon
      Verlander

  11. MRBASEBALL says:
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    DYNASTY LEAGUE

    Yusei Kikuchi + L. McCullers Jr.  FOR  K. Maeda  + M. Barnes

    I have a spot an NA spot for Jr but clould use it down the road for someone else – I think Yusei has the job and Maeda is little risky to keep job Will barnes close

    which side ?????????????????????????

    thank you your the expect

    • Donkey Teeth

      Donkey Teeth says:
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      @MRBASEBALL: Kikuchi for me. Love The Kooch.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      As in I’d want Kikuchi

  12. mcmi11ions says:
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    Good morning Grey! I wanted to share with you my pitching staff heading into this season. 12 team, H2H, mixed. 10 keepers. I was going in with Marquez as my only starter. Aside from him, my entire staff is round 11 or later. The rest of my staff:

    Happ, Lucchesi, Bieber, Kikuchi, Matz, Gibson

    I’m ready to dominate.

    Thank you for the advice all offseason. I renewed my subscription too! You and Rudy and the team are a big reason for success and confidence in my leagues.

    • thx for renewing! a lot of those SPs (other than Marquez) are on my staffs so far. loving the round 9-15 SP values this year

      • mcmi11ions says:
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        @Rudy Gamble: The only guy I missed out on was Glasnow but i can’t complain with the results.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Nice! Thanks! I like the staff, exactly as it should be

      • frankgrimes says:
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        @Rudy Gamble:
        That dbag Flowers was hammering you a bit last night.
        Next time ask him what pert leagues has he ever won.

        @Grey: .

          • frankgrimes says:
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            @Grey:

            Ray Flowers.
            Rudy is back to back champ and he questioning his strategy haha

      • mcmi11ions says:
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        @Grey: awesome. I was looking to pick up Jansen as my C, but someone took him 2 rounds before I was ready to get him, then Alfaro went 3 picks later! Ended up with Beef *copyright Grey. That was round…19? Sure. I’ll take that value.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Meh, it’s fine, just catchers

  13. Karl Christopherson says:
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    Grey,

    Honestly I like Tyler White the best out of this group for value. Truth be told, (because this is after all a sharing group, nobody judges another as crazy, they just blink hard and move on) I am fascinated by the story of young Tyler White being raised in the woods by his surrogate father Evan Gattis. Together they chopped down trees, wrestled bears, groomed each others’ beards… until one day (in October 2018) when Papa Gattis realized his time of playing the stickball was over, knees long past expiration date, and moonshots were falling short of the fence; he gave Babe Tyler his blue ox and a healthy headbutt that left Tyler dazed so that all he could see was Papa Gattis’ hairy butt scampering into the woods, long out of reach of Tyler’s sobs. And the moon cried shooting stars upon Babe Tyler’s heartache into and out of his offseason hibernation.

    When Babe Tyler awoke in the Spring, he was refreshed and with newfound purpose. Not as tall, as barrel-chested, as hirsute as Papa Gattis, nonetheless he was ready to assume the mantle of bearded misplaced lumberjack. “Are you sure you’re here to play baseball?” – asked the Astros security guard. “Yes, just tell my blue ox to wait over there for me.”

    And thus began the story of the next pudgy, streaky-hitting, free-swinging first baseman / DH. Fan favorites, local pizza commercial stars, idols to uncoordinated children……these men thrive for short careers! All hail Babe Tyler!!!

    Pick 210+, yea I’ll take him there.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Haha, awesome, Papa Gattis and his hairy butt scampering!

  14. Skip Mcgillicuddy says:
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    Was offered Taillon and 2 picks in my upcoming draft (12 Keepers/12 Team points league) for Severino. Do i get rid of Sevy before this gets any worse?

    • Skip Mcgillicuddy says:
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      @Skip Mcgillicuddy: Syndergaard, Flaherty, Buehler are my other keeper arms

      • AL KOHOLIC says:
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        @Skip Mcgillicuddy: yes i would,at worst u have Talion and two picks,thier numbers arent predicted to be that far apart to start with,and if he has any setback at all,you win hands down

        • Skip Mcgillicuddy says:
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          @AL KOHOLIC: Yea if sevy misses significant time over the year i could break even with this trade. Thanks man

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I wouldn’t not want Severino

      • Skip Mcgillicuddy says:
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        @Grey: So what would you do in my situation Grey?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          @Skip Mcgillicuddy: Whoa, I sound like I haven’t had my coffee yet… “I wouldn’t not want Severino” What does that mean, pre-coffee Grey?

          Agree with others, I don’t want Severino… I’d take Taillon

          • Skip Mcgillicuddy says:
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            @Grey: lmao thanks Dude, gotta get the caffiene fix, i feel you

  15. Bobby says:
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    I know spring training stats are meaningless, but given how dominant Flaherty has been, would you consider keeping him over Snell or Mondesi?

    • Bobby says:
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      What about my question? Would you keep Flaherty over Snell or Mondesi?

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        @Bobby: I wouldn’t consider Flaherty over those other two

  16. MattTruss

    MattTruss says:
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    Some RCL Updates for those interested:

    -We have 8 spots available across two drafts on Friday night, draft early, draft often
    -There are drafts all day Saturday from 10 AM ET through to 8 PM ET, draft in all three leagues!
    -For you high rollers and/or lovers of stiff competition, our $100 RCLs (Cougs R Us & Night of the Living Zombinos) each need 3 more members. These are high LCI leagues with a good shot of the winner contending for the overall title.
    -I run a $25 RCL, DFSers Anonymous, where I’m looking for three more as well. DFS experience encouraged, but not required.

    Leave me a comment here or email me ([email protected]) if interested in any of these leagues. Go here to sign up for the others:

    https://razzball.com/2019-razzball-commenter-leagues-pitching-strategy/

    • AL KOHOLIC says:
      (link)

      @MattTruss: im heading on a 8 day cruise friday but next year i plan on getting in on one of these,even though you guys are monsters at daily moves and streaming

    • frankgrimes says:
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      @MattTruss:
      this damn rain is killing my golf game.
      I could be down to help fill out some this weekend.

    • Evil Knebel says:
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      @MattTruss: Think it’s time I eventually take the plunge in to one of these things and embarrass myself. Sometime over the next week or two I’ll have to enter.

    • Andrew says:
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      @MattTruss: I agree with Matt. Come join the 10pm draft this Friday night!

  17. packers2018 says:
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    In a 12 team redraft, with 2 guys at each position and 5 outfielders, 10 pitchers, 4 reserves including DL spots. Here is my team. Oh OPS and net wins. So 6×5.

    Alfaro
    B. McCann
    Hoskins
    Hosmer
    Shaw
    Fletcher
    Segura
    Peraza
    Rendon
    Happ
    Betts
    Rosario
    Renfroe
    Laureano
    Mullins
    Bauer
    Marquez
    Clevinger
    Glasnow
    Joey
    Heany
    EdRod
    C. Anderson
    Clerec
    Box
    Parker
    Givens
    Efflin
    Y. Sanchez 3b/hopefully 2b

    It’s a razzball type team but predicted for 9th place. I was wondering about Voit over someone? One guy held off on pitchers till the 11th round and another only took one SP thru 9 rounds. I couldn’t help myself grabbing the pitchers.

    • Donkey Teeth

      Donkey Teeth says:
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      @packers2018: Voit needs to be owned. I’d cut any of Fletcher, Yolmer or Eflin for him.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Voit over Yolmer, if you don’t need him

  18. big league choo says:
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    RCLs are back

    C TBD
    1B Gallo
    2B Shaw
    3B Lamb
    SS Adalberto
    MI Segura
    CI Voit
    OF Acuna
    OF Giancarlo
    OF Soto
    OF Puig
    OF Eloy
    Util Ohtani
    BN Alonso, Polanco SOuza

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Nice! Love the outfield… Very sexy… Your team looks low on AVG and SBs tho

  19. Marti says:
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    10 team nl only auction roto keeper league. Which side of trade do you like

    Nola 21 jturner 21 for t shaw 24 z wheeler 6

    • Donkey Teeth

      Donkey Teeth says:
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      @Marti: It’s fair. Nola is the best player, Wheeler is the best value. Kind of depends what you can do with that extra money in your budget. Slight lean to Nola side for me, but could be convinced either way….

  20. Chris says:
    (link)

    Grey, I need your help sir.
    In a yahoo 20 team dynasty, keep anyone forever with no values, now 10 N/A slots. I had won my league 2 years running but lost last year by 1 run, or 2 bases or 1 save. I need your advice on changes I should make this year. I already traded for Bregman but overpaid. Advice?
    Hitters
    Lucroy
    Rizzo
    Altuve
    Bregman
    Profar (SS)
    Kyle Seager (CI)
    Kingery (MI)
    Betts
    Yelich
    Acuna
    Franmil Reyes
    Joc Pederson
    Franco(Bench players)
    Addison Russell
    JP Crawford
    Kristian Robinson (NA players)
    Bubba Thompson
    Jordyln Adams
    Brandon Marsh

    Pitchers
    Sale
    Nola
    Ottavino
    Ryan Pressly
    Jimmy Nelson
    Davies
    Poncedeleon
    Salazar
    Dustin May (NA players)
    Keuchel

    I will be adding a few starting pitchers/and some relief pitchers. Any thoughts?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Looks like a decent hitting team, obviously you need MI and CI help, but maybe a bench player can help there… Your pitching looks very short on arms, you might have only two SPs

      • Chris says:
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        @Grey:
        I am 7 players short on bench. Do you have any recommendations on pitchers in the 320+ range? I am thinking will Harris, Chris devinski, wade Miley, David Paulino, Merrill kelly, eikhoff, Caleb Smith…. any others you would recommend.
        FYI, I use your rankings/pitcher assessments/prospects and have specifically built this team with your input. I really appreciate.
        Especially the yahoo/greys ranking differences posts are especially helpful. Alright enough metaphorically tickling your pickle….

        Any help is appreciated.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Those guys don’t jump out at me as having to be owned, unless a Holds league… I mean, they’re ok… Not sure who else is available tho

          • Chris says:
            (link)

            @Grey:
            It is absolutely a holds league. That’s why I punt saves until the playoffs and pickup holds.
            Who would you recommend I trade for a pitcher? Starting pitcher I’m assuming.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Oh, then grab Harris

              • Chris says:
                (link)

                @Grey:
                Will do.
                Last question, I got offered Bellinger for rizzo and keuchel. Thoughts?

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  It’s a coin flip… I don’t want Keuchel, but Rizzo and Cody are same diff, depends on league, slight edge for Cody in keeper

  21. chris says:
    (link)

    Hello Grey,

    Would you target as a late pick Miguel Cabrera considering he will move to full time DH and can, in theory, less likely to get injured?

    thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Is someone running for him to first on a single? Was playing 1B a big reason he got hurt in years past?

  22. First year doing rcl, got 2 teams when the drafts overlap. Need to drop one. So it can fill. Does some one know how on fantrax thanks Peter league # 53

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Go to Options then Quit League

  23. TC says:
    (link)

    Sorry to post this on your 1b article, but I’ve reached the point in my slow draft where I want to take a pitching prospect in my keep forever league. All the top names are available except Whitley and Luzardo. I trust your pitching knowledge more than any other site I’ve read, so which young prospect would you hitch your wagon to in hopes of being a stud #1 guy? Maybe a 1st, 2nd, 3rd list for future picks too!
    Thanks!

  24. Fungazi 2.0 says:
    (link)

    Grey, how do you approach shallow leagues with large benches and unlimited moves? I joined a 10 team keeper, and there are 28 positions, 9 of those are bench. I was trolling last year’s final rosters and teams were generally holding 7 bats when there are only 10 starting batter positions. I was getting ready to draft a bench full of SP and closer lotteries and now I’m shook.

    • Fungazi 2.0 says:
      (link)

      @Fungazi 2.0: Typo – they are holding 17 bats for 10 positions (7 bench for bats).

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      You need to have some bench bats, but drafting them is not necessarily warranted… You can just pick up bench bats in-season… With a 9 person bench, I’d likely go big upside on bench to see if people break camp with a job, like Dominic Smith, Alonso, etc

      • Fungazi 2.0 says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Yes, definitely need big upside, this teams keepers are ugly. I don’t want a single grey pube touching my bench after the draft. Thanks!

  25. clemsoncrushers says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey, great article. Just finished a draft 12 team 6×6 OBP & SLG instead of average
    C- Empty (put WW after Cesoedes goes on DL)
    1B- Freeman
    2B- Albies
    3B- Baez
    SS- Villar
    OF- Acuna, Soto, Dahl, D Santana
    UTL- Muncy, Shaw,
    P- Flaherty, Luccehesi, Wheeler, Marquez, Bieber, Archer, Urias
    RP: Treinen, Iglesias
    Minor- Wander Franco, Kiriloff, Honeywell Luzardo, Mize & MAC Gore
    Bench: peacock, Laureno, cespedes, Wendle

    Am I good enough of pitching and suggestion of who to target if not. I feel like I have enough on speed if I plug in Laureno.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Looks like a pitching staff I’d draft myself… You look like you have enough speed — you have Baez, Villar, Albies, FReeman, Acuna, Domingo, Dahl and Laureano… Plenty of speed

  26. Wass says:
    (link)

    Mocked in yahoo a couple of days ago, Shaw went 142 cause I wanted to see how far he would fall… what a deal.

    Does Fantrax have an official app or does everything have to be done on via internet/desktop? I looked on the App Store and it wasn’t there but wanted to double check.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        Thanks, Donkey!

      • Wass says:
        (link)

        @Donkey Teeth: Thanks DT. That’s what i found but was hoping for something like Yahoo/Espn, oh well.

        • Donkey Teeth

          Donkey Teeth says:
          (link)

          @Wass: Agreed but it’s better than nothing…

          • Wass says:
            (link)

            @Donkey Teeth: Definitely true, so can’t complain! Maybe they’ll create an app in the future…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yeah, it’s all about how long one can wait for him… Love him, and he’s going way too late… I think you have to used internet browser on phone, not sure tho… Truss might know

      • Wass says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Yeah… i wont be waiting that long in a real draft but that is such amazing value. I will probably own him in every league thanks to your analysis. Thanks! I will just use that then.

  27. abmsports23 says:
    (link)

    This post comes at a perfect time for me. I have to make my dynasty keeper decisions today and I’m stuck with one big decision.

    Do I keep Goldschmidt for $56? And before you tell me to look at Rudy’s $ values, I have and they say don’t do it. But I’m leaning towards keeping him and want to know what you think. I’ll provide additional clarity now.

    It is a 14-team H2H points league with unlimited keepers and a $300 salary cap. Each year you keep a player their salary escalates $5. Rosters are 27 players (20 active, 7 bench). Needless to say, every player you listed above as a late target is already owned and will most likely be kept for the $5 minimum.

    This is my year to go all the way. I am stacked with Top 20 hitters on good contracts. I’m currently planning to keep the following players:

    Max Scherzer $39, Kyle Hendricks $15, Kenley Jansen $15, Jose Berrios $10, Alex Wood $10, Kenta Maeda $5, Jack Flaherty $5, Brent Honeywell $5, Tyler Glasnow $5, Wade LeBlanc $5

    J.D. Martinez $22, Javier Baez $15, Francisco Lindor $15, Aaron Judge $15, Tim Anderson $10, Rafael Devers $10, Mitch Haniger $10, David Peralta $6, Chris Taylor $5, Stephen Piscotty $5

    This would leave me with $73 in cap space to use during the auction, but my roster would have no 1b and I would need to fill 7 spots. For context, during last years draft the top available players were Miggy (drafted for $44), Encarnacion ($38), Ohtani ($55), Kyle Seager ($31), Cole ($47), David Price ($41), Cueto ($30).

    Knowing Goldschmidt would most likely be the best player available in the draft, he would probably go for $60-70+ (Trout is a keeper for $61 and Kershaw was kept at $70 last season -probably wont be kept again).

    If I keep him for $56, it gives me one of the best 1b in the game, but I go into the draft with $17 to fill 6 spots (a catcher, a bench bat, and some cheap SP/RPs).

    Would I be crazy to keep him? Sorry for the rant, just can’t make up my mind. Thanks in advance for all your wisdom!

    • Donkey Teeth

      Donkey Teeth says:
      (link)

      @abmsports23: Sounds like you should probably keep him…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yes, keep him, figure out your catcher, bench with the remaining $

  28. These are my favorite posts of yours (beside rankings) but I have a draft on Saturday and it doesn’t look like you’ll get through all the positions by then.

    Is there any chance I am wrong….ha. I appreciate the content and customer service!

    Evan

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haha, you’re not wrong

  29. Scott says:
    (link)

    Would you rather take a shot on pineda or Merrill Kelly as a last round pick? Probably first guy I cut, but we are 400 picks into the draft. Thx

  30. Big Mike says:
    (link)

    Boss,

    Sorry for my absence this spring. I know you miss my witless comments. I’ve been – umm – busy.

    Short notice, but I need advice on my last keeper slot (we keep 8 up to three times). League is 7×6 with obp, slg and holds.

    Contenders: Donaldson, Doolittle, Ohtani, Myers, or bonus pick at the end of Round 1. Donaldson and Myers have been kept twice already and I don’t want to keep them anyway. Doolittle is safe (I don’t have another closer kept), but meh. I’d probably pick him up again in the bonus round anyway. Ohtani is a wildcard. Not worth the keep yet, but hasn’t been kept, and I can scoop up his pitcher side on the last day of the season. So, Ohtani, or roll the dice on the bonus pick?

      • Big Mike says:
        (link)

        @Grey: My man. Thanks!

  31. JM says:
    (link)

    12-team 15-player keeper/dynasty (I’m not entirely clear on the distinction) league. Our keepers are due this weekend.

    I find myself wanting to make space for Julio Urias, watching him throw in spring training. Would it be insane to keep him over Muncy? Odor?

    My other keepers are:
    Yelich, Soto, Dahl
    Hoskins, Murphy, Peraza, Rendon
    Corrasco, Nola, Berrios, Hendricks, Pivetta, Hader

    The sense I get from talking to other managers is that people are clutching their pitchers tightly and available pitching is likely to be thin in the draft….

      • JM says:
        (link)

        @Grey: hahahaha ok thank you for setting me straight. That made me do a real lol…

  32. Dave D says:
    (link)

    Ok, well I see you grabbed Castellanos at 81. Nice pick. I guess he’s not falling to me with my next at 104. I diverted a bit from my norm and grabbed BOTH Marquez and Berrios with 74 and 77. That totally had to do with other guys I wanted being gone already and being wary of losing out on SPs later as I’m ina weird draft position. I go 104/107/134/137/164/167. There are a lot of arms I like in the 150-170 range but most of them are your sleepers so they will probably get scooped up before they snake back to me so… Berrios/Marquez it is!

    As far as 1B’s, looks like you’re hoping to a return to form on Abreu. Ill hope for your sake his testacles were adequately preserved after last years late season scare.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Dave D: I’ve drafted Abreu in 2 leagues now, and I have to say in March is the only time I ever like Abreu… Always end up drafting him… I liked the German/Berrios picks… I was actually planning on taking German if he fell to me in the 6th round even tho I have Walker…. Castellanos was kinda boring, but whatever, he usually is a solid floor

      • Dave D says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Yeah, thanks. I hope I don’t regret not picking Olson, Conforto, Castellanos, Aguilar there instead but for every pick you do make, there’s a few that you lose out on. We’ll see what’s there when it snakes back our way. All those guys off the board already except Aguilar who wont make it back either.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Yeah, I’ll take Aguilar if he’s still there, but he won’t make it to me either

  33. OaktownSteve says:
    (link)

    Thought you’d go Conforto. Why didn’t you listen to yourself????

    • frankgrimes says:
      (link)

      @OaktownSteve:
      How’s your team shaping up Oak?
      I grabbed Chapman and have buyers remorse already

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        I just took Castellanos and Abreu

          • frankgrimes says:
            (link)

            @Grey:
            Pro tip don’t make your first draft of year a slow draft.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Wow, I was saying to Rudy yesterday I think it’s the best way to start… Gives you a lay of the land w/out worrying about the clock

      • OaktownSteve says:
        (link)

        @frankgrimes:

        We’re pretty happy so far. Started with four bats which gave Magoo the agita. Harper, Benny, Bellinger, Segura. All those guys pretty balanced players, all with reasonable floor and some upside.

        Caught Flaherty and Wheeler in 5-6. Flaherty I was kind of down on, but I’m always willing to be wrong. I’ll take the risk there that he can be the low end 1 people think he can be. Maybe it was a recency bias, but he looked nasty yesterday. We both love Wheeler.

        Now we can sit around for the next 12 hours and watch people draft closers

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          You were saying you didn’t like Flaherty!

          • OaktownSteve says:
            (link)

            @Grey:

            I was and so was magoo to a lesser extent. I feel like it was more pumping the breaks than being down on him, but I now choose to embrace the counter narrative where he’s a pasty Bob Gibson. Anyway you like him and as you know I slavishly follow your advice.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Please! I think you get caught up in spring training narratives and Flaherty was pumping ye olde Ks yesterday!

              • OaktownSteve says:
                (link)

                @Grey:

                I am much more prepared to be wrong these days. In this case it was convenient to be wrong as good Flaherty makes a good fit on that team. Also did you see the slider Anon Philly scrub whiffed on yesterday???

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  Haha, I know, he looked incredible, trying not to overrate his ST results, but I did love him two months ago too, so there’s that…

              • Big Magoo

                Big Magoo says:
                (link)

                @Grey: “Pumping ye olde Ks”

                Makes him sound like the star of a medieval pick up game. He would’ve crushed it in any era!

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  Three up, and three gouts

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Oak! Yeah, I know, such a bore with Castellanos… I was between him and Conforto, not 100% sure why I didn’t go Conforto, figured I could use a little AVG more than power… I really should’ve taken some SBs, but there were none there to take, and I don’t see myself owning Mallex

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @OaktownSteve: Wheeler was on my list of possible grabs too… Then I looked at his 2nd half, his BABIP was goofy and his Ks and walks weren’t that much better for the resulting ERA

      • OaktownSteve says:
        (link)

        @Grey:

        We thought you might grab Wheeler. For me with him was pretty much just watching the tape. Very reminiscent of deGrom in a way with the four pitch mix, the way he was commanding the fastball. His BB rate went down to 1.80 in the second half. The fastball velocity was the highest of his career at nearly 96. All his pitches graded out above average. Even if you want to take the babip out of it and use the 3.47 xFIP that’s still a nice floor and I think there’s upside from there given health.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          I thought I might too, but I just couldn’t get behind that price, already having Walker and his 2nd half BABIP and K/9… I do like him tho

  34. Gigorilla says:
    (link)

    Hi Grey– reporting in from the field. My 3rd NFBC Razz draft, now in round 8 –BTW will miss looking up in standings to see you, like last 2 years — NOT.

    Through 7 rounds, 39 pitchers taken, 11 are closers. Wow. Includes 10 SP in first two rounds.

    Is this a trend this year, or just what?

    Blowin’ up Dope Ass Rapper.

    Thanks as always.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Gigorilla: Haha, I miss you too! People love the 1st ten to 12 pitchers, then their love evaporates… Just go heavy on the Bieber section of the pitching draft…

      • Gigorilla says:
        (link)

        My first 2 SP –
        German M round 6
        D Price round 7
        Some of actually listen.

        Yes 9-15 has good arms as my new Razz executive nemesis Rudy mentioned.

  35. Smell The Glove says:
    (link)

    12 team H2H 5×5 keeper league. Have several 1st rounders but can only keep 1 of those. Which 4 of these would you keep at their respective round value:

    Arenado (1)
    Goldschmidt (1)
    Judge (1)
    Sale (1)
    Correa (1)
    Nola (5)
    Gleyber (8)
    T. Bauer (10)
    E. Rosario (12)
    J. Aguilar (13)
    Andujar (13)
    Simmons (13)
    Snell (15)
    A. Hicks (19)

    • frankgrimes says:
      (link)

      @Smell The Glove:

      Torenado
      Snell
      Andujar
      Bauer tho Rosario is tempting

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Agree with Grimey

  36. Worm Burner says:
    (link)

    Even though my pitching is weak, I can’t pass up getting Giancarlo for Paxton and K. Jansen right?

    It’s a redraft league.

    Thanks G

  37. Harley Earl says:
    (link)

    Grey,

    Maybe this suggestion might belong in a “sleeper” category, but I’m curious why you didn’t include Ryan O’Hearn in this piece. Dude has some serious pop, playing time doesn’t seem to be an issue either. Yeah, he’s in the wasteland known as Kansas City. But I think there is some serious value/upside here for a very LOW price.

    Am I off my rocker?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      He’s going around pick 400, bit late for this series, but he’s fine at his price

  38. crimedog says:
    (link)

    Probably late to the party on this but I’m loving the new ad free feature. I can zip around the site so much faster. Way more clicks for you guys.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yeah, ad free really is worth it — it’s goofy fast with it

  39. Green monstahh says:
    (link)

    Howdy Master Grey! Love your work been reading your columns for a few years now- good stuff! I’m pumped for the season!!

    We are drafting st Patty’s day March 17, H2H pts/ weekly. However we can keep any two players . Keeper set up is rounds 1 & 2 dedicated to keepers then snake starts round 3.

    I have a tough decision who to keep: my options are, Bryce Harper , Ronald Acuna, Juan Soto, Andrew Benintendi, Yelich, Vlad Guerrero jr, Carlos Correa , Alex bregman

    I was thinking maybe Harper + Vlad Guerrero or Harper + Acuna. However I’m a huge Sox fan now I want benintendi on my team do I keep Benny + Harper or Benny + vlad? Or Benny + Acuna ?

    Is vlad the realest deal? If I don’t keep him / someone drafts him before me will that come back to haunt me? I saw vlad last May in NH when he was with Double A fisher cats- he’s a beast!

    I have been keeping Harper for the past few years now just not sure if you’re worried about him in philly or not really enough to not justify not keeping him?

    Thanks man! FYI these keepers are year to year we aren’t locked in forever, sure I could keep the same players next year and so on but I don’t have to. I’ll look forward to reading your daily notes this summer!

    Fun Q: which city should have an expansion mlb team & what should the name be?
    Here are my ideas:

    Portland, Oregon can be called either Oregon Salmon or Portland Salmon. Salmon is the state fish.
    Portland Lumberjack? Oregon Orcas? Portland Orcas?

    Next what about Nashville, TN?
    With Nashville Stars? Nashville Cracker Jacks? Tennessee Fiddlers? Nashville Outlaws?

    Next city Las Vegas , thinking since the nfl got a team going in Vegas why not mlb?
    Names: Las Vegas Venom, Vegas ,Las Vegas Dust Devils? Las Vegas Buzzards? Las Vegas Wolf Pack?

    Last two are the same state of North Carolina. However I’ll just group them into North Carolina:

    Carolina catawbas (the Catawba Native American tribe used to live around Charlotte). Raleigh Renegades, Carolina Coastal, Carolina Screamin Gulls

    Thanks man ! I

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      So 2 keepers? Harper/Acuna — no doubt

      Vegas will get a team, but it will need to be indoor, and if one more team, then they need two to balance, so Oregon too? Oregon Artisanal Honey and Vegas Pai Gows

  40. Maverick says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey…sorry to go through you but not sure how to reach malemoney to ask when his “Points League Spreedsheet” is expected out? My draft is a week away and I LOVE his research…Am in mini – panic and would rather not look elsewhere cuz he da Points Spressdsheet man lol!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I will ask him

      • Maverick says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Much Appreciated Grey!!!

  41. snarky anklebiter says:
    (link)

    I think Grey and Rudy have officially become an old married couple.

    Draft pairings Grey: Pair Trout with anyone except a pitcher or outfielder.

    Toutwars Rudy: Takes Trout, then a pitcher and outfielder at the next turn. Then a catcher at the next turn to really consummate things.

    I need some popcorn for this storyline.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haha, we will never agree on catcher and that dirty Sanchez!

  42. Big Nate says:
    (link)

    Keeper conundrum for you Grey…I need to keep 4 here in a 5×5 Roto…

    Ron Acuna – Round 5
    JD Martinez – Round 4
    Jean Segura – Round 16
    Severino – Round 10
    Buehler – Round 11
    T Bauer – Round 7
    Bumgarner – Round 6
    Willie Calhoun – Round 20

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Ron Acuna – Round 5
      JD Martinez – Round 4
      Jean Segura – Round 16
      Walker

  43. Big Magoo

    Big Magoo says:
    (link)

    I got Wheeler fever! Seriously might own him in every league this year.

    Thought you’d go with Robles in the 5th. Think Abreu would’ve come back around to you in the 6th. Do you like the Abreu/Castellanos pairing better?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      No, I don’t… I was hoping Robles made it back to me… He was the guy I wanted in the 6th… I should’ve flipped the two, you’re right… I was looking at Wheeler for my pick, and I don’t know, his 2nd half was not amazing on peripherals…

      • Big Magoo

        Big Magoo says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Wheeler had a sub-2 BB/9, 6th highest FBv, almost a strikeout per inning, 12th highest soft% in the 2nd half. Threw four above average pitches. Not to mention the HR suppression. Love him.

        I’ve always liked Abreu, but a 15/30 skillset is pretty rare these days. That might be in the Robles wheelhouse.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Yeah, I like Wheeler too, but when I saw the BABIP and K/9 being under 9 I couldn’t pull the trigger… Same on Robles, I just couldn’t pull it… I love him too, a regret already…

          • frankgrimes says:
            (link)

            @Grey:
            I took Villar over Robles
            Change my mind

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              I won’t, bc when I see Robles and I think about him possibly hitting 8th and Nats platooning him randomly… Well, it’s a toss up and I can’t argue it

            • hot corner says:
              (link)

              @frankgrimes: Too bad we can’t trade. I took Robles in the 6th solely because you had already taken Villar. Villar was higher in my queue, but that was mostly position-based.

          • Dave D says:
            (link)

            @Grey: The last time Wheeler threw 180IP before 2018 was 2016, which he followed up with 86IP in 2017, and he’s a Met. If he repeats he’s a solid value but the injury risk just seems too high for his ADP. I’d want a discount given his significant injury history. He seems like a Ryu or Hill more realistically to me but who knows…

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Not that worried about injury (maybe incorrectly, since he can’t stay healthy and Mets), but more worried about him being drafted too high

              • Grey

                Grey says:
                (link)

                And overestimating who he can be over course of a season

                • Dave D says:
                  (link)

                  @Grey: Well only the one season out the last four has been good enough to warrant his current ADP. The question is wheter it was a breakthrough or flaming before the inevitable breakdown. We both agree price is too with slightly different reasoning.

                  • Grey

                    Grey says:
                    (link)

                    Yeah, totally

  44. erad says:
    (link)

    I also love this adfree feature, and happy to support whatever you and Rudy do in your free time.

    But now I’ll never know what octuplets look like all grown up, so it’s a bit of wash.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      It’s a trADeoff

  45. A Blind Melon says:
    (link)

    Howdy Razz!

    Last 2 spots in a Roto keep 8 (no penalties) forever . . .

    Ozuna
    Haniger
    Aguilar
    Muncy
    Ohtani (Bat)
    Clevinger
    Ray

    We’re set with our top 6: Mookie, Trea, Acuna, Vlad, Bryant, Bauer and need advice on the last 2

    Graci!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Ozuna, Aguilar… tough calls tho

  46. Big Nate says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey – Keeper conundrum for you..I need to keep 4 here in a 5×5 Roto…

    Ron Acuna – Round 5
    JD Martinez – Round 4
    Jean Segura – Round 16
    Severino – Round 10
    Buehler – Round 11
    T Bauer – Round 7
    Bumgarner – Round 6
    Willie Calhoun – Round 20

    I think the first two are obvious, then is it Bauer/Buehler or is Segura too good a value in Round 16.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Answered above

  47. Zach says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey! Pumped for the rest of these to come out. Quick question for you with my draft right around the corner. I’m in a 10 team H2H 6×6 league with OPS and in our auction draft it tends to be very top spendy. I’m thinking I’ll use a majority of my budget to go hard after Mike Trout, Trea Turner, Acuna, KB/Rizzo, Mondesi.
    1. What would be the max you would pay for those players

    2. Do you think this is a good strategy? Hoping to get solid pitchers at the end.

    Thanks!

      • Zach says:
        (link)

        @Grey: It is still holds league. Would you think having Strasburg or Marquez as my ace would be good enough? Or should I really try to focus on saves, holds, whip?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          I think those SPs are good enough

      • Zach says:
        (link)

        @Grey: It is still holds league. Would you think having Strasburg or Marquez as my ace would be good enough? Or should I really try to focus on saves, holds, whip?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Answered above

  48. Harley Earl says:
    (link)

    Grey,

    I’m with you on Nico Goodrum. Dude looks like a 20/20 guys, plus he’s eligible at like 14 different positions. Nobody’s buying it though. Makes me question my judgement … but dang he’s going into his age 27 season and we all know what that means … breakout!!!

    I gotta figure a way to keep this guy on my roster. Right now he’s one of my last cuts. But I’m with you. I think there’s a lot more to this profile than people are seeing!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yeah, I own Niko in 2 leagues already, might make it more if he’s there for me…

  49. The Great Knoche says:
    (link)

    My NFBC team stinks! I got Odor!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haha, I like that Odor!

      • The Great Knoche says:
        (link)

        @Grey: followed up with Cano. Now it is kinda stinky but I needed some average help.

  50. Wilson says:
    (link)

    HI Grey,
    I have chance to pick either Grienke, Price, Bum, or Kershaw

    It’s two years keeper, which one I should pick with 2-year keeper consideration? Tks

    And I have Secerino, Cole already

      • Wilson says:
        (link)

        @Grey:

        Thanks. You rank Greinke higher , so pick him if just 1 year, then pick Price if keep two years?

        Understand not pick Kershaw, too much risk… though I loved him…

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I would not draft Greinke in any league

          • The Great Knoche says:
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            @Grey: Rudy likes him!

            • @The Great Knoche: i am meh on greinke. liked him in this case b/c i had plenty of K’s from verlander and liked his innings floor vs the alternatives (which included paxton)

  51. Joey says:
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    Yesterda decided to keep tatis as last keeper nl only

    Was offered

    Any of these for him

    $3 inciarte
    $8 peraza

    If i add in $1 dominquez or knebel or hicks

    To add to my rivera

    Would then have to cut a keeper like $26 nola

    Would you do this

    For him

  52. MRBASEBALL says:
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    S. Doolittle Was – RP FOR R. Stripling  I have Stripling in dynasty league been offered Doodylittle –

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Doolittle is better for this year and future, unless Kimbrel signs with the Nats, then his value is done

  53. Dr chym says:
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    Hi Grey,

    I keep flip flopping and need someone to drop some logic on my keeper choices:

    2 keepers in the round they were picked prior year. Round one is thin because people pluck value out of it. I have Acuna locked up as a 5th rounder. But my 2nd keeper is giving me anxiety:

    Arenado (rd 1 pick 9) (which is really like a mid 2nd round pick)

    Or

    Nola round 6 (as my first SP most likely)

    6×6 ops / Qs — 12 team league

    Thank you

  54. Donald Warner says:
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    I am looking for some keeper advice. It’s a 12 team roto auction where you can keep 8–can keep total of 3 years. I plan to keep the following for sure:
    Yelich at $33 for 2 more years
    Bauer at $16 for 2 more years
    Corbin at $4 for 2 more years
    Buehler at $10 for 2 more years
    Peraza at $10 for 2 more years
    Dahl at $10 for 2 more years
    Are you good with those 6?
    My other two keepers are from this list:
    Machado at $50 for 2 more years
    Arenado at $54 for 2 more years
    Castellanos at $3 for 1 more year
    Shaw at $10 for 1 more year
    R Osuna at $10 for 2 more years
    C Seager at $10 for 2 more years
    Grandal at $3 for 2 more years
    If I kept Grandal, I would spend $1 on second C. If I kept Osuna, I wouldn’t have to spend on other closers which can eat up $20-25 of budget. But don’t like keeping catchers and closers. Total budget is $300. How would you play the last two keepers?
    Thank you. Your posts are the best and its not close. Love the “no ads” option as does my computer.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Keep Osuna and Grandal if you can, at least Osuna

      • DonnieB says:
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        So Osuna at $10 and Grandal at $3 over Machado at $50 and Arenado at $54? This team was so good last year it is sad to break it up—smile.

  55. Charlie Harper says:
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    RCL league,no im weak at starting pitching with some hopefulls,what do u think and recomend any moves
    Contreras
    Goldy
    Travis Shaw
    Justin Turner
    Correa
    Ian Happ
    Villar
    Braun
    Hoskins
    Betts
    Domingo
    Vlad Jr
    fill n for Vlad,hot bat out of spring
    Luis Castillo
    Heaney
    Rich Hill
    Stripling
    Urias
    Peacock
    Kneble
    Will Smith
    Matt Barnes
    Seranthony
    Shane Green
    this league hasnt acted like they care much about closers so far as there are still a handfull of possible closers on waiver

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      You should grab those waiver closers if you can… Team looks solid tho, I like the hitting a lot, and your pitching is risky, but fine for RCL…

  56. Charlie Harper says:
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    thanks el Capitan,who do u like the best dropping Green and who else would u drop for
    Herrera
    Holland
    Parker
    Minter
    Braiser

  57. G says:
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    Hey Grey,

    So a Sevy question. I have 4 solid hitting keepers (Trea, Machado, Lindor, Arenado) and was planning to keep Severino as my final 5th keeper at 9th round value. Would you consider not keeping him and holding onto Puig or Felipe Vasquez who would be 10th round picks? Im thinking Severino would be solid value in the 9th still but a bit worried as a Yankee fan and fantasy owner. Also the following pitchers are being kept in my league, so not sure how this influences your advice: Degrom, Verlander, Snell, Bauer, Buehler, Corbin, Flaherty, Thor, Paxton. I have the 12th pick in my snake draft so will likely be able to snag a stud pitcher with my 1st or 2nd round picks (12th/13th picks). Thanks as always.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Hold onto Puig instead

  58. Chris LaMotta says:
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    Great post as always.
    I am in a 15 team 7×6 (obp, ops, BAA) Roto Auction league. Players go up $5 per year if you keep them.
    I can keep 10.
    I got offered a 3 for 3 trade.
    I would trade
    Thor $16
    Senzel $6
    Corey Seager $16
    I would get
    Danny Jansen $1
    Blake Treinen $11
    Adalberto Mondesi $2

    My other keepers would be
    Kris Bryant $27
    Tatis Jr. $1
    Kyle Tucker $1
    Javier Baez $6
    Austin Meadows $6
    Mike Foltynewicz $1
    Then choose 1 btwn Alex Reyes $6, Luzardo $1, David Robertson $5

    Normally I wouldn’t trade for or even think to keep relievers but they actually get pretty expensive in this league because it is 15 teams and there are som many committees now.

    What do you think?
    Thank you

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      You’re not getting enough in that trade

  59. LG Baseball says:
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    Awesome post Grey!

    Finished my draft last night in my 10 team H2H league. I had 10 keepers going in so was mostly targeting pitching:

    C – Alfaro
    1B – Hoskins
    2B – Baez
    3B – Bregman
    SS – Trea
    OF – Trout
    OF – Betts
    OF – Dahl
    Util – Peraza
    BN: Hiura, W. Franco

    SP: Bauer, Marquez, E-Rod, Bieber, Lucchesi, Eovaldi, Ryu, Iglesias, Robertson

    I picked up Hiura and Franco at the end of the draft as most of the top 15 prospects are owned given it’s a keeper. However guys like Voit, Domingo, Piscotty, T.White, Bauers, Goodrum, Cody Allen and Knebel are available.

    Any gaps you see on the team and would you make any swaps from the available guys?

    Thanks,
    LG

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Thanks! Looks like you followed my advice, nothing I can complain about there — love the hitting and pitching

      • LG Baseball says:
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        @Grey: This is for sure a “Grey approved” team. Thanks again for all the rankings and advice!

  60. Dubs23 says:
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    My $1 Buehler for His $16 Hoskins and Royce Lewis?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      It’s fair, be good to have league context

      • Dubs23 says:
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        @Grey: Sure. 12 Team 6×6 with OPS and QS. 9 keepers plus 3 free minor leaguers. Currently have Baez, Bregman, Machado, Benintendi, Conforto, Snell, Buehler, Foltynewicz, Glasnow as my keepers. Contracts are A-E. For example a $1A player would go $1A, $1b, $6c, $16d, $31e and then would go back in to the pool. Bueler is a $1b and Hoskins in a $16c

  61. MisforMookie says:
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    Time to lock in my 3 keepers for the year (Yahoo 12 team root 6×6 with added OPS and QS, using SV+H). I assume I’m still good on keeping Mookie, Acuna, and Story? Other options include Goldschmidt or Beni (only can keep this year), Mondesi, Soto, Bauer. Thanks as usual.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yup, looks good

  62. Drew says:
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    Thoughts on either of these trades in my 16-team keeper.
    Batting cats are R, HR, RBI, SB, OPS // Pitching cats are W, K, ERA, WHIP, NSVH

    1. I give Tatis and Flaherty. I get Yelich.
    2. I give Nola. I get Yelich.

    My SPs right now are Sale, Nola, Flaherty, Folty, and JA Happ. I can keep 4 SPs.
    My OFs right now are JD, Conforto, D. Peralta, S. Marte
    MiLB (keep up to 6): Tatis, Kirilloff, Trammell, Yordan Alvarez, N. Pearson, Luis Garcia (WSH), Nolan Gorman, and Larnach

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      What’s the catch? These are no brainers… Give Nola for Yelich

      • Drew says:
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        @Grey: Ha! Maybe I just love Nola so that it clouds my judgment. Or maybe it’s I won the league last year and am nervous to break up the core.

        Is Sale, Flaherty, Folty, and Happ a sturdy top 4 for a 16-teamer?

  63. CaptainKnauer says:
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    I might have to auto draft in one of my leagues. Is there anywhere on the site I can look for tips on that? Thanks as always

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I’d input Rudy’s rankings, and drop way down players you don’t want (like catchers and injured pitchers)

  64. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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    Random question . . . does your top 500 ranking of Leonys factor in that he seems to be starting the season hitting leadoff full time (at least per roster resource)?

    Seems like he’s a sneaky-good $1 OF5 in mixed leagues, esp for runs and maybe a 20/10 15/15 sort of thing if he doesn’t get hurt…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah, and he won’t stay healthy for more than 250 ABs, and Zimmer returns at some point

  65. jaw says:
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    10 team 5×5 h2h dynasty keeper league (snake)

    (penalty round in parenthesis)

    would you do the below trade for baez?

    goldie (2nd) and stras (7th) for baez (2nd) and berrios (8th)

  66. Joe R says:
    (link)

    Hola Grey –

    Need some help identifying my keepers for a 14 team 5×5 Roto League. We each get 2 keepers, and their value is based on player’s average auction value for this year and his draft price from last year. The net is if I’m saving or losing money based on the average of the two. Here are my options – pick 2!

    Harper: $40 (net -$4 based on his AAV this year)
    Altuve: $44 (net -$4 based on AAV)
    Muncy: $5 (net +$4 based on AAV)
    Tim Anderson: $5 (net +$3)
    Mazara: $13 (net -$7)
    Bauer: $18 (net +$3)
    Corbin: $9 (net +$8)
    Taillon: $8 (net +$6)

    If I wanted to “save” as much draft dollars as possible it would make sense to go with a combo of Corbin, Taillon, or Muncy. But… still like Harper and Mazara, but the negative savings sucks. Help me out!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Harper, Corbin

  67. Jason says:
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    scherzer @ $41 or nola @ 31?

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