There’s gonna be a lot to like with Luke Voit, but it’s fair to get out of the way upfront the issues. The Yankees haven’t fully committed to him.  Aaron Boone said Voit “has a leg up” on the 1st base job for 2019.  That sounds positive, but if Boone was watching a dog pee on a fire hydrant while saying this, then it might be a negative.  My guess is Boone wasn’t watching Animal Planet, and it’s good news.  Well, relatively good.  It says a lot about the Yankees that they’re not just handing Voit the job.  On the other hand (were we weighing options on hands?), the Yankees did give Greg Bird so many chances to win the 1st base job.  Since we’re using our hands anyway, I’m going to count on my fingers, and say Bird was given three seasons to win the job, and the third finger in is the middle finger, which is appropriate for flipping the Bird.  So, the Yankees don’t need a ‘big’ name at 1st base.  Now that Bird’s flew the coop, and is likely headed to being a throw-in a trade, the Yankees don’t have any immediate other obvious option, besides Voit.  So, Cashman has proven he will give the 1st base job to someone as unhearlded previously as Voit, and the Yankees should also know from this past season, they can win a lot of games with Voit as the 1st baseman.  Pitching is more of a real baseball team need, than 1st base.  So, what can we expect from Luke Voit for 2019 fantasy baseball and what makes him a sleeper?

There’s a Yankees’ tax hike on players in drafts, but Luke Voit still seems to be going late enough because there’s an element to him that people aren’t sure if they trust him to repeat.

My brain:
*don’t say it*
*don’t say it*
*don’t say it*
*don’t say it*
*don’t say it*
*don’t say it*
*don’t say it*

Me: Is he Fluke Voit?

Well, his numbers last year were otherworldy.  Prepare to have jazz hands on your brain.  For Hard Contact%, he had 47%, that would’ve been top 15 in the majors if he qualified, above Yelich and Just Dong.  He was number one for barrels per plate appearance.  His 20 barrels were more than Michale Brantley, Segura, Markakis and Schoop in hundreds of fewer plate appearances.  Barrels-schmarrels, his average exit velocity was top 11 and his percentage of 95+ MPH hits was 4th in the majors.  He hit .322, which was goofy high due to a .365 BABIP, but, if you hit the ball hard, good things will, and often do, happen.  His strikeouts weren’t even that high (26.7%) and, if his minor league track record is any indication, they can come down.  So, no, he won’t hit .322 again, but might not hit below .265 either.  Saying his 40.5% HR/FB is on the high side is like saying Snoop Dogg is on the high side.  No dur.  His 37% fly ball rate was a tad low for him, and I think he can get over 40%.  A few more fly balls can offset his home run per fly ball coming down, and not Offset like he’s going to beg Cardi B to get back with him.  There is a bit to his previous year’s numbers that says he was in a hot streak, and won’t be for the entire 2019 season, but is this just Maas Appeal?  I don’t think so.  He walks, he doesn’t strikeout that much, he hits the ball hard and gets it in the air.  That’s more of a recipe for success than anything Greg Bird ever read in Barefoot Contessa’s cookbook, “Barefoot with Jeffrey,” and Bird had plenty of chances.  I think Voit gets his chance, and connects.  With 1st base suddenly a wasteland of aging players, Voit’s got big-time sleeper allure.  For 2019, I’ll give Luke Voit the projections of  72/29/88/.268/1 in 509 ABs with a chance for more.

  1. Ante Galic says:
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    Grey!!!

    Great sleeper report!

    a. Man I loved Voit in ’18 and will love him in ’19 too. I’m starting to sound like a broken record, ’cause I love all ’em sleepers.

    b. Mark Twain quote of the day for December 17

    1. Many public-school children seem to know only two dates—1492 and 4th of July; and as a rule they don’t know what happened on either occasion.

    2. It is better to be a young June-bug than an old bird of paradise.

    3. It is human life. We are blown upon the world; we float buoyantly upon the summer air a little while, complacently showing off our grace of form and our dainty iridescent colors; then we vanish with a little puff, leaving nothing behind but a memory – and sometimes not even that. I suppose that at those solemn times when we wake in the deeps of the night and reflect, there is not one of us who is not willing to confess that he is really only a soap-bubble, and as little worth the making.

    4. The most successful people are those who do all year long what they would otherwise do on their summer vacation.

    5. There warn’t anybody at the church, except maybe a hog or two, for there warn’t any lock on the door, and hogs likes a puncheon floor in summer-time because it’s cool. If you notice, most folks don’t go to church only when they’ve got to; but a hog is different.

    6. Warm summer sun, shine kindly here.

    7. France has neither winter nor summer nor morals. Apart from these drawbacks it is a fine country.

    8. Saturday morning was come, and all the summer world was bright and fresh, and brimming with life. There was a song in every heart; and if the heart was young, the music issued at the lips. There was cheer in every face and a spring in every step. The locust-trees were in bloom, and the fragrance of the blossoms filled the air. Cardiff Hill, beyond the village and above, it was green with vegetation, and it lay just far enough away to seem a Delectable Land, dreamy, reposeful, and inviting.

    9. France has neither winter, nor summer, nor morals. France is miserable because it is filled with Frenchmen, and Frenchmen are miserable because they live in France.

    10. Warm summer sun, shine kindly here. Warm southern wind, blow softly here. Green sod above, lie light, lie light. Good night, dear Heart, Good night, good night.

    d. Hoping it was one of these, especially #10, so we can all get a good night’s sleep with all the angst as to whether or not Ante hit the payload with the quote!

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Ante Galic: Thanks! A. Nice! B. 7 — ha!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          As in that movie… I thought you might be confused if I wrote Frances!

          • Ante Galic says:
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            @Grey: Grey!!

            a. Shakes fist at the sky!!

            b. But, but, but, you said it was about summer and I googled this morning ‘Twain on summer’ and out came these 10 quotes. So, how now brown cow? What’s the quote about now?

            Cheers,
            Ante

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              You don’t want me to just give it to you…

              • Ante Galic says:
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                @Grey: Grey!!

                I guess not. So, I guess I’ll see ya tomorrow!

                Cheers,
                Ante

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Haha, I will tell you if you want… Watch you be like, I put that quote in back in April

                  • Grey

                    Grey says:
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                    Though, unlikely bc I searched for it

  2. Big Ticket says:
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    Dang, those are some pretty sexy projections! Voit carried me for a while last year and I was wondering what you’d have to say. A couple of follow ups …

    1. 509 ab’s is a little low – are you anticipating occasional platoon? Or just hitting 6th?
    2. What would you expect the obp/slg to come in at?
    3. What draft position makes him a sleeper?

    Thanks Grey!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Big Ticket: 1. Right now I think he’s pegged to hit 6th or lower, and you figure it will take at least a month to move up the order or an injury 2. .360/.560 3. He’s not being drafted until way late, sometimes after 200 overall

      • Big Ticket says:
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        @Grey: I see steamer projecting him for .340/.460. Obviously I’m hoping you are right haha. But OPS of 8oo is way different from 920. Why is steamer so down on him?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Not sure, doesn’t trust his previous season I guess

  3. Peacecoast says:
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    Picked up this guy late in the year. Could keep him as a round 20 keeper but I see him getting no love in early mocks. Where do you see him in your 1b rankings?

    p.s. how is the new place?? pics!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Peacecoast: I think he’s around 20th for 1B… So everyone has one, then drafted as a corner man or a UTIL — re: house — I just had my first “Why is this person parking in front of my house?” Like I own the street after 2 weeks!

  4. Ron Gardenhire says:
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    Christin Stewart 2019 projection? what is Casey Mize best/worse case scenario in MLB? also, Daz Cameron comp. Thanks Grey

  5. Bbboston says:
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    Grey,

    Tyler White comparable potential? Please discuss.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Bbboston: Yeah, I like White as well

      • Bbboston says:
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        @Grey:

        Will white get a sleeper post?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          We shall see!

  6. WinterIsComing says:
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    Hey Grey! I know it’s way too early but I’m dying for baseball and already stressing about keepers. There’s a chance we will be able to keep 7 this year instead of 5. Debating between:
    Aguilar 25th
    JoRam 5th *
    Andujar 25th
    Lindor 1st *
    Moncada 25th
    Conforto 25th
    Hoskins 25th *
    Soto 25th *
    Acuna 25th *
    Bellinger 25th *
    Adalberto 25th
    Adell 25th
    Nola 7th *
    Sixto 25th
    Greene 25th

    Leaning towards all the asterisks do you agree so far? I know there’s no value with lindor at first but I’ve had him 3 years in a row and love having elite SS and if I lose out on sale, scherzer and jd there’s really no one else in the first round who would be better anyway..thanks Grey can’t wait for more write ups from you guys

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Wow, you have a ton of great keepers…. Mondesi over Nola… But man, it’s tough throwing back Nola, Andujar or Jesus

      • Donkey Teeth

        Donkey Teeth says:
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        @Grey: You can’t throw Jesus back this close to his birthday!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          True, and I just bought a carton of egg nog to celebrate

          • Donkey Teeth

            Donkey Teeth says:
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            @Grey: My girl just brought home something called “almond nog”, scary times we live in!

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              I have an almond dog, same!

  7. Sweatpants Nation says:
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    Steamer is looking at Bellinger to be only slightly better than last year. Are you buying into “he’s working on his swing this off season” or is that just another best shape of his life statement and we shouldn’t expect a big difference tis year. First base is tough and even with Steamers projections he’s among the better ones. Your thoughts?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I like Bellinger again

      • Artie says:
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        @Grey: you never stopped!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Haha, true

  8. Great problem to have. I can keep 3 for the 2019 season. I have Max Scherzer, Thor, Blake Snell and Patrick Corbin on the roster. Which one do I throw back into the player pool?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      That’s tough call, thinking Corbin

  9. Reno 911 says:
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    Hi Grey. Weekly H2H Points league. I have Javy Baez for either 2B or SS. I have a few options (listed in no particular order). Let me know what you’d do. Salary cap of $200 until after the draft:

    1) Baez at SS; keep Shaw as a $12 2B; Miguel Andujar ($6) as 3B and Justin Turner ($7) as DH.

    2) Trade Andujar ($6–three years left) for Trea Turner ($10, one year left), making lineup as such: T. Turner SS; Baez 2B; J Turner 3B; Shaw as DH/backup 2B/3B.

    Follow up question:

    Would you keep Shaw (2B/3B-eligible) at $12 in the first place? It’s early, but he’s a top-three-projected 2B in points leagues.

    Hope you can make sense of this nonsense. Bedankt!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      How deep is this league?

      • Reno 911 says:
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        12 teams; salaries increase 10% or a minimum $2 every year.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Shaw at $12 is decent then, I’d go with #2

          • Reno 911 says:
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            Thanks Grey. I was just looking, and T Turner scored about 500 points, but it took a crazy-ass 735 (or so) PA.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Turner will get a lot of PA again if healthy

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