Welcome back gang, we are making our way to the home stretch of this short season and you gotta make some tough decisions. This, as always, is a continuation of my Top 75 Outfielders for 2020: Midseason Edition and hopefully, we can steer you in the right direction. Don’t be afraid to drop a slumping power bat if you need some steals to leap up the rankings, likewise for the reverse. Without further ado, let’s dive in.

Here’s what I’ve been seeing around the league:

 

The Ins

Ronald Acuna Jr. – In the last 7 days, Acuna has 5 HRs, 2 SB, 10 R/RBIs, and hitting a cool .333, he’s pretty good. And I think… yep, he’s back.

Ian Happ – If anyone has been listening to me for a hot minute, I’ve been proclaiming my love for him and Grisham as my 2 favorite late draft OF targets this season, which I had on almost every team. Happ has certainly lived up to that hype.

Kyle Tucker – After getting cock-blocked by Reddick all of last year we are finally seeing the talent of this dude that went for 30/30 and 97 RBIs at AAA last year. Now he’s free to spread his wings under the Toothpick. And now I’ve seen everything. It took a few injuries, but he’s broken through the glass ceiling; he’s currently sitting as the 7th best OF on the Player Rater. Yes that’s correct, 7th.

Adam Duvall – Hold on one sec… Okay, just wanted to make sure he didn’t hit another 3 HRs. Duvall now has 13 HRs and 29 RBIs, in 42 games, with 9 of those HRs coming in the last 2 weeks. *Whispers* He already did this last year… and some of you may have forgotten, this is what he was doing on the Reds when he was the next big thing and hit 30+ HRs in 2016 and 2017 before the wheels fell off. He’s overperforming in AVG and Hardhit% but his 15.9 Barrel% is pretty legit.

Victor Reyes – The Tigers are in a pretty sad state of affairs (see losing 0-19), but he’s the one bright spot in there in a dark and dreary world. What if I told you Reyes was on pace for 92/14/46/22/.315, which is a similar line to what you hoping from Verdugo. If he’s still out there (probably not) you should go get him. Cheap steals that also boosts your average. Cedric Mullins is another.

Mike Trout – As of this writing, Trout hit his league-leading 16th HR of the year and is now slashing .300/.397/.673, he’s back too even though he never left. Some were saying it was a down year, yadda yadda. 2 weeks ago when he was batting around .250 even though his contact was still great, I told you it was the most buy-low he has ever been (not that anyone was selling, LOL) and that the correction was coming. Well, here we are.

 

The Outs

Brandon Lowe – He has cooled off significantly as of late. In the last 2 weeks, he’s hit a paltry .114 with a single HR. That HR, however, came in Thursday’s game so maybe this a sign of him coming out of his funk. Last year he a stretch like this, so maybe it’s his process.

Teoscar Hernandez – The hospital beds are filling up: Kepler is gone, Ketel is gone, Aaron Judge is out again and off the board, Stanton soon will be if he doesn’t get back on the field, and now Teo is likely done for the season. He had a hell of a run and was going to be sitting at #6 on this list had he not gone down. It’s going to hard to decide where to rank him for year as he was in the top 3% of all contact metrics. Is this a legit breakout? Not sure yet, will need to dig in more later. He’s got good pop and decent speed, but in a full season, his average will probably be much closer to .250 than .300 despite having an xBA of .330 this year.

Kyle Schwarber – He has 4 HR in the last 2 weeks but his AVG has plummeted to the tune of .186 in that time frame. He’s currently sitting at .210 and with an xBA of .223, that doesn’t bode well at the moment. He’s sporting the best EV of his career that’s in Top 2% of the league, but that’s coming with a career-high K-rate too at 31.3%, yowza.

Cody Bellinger – His 6 steals are saving him from having a really awful season. Yes, he’s hit 10 HRs, but his average is sitting at .211 and he’s been hitting .174 over the last 2 weeks regardless of 2 HR and 4 SB in that timeframe. Changing your swing right before a short season where nothing is routine and normal is totally a good idea. Pardon me while I roll my eyes out of their sockets.

 

The What-have-yous

Andrew McCutchen – and also Bryce Harper, the numbers are loving the Phillies for the rest of the season. Which, these are a bit strange I admit. So digging into their schedule I see 6 vs Marlins then Mets, 4 vs Jays, Nats, Rays. Must be giving them a boost for the Buffalo Wing Box and Rick Porcello. I kid, only slightly. The last 7 days have been forgettable, but the 7 before that he hit 3 HRs with 8 RBIs while hitting .296.

Brandon Belt – The skies are filled with smoldering ash and Belt is hitting over .300, what a world we live in. The Bad news is its buoyed by a .397 BABIP with a silver lining being his .324 career average. Some good news is an 18.7 Barrel% and 49.3% Hardhit%, both career highs (small sample sizes are fun sizes). Finally that 30 HR pace we’ve been waiting for! Maybe.

Ramon Laureano – In the last 2 weeks he’s hit 2 HR with 6 RBIs while hitting .278, yet he still has only 1 steal. This is not the meal I ordered… I specifically asked for the legs. I suppose they could come at any time and he’s now taking walks at nearly double the rate of 2019 and a BABIP below his career average. The last 2 weeks could be a sign of things to come.

D.J. Stewart – What is it with these Orioles? DJ has 5 HRs in the last 4 days and is hitting .571 over that span… now that’s a beat I can dance to. Not sure how long he can keep this up, but might as well find out with the Yankees and Braves decimated rotations coming up. The bird is the word.

 

The Board

Rank Name Team Pos $ ROS$ CW$
1 Mookie Betts LAD OF 44.4 31.4 44.1
2 Mike Trout LAA OF 39.7 32.4 43.5
3 Juan Soto WSH OF 25.2 43.7 42.3
4 Bryce Harper PHI OF 21.5 43.3 39.1
5 Ronald Acuna Jr. ATL OF 22.4 38.3 38.1
6 Luis Robert CHW OF 28.5 29.2 33.4
7 Marcell Ozuna ATL OF 32.1 17.1 29.8
8 Kyle Tucker HOU OF 30.8 7.3 28.5
9 Christian Yelich MIL OF 13.3 42.4 28.0
10 Eloy Jimenez CHW OF 19 21 28.0
11 Michael Conforto NYM OF 31.1 12.5 27.7
12 Cody Bellinger LAD 1B/OF 17.6 33.2 26.9
13 Franmil Reyes CLE OF 18.8 15 26.4
14 Andrew McCutchen PHI OF 8.5 28.4 25.5
15 Ian Happ CHC 1B/2B/3B/OF 19.6 5.4 24.6
16 Charlie Blackmon COL OF 22.1 20.8 24.2
17 Starling Marte MIA OF 18 32.1 23.8
18 Mike Yastrzemski SF OF 30.8 0.2 23.5
19 Whit Merrifield KC 1B/2B/OF 22.6 16.7 22.8
20 Adam Duvall ATL OF 23.4 -13.9 22.7
21 Eddie Rosario MIN OF 17.5 12.7 22.1
22 Kyle Schwarber CHC OF 8.1 14.8 21.7
23 Randal Grichuk TOR OF 15.6 7.6 21.6
24 Wil Myers SD 1B/OF 27.8 -4.1 21.5
25 George Springer HOU OF 9.5 19.4 21.4
26 Alex Verdugo BOS OF 16.8 12 20.4
27 Brandon Lowe TB 1B/2B/OF 16.8 6 20.2
28 Nick Castellanos CIN OF 17.6 15.9 19.9
29 Trent Grisham SD OF 23.1 2.9 19.1
30 Cavan Biggio TOR 1B/2B/OF 17.5 8.7 19.0
31 Kyle Lewis SEA OF 27 -8 18.5
32 J.D. Martinez BOS OF -7.3 24.6 18.2
33 Tommy Edman STL 2B/SS/3B/OF -0.8 26.8 18.2
34 Lourdes Gurriel Jr. TOR 2B/OF 12.2 7.9 16.9
36 Joey Gallo TEX OF 1.7 10.9 16.2
37 Ramon Laureano OAK OF 0.2 17.1 15.9
38 Dominic Smith NYM 1B/OF 18.4 -10.4 15.9
39 Jesse Winker CIN OF 12.1 3.7 15.8
40 Mark Canha OAK 1B/OF 5.4 6.9 15.8
41 Dylan Moore SEA INF/OF 17.7 -17.1 15.0
42 Brandon Belt SF 1B/OF 11.6 1.4 14.8
43 Nick Solak TEX 2B/3B/OF 6.8 8.2 14.6
44 Victor Robles WSH OF -3.5 14.5 14.2
45 Austin Meadows TB OF -10.7 19.5 14.2
46 Brian Anderson MIA 3B/OF 1 8.8 14.1
47 Austin Riley ATL 1B/3B/OF 5.6 -0.8 13.7
48 Alex Dickerson SF OF 9.8 -8.6 13.4
49 Stephen Piscotty OAK OF 10 0.6 13.4
50 Ryan Mountcastle BAL 1B/OF -1 2.7 13.1
35 Michael Brantley HOU OF 10 11.5 13.0
51 Jurickson Profar SD 2B/OF 8.3 -1.7 12.8
52 Corey Dickerson MIA OF -5.3 9.5 12.6
53 AJ Pollock LAD OF 14.3 -7.2 12.3
54 Clint Frazier NYY OF 2 -19.6 12.2
55 Jeff McNeil NYM 2B/3B/OF 2.7 7 12.2
56 Jason Heyward CHC OF 4.1 0.7 12.1
57 Ryan Braun MIL OF -11.5 14.9 11.7
58 Victor Reyes DET OF 14.8 -1.3 11.6
59 Jon Berti MIA 2B/SS/3B/OF 4.7 1.1 11.5
60 David Peralta ARI OF 4.1 3.2 11.0
61 Jackie Bradley Jr. BOS OF 1.5 -0.3 10.6
62 Hunter Dozier KC 1B/3B/OF -1.6 2.3 10.5
63 Adam Eaton WSH OF -6.8 15.5 10.5
64 Kole Calhoun ARI OF 4.6 -0.1 10.2
65 Byron Buxton MIN OF -3.3 7.8 9.9
66 Teoscar Hernandez TOR OF 35.5 -30.7 9.8
67 Kevin Pillar COL OF 8.2 -10.8 9.5
68 Avisail Garcia MIL OF -7.7 11.1 9.4
69 Yoshitomo Tsutsugo TB 3B/OF -1.8 -4.3 9.3
70 Brad Miller STL 2B/3B/OF 4.2 -18.8 9.2
71 Aaron Hicks NYY OF -5.3 5.5 9.1
72 Brandon Nimmo NYM OF 3.9 -3.9 8.9
73 Garrett Hampson COL 2B/SS/OF 4.8 -1.2 8.8
74 Giancarlo Stanton NYY OF -9.4 7 8.7
75 Garrett Cooper MIA 1B/OF -10.8 -2.4 8.2

The Bubble

DJ Stewart, Tyler Naquin, Austin Slater, Randy Arozarena, Raimel Tapia, Cedric Mullins, Tyler O’Neill

 
  1. No Tapia? With the Rockies home stand?

    • Coolwhip

      Coolwhip says:
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      Tapia is on the bubble at the bottom there but trending up, hes a matchup play / batty call

      • What about Yadiel Hernandez? The Nats call-up. The 33 year-old is he worth a flyer. Bench spot.

        • Coolwhip

          Coolwhip says:
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          Looks like he’s a power bat (which is different skill set than Tapia) but if thats what you need then worth a batty call to see what happens

  2. Lincecuminmypants says:
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    I don’t understand the Meadows love. He’s been awful all year. I dumped him last week and haven’t looked back. He may have many great seasons ahead of him, but I just don’t think this is one of them.

    • Coolwhip

      Coolwhip says:
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      Meadows has been trending down since he’s slumping, the projections still like a bit of a turn around based on matchups. If he continues to struggle another week he’ll be at bottom of list.

  3. Lincecuminmypants says:
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    I guess that’s what I don’t understand. He’s not so much slumping as he’s been garbage all year. He may very well turn into a superstar in the remaining weeks, but that could happen to any player. Are the projections weighed to be heavily reliant on last year? Just trying to comprehend this since I’d love to target some last year runs and steals.

    • Coolwhip

      Coolwhip says:
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      Its based on his history last+this year and on matchups. I tried to include corrections on some guys including Meadows but it still likes coming up more than probably should, I included a bit of a caveat with McCutchen so you can throw Meadows in there too.

      If you want a current hot bat for runs and steals then I’d suggest Victor Reyes or Cedric Mullins if they are available in your league as I pointed out above. ;-) good luck

      • Lincecuminmypants says:
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        Thanks! (for the explanation and the suggestions). Reyes is taken, but I’ll definitely give Mullins a strong second look on your advice. Much appreciated.

        • Coolwhip

          Coolwhip says:
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          No problem, go get em tiger

  4. nightpandas says:
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    Hey CW,

    Would you move Cruz for Carrasco and Moore?

    I’m in 2nd but 24 pts back of first so a long shot. I can move in Runs Hits OBP and SLG, wins, era, QS and K’s. Its a 15 team keep 11 and Cruz was a keeper this year.

    • Coolwhip

      Coolwhip says:
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      Hey NP,
      Tough call for me… I haven’t decided yet if i think Dylan can do this again next year. Would be tryin to keep both Carrasco and Moore? who would the extra one replace in the 11?

      in there’s not a good net improvement I’d probably hold and just stream good matchups rest of the way. Crrasco migh have only like 4 starts left.

  5. KCC26 says:
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    What do you think of Senzel when healthy (I know that’s an oxymoron). I’m holding him on my IL right now and they’re talking about activating him soon during my playoffs. Worth activating him over any of McCutchen, winker or belt (my current OF 2-4)? It is a keeper league, but we only keep 6. Still I could see a strong finish forcing his way into keeper consideration.

    Thanks for your thoughts!

    • Coolwhip

      Coolwhip says:
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      Yo, I think Senzel is a bit of a dart throw for the rest of this year, could be out of rhythm compared to a dude thats been playing everyday. McCutchen is hot right now, Winker has been pretty good, and Belt is having his best run in last few years. So i’d say stay the course for now, Senzel will be liekly be cheap in draft next year so no reason to hold him.

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