Tim Lincecum went six innings and gave up a bongillion runs and has a 10.54 ERA on the year.  He’s either sharing a UCL with Wilson or he’s about to make a turn around.  No pitcher is going to throw a 10.54 ERA without the universe abandoning that whole gravity thing.  And in that case, there would be bigger fish to fry, and we’d have to fry that fish in a Jiffy Pop container, otherwise the hot oil would float away.  Or so I read in one of Ken Cosgrove’s stories.  Will Lincecum have a 2.75 ERA this year?  Well, that’s a different bag of flying fried fish.  There’s talk that his velocity is down, which makes his change-up less effective.  See, you need one to go fast and one to go deceptively less fast.  It’s timing, y’all.  Could Lincecum be nothing more than a 3.50 ERA pitcher?  Yeah, it’s possible, but there’s still value in that.  I wouldn’t give the farm in a trade for him, but I’d see if someone was interested in the tractor.  Anyway, here’s what else I saw yesterday in fantasy baseball:

Brian Wilson – There’s talk he could rehab and not get Tommy John surgery because he has a moderate UCL sprain.  Oh!  Is that all?  Terrific.  Spray some Windex on it and get out there!

Brandon Belt – 1-for-3 with a run as he started for the 2nd straight day.  Look at the big brain on Bochy!

Freddy Sanchez – Had a minor setback during his rehab.  Hey, I know that impersonation — Josh Hamilton, right?  Pretty good, Freddy!

Austin Jackson – 1-for-3, 2nd homer as he bats .405.  He’s marching towards history; someone better put Ted Williams’ head in a microwave.

Justin Verlander – 9 IP, 2 ER, 9 baserunners, 9 Ks and a 131 pitches.  I couldn’t get a one out save for Valverde here?  Throw Grey a bone!

Doug Fister – Threw 10 pitches off the mound and another 90 pitches and, Dougie Fister, you’re on.  On, on, on, on, on… But, trust me, you don’t want to see Fister beatbox.

Carlos Gonzalez – Out for three straight days with strep throat.  For our Latin American readers, that’s no lymph nodus operandi.

Danny Duffy – 6 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 8 baserunners, 7 Ks vs. the Tigers.  You kinda had to have nads of steel if you started Duffy vs. the Tigers.  Or whatever the equivalent is for our four girl readers.  It’s not even that incredible of a start.  Or is it?!  There was only one walk.  That could make Danny Duffy more than just the cream of the crap on the Royals staff.  His problem in the past has been walks, but if he controls that, guess what else he has?  Yup.  So far, he has 15 Ks in 12 1/3 innings.  Sure, it’s a small sample size, but so are your hands and we know that’s a myth.  Over 10 K-rate in Triple-A, over 9 in Double-A, over 7 last year in the majors, but he was a mess last year.  Throw it out.  Seriously, find a recycle bin and let Philip Humber pick it out.  Means nothing.  If he can get 180 innings this year, he could get 180 Ks.  The ERA may bounce around 4.00, but there’s upside for much more.

Andy Pettitte – Will make his next start on Friday after he pitched 4 shutout innings on Sunday.  May 10th is the target date for his return.  Let’s see if they can coax Posada out of retirement, and then the Yankees can make every day Old Timer’s Day.

Raul Ibanez – 1-for-4, but whatever.  The other day I saw Raul Ibanez on the front page of ESPN’s fantasy coverage talking about how he should be owned.  I was like, “Hmm… Did I miss something between drunk Friday and hangover Saturday?”  So I looked at his stats:  2 homers on the year, 9 RBIs while batting .222.  Why is ESPN pimping this guy?  Oh, that’s right, he plays for the Yankees.  Seriously, imagine he was on any other team.  This guy would get a feature?  He has some huge years on the Phils and never saw any press.  What’s Clay Rapada gotta do to get a feature?  Freddy Garcia can’t get no coverage?  Hey, ESPN, go get your shine box!

Michael Pineda – Threw 26 pitches in a bullpen session.  It’s no marathon bukkake session, but I guess it’s something.

Ike Davis – 1-for-4 with his 2nd homer in as many games.  Hey, Valley Fever, I sneeze in your general direction!

Jason Bay – 1-for-4 with a homer.  So he didn’t retire?

Jason Heyward – 2-for-3 with his 3rd steal.  I love that.  Nothing gets me juices flowing like saying “me” instead of “my” and a guy who isn’t owned for steals stealing a random base.  Get it, Heyward, get it!

Tommy Hanson – 7 IP, 4 ER, 7 baserunners, 4 Ks.  Did we ever establish his over/under for innings pitched this year?  How’s 130 sound?

Cory Luebke – 7 IP, 1 ER, 7 baserunners, 4 Ks in Coors.  I know, sonavabench!  But better a good start on the bench than a bad one and then be worried about his next start too.

Krispie Young – 3-for-4, 1 run, 2 RBIs and his 5th homer.  Looks like there’s some traffic, cause he’s also batting .405.

Matt Wieters – 3-for-4, 5 RBIs and two homers.  Matt Wieters Fact:  He took two years in the majors to fulfill his potential.

Nolan Reimold – 2-for-3 with a pinch hit homer off Santiago.  Now has 3 homers on the year.  Since I’ve spewed nothing but praise for Reimold for the last three years, I’ll save you the time.  I love him.  If you really wanna go there, my Nolan Reimold fantasy.  I wrote it in pink highlighter.

Hector Santiago – 1 IP, 2 ER and the blown save.  On last week’s podcast, I said Santiago wouldn’t get out of April with the closer job.  Cust kayin’.

Philip Humber – 5 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 9 baserunners, 7 Ks.  Starting the week off with a Humber, nice!  Not to be an ageist, but Humber’s 29 years old and hasn’t shown a whole lot.  In AL-Only leagues, he’s solid.  In most mixed leagues, you can probably find better.

Kendrys Morales – 3-for-4, 4 RBIs and his first homer (and RBIs) of the season.  Member when everyone was crazy about Kendrys in the spring?  Ah, yes, those were the days.  We were younger then!  And you had hair!

Glen Perkins – Sounds like Perkins might end up on the DL. So if shizz Cappens, the back up would be… Have the Twins won yet?  Oh, yeah, they have… Okay, so if there’s a Cappsizing… Um, well, there’s the Reading Rainbow favorite, Jared Burton… There’s Brian, the Duensing Machine… There’s Alex Burnett.  Yeah, let’s hope Capps is okay… Wait, I own Capps.  Yeah, I’m not sure what I’m hoping for.

Justin Morneau – 2-for-5 with his 2nd homer and third RBI on the year.  Another 98 homers and he’ll break 100 RBIs.  Oh, Twins.

Stephen Lombardozzi – 4-for-5, 1 run and 2 RBIs as he filled in for Espinosa.  This is worth monitoring in NL-Only leagues.  Lombardozzi has good potential, but I think Espinosa will be back out there.  Though Espinosa is proving to be a painful 20/20.  Like looking at Hugh Downs naked.

Henry Rodriguez – 2nd save yesterday and he has a 0.00 ERA.  Nothing to see there, literally.

Wilson Ramos – Hit his first homer yesterday.  He tried to get it back from the fan who caught it, but the fan wanted $50,000 in unmarked bills dropped off in an abandoned parking lot.  Poor guy…

Mitch Moreland – Should be fine today after having oral surgery.  That Hershiser sure is busy!

James Shields – 8 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 6 baserunners, 5 Ks.  I recall something in the preseason something about you staying away from Shields.  That’s right, Random Italicized Voice, I was worried– You were wrong!  Well, I was– Wrong!  Are you going to let me finish?  Sure.  He has a 3.98 ERA career ERA after 1240 innings.  That’s not the smallest of sample sizes.  He doesn’t look like a sub-3 ERA pitcher like he was last year, but more like a sub-4 ERA.  If you want to look at small sample sizes– Pull down your pants!  Funny.  No, what I was going to say is that his K-rate looks to be reverting to his ‘bad’ ERA years.  On a related note, I tried to see some historical data for Patriot’s Day games because I was wondering if those games are usually low scoring because they’re so early.  I didn’t find any data, but I ended up at Wikipedia where I found this, “Because of the unusually early start time as the first baseball game of the week, many fantasy baseball players are often negatively affected by the early roster lock time. Each year, this date causes havoc with owner’s lineups who are unfamiliar with the early start.”  Are our commenters editing Wikipedia?

Fernando Rodney – Recorded his 4th save.  Aren’t you glad you drafted (fill in one of seventeen injured closers)?

Daniel Bard – 6 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 11 baserunners (7 BBs), 7 Ks as he was throwing 36% sliders.  Looks like the Bard’s already drafting a sequel to Antony & Cleopatra called, Antony & UCLeopatra where their love leads to a rupture that only one doctor in all the land can fix.

Cody Ross – 2-fo-4.  In the Sawx outfield is Ross, Sweeney and McDonald.  That sounds more like a comedy troupe than a MLB OF.  Is that the Boston Groundlings?

Kevin Youkilis – Did not play as Bobby Valentine called into question Youk’s heart.  How can they say that after he played with those two broken thumbs?

 
  1. letsgobravos says:
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    First! Hooray!

    1. I just dumped Chacin for Duffy. Approve?

    2. Are you worried about Espinosa losing playing time to the dude with the weird name who played 2nd today and had 4 hits? Espinosa only has 7 hits on the season thus far…

    • 2 Cups 1 Braun says:
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      @letsgobravos, Good move s I did this after Chacin’s first start where he walked the whole team.

      Yes I’m worried. Espinosa is like owning Ian Desmond last year.

  2. Daniel says:
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    No mention of arrieta? Same exact line as duffy (with the numbers that count for fantasy baseball) , albeit against the white sox instead of tigers. 7 k’s to 1 walk

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Daniel, His walks were a bit terrible in earlier seasons and his K-rates weren’t as good…

      • Daniel says:
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        @Grey, 10.1 k/9 in AA. If he can continue to cut down on the walks (1.8 bb/9 so far in 2012), I think he could get to 175 k’s.

  3. Paulie Allnuts

    Paulie Allnuts says:
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    Grey – Wish I had that crystal ball – woulda drafted Frank-Frank and Rodney on the cheap. Again proves your maxim that you don’t pay for closers.

    please rank pitchers, throwing out those you would never own or spot start:

    Duffy, Wandy, Norris, Peavy, Minor, Cahill, Nolasco, Arrieta, Holland

    Thank you much

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Paulie Allnuts, Wandy, Norris, Peavy, Minor…

  4. hodgedodger says:
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    I believe im going to join u on loving Nolan Reimold. And yes, the throwback to the Jan 10 article sealed it. I now feel the love, understand the love and have brought him on board to witness the love lol. Play ball!!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @hodgedodger, Ha!

  5. chata says:
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    beantown in an uproar that bard threw 107 pitches .

    also , cody ross , the last batter to face rodney , struck out
    by taking 4 pitches …… not one of them even caught a corner
    of the plate .

  6. JesseGeeeee says:
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    Holding onto Trout in a 16 team league. Pretty set on my lineup so should I be silly enough to hold him until his call up?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @JesseGeeeee, Eh, not in a redraft league…

  7. Heavily Invested in Stanton says:
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    Stanton or Bruce? Would you start shopping Stanton?
    Sell high on Krispie Young?
    Cheers!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Heavily Invested in Stanton, Bruce…Depends what you’re selling Krispie for…

  8. Steve says:
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    Not only will I trade you a tractor for Tim Lincecum, I’ll throw in Roy Oswalt as well…

    Two streaming questions:

    1. Colon @ LAA on Wednesday – crazy to even consider it?

    2. Better start on Thursday:

    Hammel @ CWS
    Weiland v PHI

    Or are they both worth a shot if I have room?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Steve, Ha… 1. Crazy 2. Both worth a shot…

  9. whampwhamp says:
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    if I grabbed cozart is there any reason to keep aybar at this point?

    • Tony says:
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      @whampwhamp, aybar is a 10/30 guy you might wanna if you can roster him just to have a back up if cozart slumps, or try and shop him….

  10. Jack of LA says:
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    @grey, is chris davis trying to get fantasy relevant in deep leagues with this string of extra base multi hit games where he doesn’t strike out a ton?

    • Chunk says:
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      @Jack of LA, picked him up in my 16 teamer where I have Reynolds at 3B and Lind at CI. Don’t tell Grey.

  11. TheNewGuy says:
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    Matt Wieters baby! Even counted his 2 walks in my league last night giving him an .833OBP for me last night.

    This is the year! Grey called it.

    • shibboleth says:
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      @TheNewGuy, Matt Wieters snacks on batting donuts!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @TheNewGuy, Oh, yeah!

  12. jrf1009 says:
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    Morning Grey,
    Racking my brain… currently have Youk at 3rd with Hart, Bruce and J Upton in the OF… I’ve been offered D Wright and B Butler for Hart in a 2 for 1 swap. what do you think ?

    • bobbo says:
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      @jrf1009, Seems like more than enough for Hart in my mind even if Wright misses some time… Hart isn’t exactly the model of health. I’d snatch that up in a heartbeat (assuming you have some sort of crap to drop)

      • Tony says:
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        @bobbo, ? accept…. why would anyone offer wright/butler for hart.

        • bobbo says:
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          @Tony, He said he was offered Wright/Butler for Hart… I’m telling him to take it. Are you disagreeing?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @jrf1009, Wright side… Morning!

  13. Omar Comin', Yo! says:
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    When I’m alone in my room, sometimes I stare at some porn,
    but in the back of my mind, I hear a donkeycorn,
    telling me I need a arm, since the Beard’s fell off,
    for the first time in the year, I need SAGNOF!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Omar Comin’, Yo!, HA!

  14. bronson says:
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    fernando martinez is tearing up aaa again. worth an nl-only league stash?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @bronson, 12 team, sure…

  15. Shibboleth says:
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    Grey, you da man, thanks as always. Axford for Gardner? 12team mixed, 6×6 , OBP, SLG, QS, HLD.
    Iannetta
    Pujols
    Uggla
    Castro
    Aramis
    Ike
    Cozart
    Stanton :(, BJ, Bourjos, Boesch, Jay, Smith, Thames
    Laroche
    Gallardo, Latos, Morrow, garza, niese, lewis, Garcia, drabek
    Axford, Marshall, Francisco
    Chapman, Krod

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Shibboleth, You don’t need Gardner…

  16. ThePoonTycoon says:
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    after a minor fantasy message board wig out on lincecum, i checked his peripherals (he fell a bit so i pulled the trigger on draft day). yes, his fastball is down a MPH or 2, but his BABIP is .426, his LOB% is 43.1%, and his HR/FB is 16.7%. his K/9 is 10.54 (highest of his career), BB/9 is 2.63 (lowest of his career), his FIP is 3.32 and his xFIP is 2.64.

    the only concern i see in his peripherals is he’s allowing a 29% LD rate (career ~19%), so maybe when guys make contact he’s allowing a little better contact, but given his K rates, i think that is still just a small sample size deviation.

    all in all, i’d consider making a move for lincecum. his peripherals indicate he should turn around.

    • Omar Comin', Yo! says:
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      @ThePoonTycoon, beyond the peripherals (which are important, of course), watching the games themselves has shown that it’s mostly his command that is missing this year. I don’t know how worried to be at this point, because I don’t know when command issues should start to be worrisome…

      • ThePoonTycoon says:
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        @Omar Comin’, Yo!, i haven’t been able to watch licecum pitch much (east coast here), but it seems kinda odd that if controll is his issue that his BB rate is currently the lowest of his career. i guess maybe he’s missing his spots, but missing in the strike zone, which seems like it’d be an easier fix than trying to cut BBs in half or something if he was all over the place.

        • Omar Comin', Yo! says:
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          @ThePoonTycoon, yeah, not control, but command.

          basically what you said.

  17. dsg says:
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    For the rest of the year: Soto or Iannetta?

    • AL KOHOLIC says:
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      @dsg, yesterday grey said he would put soto in and not worry about it any more

      • Alcesto says:
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        @AL KOHOLIC, not over Ianetta.

        • AL KOHOLIC says:
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          @Alcesto, not specifically,but his point is that if he has a catcher in that tier,he puts him in and leaves him

  18. John says:
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    Drop Liriano for Bard? I just know that liriano is going to burn me as soon as i drop him.. its what he does.

    • TheNewGuy says:
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      @John, Every Liriano question on this site must involve the answer of dropping him. It’s an unwritten rule of razzball.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        @TheNewGuy, Ha

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @John, Bard

    • peter says:
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      @John, Better to be burned by Liriano when he’s not on your team.

  19. Brian says:
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    Started Duffy against the Tigers and Luebke against the Rockies in my H2H. I have no fear. Either that, or I’m an idiot. Not sure yet. Unfortunately, it was all undone by Lincecum….again.

    • Tony says:
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      @Brian, ha u have no fear my friend…. i benched both. Couldnt do it

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Brian, Dah!

  20. TheNewGuy says:
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    The guy with 0ERs allowed in 6IP at the back end of the chi sox bullpen…Matt Thornton.

    Im with you Grey about Santiago, reckon they make the change soon? Thornton could be the best target for the next closer change…dunno why they didn’t give him it to start the year.

    • AL KOHOLIC says:
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      @TheNewGuy, i hope,i just grabbed him in one league

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @TheNewGuy, I picked up Reed, could be Thornton…

  21. El Famous Burrito says:
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    As a guy who dislikes The Red Sox, all I have to say is thank you, Bobby Valentine. 111 pitches for a converted reliever. I’d call you White Dusty but Ron Washington doesn’t need the distraction.

    • Griff says:
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      @El Famous Burrito, You’re getting at least a “Ha!” from Grey for that one

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @El Famous Burrito, Nice!

  22. Mystery Meat says:
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    I have one roster slot for Trevor Cahill, Matt Harrison, or Brandon McCarthy. Who do I go with?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Mystery Meat, Cahill

  23. velveeta fog says:
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    let’s quantify this “love” you speak of: drop rasmus for reimold?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @velveeta fog, Rasmus… Coin flip…

  24. Johnson says:
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    5×5 mixed no MI/CI/ only 3xOF

    Who do I play today? Please pick 2 of 3. Laroche, Duda, Ike

    Also, I was offered Kelly Johnson for Aramis.

    I have Moustakas, Aviles, Espinosa and Allen Craig.

    Do I make the trade?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Johnson, LaRoche, Ike… I’d want Aramis…

  25. Jamiehov says:
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    I’ve loved Reinold since Camden Yards hosted Nolan Reinold bobble head night the week after he was sent down to Bowie

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Jamiehov, Very nice…

  26. Trevor

    Tggq21 says:
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    Grey, would you drop any of these SPs for Duffy?
    12-team,H2H,5×5,BnY!

    Dempster
    Milione
    Chacin?

    Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Tggq21, BnY, Chacin…

  27. Adam says:
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    Grey,
    Would you trade Greinke for Bruce if you needed more pop in the outfield and you already had Madbum, Garza, D. Hudson, Kahill, Peavy?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Adam, Sure

  28. nightpandas says:
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    Stubbs dropped in my 15 team league (7×7 with OPS, K). Pick him up and drop who: JD Martinez, Cahill, Niese, Bedard?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @nightpandas, Bedard

  29. LJ says:
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    Reimold or Rios?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @LJ, Rios

  30. Matt Damon says:
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    What’s up crackaz?!?

    I own Lidge currently. HenRod is available. Drop Lidge for HenRod? Or drop Lidge for a streamable starter instead?

    • ThePoonTycoon says:
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      @Matt Damon, nats seem to be pretty set on alternating closers. both have looked fine, so i don’t see either losing or gaining any more opportunities for now.

  31. Hardcore Midget says:
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    Drop Lorenzo Cain or Colby Rasmus for Reimold?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Hardcore Midget, Cain

  32. Little John says:
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    Would you give Ubaldo to get Lincecum?

    • Chris says:
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      @Little John, Would you get Lincecum for Ubaldo is the question.

      • Big Nate says:
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        @Chris, I’m thinking about offering Ubaldo for Lincecum. Who would you be more worried about?

        • chata says:
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          @Big Nate,

          1st , i’d be worried about the lincecum owner perceiving me as either
          a rip-off artist or a dummy .

          2nd , i’d be worried about guys in my league , like Mr. Baseball ,
          coming on this site and publishing my dirty laundry , and ,

          3rd , i’d be worried about my league-mates who accepted this transaction without wanting to veto it , or complaining about
          conspiracy .

          in short , if you want my lincecum , you better be willing to sweeten
          the pot …. maybe add a closer , who actually has a job … or something like that .

          • Big Nate says:
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            @chata, So the Lincecum owners seem a little high-strung this morning….I guess I will have to wait out another Lincecum start before Ubaldo gets prettier.

            • bobbo says:
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              @Big Nate, Ubaldo will never look that pretty. What chata said… if you are in a league that lets a trade like that slide, you should consider finding a new league.

            • chata says:
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              @Big Nate,

              i don’t own lincecum ,
              but , last year , i drafted and rostered ubaldo ….. ugh .

    • Wilsonian says:
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      @Little John, definitely concur with chata. There’s no way, regardless of how bad Timmy has been, that I even consider Ubaldo for him. And if you’re throwing something else in there, it better be worthwhile, not like Broxton or something along those lines.

  33. TheNewGuy says:
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    Torii’s not hitting so I really need to make a move to pick up the hot-schmotato Reimold. Who would you drop (OBP league):

    -Lidge (possibly losing job to H-rod)
    -R Roberts (bench bat),
    -Peavy (7th starter but recently claimed him),
    – Or give up on Torii himself

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @TheNewGuy, Roberts

  34. Cutch in Locks says:
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    @Grey, would you own Reimold over Rasmus at this point?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Cutch in Locks, Nah…Close though…

  35. Hi Grey —

    In my 16-team roto league, my guys at the corners are Miggy and Wright, and I’ve had inquires from another team about Wright. Obviously, I don’t need to replace him at 3B if I can move Miggy there and find a new 1B. The other team’s 1B is Tex … now I know you aren’t crazy about Tex or about Wright, but if I could get Tex and something else for Wright how big a throw-in should I ask for?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Enrique, Marginal piece… Brain freeze…

  36. Ralph says:
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    Would you drop Joel Peralta or Fuentes? Or are both crap?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Ralph, Both

  37. Move along.... says:
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    Drop raburn for andino? Tabata for viciedo?

    Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Move along…., Andino, Tabata…

  38. Wilsonian says:
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    2 Things:

    1st – I’d like to thank Prince, Longo, Tulo, JUp, and JD for collectively going 0-19 yesterday. Really getting my batting average and OBPS off to fantastic starts.

    2nd – Due to the recent struggles of the Freak and the emergence of Krispie, at this point I don’t know whether to be happy that I dealt Lincecum/Krispie for Doc/BJ in the preseason. It’s kind of manic/depressive. Excited on one side, so so sad on the other…