Tim Lincecum went six innings and gave up a bongillion runs and has a 10.54 ERA on the year. He’s either sharing a UCL with Wilson or he’s about to make a turn around. No pitcher is going to throw a 10.54 ERA without the universe abandoning that whole gravity thing. And in that case, there would be bigger fish to fry, and we’d have to fry that fish in a Jiffy Pop container, otherwise the hot oil would float away. Or so I read in one of Ken Cosgrove’s stories. Will Lincecum have a 2.75 ERA this year? Well, that’s a different bag of flying fried fish. There’s talk that his velocity is down, which makes his change-up less effective. See, you need one to go fast and one to go deceptively less fast. It’s timing, y’all. Could Lincecum be nothing more than a 3.50 ERA pitcher? Yeah, it’s possible, but there’s still value in that. I wouldn’t give the farm in a trade for him, but I’d see if someone was interested in the tractor. Anyway, here’s what else I saw yesterday in fantasy baseball:
Brian Wilson – There’s talk he could rehab and not get Tommy John surgery because he has a moderate UCL sprain. Oh! Is that all? Terrific. Spray some Windex on it and get out there!
Brandon Belt – 1-for-3 with a run as he started for the 2nd straight day. Look at the big brain on Bochy!
Freddy Sanchez – Had a minor setback during his rehab. Hey, I know that impersonation — Josh Hamilton, right? Pretty good, Freddy!
Austin Jackson – 1-for-3, 2nd homer as he bats .405. He’s marching towards history; someone better put Ted Williams’ head in a microwave.
Justin Verlander – 9 IP, 2 ER, 9 baserunners, 9 Ks and a 131 pitches. I couldn’t get a one out save for Valverde here? Throw Grey a bone!
Doug Fister – Threw 10 pitches off the mound and another 90 pitches and, Dougie Fister, you’re on. On, on, on, on, on… But, trust me, you don’t want to see Fister beatbox.
Carlos Gonzalez – Out for three straight days with strep throat. For our Latin American readers, that’s no lymph nodus operandi.
Danny Duffy – 6 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 8 baserunners, 7 Ks vs. the Tigers. You kinda had to have nads of steel if you started Duffy vs. the Tigers. Or whatever the equivalent is for our four girl readers. It’s not even that incredible of a start. Or is it?! There was only one walk. That could make Danny Duffy more than just the cream of the crap on the Royals staff. His problem in the past has been walks, but if he controls that, guess what else he has? Yup. So far, he has 15 Ks in 12 1/3 innings. Sure, it’s a small sample size, but so are your hands and we know that’s a myth. Over 10 K-rate in Triple-A, over 9 in Double-A, over 7 last year in the majors, but he was a mess last year. Throw it out. Seriously, find a recycle bin and let Philip Humber pick it out. Means nothing. If he can get 180 innings this year, he could get 180 Ks. The ERA may bounce around 4.00, but there’s upside for much more.
Andy Pettitte – Will make his next start on Friday after he pitched 4 shutout innings on Sunday. May 10th is the target date for his return. Let’s see if they can coax Posada out of retirement, and then the Yankees can make every day Old Timer’s Day.
Raul Ibanez – 1-for-4, but whatever. The other day I saw Raul Ibanez on the front page of ESPN’s fantasy coverage talking about how he should be owned. I was like, “Hmm… Did I miss something between drunk Friday and hangover Saturday?” So I looked at his stats: 2 homers on the year, 9 RBIs while batting .222. Why is ESPN pimping this guy? Oh, that’s right, he plays for the Yankees. Seriously, imagine he was on any other team. This guy would get a feature? He has some huge years on the Phils and never saw any press. What’s Clay Rapada gotta do to get a feature? Freddy Garcia can’t get no coverage? Hey, ESPN, go get your shine box!
Michael Pineda – Threw 26 pitches in a bullpen session. It’s no marathon bukkake session, but I guess it’s something.
Ike Davis – 1-for-4 with his 2nd homer in as many games. Hey, Valley Fever, I sneeze in your general direction!
Jason Bay – 1-for-4 with a homer. So he didn’t retire?
Jason Heyward – 2-for-3 with his 3rd steal. I love that. Nothing gets me juices flowing like saying “me” instead of “my” and a guy who isn’t owned for steals stealing a random base. Get it, Heyward, get it!
Tommy Hanson – 7 IP, 4 ER, 7 baserunners, 4 Ks. Did we ever establish his over/under for innings pitched this year? How’s 130 sound?
Cory Luebke – 7 IP, 1 ER, 7 baserunners, 4 Ks in Coors. I know, sonavabench! But better a good start on the bench than a bad one and then be worried about his next start too.
Krispie Young – 3-for-4, 1 run, 2 RBIs and his 5th homer. Looks like there’s some traffic, cause he’s also batting .405.
Matt Wieters – 3-for-4, 5 RBIs and two homers. Matt Wieters Fact: He took two years in the majors to fulfill his potential.
Nolan Reimold – 2-for-3 with a pinch hit homer off Santiago. Now has 3 homers on the year. Since I’ve spewed nothing but praise for Reimold for the last three years, I’ll save you the time. I love him. If you really wanna go there, my Nolan Reimold fantasy. I wrote it in pink highlighter.
Hector Santiago – 1 IP, 2 ER and the blown save. On last week’s podcast, I said Santiago wouldn’t get out of April with the closer job. Cust kayin’.
Philip Humber – 5 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 9 baserunners, 7 Ks. Starting the week off with a Humber, nice! Not to be an ageist, but Humber’s 29 years old and hasn’t shown a whole lot. In AL-Only leagues, he’s solid. In most mixed leagues, you can probably find better.
Kendrys Morales – 3-for-4, 4 RBIs and his first homer (and RBIs) of the season. Member when everyone was crazy about Kendrys in the spring? Ah, yes, those were the days. We were younger then! And you had hair!
Glen Perkins – Sounds like Perkins might end up on the DL. So if shizz Cappens, the back up would be… Have the Twins won yet? Oh, yeah, they have… Okay, so if there’s a Cappsizing… Um, well, there’s the Reading Rainbow favorite, Jared Burton… There’s Brian, the Duensing Machine… There’s Alex Burnett. Yeah, let’s hope Capps is okay… Wait, I own Capps. Yeah, I’m not sure what I’m hoping for.
Justin Morneau – 2-for-5 with his 2nd homer and third RBI on the year. Another 98 homers and he’ll break 100 RBIs. Oh, Twins.
Stephen Lombardozzi – 4-for-5, 1 run and 2 RBIs as he filled in for Espinosa. This is worth monitoring in NL-Only leagues. Lombardozzi has good potential, but I think Espinosa will be back out there. Though Espinosa is proving to be a painful 20/20. Like looking at Hugh Downs naked.
Henry Rodriguez – 2nd save yesterday and he has a 0.00 ERA. Nothing to see there, literally.
Wilson Ramos – Hit his first homer yesterday. He tried to get it back from the fan who caught it, but the fan wanted $50,000 in unmarked bills dropped off in an abandoned parking lot. Poor guy…
Mitch Moreland – Should be fine today after having oral surgery. That Hershiser sure is busy!
James Shields – 8 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 6 baserunners, 5 Ks. I recall something in the preseason something about you staying away from Shields. That’s right, Random Italicized Voice, I was worried– You were wrong! Well, I was– Wrong! Are you going to let me finish? Sure. He has a 3.98 ERA career ERA after 1240 innings. That’s not the smallest of sample sizes. He doesn’t look like a sub-3 ERA pitcher like he was last year, but more like a sub-4 ERA. If you want to look at small sample sizes– Pull down your pants! Funny. No, what I was going to say is that his K-rate looks to be reverting to his ‘bad’ ERA years. On a related note, I tried to see some historical data for Patriot’s Day games because I was wondering if those games are usually low scoring because they’re so early. I didn’t find any data, but I ended up at Wikipedia where I found this, “Because of the unusually early start time as the first baseball game of the week, many fantasy baseball players are often negatively affected by the early roster lock time. Each year, this date causes havoc with owner’s lineups who are unfamiliar with the early start.” Are our commenters editing Wikipedia?
Fernando Rodney – Recorded his 4th save. Aren’t you glad you drafted (fill in one of seventeen injured closers)?
Daniel Bard – 6 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 11 baserunners (7 BBs), 7 Ks as he was throwing 36% sliders. Looks like the Bard’s already drafting a sequel to Antony & Cleopatra called, Antony & UCLeopatra where their love leads to a rupture that only one doctor in all the land can fix.
Cody Ross – 2-fo-4. In the Sawx outfield is Ross, Sweeney and McDonald. That sounds more like a comedy troupe than a MLB OF. Is that the Boston Groundlings?
Kevin Youkilis – Did not play as Bobby Valentine called into question Youk’s heart. How can they say that after he played with those two broken thumbs?
First! Hooray!
1. I just dumped Chacin for Duffy. Approve?
2. Are you worried about Espinosa losing playing time to the dude with the weird name who played 2nd today and had 4 hits? Espinosa only has 7 hits on the season thus far…
@letsgobravos, Good move s I did this after Chacin’s first start where he walked the whole team.
Yes I’m worried. Espinosa is like owning Ian Desmond last year.
No mention of arrieta? Same exact line as duffy (with the numbers that count for fantasy baseball) , albeit against the white sox instead of tigers. 7 k’s to 1 walk
@Daniel, His walks were a bit terrible in earlier seasons and his K-rates weren’t as good…
@Grey, 10.1 k/9 in AA. If he can continue to cut down on the walks (1.8 bb/9 so far in 2012), I think he could get to 175 k’s.
Grey – Wish I had that crystal ball – woulda drafted Frank-Frank and Rodney on the cheap. Again proves your maxim that you don’t pay for closers.
please rank pitchers, throwing out those you would never own or spot start:
Duffy, Wandy, Norris, Peavy, Minor, Cahill, Nolasco, Arrieta, Holland
Thank you much
@Paulie Allnuts, Wandy, Norris, Peavy, Minor…
I believe im going to join u on loving Nolan Reimold. And yes, the throwback to the Jan 10 article sealed it. I now feel the love, understand the love and have brought him on board to witness the love lol. Play ball!!
@hodgedodger, Ha!
beantown in an uproar that bard threw 107 pitches .
also , cody ross , the last batter to face rodney , struck out
by taking 4 pitches …… not one of them even caught a corner
of the plate .
Holding onto Trout in a 16 team league. Pretty set on my lineup so should I be silly enough to hold him until his call up?
@JesseGeeeee, Eh, not in a redraft league…
Stanton or Bruce? Would you start shopping Stanton?
Sell high on Krispie Young?
Cheers!
@Heavily Invested in Stanton, Bruce…Depends what you’re selling Krispie for…
Not only will I trade you a tractor for Tim Lincecum, I’ll throw in Roy Oswalt as well…
Two streaming questions:
1. Colon @ LAA on Wednesday – crazy to even consider it?
2. Better start on Thursday:
Hammel @ CWS
Weiland v PHI
Or are they both worth a shot if I have room?
@Steve, Ha… 1. Crazy 2. Both worth a shot…
if I grabbed cozart is there any reason to keep aybar at this point?
@whampwhamp, aybar is a 10/30 guy you might wanna if you can roster him just to have a back up if cozart slumps, or try and shop him….
@grey, is chris davis trying to get fantasy relevant in deep leagues with this string of extra base multi hit games where he doesn’t strike out a ton?
@Jack of LA, picked him up in my 16 teamer where I have Reynolds at 3B and Lind at CI. Don’t tell Grey.
Matt Wieters baby! Even counted his 2 walks in my league last night giving him an .833OBP for me last night.
This is the year! Grey called it.
@TheNewGuy, Matt Wieters snacks on batting donuts!
@TheNewGuy, Oh, yeah!
Morning Grey,
Racking my brain… currently have Youk at 3rd with Hart, Bruce and J Upton in the OF… I’ve been offered D Wright and B Butler for Hart in a 2 for 1 swap. what do you think ?
@jrf1009, Seems like more than enough for Hart in my mind even if Wright misses some time… Hart isn’t exactly the model of health. I’d snatch that up in a heartbeat (assuming you have some sort of crap to drop)
@bobbo, ? accept…. why would anyone offer wright/butler for hart.
@Tony, He said he was offered Wright/Butler for Hart… I’m telling him to take it. Are you disagreeing?
@jrf1009, Wright side… Morning!
When I’m alone in my room, sometimes I stare at some porn,
but in the back of my mind, I hear a donkeycorn,
telling me I need a arm, since the Beard’s fell off,
for the first time in the year, I need SAGNOF!
@Omar Comin’, Yo!, HA!
fernando martinez is tearing up aaa again. worth an nl-only league stash?
@bronson, 12 team, sure…
Grey, you da man, thanks as always. Axford for Gardner? 12team mixed, 6×6 , OBP, SLG, QS, HLD.
Iannetta
Pujols
Uggla
Castro
Aramis
Ike
Cozart
Stanton :(, BJ, Bourjos, Boesch, Jay, Smith, Thames
Laroche
Gallardo, Latos, Morrow, garza, niese, lewis, Garcia, drabek
Axford, Marshall, Francisco
Chapman, Krod
@Shibboleth, You don’t need Gardner…
after a minor fantasy message board wig out on lincecum, i checked his peripherals (he fell a bit so i pulled the trigger on draft day). yes, his fastball is down a MPH or 2, but his BABIP is .426, his LOB% is 43.1%, and his HR/FB is 16.7%. his K/9 is 10.54 (highest of his career), BB/9 is 2.63 (lowest of his career), his FIP is 3.32 and his xFIP is 2.64.
the only concern i see in his peripherals is he’s allowing a 29% LD rate (career ~19%), so maybe when guys make contact he’s allowing a little better contact, but given his K rates, i think that is still just a small sample size deviation.
all in all, i’d consider making a move for lincecum. his peripherals indicate he should turn around.
@ThePoonTycoon, beyond the peripherals (which are important, of course), watching the games themselves has shown that it’s mostly his command that is missing this year. I don’t know how worried to be at this point, because I don’t know when command issues should start to be worrisome…
@Omar Comin’, Yo!, i haven’t been able to watch licecum pitch much (east coast here), but it seems kinda odd that if controll is his issue that his BB rate is currently the lowest of his career. i guess maybe he’s missing his spots, but missing in the strike zone, which seems like it’d be an easier fix than trying to cut BBs in half or something if he was all over the place.
@ThePoonTycoon, yeah, not control, but command.
basically what you said.
For the rest of the year: Soto or Iannetta?
@dsg, yesterday grey said he would put soto in and not worry about it any more
@AL KOHOLIC, not over Ianetta.
@Alcesto, not specifically,but his point is that if he has a catcher in that tier,he puts him in and leaves him
Drop Liriano for Bard? I just know that liriano is going to burn me as soon as i drop him.. its what he does.
@John, Every Liriano question on this site must involve the answer of dropping him. It’s an unwritten rule of razzball.
@TheNewGuy, Ha
@John, Bard
@John, Better to be burned by Liriano when he’s not on your team.
Started Duffy against the Tigers and Luebke against the Rockies in my H2H. I have no fear. Either that, or I’m an idiot. Not sure yet. Unfortunately, it was all undone by Lincecum….again.
@Brian, ha u have no fear my friend…. i benched both. Couldnt do it
@Brian, Dah!
The guy with 0ERs allowed in 6IP at the back end of the chi sox bullpen…Matt Thornton.
Im with you Grey about Santiago, reckon they make the change soon? Thornton could be the best target for the next closer change…dunno why they didn’t give him it to start the year.
@TheNewGuy, i hope,i just grabbed him in one league
@TheNewGuy, I picked up Reed, could be Thornton…
As a guy who dislikes The Red Sox, all I have to say is thank you, Bobby Valentine. 111 pitches for a converted reliever. I’d call you White Dusty but Ron Washington doesn’t need the distraction.
@El Famous Burrito, You’re getting at least a “Ha!” from Grey for that one
@El Famous Burrito, Nice!
I have one roster slot for Trevor Cahill, Matt Harrison, or Brandon McCarthy. Who do I go with?
@Mystery Meat, Cahill
let’s quantify this “love” you speak of: drop rasmus for reimold?
@velveeta fog, Rasmus… Coin flip…
5×5 mixed no MI/CI/ only 3xOF
Who do I play today? Please pick 2 of 3. Laroche, Duda, Ike
Also, I was offered Kelly Johnson for Aramis.
I have Moustakas, Aviles, Espinosa and Allen Craig.
Do I make the trade?
@Johnson, LaRoche, Ike… I’d want Aramis…
I’ve loved Reinold since Camden Yards hosted Nolan Reinold bobble head night the week after he was sent down to Bowie
@Jamiehov, Very nice…
Grey, would you drop any of these SPs for Duffy?
12-team,H2H,5×5,BnY!
Dempster
Milione
Chacin?
Thanks!
@Tggq21, BnY, Chacin…
Grey,
Would you trade Greinke for Bruce if you needed more pop in the outfield and you already had Madbum, Garza, D. Hudson, Kahill, Peavy?
@Adam, Sure
Stubbs dropped in my 15 team league (7×7 with OPS, K). Pick him up and drop who: JD Martinez, Cahill, Niese, Bedard?
@nightpandas, Bedard
Reimold or Rios?
@LJ, Rios
What’s up crackaz?!?
I own Lidge currently. HenRod is available. Drop Lidge for HenRod? Or drop Lidge for a streamable starter instead?
@Matt Damon, nats seem to be pretty set on alternating closers. both have looked fine, so i don’t see either losing or gaining any more opportunities for now.
Drop Lorenzo Cain or Colby Rasmus for Reimold?
@Hardcore Midget, Cain
Would you give Ubaldo to get Lincecum?
@Little John, Would you get Lincecum for Ubaldo is the question.
@Chris, I’m thinking about offering Ubaldo for Lincecum. Who would you be more worried about?
@Big Nate,
1st , i’d be worried about the lincecum owner perceiving me as either
a rip-off artist or a dummy .
2nd , i’d be worried about guys in my league , like Mr. Baseball ,
coming on this site and publishing my dirty laundry , and ,
3rd , i’d be worried about my league-mates who accepted this transaction without wanting to veto it , or complaining about
conspiracy .
in short , if you want my lincecum , you better be willing to sweeten
the pot …. maybe add a closer , who actually has a job … or something like that .
@chata, So the Lincecum owners seem a little high-strung this morning….I guess I will have to wait out another Lincecum start before Ubaldo gets prettier.
@Big Nate, Ubaldo will never look that pretty. What chata said… if you are in a league that lets a trade like that slide, you should consider finding a new league.
@Big Nate,
i don’t own lincecum ,
but , last year , i drafted and rostered ubaldo ….. ugh .
@Little John, definitely concur with chata. There’s no way, regardless of how bad Timmy has been, that I even consider Ubaldo for him. And if you’re throwing something else in there, it better be worthwhile, not like Broxton or something along those lines.
Torii’s not hitting so I really need to make a move to pick up the hot-schmotato Reimold. Who would you drop (OBP league):
-Lidge (possibly losing job to H-rod)
-R Roberts (bench bat),
-Peavy (7th starter but recently claimed him),
– Or give up on Torii himself
@TheNewGuy, Roberts
@Grey, would you own Reimold over Rasmus at this point?
@Cutch in Locks, Nah…Close though…
Hi Grey —
In my 16-team roto league, my guys at the corners are Miggy and Wright, and I’ve had inquires from another team about Wright. Obviously, I don’t need to replace him at 3B if I can move Miggy there and find a new 1B. The other team’s 1B is Tex … now I know you aren’t crazy about Tex or about Wright, but if I could get Tex and something else for Wright how big a throw-in should I ask for?
@Enrique, Marginal piece… Brain freeze…
Would you drop Joel Peralta or Fuentes? Or are both crap?
@Ralph, Both
Drop raburn for andino? Tabata for viciedo?
Thanks!
@Move along…., Andino, Tabata…
2 Things:
1st – I’d like to thank Prince, Longo, Tulo, JUp, and JD for collectively going 0-19 yesterday. Really getting my batting average and OBPS off to fantastic starts.
2nd – Due to the recent struggles of the Freak and the emergence of Krispie, at this point I don’t know whether to be happy that I dealt Lincecum/Krispie for Doc/BJ in the preseason. It’s kind of manic/depressive. Excited on one side, so so sad on the other…
@Wilsonian, Our offenses have been terrible too…And we have Votto and Longoria in leagues…
@Grey, yeah, I mean I know it’s a long season, so it’s not like I’m giving up on them, but damn, they’re putting me into a hole early in my H2H leagues. Just hope they heat up and carry me into the promised land. I’ve got Kemp on one team, too, and his back is getting sore from carrying those assholes…
Need some trade advice. Guy in my league wants speed. I have lots. He is one of the easier guys in the league to swindle.
Guys I have that he wants:
Tabata, Stubbs, Jennings, DGordon
Guys he has that I would consider:
Phillips, Freese, Ethier, Weeks
Might have to throw in a reliever to get one of the better guys off him, but I’m not strong at 2b and I have plenty of relief. Thoughts? I’d like to continue this guy’s streak of getting killed in trades.
@Alex,
why ?
what you’re attempting to do weakens leagues .
@chata,
I sort of agree with your feelings on this, which is why I’m not trying to screw this guy out of any of his a-list players (like Doc, Gonzalez, Young or Hamilton). To that end, I suppose I misrepresented my intent. More than pulling off a heist, I don’t want to be the first person in our league (which has had roughly the same members for a few years) to really lose a trade with this guy. My buddies would never let me live it down.
@Alex, Wait, ripping people off in trades weakens leagues? Caveat emptor, my sons.
And none of the guys you’re offering, in exchange for the guys you’re considering, seems like a league-weakening trade to me. (Unlike, say, Ubaldo for Lincecum.)
If you’ve got another SS option, you might want to shop Dee Gordon, before everyone looks past his 7 steals and sees his .273 OBP.
@Baron Von Vulturewins,
“…ripping people off in trades weakens leagues?”
i believe it does , Baron .
eventually , the “fish” won’t return .
in keeper or dynasty leagues , you’re , then , left continually searching for replacement owner(s) willing to take over bottom-dwelling team that have been raped by “astute” owners or just mismanaged out of neglect .
call me “old school” , “out-of-step” or whatever , but i believe that :
a) a handshake is a handshake ,
b) a man is as good as his word , and ,
c) trades , at the out-set , should be fair for both parties .
anything less , i find unscrupulous ,
and will try and dis-associate myself from the situation .
to each , his own , i guess .
@chata, I’m with you on the handshakes and the good-as-your-word, but who decides when a trade is a ripoff? You or the other party? You’re consenting adults. I’ve seen many superficially lopsided-looking trades turn out to work quite well for the so-called fish.
If in the first week of last season someone had offered Mark Trumbo for Adam Dunn, that might have seemed like a rip-off. End of season, not so much.
It’s always more fun to play in a league with people of roughly equal knowledge/expertise/level of participation. But assuming you always know better than your sadsack leaguemates what constitutes a fair trade is far more patronizing to them than making the trades in the first place. People are in the game to play the game, not to be protected from themselves by other people.
Susie didn’t commit suicide, she was MURDERED….BY JERRY SEINFELD!
Lincecum is killing me right now
@Buddo Chezuski, Ha!
UT spot, Can u rank? Boesch, Morales or Logan Morrison
@I’m Keith Hernandez, Morrison, Boesch…
Have you been holding onto that Ramos liner all Spring? I just about spit coffee on my laptop! Have a great week Grey, thanks as always for the insight and commentary.
@Switch Hitter, Nah, thought of it last night… Thanks!
I’d like to get excited about Reimold too, but his legs keep me from picking him up. I need an everyday guy in LF to take over for Prado. Is Reimold trustworthy to be in the lineup every day?
@frank rizzo, He’ll sit on occasion…
Good Morning Grey,Nice Pulp Fiction quote.
Been eyeballing Reimold. Carrying 5 OF’ers in a Yahoo 6×6 (+ OBP and Holds) and 2 Util spots. Here is how I have them (OF’ers) ranked,
Dreaded Pirate
Bruuuuuuce
Adam Jones
LoMo (knee issues may keep him from reaching his full fantasy potential)
Gardener (platoon may keep him from reaching his full fantasy potential)
Bill Butler – plays in the Util spot (Cabrera my 1b and Beltre my 3b)
LaRoche – plays in my Util spot (Cabrera my 1b), picked him up yesterday.
Is Reimold enough of an upgrade over these Util and OF players?
Thanks in advance.
@Cahhhhh-stanza, Thanks! Over LaRoche…
@ Grey :
cueto @ lohse
is the weather going to be hot enough in st. loo to expect fireworks ?
even money … lohse plunks votto … below the hip .
@chata, think Cueto is going to end the career of anymore backup catchers?
@Wilsonian, ^^^^^ rofl!!
@Wilsonian, Sweep the legs Cueto! That guy kicks like a jaguar!
@Grey:
Nice write up. Great stuff as always.
12 team H2H pts league
Can you help me evaluate this trade? I currently start Bonifacio at 3b, and have a pretty deep rotation. My closers are Marshall, Johnson, Perez, and Santiago.
I give:Luebke and Marshall
I get: Beltre and Leake
@joe from point pleasant, Damn Joe, johnson, Perez, and Santiago might end up giving you hemorrhoids by the end of the season lol. If your league gives points for holds you should be good but there might be a chance you end up with just Johnson getting you closer points……..Jim Johnson closer pts
@PrinceRudyNasim,
I think that Johnson and Marshall are two good closer options, albeit a lack of K’s from Johnson (but in a points league it doenst matter as much).
Perez has looked better of late, and apparently is 100% healthy unlike last year when he was pitching with nagging injuries. Who knows what will happen with him…
Santiago throws gas, and has the role for now so I will take it.. SAGNOF is SAGNOF.
@joe from point pleasant, Beltre
Schmohawk central here. Pick one bat to replace Heisey at my Util (deeeep 16 teamer):
Colvin, Sogard (should be saved just for razzball leagues really), X-man, M Carpenter….ugh stick with Heisey?
@TheNewGuy, Heisey
I’m thinking of trading Weiters for an outfielder. I just picked up Ramos from FA to replace him. What outfielders would be fair to target for Weiters and would you be happy with Ramos going forward.
@ritzer, #2 OF…
Grey:
Please pick and rank three or so names from the following list for a possible fifth OF while they’re hot(ish). This is in a 16-team one-year roto league.
So far, I have a little more need for speed than power but I think that’ll take care of itself over time (I have Bourjos, Stubbs, Wright, and Desmond with a combined 3 SBs so far). Plus, your maxim that it’s easier to find speed than power on waivers later on. The candidates:
Luke Scott
Denard Span
Alex Presley
Eric Thames
Juan Rivera
Nate Schierholtz
Jesus Guzman
Ryan Sweeney
Thanks!
@Enrique, Scott, Presley, Sweeney…
In a 3 year dynasty, standard 5×5….
Who would you rather have for 1B/UTIL? Lind or Goldschmidt?
@Chris, Goldschmidt
I am in a 20 team h2h dynasty league. I just got offered danny duffy for mat gamel. Do I consider this trade?
c jp arencibia
1b miguel cabrera
2b neil walker
ss yunel escobar
3b evan longoria
inf prince fielder
lf carl crawford
cf peter bourjos
rf justin upton
of carlos lee
util vernon wells
bn ryan lavernway
Bn miguel Sano
Bn mat gamel
sp clayton kershaw
sp cliff lee
sp ubaldo jiminez
sp jon lester
rp jason motte
rp matt throton
rp matt reynolds
rp matt capps
p scott downs
p brad peacock
bn aaron harang
bn scott downs
bn garrett richards
bn blake beaven
bn brian matusz
@Ryan, Sure, it’s fair…
Also, I love that Reimold is getting the Alex Gordon treatment from the Orioles. Not only letting him finally play full time, but also batting him leadoff just for s’s and g’s!
I see big things for him this year if he can stay healthy…
@Chris, S’s and g’s!
Eff…effin…Patriot’s Day in the eff hole…neeeeext…
@ Grey
10- team H2H scoring
Looking to trade pitching but a lot of people stream in the league so pitchers are criminally undervalued in the league. I am terrible at assessing fair value so please help!!
Gallarado = what Outfielder in value
F-Her = what Outfielder in value
Thanks!!
@RealMcCoy, #1’s…
yo whut up dawgs ( randy jackson voice)…….. So am having this dilemma( maybe its early season jitters bc i lost Ells)….
Starting at 2B I have Espinosa, would you drop this guy for K. Johnson? Kipris, and Neil the steel Walker are FAs too. or should i feel obligated to own 2 from this group in a 12 team h2h no matter what my team looks like?
@PrinceRudyNasim, I’d hold for now…
One more question for today
Is this trade fair value
Team A gets= Wieters, Bruce, Zimmerman
Team B gets= Ramos, Moustakas, Gallarado, F-Her
@RealMcCoy, A A A All day long
@RealMcCoy, damn thats a crazy trade. Zimmerman the 3b or pitcher?? I’ll tell you this much if team be has any pitching they can trade out after getting Gall, and Felix I would take the trade if am team B. Im pretty sure in a 10 team league they are plenty of hitters in FA with out even looking that deep…….. Am i wrong here but unless this is a 10 team NFBC format, should the moose even be owned?
@PrinceRudyNasim,
Zimmerman the pitcher.
Team A will be left with Madbum, Gio, Dempster, Sherzer, and room to stream. Moose is currently on Team A’s bench
Zimmerman is Team B’s best pitcher.
Best hitters in FA are Infante, Headley, JD, AJ (Lind, Boujos, Rios, Hunter, Soto, Tabata, LaRoach also available)
@RealMcCoy, Team A shouldnt get caught up in the “Catcher hype” especially in a H2H league. I look at it this way in a H2H pts league, Gall and Ramos can match or even exceed Zim and Wieter pts wise. Then it comes down to Felix for Bruce. Bruce is the man but in a H2H league this guy desappears from time to time. I would try trading for a hitter with power but a bit better avg bc Felix is way too consistant week in and out and hes a BIG name.
@RealMcCoy, Zimmerman=3B, Zimmermann=SP
@stumanji, i never noticed this!!!
Just an FYI, me and the other three girls would have “Ovaries of Iron.”
@Persephone Garciaparra, Nice! Figured polyurethane fallopians…
@Grey, LOL
hmm, inquired about lincecum in a league, got offered back lincecum for hosmer. but that leaves me scour the wire for a 1B. he has freeman. do i ocunter hosmer for freeman + lincecum? fwiw, my pitching is near the top of the league, just thought i might could buy cheap.
also, worth discussing stanton in that deal? his lingereing knee problems have me worried this could be a pretty meh season and instead of making him a minor avg drain, making him a big time avg drain. plus throw in petco east. i’ve got more depth with OF too and could probably withstand losing stanton more than hosmer due to the replacement level available.
as said above, i think lincecum bounces back. take away the first inning last night and he was good. his peripherals look good, just needs a to hit his spots a little better and have his luck even out.
any and all opinions welcome.
@ThePoonTycoon, Is this different than above?
@Grey, yeah, just wondering about the trade possibilities, or if you are sold on lincecum not being OK moving forward.
@ThePoonTycoon, I’d want Hosmer… I think he can bounce back somewhat… But I’d be more interested in trading like a $12 salad or a late #2 OF for him… Same with Stanton…
Adam Lind was dropped in my league. Should I drop Dunn for Lind?
@Chris,
Follow up question to whomever answers the above. Is it worth dropping Lind for Encarnacion at this point?
@RealMcCoy, I’d hold for now…
@Chris, Grab Lind…
@Grey — Drop one of Henry Rodriguez, Balfour, Frank Frank, Chris Perez, or Casilla for Aroldis? Thanks!
@Fonzie Guillen, Eh, unless it’s a Holds league…
@Grey, Meh, it’s not. Thanks!
beavis/butthead *hehe he said ‘bongillion’ for lincecum runs hehe
@dingers, hehe
Grey,
Would you drop either Ubaldo or Kenley Jansen for Duffy? I could use some saves, so I hesitate to drop Jansen too early. However, I’m not dying to wait on Jansen all year if Duffy could quickly turn out to be a stud.
@Aaron, Depends on league size…
@Grey, 10 teams, 10 pitchers per
I have quality starters: Strasburg, Hamels, Gio, Zimmermann, Romero, Darvish (?), Ubaldo, Anibal. However, I don’t want to miss out on Duffy if he’s one of the next great starters. My closers: S.Marshall and K.Jansen. You can see what I think about closers.
@Aaron, Lose Jansen
Hey Grey, would you start C.Lewis in Boston today?
@Moscowitz, I’ve owned Colby in a H2H pts daily league since his 1st start since coming back to the major and If I’ve followed all of his starts. Dont pitch this guys vs team with pop bc he will break your heart. On top of that hes facing Lester too. Those are not good odds. If you stick to pitching this guy against the bottom 20 teams you can end up with some really good stats at the end of the yr.
@PrinceRudyNasim, Thanks. Well to be honest i asked just in order to get a confirmation of my own thoughts. Red Sox mash at home and Colby often has issues keeping the ball in park. I dont have ice in my veins and not enough cojones to drop him out today.
@Moscowitz, Yup
Is Worley on an innings limit this season? His name makes him sound older than he is (24 yo). Only 131 IP last year. Think they cap him around 160?
@Charles, He had 50 in the minors. Def No cap or him this year.
Bumgarner for one of Pence or Sandoval?
I have crap offense and sitting on what looks to be a great starting staff:
Bum, Shields (ha! fingers crossed…), Zimmerman, Marcum, Anibal, Peavy.
But Pence bores me — and the Phillies look awful…
My relevant offensive players:
1/3: Hosmer, Beltre, Arod, Larouche (meaning I’m playing Sandoval where?)
OF: Cargo, Heyward, Melky, Crawford*, some combination of Logan Morrison, Alex Rios, Jordan Schafer, Jon Jay
@Bizarro, Pence is fair…
@Bizarro, I’d do either of those deals, assuming they would be accepted. You could try Bum/Arod for Panda/OF or SP too. I wouldn’t worry too much about the Phillies offense. Pence will hit.
Broxton or Marshall for H-rod?
@Deadwoods, Hold
Casilla over Bell? Santiago over Bell? Bell pisses me off.
@GTS, take a step back from the ledge…if anything, trade Bell instead of considering guys that might not either A. Have the job, or B. Have a short leash.
Grey,
Nolan Reimold or Raburn ROS? Raburn is really shitting the bed at this point, I know its early, but Reimold could provide more, No?
@Grey,
Belt is also available…
@HotRod, Reimold
An oddity:
Luebke has a career road ERA of nearly a run and a half lower than his career home ERA. FIP and xFIP are both > .50 lower on the road. Petco is much harder on LHB than RHB, so that probably has something to do with it. Still surprising, though.
@Feeding the Abscess, That is weird…
Doug E. Fresh ftw.
@sean, Hehe
I love the NL but playing in a deep NL only league is pretty depressing at times……Dropped Scott Rolen as my 1B/3B and I am now going with no 1B/3B and picking up Tyle Colvin to put in my Util until Rizzo saves the day!
That is how much I hate Scott Rolen is that I would rather not have a first basemen than have him on my team. Loney just became available on waivers…….stay away from him too? Is he Rolen 2.0?
Curious about your thoughts on NL keeper leagues and the adjustment when the Astros move out next season. Is everyone staying away from any Astros (not many keepers anyway) and how does this work in NL only leagues when the switch happens?
@bean, Loney over Colvin…
@Grey, Colvin over Rizzo for a Util spot?
No bench / 12-team NL Only Roto
@bean, Yeah
Just wanted to say thanks!
@Jack, You’re welcome!
Love the blog, big fan. Anyways, I feel like I have 1B locked down with Goldschimdt, Votto, and Lind. I am wondering if since I need some OF help if I should pick up Brennan Boesch, Drew Stubbs, Nolan Reimold or Peter Bourjeous? Would it makes sense to drop Lind or Goldy, and pick up one of the above? Or am I underselling Lind’s potential in a contract year? Thanks.
@Holmes, Thanks! I wouldn’t drop Lind yet…
Would you trade my Strasburg & Span for Lincecum & Swisher? Want to deal Strasburg at some point due to innings limit…
@HotRod,
I wouldn’t do that deal, but I don’t know your weaknesses.
Drop Rasmus for Reimold in a 10-team mix? 5OF/U spot.
@sean, Eh
In a two catcher league that uses OBP and SLG instead of AVG, I have Soto and Meresco. Pierzynski and Ruiz are on the wire. Should I make a move? Drop one? Drop both? I hate catchers. Thanks!
@lou rodney, Pierzynski over Mesoraco…
Is this the tractor – somebody is offering me Lincecum and Ryan Roberts for Santiago Casilla and Dee Gordon. What do you think?
@Schmohawks Bob, It’s fair… You could lose that one if you need steals…
Vargas marginer for Wed?
When Santiago loses it…who closes?
@Wake Up, Reed, I hope… Might be Thornton who should’ve been the closer the whole time…. Sure re: Vargas…
@Grey, Thanks.
Finally getting to the podcast.
You still think Lidge gets more saves than HanKRod? I have to disagree on that one.
Shizz Cappens…
@Wake Up, Ha… It does… Rodriguez is a bit of a mess (wild), but so is Lidge… Could go either way still…
What is the RSS on the podcast sir?
Has Lincecum dropped in the rankings (I assume he has….).
Who’s his equivalent starter now?
@ujoh, Around 35th…
12 team 5 x 5 Roto – Desperate for some offense…… I just dropped Tabata to get Reimold… (Other OFs Gardner, Heyward, Morrison, Presley, Ross) Crazy or not?
@Euroalien, It’s okay…
Grey,
Would you trade my Strasburg & Span for Lincecum & Swisher? Want to deal Strasburg at some point due to innings limit…
@HotRod, I wouldn’t…
drop Pastornicky for Robert Andino or Willie Bloomquist in 16-team H2H-POINTS League?
@Commish Cauda, Eh
Thanks for making me feel better about benching both Luebke and Duffy and starting Timmy. I’m off the ledge.
@Huck1110, Sorry, boo.
As per your mandate im putting Cozart and Reimold on all my teams that i can. I’m having a hard time deciding if i should cut Frency for Reimold in my deep keeper league.
@MeanMachine, I’d hold for now…
@Grey, Thank you Obi1
Would you dump any of these for Reimold?
Rios
Boesch
D. Young
@DjlanceRauch, Young
I got trade offer
Felix hernandez(i have him) for Asdrubal Cabrera and Alexi Ogando
I need holds and a shortstop
My other starting pitchers are:
Matt Cain
Johan Santana
Neftali Feliz
Lance Lynn
Jeff Samardzija
My current shortstops are ruben tejda and kyle seager
My hitters are:
Matt Kemp
Carlos Santana
Eric Hosmer
Giancarlo Stanton
Cameron Maybin
Ryan Roberts
Jesus Montero
Adam LaRoche
Emilio Bonifacio
to name a few
@John, Hold…
With Bumgarner,Latos,Cain, Hamels and Verlander already in my lineup, I pulled the chute on Lincecum and got much needed OF help in Holliday yesterday before he craped the bed again last night.Too little? or fair value
@Doug Ault, More fair than you would’ve got today…
What do you guys think? 12 team mixed 5×5. Being offered MadBum and Balfour for Pence. My O is good, but staff is Latos/Moore/D.Hudson/Feliz/Cahill with no closers.
@Quinn, I’d take Bum
D Hudson /Choo for Lincecum/Duda?
@nightpandas, Choo side, it’s fair…
Ha! I didn’t even have to click the “two broken thumbs” link… knew immediately who was going to be pictured. Well played, sir. Now a moment of silence for Susie…
@Awesomus Maximus, Should’ve never licked those envelopes…
@Grey, No… that was Susan (or Lily, if you ask Kramer). Susie was Elaine’s made up co-worker in the episode where Mike the bookie gets his thumbs broken.
@Awesomus Maximus, Oh, yeah… My bad…
Do you realize you could have 50k followers on twitter if you just took each one of these snippets of info and broke them up into individual tweets?
@IowaCubs, Random Italicized Voice doesn’t do 140 characters.
Dynasty points league — Colby Rasmus for Aroldis Chapman?
@Doog, Tough call… Rasmus…
@Grey,
Thanks. One more, if you would be so kind: Would you do Rasmus and Addison Reed for Austin Jackson and Chapman?
@Doog, Yup…
I get: Anibal Sanchez / Curtis Granderson
I give: Gallarado / F-Her
Good/fair trade?
@Rusty Rimrounder, Not crazy about it…
Please don’t ever mention bukkake again, this is an online fantasy site fer chrissakes. And don’t mention Brown Necktie, Rear Admiral, ATM, Cleveland Steamer, DVDA, Pasadena Mudslide or Vernon Wells.
@Dick Schofield, Done, done, and definitely done…
@Dick Schofield, Well, it depends on what kind of fantasy you’re into.
BTW, after Kendrys’ (s’s?) first regseason HR since The Celebraketion Scoscia said, “I was happy he got around the bases in one piece.” Early candidate for The Weeklie Razzballie? You do have that award, right? I’m new here.
@Dick Schofield, Did he really say that? That’s funny…
would it be crazy to dump Sparkakis for his teammate Reimold? 10 team 6×6 w OPS.
Yup
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