List season continues this week here at Razzball. It’s a stressful time for yours truly, if I’m honest with myself, as I don’t have time to write about everything I’m noticing just under the surface of prospect world. Stress isn’t negative all the time. It’s also an exciting time. Tickles the geek inside my haunted carnival of a baseball mind to check in with each and every prospect and rearrange them rung by rung, tier by tier. 

51-75 was the toughest group on the list, in terms of my mind’s ability to settle on a decision and turn the page to the next task. It chewed through hour after hour of my life like the hungry caterpillar, and now I have a tummy ache. 

I’ll try to stay concise in between the tiers here, but you can access a more in-depth consideration of each individual player by clicking on their names or skimming around in the 2022 Minor League Preview Index

Here’s a link to the Top 25, Prospect Rankings Update: Corbin Carroll Headlines Top 25 for June 22.

And here’s a link to the Top 50, Prospect Rankings Update: New Top 50 for June 2022

 

51. RHP Gavin Stone | Dodgers | 23 | AA | 2022

52. SS Anthony Volpe | Yankees | Yankees | 21 | AA | 2023

53. RHP Taj Bradley | Rays | 21 | AA | 2023

54. SS Bryson Stott | Phillies | 24 | AAA | 2022

55. 2B 3B OF Enmanuel Valdez | Astros | 23 | AAA | 2022

56. IF/OF Cedanne Rafaela | Red Sox | 21 | AA | 2023

Gavin Stone jumped little on the list when he struck out 13 AA Royals in six scoreless innings on June 7, bringing his Double-A ERA to 0.41 and K/9 to 15.14 in 22 innings. He jumped again when Walker Buehler got pulled from his Friday-night start due to elbow pain. Feels like a stars-aligning moment where Stone is zeroed in just as the Dodgers might have room to let a guy race to the majors. I know they have other options, but pitching is as pitching does, and Stone’s been throwing rocks all season.

Anthony Volpe is figuring some things out at AA, slashing .278/.352/.468 with two home runs and six stolen bases over his last 20 games. While those aren’t amazing numbers, he’s three years younger than his average competitor at that level, and I bring an extra lens to young-for-level players who can recover from an awful slump without being demoted. 

Tampa gets a lot out of their pitchers. Taj Bradley is the most talented non-Baz arm in their system. 

Bryson Stott’s outcomes are on the uptick, and I suspect he’ll find more consistent opportunities in the post-Girardi era. 

In most leagues, Enmanuel Valdez has functionally zero name value in a trade scenario, so he’s tough to place on a list like this. Trade value is by no means the focus here, where we’re trying to skate toward where the puck will soon be more than where it is now, but trade value has to be part of any functional dynasty ranking rubric, and Valdez might never catch that kind of shine (I think he will). Houston keeps enough in-house that their prospects often end up a little underrated in the long math, by which I mean they aren’t an org that’s always outside glad-handing or honey-tongue-ing to boost the value of all their guys, and their home parks can be statistically deceptive. Valdez homered twice in his AAA debut this week. Worth your time to track or add in most formats if you can fit him. He’s a no-time-for-questions pick-up if Houston recalls him. Or maybe right now, depending on your league-size. 

I suspect Cedanne Rafaela is a little different story on the dynasty trade market. I haven’t seen him get traded in any of my leagues, but he captured some mindshare early in High-A and backed that up by continuing to perform so well he’s been promoted to AA, where he went 4-for-6 with a HR and a double on Friday night, his fourth game at the level. Plus he’s got the speed we need, having swiped 14 bags in 16 attempts across 49 total games this year. 

 

57. SS Edwin Arroyo | Mariners | 18 | A | 2024 

58. SS Noelvi Marte | Mariners | 20 | A+ | 2024

I try to be slow in rushing Low-A guys up the list, yet here I am, buying Edwin Arroyo over guys who are much further down the road than he is. When I look at it through the Would-I-Make-This-Trade Lens, I cycle Arroyo down the list a little, then I remember how much grace-period his age-to-level and early success buys him, especially on the trade-front. Say he gets promoted to High-A next week and hits well right away. He won’t turn 19 until August 25th. If I were Seattle, I think I’d roll that dice. He’s slashing .309/.380/.512 with a 21.8 percent strikeout rate. Puts him right on the line: not so dominant that he must face the next challenge. Might be better for him to face the same teams a few more times. See if he can figure how to gain the advantage against repeat opponents across time.

In a contention window, these both become trade chips in my eyes, in both dynasty and reality. Seattle is not currently a contending team, but you might be. 

I don’t have a lot to say about Marte that isn’t present in his players pages. The hype got out ahead of the skill-set between the lines, and that’s okay. He’s young. Plenty of time to close that gap. 

 

59. LHP Nick Lodolo | Reds | 24 | MLB | 2022

60. 1B Dustin Harris | Rangers | 22 | AA | 2023

61. RHP Jack Leiter | Rangers | 21 | NCAA | 2023

Nick Lodolo has a back injury, and if you’ve ever had back trouble, you’ll know how tricky that can be. Love the skill set. Not big into the setting or current scenario.

Dustin Harris is not laying waste to his level, but he does have 10 HR and 12 SB in 46 games, and his 108 wRC+ isn’t too shabby either. He warmed up with the weather last season and is slashing .333/.400/.639 over his last nine games. 

Jack Leiter needs some kind of spark because it’s going from bad to worse (1.76 WHIP over his last four starts). I don’t mean to be extreme, but this is a Sell moment in my opinion. Or at least don’t buy the dip. Remember Gore. Even when it turns out well, you’ll have a lot of opportunities to buy the slide before the bounce. 

 

62. SS Spencer Steer | Twins | 24 | AAA | 2022

63. 3B Juan Yepez | Cardinals |  24 | MLB | 2022

Spencer Steer has pitchers pretty well hog-tied at AAA, slugging eight home runs in just 16 games at the level. He’s not a stolen base threat, but that won’t matter if he’s minimizing strikeouts and providing power like he’s done his entire career to this point.

Juan Yepez is mired in his worst stretch as a major league hitter, slashing .186/.229/.256 over his last 15 games. He’s at that first crossroads of adjusting, working through the oppositions’ new modes of attack. The smart money bets against most hitters for quite a while when/if they hit this juncture for the first time. Exceptions exist, and it’s nice to see the organization give him a chance to work through it, but most clubs pull the plug pretty quickly on a guy who doesn’t bring much (if any) defensive value. I watched him go with the pitch to knock a single to right field and begin the ninth-inning comeback for the Cards on Saturday, so that might be just the break he needed. 

 

64. 3B Curtis Mead | Rays | 21 | AA | 2023 

65. 1B Kyle Manzardo | Rays | 21 | A+ | 2024 

66. SS Vaughn Grissom | Atlanta | 21 | A+ | 2023

Accidental plate skills tier here. Lots of contact, minimal strikeouts. Big power for Manzardo, a little less for Mead and another notch down for Grissom as he learns when to open up and pull the ball, but he’s also the only one here with big league stolen bases on the menu. Maybe even a career up the middle on defense.

 

67. OF Kevin Alcantara | Cubs | 19 | A | 2025

68. SS Lenyn Sosa | White Sox | AA | 22 | 2023

69. RHP Wilmer Flores | Tigers | 21 | AA | 2023 

Kevin Alcantara offers elite physical topside, burgeoning plate skills, and positive on-paper outcomes. Might still be a fairly low-cost buy-window for him in some dynasty settings.

Lenyn Sosa is swinging too much, but it’s working as he enjoys the benefits of his developing physicality. He has almost as many home runs (12) as walks (14) in 53 games, but he’s only struck out 33 times (13.6%) which makes his challenge a particularly interesting one for batting-average leagues, where I think players like Tim Anderson are underrated because his .309 AVG across 529 at bats cushions the denominator for the whole roster. Walking more than Anderson’s typical four percent of the time is preferable, but he’s also hitting better than .300 for the fourth straight season. His all-fields, heavy-contact approach plays especially well in the shift era. It’s not a physical comp, and I’m not putting that on Sosa, just letting my mind wander a bit about general tendencies toward underrating players with a swing-heavy approach. I’d rather have a player who has to learn his best approach as a big leaguer than one who can’t reach the baseline in terms of hand-eye coordination and strength. 

Just a visual and stylistic comp more than anything, but Wilmer Flores reminds me of Jose Fernandez. I don’t think I’ve ever said that before, and it feels weird, may he rest in peace. 

 

70. OF Kerry Carpenter | Tigers | AA | 2022

71. OF Emmanuel Rodriguez | Twins | 19 | A | 2025

72. OF Alec Burleson | Cardinals | 23 | AAA | 2022

In 31 games since May 4, Kerry Carpenter is slashing .370/.420/.840 with 16 home runs and a 235 wRC+. He’s 24-years-old. If Detroit doesn’t promote the guy to AAA (or the majors) soon, they bring a double-edged blade into play because the organization is tacitly telling the player it believes his recent success is more hot-streak than true growth and showing all players paying attention just how hard it is to graduate a level no matter how well you’re playing. I don’t love it.

He’s on the IL with a lower-body injury he picked up sliding into third base, but Emmanuel Rodriguez could do no wrong before that moment, posting a .492 on base percentage due to his absurd 28.6 percent walk rate. He also struck out 26.1 percent of the time, hit nine home runs and stole 11 bases over that 47-game sample. His approach opens up a lot of questions about how it’ll play at the upper levels, but you have to love his 199 wRC+ as a 19-year-old in full-season ball. 

Alec Burleson has mostly raked in his baseball life, so it’s no surprise he’s doing it now. What is a little surprising is his 4.6 percent walk rate and 12.9 percent strikeout rate. The balls-in-play focus has led to a .325/.359/.557 slash line and 12 home runs in 50 games. I have no idea where to rank him. 

 

73. C Diego Cartaya | Dodgers | 20 | A+ | 2023

74. OF Jasson Dominguez | Yankees | 19 | A | 2024

Diego Cartaya got promoted to High-A last week and already has two home runs in seven games at the level. He’s striking out more than you’d like to see but still taking his walks and posting impressive on-base and slugging rates.

I can’t get a good read on the value of Jasson Dominguez in dynasty leagues, but I do know his 127 wRC+ is impressive for a guy the same age as a college freshman. His 31.2 percent strikeout rate makes you squint a little, but he’s got six homers, nine steals and a .349 on base percentage. It could be much worse, and the power here remains elite. 

 

75. RHP Cole Henry | Nationals | 22 | AAA | 2022

I struggled with this spot but settled on Cole Henry because a pitcher can’t do much more than he has to earn his keep this season, graduating AA with a 0.59 WHIP after seven starts then opening his Triple-A career with five shutout innings. The 55th overall pick in 2020, Henry has dominated every step of the way thanks to three plus pitches (fastball, changeup, curveball) and improving command that allows him to all but eliminate the home run ball (one allowed in 28.2 innings pitched).

 

Thanks for reading!

 

I’m @theprospectitch on Razzball.

 

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VASH
VASH
15 days ago

Kerry Carpenter….really popped out of nowhere. Seeing his numbers though, insane

Detroit is a mess….do you see him up this year soon?
Any word on why he improved so much?

I still hanging on to Florial in my keepers. Should I give up or is s star still possible?

Johnny
Johnny
16 days ago

Hi Itch,

Great work, as always. Question regarding Liover Peguero, what have you seen that drops him from 57 in your pre season ranking to lower than 75?

Also, how close was Evan Carter?

Thanks

406mtechdigger
406mtechdigger
16 days ago

Thanks Itch! Great stuff.

I am looking to fill a couple bench spots with potential keepers for next year in my $1000 H2H Daily Points League. These guys can be kept for $20 next year. I am aiming for maximal upside in the next 2-3 years and don’t care if they give me anything this year.

I currently have:
$20 Corbin Carroll
$20 Oneil Cruz
$20 Andrew Vaughn
$20 Keibert Ruiz
$40 Adley Rutschman
$40 Spencer Tork
$40 Jared Walsh

I need two more from the list below who would cost me $20 to keep next year unless noted otherwise, also, would you cut any of the above to pick a 3rd or 4th from below?

Trent Grisham
Steven Kwan
Alec Bohm
Jesus Sanchez
Ramon Laureano
Trevor Larnach
Nick Senzel
Tristan Casas
Miguel Vargas
Josh Lowe
Robert Hassell
Noelvi Marte
Jordan Walker
Anthony Volpe
CJ Abrams ($40)

or maybe another prospect I dont have listed?

Really appreciate any thoughts you have!

406mtechdigger
406mtechdigger
Reply to  The Itch
16 days ago

Appreciate it!

Would you drop Ruiz or Rutsch for either of those guys? I despise owning two Catchers but have been waiting for Ads to heat up….

Kaptan
Kaptan
16 days ago

Hi Itch!

I have a feeling this guy might be coming up on the next section of players or close to it, but overall thoughts on Alex Ramirez? Seems to be rising up the boards with a good season so far.

scoboticus
scoboticus
16 days ago

Hi Itch. Do you like Stott or Luis Garcia better in a hth keeper?

Oddball Herrera
Oddball Herrera
17 days ago

Every day that passes it looks more like scouts are going to be eating crow on Ruiz. I keep seeing comments about how to ‘not scout the stat line’, which are looking more and more like ‘ignore that he is doing what we said he couldn’t’

MJ888
MJ888
17 days ago

Hey Itch – How would you compare/contrast Stott to Jeremy Pena? Coming into the year, I think a lot of lists had Stott ranked higher. Opinions have changed since Pena’s great start and Stott’s not so great start. Recently though, Pena has slumped while Stott has bounced back. Curious what your opinion is now on both.

Thanks!

MJ

Jolt In Flow
Jolt In Flow
17 days ago

Itch, love this list you’ve created.

Personally, I like a lot of these guys better than the ones you put in the 1-50 zone. Your write-ups for these ones got me more excited. There’s a lot of value in this range, IMO.

Thanks Itch,

Jolt

junior56
junior56
17 days ago

Morning Itch

Thanks for the list!
Will we get your full 100 prospects?

I like Burleson but just don’t know where he fits in to the Cardinals plans.

Ajhirsch
Ajhirsch
17 days ago

Good Morning Itch! Just wanted to say keep doing what you’re doing man, your posts are a blast to read and I always make sure to check every day to see if there’s a new one!

Wanted to get your take on two AL West prospects, Zack Gelof seems like the only A’s prospect that is hitting at a good clip other than Langeliers (who has gone a bit cold since his scorching hot start), you think he’ll have a chance to keep rising up the ranks quickly if he keeps it going given how brutal the A’s system has been so far this year?

Secondly, what’s your overall take on Chase Silseth? He had a very odd path to the majors and got sent back down to AA (which is understandable after such an amazing start to some rough outings). He clearly wasn’t ready but I think he could provide some great value if he remains consistent.

Philip
Philip
17 days ago

Love what you’re doing, Itch. Arroyo is interesting, esp. because he’s one of the few available in my league.

With Ruiz’s outburst in AAA are you thinking he’s better than 31st now?

What kind of comp do you see for Winn?

And no Wiemer yet? Too much swing and miss?

Thanks!

Jimmy
Jimmy
17 days ago

Great stuff! Thank you! 13 team 5×5 dynasty! You turned me onto MJ Melendez way back and many others! Would you drop Espinal for Steer! I have Miranda, Arreaz, Turner and Taylor at third! Thanks Itch…love your game!

Jimmy
Jimmy
Reply to  Jimmy
17 days ago

When do you think Steer gets the call?

galica1234
galica1234
17 days ago

The Itch!!!

Awesome!

a. Love the list, love the enthusiasm even more despite the fact we’re moving further and further from the epicenter of #1 overall. Kudos to you for that. Great color added too for us to make a valued judgement!

b. Choose a two-start pitcher for next week only (June 13-June19) in a weekly lockup lineup. It’s a 5×5, weekly locks, roto, 12-team, keeper league

1 Faedo for two at home, CHW and TEX
2 Eflin at home versus Miami and on the road @ WAS
3 Detmers for two on the road at LAD and SEA
4 Dunning at home versus HOU and on the road versus Detroit
5 Houser on the road for 2 at NYM and CIN

I’m leaning Faedo and on a whole he qualifies for my social profiling project – of being born, raised and going to college all relatively close to each other.

c. George Carlin quote of the day for June 12, 2022

I think it would be interesting if old people got anti-Alzheimer’s disease where they slowly began to recover other people’s lost memories.’

Cheers,
Ante

Ante GALIC
Ante GALIC
Reply to  The Itch
17 days ago

Thanks, man.

I’ll add him over Faedo who is currently on the roster.

Thanks for making my -2 into a -1. Tough crowd out there.

Cheers,
Ante