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I reference mlb.com throughout this piece because it’s not a pay-walled site, and they update the rankings regularly. Makes it a nice shorthand for perceived value in the real-baseball sphere. 

Padres C Ethan Salas is a sell for me as a top ten prospect (No. 5 on mlb.com). It’s amazing that he made it to Double-A as a 17-year-old, but also, should he be in Double-A as a 17-year-old? I mean, what’s the point? He didn’t hit in High-A (.229 slugging percentage in nine games), and then he didn’t hit in Double-A (.214 SLG in nine games). I guess the defense can push the profile, but at some point, he’ll have to wait for the bat. And then we run into a high-minors, stall-out situation. We’re just now reaching the other side of that with Luis Campusano. It stands to reason that Salas might receive a red carpet that never got rolled out for Campusano, but that’s still years away, and the return you could earn for shopping Salas this winter or next spring probably beats waiting for me. 

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Baseball TwitterX was peppered with Prospect Crush lineups last week, and while I’m not sure I could articulate the definition of “crush” in this context, I thought the idea was interesting enough to build an article around as we near the tail end of the minor league season. I mean I almost dropped my own squad into Elon Musk’s private hype site before I realized I was pouring a lot of time into generating content for everyone’s favorite space invader. 

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Cubs OF Pete Crow-Armstrong looked like a difference-maker on defense in his debut. I’ve read some speculation that he wouldn’t be a lineup regular over the next few weeks, and I have to disagree with that. Granted, teams don’t always do the things that make sense with their prospects, but PCA is a playoff weapon, and so long as he doesn’t strike out too much (29.7 percent in Triple-A), he’ll make the team better by covering center. 

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Diamondbacks SS Jordan Lawlar is one-for-seven with three strikeouts through two games but has tended to adapt quickly even if he struggles a bit early at a new level. Good to see the team promote him after just 16 games in Triple-A. They might not take the World Series this season, but the sand snakes are going to be trouble for the next several cycles. 

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The September prospect parade is upon us, and it really does feel like a parade in the sense that our only possible moves are to rubberneck what’s coming and scramble for position or just stand still and let it pass. Both strategies have merit. Not for parades. Just stand still, please. Encourage your children to do the same. Holy cow the things you learn as an early parent. So many kids cross the streets between floats. Gore-drenched streets are avoided by last second blind braking or a stranger’s lizard-brain instinct to scoop a child out of a tire’s path. It’s tough to blame the kids. Candy covers the streets. Gotta grab what you can while you can in this world. Or so goes the teaching most of us get from a million portals all around us. 

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Nationals C Keibert Ruiz: I tried to trade for Ruiz in a two-catcher, 15-teamer where I’m in a tight race for the top, but I sort of didn’t try real hard because I’m solid at catcher, where I have Willson Contreras and Elias Diaz. Solid. Old. Streaky. Probably on the way down. Would’ve probably been smart to try harder. 

Royals C Freddy Fermin: The Royals have made gestures toward trading Sal Perez this off-season to make room for Fermin, who’s been in the lineup most nights anyway with Perez covering first in lieu of Vinnie Pasquantino and Nick Pratto. The exposure and the grind have chipped away at his once-pristine stat line, but he’s still hitting .284 with a 112 wRC+. That’s a starter in most fantasy leagues. 

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Cubs LHP Jordan Wicks got himself into great shape heading into this season because he was up for a role in the John Wick spinoff series, and while he didn’t get the part, the extra strength paid off in his big league debut, when he earned a win with nine strikeouts in five, one-run innings. I’ve become a broken record about this, but wins are tough to find right now. Wicks makes an interesting option in even the shallowest leagues. 

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The first week of school is in the rearview, and the baseball landscape looks different than when it started. I’m sad about Shohei and wondering whether we’ll ever hear another word about Wander. I’m happy to see Seattle surge back into the division lead. The game would benefit from having a young star like Julio Rodriguez in the playoffs. Baltimore has young stars, too, but it’s hard to root for the bank account of a guy like John Angelos, who’s using his team’s season in the spotlight to call attention to himself, relishing his nepo-baby summer. 

With nine home runs in 15 Triple-A games, Rockies C Hunter Goodman has pushed his season total up to 34 bombs in 106 games across two levels. He’ll be a popular sleeper pick in draft and hold leagues this winter and could quickly assert himself as a top ten fantasy option if he’s given enough time to get acclimated to the major league level. 

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We saw promotions aplenty this week across baseball, and most should be relevant even in shallow mixed leagues. 

Cardinals SS Masyn Winn is hitting .214 through four games, but it’s just nice to see him with the big club. Even with every sign pointing to him as the opening day shortstop next season, I’d been worried about the team looking for veteran options over the offseason. They still might, I guess, if Winn struggles, but if he holds his own, he’ll rubber stamp that job. 

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Graduated from Prospect News: Stash List Volume 9: Hero In A Half Shell: Masyn Winn, Jacob Lopez.

 

1. Red Sox SS Ceddanne Rafaela | 23 | AAA 

We’re entering the time of year when a player can debut, play most of the remaining season, including the playoffs, and retain rookie eligibility entering 2024. Given the new incentives for breaking camp with rookies, we might see a floodgate rush the next couple weeks. Guys who should’ve been up a month ago, like Rafaela, might’ve been held back for precisely this 45-day barrier. With 13 home runs in just 39 Triple-A games, he’s reaching new heights in terms of actualizing all that athleticism in the batter’s box.

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The Giants swapped Luis Matos out for OF Wade Meckler, a mustachioed lefty with a great approach who’s been hot all season across several stops, slashing .379/.463/.522 with five home runs in 69 games across three levels. Well, four, now that he’s gone from High-A to the majors in a matter of months. 

The Cardinals recalled 1B Luken Baker, who was hitting .334 with 33 home runs in 84 Triple-A games and should play a lot from here on out or at least earn himself more than a dozen starts. 

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Graduated from Prospect News: Stash List Volume 8: Winn At All Costs: Sal Frelick

1. Orioles OF Heston Kjerstad | 24 | AAA 

Tough time of year for the stash list. I run out of things to say about the guys who’ve been left on the farm. Feel pretty negative in most of the blurbs, but it doesn’t make sense to me that guys like Heston Kjerstad are still in the minors, but here he is, and I’m not even sure I can recommend him as a redraft stash. You might be better off picking up a mediocre hitter who’s hot in the majors now. And while that’s always the proposition of a stash list to a certain extent, the board tilts significantly late in the season as the 2024 incentives of suppressing a player’s timeline grow closer. If roster spots aren’t a key concern, then by all means scoop these top two.

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