After a short slate last night, we have ourselves a full slate tonight that is packed with a bunch of great pitching options. There are four pitchers listed over $20K on the slate so finding value bats is going to be key. Names such as Max Scherzer ($25,200), Robbie Ray ($23,200), Jake deGrom ($21,200), Chris Archer ($20,400) are all great options on the night. As we did last week, going to the Robbie Ray well is always dangerous but he has a great matchup vs. the San Diego Padres. The start is at home where he has struggled but he is in a groove right now and I do expect it to continue. Chris Archer should be a great option versus the Chicago White Sox as they really struggle against RHP. As a team, their OPS is almost .130 points lower and AVG is 60 points lower against Righties than it is against Lefties. Any of the 4 options should be solid and there a some cheaper pitchers and bats to team up with. Lets take a look at the picks…right after that jerkweed editor Sky comes in and talks about the Razzball Listener’s League link available over at FantasyDraft. [EDITOR’S NOTE]: Hey! Jerkweed is kinda harsh! But he’s right, though; you should hop in that Listener’s league today in the link he provided and I in no way added to make it sound like he called me a jerkweed prior to the editor’s note. It’s only $5 to get in on a 20 team league, go get you some today. Now on with Ignacio’s show…
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Jaime Garcia, P: $14,400 – Has been on a roll lately with only 1 ER allowed in his last three starts (22 2/3 innings). Now gets the struggling Phillies who have had some problems versus Lefties (.228 AVG and .703 OPS).
Dinelson Lamet, P: $13,500 – The youngster can really light up the radar gun and has done nothing but strike out batters since getting called up. He has a ridiculous 38% K rate going after his first two starts. Lamet hasn’t pitched very deep in those starts, only lasting 5 innings in both but his Ks are the kicker. Going to Chase Field is never an easy task, but the Diamondbacks have been in a bit of a funk lately.
Anthony Rizzo, IF: $8,800 – Finally starting to heat up after a sluggish start, has 5 HRs and 1.073 OPS last 15 games. Faces soft tossing LHP Jeff Locke who he has a good history against (10/26 4 HRs 1.365 OPS). Rizzo is hitting better off LHP this season than he is vs. RHP and has shown some good power against them.
Lucas Duda, IF: $9,600 – Averaging a HR every 11.5 ABs against RHP and gets a bad one in Dillon Gee. Found his power stroke last week hitting 3 bombs, he should continue that trend in a plus matchup.
Danny Valencia, IF: $7,200 – On an absolute tear during the last week (.519 AVG, 1.274 OPS), now gets a struggling LHP. Valencia has a career .318 AVG vs. Lefties and nearly a 900 OPS.
Bradley Zimmer, OF: $8,400 – Cheap bat in Coors? Yes please. He has been mostly a platoon player but really doing some damage when he is in the lineup. He’s hitting .316, .438 wOBA and 1.053 OPS vs. RHP.
Nelson Cruz, OF: $9,600 – Boom Stick has been a nightmare for pitching over the last three years and is doing it again this season. Has a great matchup against Hector Santiago who has been beat up by the long ball at a 1.88 HR/9 clip.
I’m Only Happy When it Rains
The slate seems to be pretty clear for the most part with some rain is expected in the COL/CLE game. There’s about a 20% of rain during the game but no serious PPD threat. The ATL/PHI has a low chance of rain as well but it shouldn’t factor.
Doing Lines In Vegas
With James Paxton taking the mound, the Seattle Mariners are huge favorites versus the Minnesota Twins. The line is set at -200. Another huge favorite on the night are the Chicago Cubs who are listed at -180 with Jake Arrieta on the bump. The O/U in Coors is 11 runs, as always the problem with Coors bats is trying to find some cheap arms to go along with them. CIN/STL game is at 9.5 runs, so that is a game where you can find some quality bats.