Bullpen Report: Use ADP To Keep Saves In Check

Besides pooping, every fantasy baseballian needs to do prep work.  Whether that be reading a publication of your choosing or doing a ton of mock drafts. Well, I am going to do you one better than using a mock draft to help steer your hand.  I am using actual drafts that people do for money to lend you an ADP hand in the terms of closers.  What else would I be doing?  After all, I am Smokey, where only you can prevent fantasy bullpen fires.  That public service announcement was brought to you by my own personal sponsor of Fischer pillows.  Not everyone uses or believes in ADP as a source because some people in mock drafts are crazy, like legitimately Tehol-type crazy.  That mock draft data is basically useless, but what if you had a list of drafts that were for actual dinero, and possibly some American money also?  The NFBC is a great contest that we here at Razzball take part in and several of our writers have challenged readers, just like you, in these contests.  They draw everyday Joe’s and experts from around the deep spaces of fantasy and all compete for money on varying levels of dramatics.  Sounds fun?  Cool, let me borrow 150 bucks so I can do one too.  So I took that data from the past 35 days for a 12-team based ADP and broke it down into two fun categories.  Drafts between February 1st and February 20th, and February 21 to March 6th.  Just so they sound more legit, the first group had 88 drafts of ADP values to use and the second had 106.  The number of ADP resources to draw from will increase by the time we get closer to actual game times, but for now 194 total drafts with data is at your discretion below.  Only the closers side of it.

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TOP-7 Drafted Closers

The top six closers off the board are pretty stagnant, and with good reason. These guys don’t have any threat for job security, no committee to ruin the picnic and are awesome K contributors as well. If you want/need/desire a top 6 closer you are going to have to risk a top 100 pick unfortunately. I don’t make the rules, I just stalk bullpens.

Interesting Names After the Top-7

Alex Colome – Does drafting someone earlier with the hopes and dreams of him getting traded help his ADP.  In this case I think it has and now Colome is on a worse team with far inferior starting pitching than speculated by trade rumors. he still has the goods, just the Rays are his limitation now.  last year’s save leader will easily get 8-10 less if on Rays all year just by team attrition.

Brandon Morrow – He seems to have the job,m and is starting to win over hearts and minds on draft day.  ha jumped a full two rounds in 30 days which is a huge jump.  He has viable, but non-closer type arms behind him in eth Chicago pen so it is safe to say that he has all the leesh right now as the guy.  I just worry about last season workload in playoffs plus regular season innings pushing him to 56 on the year.  No great number for a reliever, but that is the most he has thrown in the last 2 years combined.  Plus has no real closer experience and only 18 saves to his name.

Greg Holland – had he been signed to a team he would have an ADP right around Brad hand I would say right about 100.  Unfortunately he doesn’t and now that ST has started he is behind the 8-ball and doesn’t have a job.  Only a few teams could offer him a vault into the immediate closer role and until than we have to pray on the low ADP value and hope for the best.

Closer Chart

American League

*Indicates Committee

National League

*Indicates Committee