‘Member the days when I told you that you needed a top 1st basemen and you shouldn’t look for sleepers at this position? Don’t remember? Prolly for best, leave more room in your brain to remember an excuse for why you didn’t exercise. Previously, I’d tell you to go to my top 20 1st basemen for 2021 fantasy baseball (not clickbait at all) and draft some top guys and stop fooling around with sleepers at this position. Of course, I’m malleable like Gumby and this year we need to look for sleepers at 1st base *ducks head*.  Whoa, someone threw a wrench into this! Fine, Pete Alonso and Matt Olson get my nethers ablaze, but 1st basemen dry up quick. As with other positions like the catchers to target (again, not clickbait), these are 1st basemen that are being drafted late. For the 1st basemen, I’m going with an ADP of 150 or later to be included in this post. Anyway, here’s some 1st basemen to target for 2021 fantasy baseball:

Jake Cronenworth (ESPN 156, Yahoo 169, NFBC 201) So, one guy is going to do the “Jon Berti 2020 Austin Powers-esque u-turn on fantasy value” every year, is that it? Through three months of a preseason, Cronenworth has had more peaks and valleys than Edward James Olmos’s face. Sleeper city — boing! Ha-Seong Kim signs — losing boing’ancy. Kim might start in the minors — boing again! Profar re-signs — sigh, no boing. I don’t know if I have the confidence in Cronenworth that I had when I wrote the Jake Cronenworth sleeper, but I still like him in a lot. And, not to throw a parasol over Trent Grisham, but Cronenworth makes way more sense as a leadoff man.

Hunter Dozier (ESPN 170, Yahoo 266, NFBC 231) This is legit the most bizzonkers ranking for Yahoo. For as long as I can remember (roughly 18 months), Dozier and Walker are always ranked within two spots of each other in every ranking. They made a blood pact. Did you not see the Netflix series, Dozier and Walker’s Blood Pact, starring the guy from Money Heist? Make sure you watch it with subtitles. None of that dubbing shizz! Seriously, how are Dozier and Walker so different that Dozier is ranked 100-ish picks later? That is laughable until you realize someone on Yahoo’s staff just forgot to rank him, and that’s why he’s ranked so low. Also, it is similarly goofy that Dozier is ranked above Walker in ESPN. It’s always Walker then Dozier. Dems the rules! Not sure why Dozier and Walker are being faded at all. Is it their age? What, are you guys Hollywood producers trying to find a date? What do you care if they’re 28 years old? You’re not interested in their ovaries. You’re trying to get one year of production from them!

Christian Walker (ESPN 171, Yahoo 176, NFBC 201) You can check out my Christian Walker sleeper from last year, if you desire. By the way, saying the word “desire” out loud automatically makes you creepy. It’s impossible to give an example where it doesn’t make you creepy. You trying to explain how it doesn’t make you creepy to say “desire” actually makes you more creepy. You know what Christian Walker screams to me? DESIRE! Kidding, he reminds me of a guy we look back on in September and think, “How on earth was he undervalued in the preseason? He was good in 2019 already, and wasn’t bad in 2020.

Jared Walsh (ESPN 193, Yahoo 204, NFBC 206) Ya know I wrote that Jared Walsh sleeper too. Quick peek into my psyche:  Why do I find the Land O Lakes lady so hot? Wait, not that part of my psyche, the part about fantasy baseball. Back in November, I did some preliminary research and realized I had to write sleeper posts for 1st basemen this year. Kinda mentioned in the opening, but there’s a case to be made you can punt 1st basemen this year. I don’t ever say that. I still like Freeman, Cody (can be OF), Abreu and other highly ranked 1B, but there’s room for flyers this year. More so than in past years. Usually 1st base is one of two positions I have to draft early (the other being outfield). Now I’m like shortstop and outfield.

Andrew Vaughn (ESPN 206, Yahoo unranked, NFBC 284) As mentioned previously, I was not going to let ESPN have a sexy AF rookie ranked 100 picks before me, so I moved Andrew Vaughn way up in my top 500 in the last week. He’s screaming to me (in the middle of the night — let your man Grey sleep!) as a guy who could be 2019’s Pete Alonso in 2021. Also, gave you my Andrew Vaughn 2021 fantasy, but I’d skip reading mine (unless you just really want to know where my head was at four months ago), and instead read Prospect Hobbs’ Andrew Vaughn fantasy.

C.J. Cron (ESPN 237, Yahoo 198, NFBC 271) I’m of two minds with Cron like Steve Martin in that movie. Meant The Man with Two Brains, but All of Me also works here, I suppose. First mind, Cron will hit 35 homers with a .265 average in 525 ABs in Coors and will be a huge value grab. 2nd mind, and this mind is not as generous — stupid 2nd mind! — Cron will get 425 ABs, because Black never plays anyone every day, except Story, and hits 26 HRs, .255 with pee-poor counting stats, and is about same as a dozen other 1st baseman. Think Jesus Aguilar.

Renato Nunez (ESPN unranked, Yahoo 326, NFBC 489) With Cron going to Coors, he went from an afterthought to a whizz-bang-give-me-some-mommy. Yet — again with some stank — YET! Renato Nunez or Cron? Anyone want to put money on them being within percentage points of each other at the end of the year on the Player Rater? (Trick bet: I didn’t say how many percentage points. Sneaky, I am! Yoda, I talk like!) Renato and Cron may as well be in their own Dozier/Walker-type blood pact — now airing on Netflix! Renato is a 30-homer, .250 hitter, who might struggle for counting stats. Only everyone moved Cron way up their draft boards, but not Renato.

Jeimer Candelario (ESPN unranked, Yahoo 302, NFBC 261) Think the question with Jeimer is: Will he hit .220-ish as he did 2018 and 2019, or is he a .280+ hitter as he did in 2017 in 2020? Problem with 2017 and 2020 is those years were partial years (one for him, one for everyone). It’s fair to think his BABIP will stabilize over the course of a full season as it did in his two poor average years, but last year (and 2017) saw more line-drive-heavy swings, and better HardHit% last year. If he were the Jeimer we saw in 2020 over six months, he’d be a 24-homer, .280 hitter, and a top 100 overall fantasy player. Right now even the projections are as confused as to what to do with his average as anyone I’ve seen, giving him anywhere from .240 to .252. No one thinks he can be anywhere near a .280 hitter. I’m the high man thinking he could be a .260 hitter. Maybe I’m being too optimistic, but I believe he can just continue what he did last year, which isn’t incredible, but valuable at his price.

Rowdy Tellez (ESPN unranked, Yahoo 342, NFBC 297) And I wrote a Rowdy Tellez sleeper too. One big note on that is I wrote it before the Jays jammed themselves with about five more bats. Their pants must fit like a glove! So, Tellez, what can you do with less at-bats? Seriously, Tellez, I’m sick of having to tell everyone. Cat got your tongue? Is it using it to lick itself? Expecting all players to stay healthy all year is silly, especially playing through a plague, coming off an abbreviated goof-season. One hitter in the Jays’ lineup goes down, and Tellez is everyday. If he’s an everyday player, he’s a top 150 overall guy for me, easily. Even without that, I could see him being as valuable as, say, Dozier and Walker. Hey, you got room for one more in your blood pact?

 
  1. Ante GALIC says:
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    Grey!!!

    Hot 1B report!!!

    a. Went vulturing in my free agent pool (as most are doing now I’m sure after the draft). Found the following.

    1. Edouardo Escobar (signed him up dropping Yarborough)
    2. Kyle Hendricks (have a transaction pending, dropping Peralta)
    3. German Marquez
    4. Frankie Montas
    5. Soroka
    6. DeJong

    I need Escobar for his BA boost, right? Here’s my team that needs a BA boost.

    Nola
    Alonso
    Wong (placeholder until Solak gets 5 GP at 2B)
    Suarez
    Mondesi
    Edman
    La Stella
    Lewis
    Ozuna
    Taveras
    Yelich
    Moore
    Solak
    Bench – Straw and Escobar

    SP – Bundy, Gausman, Means, Paxton, Ryu
    RP – Anderson, Peralta, Reyes, RichRod, Antone
    IL – Syndergaard, Andres Munoz

    Should I drop Peralta for Hendricks? I’m going off of your top 500 and your top 500 says ‘Yes, Sir! What are you waiting for?’ but need your confirmation.

    b. MLB quote of the day for March 11, 2021

    1. Dock Ellis, born March 11, 1945

    ‘The Pirates were clinging to their 1-0 lead. Dock (Ellis) was staring at the scoreboard when he realized he’d pitched hitless ball for seven innings. He smacked (Dave) Cash on the arm. ‘Hey, look,’ said Dock, pointing at the scoreboard. ‘I’ve got a no-no going!’ Cash gave him a blank look. ‘A no-no?’ asked Cash. He’d never heard the term before. But Cash wanted to keep the pitcher loose and happy, so he smiled and said nothing.’

    High Times Magazine (August 1987)

    2. Cesar Geronimo, born March 11, 1948

    ‘My dream as a boy always had been to play alongside Mickey Mantle. The Yankees as a team were my heroes, but at this minute (1976 World Series), I would not want to trade uniforms.’

    Cesar Geronimo (Post Game Press Conference, 10/21/1976, Yankee Stadium)

    3. Salomon Torres, born March 11, 1972

    ‘It’s a small sacrifice I’m making. I know I’m doing the right thing (retiring in 2008). It might be a surprise to a lot of people and some might not understand, especially from a money standpoint. That shows you how determined I am to lead my life in another way.’

    Salomon Torres on ESPN News Services (ESPN Wire, 11/11/2008, ‘After earning career-high 28 saves in ’08, veteran reliever Torres retires’, Source)

    4. Bobby Abreu, born March 11, 1974

    ‘That’s my dream (winning a batting title). I pride myself on average, not home runs. I’m never going to try to hit home runs because that’s just not me.’

    Bobby Abreu in Baseball Digest (June 2002)

    5. Dan Uggla, born March 11, 1980

    ‘He’s (Dan Uggla) a hard-nosed player is what he is. I love the way he plays. To me, he’s what you call a gamer.’

    Florida Marlins Manager Joe Girardi in The Miami Herald, (Kevin Baxter, 04/28/2006)

    6. Rich Hill, born March 11, 1980

    ‘I’m not going to use the computer or check the papers. I don’t read up on anything. The only thing I’m concerned about is looking at the next lineup and keeping the same mindset of aggressively pitching and staying on the attack. Throw with conviction, I can’t stress it enough.’

    Rich Hill on MLB.com (Jon Cooper, 04/20/2007)

    c. Random Reggie Jackson quote of the day for March 11, 2021

    ‘I don’t mind getting beaten, but I hate to lose.’

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Hendricks should be owned, over Peralta — Eduardo isn’t a BA boost, more power — DeJong over La Stella — the other guys I don’t know you have room for…I guess Montas over Tejay, but upside on Antone would prolly have me hold him for now

      C. Reggie!

      • Ante GALIC says:
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        Grey!!!

        a. Ah, so should I go get Yarborough back? I can try at least.

        b. Will try to grab Colonel Mustard.

        c. Am staying with Tejay for the moment. If he moves into the rotation, think it’ll be good. If he’s the long arm out of the ‘pen also good. Sticking with Tejay.

        Cheers,
        Ante

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          A. Meh, if you want…I do like him

          B. Haha

          C. Yeah, hold

          • Ante GALIC says:
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            Grey!!

            You are the master of double entendre and a very charming man!

            Whom do you like?

            a. Yarborough
            b. Escobar
            c. Both
            d. Neither…nor

            Cheers,
            Ante

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Hahaha, thanks

              Yarbrough, bro

  2. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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    People really don’t like Cristian Walker for whatever reason!

    All of this makes me think it would be cool to draft Vaughn for my corner and then get whatever forgotten corner guy (Walker comes to mind) as the placeholder until Vaughn’s up. (Keeper league 12 team).

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah, what’s that all about? Prolly can draft Vaughn, grab Walker off waivers when he ends up there

      • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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        Who knows, but I’ll take it! You said it – I had a similar plan. My draft is auction, but with a snake for reserve round. Feel like the move is to try and draft Vaughn in my CI or UTL spot + pocket Walker or Dozier in reserves, rather than try the reverse.

        Speaking of Vaughn, in a keep forever league, how much would you bid on him before letting him go to someone else ($260 budget) . . . up to, like, $10? Really feels like he’s either starting opening day or up really soon after…

        • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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          And then if he signs an extension pre-draft, then I’d draft him at whatever cost it takes.

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            Right, totally

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          $10 sounds reasonable…I might go to $15

          • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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            Wow, I love it! If you could acquire him for $3, would you be keeping him at that price over guys like Lewis ($4) and Robert ($24)?

            I could trade my $7 Giolito for that $19 Devers, $6 Marte package with a $3 Vaughn throw in. This league values pitching way above hitters, so he would rather have Giolito over Eloy (!)

            Trouble is, I would be keeping 7 hitters and zero pitchers, which means i need to allocate $45-$50 more to my pitching in order to draft literally any ace (including sonny gray types), whereas with Giolito at $7 I save like $30 and can be super cheap on pitching.

            What do you think?

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              How can you acquire him and still decide on keepers? You should prolly keep a pitcher, assuming the SP is good

              • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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                The Devers Marte owner also has Vaughn (who I know for a fact he is not keeping) + seems to be more interested in my Giolito ($7) than Eloy ($10). Our keeper lock isn’t for 2 weeks in this league, so I’m planning for how I would draft Vaughn (who won’t be kept) vs. seeing if I can trade for + keep him.

                Makes sense on the SP front. I had been planning to keep Carrasco ($12), but that seems iffy barring a clean bill of health. So if I don’t keep Carrasco, my only SP keeper is Giolito ($7). But keeping Giolito at $7 means I can hold back and only draft SPs based on their prices (probably eat up the Gausmans and Bundy-types of the world) instead of bidding $30+ on Ryu, Snell, Kershaw, which is what they’ll go for in this league.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Ah, gotcha

                  I’d back off Carrasco — I’d keep Giolito now

      • Earl says:
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        dont know what leagues where Walker winds up on waivers and is not drafted??

        In all leagues I have done, Walker usually goes like round 15-18 range every time.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yeah, well, *should be drafted, yes

  3. Ace of Spades says:
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    Grey
    Can use some advice from you and anyone else who cares to add 2 cents.

    I am in a 14 team mixed roto auction league ( $260 ) where you can keep up to 11 players.
    My keeper list is due on Saturday.

    Here are the guys I am keeping and their values for this season:

    J Soto – $12
    Trea Turner – $20
    Vladdy Jr. – $12
    O Albies – $14
    J Abreu – $25
    M Machado – $36
    S Bieber – $17
    Z Gallen – $ 10
    Z Plesac – $10
    J Luzardo – $3

    The last keeper comes down to :

    C Bassit – $10
    N Anderson – $10
    T Pham – $14
    Christian Walker – $10

    In a bubble, Bassit is the one I like to best, but as you can see, I already have 4 pitchers I am keeping.
    Was waiting to see if Pham showed some signs of life this spring, but he has yet to get a hit. Also, I know you are out on him this year.
    Like Walker a lot also, but already have Vladdy and Abreu
    Nick Anderson? In a second if he was on a different team with a different philosophy of closers.

    Their will probably be a lot of high priced free agents this season thrown back in the pool ( Story, Mookie, Trout, Bryce ) but I have resigned myself that I am going into the draft without many dollars left to spend. A good problem to have? I almost was going to throw Machado back, but my gut says to keep him.

    Anyways, my questions:

    1. which of these four should be my final keeper ( if any ) ? or should I just throw them all back in.
    2. Any of my keepers you see in the top list that maybe I should throw back or replace with the four I am debating myself over?

    As always , thanks in advance.

    • Cram It says:
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      It sounds like you don’t have CI/MI? Then I would throw them all back and keep the money.

      • Ace of Spades says:
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        Thanks Cram. Yes. we have do have the MI/CI spots and also a DH spot.

    • P_Swayze_OnAHorse says:
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      C:
      1B: Abreu
      2B: Albies
      SS: Turner
      3B: Machado
      OF: Soto
      OF:
      OF:
      Util:
      Util: Guerrero Jr.

      SP: Bieber
      SP: Gallen
      SP: Plesac
      SP: Luzardo

      You have $111 left for the draft. I could see keeping Bassitt for $10 unless you’re considering going after another top starter in the draft. I wouldn’t keep any of the other three. I’m not a huge fan of Vlad, but if you are a big believer in him, I could see tossing Machado back into the pool. However, you have him at a fair price, and you know he’ll produce as a top 20 player … as will Abreu, Soto, and Turner. I’d keep him for that reason. With that core, you really have no reason to chase those high-priced guys you listed. You have enough money to still get some mid-level guys (Dylan Moore, Brandon Lowe types), and you can take some shots on guys like Mountcastle, Croneworth, etc. Austin Meadows has scared a lot of people off (including myself), but we’ve seen glimpses of what he is capable of doing. There’s def. potential value there since many are in wait-and-see mode with him. Anyway, I’d say you’re looking good, and would be fine going into a draft in your position. That’s my $0.02.

      • Ace of Spades says:
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        Thanks for the advice. I should have been more descriptive of my league, but we have 5 OF spots , a CI , MI, DH. 5 starters , 2 relivers and 1 pitcher spot ( either/or ) We also have four bench spots that arent required to be full.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      1. All back
      2. What? Nah, I don’t think so if I’m understanding — agree with Swayze on a horse

      • Ace of Spades says:
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        I know I said thanks in advance already. But thanks in retreat also. I was leaning that way myself and having you, Cram and galloping Swayze in agreeance helps with the validation.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Haha, No problem

  4. Tom says:
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    Prior to coming down with Covid I thought Votto was a good late dart throw at 1B. I’m not so sure anymore.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Is he showing symptoms?

      • Tom says:
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        I haven’t heard anything about his condition other than he tested positive and was put on the IL, hopefully, he’s back in 10 days.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yeah, if he’s back in 10 days, he’ll be fine to start year

  5. Cram It says:
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    I coulda sworn, the way some of you jag ahfs were talking about him, you woulda mentioned Bahby Dahlbec.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Haha, I think Bobby’s gonna kill bad pitching, and hit .220 (hopefully)

      • Earl says:
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        hoping for something closer to .240 to .250 for Bobby but I might be dreaming.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I’d take that

  6. Gator says:
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    In 2019 thru June before injury, Gallo was batting .285 in 189 ABs. This Spring 5 HRs in 14 ABs and just 3 Ks with his new stance. I know it’s Spring training. Talk me off the ledge. Do I keep Gallo over Semien?

    • Goldirocks says:
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      I know what you mean! I want to see him whiff alot more, like usual with nothing to show for it like Sano is doing, so that all makes sense again in the world. All this talk about batting stance and baseball bat changes in the preseason, and now he’s doing this?! Feels like I’m willingly being enticed/swayed/misled to draft him like 80 spots higher than his ADP! I mean, why is Judge ranked so relatively highly (outside of obvious surrounding cast advantage), when he seems to perennially disappoint too?
      Talk me off a ledge too!

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        You want to see Gallo whiff more? Wait until the season!

        • goldirocks says:
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          Thanks! I needed to be hit with a reality dose! I was beginning to have visions of a JDMart-like career 180degree turnaround at about the same age as Gallo is now! :)

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            Haha, No problem — but who knows, ya know

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I don’t buy it with Gallo, but they’re not separated that much that if you want Gallo over Semien, it’s not a huge difference to go Gallo

  7. Cabby says:
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    Hey Grey,

    Keeper question for you.

    12 team Keeper league
    Keep 10 keepers and 7 minor leaguers

    OBP, R, SB, total bases, RBI
    Whip, ERA, QS + win, K, Hld+save

    C,C, 1B, 2B, SS, 3B, MI, CI, 5 OF,
    6 SP, 3Rp

    C,C-
    1B-
    2B- O. Albies
    SS- Trea Turner
    3B- Arenado
    MI- Tim Anderson
    CI-
    OF- Acuna, Harper, Marte, T. Hernandez
    U-
    Sp-Buehler
    Sp- Ryu or Lynn or Lamet(likely not due to injury concerns

    I have Bohm and Vaughn for minor keepers that will contribute this year.

    Which SP should i pick with my last keeper spot. Im leaning Lynn as I think he has the least risk.

    Should I go Sp with my first pick in draft?

    • P_Swayze_OnAHorse says:
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      Per Grey’s Top 100, he has Ryu ranked 6 spots higher than Lynn. Seems like a coin flip to me. As to whether or not you should take an SP with your first pick, I’d say it depends on who is available. Without that information, it’s not really possible to answer definitively. My general answer would be “No, you should not”.

      • Cabby says:
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        Thank you for the reply! I wont know who might be available until keepers are submitted in the next few days. I will have to see what 1B might be available with my first pick.

        You wouldnt keep Soler over any of the listed keepers?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I’d want an 1B if there was a decent one…Soler? No

        • P_Swayze_OnAHorse says:
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          Yes, 1B would be my priority if I were you. That being said, Unless you can get one of the top 5, I’ve been taking Hosmer around the 14th Round.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Agree with Swayze

      • Cabby says:
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        Thank you!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          No problem

  8. Thundergunn says:
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    Love this Post, Have Bellinger as a keeper, but moving him to OF and stashing one of these guys would be HUGE!

    will you move carrasco down the rankings after the elbow news?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I haven’t moved Carrasco yet, waiting on more news, I am not drafting him right now tho

  9. Sam says:
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    Hey Grey! Thanks for the entertainment besides the info! I’m
    Keeping machado and have the 6th pick… I’ll probably have story and yelich available to me… I know we love our story but I’ve thought about going yelich and then Mondesi in the next round. If I take story first I wouldn’t think it’d be a great idea to take another ss in Mondesi. should I take story and then grab someone like eloy or go yelich and mondesi ?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Thanks! Story/Eloy sounds great to me

  10. Andrew Vaughn ROY!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Just give him the award now!

  11. Jolt In Flow says:
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    Grey, thanks for the write-up. And for sticking it to ESPN. I question what their writers do all day. Almost like they continue recycling previously written posts they’ve done without providing much thought. I value the input of some of the commentors in your comment sections more than anything ESPN (or CBS) puts out. And the spelling errors in their articles. Yikes!

    Anyhow, the way I see it, Vaughn might be the 2019 Pete Alonso in 2021… with a much better batting average. He’s got a sharp eye.

    Thanks again,

    Jolt

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Thanks! That would be nice on Vaughn, would love to see it

  12. JB says:
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    Gausman or Odorizzi?

  13. Fat Mack says:
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    Hey Grey — Would appreciate a little keeper help. 16-team auction mixed league. 6×6 with OPS and BB allowed as the extra categories. I can keep 3 people for 3 years. I’m going to keep Mondesi and Jose Abreu but am struggling with the last one.

    My contenders are:
    Teoscar H ($1)
    Ian Happ ($1)
    Luis Castillo ($12)
    Liam Hendricks ($1)

    They all seem like roughly similar relative values. Let me know what you think!

    Thanks.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Castillo

      • Fat Mack says:
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        Yeah, with all the OFs available that are similar to Happ and Teoscar, probably the smartest move to go Castillo. I, like you, get intrigued by the upside!

        Thanks, appreciate it. Love the work!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yes, thanks!

  14. Perfect Game says:
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    Acuna K% and BABIP

    2018 25.3 – .352
    2019 26.3 – .337
    2020 29.7 – .302

    I don’t put too much stock in spring stats, but I pay attention to hitters K rates. Acuna has K’d 5 out 14 AB’s. Small spring sample so far – as was 2020 – but his K rate has been trending higher while his BABIP is trending lower. If he continues to get punched out 30% of the time the .250 – .260 average we saw in 2020 may be something we see this year???

    With the #1 pick, I’m considering taking Betts over Acuna for similar counting stats and the higher average. Your thoughts?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Small sample…Though, he did start last year slow too, didn’t he? Maybe he’s just a slow starter…I have the 1st tier of guys in my rankings as all interchangeable

  15. FreshPrinceFielder says:
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    Need keeper advice for 10 team roto (including QS and OPS).

    Already keeping Betts (round 1 value), Giolito (20) and Darvish (20). Need two more from:

    Flaherty (6)
    Snell (8)
    Correa (10)
    Glasnow (11)
    Paddack (12)
    Mondesi (15)
    P. Alonso (20)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Mondesi, Alonso

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Actually, with OPS, I’d go Betts, Alonso, Flaherty

  16. Old School Brother says:
    (link)

    Snagged Jared Walsh in the FCL last night. Funk 49 baby!

    • OaktownSteve says:
      (link)

      Hey good to hear the FCL is still a thing.

      • Old School Brother says:
        (link)

        Nick the Dick still mops the floor with us

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Nick the Dick is still in there?! Nice!

          • Old School Brother says:
            (link)

            he picked right before me, snipe city

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Snipe-a-rooski

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haha, nice

  17. gary s says:
    (link)

    NL only auction, $260 cap. Kenley J. at $22 or Senzel at $10?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Kenley

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        Actually…No, prolly Kenley, but kinda bleh on both

  18. Wallpaper Paterson says:
    (link)

    For head-to-head action what do you feel is better as far as creating a more fun league?

    Quality starts or Innings Pitched?

    • Foxman says:
      (link)

      QS is more fun, in my opinion.
      If only because you get so many pitchers who flirt with going a full 6 innings, but get pulled an out shy. Getting a QS in modern baseball is rare, as so many managers are shielding their pitchers from facing an opposing lineup for the 3rd time.
      Be prepared for a lot of 5.2 IP frustration, but hey. that’s fun to me.

      • Wallpaper Paterson says:
        (link)

        thank you

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      QS

  19. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey – rec’d a new $10 Eloy offer . . . so now looking at 3 options:

    A – Devers ($19) + my choice of Ketel Marte ($6) or Bohm ($3)
    B – Albies ($12) + Gallen ($14)
    C – Lindor ($18)

    How would you rank those offers . . . C, A, B?

    With the Devers option, Marte over Bohm?

    Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      A, C, B

      Marte over Bohm

      • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
        (link)

        Thanks!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          No problem

  20. Scott Kimmel says:
    (link)

    Grey,

    I need your advice. I am trying to acquire Liam Hendriks ($18). I am willing to trade Alex Colome ($11), but I will need at least one more piece or a top prospect to get him but not sure what the other piece should be.

    im thinking Giovanny Gallegos ($6) do u think Gallegos and Colome ($11) would get it done for Hendriks

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I doubt it, but can try

    • Scott Kimmel says:
      (link)

      we will wait and see

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        We shall!

        • Scott Kimmel says:
          (link)

          he made an initial of me sending him:

          Giovanny Gallegos ($6),
          Alex Colome ($11)
          and minor league prospect Adley Rutschman

          I get:
          Liam Hendriks ($18)
          Yasmani Grandal ($13)

          Which I had said no to

          • Grey

            Grey says:
            (link)

            Don’t want to give up Adley

  21. OaktownSteve says:
    (link)

    Funny thing is I don’t actually like okra.

    Giancarlo destroyed a baseball yesterday. He’s a total lottery ticket. One in a billion chance but still a dream to dream.

    Speaking of which, I described Garrett Hampson as a lottery ticket earlier this year and then I thought, “actually more like a raffle ticket.” Still engaging in a game of chance, but instead of a hundred million bucks you can win maybe a free weekend at a lake condo belonging to the head of the school PTA.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      No one likes okra — okra doesn’t like okra

      Haha, yes, raffle ticket 100%, nice…I do like Raimel tho, think he’s just paying a good price for a weekend getaway…No tickets involved

      • Vegans says:
        (link)

        FWIW, I’m probably going to get hammered for this but try stewing together some beef, okra, and tomatoes. It’s delicious and the acidity of the tomatoes greatly reduces the sliminess of the okra. Also, there are incredible Indian variations to this dish.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Wow, you are ruining a perfectly good stew with some okra

          • Vegans says:
            (link)

            HA!

      • Old School Brother says:
        (link)

        I like okra, y’all aint from the south and it shows

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Haha

    • Cram It says:
      (link)

      I feel like every Rockies hitter, outside of Story and Blackmon, is a lottery ticket.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        Nah, Tapia feels like a well-priced meal at a nice place

        • Cram It says:
          (link)

          ….that is hard to get a reservation at.

          I meant from a PT standpoint. I don’t have a ton of confidence that any of these other guys see 500 ABs.

          • Grey

            Grey says:
            (link)

            I have confidence in Tapia — they don’t really have anyone else to play for him…I’m falling for it again, aren’t I?

            • Cram It says:
              (link)

              Have we learned nothing from the Bud Black school of lineup construction? Daza saw 100 ABs last year. Doesn’t Hilliard get some run?

              • Grey

                Grey says:
                (link)

                I’ve forgotten everything! Daza, Brian Dozier and Shin-Soo Choo will return to steal ABs

                • Cram It says:
                  (link)

                  Chris Owings is on the roster. He’s a manager’s dream! Bud wishes he had 9 Owings’.

                  • Grey

                    Grey says:
                    (link)

                    If only we had 9 Owingsses, Bud remarked

                    • Jolt In Flow says:
                      (link)

                      Round 47 – pick 15, Owings joined the Jolt team. Ya, I’ve got bi dreams at 2nd base with this guy on my team. I see team MVP written all over him.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Haha

                    • Jolt In Flow says:
                      (link)

                      *big dreams. Not bi dreams. Man, what a word to butcher!!! hahaha

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Haha

  22. blab97 says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey,

    In a 12-team league, OBP/QS/SV+H, where everyone’s first 10 draft slots are keeper slots, pick a side:

    A: Cole + 221st overall + 236th overall
    B: Bogaerts + 103rd overall (technically a keeper slot, not sure who won’t be getting kept yet) + 152nd overall

    Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Cole

  23. toolshed says:
    (link)

    Grey, I am still catching up on all your fine work. You are a machine. I read what you wrote about kikuchi. Do you think there is some upside with the velo gains? He had a 52% gb rate and 60 % lob rate? Fip looks good too if you are into that. I know walks have been an issue but as a 5 sp, is he worth it? Or would you go with someone more boring like minor?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I’d take a flyer on Kikuchi in a deep league, after say pick 275-300 — Minor or him are a coin flip

  24. Cyler says:
    (link)

    I love me some Rowdy Tellez. Think he is going to have a great year. Good targets all around.

    So my main league drafted yesterday and am always curious to thoughts. It’s a 10 team dynasty league. Categories are:

    H, R, HR, RBI, SB, OPS
    W, K, ERA, WHIP, QS, SV + HLDS

    C- Gary Sanchez
    1B – Anthony Rizzo
    2B – Brendan Rodgers
    3B – Jose Ramirez
    SS – Trea Turner
    OF – George Springer
    OF – Mike Trout
    OF – Randy Arozarena
    UT – Alex Bregman
    UT – Trevor Story
    UT – Kyle Tucker
    BN – Trent Grisham
    BN – Austin Nola

    SP – Jack Flaherty
    SP – Brandon Woodruff
    SP – Lucas Sims
    SP – Matt Wisler
    RP – Amir Garrett
    RP – Garrett Crochet
    P – Jake Diekman
    P – Richard Rodriguez
    BN – Carlos Carrasco
    BN – Chris Bassit
    BN – Ian Anderson

    Seems like I did pretty well but always good to get some other eyes to see where I may need to level out the squad.

    Thank you!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Looks solid on pitching up top…Hopefully Carrasco’s all right, bc you’re missing SPs after your top two….Hitting looks solid, somehow you have like 4 1st rounders

      • Cyler says:
        (link)

        Most of those guys were keepers. We were able to keep 15 this year due to COVID. My first overall pick was Arozarena. He somehow was a free agent when the season ended.

        I usually like to roll with 2 or 3 solid pitchers and then use stream-O-nator to fill in innings and wins. Which it does a beautiful job of by the by.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Ah, nice!

  25. FrankGrimes says:
    (link)

    Fun FCL draft last night.
    Venture a guess what draft position me had?

    1B Vlad
    2B Hiura
    3B Bohm
    SS Bichette
    MI Hampson
    CI Dalbec
    OF Eloy
    OF Tucker
    OF Verdugo
    OF Buxton
    OF Varsho
    UT Brantley
    BN Kelenic

    P Luzardo McCullers Mahle Civale Urquidy
    LHenricks Pressly Yates Garrett Bass Gonsolin Rainey

    • Cram It says:
      (link)

      17?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Wow, you guys drafted early, huh? I like the hitting, but what happened with the pitching? Was your first pitcher an RP? Are you messing with me?

      • FrankGrimes says:
        (link)

        Haha. I took first starter rd12. Shrugs.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Yeah, hmm…

          • FrankGrimes says:
            (link)

            Haha

    • Old School Brother says:
      (link)

      Grimey!

  26. OaktownSteve says:
    (link)

    Has the baseball world settled on a name for the guy who comes in after the opener? I’ve seen “headliner” and “bulk guy,” both of which seem unsatisfying. Is there a glossary term?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      The “starter?”

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        Quotes are necessary there too

        • OaktownSteve says:
          (link)

          Not totally doing it for me

          • Grey

            Grey says:
            (link)

            Nah, me either

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Bulk sounds like Smart & Final

              • OaktownSteve says:
                (link)

                Ha! Yes sir.

                • Hernan says:
                  (link)

                  “Primary”…., cool in DFS and also leagues with start limits….

                  • Hernan! Just finished the Beat the Donkey draft – he’s goin down! haha

                    • Hernan says:
                      (link)

                      lol, DT likes having all those teams on top of his…,

  27. hal_incandenza says:
    (link)

    “What, are you guys Hollywood producers trying to find a date? What do you care if they’re 28 years old? You’re not interested in their ovaries. You’re trying to get one year of production from them!”

    Gold!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haha

  28. mookie says:
    (link)

    AL-only weekly keeper league.

    Ohtani @ $12 or Teoscar @ $16?

    Ohtani qualifies as both pitcher/hitter but can only be in on slot each week

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Meh, neither are great…Prolly go Teoscar

  29. OaktownSteve says:
    (link)

    King Felix topping out at 87. Just junk balling his way through. Hard to watch. And yet I’m watching.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Anyone seem like more of a surefire HOFer in his 20s that would be lucky to HOF now?

      • OaktownSteve says:
        (link)

        Barry Bonds?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Ha, nice one…

          • Grey

            Grey says:
            (link)

            Actually, I’d say Andruw Jones too, but he might get in one day

            • OaktownSteve says:
              (link)

              I feel like I would have a high standard as a voter. Would have to be a guy who at some point in his career, for a stretch of at least 3-4 years, was considered one of the 2 or 3 best players or pitchers in the league.

              • Grey

                Grey says:
                (link)

                Yeah, I’m small hall guy, but Baines makes that hard

                • Dave D says:
                  (link)

                  Great point. Harold Baines never had even one great season. He never finished higher than 9th in MVP voting. Never hit 30 HR’s and only had 100 RBI’s three times. He never even scored 100 R, nor even 90!!! Basically he wouldn’t even be a top 100 fantasy player in his prime. He is a most egregious violation of decency by the veterans committee . I think guys like Bill Madlock or Steve Garvey would be way more deserving. Bill won 4 batting titles. Garvey was starting NL All-Star 1B like 8 straight years and got MVP votes each of those years as well as several gold gloves. He was the best player on a dominant team that made WS 4 times with Dodgers and once with Pads. WAY more deserving than Baines.

                  • OaktownSteve says:
                    (link)

                    How is he in and Dale Murphy isn’t?

                    • Dave D says:
                      (link)

                      Agreed. From 1980-87 “The Murph” was arguably the best player in the NL. Dominant. The committee chooses longevity over dominance?

                  • Grey

                    Grey says:
                    (link)

                    Yeah, agreed, Dave D — Madlock and Garvey should be in over Baines, but not sure any of them should be in

                    • Dave D says:
                      (link)

                      I think if Garvey played in the late 90’s-early 2000’s he’d be a shoo-in. The more . He’d have benefited from a lot of factors. Defense is overlooked as well. He was no doubt the best NL 1st baseman of the decade 1970s. Granted his cateer numbers ate borderline, I think people who are best at their position deserve more consideration that cumulative career stats.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Ya think? I think if he played in the 90s, people would care even less with his cumulative stats

                  • DD! Madlock was money – pure hitter

                • Big Magoo

                  Big Magoo says:
                  (link)

                  I think I’d be a small hall guy, but I’d consider peak guys like Santana and Belle too. Baines shouldn’t be in anyone’s hall

                  • Grey

                    Grey says:
                    (link)

                    Belle and Johan seem like no-brainers if you’re for high peaks and quick drops

                    • Dave D says:
                      (link)

                      The hare or the tortoise?

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Both?

                    • Big Magoo

                      Big Magoo says:
                      (link)

                      Johan was arguably the best pitcher in baseball for about a four year stretch, and he immediately fell off the ballot. A guy like Visquel continues to gain traction. I don’t get it.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      I don’t get it either

                  • OaktownSteve says:
                    (link)

                    Great thread.

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
      (link)

      You’d think that he’d be able to pull a Kyle Hendricks with his changeup even after the velo drop. Just can’t make it without the fastball

  30. Old School Brother says:
    (link)

    C Salvador Perez
    1B Jared Walsh
    2B DJ LeMahieu
    3B Yoan Moncada
    ss Lindor
    CI JD Davis
    MI Paul DeJong
    OF Bellinger
    OF Castellanos
    OF Austin Hays
    OF Kyle Lewis
    OF Wil Myers
    UT Justin Turner

    SP Walker Buehler
    SP Sonny Gray
    SP Dinelson Lamet
    SP John Means
    SP Julio Urias
    SP Eliser Hernandez
    SP David Price
    RP Matt Barnes
    RP Richard Rodriguez
    RP Nick Wittgren
    RP Johnathan Hernandez

    Do I beat Grimey?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      You at least have pitching — You look weaker on hitting tho, that Buehler trade off…I think you’re weak on SAGNOF — speed and saves

      • Old School Brother says:
        (link)

        luckily I have the fantasy lothario to guide me all year in my SAGNOF journey

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Ha, yes!

  31. Louie says:
    (link)

    Please rank the following for this year in a Otteneu points league, where power translates, extra base hits get bonus points, walks get points and points lost for outs (no strikeout bonus, just any out) are taken away:

    Olson
    Goldy
    Cron

    Thanks

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      You ranked them

  32. Big Ticket says:
    (link)

    Thanks Grey! Coming up on my OBP dynasty draft and need a little help thinking on 2B. I really like Lux and Biggio as long term options, especially seems like Lux may be a buy-low option with Roberts saying the job is his to lose. In OBP $ values, Rudy has Biggio at $12, Lux at $1. How would you adjust those for dynasty? Thanks in advance, you are the best.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Biggio $15-17 — Lux $7-10

  33. Cram It says:
    (link)

    NFBC DC in the books! My big take away from this year is that I have more SP depth than in the past. My bench SPs would either be utter garbage or hardly pitch. This go round I feel good with 5ish SPs that can eat innings. They could turn out to be utter garbage after all, but as of today, I’m comfortable with their mediocrity.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Will go over the league tomorrow in my post…Trying to decide if I want to do one more league

      • OaktownSteve says:
        (link)

        I was thinking about doing a small write up about my team in that league. Will post in the comments tomorrow.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Cool!

      • Cram It says:
        (link)

        Right on. I’ll wait to see what your precious War Room says.

        You better hurry. I wouldn’t do another one, not that you’re asking. Ha

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Haha, I am asking, kinda…I might do a Cutline one instead

          • Cram It says:
            (link)

            Haha. Well thanks for kinda asking. I don’t know what a Cutline is. I’m just not gonna do another league. In the middle of the Razzslam and still have 3 drafts left to do. I’m set!

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Yeah, I hear ya…Still deciding if I want to start another

      • Cram It says:
        (link)

        The Fantasypros draft analyzer has your hitting last. Haha. Tough hill to climb!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          That sounds like I’m in perfect place to win

        • Hernan says:
          (link)

          Damn, The Burrito Boyz got A-(top 3)…, not again, Fantasy Pros always jinxing everything….

      • Jolt In Flow says:
        (link)

        Please do! Ours (with DT) is in Round 49 as I write this.

        I’m super interested to see your takeaways (both you Grey and Cram; even Knoche in his).

        I’ve definitely got a better strategy for next year. This was a blast though.

        Jolt

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Yup!

    • OaktownSteve says:
      (link)

      Your offense is stacked in HR, R, RBI and should have an average towards the top. Steals could be a little challenging. Anderson, Myers and Hays are the only real good bets to look at regular playing time for steals so you’ll need the Hilliard Mercado guys.

      I notice in the pitching department you didn’t take many of the old guy rotation depth pieces. Hopefully for you a couple of the fringier pitchers will get locked into innings. Having Bundy and Bassitt stay healthy and be pretty close to last year seems like it’ll be key.

      • hot corner says:
        (link)

        Love my hitting but my pitching is a complete crapshoot. A lot more risky than usual for me.

        • OaktownSteve says:
          (link)

          Which team are you?

          • hot corner says:
            (link)

            Dopp

            • OaktownSteve says:
              (link)

              I like a lot of your bats. You picked a lot of guys I like in the mid- to lower mid rounds. I like that stretch where you got Naylor, Cordero, Dalbec, Iglesias (magoo has him in every league), O’Neill and Rodgers. Lots of upside in there. Feels like a couple of those guys could turn a good profit.

              Yeah, the pitching is a little rough, I think. The Framber incident is a real tough break. Fun fact, he was the only pitcher to average over 7 innings per start last year. For your sake and mine, I hope Montas and Manaea have a strong year. They both make me nervous. You didn’t get much depth in those round 30-50 picks. Innings could be a struggle.

              • hot corner says:
                (link)

                Yup. That analysis is right on. Pitching depth got away from me the late 30’s when I went on a run of bench bats. Had to switch to a bunch of guys that I could see entering the rotation or prospects that could be called up in the second half.

                Ultimately in DC’s, you need to keep your ERA under 4.00, WHIP under 1.25 and K’s close to 1/IP. Wins are fickle and just need to patch together about 50 saves. I think I can patch that together with my group of pitchers with an offense near the top.

                That has been my formula for a while. Prior to last year, I won my Razzball DC league back-to-back years, so it generally works, barring a slew of injuries like last year.

                • OaktownSteve says:
                  (link)

                  There were a lot of players in this draft digging hard for pitching. Overall a good team. Offense has really good balance. Definitely didn’t lose in the draft.

      • Cram It says:
        (link)

        Hey, thanks for the analysis! I’m not too worried about being middle of the pack in steals. I’m confident Soto steals 15+, and all my OFs chip in, plus Hiura and guys like Varsho, Chisholm, and yes Mercado and Hilliard if they get the PT.

        I know my pitching is risky but my top 5 at least should be innings eaters.

        • OaktownSteve says:
          (link)

          I forgot to include Soto in the steals. Man, any team with Soto at the top looks good to me this year. That’s what I was thinking with the steals as well. Have a few things break right and you could go a little higher. You can definitely win a league with that. You’ll have a good shot at being top in HR.

          My cousin’s kid played 4 years of high school ball with Mickey Moniack and I played little league with his dad.

          • Cram It says:
            (link)

            I like Willi Castro for steals too, who hasn’t shown it at the MLB level yet, but did in the minors. Basically I have a bunch of unproven steals contributors I’m taking a chance on there. Going by Grey’s projections, I’m clearing 100 SBs on my starters alone, which is normally good for top of the middle of the pack.

            Mr. Irrelevant! That’s awesome. He’s raking in the spring.

            • OaktownSteve says:
              (link)

              Castro is a super interesting player. You’re right there is some speed in there with the power. One yellow flag with Castro is he has a thing where he can’t make throws to first base. Apparently the coaching staff hold their breath on every throw. Hopefully he’ll figure it out.

          • Grey

            Grey says:
            (link)

            I do love Soto too — Mickey Moniak trying to break camp

            • OaktownSteve says:
              (link)

              No chance. Maybe if Odubel didn’t show up to play.

              • Grey

                Grey says:
                (link)

                Yeah, true

  34. LG Baseball says:
    (link)

    Great post Grey. This question is likely better for the 2B post but wanted your thoughts.

    I have a win now team where we kept 10 players (10
    teams). I don’t have a 2B heading into the draft and the Merrifield owner would trade him to me for my 2022 first round pick (next years pick). Given we keep 100 total players that gives you a sense of value of the pick. If I don’t make the trade there are lots of 2B available including Muncy, Dylan Moore, Happ, Moose, Solak, Madrgial, Kim, Cronenworth. (I really like Dylan Moore and read your sleeper post)

    Would you take Merrifield and give up a future pick or roll with one of the free agents available?

    Thanks,
    LG

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks! Nah, just draft one of those 2B

      • LG Baseball says:
        (link)

        Thanks Grey!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          No problem

  35. Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo says:
    (link)

    16 team roto near dynasty (max active keepers only to all starting hitter slots not counting the 4th any OF nor IF slots. max 5 SP, 5 RP). 10 max prospect elig kept too. short 3-4 round prospect draft then later regular online one.

    scoring is 5×5 stuff with slugging/OBP/K per 9/QS added and net saves and holds over saves.

    C w.smith
    1B
    2B ketel one (SS/CF)
    SS story
    3B suarez
    IF (can’t keep to this)
    LF mcneil (2B/3B/RF)
    CF laureano (RF)
    RF harper
    OF (can’t keep to this)
    util (1)
    SP (5 max): ryu, heaney, clevinger, g.marquez, mahle, ed rod
    RP (5 max): j.hernandez, gausman (SP), r.iglesias, puk
    prospect elig (max 10): kelenic, o.cruz, n.jones, larnach, brujan, matos, kirby, b.marquez

    other non prospect options: ohtani (hitter only), lux, hoskins, mostsuckass
    other prospect options: d.garcia

    1. keep hoskins or moustakas at 1B or hope for better in draft (not likely)
    2. keep ohtani/lux/ the guy left out in 1 at util
    3. keep which 2 out of mahle/heaney/ed rod for SP 4 and 5

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      1. Moist
      2. Ohtani
      3. Not EdRod

      • Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo says:
        (link)

        the OPS rater also has hoskins below mostsuckass, which surprised me.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          That is surprising…Hoskins so good on O

  36. BillyAngel says:
    (link)

    Hello All you FBB’ers I am new to the NFBC & am approaching my 4th pick -out of the 3rd hole. I have chosen Soto- Bichette & LouBob so far. If Mondesi falls to me am I crazy to pick him?

    • OaktownSteve says:
      (link)

      Crazy not to.

      • OaktownSteve says:
        (link)

        Especially when you see what mess the SS position gets to be not too much further down the road.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Little crazy

      • BillyAngel says:
        (link)

        12 team league-Grabbed Mondesi #46, I am thinking only power bats the rest of the way. D Fresh is in this league, didn’t D Fresh win the entire RCL last year? If I am going to run with D Fresh I going to need to up my game. I figure HR’s- Saves- IP , in that order, is the ticket for the remaining 17 days of this draft!

    • The Harrow says:
      (link)

      aren’t those 15 team leagues? so yr saying mondesi is around at pick 58th overall? yeah take him. you’ll be the best steals team in the league easy if those players stay healthy. might not even need that many i guess. does start to be a little gross if those are OBP’s though .

  37. Will says:
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    You said you moved Vaughn “way up” in your top 500 but he only moved from number 424 to number 420 and the projections did not change (still .277/14/48/0). Did I miss something?

  38. Big Magoo

    Big Magoo says:
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    Cronenworth is interesting for sure, but it’s pretty crowded in SD. Kim and Profar are there on decent contracts, so it’s hard to see any of them not receive at least semi-regular ABs.

    Vaughn is quite trendy at the moment. You’d probably have to reach up a bit higher to grab him.

    I’d add Mancini and Aguilar to my 1B list. Mancini has a clean bill of health now, and most of these guys can only dream of the type of season that he produced in ’19. Aguilar is a sneaky source of power, even in Miami. Unless I’m mistaken, his only down year was following the Achilles stomping at the hands of Machado. That’s tough for a big guy to shake off (just ask Ryan Howard). He can rake though.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Aguilar’s upside is what? 24-7, .250? Meh Agreed on Mancini tho, if healthy he’s solid bounce back

      • Big Magoo

        Big Magoo says:
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        Aguilar looks like a .260/25/80 guy to me. Not bad for a cheap CI. Upside is what he did in ’18.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Meh, I guess…Not really exciting and Cooper/Lewin all breathing down for PT

    • OaktownSteve says:
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      One thing I like about Cronenworth is that he’s an outstanding athlete. Threw 96 as a closer in college. I’d love to see Cronenworth give a Ben Zobrist season. Above average defensively all over the diamond. Runs well. When a guy is a better in real life guy, he tends to find his way into ABs.

      Aguilar is a very good call, Magoo. Way under the radar.

      My 1B sleeper is Bobby Bradley. He’s a BSOHL guy, but there are other reasons. Jake Bauers is not exactly Anthony Munoz as blockers go. He’s all that’s stopping Bradley from regular ABs at the moment. Power at every level of the minors. Only 24. ADP 778

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Cronenworth reminds me of LeMahieu’s first year in pinstripes and everyone saying he had no playing time

      • Big Magoo

        Big Magoo says:
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        Bradley is a good call. Wouldn’t be a stretch to see 30 HR from him this year. Big time power. Bauers isn’t even the present day Anthony Munoz.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Bradley’s interesting, agreed there

  39. Rick Brown says:
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    Man,I love this site!! Great posts from Grey and friends and very valuable info from all the commentors.
    I’m learning stuff every day!
    RICK

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks, appreciate it!

  40. KillerB says:
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    @grey Yelich / Semien for Machado / Lamet – which side do you like?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Semien

      • KillerB says:
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        The Machado side costs $24 less in auction dollars with a $260 budget. Does that change your opinion or you still like the Semien side?

  41. Scott Kimmel says:
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    Grey,

    would you rather have Y. Grandal or Austin Nola

    he made an initial of me sending him:

    Giovanny Gallegos ($6),
    Alex Colome ($11)
    and minor league prospect Adley Rutschman

    I get:
    Liam Hendriks ($18)
    Yasmani Grandal ($13)

    Which I had said no to

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yasmani

      • Scott Kimmel says:
        (link)

        was I wrong to say no to his initial offer

  42. Bryan Toth says:
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    Keeper trade question. 14 team 5×5 H2H, keep 10. I have 2 3B and no 1B, and proposed a trade to team with 2 1B and no 3B.

    He rejected (my) Ramirez for Bellinger and came back with (his) Olson for Moncada. Your rankings for this year say to jump all over this; does this apply for dynasty as well?

    • AL KOHOLIC says:
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      Yeah I would

  43. Help Me Obi Grey says:
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    Fantastic work as always! I need your help wise one

    Last-minute keeper advice for 12 team H2H 6X6. Keep six forever, no cost. Deadline Fri.

    Soto
    Albies
    Giolito
    Flaherty

    Need two more from:

    Darvish
    L Castillo
    T Anderson
    G Springer

    I’m leaning Castillo and Darvish, but I’m pretty darn torn …

  44. Riley says:
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    Let’s play would you rather – 8 man keeper league – would you rather keep Luis Castillo as a 12th round pick or lock in Mackenzie Gore as a 25th round pick?

  45. fart_brazil says:
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    What about Bobby Bradley? He was on my watch list a few years back and looks like he might finally have a chance to play. Still only 24

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