As I’ve said numerous times, one of the most important aspects of fantasy baseball sleepers is their playing time. Sexy eh-eff stats will only get you so far if you’re drafting a hitter who is in a platoon or worse, no path to at-bats. I’m making an exception for Rowdy Tellez. His numbers are impossible to ignore. Legit hate that he’s a lefty and Major League managers have a blind spot with splits. No matter what the numbers say a lefty is vs. lefties, somehow managers always use that as a reason to get a hitter a ‘mental’ break. This year:  Rowdy Tellez hit .333 in 27 ABs vs. lefties, better than he hit vs. righties. ACKSUALLY, hitting .267 vs. righties. In 2019, it was more of the same, hitting .270 vs. lefties in 115 ABs, and .208 vs. righties in 255 ABs. Some would be concerned that Charlie Montoyo would platoon him out when facing righties, and, who knows, but that would be some Galaxy Brain shizz and doubt it happens. Speaking of Galaxy Brain shizz, why do I want to call Charlie Montoyo “Tony Montana?” It’s close but not quite, so I will call him the same I call everyone I see without a mask, but making due with their clothes, Scarf-face. Any hoo! A platoon is a slight concern, but about those Rowdy Tellez numbers that are impossible to ignore, or rather:  So, what can we expect from Rowdy Tellez for 2021 fantasy baseball and what makes him a sleeper?

Rather than list all the numbers, here’s a screenshot to make you jump and/or jive:

You know how I feel about Pete Alonso. I want his children. Not like a kidnapping-type scenario where I hide in the mailbox near the corner of his house that is frequented every morning by some guy who must have an Etsy or eBay business. Not that I’ve spent that much time in the mailbox! If I didn’t think I’d get laughed out of the building, I might’ve ranked Pete Alonso in the top 20 again this year. He had a bad few weeks in 2020, you need to get back in on him! Wait, is this post about Pete Alonso? Oh, Rowdy Tellez! Right. Gary Sanchez has major issues with his strikeouts, and just contact, in general. If you’ve ever seen him ACKSUALLY make contact, you know what’s up. If you haven’t, the ball zips out of the park. Sadly, he’s become barely a .200 hitter. Finally! Next up, Rowdy Tellez, look at that MaxEV. MaxEV isn’t when Rachel Ray saturates a dish with olive oil. This ain’t about a soggy focaccia, boys and five girls. It’s the hardest contact a hitter makes. If you’re worried about normalization, then stop being so basic! If you’re more specifically worried about MaxEV normalizing, Rowdy had a 115.2 MPH MaxEV in 2019. He hits the ball hard. Hitting the ball hard is a very good trait for a hitter. The top 20 from 2019 is a who’s who of wonderful. The top 20 from 2020 only has one weird name, Alex Dickerson, and his name isn’t weird to see there as much as a signal that he could be a sleeper, too.

Tellez more! Tellez more! Tellez more!

Rowdy Tellez isn’t just hitting the ball hard; he’s doing it after nearly cutting his strikeouts in half. He went from 28.4% K% to 15.7% this past year, and upped his walks from 7.1% to 8.7%. His O-Swing went from 38.3% to 30.7% and his Z-Swing went from 62% to 71.4%. To explain that in layman’s terms, he stopped swinging at balls outside the zone and swung more at strikes. So, let’s get this straight, Rowdy Tellez was more aggressive in the zone, while hitting the ball harder than everyone but two of the biggest sluggers in baseball? If you can’t catch me as I faint, I don’t fault you, but I am about to fall over. Not too get too Bold Predictiony, but Rowdy Tellez is about to have a better season for fantasy than Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Barring injury and some extremely stupid platooning, I’m not sure how Rowdy Tellez isn’t a top 100 player overall, and he’s going around 275th overall. Find a better sleeper, I’ll wait. Okay, I’m done waiting. For 2021, I’ll give Rowdy Tellez projections 80/28/93/.287/3 in 506 ABs with a chance for more.

 
  1. Ante GALIC says:
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    Grey!

    Great fantasy-sleeper report!!

    a. Tellez for prez 2024! Another great, really.

    b. On Dickerson, so true. Was wondering why he was doing so well last year apart from just how much love you showed him in 2019. [Yes, players can do well simply from being loved by you.]

    c. Gutted, didn’t get the job in TJ. They never tell you why in my industry, so I’ll never know what went wrong. I guess our meeting in SD will have to wait.

    d. MLB quote of the day for December 17, 2020

    1. Curtis Pride, born December 17, 1968

    ‘Curtis Pride is an inspiring example of determination and an outstanding role model for kids and all those who overcome challenges. He will offer a valuable perspective as we continue efforts to foster an inclusive environment for anyone who plays or is a fan of our sport.’

    Major League Baseball Commissioner Robert D. Manfred, Jr. (Press Release, 01/07/2016, MLB hires Pride as latest Ambassador for Inclusion, MLB.com)

    2. Bobby Ojeda, born December 17, 1959

    ‘The fans throw different things. Rock stars have nice stuff like flowers and underwear. We get batteries and knives.’

    Bob Ojeda in The Sporting News (October 20, 1986, Volume 202, Page 12)

    3. The twins Tyler and Taylor Rogers, born December 17, 1990 in Littleton, Colorado.

    For Tyler, in the locker room after his first start in MLB.

    Reporter: ‘Did you hear that standing ovation you got at the end of the inning?’

    Rogers: ‘Yeah, that was pretty cool. Yeah’

    Reporter: ‘You looked surprised by it.’

    Rogers: ‘I was surprised by it. I was uh, don’t think I’ve heard a roar that big ever on the baseball field. I kind of looked up at the stands and just took it in, and just went, ‘Wow, this is amazing.’

    For Taylor Rogers, watch the nice things that Maeda says on his youtube channel about him after he entered the ninth and blew his perfect 8 innings and chance at the win. Taylor wrote him a letter of apology, placed it in the right breast pocket of his jacket in his locker and wrote ‘Kenta’ on the envelope.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CrjgSiQkG-k&feature=youtu.be

    Long story short, we need more people like Taylor Rogers in MLB.

    4. Frank Pastore, died December 17, 2012

    ‘More than 35,000 people have taken the Big Texan’s challenge (eating a 72oz steak & side dishes in under an hour), but no more than 6,000 have succeeded. Past winners include a 69-year-old grandmother, an 11-year-old boy and Frank Pastore, a pitcher for the Cincinnati Reds in the early ’80s, who set a speed record by downing the whole meal, side dishes included, in 9½ minutes.’

    Washington Post (June 21, 2003)

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      A. Thanks, dude!

      B. That is true, huh?

      C. Aw, man, I’m sorry, that sucks…Hopefully you get one of the others tho!

      D. 2. Haha, poor Bobby Ojeda

  2. Hernan says:
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    Lol, another Razzball Sleeper, another Hard Hitting Burrito Boy…., as I said before , Tellez is my dark horse/bold prediction to lead AL in homers…., too much power, Montoya needs to stop the nonsense and give this guy 600 PAs, regardless of who’s on the mound.. , by the way, that aforementioned Alex Dickerson guy, statcast beast, another member of Burritos devastating group of outfielders( there in case Willie Calhoun “mental problems “ resurface)…, Hard Contact/Plate Discipline baby!!!!!, 2 other Bold predictions, Bote forces himself into 500 PAs( regardless of breaking pitches, he’ll get better, already laying off a lot of them) and hits 25 homers.. , and Tsugugo (Rays) plays regularly and hits 30 homers , making him the cheapest 30 homer guy in fantasy, also elegible at 3B/OF , super handy in D&H…, peace, and you know what they say about the 2021 Better Burrito Boyz.., They’re Inevitable!!!!

    • Will says:
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      I’ll take the under on Bote. Think he’ll be closer to what Steamer is projecting for him – .237 / 13 / 45 / 5.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Kinda agree on Bote, sadly

    • Dave D says:
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      Ha! I admire your confidence but it sounds to me youre trying to convince yourself that your team is good. Remember, that last 1B I recall Grey hyping like this was Guzman in TX. Whiff. When youre choosing which Santana to start in July check back with me and talk to me about the real deal, Pete Alonso. At least youre finally being sober-eyed on Calhoun. Your real concern should be, however, your iffy rotation depth of David Price as your #3 and Cory Kluber/Noah Syndergaard as your 6/7. Thats a great rotation in 2017, not 2021.

      I’d say you’d be fortunate to do a three-peat in 4th place. More likely it will be Grey #4 while Smitty, Knoche and I battle it out for the prize money and bragging rights.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Guzman still looks good! Haha, but seriously, he does

      • Hernan says:
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        Lol, Dave , best thing about these posts is , we can come back and compare them with your excuses, after your team flopped…, all pitching staffs have a lot of question marks, Strasbourg as your ace????, yikes, luzardo is your best pitcher, all 120 innings from him…, lol, Tijuana Walker, 70 innings combined last 3 years…, luckiest pitcher in baseball for 2 months….., burritos pitching is clearly better than apocalyptic angels…, , we’ll see

        • Dave D says:
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          I bet you Zach Davies will outperform all pitchers on your roster. Maeda is solid. Lamet could be great if he holds up, but, yes, Luzardo will deliver on his promise. Framber will get CY down ballot votes. 3 of your top 8 pitchers didnt even pitch in 2020. You sound nervous, like youre starting to realize you took on too much risk. Sure Strasburg is a risk, but he’s one guy. Eflin, Pineda, Walker will all give me 160+ IP/K’s and they are my 5-6-7. You lack that depth barring a miracle. I doubt fault you for your envy, however.

          • Dave D says:
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            “I don’t fault you for your envy, however.”

          • Hernan says:
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            Lol, Tijuana, 160 innings?, maybe next 5 seasons combined, for the Tijuana Guajolotes In Mexico…, lol pray for Padres not to sign Arihara.., end of Davies, the dean of “smoke and mirrors “…, framber has two good months and all of the sudden he’s sandy koufax.. , the forecast for Pineda doesn’t look positive…, we’ll unless it’s another drug test…, only place your pitching staff is decent it’s in your head.. burritos for life!!!

          • Smitty says:
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            Maeda and Lamet alumni from 2020 did me right. Think Maeda will grind, Lamet arm issues a little worrisome, similar to Strasburg. But, like them both.
            I need the Sugano gamble to pay off, starting with finding him a home. Same with my other import H. Kim. Both need to contribute for the Opt-Outs to have a chance.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Has Kim signed yet?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Dickerson is interesting as a 6th or 7th OF, and maybe he gets into something, but I still have some doubts….Tsutsugo looks like a candidate for 220 or fewer ABs

      • Dave D says:
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        I’m glad you’re sobering up and starting to realize you have a better team than Hernan. I agree.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Haha, I never like my own teams, lower expectations helps me exceed!

  3. Will says:
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    553 MLB at bats, posts a .250 / .488 / .797 line with 33 home runs and 91 RBIs, should be all he needs to get full time at bats. Unless the Toronto manager is a Bud Black disciple…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Lefties worry me, but hopefully there’s nothing there

  4. Rebar says:
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    How much would you add to his stat line if they still have to play in Buffalo? I saw an overlay chart of the two fields, and Rowdy hits the ball so hard it only took away 1 homer from his total if they had played in Toronto!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Meh, maybe another 5/2/5

  5. Smitty says:
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    Gotta like a guy named Rowdy right? Dude can flat out hit and should be in line for plenty of AB’s. The projection is why I love Grey, unafraid to boldly put his huevos on the line.
    Like Desclafani signing with SF, prolly gonna need him in an actual 162 season. Would love to see Yaddy sign with the Nats and become Max’s personal C. Ahhh, keep those sleeprz coming Grey!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      He can, as they say, rake…DeSclfani in SF is kinda interesting, tho, real late…Be shocked if Yadier isn’t back in St. Louis, but I heard rumors too, yeah…Thanks!

      • Will says:
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        Desclafani’s career home / away splits are very different:

        Home: 19-24, 4.94 ERA, 1.37 WHIP
        Away: 18-15, 3.61 ERA, 1.22 WHIP

        The move out of Cincinnati to SF and the other NL West parks should help him quite a bit.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I don’t like home/away splits, but I do like SF, in general, for SPs

    • Dave D says:
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      Yeah, nice pick with Disco. He was at top of my queue when you picked him. Hopefully Quintana follows him there as rumored. I got him in a previous DC. I really like his prospects there. Right up there with Renfroe in BOS.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Really, put any SP in SF and I’ll take a flyer

        • Dave D says:
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          Yeah, totally.

  6. Gator says:
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    Talk of the MLB season getting a late start, possibly in May. Three big name pitchers scheduled to come back from Tommy John surgery in the May-June timeframe: Sale, Severino & Syndergard. With less missed time do any of these three jump into the top 25 starters for 2021? Top 125 overall? Thanks

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Prolly outside the top 25 SPs, maybe tail end of 125 overall tho

      • Gator says:
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        For 3 year keeper purposes how would you rank those three?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Noah, Severino

          • Gator says:
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            Thanks. Happy Holidays!

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              You too!

      • Dave D says:
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        Meh. Id bet Taillon fares better than each of these three if we’re talking 2021. He has far more time since surgery. Not too many guys are immediately back to their peak within the first few months after return.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yeah, could be, depends on how much you wanna pay for a lottery ticket

          • Dave D says:
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            I bought a cheaper lottery ticket in this instance…

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              True, that’s also good

  7. Malicious Phenoms says:
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    Three bench bats in my dynasty that I really like. Jared Walsh, Rowdy and Edwin Rios. Your thoughts on Rios, with what looks like Turner out of the way.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I wouldn’t count Turner out of LA yet, but I do like Rios a lot

  8. leon says:
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    clint Frazier or Kebryan Hayes dynasty 18 man. 6×6 walks. thanks.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Frazier

      • leon says:
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        is it close? coin flip or are u leaving frazier heavily

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Pretty close, could go either way

  9. DonnieB says:
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    Do you have any desire to own L Severino or Noah as your 8-9th SP? Noah first? I think Severino had his TJ first. Thanks. Great write ups. They are all great actually.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I think they’re going before that point, so sure I’d own them that late — I’d prolly go Noah first, but they’re next to each in my mind

  10. DonnieB says:
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    Do you have any desire to own L Severino or Noah as your 8-9th SP? Noah first? I think Severino had his TJ first. Thanks. Great write ups. They are all great actually.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I think they’re going before that point, so sure I’d own them that late — I’d prolly go Noah first, but they’re next to each in my mind — and thanks!

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